Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Tom Kerr
Quantum Leap for Wind in Asia
Structured Consultation
Manila, the Philippines
21 June 2010
Technology Roadmap
Wind energy
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter and do not necessarily represent those of the Asian Development Bank.
© OECD/IEA 2009
IEA energy technology activities
Technology Roadmap
Wind energy
© OECD/IEA 2009
A sustainable energy future:
the ‘450 Scenario’
42 Abatement by technology, 2030
By region World
40
34
13.8 Gt
Efficiency – 67%
32 3.8 Gt Renewables &
Other Major biofuels – 23%
Economies Renewables &
30 biofuels – 19%
Nuclear – 8%
Other CCS – 6%
28 Countries Efficiency – 55% Nuclear– 10%
450 Scenario Renewables &
biofuels – 34% CCS – 10%
26 Nuclear– 9%
2007 2015 2020 2025 2030
Efficiency measures account for 2/3 of the 3.8Gt abatement in 2020. Renewables contribute 20%.
© OECD/IEA 2009
Wind power shows exponential growth – but market forces alone may not be enough
to ensure high quality deployment.
Technology Roadmap
Wind energy
© OECD/IEA 2009
Wind energy status today:
China and India in the top 5
MW
Technology Roadmap
Wind energy
© OECD/IEA 2009
Wind power global potential to 2050
Technology Roadmap
Wind energy
© OECD/IEA 2009
Global map of regional wind power capacity
…how do we get there from here?
Technology Roadmap
Wind energy
© OECD/IEA 2009
What are the goals
of a regional wind power effort in Asia?
• What are the main rationales?
– Local pollution reduction (air, soil, water)
– Economic growth
– Affordable electrification
– Addressing high water usage of other resources
– Energy security through production of a local energy resource
– Climate mitigation
… the answer will help calibrate ambition, economic
support; and target setting
– Process will be more meaningful at the national level
Technology Roadmap
Wind energy
© OECD/IEA 2009
Regional effort must identify specific tasks
www.iea.org/roadmaps
Tom.kerr@iea.org
Technology Roadmap
Wind energy
© OECD/IEA 2009