Professional Documents
Culture Documents
- INSIGHTS
(https://www.insightsonindia.com/)
New Articles
INSIGHTS (HTTPS://WWW.INSIGHTSONINDIA.COM) > NEW ARTICLES (HTTPS://WWW.INSIGHTSONINDIA.COM/NEW-ARTICLES/) > RAJYA
SABHA VIDEOS (HTTPS://WWW.INSIGHTSONINDIA.COM/CATEGORY/RAJYA-SABHA-VIDEOS/) > RSTV: THE BIG PICTURE- POPULATION
BOON OR BANE?
0 Comments (https://www.insightsonindia.com/2019/06/19/rstv-the-big-picture-population-boon-or-
bane/#disqus_thread)
https://www.insightsonindia.com/2019/06/19/rstv-the-big-picture-population-boon-or-bane/ 1/6
6/19/2019 RSTV: THE BIG PICTURE- POPULATION BOON OR BANE? - INSIGHTS
(https://www.insightsonindia.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/rstv-
3.jpg)Introduction:
In just eight years, India is projected to surpass China as the world’s most
populous country. According to estimates in a new United Nations report released on
Monday, India is also expected to add 273 million people by 2050 and will remain the
most populated until the end of the century. The report stated that in 2019, India has an
estimated population of 1.37 billion and China 1.43 billion and by 2027, India’s population is
projected to surpass China’s. The global population is projected to increase by another 2
billion people by 2050, from 7.7 billion in 2019 to 9.7 billion thirty years down the line. The
report has highlighted higher fertility rates, growing older population and migration are few
reasons for projections of the population growth. Health economists claim that the major
implications of population growth will be increase in young and older population that will
face a lack of resources in future.
Basics:
https://www.insightsonindia.com/2019/06/19/rstv-the-big-picture-population-boon-or-bane/ 2/6
6/19/2019 RSTV: THE BIG PICTURE- POPULATION BOON OR BANE? - INSIGHTS
The 2019 revision of the World Population Prospects is the twenty-sixth edition
of the o cial United Nations population estimates and projections. It presents population
estimates from 1950 to the present for 235 countries or areas, underpinned by analyses of
historical demographic trends. This latest assessment considers the results of 1,690 national
population censuses conducted between 1950 and 2018, as well as information from vital
registration systems and from 2,700 nationally representative sample surveys. The 2019
revision also presents population projections to the year 2100 that re ect a range of
plausible outcomes at the global, regional and country levels.
While the global population is still growing, some countries are experiencing a
decrease in their total population. Virtually all countries are experiencing population
ageing.
Around 2027, India is projected to overtake China as the world’s most populous
country.
Largest increases in population between 2019 and 2050 will take place in– India, Nigeria,
Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, the United Republic of
Tanzania, Indonesia, Egypt and the United States of America.
Highlighted the higher fertility rates, growing older population and migration are
few reasons for projections of the population growth.
However, the population of India in 2019 is 1.37 billion, which is 2.3 million (0.2%) less
than the previous estimate from the 2017 revision. This decrease results from slightly
lower levels of total fertility rate following the availability of new estimates from the 2015-
2016 National Fertility and Health Survey (NFHS-4) and from the Sample Registration
System (SRS) for 2016, and increased estimates of out-migration.
The population of sub-Saharan Africa is expected to practically double by 2050.
World population is expected to increase by 2 billion by 2050 from 7.7 billion to 9.7
billion.
https://www.insightsonindia.com/2019/06/19/rstv-the-big-picture-population-boon-or-bane/ 3/6
6/19/2019 RSTV: THE BIG PICTURE- POPULATION BOON OR BANE? - INSIGHTS
TFR varies signi cantly across the socio-economic groups, it is concentrated among
economically weaker section of the society which has implications on our SDGs, poverty,
hunger, malnutrition, health, education etc.
Jobs are not created at the rate it should be and growth is uneven.
We have short window of opportunity, it is important to nurture and exploit this
population growth to the best economic advantages is a challenge.
Challenge is how we raise India’s economic status from being low middle country to
atleast high middle income.
Share of older people is rising rapidly, growth for older people is 70% from now to 2050
but total population is growing only by 56%.
The aspiration of the women and families have changed with time, they now want
fewer children but lack access to family planning. This is evident from one report which
says that there is 13% unwanted fertility in India.
Real challenge is quality of life, 21% of 60 plus population is su ering from chronic
morbidities.
Unequal rate of population growth among states.
Way Forward:
Analysts believe that India’s growing population can be a double-edged sword and the
country needs to put in place the right policies to maximize the potential of its people by
enhancing the state of education, health and infrastructure, so that India gures at better in
various human development rankings.
It is imperative that policy-makers deal with the situation on multiple fronts. Universal
education, value-added skills accretion and massive growth in employment in the formal
sectors should be the key focus areas. Unful lled aspirations of the youth can quickly turn
to frustration, leading to violent outbursts. There is also a need to engage with the youth
and create an enabling environment for entrepreneurship. Failure to do so would not just
https://www.insightsonindia.com/2019/06/19/rstv-the-big-picture-population-boon-or-bane/ 4/6
6/19/2019 RSTV: THE BIG PICTURE- POPULATION BOON OR BANE? - INSIGHTS
mean a missed opportunity in terms of harnessing the demographic dividend, but the
ensuing rise in unemployment and poverty could undermine the advances made on the
economic front and foment societal upheaval.
Share:
Today, Insights is synonymous with UPSC civil services exam preparation. Insights has
rede ned the way preparation is done in UPSC civil service exam
OFFLINE CLASSES
0 Comments INSIGHTS
1 Login
TOPPERS
Start the discussion…
IAS EXAM GUIDE
LOG IN WITH
OR SIGN UP WITH DISQUS ?
BOOKS
Name
CONTACT
support@insightsias.com
(mailto:support@insights
(https://www.facebook.com/insightsonindia/) (https://twitter.com/vinaygb)
(https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCpoccbCX9GEIwaiIe4HLjwA)
https://www.insightsonindia.com/2019/06/19/rstv-the-big-picture-population-boon-or-bane/ 6/6