ｃｾ＠ ( I Ｑｾ＠ ) ｘａｲｶＬ ｾ ＲＰＱＸ＠

BGT- D-STSC
\4 ifi)J an ＼ｾＭ "R-o >

ｾ Ｍ Ｂｑ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾＺＯ｜＠ .. ｾ＠
｣ｾ＠ m ｾ＠ a'ffi. ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ f.t""tfMtM ｾ＼ｴｩｔ＠ ｷｆｉｾ＠ ｾＩ＠
ｬｾ＠ ｾ｜ｩｦＩ＠ ｦｩｴｾ＠ lfrl ｾ＠ iA1 ｾｉ＠
ＧｱＨｊｾｬ＠ tWt ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ '3m ｾ＠ 11
-rn ｾ＠ s ｾｯｭ＠ d ' ｾ＠ 1!1 t ｾ＠ ｾ＠ "it Cf.ill-ll-"ijiq ｾ＠ '5I"A ｾ＠ lfA ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ ｾ＠
ｾ＠
ｭｾｔｴｒ
w-:J/mtt
1 $
ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠
ｾ ｾ＠
ｾ＠ ｾｭ＠ 1fCt
ｾ
'I ﾷ ｾｭ ﾷ ｾｙｊｚｉＬ＠ ｾｬＱＧｦ＠
"3'in

lim
ＤｭＭｾＨ｣ｬｦｩｯＩ＠ ｾＱｒ ｾ ｾＪＳｒ＠
ｬｦｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 1f\'{ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ fi:rRiT I
mn w.l ifiT "3iR ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾｲ＠ 'Si. ｾ＠ 1lR ｾ＠ mn ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｷＺｾ＠ 11 ｾ＠ ｾ ﾷ＠
ＭＮｭｻｾ Ｎ＠ ｾ＠ 31&<t!f4Cf\ ｾｴ＠ ｾｩｴｯ［＠ lf( tl ｾ ｉ＠
ｾ＠ :m1 ｾ＠ ｾ＠ lfi*"Gij•< ｾ＠ ｾ＠ • ｾ＠ -;fflt ｾ＠
CfiTZil mｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ＼ｦＮＧｬＱｽｴｾｈ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ Ｚ＠ ｾ＠
"rilff ｾｉ＠ ｾＭｬｮＡｭ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ l9lffi ｾ＠ "!6ll"Vrf 1ll ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ \ifH1 ｾ ｉ＠

STATISTICS 1(PA_pER- 11)

l1'ime AUowed : Thret: Hours I IMaximum Marks ｾ＠ 250 I
QUBSTIOB PAPER SPECIFIC INSTRUCTIONS
{Plea,st: read each of the following instructions earefuUy before attempting ｱ ｵｾｴｩｯｮｳＬ＠

There are EJGHT questions divided in t\J.•o Sections I:Yld printed both in HlNDI and
in ENGLISH .
Candidate has to attempt FIVE questions in all.
Quc'Stion Nos. l and 5 are compulsory and out of the rerna.in ing, THREE ar·e to be attempted
choosiln g a,l lc.a:st ONE question from each Section.
Ttwe numbe r of m.arks carried !by a ·q ue,stion/part is indicaned agai.n st it.
Answers mu st be v.'I'it:tcn in lthc: medium a,u thorizled in the Admis.sion Certificate which
must be stated: clearly on the CoOVer of this QuC!stion-cu m-Answer Ｈｑｃａｾ＠ Booklet in the
ｳｰＺ｡｣ｾ＠ provided. No marks wU1 be given rot answers writ.wn in a medium other than the
au thodzed one .
ｗｨｾｶ｣ｲ＠ any ｾＡｩｳｵｭｰｴｯｮ＠ ｡ｲｾ＠ made for answering a question, they must be clearly indicated.
Ch arts/figures, wh ereveT required, shall be drawn in the space prm.rided for ans\J,u:ring the
question itself.
Attempts of questions shall be counted in sequential order. Unless st:nlick orf, attempt of a
que"Stion shall be counted even if ｡Ｎｵｾｭｰｴ･､＠ parlJy. Any pacge or portion of ·t he page le ft blank
in the Question-cum-Answer Booklet must be dearly struck off.

1 ｾ＠ P;T.O .
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 ｾａ＠ I SIBCTION-A.

1. (a) ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ litJn1H ｾ＠ q;J. ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ l\, "ffi ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ､ＧｬｾＨｈｩ＠ ｾ ﾭ

ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠Ｊ ｾ＠
ｾ＠ ｒＧＡＱ
q{1mr<Rfn' l ﾷ ｾ＠ ｉｔｕｾ＠ ｾ＠
]{ a linear programming problem has an optimal solution, then pro"\rt: E:hat il
attains its. optimum :soiUtiQn. a.t an e.xtre:line point of the oonvex set gener-ated by
the aet ·o f all the Iiea.si ble solutions to· the problem. 10
{b) "ilR ｾ＠ f.t; (X11 • n ｾ＠ 0} ｾ＠ ｾＭ s = ｾ＠ 1, 2. 3. 4 ' 1l1f1 ｾ＠ Ｑ Ｑ ｒｦｾＱ ﾷ＠ ｾ＠
ｾ＠ .2. 0 0
3 3
l 0 0 0
P= .1 1
"2 0 2 0
0 0 ! !
ｾＢｉ＠ 3 eNr 4 ｾ＠ ＭＳＱｾｴｬ＠ f.fi Ｓｦｾ［ｴｷｮｻ＠
Let (X n. n ｾ＠ 0} ｢ ｾ＠ a. Markov cha.in. haoring a. sa.m.ple space S =Ｇ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 3, 41 and
transition. probability matrix
.1 1. 0 0
:3 3
1 0 0 0
p
ｾ＠ 0 2 0 ｾ＠
2
I
0 0 1 2
Show that states 3 and: 4 are· transient ｳ ｴ ｡Ｎ ｴ ｣ｾ ﾭ 10
(c) ｾ＠ ｾ＠ il; tliiftMi ｾｑｒ＠ Lfi'l ｴｾ ｬ ＴＧＱＮ＠
Exp]ain the theorcticall basis .ro.r control charts. 10
(d} Ｆｈｴｾ Ｍ ｾｭｷｦｴＧｬ＠
Describe the ·behaviour of the: hazard ｲ｡ｴｾ＠ in a 'ba.t .htub curve. 10
feJ ｾ＠ t
f.tAifEdeC' ｾ＠ ｾ＠ w iit p om q ｾ＠ fffi; 1IFIT in 1lfu:Rｾ＠ ｾ＠ Y<fjfl[ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠
ｾ＠ 1('2y ＲＩｾ＠ ｾ＠ "iR ｾ＠ :·

f&ffl/1 B
1 q 6
ｦＯｪ ﾷ ｾａ Ｎ＠ p 5 10
6 2 3

Find the range of values for' p and q that wiU render. the cell (2, 2) a :sc;tddle point
in the game with the following ｰ｡Ｎｹ ｾ ｯｦ＠ matrix :
Player B
'
1 q 6
p s 10
6 '2 3
10

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2. (aJ ｾ＠ ｾＱｊｦ＠ ｾ＠ 'a'tt1 ｾ＠ ｾ＠ u;q liT ｴＺｦｾ＠ ｾｊ＠ ｐＡｊＺｴｾ､＠ ｾＧ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠
l) ifi1ll ｾ ﾷ＠ ti\ ctil ｾｴＱ［ｦｬＧＨｻ､＠
1 I q;r ｾ＠ ｾ＠ :

ｾ＠ Ｓ ｾＱ＠ t f.fi ｾ＠ c1, ｾﾷ＠ c3 • c 4 ｾ＠ c 5 ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾｴｩ､ ｬ ｾ＠ 1film! 0.6, 0 -4 0 ·7 ..

0·8 nifT 0·5 ｾ ﾷ＠
Defme a series system and a parallel ｾｴ･ｭ Ｎ＠ Compute the :rdiability of the
roUowing configuratio n whose c-ompooents work inde-penden tly :

It is given that the components ci, c'l, c 3 , c 4 and o8 ha.v·e component

retiabHit1es 0 ·6, 0·4. 0·7,o-a and 0·5 respectively. 15

{b) ｾ＠ ｾＱ＠ ｾ＠ T c4il ｾＧｉｒ ｃｉ＠ t:l ｾ＠ ｾ｡ｷｮＴｭ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ Ｑｦｴｾｍｮ＠ ｾ ｉ＠ qa ｾＢｦ ｲｬ｣ｴ Ｇ＠ ｾ＠
:fit ｾｱ［ｬＢＧ＠ ct 1 Gl <rm ｦ｡ｾｃｉｗＧｩＱＴ＠ qiff-f ifi1 m ｾ＠ 1 3=1 ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ flrq;ma ｾ＠
ｾ Ｌ Ｕ Ｑ ｗ Ｑ ＢＱｾｴｬ＠

Defme failure rate and reliability function of a random. variable T. Obtain the
rrulure rate and reliability function of the Wc::ibuU failure model. Sbitc the
conditions. under which the ranu:re rate is increasing, d tf!i;re!Ming and constant. 15

rcJ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ (TP) 1ft ｾ＠ｍ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ iitiw ｾ＠ :imtiR ｾ＠ ＱＢｾ＠

ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 'ffl ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 'a ＱＰ＿ﾫＴﾥ＠ｾ 1t1n "CfiJiw ｓｬ ｒｉ ｾ＠ 'VTll ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ＠ｾ TP. ｾ＠
ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ ｾ＠ 'f.l'""1faiti<1 TP ｾｬ＠ Ｑｾ＠ wPm ｾ＠ ｾ ﾷ＠ t ｾ＠ ｾ＠ (VAM) ｾ＠ ｾ＠
ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｦＮｩｾｲｴｷ Ｚ＠

lfflOl1 ＤｻｩｪｾｦＨＧｊｉ＠

5 3 7 3 8 5 3
5 6 12 5 7 11 4
"ff'fR
2 8 3 4 8 2 2
9 6 10> 5 10 9 8
J11tC'fflT 3 3 6 2 l 2

ｾｃｬｮ＠ ｾ＠ i'tfi ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 3Wa t m .wrqft 1

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 ＧｄｩｬｕＺｾｅ［ｉ＠
tn;Ln:s,portat.ion pr.oblem (TiP' and show that it can be formul ated as- a
liiJ!
linear progr.a.nuning problem.. Ob t.aln a. necessary and s.ufficlen t co:ndiHon
under which a TP has always a ｲ･｡ｳｩｾ ｬｾ＠ solution. Find the- first feasible so]utioD
of the !oUowing TP using Vogel's approximation mrcthQd (VAM) :

a. (a) ai11f.ff6o ｾ＠ iii1 ornrn ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ (0, tJ-q n ｾ＠ ·ip • ｾＢｒ＠ lf.1 ｭｩＧｊＦｾｬｵ＠
ｾＱＧｭ ｬ ｾｦｬＳｴｻ｡ ｭｒ ｾ ｉ＠

Statin g underlyin g ｡ｾｳｵｭｰｴｩｯｮ ｴｨ ＮＧ ｾ＠

ｾ＠ find the expression of the probability of
happening n events in the time interval (0, t) in Poisson ｰｲｯｾＭｳＮ＠ Hence obtairn
the distributio·n o£ inter-arrivaJ times. 15

(b) ﾷ ｾ＠ 'cfi'fffi ｾ＠ d'+Hi+ <w'f ｾ＠ ｾ＠ iM ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾｉ＠ :q: ;ft ll'mtQ. ft .mq

m ｾ＠ Ｌｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ Ｇｬ Ｑｾ ｱｩｪＧｬＫｦ＠

Describe: Monte Carlo simula tion technique and menlio.n its di:ffer.e nt steps.
Also desoibc how you would gcne:ra.tc mndom numbers from a. We.ibull density
'Pith parameters ({\ Ill- 15

/c) x Win' .R ｾ ﾷ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ l!;ib ｾ＠ ·wrcn Ｚｱｦｩｭｾ＠ i:j) ｾ＠ ｾ｡ｶｬ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ t I Ｇｓｦｾ＠ 3RR

n = 7 t ; x 'ftqf R ＼ｴｩｬ Ｎｾ ｾ＠ FPn '1fliT 1: I 35 ﾷ ｳｲｦｩｴ｣［ｾ＠ iii 'ifTc; "mn 1Tll1 fffi
35 ｾ＠
:Lxi • 7805 ｾ＠ _LR, = 1200

{f) ｸｾｬ＠ ｒｾ ﾷ ｾＧｃｎｉｬｩ＠ ｾｉ＠

flQ Cffl ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ "R· ｾ＠ ｾ＠ d ｾ ﾷ ｲ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ?Pfl ｾ＠ ftl'<ilti"l ifi1 ｓｵｾｦｈ＠

ｾ ｉ＠
ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ Ｓｬｦｩｭｾ＠ Jll11ilil'ii m 'Cfil ＦｩＡＺｉｅｻｃｊｾ＠ ifiUII' l tim ｾｐｩｬ＠ I lft:mt 220 ± 3 5 ';
en c p tl'if1 c rile <fij Ａｬ｣ｴｾ＠ .., ｾ＠ 1

(h 1: : D 3 0·76, D 4 = l ·924. ｾ＠ = 2·704, A2- == ＰＭＴＱＹｾ＠

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I
Control chArts for .and R are maintaine d for an importan t quality x
ch..'Uactc:ristlc. The saunple size is n = 7; ｾ｡ｮ､＠ Rare comput·cd f()r each sample:.
After gs samples. we have found that
35 JS
Ixi = 7sos ｾ､＠ Ｚｌｒ ｾ＠ = 1200

(i) Compute the ｾｮｴｲ｡ｬ＠ line and oonb'·oi limits for x and R charts.

(iiJ Assuming both charts exhibit ｣ｯｲｈｬｾ＠ estimate the process mean and
standard deviation.
(iii} Jf the:: quality ch-ata.cter istic is nor:mally distri butcd and if the
specificat ion limits are 220±35, estimatt=: Cp and Cp:;. ·
(Given ｾ＠ D3 = 0·76, D4 • 1·924, .d2 • 2 ·704 1 A 2 = 0·419) 20

4. Ia} ｦＮ｜ｐｾ･Ｆ｡＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 2000 ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 20 Ｑｾ＠ ij OOtfl ｾ＠ m ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ •

305, 425,, 430. 216, ＳＴＱｾ＠ 225, 322j 280, 301), 337. 356, 402 , 216. 264,
ll26. 409, 193, 326. ＲｾＰＮ＠ 390

ｾｭｱ［ＧＨＢｩｪｬｴｦＮｆ＠
ｾＷ＠
Tbe following figures give Ute number nf deft!ctives in 20 samples each
oon t.ain.ing 2000 item$ ;
30S.. 425. 430, 216. 341. 22-5, 322, '280. 306, 3J7, 356, 402, 216. 264.
126, 409, 193. 326, 280, 390
Can. we conclude tba.t the process is in oontro·l by setting up an appropda le
c-ontrol clam in a graph sheet? 15

(b) WJ'tlm ftttatM <bT ｾ＠ ｾ＠ t1 ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ * ｾ＠ "Slim ｾ＠ ｾＭ｡ｦｬ＠ CfiT E1'1NR ｾ＠

"iiJl ｾ＠ tl
ｦＮｴｱｾ｜ｭｩＥ＠ ｾ＠ ｢ ｾ｣ｯｩＮ＠ (6 Bl2J t
lliR 6 16) 7 ｾ＠ 9!1 ｾｴ Ｚ＠
ｊａｎｃｦｩ､ｾｗｉ＠ ｾ＠ Z 3xt + Ｒｸｾ＠
ｾ＠
x. ＫＲｾ＠ ｾＶ＠
Ｒｾ＠ + X'2 ｾ＠ 8
- x 1 +x 2 s1
.x2 ｾＲ＠
x 1• x 2 a: 0

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 What is the import.a.ru..--e of Ｆ･ｭｾｩ Ｎ ｴｩｶｹ＠ analysis ? Mention whal type of problem s
am ｢ｾ＠ resolved using it.
U:s;ing the foUowing linear program ming problem , show that the valu·e 6 of t:he
resource vectoT b • col. {6 a 1 2 ) can be in creased to 7 :
Maximiz e Z = 3x3 2x 2
subject to
x 1 + 2X2 ｾＶ＠

2.:c.1 + ｸｾ＠ ｾ＠ 8
- x 1 +x 2 ｾ＠ 1
X:a S 2
x 1, .x2 ｾＰ＠ 20

/c) ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｊｬｾｷＭＴｴ＠ ｾ ｩｴ＼ｬ Ｂｬ＠ ( 1000. 89, 2] - ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾＱｃｍｕ ｲ＠ >fit ｾＴｦ［Ｈｉ ｊ＠ Jlt ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠
ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 0·01 t 1m ＧｉｴｾＤ＠ ｡ｬｭｾ＠ [AOQ) tm lft ｾ ｉ＠

In a siqgle samplin g, ｰｬ｡ｮｾ＠ 1000, 89. 2), oo.mpute the probabil ity ,o f aooeptan oe
of the lot if the lot fraction defective i.s. 0·0 1. Abo compute Avetage Outgoin g
Quality (AOQ)' of the 1ot. 15

S. (a) OL-S (fQl GLS Ｓ｜ｴ ｬ ｬｦｩｾＱ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ ﾷ＠ ｾ＠ 1$ OLS ｾｬｩＡｦ＿＠ B·L UE ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠

Distingu ish ｢ｾｴｷ･ｮ＠ OLS and GLS estimatn rs. ShoW' that OLS estbnaOors. are
BLUEs. 10

(bJ ｜ｊｩＢｦｑｾＴ＠ ｾ＠ cttfi!fliii{UI ｾ＠ ti-i!!Mllll!1n 'iJ"ll fGJ"ll ｾ＠ . . ｾ＠ ｾ＠

Describe registmt ion and ·c ensus methods of dentog.raphi.c ､｡ｾＮ＠ cotleclio n. 10

(C) ｾ＿ｴＭｩｪｱｦ､Ｚｲ＠
ｾｬｦ ｾ＠
What is time series? Discuss various ｯｭｰｮｾｴｳ＠ of a t:i.m.e series and their
significa nces in contribu tirJ,g variation in the model. 10

fdl Ｇｴｬｦｾ［Ｚｩ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ I? ｾ＠ Ｇｩ Ｎｱ ｾ＠ tm ｾ＠ fii;l{ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｱｦ ｴＧｬｦｾ＠ ｾ ｡＠

ｾ Ｍ ｾ＠ ＱＨＭＮＺｴｾ ｩ ｾ＠ "ft ｾ＠ if-1 ｾ＠ >.f'i t?

What are the im:ponan ce5 of index number s? Def:me the diffen::nt tests an
ln.d ex number has to· satisfy. Which index numbers , sa.dsfy these tests? 10

(e) ｑｬｾＴ｟Ａｴ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ;$ ｾ＠ $ ﾷ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｦｴＴｾＢＱｬ＠ ｾ ｉ ｾ ﾷ ｾ＠ "iiT ifi!A·ｾ ｉ＠

Discuss the importa nce of scaling in SOOn'!:$ ｾ ｮ＠ psychom etry. Describe any two
scaling ｭ･ｴｨｯ､ｾＭ 10

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• 6. (a)
ｾ＠
ｾ
ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠
Ｍ ｾ
·i t
Ｍ ｾｩｒｬ
JOt ｬ ｾ､＠ 'f.fi1r. 'if) ｾ＠ ! :
ﾷ ｾ ｾｭｍ＼ｎｉ＠

l1frr : Ot- ］ｾＺｴ ｯ Ｌ＠ +«1-Pt Ｋ｡ｾｬ＠ +ull; ct1 < 0, «2 > 0

'ifcl = Ot • IP.o +fll11'1 ＭｲｾＧＲ ｾ Ｍｊ＠ + U2t i llt > o. ｾＲ＠ >0
Gh·en the ｦｵｬｯｷｩｮｾ＠ demand-and- supply model
Demand : 'Q1 =a. 0 Ｋ｡ｬｐｾ＠ Ｋ｡ Ｑ ｉＮｾＺ＠ + ｾｵ］＠ cx. 1 < 0, cx. 2 > 0
Supply : Ot • ｾ Ｐ＠ Ｋ ｾ Ｑ ｐｴ＠ · ｾ Ｒ ｾＭｬ＠ + U2il j ｾｊ＠ :> 0,1 ｾＮ｡＠ >0
construct t he. :reduced-rorm model and justify ｷｨｾｴ･ｲ＠ the paramcto.-s can be
estimated completely. 15

(bJ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾﾷｩＧｦ＠ ｾｵｲ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｦＮｴｾＴＱｩｱ［＠ -ij; ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾﾷ＠ ｾ＠ qfi'fln"i ·m 1l<fiR ｾ＠

ｾ＿＠ ｾＧｦＦｴ＠ ｾｩｲＱｦｴｄ ﾷ ｾｩｬｵ ｾ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾｴＮＡ＠

tm'f mf ｾ＠ (f'"ij)

ｾ＠ ｾ＠
1 1·26 120 135
2 0 ·35 135 156·

3 1·79 148 162

4 1·88 132 148

5 0·98 146 158
6 1·12 128 150

ＬＺｮ ｾ＠ Ql!it:i ｬｾｱＡ＠ ｾ＠ 't 5JU. ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 3illQR ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ tl,i4"4ti'*' ｾ＠ q11:"k1"t ｾ＠ ｾ＠

Distinguish between wholesale price index number a n d ｣ｯｮｳｵｭ･ｾｲ＠ price index
ｮｵｭ｢ｾｲＮ＠ How ｡ｲｾ＠ they calclll a:tcd ? The foUowing data relate to the wholesale
prices of six d!Hfe'r•e:nt pulses in June and December of a yecu :

Pu:lses Weight Price (in f'j1

June December
1 1·26 120 135
2 0 ·35 135 156
3 1·79 148 162
4 1·88 132 148
s 0·98 146 lSS
6 1.·1'.2 128 150

Calculate. the ｩｮ､ｾｸＺ＠ number fo!l" December- with J une as the base by weighted
a;ggr-c:gative- method. lS

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 (c} N ｱｴ｜ｾ＠ ｾ＠ kwii4floMdM ';Ji) ｾＧＢＱ Ｑ＠ ctl ｩﾥｾＧＱ＠ ｾ ﾷ＠ fttft liflfWJl% ｾＴＺｦｬ＼ｈＧｉ ｩ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠
tfftmq'T ｾｴ＠ llill ｒ｡ｴＤｾ＠ ffii ｾ＠ ｾ＠ o :rtqr l ｾ＠ ﾷ ｾ＠ lffirr ｾｉ＠ ｦｴ ｾ､ｯｦｬ ､ｬ＠ i(o:t!6illfi ｾ＠ 1'tm t!
ｾ｜ｦｪ＠ Ｐ＼Ｑｾ＠ 1 ｾｴ＿＠

Discuss. the= conoept or reliability of a rest . Define reliability .-atio of a test and
show that il is always between 0 and L Wha.t is the. index of reliability? ls it
also bou.nded by 0 and l? 20

3ff9 'i:Pf (ri ｾＩ＠ ｾａ＠ i!r ［ｦＧｴｩｾｊｬＴＱ＠ ｾａ＠ Ji ｾＧｦｵＱｮ＠ ｾ＠ ｾＢｦｩＧＨﾧｬｴ＠

ｾ＠ 2000 100 20000

5--10 1600 48 16000
lD-25 2400 24 24000
25-45 6{)00 30 60000
ＴＵｾ＠ 8{)00 104 aoooo

CaJcuJate (iJ crude ､｣ｾｴｨ＠ mte and (b) standardised death rates of Town A from
the following data :

Age GrmJp ｾｩｮ＠ years) Popr.dt;Jlian of Town A Deaths in. Town A Standard Populatio't
Q-5 2000 100 20000

5-10 1600 48 16000

10-25 2400 24 24000
25-45 6000 30 60000
45 and above 8000 104 80000

Are the two rates equal? lf ao, why? 15

(b} :r:rr-f ｉｾ ﾷ＠ A, B., c "ff'<'l! D ｾ Ｇ＠ ｾ＠ 'Sfilm; 90%. 800/.,, 70% ｾ＠ 60o/c c;qfit;zil m
ｾ＠ ｾ＠ "IPn I A tfifT B ｾ＠ ｾ＠ !tiid=idr t' mtt tG'1 ｾ＠ C tNt D if; 11UT ｃｦｬｾｩ［Ｘ＠ I ｾ＠ ｾ＠

ｾ ﾷ＠
S uppose there are four ｩｴ･ｭｾ＠ A, B, C and D ｲ･ｳｰｾｴｩｶ｣ｬｹ＠ passed by 90%, 80%,,
70% and 600Al o.f individu aJs. Compare the differences in difficulty between
A and B with the differenoes in difficulty between C and D. 15

.trr=-{).J'fl(!/13 8
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• ｾ＠ : ｾ＠
Table : CUmulative Normal Distribution
1'tWtFQ Ｑｩｬｾ＠

q(x) = r:c _l_e - t1/'2dt

J-..fii
X ·0<1 •()1 ·02 ·03 ·04 .05 ·06 ·07 ·08 · (lg
·0 ·5000 ·501110 ·5080 ·!5120 ·5160 ·5 199 ·5239 ·5279 ·5319 ·5359
·l 5J98 ·5438 ·5478 ·55l 7 ·5557 ·5596 ·S6J6 ·5675 ·5 71 4 ﾷ ＵＷ ＤＮＺｾ＠
ﾷ ｾ＠ ·S79J ·58:32 ·5871 ·59 ] 0 ·5948 ·5987 •{,026 ·6064 ·6103 -6141
·J ·6 179 52 17 ·6255 ·6293 ·63:4. -63-68 ·6400 ·64143 ·6480 ·65! 7
·4 ·6554 '6591 ·6628 ·6664 ·6700 ·67.J6 ·677:2 ·68.08 ·6344 ·6879

·5 ·69 15 -6950 ·6985 ·7019 ·'iOS-4 '7088 •7123 •7 1 57 ·7 l 90 ·7224

·6 •7257 ·7291 ·7324 •7357 ·738.9 ·7422 •715"11 ·7486 ·7.517 ·754 9
'7 •7580 ·76 11 ·764 2 ·7673 ·7704 ﾷＱＷｾＴ＠ · 7764 ·7794 ·782.3 ·7852
·8 ·7881 ·79 10 ·7939 ·7967 ·7995 ·.B.023 ﾷ ＸＰｾ Ｑ＠ ·8078 ·8106 -8 133
·9 •8 [ 59 ·8186 ·8212 ·8238 ·8264 ·8'289 ·8315 ·8340 ·8365 ·8389

1·0 ·8413 ·&438 ·8461 ·8485 ·6508 ·85-31 ·8554 ·8577 ·8599 ·862 1
1·1 ·8643 ·8665 8686 ·8 708 ·87'29 •8749 •8770 ·8790 ·8810 ·$830
1·2 ·8849 ·8B69 ·8888 ·8907 ·8925 •8944 ·8962 -8980 ·8991 -9015
1·3 ·9032 -904-9 ·9066 ·90S2 ·9(}99 ·91 1 5 ·9131 ·9147 ·9162 -9177
1·4 ·9192 -9-.207 ·9222 ·9236 ·9251 .g:26S 9279 ·9:29'2 ·9.306 -9319

1·5 ·9332 -934S ·9357 ·937 0 ·9382 ·9 ,;).«)4 ·9406 ·94 1 8 ﾷ ＹＴｾ＠ -9441
1·6 ·9452 -9<163 ·9 474 ·9484 ·9495 ·9505 ·9.51 s ·SIS25 ·9·5 35 ·9545
1·7 ·9554 -9S64 ·9§73 ·9582 .gsg• ·9599 ·96QJ-I ·9616 ·96'25 ·9633
ｨｾ＠ ·964 1 -9649 ·9656 -9664 ·967 1 ｾ Ｗ Ｘ＠ ·96ij6 ·9693 ·9699 ·9706
1 ·9 '97 13 -9719 ·9726 ·9732 ·9738 Ｍｾ Ｗ Ｔ＠ ·975o •9756 ·9761 ·9767

2 ·0 .1;)772 -9778 ·9783 ·97A8 ﾷＹＧＱｾ＠ -9798 ·9803 ·9808 ·981'2 -9817
2·l ·9821 ·9826 ·9830 ·98J4 ·(.]8.38 -9842 ·9846 ·9&50 -9854 -9857
2·2 ·9861 ｾＸＶＴ＠ ﾷ ｾＸＶ＠ ·9871 ·9875 -9878 ·9881 ·9884 ·9887 ·9890
2·3 ·9893 --9896 ·9898 ·990 1 ·9904 ·9906 ·9909 ·9911 ·9913 ·9916
2·4 o99 1H 9920 ·9922 ·9925 ·9927 -9929 ·9931 ·9932 ﾷ ｾＳＴ＠ ·9q36

2·5 Q9J8 -9940 ·9941 ·9943 ·9945 -9946 ·99'48 ·9949 ·9951 ·9952
2·6 ·9-95J ·9955 ·995C ·9957 ·9959 -9960 ·9961 ·9%2 ·9963 ·9964
2 •7 -9965 ·9966 ·9967 ·9968. ·9!)69 •9970 ·9911 ·9972 '9973 ·9974
2·B -9974 ·9975 ·9976 ·9977 ·9fffr •9978 ·9979 ·0079 ·9980 ·9981
2·9 ..g9Al -9982 ·9982 ·9983 ·99S4 ·9984 ·9985 ·9985 -9986 ·9986

3 ·0 •CJ<')A7 9987 ·9987 ·9988 ·9988 ·9989 ·9989 ·9989 •9990 ·9990
3·1 ·9990 "9991 ·9991 ·999 1 ·9992 ·9992 -9992 ,.(}992 .ggg3 ·9993
3·2 ·9993 ·9993 ·9994 ·9994 ·9994 ·9994 ·9994 ·9995 999S ·9995
3·3 ·9995 "9995 ·9995 ·9996 -9996 ·99g6 ·9996 -999n 9996 ·9997
3·4 <99-9"7 -9997 ·9997 ·9997 ·9997 ·9997 .(}1}97 Ｍ ｾＹＷ＠ ·9997 ·9998
}( 1·282 1•645 1•960 2 ·326 2 •576 3·090 3 ·291 3·89 1 4 ·417
Ｎｬｘｾ＠ ·90 ·95 ·97S ·99 ·995 ·999 ·9995 ·99995 ·999995
211- j)(A:)j 20 · 10 .()5 ·02 ·01 ·002 ·003 ·0001 -()00001

9 [ P.T.O.
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(c) ｾ＠
u f
ｾＭ＠
=pu, _1 Ｋｾ＠
ｖｬｦｾ＠
•• -1 <P <1 ｾ＠
ｾ＠ Yi Ｚｴ ｾ
-?1 ｴ＼ｩｑｾｬ＠
Ｑ＠ Ｋｾ Ｒ ｘ Ｑ Ｎ＠ +ut
tr
tR ｾ＠
ｾ＠ p ｾＶＵｬｴｩＨＢ＠
ｾ ｾ＠
ｾ＠
lfA ｾ＠
t nm ｾｮ＠
ｾ＠ u, ,
OLS
•
ｾ［Ｚｊｦｴ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｦＡｬ･ｩＧｊｾ＠ ｾ＠ t I p2 ｾ＠ ffiQ: ｾ＠ 3'fl<t>ctifi eRn ｾ＠ ｾｱｮ＠ )ftRQT

ifi1100 ｾ ｉ＠ ｭｾ＠ t1 ｾ＠ li ｾｑｦｬｩ＠ ［ｦｩｴｾ＠ ·-COOR ｓｬｾｭ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠

aYf1 w4i' ｾ＠ ｾ ｾ＠

Consider a two-variable ﾷ ｲ･ｧｳｾｩｯｮ＠ model Yt • f} 1 + t3 2 Xr + u 1 • Suppose t4r LS

a u tocorrelated as Ut = ｰｵｾ＠ 1 +E.l • - 1 <p <.1, where p is the ｡ｵｴｯ｣ｶｾｮ＠
｣ｯ･ｦｩｾＺｮ＠ t ｾ Ｎ ｣ｬ＠ £ 1 is the stochastic disturbance tc::nn satisfying OL-S
ras:sumptions. Obtain an cstimat·e for ｾ Ｒ＠ and its cort'esponding variance. Also
discuss the Durbin-Watson statistic for- detecting autocorrelation in the modeL
and its interpretation. 20

Describe ｴｨ･ｾ＠ Box-Jenkins methodology to identify a partkular time series

modd . 15

{b} ｾ＠ lJR'Uft -.p:n ｾ ＿＠ ｾ ﾷ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ -aRUft ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾ＠ 1ｦＮｲｒｾＦ＠ ｾ＠

ｾｴｩｬ ｾ＠

X loll d1( t:lx LK TJC eo:t:

83 3560 ? 0· 16 ? ? ?
84 '? ? 0·17 '? 11975 ?

Whut is a life table? Distinguish between a complete life table and an abridged
life table. Complete the following life lQ.ble ;

X fx d x. qjt' L]C Tx eoX

83 3560 7 0 ·16 ? ? ?
84 ? ? 0' 17 ? 11975 ? 20

(c) $ +iifi?zi<Q ｾ＠ 1R, ｾ＠ ｾ＠ ｾＮ＠ ｾＱ＠ Ｈｊｾ＠ ｾ＼ｦＮＩ＠ qoffi ｾＮ＠ ｾ＠ ｭＭｾ＠ ｾ＠ I
I

ｾ Writeﾷ＠ a brief note on National Statistical Commission s.ta.ting the compcments,

functions and objectives of each. 15

.....
10 BS9-18
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