ASSUMPTION SHEET 01

SUBJECT: QRA Study Project Scope

PURPOSE: To define QRA Study boundaries

DESCRIPTION: The scope of this QRA study comprises drilling of four (4)
exploratory/appraisal wells i.e. XF001, XF002, XF003 and XF004
respectively including well testing and as required, perforation, flow
units testing and establishment of stabilized flow rates.

The well locations are provided below.

O Well East Nort Eastin Northi Lat Long

bj ing hing g ng
ec
t
1 XF00 5 2 588 265 24.0 51.8
1 8 6 617. 566 105 713
8 5 410 3.27 004 141
5 5 5 8 5 9
2 2
1 4
3
51.774
2 XF00 5 2 578 270 24.4
7463
2 7 7 503. 822 857
8 0 270 5.57 324
4 7 8 7 1
0 8
7 0
5
51.847
3 XF00 5 2 586 267 24.1
01214
3 8 6 052. 110 501
5 7 371 9.36 385
9 0 4 8 1
5 6
6 8
9
51.785
4 XF00 5 2 579 269 24.3
56322
4 7 6 689. 236 424
9 9 301 3.48 222
5 1 5 6 7
9 9
3 4
3
 The main objectives of the QRA study are to demonstrate that the risks
associated with the Drilling operations are within the ADNOC
acceptability risk criteria accordingly Location Specific Risk, Individual
Risk, Group Risk (If applicable) and PLL shall be determined.
This QRA study will also estimate the escalation/impairment
assessment of HSECES & EER measures and further demonstrate the
availability/adequacy of EER measures.
REFERENCES:1). Scope of Work for HSE Impact Assessment Studies for Area 1
Offshore Drilling

ASSUMPTION SHEET 02

SUBJECT: Process Parameters and Stream Composition

PURPOSE: To define the operating conditions & process parameters of the system that will be used in the
consequence modeling.

DESCRIPTION: Reservoir fluid composition for XF001 is provided below. As agreed with COMPANY same
composition will be used for XF002, XF003, XF004.

The operating condition for XF001 is provided based on the email from COMPANY. The
operating condition for other wells to be provided.
Flow Rate)
XF001 268 5210 3.5” TBA TBA
XF002 TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA
 XF003 TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA
XF004 TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA

REFERENCES: 1). Email from COMPANY dated 8th April 2019 and 6th May 2019

ASSUMPTION SHEET 03

SUBJECT: Meteorological Data

PURPOSE: To state the meteorological data that will be used as an input for the modeling.
DESCRIPTION: Ambient Conditions
 Summer Average Shade Temperature: 36°C;
 Relative Humidity: 60%;
 Stability Classes and Wind Speeds: F-2and D-5 (whichever have worse impact will be
reported);
 Solar Radiation: 946 W/m2;
Wind Frequency Data
The wind rose for the project location is shown in figure.

Wind Rose Diagram (Abu Dhabi International Airport)

REFERENCES: 1). Email from COMPANY dated 8th April 2019

SUBJECT: Isolatable Section

PURPOSE: To define the methodology for isolating section & inventories in the project.
DESCRIPTION: Typical Isolatable sections defined for the project scope for respective wells are provided in the
below table.
Legend:

Notes:

 All the ABOVE mentioned Blowout and well release scenarios are modelled as two main
categories i.e.; Sea-level gas plume formation (Flash fire, Toxic gas dispersion and Sea pool
fires) and Release at topsides i.e. splash zone, riser, well head (Jet fire, Flash fire, Explosion,
Toxic gas dispersion).

 All the major releases i.e. blowouts are modelled as Full flow (TBA kg/s) in Horizontal and
vertical directions releases.

 All the well releases are modelled as choked flow (20% of full flow) in Horizontal and vertical
directions releases.

 Further the blowouts and well releases will be modelled at Sea level, main deck floor, drill &
derrick floor and shale shake levels.

 All the LOC scenarios associated with well-testing are considered to be on Main deck floor.
REFERENCES: 1). OGP Report No. – 434-2, March 2010 for Blowout Frequencies; and
2). SINTEF 2006, Blowout and Well Release Characteristics and Frequencies, 2006, Report No.
STF50 F06112.
 ASSUMPTION SHEET 05

SUBJECT: Hazard Scenarios

PURPOSE: To define a preliminary list of hazards that will be assessed within the QRA

DESCRIPTION: The following list of hazards will be considered in the QRA, where applicable :
 Loss of containment from process equipment, resulting in the following consequences:
o Jet Fire;
o Un-ignited releases of flammable gas dispersion (flash fire);
o Un-ignited releases of toxic gas dispersion (H2S); and
o Sub Sea Release;
Jet Fire
Jet fires (vapour) will be modelled using DNV recommended method in the software taking into
consideration of horizontal releases (without impingement). Based on the impact criteria,
downwind distances to various thermal radiation levels will be reported.

Flash Fire
Flash fires caused by delayed ignition of the flammable gas cloud in uncongested area are
represented by LFL (flammable gases dispersion). Flammable gas with a concentration of LFL
and ½ LFL will be reported using contours. The flammable gas dispersion will be based on the
Unified Dispersion Model, which treats all accidental release (dispersion) in a similar manner e.g.
concentration, velocity, and temperature with smooth transitions from one stage to the next
adopted by PHAST 8.11.

Toxic Gas Dispersion

Un-ignited toxic gas dispersion i.e. H2S will be modelled using PHAST 8.11 considering the
concentration of interest.

Sub Sea Release

Gas release from subsea pipeline will be modelled as per OGP guideline [5]. For gas releases
subsea [5], a common assumption is that the diameter of the plume at the sea surface is 20% of
the water depth at the release point, regardless of the gas flow rate. This diameter together with
the gas flow rate can then be used as input to a Gaussian plume model in Phast software.

Along with gas plum modelling as described above, sea pool fire scenario will be modelled in. It is
assumed that the pool diameter formed at the surface of the sea is 20% of the depth of the
source of release, irrespective of the flowrate of the fluid
REFERENCES: 1). ADNOCCOPV5-03 – Code of practices on Qualitative and Quantitative Risk Assessment
2). ADNOC-COPV4-10 – Management of H2S
3). Spouge J., “A Guide to Quantitative Risk Assessment for Offshore Installations,” DNV
Technica, CMPT 1999, Publication 99/100a, ISBN I 870553 365.

ASSUMPTION SHEET 06

SUBJECT: Hole Sizes Distribution

PURPOSE: To define release cases to represent a small leak, medium leak and large leak respectively as
well as a full bore rupture.

DESCRIPTION: Well release and Blowout scenarios for subsea and topsides have been modelled standalone.
The required base failure frequencies were taken from OGP [Ref.1]. Whereas for the LOC
scenarios of onboard Well testing equipment, the generic failure frequencies for Pressure
Vessels (3-Phase separator) based on OGP process release frequencies [Ref.2] will be
considered.
The following leak sizes have been considered for the risk estimates for the well testing
equipment [Ref .3]:
• S for Small (7 mm)
• M for Medium (33 mm),
• L for Large (76 mm) and;
• FBR for Full bore rupture.

REFERENCES: 1). OGP Report No. – 434-2, March 2010 for Blowout Frequencies
2). OGP, “Process Release Frequencies,” Risk Assessment Data Directory,
International Association of Oil & Gas Producers, Report No. 434-1, March 2010
3). ZADCO (now ADNOC Offshore) QRA Procedure – Z0000-GL-GEN-N-0011-XXX, Rev A0
 ASSUMPTION SHEET 07

SUBJECT: Base Failure Frequencies

PURPOSE: To identify and present the failure frequencies to be used for the risk assessment in this QRA
study.

DESCRIPTION: The blowout frequencies are listed in OGP database [Ref.1] for offshore operations for North Sea
and same is considered the best possible data for Abu Dhabi continental shelf because of the
similar stringent and best practices as north sea in this part of the world.

The failure frequencies for the Test Separator to be used for well testing will be cited from
OGP’s Risk Assessment Data Directory: “Process Release Frequencies,” Risk
Assessment Data Directory, International Association of Oil & Gas Producers, Report 434-1,
March 2010

REFERENCES: 1). OGP Report No. – 434-2, March 2010 for Blowout Frequencies
2). OGP, “Process Release Frequencies,” Risk Assessment Data Directory,
International Association of Oil & Gas Producers, Report 434-1, March 2010

ASSUMPTION SHEET 08

SUBJECT: Release Location and Event Tree

PURPOSE: To fix the release location/direction of the fluid in case of Blow Out and Well release and evaluate
the event tree.

DESCRIPTION: The assumptions regarding location of release (i.e. topside or subsea) and release direction are
given below.
 Based on the OGP Blowout frequencies [Ref.1], the subsea fraction is taken as 0.39 and
topsides as 0.61.
 Probability of Blowout/well release to happen with drill pipe (through annulus) is 72% [Ref:
SINTEF 1983: Risk of Oil & gas Blowout on the Norwegian continental shelf, Report STF
88A82062, Ship Research institute of Norway, Trondheim].
  Equal probability of Horizontal / vertical release is considered i.e. 0.5 for each release
direction.
 All well leaks are expected to be within the category choked flow.
 The even trees developed for the different events related to Blowouts and well releases are
presented respectively in the below Figure.

 ASSUMPTION SHEET 07
Probability of
Probability of FullFlow/
Blowout Topsides/ blowout Scenario- Scenario Scenario
Horizontal/Vertical Choked Percentage
Frequency Subsea with/without ID Decription frequency
Release flow
drill pipe

0.61 B-1 BO-TS-ANS-H-FF 4.15E-05 13.40%

0.5 0.39 B-2 BO-TS-ANS-H-CF 2.65E-05 8.56%

0.72 0.61 B-3 BO-TS-ANS-V-FF 4.15E-05 13.40%

0.5
0.39 B-4 BO-TS-ANS-V-CF 2.65E-05 8.56%

0.61 0.61 B-5 BO-TS-OW-H-FF 1.61E-05 5.21%

0.5 0.39 B-6 BO-TS-OW-H-CF 1.03E-05 3.33%

0.28
0.61 B-7 BO-TS-OW-V-FF 1.61E-05 5.21%
0.5
0.39 B-8 BO-TS-OW-V-CF 1.03E-05 3.33%

3.10E-04
0.61 B-9 BO-SS-ANS-H-FF 2.65E-05 8.56%

0.5 0.39 B-10 BO-SS-ANS-H-CF 1.70E-05 5.48%

0.72 0.61 B-11 BO-SS-ANS-V-FF 2.65E-05 8.56%

0.5
0.39 B-12 BO-SS-ANS-V-CF 1.70E-05 5.48%
0.39
0.61 B-13 BO-SS-OW-H-FF 1.03E-05 3.33%

Where; 0.5 0.39 B-14 BO-SS-OW-H-CF 6.60E-06 2.13%

BO Blowout 0.28
TS Topsides 0.61 B-15 BO-SS-OW-V-FF 1.03E-05 3.33%
SS Subsea 0.5
ANS Annulus (with drill 0.39 B-16 BO-SS-OW-V-CF 6.60E-06 2.13%
pipe)
OW Openwell (without drill pipe)
H Horizontal
V Vertical
FF Full Flow
CF Choked Flow

Well Probability of
Probability of
Release Topsides/ Wellrelease Scenario- Scenario Scenario
Horizontal/Vert Percentage
Frequenc Subsea with/without ID Decription frequency
ical Release
y drill pipe

WR-1 WR-TS-ANS-H 5.49E-04 21.96%

0.5
 0.7 0.5 WR-2 WR-TS-ANS-V 5.49E-04 21.96%

0.61 WR-3 WR-TS-OW-H 2.14E-04 8.54%

0.3 0.5
0.5 WR-4 WR-TS-OW-V 2.14E-04 8.54%

2.50E-03
WR-5 WR-SS-ANS-H 3.51E-04 14.04%
0.5
0.7 0.5 WR-6 WR-SS-ANS-V 3.51E-04 14.04%
0.39
WR-7 WR-SS-OW-H 1.37E-04 5.46%
0.3 0.5
0.5 WR-8 WR-SS-OW-V 1.37E-04 5.46%
WR WELL RELEASE
TS Topsides
SS Subsea
ANS Annulus (with drill pipe)
OW Openwell (without drill pipe)
H Horizontal
V Vertical

Figure 9.2: Event Tree Analysis – Well Release

REFERENCES: 1). OGP Report No. – 434-2, March 2010 for Blowout Frequencies
2). SCANDPOWERL Llyods Register, “SINTEF offshore Blowout Database for 2012, Report
No: 19.101.001.8/2012/R3, Date 4-Feb-2013