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Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems: A Checklist
Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems: A Checklist
A Checklist
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1
Foreword
Early warning is a major element of disaster risk systems, disaster risk reduction strategies and
reduction. It can prevent loss of life and reduce government policies. It states “in order to reduce
the economic and material impacts of hazardous disaster risk, there is a need to address existing
events including disasters. To be effective, early challenges and prepare for future ones by focus-
warning systems need to actively involve the ing on monitoring, assessing and understanding
people and communities at risk from a range of disaster risk and sharing such information and on
hazards, facilitate public education and awareness how it is created; strengthening disaster risk gov-
of risks, disseminate messages and warnings effi- ernance and coordination across relevant insti-
ciently and ensure that there is a constant state tutions and sectors and the full and meaningful
of preparedness and that early action is enabled. participation of relevant stakeholders at appropri-
ate levels”. The Framework aims to achieve “the
The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduc-
substantial reduction of disaster risk and losses in
tion 2015–2030 – the successor instrument to the
lives, livelihoods and health and in the economic,
Hyogo Framework for Action 2005–2015: Building
physical, social, cultural and environmental assets
the Resilience of Nations and Communities to
of persons, businesses, communities and coun-
Disasters – recognizes the benefits of multi-haz-
tries” (Figure 1).
ard early warning systems and enshrines them in
one of its seven global targets (target (g)): “Sub-
Early warning will also contribute to sustainable
stantially increase the availability of and access to
development. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable
multi-hazard early warning systems and disaster
Development addresses early warning and gives
risk information and assessments to people by
it an important role across the Sustainable Devel-
2030”. 1
opment Goals, such as in food security, healthy
The Sendai Framework urges a paradigm shift in lives, resilient cities, environmental management
the way risk information is developed, assessed and climate change adaptation. The Paris Agree-
and utilized in multi-hazard early warning ment stipulates early warning systems as one of
Policies and practices for disaster risk reduction should be based on an understanding
of disaster risk in all its dimensions of vulnerability, capacity, exposure of persons and
assets, hazard characteristics and the environment.
Figure 1. The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030 has four priorities for action that
encompass activities at local, national, regional and global levels.
2 MULTI-HAZARD EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS
the major focus areas in order to enhance adap- Conference, a consultation process among the
tive capacity, strengthen resilience, reduce vulner- IN-MHEWS partners further refined the checklist,
ability and minimize loss and damages associated resulting in the present document. It is anticipated
with the adverse effects of climate change. that this checklist will be updated as technologies
develop, advances in multi-hazard early warning
This checklist is a key outcome of the first
systems are made and feedback from the users is
Multi-hazard Early Warning Conference,
received.
which was organized by the International Net-
work for Multi-hazard Early Warning Systems The checklist, which is structured around the four
(IN-MHEWS) 2 from 22 to 23 May 2017 in Cancún, key elements of early warning systems, aims
Mexico. It updates the original document, Devel- to be a simple list of the main components and
oping Early Warning Systems: A Checklist, which actions to which national governments, commu-
was produced as an outcome of the Third Interna- nity organizations and partners within and across
tional Conference on Early Warning: From Concept all sectors can refer when developing or evaluat-
to Action, held from 27 to 29 March 2006 in Bonn, ing early warning systems. It is not intended to
Germany. 3 Through the lens of the Sendai Frame- be a comprehensive design manual, but instead
work, it incorporates the acknowledged benefits a practical, non-technical reference tool to ensure
of multi-hazard early warnings systems, disaster that the major elements of an effective early warn-
risk information and enhanced risk assessments. ing system are in place.
Following the first Multi-hazard Early Warning
End-to-end, people-centred
multi‑hazard early warning systems
In 2017, Member States of the United Nations as expected. This enables the system to benefit
agreed on the definition of an early warning sys- from the incorporation of traditional indigenous
tem as “an integrated system of hazard moni- knowledge concerning hazards; geospatial tech-
toring, forecasting and prediction, disaster risk nologies to ensure that information on exposed
assessment, communication and preparedness elements is up to date; the latest information and
activities, systems and processes that enables communication technologies to facilitate com-
individuals, communities, governments, busi- munication among all stakeholders and to ensure
nesses and others to take timely action to reduce that warnings reach those at risk; and periodic
disaster risks in advance of hazardous events”. 4 improvements to the system based on the sys-
tematization of incorporating lessons learned
The annotation to the definition explains that
from its routine operation. The system should take
“[m]ulti-hazard early warning systems address
advantage of regional and global capacities and
several hazards and/or impacts of similar or dif-
support mechanisms.
ferent type in contexts where hazardous events
may occur alone, simultaneously, cascadingly or The system must also reside in an enabling envi-
cumulatively over time, and taking into account the ronment which incorporates good governance,
potential interrelated effects. A multi-hazard early has adequate operational capacities, has clearly
warning system with the ability to warn of one or defined roles and responsibilities for all stake-
more hazards increases the efficiency and consis- holders, is adequately resourced and has effec-
tency of warnings through coordinated and com- tive operational plans such as standard operating
patible mechanisms and capacities, involving mul- procedures.5 Standard operating procedures
tiple disciplines for updated and accurate hazards outline the tasks to be conducted as part of the
identification and monitoring for multiple hazards”. routine operation of the system, define the roles
of different stakeholders at different times and
The term “multi-hazard” is defined as “(1) the
facilitate the decision-making process, including
selection of multiple major hazards that the coun-
the delegation of authority to those who must
try faces, and (2) the specific contexts where haz-
make decisions on short notice when the nomi-
ardous events may occur simultaneously, cascad-
nated decision-makers cannot be reached in case
ingly or cumulatively over time, and taking into
of sudden-onset events. These should be tested
account the potential interrelated effects. Hazards
regularly and include a feedback process which
include (as mentioned in the Sendai Framework
enables continuous improvement of the system
for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030, and listed
(Figure 2).
in alphabetical order) biological, environmental,
geological, hydrometeorological and technologi-
cal processes and phenomena”. The four elements
A people-centred multi-hazard early warning See Figure 3 for a schematic representation of the
system empowers individuals and communities four elements.
threatened by hazards to act in sufficient time and
in an appropriate manner to reduce the possibil- Disaster risk knowledge
ity of personal injury and illness, loss of life and
Risks arise from the combination of hazards,
damage to property, assets and the environment.
exposure of people and assets to the hazards
All stakeholders should work together to ensure and their vulnerabilities and coping capacities
that multi-hazard early warning systems operate at a particular location. Assessments of these
4 MULTI-HAZARD EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS
!
monitoring, analysis and forecasting of Government
Local to National
the hazards and possible consequences
transportation
Hazard[s] multi-risk Warnings (road ice, street flooding,
General public
• Observation Assessment and • Probability agriculture producti-
quantification of affecting vity and food security
• Monitoring
of: people and (frost, hail, flooding, etc.)
• Analysis assets
• Exposure and energy supply
• Forecasting vulnerability • Possible & demand, protection
• Mapping of people impacts (heat and cold waves,
and assets to • Message
severe storms, etc.)
hazards targeted at health epidemics
• Multi-hazard different (excessive rainfall, cold
interactions sectors spells, heatwaves, etc.)
water resource
Institutional partnerships are essential among technical management
agencies and other MHEWS stakeholders for the (excessive rainfall,
drought, etc.)
development of hazard, exposure and vulnerability
!
risks require systematic collection and analysis location of vulnerable groups, critical infrastruc-
of data and should consider the dynamics and ture and assets, to design evacuation strategies
compounding impacts of hazards coupled with including evacuation routes and safe areas, and
vulnerabilities resulting from unplanned urban- to expand warning messages to include possi-
ization, changes in rural land use, environmen- ble impacts. For example, maps based on risk
tal degradation and climate change. The level of assessments help to motivate people, prioritize
risk can change depending on the actual impacts needs and interventions and guide preparations
and consequences of hazards. Therefore, the risk for disaster risk management measures, including
assessment must include an assessment of the prevention, preparedness and response.
community’s coping and adaptive capacities. It
is also important to gauge the perception of the Detection, monitoring, analysis and
level of risk faced by those who are vulnerable. 6 forecasting of the hazards and possible
Studies of human interaction and reactions to consequences
warnings can also provide insights to improve
the performance of early warning systems. Risk Warning services lie at the core of an early warn-
assessments should be used to identify the ing system. There must be a sound scientific basis
A CHECKLIST 5
to the system and reliable technology for (i) mon- Warning dissemination and communication
itoring and detecting hazards in real time or near
real time; and (ii) providing forecasts and warn- Warnings must reach those at risk. Clear mes-
ings 24 hours a day, 365 days a year. It must also sages containing simple, useful and usable infor-
be monitored and staffed by qualified people. mation are critical to enable proper preparedness
and response by organizations and communities
Continuous monitoring of hazard parameters and that will help safeguard lives and livelihoods.
their precursors (when available for a particular Trust is a big part of effective risk communica-
hazard) is essential to generate accurate warnings tion. If the information source cannot be trusted,
in a timely fashion that allow sufficient time for those at risk may not respond proactively to the
the affected community or communities to enact warnings – and it takes a long time to establish
their disaster management plans appropriate for trust.7 Regional, national and local communica-
that hazard. The systems used for detection and tion systems must be pre-identified and appro-
monitoring, which could be automated, should priate authoritative voices established. The use of
allow for strict quality control of the data under multiple communication channels is necessary to
international standards when these are avail- ensure as many people as possible are warned, to
able. Warning services should have a multi-haz- avoid failure of any one channel, and to reinforce
ard perspective (e.g. heavy rainfall may not only the warning message.
trigger flooding but also landslides, the warning
for which may come from a separate authority) There are numerous standards and protocols
and be coordinated whenever possible to gain used by alerting authorities to transmit warnings.
the benefit of shared institutional, procedural and The Common Alerting Protocol is an international
communication networks and capacities. Data, standard format for emergency alerting and public
forecasts and warnings should be archived in a warning, developed by the International Telecom-
standardized way to support post-event analysis munication Union and promoted by a number of
and improvements of the system over time. agencies. It is designed for “all-hazards”, that is,
6 MULTI-HAZARD EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS
hazards related to weather events, earthquakes, involved in all aspects of the establishment and
tsunamis, volcanoes, public health, power out- operation of early warning systems, be aware of
ages, and many other emergencies. the hazards and potential impacts to which they
are exposed, and be able to take actions to min-
Preparedness and response capabilities imize the threat of loss or damage. They should
take ownership of these systems.
It is essential that people understand their risks,
respect the national warning service and know Local governments are also at the centre of
how to react to the warning messages. Education effective early warning systems. They should
and preparedness programmes play a key role. It be empowered by national governments, have
is also essential that disaster management plans considerable knowledge of the hazards to which
include evacuation strategies that are well prac- their communities are exposed and be actively
ticed and tested. People should be well informed involved in the design and maintenance of early
on options for safe behaviour to reduce risks and warning systems. They must understand advi-
protect their health, know available evacuation sory information received and be able to advise,
routes and safe areas and know how best to avoid instruct and engage the local population in a man-
damage to and loss of property. ner that increases public safety and reduces the
possible loss of resources on which the commu-
Key actors nity depends.
coordination, standardization and support for disseminated via the mass media. This enables
national early warning activities and foster the fast transmission of vital information to a large
exchange of data and knowledge between individ- number of people in a very short time.
ual countries and regions. Support may include
The private sector has a diverse role to play in
providing advisory information, technical assis-
early warning, including the development of early
tance, and policy and organizational assistance
warning capabilities by private organizations. The
necessary to aid the development and operational
private sector also has significant potential to help
capabilities of national authorities or agencies.
provide skilled services in the form of technical
personnel, know-how or donations (in-kind and
Other key actors
cash) of goods or services.
Non-governmental organizations help raise The academic community is crucial for providing
awareness among individuals, communities and specialized scientific and technical input to assist
organizations involved in early warning, particu- governments and communities in developing and
larly at the community level. They can also assist improving early warning systems. Its expertise is
with implementing early warning systems and central to analysing natural hazards, vulnerabili-
preparing communities for natural disasters. In ties, exposure and risks, supporting the design of
addition, they can play an important advocacy scientific and systematic monitoring and warning
role to help ensure that early warning stays on services, supporting data exchange, translating
the agenda of government policymakers. scientific or technical information into compre-
The media plays a vital role in improving the hensible messages, enhancing warning messages
disaster consciousness of the general population with additional information on potential impacts
and disseminating early warnings. While some based on knowledge of the location of exposed
communication channels are designed to reach elements and their degree and type of vulnerabil-
users directly via sirens, mobile phones and web- ity,8 and disseminating understandable warnings
sites, for example, most disaster information is to those at risk.
8 MULTI-HAZARD EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS
The checklist
Disaster risk knowledge
Comprehensive information on all the dimensions of disaster risk, including hazards, exposure, vul-
nerability and capacity, related to persons, communities, organizations and countries and their assets
Key actors: National, subnational and local disaster management agencies; scientific and technical
agencies such as meteorological and hydrological organizations, health authorities and geophysical
agencies; engineers; land use and urban planners; researchers and academics (including from social
science); organizations and community representatives involved in disaster/emergency and disaster
risk management.
1. Are key hazards and related threats Vulnerabilities of key economic sectors at national
identified? to local levels assessed
Characteristics of key hazards (e.g. geographical Historical and indigenous knowledge integrated
extent, magnitude, intensity, disease transmissi- into risk assessments
bility, frequency, probability), including possible
Activities that increase or compound risks (e.g.
cascading hazardous events, are analysed, his-
urbanization and land use) identified and evaluated
torical data evaluated and potential future risks
assessed Risk assessment results integrated into local risk
management plans and warning messages in a
Hazard maps (dynamic and multi-hazard, when
clear and easy-to-understand language with atten-
possible) are developed that identify the geograph-
tion to how different people assess information
ical areas/people that could be affected by hazards
Legislation and cultural norms assessed to identify
2. Are exposure, vulnerabilities, capacities gaps that may increase vulnerability
and risks assessed?
3. Are roles and responsibilities of
Assessment and quantification of exposed people, stakeholders identified?
services (e.g. hospitals) and critical infrastructure
(e.g. electricity and water works, quality of building Key national government agencies involved in
stock) conducted and mapped for all relevant risk assessments (including hazard, vulnerability
hazards, as well as of any compounding risks, and capacity assessments) are identified and
at local level in both rural and urban areas and roles defined
coastlines
Legislation or government policy mandating the
Impacts to critical infrastructure and secondary preparation of hazard, vulnerability and capacity
risks associated with these impacts are evaluated, assessments for all areas are in place
and risk management solutions considered to
increase resilience Responsibility for coordinating hazard identifica-
tion and risk information (exposure, social and
Vulnerability factors such as gender, disability, physical vulnerability and capacity) assigned to
access to infrastructure, economic diversity, soci- one national organization with a view to consol-
etal inequalities and environmental sensitivities idating approaches and monitoring linkages and
considered cascading impacts
A CHECKLIST 9
Process developed for scientific and technical 5. Is risk information properly incorporated
experts to assess and review the accuracy of risk into the early warning system?
data and information
Information on the geographical extent of hazards
Process developed to actively engage rural and used to define safe areas and evacuation zones
urban communities in local hazard and risk assess-
ments taking into consideration the needs of all Risk information on vulnerable groups (hazard,
people (women, children, older people, people exposure, differential vulnerability) used to identify
with disabilities, etc.) and define evacuation routes and location of
temporary shelters
4. Is risk information consolidated?
Risk information on different types of assets
Central standardized repository (including but reviewed to outline procedures to minimize dam-
not limited to a Geographic Information System) age or loss of such assets once a warning is issued
established to store all event/disaster and risk Process established for continuous update on new
information or emerging risks (e.g. due to urban expansion or
National standards (where possible, following establishment of new settlements) and potential
international standards) established for the sys- changes to some hazards (due to changes in land
tematic collection, sharing and assessment of risk use) to update safe areas, evacuation zones and
information and data related to hazards, exposures, shelters
vulnerabilities and capacities
Key actors: National and local disaster management agencies; scientific and technical agencies such
as meteorological and hydrological organizations, health authorities, ocean observing organizations
and geophysical agencies; universities and research institutes; private sector equipment suppliers;
telecommunication authorities; security experts; military authorities; quality management experts;
regional technical centres
1. Are there monitoring systems in place? 2. Are there forecasting and warning
services in place?
Monitoring network established that monitors
hazards that impact the country Data analysis and processing, modelling, predic-
tion and warning products generated based on
Measurement parameters and specifications doc- accepted scientific and technical methodologies
umented for each relevant hazard and disseminated within international standards
Technical equipment, suited to local conditions and protocols
and circumstances, in place and personnel trained New data analysis and processing, modelling,
in its use and maintenance prediction and warning products can be integrated
Monitoring data received, processed and available easily in the system as science and technology
in an interoperable format in real time or near evolve
real time Warning centres are operational at all times
Monitoring data and metadata routinely curated (24 hours/day, seven days/week) and staffed by
with quality controls, archived and accessible trained personnel following appropriate national
for verification, research purposes and other and international standards
applications Warning messages are clear, consistent and include
Monitoring hardware and software maintenance risk and impact information and are designed with
conducted routinely and costs and resources consideration for linking threat levels to emergency
considered from the beginning to ensure optimal preparedness and response actions
operation of the system over time Software and data analysis for the received data
The system is able to combine and benefit from updated periodically and to high security standards
new and older technology allowing for exchange The state of the monitoring and data analysis
of data among countries with different technical systems continuously monitored for any data gaps,
capabilities connection issues or processing issues
Process established to verify that warnings have Agreements and interagency protocols established
reached the principal stakeholders and people within country for exchange of monitoring systems
at risk data and baseline data needed for certain data
products (e.g. bathymetric and topographic data
Mechanisms in place to inform people when the for tsunami modelling)
threat and its impacts have ended
Agreements and interagency protocols established
Operational processes, including data quality and to ensure consistency of warning language and
warning performance, are routinely monitored communication responsibilities where different
and evaluated hazards are handled by different agencies
Fail-safe systems in place, such as power backup, A multi-hazard coordination strategy established
equipment redundancy and on-call personnel to obtain mutual efficiencies and effectiveness
systems among different warning systems
Strategies developed to build credibility and trust Warning system partners, including local authori-
in warnings (e.g. understanding difference between ties and the media, are aware of and respect which
forecasts and warnings) organizations are responsible for generation and
False alarms minimized and improvements com- issuance of warnings
municated to maintain trust in the warning system Cross-border exchange of warnings and observa-
Warning and forecast archival processes and tion data realized through bilateral/ multilateral
systems in place agreements, especially for concerns such as tropi-
cal cyclones, floods, diseases, shared basins, data
exchange, and technical capacity-building
3. Are there institutional mechanisms in
place?
Warning dissemination
and communication
Communication and dissemination systems (including the development of last-mile connectivity) ensur-
ing people and communities receive warnings in advance of impending hazard events, and facilitating
national and regional coordination and information exchange
Key actors: National and local disaster management agencies; scientific and technical agencies
such as meteorological and hydrological organizations, health authorities and geophysical agencies;
military and civil authorities; telecommunication organizations (e.g. national telecommunication reg-
ulators, satellite and mobile-cellular network operators), media organizations (e.g. television, radio
and social media) and amateur radio; businesses in vulnerable sectors (e.g. tourism, care facilities
for older people, marine vessels); community-based and grassroots organizations; international and
United Nations agencies.
3. Are impact-based early warnings Early warnings should take into account the differ-
communicated effectively to prompt ent risks and needs of subpopulations, including
action by target groups? differential vulnerabilities (urban and rural, women
and men, older people and youth, people with
Warning messages provide clear guidance to disabilities, etc.)
trigger reactions (e.g. evacuation)
Public and other stakeholders are aware of which
In the case of events with a short time-frame for authorities issue the warnings and trust their
reaction (e.g. earthquake early warning), automated message
systems should be in place to mitigate impacts
(e.g. automatic stop of transport, activation of red
lights in tunnels, stopping elevators on the closest
floor, opening of fire-truck gates, etc.)
Key actors: National and local disaster management agencies; scientific and technical agencies such
as meteorological and hydrological organizations, health authorities, ocean observing organizations
and geophysical agencies; military and civil authorities; humanitarian and relief organizations (e.g.
National Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies); schools; universities; informal education sector;
media organizations (e.g. television, radio and social media); businesses in vulnerable sectors (e.g.
tourism, care facilities for older people, marine vessels); non-governmental organizations, commu-
nity-based and grassroots organizations; international and United Nations agencies
Early action and response options across time and People educated on how warnings will be dis-
geographical scales are linked to the provision of seminated, which sources are reliable and how
funding to support them to respond
Strategies implemented to maintain preparedness Utilization of the most effective media (e.g. estab-
for longer return-periods and cascading hazard lished broadcasting media, social networks, alter-
events native media) to improve public awareness
Protocols incorporated in the plans or standard Public awareness and education campaigns tai-
operating procedures to reach emergency and lored to the specific needs of vulnerable groups
health services that need to be ready to respond (e.g. women, children, older people and people
to events promptly with disabilities)
A CHECKLIST 15
References
1 United Nations (2015). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030 (A/RES/69/283)
2 IN-MHEWS was established as a major outcome of the Session on Early Warning at the Third United
Nations World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction in Sendai, Japan, in 2015. This multi-stake-
holder partnership aims at facilitating the sharing of expertise and good practice in multi-hazard early
warning systems. The following organizations and initiatives are currently forming the IN-MHEWS
Steering Committee: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), International
Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC), United Nations Educational, Scientific
and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR),
World Meteorological Organization (WMO), Climate Risk and Early Warning Systems (CREWS) ini-
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(WB)/Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR), Helmholtz Centre Potsdam
German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusam-
menarbeit [German Federal Enterprise for International Cooperation] (GIZ), International Atomic
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Programme (UNDP), United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), United Nations Economic
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Nations Platform for Space-based Information for Disaster Management and Emergency Response
(UN-SPIDER), Universal Postal Union (UPU), World Food Programme (WFP), World Health Organiza-
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www.wmo.int/earlywarnings2017
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