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Analysis of A Publicly Traded Company
Analysis of A Publicly Traded Company
Company Background
Lines of Business
1
TV and STUDIO ENTERTAINMENT
Narrowcast
2
channel offerings such as Filipino movie channel, music channel, animé,
upscale male sports content and upscale female lifestyle content. It also
covers print, sports, and other niched programming via its UHF (Ultra
High Frequency) channel. Narrowcast includes the following
subsidiaries: Creative Programs, Inc., ABS-CBN Publishing, Inc. and
Studio 23, Inc.. As part of the Company’s goal to elevate boxing as a
sport in the country, it entered into a joint venture agreement with ALA
Promotions, Inc., a world class boxing organization and promotional
company.
PAY TV NETWORK
Pay TV networks include cable television services of Sky Cable and its
subsidiaries in Metro Manila and in certain provincial areas in the
Philippines. It offers postpaid and prepaid packages as well as a la carte
programming, broadband, internet phone, among others. Consumers
are given various options that can be tailor fitted to suit their specific
requirements including the ability to have a real triple-play service in the
market that combines cable TV, broadband and internet phone. Catch
up feature on missed programming via iWantv were provided as an
option to the customers for a total pay tv entertainment package. With
Sky Cable’s acquisition of Destiny Cable in 2012, Sky Cable accounts for
nearly half of the total local pay TV market.
NEW BUSINESSES
Theme Parks
3
The Company has also invested in a theme park more popularly known
as Kidzania Manila. KidZania provides children and their parents a safe,
unique, and very realistic educational environment that allows kids
between the ages of four to twelve to do what comes naturally to them:
role-playing by mimicking traditionally adult activities. As in the real
world, children perform "jobs" and are either paid for their work (as a
fireman, doctor, police officer, journalist, shopkeeper, etc.) or pay to shop
or to be entertained. The indoor theme park is a city built to scale for
children, complete with buildings, paved streets, vehicles, a functioning
economy, and ABS-CBN Corporation recognizable destinations in the
form of "establishments" sponsored and branded by leading multi-
national and local brands
Home Shopping
Subsidiaries
The following is a list of the Company’s active subsidiaries which ABS-
CBN controls as of December 31, 2013:
4
5
6
SIGNIFICANT PHILIPPINE ASSOCIATE AND AFFILIATES
Republic Act No. 7966, approved on March 30, 1995, granted the
Company the franchise to operate TV and radio broadcasting stations in
the Philippines through microwave, satellite or whatever means including
the use of new technologies in television and radio systems. The
franchise is for a term of 25 years. ABS-CBN is required to secure from
the National Telecommunications Commission (NTC) appropriate permits
and licenses for its stations and any frequency in the TV or radio
spectrum.
ABS-CBN and its subsidiaries have licenses from foreign and local
program and feature film owners to distribute the same through its
networks. The licenses to distribute the foreign programs and foreign and
local feature films grant ABS-CBN and its subsidiaries the right to
distribute said programs and films on free TV, cable, and satellite in the
Philippines and in territories wherein TFC is distributed.These licenses
for TV rights have an average term of 2 to 3 years. Such programs
comprise approximately 15% of the programming of Channel 2,
approximately 65% of the content of Studio 23, and close to 90% for all
CPI cable channels collectively.
7
also have the license to distribute local and foreign feature films in the
Philippines for theatrical, TV, and video distribution, with limited
ancillary rights. The licenses for foreign films have an average term of 10
to 15 years.
Music Licenses
Corporate Purpose:
It is our reason for existence. And ABS-CBN, for all the years to
come, will continue to work towards the vision of serving the Filipino.
8
As an organization, ABS-CBN affirms its mission of being in the
service of the Filipino.The Company is driven to pioneer and innovate
because it knows that it helps more Filipinos discover themselves and
connect to one another. The Company opens pathways to opportunities
and brings people a step closer to their dreams. ABS-CBN is firmly
committed to pursuing excellence. The key elements to its business
strategy are:
Board of Directors
9
10
The following directors have held their current positions in their
respective companies for more than 5 years unless otherwise indicated.
Below is a summary of their qualifications:
11
Brunswick, Maine and a Masters degree in Business Administration from
the Harvard Business School in 1980 in Boston, Massachusetts.
Augusto Almeda-Lopez, Filipino, age 85
Vice-Chairman
12
aside from energy and power, including toll road construction, industrial
park and real estate development, and electronics manufacturing. Mr.
Lopez has a Master’s degree in Public Administration from the Littauer
School of Public Administration in Harvard University (1955), the
institution where he also earned his Bachelor of Arts degree, cum laude
in 1951.
13
Mr. Lopez is the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Lopez
Holdings Corporation. He is a holder of a Bachelor of Science degree in
Business Administration and attended the Program for Management
Development at the Harvard Business School. He is the chairman of
Rockwell Land, the Vice Chairman of FPHC and is a director of Meralco.
He was Chief Executive Officer of Meralco from July 2001 to June 2010.
Mr. Lopez is the Philippine Ambassador to Japan.
Mr. Garcia was the President of ABS-CBN from 1998 to 2003. Prior
to his appointment as President, Mr. Garcia was Executive Vice President
and General Manager of ABS-CBN. He also worked as a TV Sales
Executive with ABS-CBN in 1966 until Martial Law. Before rejoining the
Company in 1987, he was Executive Vice President of GMA Network,
managing its marketing and programming activities. He attended the
College of Business Administration at the University of the Philippines.
Mr. Garcia is a recipient of various Philippine broadcasting industry
awards.
14
University of Virginia. He was a director of the Development Bank of the
Philippines (2010 to 2012), Chairman and Managing Director and Head
of Research of Deutsche Regis Partners,Inc. (1999-2010). He received
his AB Economics degree from Ateneo de Manila University in 1982, a
MSC Economics degree from Oxford University in 1988 and a Masters in
Business Administration from the University of Virginia in 1990.
15
Prior to her appointment as Head of Broadcast, Ms. Vidanes was
the Head of Channel 2 Mega Manila in 2009. Prior to that, she held the
position of Managing Director for ABS-CBN TV Production from 2001 to
2008. She was responsible for the conceptualization, production and
management of all TV Entertainment programs on ABS-CBN Channel 2.
She has been with ABS-CBN since 1986, starting as an Associate
Producer and has since then been involved in the production of all types
of programs –talk shows, variety, reality, game, comedy and drama. Ms.
Vidanes obtained her degree of Bachelor of Arts in Communication Arts
from the Ateneo de Manila University.
Mr. Lopez assumed the position of Senior Vice President and Chief
Operating Officer of ABS-CBN Global Limited in 2004. He concurrently
serves as the Managing Director of ABS-CBN International in North
America and has held this position since 1998. He started as the
Information Technology Head of ABS-CBN International in North America
in 1994. Prior to this, he spent 12 years working as a systems analyst
for Bell Atlantic. He graduated from the San Francisco State University
with a Bachelor of Arts degree in Music. He also obtained a degree in
computer programming from Control Data Institute and completed the
Stanford Business Executive Program for Executives in 2002.
16
Ms. Santos holds more than 2 decades of experience in the local
film industry having started as a production assistant for Vanguard
Films in 1982. She went on to become head of the movie division of
Gryk Ortaleza, Inc., an entertainment company, then a line producer for
Regal Films in 1986 and the general manager of Vision Films in 1989.
She joined the company as executive producer for its drama programs. In
1995, she became the Managing Director of ABS-CBN Film Productions,
Inc. Ms. Santos was appointed Senior Vice-President of the Television
Drama Division for the Company’s Entertainment Group in 2003. In
2006, she was likewise assigned to handle Star Records, Inc. Ms. Santos
graduated cum laude in BS Hotel and Restaurant Management at the
University of Santo Tomas.
17
graduated with a marketing degree from De La Salle University and was
honored in 2004 by his alma mater as one of its alumni achievers for
having made a significant contribution in the field of advertising.
18
President and CEO of Zenith Optimedia, Nestle’s independent media
agency, and President and CEO of Optimum Media.
19
the President of the Marketing & Opinion Research Society of the
Philippines (MORES) in 2004 and 2005. She graduated magna cum
laude with a Bachelor of Arts degree in Political Science and had her
graduate studies on Applied Statistics, both at the University of the
Philippines. Ms. Tin also completed the Advanced Management Program
at Harvard Business School in 2010.
20
also has experience in providing assistance in deal structuring,
commercial and financial due diligence, and working capital and related
financing analysis. He obtained his Bachelor's in Commerce, major in
Accounting, from the University of Santo Tomas and completed his
Master of Business Management degree, with distinction, from the Asian
Institute of Management.
21
Radio Disney Asia. He started his career in FM radio before joining the
GMA Network group in 1987. He was named Vice-President, Creative
Services of GMA Network, Inc. in 1992.
22
Committee. He likewise provides assistance to the Company's Office of
the Ombudsman. He is a Founding Partner of the Poblador Bautista and
Reyes Law Office and has been its Managing Partner since 1999 until the
present. Atty. Bautista graduated with a Bachelor of Arts Degree in
Communication Arts from the Ateneo de Manila University in 1975. He
obtained his Bachelor of Laws Degree from the University of the
Philippines in 1979 and ranked no. 6 in the Bar Examinations of that
year. He was a Professor of Criminal Law at the Ateneo de Manila School
of Law. Atty. Bautista has been consistently cited as a "leading lawyer"
by several international publications in the fields of dispute resolution,
banking and finance, insurance, capital markets, telecoms and media,
mergers and acquisitions, employment, corporate
reorganizations/insolvency and real estate.
23
Telecommunications, Inc., and Sky Cable Corporation. He is also
assistant corporate secretary of ABS-CBN.
CHAPTER II
STOCKHOLDER’S ANALYSIS
AUTHORIZED CAPITAL
STOCK
AMOUNT (Php)
TYPE OF NUMBER OF
PAR/STATED VALUE No. of shares X
SHARES SHARES
Par/Stated Value
Common 1,300,000,000 1.00 1,300,000,000.00
Preferred 1,000,000,000 0.20 200,000,000.00
TOTAL: 2,300,000,000 TOTAL: 1,500,000,000.00
SUBSCRIBED CAPITAL
AMOUNT (Php)
TYPE OF NUMBER OF
PAR/STATED VALUE No. of shares X
SHARES SHARES
Par/Stated Value
Common 872,123,642 1.00 872,123,642.00
Preferred 1,000,000,000 0.20 200,000,000.00
TOTAL: 1,872,123,642 TOTAL: 1,072,123,642.00
PAID-UP CAPITAL
AMOUNT (Php)
TYPE OF NUMBER OF
PAR/STATED VALUE No. of shares X
SHARES SHARES
Par/Stated Value
Common 872,123,642 1.00 872,123,642.00
Preferred 1,000,000,000 0.20 200,000,000.00
TOTAL: 1,872,123,642 TOTAL: 1,072,123,642.00
24
NAME, SHARES SUBSCRIBED
NATIONALITY AND
% OF AMOUNT
CURRENT AMOUNT
TYPE NUMBER OWNER PAID (Php)
RESIDENTIAL (Php)
ADDRESS SHIP
1. LOPEZ, INC.
FILIPINO
5/F Benpres
Building, Meralco
Avenue cor.
Exchange Road, 446,231,60 446,231,607. 446,231,607
Ortigas Center, Common 7 00 53.29% .00
Pasig City
2. PCD NOMINEE
CORPORATION
313,385,57 313,385,579. 313,385,579
FILIPINO Common 9 00 37.42% .00
37/F Enterprise
Bldg., Ayala
Avenue, Makati
City
3. ABS-CBN
HOLDINGS
CORPORATION
57,836,900.0 57,836,900.
FILIPINO Common 57,836,900 0 6.91% 00
4th Flr., Benpres
Bldg., Meralco
Avenue, Pasig City
4. CHING TIONG
KENG
25
City
6. EUGENIO
LOPEZ III
821,227,027
SUB-TOTAL AMOUNT OF PAID-UP CAPITAL .00
26
RESULTS: Based from the data above, LOPEZ, Inc. holds the highest
number of shares owned, amount paid and percentage of ownership;
thus they also have the highest control in the management making them
rule over the creation and approval of company policies and other issues.
Chapter III
RISK AND RETURN
Broadcasting
Media ABS-CBN
Industry 2012 2013
Average Beta 1.64 1.17
Unlevered Beta .72
Unlevered Beta Corrected for
Cash .92
123.71
Market D/E Ratio 62% 164.62% %
Tax Rate 30% 20% 25%
Cost of Equity 10.17% 16.31% 17.05%
Cost of Debt 6.10% 4.09% 4.39%
Cost of Capital 8.04% 8.71% 10.05%
Beta
The Average Beta for Broadcasting Media Industry of 1.64 is
greater than the Company Beta of 1.17 only, which means that there is
less risk in investing in this company. It will take 72% risk to purchase a
firm’s stock as implied by the unlevered beta.
Cost of Equity
The cost of equity is the appropriate hurdle rate, when returns are
measured to equity investors in the company. Thus, a new store has to
earn a return on equity of more than 17.05% for the year 2013, and
16.31% for the year 2012 to be considered a good investment. These
27
percentages are higher than the cost of equity for broadcasting media
industry of 10.17%.
Cost of Debt
Cost of Capital
28
Chapter IV
Measuring Investment Returns
Lines of Business
29
East, Europe, Australia, Canada and Asia Pacific. Other activities
include international film distribution, remittance, retail, sponsorships
and events.
Narrowcast
The Narrowcast business caters to the needs of specific or targeted
audiences or markets not normally addressed by the Broadcast
business. Included in this line of business are cable programming and
channel offerings such as Filipino movie channel, music channel, animé,
upscale male sports content and upscale female lifestyle content. It also
covers print, sports, and other niched programming via its UHF (Ultra
High Frequency) channel. Narrowcast includes the following
subsidiaries: Creative Programs, Inc., ABS-CBN Publishing, Inc. and
Studio 23, Inc.. As part of the Company’s goal to elevate boxing as a
sport in the country, it entered into a joint venture agreement with ALA
Promotions, Inc., a world class boxing organization and promotional
company.
PAY TV NETWORK
Pay TV networks include cable television services of Sky Cable and its
subsidiaries in Metro Manila and in certain provincial areas in the
Philippines. It offers both postpaid and prepaid packages as well as a la
carte programming, broadband, internet phone, among others.
Consumers are given various options that can be tailor fitted to suit their
specific requirements including the ability to have a real triple-play
service in the market that combines cable TV, broadband and internet
phone. Catch up feature on missed programming via iWantv were
provided as an option to the customers for a total pay tv entertainment
package. With Sky Cable’s acquisition of Destiny Cable in 2012, Sky
Cable accounts for nearly half of the total local pay TV market.
NEW BUSINESSES
30
New businesses and initiatives pertain to wireless telecommunications
business, digital terrestrial TV and theme parks. Wireless
Telecommunications business was established on May 28, 2013 through
ABS-CBN mobile’s network sharing agreement with Globe Telecom. This
partnership enables ABS-CBN to deliver ABS-CBN content in addition to
traditional telecommunication services on mobile devices. Through the
network-sharing agreement, Globe will provide capacity and coverage on
its existing cellular mobile telephony network to ABS-CBN Convergence
on a nationwide basis. The parties may also share assets such as
servers, towers, and switches. On November 16, 2013, ABS-CBN Mobile’s
pre-paid service was launched.
Digital Terrestrial TV
Theme Parks
The Company has also invested in a theme park more popularly known
as Kidzania Manila. KidZania provides children and their parents a safe,
unique, and very realistic educational environment that allows kids
between the ages of four to twelve to do what comes naturally to them:
role-playing by mimicking traditionally adult activities. As in the real
world, children perform "jobs" and are either paid for their work (as a
fireman, doctor, police officer, journalist, shopkeeper, etc.) or pay to shop
or to be entertained. The indoor theme park is a city built to scale for
children, complete with buildings, paved streets, vehicles, a functioning
economy, etc.
RETURN ON EQUITY
31
With the Broadcasting Media Industry reflecting an average ROE of
19.61%, ABS-CBN demonstrated an average of 7.82% for 2013 and 8.33% for
2012, a decrease of 0.51% from year 2013 is observed. At this metric, ABS-CBN
shows a lower return versus the industry average.
RETURN ON CAPITAL
Chapter V
CAPITAL STRUCTURE CHOICES
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
2012 2013
62.21 55.30
DEBT RATIO % %
EQUITY 37.79 44.70
RATIO % %
2012 2013
32
Bank Loans.
Loan Agreement.
Syndicated Loans.
FINANCING MIX
To estimate for the best optimal capital structure of, the estimated
after-tax cost of debt and cost of equity were estimated.
35
DEBT
0% 3.00% 100% 7.00% 7.00%
10% 3.00% 90% 7.30% 6.84%
20% 3.10% 80% 7.60% 6.70%
30% 3.30% 70% 8.00% 6.61%
40% 3.50% 60% 8.60% 6.55%
50% 3.70% 50% 9.40% 6.56%
60% 4.10% 40% 10.60% 6.69%
70% 4.50% 30% 12.60% 6.93%
80% 5.10% 20% 16.60% 7.40%
90% 6.00% 10% 16.60% 8.26%
100% 9.60% 0% 28.60% 9.60%
WACC= (.1705)(.4470)+(.0439)(.5530)
= 10.05%
Given the projected cost of capital at each level of debt and equity,
we can see that the WACC is minimized and the firm value is maximized
at 40% /60% Debt/Equity Mix. Below this mix, the company is not
utilizing enough of the cheaper debt. Above this level, the increased
costs of both debt and equity cause WACC to increase as the company
adds more debt to the mix. Thus, the company having a 55.30%/44.70%
Debt/Equity Mix with 4.39%/17.05% cost of debt/ cost of equity in
comparison to the projected data , is not considered as the optimum level
that maximizes the firm value.
Chapter VII
Mechanics of Moving to the Optimal
36
PAY TV NETWORKS Project Cash flows are Debts should be in the
mixture of long-term and form of both short and
short-term long-term.
NEW BUSINESS Project Cash flows are Debts should be in the
mixture of long-term and form of both short and
short-term long-term.
ASSUMPTIONS:
Optimal Debt Ratio in 2012 and 2013 is 40%.
COMPARISONS:
In 2012, Actual debt ratio is 62.21% is higher than the optimal
debt ratio which is 40% is over levered.
In 2013, Actual debt ratio is 55.30 % higher than the optimal debt
ratio which is 40% is over levered.
RESULTS:
The optimal route for maximizing the firm value since under the
framework, the actual debt ratio for 2012 and 2013 are over
levered and the firm is not subject the threat of bankruptcy and
the firm have good projects where it shows that the ROE of the
company which are 7.82% and 8.33% for 2013 and 2012
respectively are lower than the cost of equity which are 17.05%
and 16.31%; as well as the ROC which are 3.50% and 3.15% are
lower than the cost of capital which are 10.05% and 8.71%, the
company should do the following: Pay off debt with retained
earnings; reduce or eliminate dividends or issue new equity and
pay off debts.
Chapter VIII
Dividend Policy
37
The declaration and payment of dividends are subject to certain
conditions under the Company’s existing long term loan agreements with
various banks and other. Under said loan agreements, the company may
declare and pay dividends provided: (a) all payments (including pre-
payments) due on said loan and premiums on insurance of assets are
current and updated; (b) all financial covenants set forth therein are
satisfied; (c) certain financial ratios are met and such payment will not
result in the violation of the required financial ratios under the loan
agreements; (d) no event of default as provided in the loan agreements
shall exist or occur as a result of such payment; and (e) the total
amount of the cash dividends does not exceed 50% of the Company’s net
income after taxes for the fiscal year preceding the declaration.
Dividend Pay-Out
Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield measures the return that an investor can make from
dividends alone.
Chapter IX
A Framework for Analyzing Dividends
38
HOW MUCH COULD GMA NETWORK INC. HAVE PAID AS DIVIDENDS
BETWEEN 2012 AND 2013?
39
Firms Pays out too little dividends
2012: FCFE of 2,876,058,098 is greater than the dividends of
519,989,000.
2013: FCFE of -1,640,658,949 is lesser than the dividends of
298,066,000.
Comparisons:
2012: ROE of 8.33% is lesser than the cost of equity of 16.31%
ROC of 3.15% is lesser than the cost of capital of 8.71%.
2013: ROE of 7.82% is lesser than the cost of equity of 17.05%.
ROC of 3.50% is lesser than the cost of capital of 10.05%.
Results:
ABS-CBN has history of good project choice and good projects in
the future, therefore, give managers the flexibility to keep cash and
set dividends.
40
Chapter X
Valuation
Where:
Terminal Value = E(Dividends)n+1
(rn+gn)
r= cost of equity
g= is the expected growth rate in dividends in perpetuity after year
41
n.
This is lower than the cost of equity for the firm which is 17.05%
and the average return on equity for broadcasting mass media which is
19.61%. The company paid out dividends per share of Php.40 on
earnings per share of P2.33. The resulting retention ratio is
If ABS-CBN maintains existing ROE and Retention Ratio for long term,
its expected growth will be:
For the next five years, it will be assumed that ROE will improve to 12%
while retention ratio will stay unchanged at 82.83%. The expected growth
rate in earnings per share is
42
In the previous computation, it is estimated that the annual growth rate
for the next 5 years is at 9.94%, based upon an estimated ROE of 12%
and a retention ratio of 82.83%. In 2013, the EPS at ABS-CBN were Php
2.33 and the dividend per share is Php.40. Earlier analysis of the risk at
ABS-CBN provided an estimate of 1.17 beta , which is used in
conjunction with an assumed risk free rate of 4% and assumed risk
premium rate of 11.15% yielded cost of equity of 17.05%.
Assuming that at the end of year 5, ABS-CBN earnings growth will drop
to 8% and stay at the level of perpetuity. In keeping with the assumption
of stable growth it will also be assumed that:
The beta will decrease marginally to 1.07, resulting in slightly
lower COE of 15.93% based on the following computations:
The ROE will drop to the COE of 15.93%, thus preventing excess
return from being earned in perpetuity.
The pay-out ratio will adjust to reflect the stable growth period rate
and ROE
The value per share at the end of the 5 th year can be estimated using
these inputs
43
Terminal Value= .17/ (.1593-.0994)
Terminal Value= Php 2.84
The Present Value of the terminal value is computed using the high
growth period cost of equity
The total value per share is the sum of this value and the present value
of the expected dividends in high growth period.
The FCFE is the residual cash flow left over after meeting interest and
principal payments and providing for capital expenditures to maintain
existing assets to create new assets for future growth
44
Value of the stock= PV of FCFE during high growth + Pv of terminal price
Where:
Terminal Value = E(Dividends)n+1
(rn+gn)
r= cost of equity
g= is the expected growth rate in dividends in perpetuity after year
n.
45
The average equity reinvestment rate of 48.23% will be used for the next
5 years. In conjunction, with the non-cash return on equity of 12.79%
that was computed previously, expected growth rate of 6.17% is also
estimated for the next 5 years.
Assuming that a beta for equity of 1.07, risk free rate of 4%, and equity
risk premium is 11.15%, the cost of equity will be computed as follows
Assuming that after year 5, the beta will remain 1.07, risk free rate of 4%
and equity risk premium will decline to 10%, the resulting cost of equity
is
After year 5, it is also be assumed that the growth in net income will
drop to 8% and the ROE will rise to 14.70%. The equity reinvestment
ratio in stable growth can then be estimated as follows
To estimate the terminal value of equity, the free cash flow to equity is
first computed as follows:
FCFE = 2,577,208,313(1.08)(1-.5442)
in year 6
= 1,268,666,873
46
The terminal value is then computed using the stable period cost of
equity of 14.70%.
The current value of equity is the sum of PV of the expected cash flows
computed as follows
PV of FCFE’s 4,558,887,475
Add: PV of terminal value 9,537,964,630
VALUE OF EQUITY IN OPERATING 14,096,852,105
ASSETS
VALUE OF CASH AND MARKETABLE 10,616,855,000
SECURITIES
VALUE OF EQUITY IN FIRM Php
24,713,707,105
CHAPTER I
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE ANALYSIS
Company Background
47
GMA Network, Inc. is a free-to-air broadcasting company
principally engaged in television and radio broadcasting, the production
of programs for domestic and international audiences, and other related
businesses. The Company derives the majority of its revenues from
advertising related to television broadcasting.
Corporate Purpose
Corporate Vision
Corporate Values
48
We believe that the Viewer is Boss.
We value our People as our Best Assets.
We uphold Integrity and Transparency.
We are driven by our Passion for Excellence.
We strive for Efficiency in everything we do.
We pursue Creativity and Innovation.
49
Lines of Business
INTERNATIONAL DISTRIBUTION
GMA PINOY TV
The Company operates GMA Pinoy TV through which it offers
subscription-based programs internationally. Launched in 2005, GMA
Pinoy TV delivers to an international audience the Company’s most
popular news and public affairs and general entertainment programs.
50
subscription fees and is also allocated a certain number of advertising
minutes through which the Company may sell advertising spots, which it
does, through its subsidiary, GMA Marketing and Productions, Inc.
(GMPI). GMPI also participates in joint promotions with various carriers
for the marketing of GMA Pinoy TV.
GMA LIFE TV
Three years after the success of GMA Pinoy TV, GMA Life TV, GMA
Network’s second international channel, was launched. More than just
offering mainstream entertainment, GMA Life TV engages more viewers
with its exciting line-up of heart-warming and innovative programs that
feature the Filipinos' lifestyle and interests.
CONVERGING TECHNOLOGY
GMA New Media, Inc. (NMI) is the digital media arm of GMA Network,
Inc. Since its inception in July 2000, it has launched category-breaking
projects in multiple platforms, including internet, mobile, broadcast, and
digital TV.
WEB
51
Online Publishing NMI initiated the collaboration among some of
the Philippines’ leading media companies for the adoption of global
standards and best practices in online publishing, beginning with the
appointment of a common provider for their third-party audience
measurement system. The group has chosen Effective Measure (EM), an
Australian company, as its preferred audience measurement solutions
provider.
NMI entered into a joint venture with Summit Media and launched
Pep.ph, the no. 1 showbiz news portal in the Philippines.
NMI entered into a joint venture with E-Games, the leading online
games publisher in the Philippines.
MOBILE
52
NMI launched Fanatxt, a mobile-based celebrity portal for Kapuso
stars, which is one of the most successful mobile VAS services launched
locally.
NMI broke new ground with the launch of Teledrama Text Saya,
the first ever mobile point of purchase promo for GMA’s primetime shows
done in partnership with GMPI.
BROADCAST
NMI ensured the fast and accurate delivery of poll results in the
2004 national elections and provided creative support in the form of
world-class motion graphics. Every election coverage thereafter, NMI
carried on as GMA News and Public Affairs’ technology partner. It
developed (in some cases, reverse-engineered) state-of-the-art
broadcasting tools such as the RTX and Telewriter to deliver unparalleled
TV coverage without the prohibitive cost of buying off-the-shelf solutions.
53
On the broadcast side, NMI produces breakthrough real-time
special effects for GMA. In collaboration with the Office of the President
and GMA Engineering, NMI is involved in the development of GMA’s
Digital TV strategy. Efforts are underway to conduct testing for the
service soon.
MOVIE PRODUCTION
GMA Records works with GMA New Media and other local-based
content providers and aggregators to take advantage of new revenue
streams, particularly in the emerging market of digital music downloads.
The company also secured non-exclusive mobile, web and kiosk based
deals with different content providers worldwide to continuously exploit
the potentials of its music and video assets.
54
Company's television and film productions. It is also a member of
FILSCAP, the Filipino Society of Composers, Authors and Publishers.
STAGE DESIGN
POST PRODUCTION
55
MARKETING AND SALES OF COMMERCIAL AIRTIME AND EVENTS
56
Board of Directors, Officers and Senior Management
57
The following are descriptions of the business experiences of the
Company’s directors, officers
and senior management:
58
Realty and Management Corp.,Antipolo Agri-Business and Land
Development Corp., Capitalex Holdings, Inc., BGE Holdings, Inc.,
Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Chamber of Commerce
of the Philippine Islands and President of Lex Realty, Inc. He serves as
Chairman of the Board of Trustees of GMA Kapuso Foundation, Inc.,
KapwaKo Mahal Ko Foundation, Inc., and The Potter and Clay Christian
School Foundation, Inc.; Chairman and President of Gozon Foundation;
and Trustee of Bantayog ng mgaBayani Foundation. Gozon is also an
Advisory Board Member of the Asian Television Awards.
59
Marketing and Productions, Inc., Film Experts, Inc., and Dual
Management and Investments, Inc. He is the President and a Director of
Group Management and Development, Inc.; President and Director of
MediaMerge Corp., Citynet Network Marketing and Productions, Inc.;
Director of RGMA Network, Inc., GMA New Media, Inc., Alta Productions
Group, Inc., Optima Digital, Inc., and Monte-Aire Realty and
Development Corp. He also serves as the President and a Trustee of GMA
Kapuso Foundation, Inc., President of Guronasyon Foundation, Inc. and
is a Trustee of the HERO Foundation.
Mr. Duavit holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Philosophy from the University
of the Philippines.
60
Business Administration and completed the Management Development
Program at the Asian Institute of Management. He is a Certified Public
Accountant.
61
Her successful and visionary efforts in the field of Information and
Communications Technology, have earned her the moniker “Godmother
of the Philippine Internet,” a position in
Computerworld's list of "Philippines' Most Powerful in ICT" and in 2011
“IT Executive of the Year” by the Philippine Cyber Press.
62
She holds a Masters Degree in Public and Private Management
from Yale University and a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting
from the University of Southern California. She is a
Certified Public Accountant (CPA) in the State of California.
63
He is the Chairman and President of Philippine Trust Company
(Philtrust Bank), Director of Ayala Land, Inc., Philippine AXA Life
Insurance Company, Inc., Philippine Ratings Services Corporation, and
Bankers Association of the Philippines. He also serves as Chairman of
Don Norberto Ty Foundation, Inc. and Escuela Taller de Filipinas
Foundation, Inc.; Trustee of St. Paul University - Quezon City, Cultural
Center of the Philippines, Metropolitan Museum of Manila, Yuchengco
Museum, Fundación Santiago, Inc., Ayala Foundation, Inc., and other
foundations. He writes a weekly column for the Manila Bulletin.
The News and Public Affairs group under Ms. Flores continues to
be the recipient of international awards, notably the New York Festivals,
US International Film and Video Festival Awards, Asian TV Awards.
GMA News and Public Affairs remains as the only Philippine broadcast
network which has won the highly-coveted Peabody Award (four Peabody
awards as of 2014) — widely considered as broadcasting and cable’s
equivalent of the Pulitzer Prize.
65
of Management. He is a Certified Public Accountant with expertise in the
fields of accounting, auditing, finance, taxation and general
management. He was formerly the Assistant Vice President of
Controllership of ABS-CBN and also served as its Group Internal Auditor
before joining GMA Network in March 2001. He also worked with SGV
and Co. in the early part of his career. Mr. Mastrili concurrently holds
key positions in GMA Subsidiaries namely: Comptroller/Chief
Accounting Officer of GMA Holdings, Treasurer of Alta Productions,
Director of Script2010, and Comptroller of GMA Films, GMA Kapuso
Foundation and GMA Worldwide.
66
Group. And in December 2013, she received her promotion and
appointment as ETV’s Senior Vice President.
CHAPTER II
STOCKHOLDER’S ANALYSIS
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
AUTHORIZED CAPITAL
STOCK
67
No. of shares X
SHARES SHARES VALUE Par/Stated
Value
5,000,000,000.0
Common 5,000,000,000 1.00 0
1,500,000,000.0
Preferred 7,500,000,000 0.20 0
12,500,000,00 6,500,000,000.0
TOTAL: 0 TOTAL: 0
SUBSCRIBED CAPITAL
AMOUNT (Php)
TYPE OF NUMBER OF PAR/STATED No. of shares X
SHARES SHARES VALUE Par/Stated
Value
3,381,047,000.0
Common 3,381,047,000 1.00 0
1,499,901,436.8
Preferred 7,499,507,184 0.20 0
10,880,554,18 4,880,948,436.8
TOTAL: 4 TOTAL: 0
PAID-UP CAPITAL
AMOUNT (Php)
TYPE OF NUMBER OF PAR/STATED No. of shares X
SHARES SHARES VALUE Par/Stated
Value
3,381,047,000.0
Common 3,381,047,000 1.00 0
1,499,901,436.8
Preferred 7,499,507,184 0.20 0
10,880,554,18 4,880,948,436.8
TOTAL: 4 TOTAL: 0
68
NAME, SHARES SUBSCRIBED
NATIONALITY AND
% OF AMOUNT
CURRENT AMOUNT
TYPE NUMBER OWNERS PAID (Php)
RESIDENTIAL (Php)
ADDRESS HIP
1. GMA HOLDINGS,
INC
69
334,378,037. 334,378,037.
on 7 00 00
2/F Sagittarius
Cond., HV Dela
Costa St., Makati
City
6. PCD NOMINEE
(FILIPINO)
70
3,344,248,66
7.00
RESULTS: Based from the data above, GMA HOLDINGS, INC holds the
highest number of shares owned, amount paid and percentage of
ownership; thus they also have the highest control in the management
making them rule over the creation and approval of company policies
and other issues.
Chapter III
RISK AND RETURN
GMA NETWORK,
Broadcasting INC.
Media Industry 2012 2013
Average Beta 1.64 0.59
Unlevered Beta .72
Unlevered Beta
Corrected for Cash .92
Market D/E Ratio 62% 56% 48%
Tax Rate 30% 29.92% 29.85%
Cost of Equity 10.17% 10.21% 10.58%
Cost of Debt 6.10% 4.63% 4.28%
Cost of Capital 8.04% 8.20% 8.50%
Beta
The Average Beta for Broadcasting Media Industry of 1.64 is greater than
the Company Beta of .59 only, which means that there is less risk in investing
in this company. It will take 72% risk to purchase a firm’s stock as implied by
the unlevered beta.
Cost of Equity
71
In the computation of Cost of Equity, the formula below is used:
The cost of equity is the appropriate hurdle rate, when returns are
measured to equity investors in the company. Thus, a new store has to earn a
return on equity of more than 10.58% for the year 2013, and 10.21% for the
year 2012 to be considered a good investment. These percentages are a little
higher than the cost of equity for broadcasting media industry of 10.17%.
Cost of Debt
In the computation of Cost of Debt for the Company, a 4.63% and 4.28%
pre-tax cost of debt is computed for 2012 and 2013 respectively. The formula to
determine the cost of debt is as follows:
Cost of Capital
72
Chapter IV
Measuring Investment Returns
The following table shows the Company’s holdings in its principal subsidiaries,
joint ventures and affiliates as of December 31, 2013:
73
RETURN ON EQUITY
74
With the Broadcasting Media Industry reflecting an average ROE of
17.61%, GMA Network, Inc. demonstrated an average of 18.98% for 2013 and
19.55% for 2012, a decrease of 0.57% from year 2012 is observed. At this
metric, GMA Network, Inc. shows a lower return versus the industry average.
RETURN ON CAPITAL
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
201 201
2 3
DEBT RATIO 36% 33%
EQUITY RATIO 64% 67%
75
76
77
78
The Company obtained unsecured short-term peso and USD
denominated loans from various local banks. The interest rate of the short-term
loan ranges from 1.73% to 5.00% in 2013 and a fixed rate of 4.00% in 2012.
Other long-term obligations for program and other rights represent liabilities to
foreign and local film suppliers for program and other rights purchased by the
Company and are payable with 4.30%-10%.
79
Chapter VI
Optimal Capital Structure
FINANCING MIX
To estimate for the best optimal capital structure of, the estimated after-
tax cost of debt and cost of equity were estimated.
WACC= (.1058)(.67)+(.0428)(.33)
= 8.50%
Given the projected cost of capital at each level of debt and equity, we
can see that the WACC is minimized and the firm value is maximized at 40%
/60% Debt/Equity Mix. Below this mix, the company is not utilizing enough of
the cheaper debt. Above this level, the increased costs of both debt and equity
cause WACC to increase as the company adds more debt to the mix. Thus, the
company having a 33%/67% Debt/Equity Mix with 4.28%/10.58% cost of
debt/ cost of equity in comparison to the projected data , is not considered as
the optimum level that maximizes the firm value.
80
Chapter VII
Mechanics of Moving to the Optimal
ASSUMPTIONS:
Optimal Debt Ratio in 2012 and 2013 is 40%.
COMPARISONS:
In 2012, Actual debt ratio is 36% is lower than the optimal debt ratio
which is 40% is under levered.
In 2013, Actual debt ratio is lower than the optimal debt ratio which is
40% is under levered.
RESULTS:
The optimal route for maximizing the firm value since under the
framework, the actual debt ratio for 2012 and 2013 are under levered
and the firm is not subject or target for takeover and the firm have good
projects where it shows that the ROE of the company which are 19.55%
and 18.98% for 2013 and 2012 respectively are greater than the cost of
equity which are 10.21% and 10.58%; as well as the ROC which are
81
17.80% and 17.14% are greater than the cost of capital which are 8.20%
and 8.50%, the company should take good projects with debt.
Chapter VIII
Dividend Policy
Dividend Pay-Out
Dividend Payout measures the percentage of earnings that the company
pays in dividends.
Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield measures the return that an investor can make from
dividends alone.
82
Chapter IX
A Framework for Analyzing Dividends
The GMA Network, Inc.’s debt ratios of .36 and .63 for years 2012 and 2013
respectively were used to compute the FCFE each during the period. Based on
this analysis, GMA Networks could have returned Php 1,164,683,293 in cash to
its stockholders, either in the form of cash dividends or equity buybacks during
the period.
On average, GMA Network Inc., returned Php 1,293,921,951 in the form of cash
dividends each year between 2012 and 2013, about 75,238,658 more each year
than they could have afforded to payout.
83
Firms Pays out too little dividends
2012: FCFE of 537,686,740 is less than the dividends of 1,264,794,293.
2013: FCFE of 1,791,679,846 is greater than the dividends of
1,215,049,609.
Comparisons:
2012: ROE of 19.55% is greater than the cost of equity of 10.21%
ROC of 17.80% is greater than the cost of capital of 8.20%.
2013: ROE of 18.98% is greater than the cost of equity of 10.58%.
ROC of 17.14% is greater than the cost of capital of 8.50%.
Results:
GMA Network, Inc. has history of good project choice and good projects
in the future, therefore, give managers the flexibility to keep cash and set
dividends.
84
Chapter X
Valuation
In its most general form, the value of a stock in the dividend discount
model is the Present Value (PV) of the expected dividends on the stock in
perpetuity.
Where:
Terminal Value = = E(Dividends) n+1
(rn+gn)
r= cost of equity
g= is the expected growth rate in dividends in perpetuity after year n.
85
Growth in Earnings Per Share
This is higher than the cost of equity for the firm which is 10.58% and
the average return on equity for broadcasting mass media which is 19.61%. The
company paid out dividends per share of Php.25 on earnings per share of P.50.
The resulting retention ratio is
If GMA Inc. maintains existing ROE and Retention Ratio for long term, its
expected growth will be:
For the next five years, it will be assumed that ROE will improve to 20% while
retention ratio will stay unchanged at 50%. The expected growth rate in
earnings per share is
In the previous computation, it is estimated that the annual growth rate for the
next 5 years is at 10%, based upon an estimated ROE of 20% and a retention
ratio of 50%. In 2013, the EPS at GMA Inc. were Php .50 and the dividend per
share is Php.25. Earlier analysis of the risk at GMA Inc. provided an estimate of
beta .59, which is used in conjunction with an assumed risk free rate of 4% and
assumed risk premium rate of 11.15% yielded cost of equity of 10.58%.
86
PV of High Growth Dividends= .25 x 1.10 x[1-[(1.10) 5/ (1.1058)5]
.1058-.10
= Php1.23
Assuming that at the end of year 5, GMA Inc. earnings growth will drop to 8%
and stay at the level of perpetuity. In keeping with the assumption of stable
growth it will also be assumed that:
The beta will decrease marginally to .56, resulting in slightly lower COE
of 10.24% based on the following computations:
The ROE will drop to the COE of 10.24%, thus preventing excess return
from being earned in perpetuity.
The pay-out ratio will adjust to reflect the stable growth period rate and
ROE
The value per share at the end of the 5th year can be estimated using these
inputs
The Present Value of the terminal value is computed using the high growth
period cost of equity
The total value per share is the sum of this value and the present value of the
expected dividends in high growth period.
87
B. Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The FCFE is the residual cash flow left over after meeting interest and principal
payments and providing for capital expenditures to maintain existing assets to
create new assets for future growth
Once we estimate the FCFE, the general version model resembles the
dividend discount model, with FCFE replacing dividends in the equation
To value GMA Inc., the expected growth net income will be computed first using
the following formulas:
GMA Inc. has a net income of 1,674,975,012 for 2013, interest income before
taxes of 23,990,805 and faced a tax rate of 29.22%. The book value of equity at
the end of 2013 was 8,825,073,181, of which cash was represented
1,749,631,196.
The expected growth in net income can be computed as the product of non-cash
ROE and equity reinvestment rate
88
Based upon the above computations, it is expected that GMA Network to grow
at 5.89% a year.
The average equity reinvestment rate of 30.71% will be used for the next 5
years. In conjunction, with the non-cash return on equity of 23.43% that was
computed previously, expected growth rate of 7.20% is also estimated for the
next 5 years.
Assuming that a beta for equity of .56, risk free rate of 4%, and equity risk
premium is 11.15%, the cost of equity will be computed as follows
Assuming that after year 5, the beta will remain .56, risk free rate of 4% and
equity risk premium will decline to 10%, the resulting cost of equity is
To estimate the terminal value of equity, the free cash flow to equity is first
computed as follows:
89
The terminal value is then computed using the stable period cost of equity of
9.6%.
Terminal Value of Equity= 426,915,197
(.096-.080)
=26,682,199,810
The current value of equity is the sum of PV of the expected cash flows
computed as follows
PV of FCFE’s 5,432,684,358
Add: PV of terminal value 16,872,089,150
VALUE OF EQUITY IN OPERATING 22,304,772,508
ASSETS
VALUE OF CASH AND 1,757,505,198
MARKETABLE SECURITIES
VALUE OF EQUITY IN FIRM Php24,062,277,706
CHAPTER I
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE ANALYSIS
Company Background
90
For a time, business was good. However, Mr. John was still looking
ahead, working with an eye towards the future. While the business was
doing very well, it was producing essentially a commodity, which a
customer could easily access elsewhere. To stay ahead in the game, Mr.
John had to diversify by producing and marketing his own branded
consumer foods, similar to the multinational companies in the country
like Nestle and Procter & Gamble. In a sense, he wanted to put up the
first ‘local’ MNC, borne out of their best practices.
91
compounds, flour milling, and sugar milling and refining.
Business Lines
The latter two groups provide URC with consistent cashflows and, in the
case of commodities, consistent supply of raw materials for the Branded
Consumer Foods Group.
92
Branded Consumer Foods Group - Domestic
93
Branded Consumer Foods Group – International
Looking ahead to “a world without borders,” URC has expanded steadily outside the
country. At present, URC maintains manufacturing facilities in China, Thailand, Malaysia,
Vietnam and Indonesia and has a strong foothold in the countries it presently operates in. URC
products, under the “Jack ’n Jill” megabrand, are widely available in most trade channels in
Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, Vietnam, China, and Hong Kong.
The most established international operations of URC are in Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia.
Leading market share positions are attained in these countries in several niche product
categories.
“ACES,” a brand bought by URC from Acesfood Network Pte Ltd in 2005, continues to be
a leader in the instant cereal beverage and oatmeal markets in China. The purchase of the brand
is a strategic move for URC as it allows improved distribution in key geographic markets and
provides a strong, well-regarded brand that will be a platform for future growth in China.
In April 2006, URC started manufacturing and selling C2 Green Tea in Vietnam, making
URC Vietnam the first subsidiary outside the Philippines to manufacture and market C2. C2 is
now one of the two market leaders in Vietnam and manufacturing is being expanded to meet
strong market demands. In August 2007, URC Vietnam started manufacturing biscuits in order
to strengthen its foothold in the fast growing snackfoods market in Vietnam.
94
This business unit holds the distinction of being the only
Integrated Management System ISO certified BOPP plant in the country
today with its Quality ISO 9001:2000 and Environmental ISO
14001:2004 Standards.
Agro-Industrial Group
UCP likewise, produces and sells liquid glucose and quality soya
products, which are used in the production of confectionery products
and animal feeds, respectively.
Robichem
Robina Farms-Hogs
Robina Farms (RF) Hogs breeds and sells prime finisher hogs,
piglets and breeder stocks such as its own Grandeur Boar and Grand
Dame gilt.RF- hog production facilities, located in Rizal, Novaliches,
95
Bulacan and Batangas maintain 15,500 sows at any given time; and are
reputed to be one of the most modern swine facilities in the country.
Robina Farms-Poultry
Commodity
Foods Group
URC’s Commodity Foods Group is engaged in flour and sugar milling and
distribution, and sells its products to commercial and institutional
accounts.
URC Flour produces and sells Hard and Soft Wheat Flour to both
commercial and institutional accounts. The division also supplies the
local and export flour requirements of the URC Branded Consumer Food
Group and URC International respectively. Other product offerings are
flour-milling by-products such as wheat germ, bran and pollard.
96
other food companies.URC Flour has a total flour milling capacity of
1,550 metric tons per day.
Corporate Vision
97
Corporate Values
98
Board of Directors
99
Chairman of the Board of Directors until his retirement and resignation
from this position effective December 31, 2001. He continues to be a
member of URC's Board and is the Chairman Emeritus of JG Summit
Holdings, Inc. and certain of its subsidiaries. He also continues to be a
member of the Executive Committee of JG Summit Holdings, Inc. He is
currently the Chairman of the Gokongwei Brothers Foundation, Inc.,
Deputy Chairman and Director of United Industrial Corporation Limited
and Singapore Land Limited, and a director of Cebu Air, Inc., JG Summit
Capital Markets Corporation and Oriental Petroleum and Minerals
Corporation. He is also a non-executive director of A. Soriano
Corporation. Mr. Gokongwei received a Masters degree in Business
Administration from the De La Salle University and attended the
Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School.
100
in Applied Science from the University of Pennsylvania. Mr. Lance Y.
Gokongwei is the son of Mr. John L. Gokongwei, Jr. and joined URC in
1988.
101
President, Chief Operating Officer and Director of Oriental Petroleum and
Minerals Corporation. He is a director of Petrogen Insurance Corporation,
Canon (Philippines) Inc., Destiny Financial Plans, Inc. and National Grid
Corporation of the Philippines. He is a Nominee of R. Coyiuto Securities,
Inc. and a Trustee of San Beda College.
Independent Directors
Corporate Officers
James L. Go Chairman
Lance Y. President and Chief Executive Officer
Gokongwei
102
Patrick Henry C. Vice President
Go
Cornelio S. Mapa Executive Vice President and Managing
Director, URC Branded Consumer Foods
Group Philippines
Patrick O. Ng Executive Vice President and Managing
Director, URC Branded Consumer Foods
Group International
Constante T. Senior Vice President
Santos
BJ M. Sebastian Senior Vice President
103
CHAPTER II
STOCKHOLDER’S ANALYSIS
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
AMOUNT (Php)
TYPE OF NUMBER OF PAR/STATED
SHARES SHARES VALUE No. of shares X
Par/Stated Value
2,998,000,000.0
Common 2,998,000,000 1.00 0
3,000,000,000.0
TOTAL: 3,000,000,000 TOTAL: 0
SUBSCRIBED CAPITAL
104
SUBSCRIBED CAPITAL
TYPE AMOUNT (Php)
FOREIGN
OF NUMBER OF PAR/STATED No. of shares X
(INDICATE BY
SHARE SHARES VALUE Par/Stated
NATIONALITY)
S Value
Commo
BRITISH 5,474 1 5,474.00
n
Commo
CHINESE 1,150 1 1,150.00
n
Commo
INDIAN 7,796 1 7,796.00
n
Commo
JAPANESE 5,000 1 5,000.00
n
Commo
NON-FILIPINO 706,757,769 1 706,757,769.00
n
TOTAL: TOTAL: 706,777,189 TOTAL: 706,777,189.00
PAID-UP CAPITAL
TYPE AMOUNT (Php)
OF NUMBER OF PAR/STATED No. of shares X
FILIPINO SHARE SHARES VALUE Par/Stated
S Value
Commo 1,474,724,744.0
1,474,724,744 1
n 0
-
1,474,724,744.0
TOTAL: 1,474,724,744 TOTAL:
0
PAID-UP CAPITAL
TYPE AMOUNT (Php)
FOREIGN
OF NUMBER OF PAR/STATED No. of shares X
(INDICATE BY
SHARE SHARES VALUE Par/Stated
NATIONALITY)
S Value
Commo
BRITISH 5,474 1 5,474.00
n
Commo
CHINESE 1,150 1 1,150.00
n
Commo
INDIAN 7,796 1 7,796.00
n
Commo
JAPANESE 5,000 1 5,000.00
n
Commo
NON-FILIPINO 706,757,769 1 706,757,769.00
n
105
TOTAL: TOTAL: 706,777,189 TOTAL: 706,777,189.00
106
&/OR JOHN
GOKONGWEI,
JR.
Commo
FILIPINO n 2,479,400 2,479,400.00 0.11% 2,479,400.00
43/F
Robinsons
Equitable
Tower ADB
Ave. cor.,
Poveda St.,
Ortigas Center,
Pasig
5. LITTON
MILLS, INC.
Commo
FILIPINO n 2,237,434 2,237,434.00 0.10% 2,237,434.00
URC Corporate
Tower !
Robinson
Galleria,
Ortigas Ave.,
Pasig City
6. FAITH
GOKONGWEI
ONG &/
ELIZABETH
GOKONGWEI
Commo
FILIPINO n 575,000 575,000 0.03% 575,000.00
43/F
Robinsons
Equitable
Tower ADB
Ave. cor.,
Poveda St.,
Ortigas Center,
Pasig
6. ROBINA
GOKONGWEI-
PE &/
ELIZABETH
GOKONGWEI
Commo
FILIPINO n 575,000 575,000 0.03% 575,000.00
43/F
Robinsons
Equitable
Tower ADB
107
Ave. cor.,
Poveda St.,
Ortigas Center,
Pasig
6. LISA YU
GOKONGWEI
&/OR
ELIZABETH
GOKONGWEI
Commo
FILIPINO n 575,000 575,000 0.03% 575,000.00
43/F
Robinsons
Equitable
Tower ADB
Ave. cor.,
Poveda St.,
Ortigas Center,
Pasig
6. MARCIA
GOKONGWEI
SY &/OR
ELIZABETH
GOKONGWEI
Commo
FILIPINO n 575,000 575,000 0.03% 575,000.00
43/F
Robinsons
Equitable
Tower ADB
Ave. cor.,
Poveda St.,
Ortigas Center,
Pasig
6.HOPE
GOKONGWEI
TANG &/ OR
ELIZABETH
GOKONGWEI
Commo
FILIPINO n 575,000 575,000 0.03% 575,000.00
43/F
Robinsons
Equitable
Tower ADB
Ave. cor.,
Poveda St.,
Ortigas Center,
Pasig
108
7. QUALITY
INVESTMENTS
& SEC CORP
Commo
FILIPINO n 400,143 400,143.00 0.02% 400,143.00
Suite 1602
Tytana Plaza
Bldg. Oriente
St., Binondo,
Manila
8. FLORA NG
SIU KHENG
Commo
FILIPINO n 379,500 379,500.00 0.02% 379,500.00
#23 Cambridge
Circle, North
Forbes Park,
Makati City
9.CONSOLIDA
TED ROBINA
CAPITAL
CORPORATION
Commo
FILIPINO n 253,000 253,000.00 0.01% 253,000.00
29/F Galleria
Tower, EDSA
Mandaluyong
City
10. GILBERT
U. DU
AND/OR FE
SOCORRO R.
DU
Commo
FILIPINO n 188,485 188,485.00 0.01% 188,485.00
11th St., cor.
29th St.
Nazareth,
Cagayan de
Oro City 9000
2,177,598,531.
SUB-TOTAL AMOUNT OF PAID-UP CAPITAL 00
109
ownership; thus they also have the highest control in the management
making them rule over the creation and approval of company policies
and other issues.
Chapter III
RISK AND RETURN
Food, Beverage
& Tobacco URC
Industry 2010 2011
Average Beta .97 .91
Unlevered Beta .80
Unlevered Beta
Corrected for Cash .84
Market D/E Ratio 47% 56% 63%
Tax Rate 30% 10.92% 8.76%
Cost of Equity 12.93% 16.02% 15.80%
Cost of Debt 6.96% 6.10% 8.39%
Cost of Capital 10.80% 12.45% 12.91%
Beta
The Average Beta for Food, Beverage & Tobacco Industryof .97 is
greater than the Company Beta of .91 only, which means that there is less risk
in investing in this company. It will take 80% risk to purchase a firm’s stock as
implied by the unlevered beta.
Cost of Equity
110
In the computation of Cost of Equity, the formula below is used:
The cost of equity is the appropriate hurdle rate, when returns are
measured to equity investors in the company. Thus, a new store has to earn a
return on equity of more than 15.80% for the year 2011, and 16.02% for the
year 2010 to be considered a good investment. These percentages are higher
than the cost of equity for Food, Beverage & Tobacco Industryof 12.39%.
Cost of Debt
In the computation of Cost of Debt for the Company, a 6.10% and 8.39%
pre-tax cost of debt is computed for 2010 and 2011 respectively. The formula to
determine the cost of debt is as follows:
Cost of Capital
111
Chapter IV
Measuring Investment Returns
LINES OF BUSINESS:
112
3. The commodity food products segment engages in sugar milling
and refining, and flour milling and pasta manufacturing and
marketing. The peak season for sugar is during its crop season,
which normally starts in November and ends in April while flour and
pasta’s peak season is before and during the Christmas season.
113
114
RETURN ON EQUITY
Broadcasting URC
Media Industry 2010 2011
Net Income 16.69% 8,138,249,594 5,007,553,857
Shareholder's 41,838,241,009 42,026,511,494
Equity
115
Return on Equity 19.45% 11.92%
RETURN ON CAPITAL
Broadcasting URC
Media Industry 2010 2011
Net Income 8,138,249,594 5,007,553,857
Adjusted Tax 780,999,818 613,894,698
Book Value of
Debt 23,521,059,737 26,347,172,407
Book Value of
Equity 41,838,241,009 42,026,511,494
Cash 4,459,254,984 4,546,881,527
Return on
Capital 11.31% 12.45% 7.32%
116
Chapter V
CAPITAL STRUCTURE CHOICES
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
201 201
0 1
DEBT RATIO 36% 39%
EQUITY RATIO 64% 61%
2010 2011
Borrowing Costs
Interest and other finance costs incurred during the construction period
on borrowings used to finance property development are capitalized to the
appropriate asset accounts. Capitalization of borrowing costs commences when
the activities to prepare the asset are in progress, and expenditures and
borrowing costs are being incurred. The capitalization of these borrowing costs
ceases when substantially all the activities necessary to prepare the asset for
sale or its intended use are complete. If the carrying amount of the asset
exceeds its recoverable amount, an impairment loss is recorded. Capitalized
borrowing cost is based on the applicable weighted average borrowing rate.
Borrowing costs which do not qualify for capitalization are expensed as
incurred. Interest expense on loans is recognized using the effective interest
rate method over the term of the loans.
117
118
Chapter VI
Optimal Capital Structure
FINANCING MIX
To estimate for the best optimal capital structure of, the estimated after-
tax cost of debt and cost of equity were estimated.
WACC= (.1580)(.61)+(.0839)(.39)
= 12.91%
Given the projected cost of capital at each level of debt and equity, we
can see that the WACC is minimized and the firm value is maximized at 40%
/60% Debt/Equity Mix. Below this mix, the company is not utilizing enough of
the cheaper debt. Above this level, the increased costs of both debt and equity
cause WACC to increase as the company adds more debt to the mix. Thus, the
company having a 39%/61% Debt/Equity Mix with 8.39%/15.80% cost of
debt/ cost of equity in comparison to the projected data , is not considered as
the optimum level that maximizes the firm value.
119
Chapter VII
Mechanics of Moving to the Optimal
ASSUMPTIONS:
Optimal Debt Ratio in 2010 and 2011 is 40%.
COMPARISONS:
In 2010, Actual debt ratio is 36% is lower than the optimal debt ratio
which is 40% is under levered.
In 2011, Actual debt ratio is 39% lower than the optimal debt ratio which
is 40% is under levered.
RESULTS:
The optimal route for maximizing the firm value since under the
framework, the actual debt ratio for 2010 and 2011 are under levered
and the firm is not subject for take over the firm have good projects
where it shows that the ROE of the company which are 11.92% and
19.45% for 2011 and 2010 respectively are lower than the cost of equity
which are 15.80% and 16.02%; as well as the ROC which are 7.32% and
12.45% are lower than the cost of capital which are 12.91% and 12.45%,
120
the company should consider the desires of their shareholders whether
they want to be compensated for additional dividends or allow the
management to use funds to buy shares back to the company for
reinvestmen
Chapter VIII
Dividend Policy
Dividends
The Company paid dividends as follows:
For fiscal year 2011, a regular cash dividend of =P1.50 per share and a special
dividend of =P0.40 per share were declared to all stockholders of record as of
May 31, 2011 and paid on June 27, 2011.
For fiscal year 2010, cash dividend of =P0.94 per share was declared to all
stockholders of record as of May 5, 2010 and paid on May 20, 2010.
On January 12, 2011, the Group’s BOD approved the extension of the
Group’s share buy-back program, allotting up to another =P2.5 billion to
reacquire a portion of the Parent Company’s issued and outstanding common
shares. The extension of the share buyback program shall have the same terms
and conditions as the share buyback program approved by the BOD on
November 13, 2007
Dividend Pay-Out
Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield measures the return that an investor can make from
dividends alone.
121
Chapter IX
A Framework for Analyzing Dividends
Based on this analysis, URC could have returned Php 8,830,456,510in cash to
its stockholders, either in the form of cash dividends or equity buybacks during
the period.
122
Firms Pays out too little dividends
2010: FCFE of 6,048,053,940 is greater than the dividends of
1,946,133,167.
2011: FCFE of 11,612,859,085 is greater than the dividends of
3,917,043,673.
Comparisons:
2010: ROE of 19.45% is greater than the cost of equity of 16.02%
ROC of 12.45% is equal to the cost of capital of 12.45%.
2011: ROE of 11.92% is lesserthan the cost of equity of 15.80%.
ROC of 7.32% is lesser than the cost of capital of 12.91%.
Results:
Universal Robina Corporation has history of good project choice and good
projects in the future, therefore, give managers the flexibility to keep
cash and set dividends.
123
Chapter X
Valuation
In its most general form, the value of a stock in the dividend discount
model is the Present Value (PV) of the expected dividends on the stock in
perpetuity.
Where:
Terminal Value = = E(Dividends) n+1
(rn+gn)
124
r= cost of equity
g= is the expected growth rate in dividends in perpetuity after year n.
This is lower than the cost of equity for the firm which is 15.80% and the
average return on equity for broadcasting mass media which is 16.69%. The
company paid out dividends per share of Php1.50 on earnings per share of
P2.43. The resulting retention ratio is
If URC maintains existing ROE and Retention Ratio for long term, its expected
growth will be:
For the next five years, it will be assumed that ROE will improve to 14% while
retention ratio will stay unchanged at 38%. The expected growth rate in
earnings per share is
In the previous computation, it is estimated that the annual growth rate for the
next 5 years is at 5.32%, based upon an estimated ROE of 14% and a retention
125
ratio of 38%. In 2011, the EPS at URC were Php 2.43 and the dividend per
share is Php1.50. Earlier analysis of the risk at URC provided an estimate of .
91 beta , which is used in conjunction with an assumed risk free rate of 4% and
assumed risk premium rate of 12.97% yielded cost of equity of 15.80%.
Assuming that at the end of year 5, URC earnings growth will drop to 8% and
stay at the level of perpetuity. In keeping with the assumption of stable growth
it will also be assumed that:
The beta will decrease marginally to .81, resulting in slightly lower COE
of 14.51% based on the following computations:
The ROE will drop to the COE of 14.51%, thus preventing excess return
from being earned in perpetuity.
The pay-out ratio will adjust to reflect the stable growth period rate and
ROE
The value per share at the end of the 5th year can be estimated using these
inputs
The Present Value of the terminal value is computed using the high growth
period cost of equity
126
The total value per share is the sum of this value and the present value of the
expected dividends in high growth period.
The FCFE is the residual cash flow left over after meeting interest and principal
payments and providing for capital expenditures to maintain existing assets to
create new assets for future growth
Once we estimate the FCFE, the general version model resembles the
dividend discount model, with FCFE replacing dividends in the equation
Where:
Terminal Value = = E(Dividends) n+1
(rn+gn)
r= cost of equity
g= is the expected growth rate in dividends in perpetuity after year n.
To value ABS-CBN, the expected growth net income will be computed first using
the following formulas:
ABS-CBN has a net income of 2,028,347,000 for 2013, interest income before
taxes of 94,438,000 and faced a tax rate of 25%. The book value of equity at
the end of 2013 was 25,922,757,000, of which cash was represented
10,616,855,000.
127
= (5,007,553,857-4,546,881,527)(1-10.92%))
42,026,511,494-4,546,881,527
= 2.55%
The expected growth in net income can be computed as the product of non-cash
ROE and equity reinvestment rate
Based upon the above computations, it is expected that URC to grow at .45% a
year.
The average equity reinvestment rate of 17.53% will be used for the next 5
years. In conjunction, with the non-cash return on equity of 2.55% that was
computed previously, expected growth rate of .45% is also estimated for the
next 5 years.
Assuming that a beta for equity of .81, risk free rate of 4%, and equity risk
premium is 12.97%, the cost of equity will be computed as follows
Assuming that after year 5, the beta will remain .81, risk free rate of 4% and
equity risk premium will decline to 10%, the resulting cost of equity is
After year 5, it is also be assumed that the growth in net income will drop to
8% and the ROE will rise to 12.10%. The equity reinvestment ratio in stable
growth can then be estimated as follows
128
YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 YEAR 5
NET INCOME 5,030,08 5,052,723,2 5,075,460,4 5,098,300,0 5,121,242,42
7,849 45 99 72 2
EQUITY 17.53% 17.53% 17.53% 17.53% 17.53%
REINVESTMENT
RATE
FCFE 4,148,31 4,166,980,8 4,185,732,2 4,204,568,0 4,223,488,62
3,449 60 74 69 5
PRESENT VALUE 3,700,54 3,315,967,6 2,971,355,4 2,662,557,1 2,385,850,71
AT 12.10% 7,234 15 59 44 5
TOTAL: 15,036,278,1
70
To estimate the terminal value of equity, the free cash flow to equity is first
computed as follows:
The terminal value is then computed using the stable period cost of equity of
12.10%.
Terminal Value of Equity= 1,873,883,087
(.1210-.080)
=45,704,465,540
The current value of equity is the sum of PV of the expected cash flows
computed as follows
PV of FCFE’s 15,036,278,170
Add: PV of terminal value 25,818,474,120
VALUE OF EQUITY IN OPERATING 40,854,752,290
ASSETS
VALUE OF CASH AND MARKETABLE 4,546,881,527
SECURITIES
VALUE OF EQUITY IN FIRM Php45,401,633,817
129