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IDEOLOGY 291

argument. Important political disagreements involve


issues, such as abortion and homosexual rights, which are
I distantly removed from economic concerns as normally
understood. Often the opinion of an official’s “liberalism”
or “conservatism” is unrelated to his or her views on eco-
nomic issues, and decided entirely by the position on mat-
ters such as abortion. Moreover, positions on social and
IDEOLOGY economic issues seem to be blended together: it is difficult
or even impossible to find an elected official who is in
1. Introduction favor of more economic freedom and also in favor of abor-
tion rights, and conversely. As we shall see, both of these
Ideology is a thorn in the side of public choice. The disci- observations — the significance of non-economic ideolog-
pline would be more powerful and more useful if it were ical issues, and the linkage of issues so that the ideological
not true that ideological factors were important in explain- space is one-dimensional — are consistent with what we
ing political behavior. This is true for at least two reasons. have now come to appreciate is the nature of ideology in
First, public choice applies economic methods and theories politics.
to political behavior. But economic theory has no theory of
ideology and no room for ideological factors, and so the 2. Existence
application of public choice is weakened by the importance
of factors that are outside of economics. Second, a key George Stigler (1971) unintentionally generated an interest
tenet of public choice theory is that people operate in the in ideology. Stigler took an particularly strong stand
political realm in about the same way as in the economic against the importance of ideology, and argued that in
realm. But in normal economic behavior, there is little effect all economically relevant political behaviors could
room for ideological aspects of behavior. Although people be explained by economic self-interest (see also Posner,
may try to boycott South African products or to purchase 1974; Peltzman, 1976). This idea was appealing to econo-
recycled paper goods, consumption decisions of this sort mists for two reasons. First, the hypothesis was sharp and
are marginal and fairly unimportant. But as shown below, was empirically testable. Second, the nature of the hypoth-
ideological factors are much more important in politics. esis was one that created sympathy among economists;
Nonetheless, empirical evidence indicates that ideology is economists are pleased to suppose that economic self-
an important part of political behavior, and scholars must interest is the main motivator of human behavior. This may
take the world as we find it. be because such a belief creates a stronger position for eco-
Public choice scholars have examined two main issues nomics as a discipline, and hence is in the economic self-
associated with the influence of ideological factors on polit- interest of economists (the downside of this argument is
ical behavior. First is the existence question: is there such an that, as Stigler 1976 indicates, economists will have little
influence? Second is the role of the ideology of the elected influence on policy decisions). On the other hand, it may be
representative versus the role of constituent ideology. This because economists themselves behave this way, and
has been addressed as a form of “shirking”: do elected expect others to do so as well (see Carter and Irons, 1991).
representatives avoid accountability by voting their own That is, economists liked this hypothesis for reasons related
ideological preferences instead of the interests of their con- both to their own self-interest and to their ideology.
stituents? We now have answers to these questions. First, However, as much as we might like the hypothesis and
ideology does matter. Second, politicians do not shirk; wish it to be true, it is fair to say that the results are in, and
rather, elected representatives dependably pursue their con- the hypothesis has been falsified. There has been an exten-
stituents’ interests. However, in the process of answering sive body of empirical investigation of congressional vot-
these questions, the analysis of ideology has been markedly ing and it has shown that ideological factors have extensive
advanced and its empirical relevance has been extensively power in explaining congressional voting; see also Mueller,
explored. This analysis shows that ideology may be a pri- 1989, for a discussion agreeing with this conclusion. The
mary building block of political conduct. I discuss each of major initial contributors to the literature were James Kau
these issues: existence, shirking, and current and new and Paul Rubin (1978, 1979, 1981; Kau et al., 1982).
problems related to ideology. Joseph Kalt and Mark Zupan (1984) also made a signifi-
If the question of the significance of ideology were cant contribution. These scholars have found that
raised today, it is unlikely that there would be much of an ideology, calculated as a score on a voting scale such as one
292 IDEOLOGY

compiled by the Americans for Democratic Action (ADA) “history,” but he indicates that “one could allude to
or measured by the presidential vote in the congressional regional differences in ideology as easily as to ‘historical
district, has considerable explanatory power in predicting inertia’ … ” (Peltzman, 1985, p. 666). In his 1985 paper,
voting by individual congressmen. These results may be Peltzman himself relegates the results of his 1984 paper to
considered as confirming Schumpeter’s (1950) claim that a footnote. Thus, the existence of ideology as an important
ideology is important in economic affairs (although not determinant of congressional voting has survived an inten-
his claim that it would lead to the fall of capitalism, a pre- sive attack by a skillful econometrician (I do not offer a
diction which has recently been falsified). complete analysis of the economic literature relating ideol-
The basic technique has been to use voting by con- ogy to passage of legislation. There are numerous papers
gressmen on issues as the dependent variable and a list of providing such analysis. Lott and Davis (1992, footnote 1)
factors aimed at measuring constituent economic interests cite 18 such papers. Kalt and Zupan (1990, footnote 2) cite
and also ideological variables as the independent variables 20, only partially overlapping those listed by Lott and
in probit or logit regressions. The constituent characteris- Davis).
tics generally include income, age, urbanization, race, Further verification sustaining the importance of ideol-
education, unemployment, industry of employment, ogy is supplied by studies examining campaign contribu-
unionization, measures of government spending in the tions. Changes in campaign finance laws led to a large
district, and occasionally measures of particular types of increase in the ability of a variety of groups to create
economic activity in the district. Following Kau and Rubin Political Action Committees (PACs) and contribute to
(1979), it is common to regress these measures on a meas- political campaigns by. Traditionally, labor unions had con-
ure of ideology such as ratings assigned by the ADA or tributed extensively to campaigns. However, changes in the
other ideological pressure groups and then use the unex- law enabled business and ideological groups to form PACs
plained regression residual as the measure of “pure” ideol- and use contributions to attempt to attain their goals (it is
ogy. Sometimes a simultaneous model is used where interesting to note that the changes in the law which gener-
campaign contributions are also controlled for (e.g., ated the rise of the PACs were endorsed by labor unions,
Chappell, 1982; Kau et al., 1982; Kau and Rubin, 1982, apparently because they failed to predict the effects of
1993; also see Stratmann, 1992a for a careful analysis of these changes on the ability of businesses to donate to cam-
this issue). Logrolling is also taken into account in some paigns). Both business and ideological PACs now con-
specifications (e.g., Kau and Rubin, 1979; Stratmann, tribute substantially to political campaigns. The structure
1992b.) In such analyses, the measure of ideology is invari- of these contributions is analyzed more fully in Poole
ably statistically and economically significant. and Romer (1985), who show that there is an important
What has perhaps been just as influential in persuading ideological component to contributions in general.
many scholars that ideology is an important variable are the The large volume of contributions generated by ideo-
results of the comparatively futile attempts to challenge the logical PACs is itself evidence against the strong economic
hypothesis. Indeed, the original work by Kau and Rubin interest hypothesis. These contributions show that many
was projected to show that ideology did not matter, and individuals and groups are willing to spend money to attain
failed in this endeavor. Peltzman (1984, 1985) later non-economic goals. This reveals that these contributors
engaged in a determined effort to show that ideology was have tastes for public goods. This observation is of course
unimportant. In the 1984 paper, he controlled more care- consistent with economic theory (where the elements of the
fully than others had for constituent characteristics, specif- utility function are unspecified) but it is not consistent with
ically by measuring the characteristics of those who the strong claim that political action is aimed only at
actually voted for US Senators rather than characteristics increasing money income. If some are willing to contribute
of all voters in the electoral district (here, the state.) In this money to change public policy for non-economic reasons,
way he was able to reduce the impact of the ideological then it is not surprising that people are also willing to use
variable, but not, in general, to eliminate it. That is, their votes to achieve these same goals. It would not be sur-
Peltzman (1984) found that ideology mattered, although prising if citizens were willing to vote for candidates who
perhaps not as much as others had thought. Indeed, in a promised to support legislation which would gratify their
subsequent paper (Peltzman, 1985), he found much the ideological, as opposed to economic, preferences.
same result as others: while economic factors are relevant This is particularly true when we remember that the act
in explaining congressional voting, and, in particular, of voting is itself not understandable in terms of economic
trends in such voting, non-economic factors also are highly rationality, since the probability of any one vote changing
significant. Peltzman calls these non-economic factors the outcome of an election is infinitesimal and voting does
IDEOLOGY 293

have positive costs (Downs, 1957). However, Nelson Conceptually, issues of ideology and of shirking should
(1994) has recently formulated a model, discussed more be separated. It is possible to have ideologically based vot-
fully below, in which political activity, including apparently ing without shirking. It is also possible to have shirking
ideological activity, serves a private goal (see also Morton, without ideologically based voting. For example, a repre-
1991). sentative might vote in response to contributions received
Even if we believe that the ideological PACs actually from various special interests, and thus shirk with respect
attain economic goals, economic theory still has difficulty to his constituents’ desires, but in a way unrelated to ideol-
in explaining their survival. This is because such PACs ogy. Indeed, Kau and Rubin (1993) find exactly this form
must overcome considerable free rider problems, as dis- of shirking. This last possibility has not been carefully
cussed by Olson (1965). Even for a potential contributor studied in the literature, which has focused on ideological
who believes in the goals of an organization, the optimal shirking (see Bender and Lott 1996 for an analysis).
strategy would be to abstain from contributing and to Kalt and Zupan (1984, 1990) argue strongly that the
free ride on the donations of others. Thus, when we observe observed voting behavior of representatives comports well
individuals freely contributing to ideological PACs, we with representatives’ own ideologies, and therefore repre-
have already observed a phenomenon that contradicts sents shirking. Nelson and Silberberg (1987) test the
the restricted view of self interested rationality. Perhaps, in responsiveness of their measure of shirking to changes in
addition to tastes for policies, individuals also have tastes its relative price. However, as Bender and Lott (1996) indi-
for feeling that they themselves have influenced those poli- cate, their measure (relative strength of ADA ratings in
cies (e.g., Andreoni, 1989). However, whatever theories explaining voting on general versus special-interest bills) is
may be evolved to explain these organizations, their exis- flawed. A better measure is the behavior of legislators in
tence and size does present a puzzle for the strong versions periods when reelection is not an issue; using this measure,
of the economic theory of politics. Lott (1987) finds that legislators shirk by voting less often,
but do not change their ideological positions when they do
3. Shirking vote. Dougan and Munger (1989), following Downs
(1957), argue that what appears to be ideology is actually
Even if it is conceded that ideology “matters” in congres- an investment in brand-name capital — a signal of reliabil-
sional voting, an important question remains. That is the ity and commitment providing voters with assurance that
issue of whose ideology counts. Congressmen voting ideo- representatives will not behave opportunistically. They
logically might simply be reflecting tastes of constituents. argue that past votes create a valuable reputational asset
Alternatively, they might be indulging their own prefer- that makes promises of future voting behavior credible.
ences (Wittman, 1977, 1983). This is essentially a principal– Both Kalt and Zupan and Dougan and Munger present
agent question: are legislators good agents for their empirical evidence that they argue is consistent with that
constituents’ (principals’) ideological views, or are they hypothesis. Glazer and Grofman (1989) argue that ideol-
shirking and representing their own views? ogy is a method used by politicians to communicate with
This question has been addressed thoroughly in the lit- constituents, who pay limited attention to political debates.
erature. There has been some confusion in many analyses, In a recent and important paper, Lott and Davis (1992)
however. The initial work (Kau and Rubin, 1979) was con- have criticized the methodology both of Kalt and Zupan
cerned with the issue of whether non-economic factors and of Dougan and Munger. More importantly, Lott and
(called ideology) influenced legislation; this work did not Davis (1992) and Bender and Lott (1996) have shown that
attempt to differentiate between the ideology of the repre- voters punish shirking, to the extent that it exists, and that
sentative and that of his constituency. For example, Kau they are empirically quite sensitive to wandering in ideo-
and Rubin (1979, p. 366) stated explicitly that, “the repre- logical space. One result is that senators who deviate from
sentative (or his constituency) may be ideologically in the interests of their constituents by as little as 1.27 per-
favor of the bill … .” centage points are ultimately defeated. Thus, they conclude
But others have conflated the question of ideological that whether or not shirking exists is unimportant since if
impacts on voting with the question of ideological shirking. there is shirking it is strongly punished by political mar-
Peltzman (1984), for example, views his analysis as testing kets. Kau and Rubin (1993) also find that if there is ideo-
between the impacts of constituent interest and ideology. It logical shirking, it is strongly and quickly punished. The
is possible for a representative to represent constituent ide- key argument is that political markets do a good job of sort-
ological interest, so Peltzman’s categories are not mutually ing legislators. That is, a representative must be in ideolog-
exclusive. ical agreement with his constituency to be elected to office.
294 IDEOLOGY

If ideological voting is based on constituent ideology, will vote one way and almost everyone to the other side
this also has created a puzzle for public choice scholars. We will vote the other way, with errors being clustered near the
do not have a theory of constituent ideology. Indeed, we critical point. The winner in any vote is then determined by
have no theory of political behavior in general by individ- the location of this critical point.
uals. Revealed theory cannot explain why rational individ- Ideology as so defined is more important than con-
uals vote. stituent economic interest in explaining voting by legisla-
Recently, however, Nelson (1994) has offered a theory tors. Moreover, it is even more important in explaining the
that depends on ideology to motivate voting. Nelson begins policies that are actually selected than in explaining voting
with the standard Downsian observation that, because the per se. Policies adopted tend to be systematically biased
chance of any given voter influencing the outcome of an away from the center of the distribution of legislators and
election is trivial, there is no private motive for voting towards the ideological center of the majority party.
related to the expectation that any one vote will be decisive. Ideology is more important in influencing the outcome of
Nelson goes on to argue, however, that there is a private the legislative process than in influencing voting by legis-
motive for voting and for expressing a political (ideologi- lators, even though voting is what has most often been
cal) position that is distinct from “instrumental” consider- studied.
ations. In particular, he suggests that “political positions A major issue raised by Poole and Rosenthal is the
are … chosen not because these positions are the desired nature of the voting continuum. They characterize it in sev-
outcome for voters, but rather because one wants to associ- eral ways. It is roughly defined in terms of conflict over
ate with certain people and they have certain positions. economic redistribution. It also generally reflects party loy-
People imitate others in choosing political positions” alty. A key point is that the continuum reflects logrolling.
(Nelson, 1994, p. 92). That is, votes are structured so that coalitions are main-
Nelson presents empirical evidence, relating to political tained across most issues. This explains in part why the
behavior of ethnic groups, which is consistent with his economic interests of constituents are not significant in any
hypothesis. For example, he shows that membership in var- one vote. The vote trading reflected in the continuum in
ious ethnic groups is significant in determining political part accounts for these interests. One theoretical treatment
affiliation (after adjusting for economic variables) and that consistent with these arguments is Hinich and Munger
the income of the ethnic group’s members 60 years ago is (1996). However, as discussed below, the nature of this
significant in explaining its political orientation today. continuum is one of the most important research questions
Thus, Nelson has presented a theoretical and empirical in the contemporary study of ideology.
basis for constituent ideology based on private motives and Poole and Rosenthal also show that for most of American
normal utility maximization. This model should make the history, a single ideological dimension is all that is required
use of variables related to constituent ideology less contro- to array votes. During two periods (the 1830s–1840s and the
versial among economists. 1940s–1960s) a second dimension dealing with race was
also useful. From the New Deal until the 1970s, they find
4. Current Research and Outstanding Questions that there was actually a three-party system in the United
States (Republicans, Northern and Southern Democrats).
Any future work on ideology must begin with a very More recently, the country has returned to a single ideologi-
important analysis that is probably the most significant cal dimension and a two-party system.
public choice analysis of the US Congress. This is Poole This is not a logical necessity. For example, Poole and
and Rosenthal (1997), a book-length treatment of roll call Rosenthal point out that it would be possible for two
voting by the House and Senate for all roll calls from the dimensions to be required, and the actual number needed is
first Congress in 1789–1985. It is based on numerous an empirical matter. They give the example of social and
articles by these authors and others; I will refer to the book economic ideology, with economic liberals favoring gov-
rather than to the articles. Poole and Rosenthal find that ernment intervention in economic matters and social liber-
what they call ideology is the basic organizing principle als opposing intervention in social or behavioral issues. It
behind all such voting. By their definition, “voting is along would then be possible for two dimensions to be needed to
ideological lines when positions are predictable along a explain voting. But the fact that one dimension is sufficient
wide set of issues” (Poole and Rosenthal, 1997, p. 4). They is because social conservatism and economic liberalism are
show that individual congressmen can be arrayed along a highly correlated, and the reverse. There are relatively few
unidimensional continuum for most roll call votes. Almost libertarians, and also relatively few individuals who favor
everyone to one side of a “critical point” on this continuum both social and economic interventionism. This may be
IDEOLOGY 295

because individuals attracted to politics tend to be those The work of Poole and Rosenthal shows that such a
who are interested in controlling others (Rubin, 2002). mechanism must exist and that it is exceedingly important.
The procedure used to estimate the continuum is called Poole and Rosenthal have measured the issue space for con-
“NOMINATE.” It is an iterative procedure, aimed at max- gressional voting. However, the results discussed above on
imizing the probabilities assigned to the observed votes.1 the absence of evidence of shirking show that the congres-
They also develop a dynamic procedure, D-NOMINATE, sional issue space is congruent with the issue space of voters
based on assuming that each legislator moves at most along as well. In other words, if the ideological space for Congress
a linear trend over his career. This assumption and resulting is one-dimensional and unimodal, and if Congress faithfully
trend line enables Poole and Rosenthal to estimate a com- reflects preferences of constituents, then the issue space of
mon issue space for all US history. (Groseclose et al., 1996 voters must also be one-dimensional and unimodal. This
estimate a similar function.) Because of the volume of data conclusion raises the question of which comes first — does
involved (11,473 legislators, 70,234 votes and 10,428,617 the issue space facing Congress come from the underlying
total decisions), the estimation requires the use of a super- preferences of constituents, or does the political process
computer. A two-dimensional model (i.e., an issue space somehow define the issue space for individuals?
allowing for two ideological dimensions) and a linear trend Poole and Rosenthal provide a mechanism for using ide-
for each legislator provide as good a fit (about 85% of indi- ology in a time series analysis. Without their data, this
vidual votes predicted correctly) as higher-order models would be difficult because each Congress faces different
(with either more dimensions or a more complex polyno- issues. For example: In year 1, the legislature passes a min-
mial time path for legislators). Indeed, a one-dimensional imum wage of $2.00 per hour by a 51–49% margin. Liberal
model assuming that each legislator maintains a constant ratings services such as the Americans for Democratic
position predicts about 80% of the votes correctly. Action count a vote for the minimum as a plus, so 51% of
Poole and Rosenthal show that the NOMINATE variable the legislature receives a positive score for this vote. In
is highly correlated with more traditional measures of year 2, the legislature is more liberal, so it passes a $2.50
ideology, such as the ADA rating. This is a nice result minimum wage by the same margin. The liberal rating
since many researchers, including many of those discussed service still counts a vote for as a plus, so again 51% of the
above, have used these scores in measuring ideology. legislature gets a positive score. Thus, even though the
NOMINATE is a preferred rating scale since it is more legislature is more liberal, conventional measures of
comprehensive and since traditional interest group ratings ideology will show no change. However, by relating votes
are subject to “folding” problems. That is, a legislator just by the same legislator from year to year, Poole and
a little more liberal than the ADA would get the same rat- Rosenthal are able to derive an intertemporally comparable
ing as a representative who was more conservative by the index. This index can then be used in time series analyses of
same amount. However, many of the major interest groups changes in policy. For example, Kau and Rubin (2002)
(e.g., the ADA and the American Conservative Union) are show that the ideological composition of the Senate has
at or very near the (opposite) ends of the political space, so only a small effect on the size and growth of government,
this problem is not acute. and the House has no effect. Thus, it appears that ideology
The major theoretical issue regarding ideology is the is important in the cross section but may be less so in the
low dimension of the ideological space, as found by time series. This issue is clearly worth additional analysis.
Poole and Rosenthal (this is consistent with others who have Beyond this, there are fundamental questions of the
examined ideology, but Poole and Rosenthal document the nature of ideology itself. North (1990) has raised this issue
result much more carefully and completely). Indeed, it and stressed its importance. He believes that the basic
appears that the US political system can only handle a one- direction of society is determined by its ideological prefer-
dimensional space. In those two periods when the space ences and that we do not sufficiently understand these pref-
increased to two dimensions, catastrophe followed. The erences. This means that, in addition to determining the
first was the Civil War. The second was the chaos of the mapping between constituent and representative prefer-
1960s. Thus, it appears that our institutions may have diffi- ences, the underlying structure of these preferences itself is
culty with a policy space of more than one dimension. This an issue of fundamental importance.
of course would not be surprising; many of the theoretical
results following Arrow show that the only guarantee of 5. Summary and Implications for Future Research
stability is a unidimensional, unimodal issue space. But
what has not been fully explored is the mechanism that The initial interest in ideology was an effort to determine
constrains the US to remain in such a space. whether non-economic factors influenced economic
296 IDEOLOGY

legislation. The conclusion is that they do. The emphasis on Kalt, Joseph P. and Mark A. Zupan (1990). “The apparent
shirking following this initial analysis has, in my view, ideological behavior of legislators: Testing for principal-agent
slack in political institutions.” Journal of Law and Economics,
been misguided. Constituent ideological preferences do
33: 103–132.
have impacts on legislative outcomes, and the profession
Kau, James B., Donald Keenan, and Paul H. Rubin (1982).
should devote its efforts to determining the source and “A general equilibrium model of congressional voting.”
nature of these beliefs. The recent work of Nelson (1994) is Quarterly Journal of Economics, 97: 271–293.
a good attempt at beginning this effort, and future research Kau, James B. and Paul H. Rubin (1978). “Voting on minimum
on ideology should focus on this issue, rather than on wages: a time series analysis.” Journal of Political Economy,
devising ever more scholastic tests to measure relative 86: 337–342.
strength of constituent and legislator ideology. In addition, Kau, James B. and Paul H. Rubin (1979). “Self-interest, ideology
and logrolling in congressional voting.” Journal of Law and
the factors that make the issue space unidimensional and Economics, 22: 365–384.
unimodal are worthy of attention because these factors Kau, James B. and Paul H. Rubin (1982). Congressmen,
serve to eliminate problems of cycling and instability. Constituents, and Contributors. Boston: Martinus Nijhoff.
Finally, the work of North (1990) tells us that the underly- Kau, James B. and Paul H. Rubin (1993). “Ideology, voting, and
ing structure of ideology is itself of crucial importance in shirking.” Public Choice, 76: 151–172.
ordering an economy, and we have no good theory to Kau, James B. and Paul H. Rubin (2002). “The growth of gov-
explain this structure. ernment: sources and limits.” Public Choice, 113: 389–402.
Lott, John R. Jr. (1987). “Political cheating.” Public Choice, 52:
PAUL H. RUBIN 169–187.
Lott, John R. Jr. and Michael Davis, L. (1992). “A critical review
NOTES and extension of the political shirking literature.” Public
Choice, 74: 461–484.
1. The program and data are available at Poole and Rosenthal’s Morton, Rebecca (1991). “Groups in rational turnout models.”
web site, http://voteview.gsia.cmu.edu/. American Journal of Political Science, 35: 758–776.
Mueller, Dennis C. (1989). Public Choice II. New York:
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received the largest number of votes in the first round, this
analysis is thought to be applicable so that the median still
THE IMPORTANCE OF THE MIDDLE serves as the dominant strategy for a second round. Hence,
IN SPATIAL POLITICS the median is a powerful and attractive position for politi-
cians who want to win and remain in office.
1. Introduction However, there remained a feeling, or maybe an
intellectual conviction, that there had to be more than one
Since Hotelling (1929), almost as an after-thought in a paper dimension of choice. When there are two or more dimen-
on the location of economic activity, observed that there was sions to the space in which issues are measured, then the
a reason why winning Democrats and Republicans tended to Impossibility Theorem is applicable. No dominant strategy
favor each other, there has been a recognition of the impor- can be guaranteed. Thus, the question of finding conditions
tance of the middle in political competition. It remained for under which dominance does exist is an intellectual
Black (1948, 1958) and Downs (1957) to develop single challenge.
dimensional models of spatial politics and to observe that Plott (1967) may have been the first to explore this
the median constituted a dominant strategy for a candidate issue, and he established sufficient conditions for equilib-
or party to prevail in an election in which there are only two rium in multidimensional choice spaces. The most impor-
contenders. tant and best known of these conditions is pairwise
Arrow (1951) turned the discussion in a different direc- symmetry, which states that all nonzero utility gradients at
tion from that outlined by Black (1948) by proving that the equilibrium must be divisible into pairs that point in
under reasonable conditions there was no guarantee that a opposite directions. Enelow and Hinich (1983) develop
social preference ordering might even exist. The fact that examples to demonstrate that Plott’s conditions are indeed
there might be no solution, or no dominant strategy, or no sufficient, but they are not necessary. Indeed, Plott’s condi-
equilibrium, was a shockingly novel idea. Elections almost tions would lead one to believe, as Shepsle (1979, p.28)
always produce a winner, but it was not clear just what the states, “… unless the assumption of unidimensional or
winner might represent. There was obviously the possibil- symmetrically distributed preference is satisfied, the solu-
ity of arbitrariness in the outcome, and that very thought tion to the election game posited by spatial theory does not
was unsettling. generally exist.” However, Enelow and Hinich’s argument
It would not be long, however, before the search turned to demonstrates that Plott’s conditions are far stricter or con-
the issue of finding conditions under which there might be an straining than need be, so equilibrium may not be so rare.
equilibrium or a dominant strategy. This search is the topic Davis and Hinich (1966, 1967) introduced a multidi-
that we review here. Unfortunately, since the literature is mensional spatial model that utilized the tools of probabil-
large, it is probably impossible to do full justice to all the con- ity theory, especially the notion of distributions. The main
tributions. We attempt, however, to cover the major aspects. results of these papers, along with some extensions, is

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