India

Chloe

Harper
Cooper
Student

Hudson
Angeline

Indianna
1. Write an example of an event
that is likely to occur today.

certain
Would be

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Not attempted = white

2. Write an example of an event

that is unlikely to occur today.

3. Colour in the marbles so that

red is the least likely to be
picked and the blue most
likely to be picked.

4. Choose one of the words to fill

in the blank and complete the
Incorrect = red

sentence correctly.

Unlikely
ends

Certain

*correct order,
Impossible

incorrect location
on the number line.

*although down correct

5. Draw a line to match
each word to a place

Likely

a) You will
breathe air
Certain
instead
of likely

today.
Close = yellow

each event.

b) There will be
Chance – Prior Knoweldge Assessment Record

an assembly
today.

c) Meatballs will
fall from the
instead
Unlikely

of impos

sky.

d) I will have a
drink of water
Certain
Certain

instead
instead

of likely
of likely

Certain
instead
of likely

today.

e) Water turns to
6. Circle the word that beset descries the chance of

ice in your
oven.
Correct = green

7. Circle the event which cannot

happen unless it rains.
 5. 6.
a) b) c) d) e)

Impossible
Student 1. 2. 3. 4. 7.

Unlikely

Certain

Likely
Jacob Unlikely
instead
of impos

Jakob Certain
instead
of likely

James

Jude Certain
instead
of likely

Keira

Kyron Likely Certain

instead instead
of certain of likely

Lola Certain
instead
of likely

Lucas B

Lucas D Certain
instead
of likely

Maia Certain
instead
of likely

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 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7)
a) b) c) d) e)

Impossible
Student

Unlikely

Certain

Likely
Nicole Certain
* wrong ends instead
of likely

Penelope Certain
instead
of likely

Rhys Certain
instead
of likely

Seth UNSURE Certain

WHAT instead
WROTE of likely

Siana Likely
instead
of certain

Tamara Likely Unlikely

instead instead
of certain of impos

Tate Unlikely
instead
of impos

Yuvin NOT SURE WHAT Likely

HE DID instead
of certain

Zak Initially Certain

correct, instead
changed of likely
to likely

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Deductions from Prior Knowledge Task

- Difficulties with terminology on number line:

o Chloe, Cooper, India, Nicole, Tamara, Yuvin
- Many students displayed difficulties choosing between:
o Certain and likely
o Impossible and unlikely
- Marble colouring (most likely/least likely) incorrect:
o Jacob, Lucas D, Rhys, Seth, Yuvin

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