Day Peak Energy Management Solution: Solar Power

Solar Power:
Day Peak Energy

Management Solution
Adel Garcia, Jr. – PEE

Mobile: +63 917 522 2225
Email - adelgarcia@gmail.com
Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.
Energy Systems Integration AVGarcia Power Systems Corp. Quezon City, Metro Manila, Tel: 372 9247
Generation - Distribution - Utilization Email: info@avgarciapowersystems.com
The Energy Resource Company
Abstract and Objective
Solar Power: Day Peak Energy Management Solution
➢ The Presentation proposes Solar Power as Day

Peak Solution, both for Supply and Demand
Energy Management
➢ The Presentation shall discuss solutions
applicable to Distribution Utilities; Commercial
installations for SMEs; Domestic and Home Use
➢ The Presentation shall also put forward an
estimated LCOE and savings
➢ The Presentation intends to propagate the
correct information about Solar Power as an
Energy Management Solution
Presentation Outline
➢Supply and Demand Balance
➢Solar PV – Mature Technology
➢Target Capacity Mix
➢Blended Generation Cost
➢Q&A

Supply and Demand Balance
Capacity Planning must address Demand Profile:
➢ 24hr Load Cycle
➢ Base
➢ Mid-Merit
➢ Peak
➢ Demand Growth
➢ 3Yr
➢ 5Yr
➢ 10Yr
Typically, 5Yr demand growth is used as basis for

capacity planning.
Proposition: Solar PV Day Peak Energy
Management Solution
➢ Annual Plant Capacity Factor 18% to 20%
➢ Niche Opportunity As Day Peak Shaver
➢ Technology & Sustainability Mature; High
➢ Future Capacity Expansion Modular and Scalable
➢ Average Area Requirement 7.5m2/kW
➢ Typical Project Volume <US$1M/MW
➢ Ave Generation COST @13.8kV PhP 4.0 to 5.0 per kWh

Fears; Mitigation & Benefits
Fears Mitigation/Benefit
1. Capacity Sustainability Proven as Mature Technology
Accurate Weather Info System
2. O&M/C&I Local Skills Available

Micro Grid Technologies
Advanced Scada Systems
3. Cost of Electricity LOWER THAN CURRENT Levels

Cost NOT bottomed yet

Supply and Demand Balance
Typical 10Yr Demand Projection
15.000
13.000
11.000
9.000
7.000
5.000
3.000
1.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
2028 PGF Gross 8.097 7.863 7.560 7.554 8.115 8.602 7.919 9.091 10.68 10.95 11.20 10.85 11.14 11.44 11.45 11.05 10.21 10.83 15.07 7.889 10.63 11.67 9.683 8.810
2025 PGF Gross 5.739 5.573 5.358 5.354 5.751 6.097 5.613 6.443 7.575 7.766 7.942 7.695 7.899 8.109 8.118 7.833 7.238 7.679 12.64 7.543 7.535 8.278 6.862 6.244
2023 PGF Gross 4.500 4.370 4.201 4.198 4.510 4.781 4.401 5.052 5.940 6.090 6.228 6.034 6.194 6.358 6.366 6.142 5.676 6.021 11.01 5.915 5.909 6.491 5.381 4.896
2021 PGF Gross 3.495 3.394 3.263 3.261 3.503 3.713 3.418 3.924 4.614 4.730 4.837 4.687 4.811 4.939 4.945 4.771 4.409 4.677 9.393 5.259 4.589 5.042 4.180 3.803
2019 PGF Gross 2.699 2.621 2.520 2.518 2.705 2.868 2.640 3.030 3.563 3.653 3.736 3.619 3.715 3.814 3.818 3.684 3.405 3.612 7.807 4.535 3.544 3.893 3.228 2.937
2018 PGF Gross 2.372 2.304 2.215 2.213 2.378 2.520 2.320 2.663 3.131 3.211 3.283 3.181 3.265 3.352 3.356 3.238 2.992 3.174 7.040 4.110 3.115 3.422 2.837 2.581

24Hr Demand Cycle
12.00
11.00
10.00
9.00
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
2023 PGF Gross 5.37 5.25 5.15 5.12 5.15 5.25 5.75 6.50 6.69 6.65 6.50 6.65 6.68 6.70 6.65 6.60 6.50 7.25 11.0 7.56 6.65 6.01 5.59 5.40

24Hr Supply Cycle
12.00
11.00
10.00
9.00
8.00
7.00
6.00
Mid-Merit Capacity
5.00
4.00
3.00 Base Capacity

2.00
1.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Peak - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.55 4.30 0.86 - - - -
Mid Merit 0.25 0.13 0.03 - 0.03 0.13 0.63 1.38 1.57 1.53 1.38 1.53 1.56 1.58 1.53 1.48 1.38 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.53 0.89 0.47 0.28
Base 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12
2023 PGF Gross 5.37 5.25 5.15 5.12 5.15 5.25 5.75 6.50 6.69 6.65 6.50 6.65 6.68 6.70 6.65 6.60 6.50 7.25 11.0 7.56 6.65 6.01 5.59 5.40

Capacity Requirement
12.00
Base Capacity - 5.0MW
11.00
Mid-Merit Capacity -1.5MW
10.00 Peak Capacity - 4.5MW
9.00 Peak Demand - 11.0MW
8.00
7.00
6.00
Mid-Merit Demand
5.00
4.00
3.00 Base Demand

2.00
1.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Peak - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.55 4.31 0.86 - - - -
Mid Merit 0.25 0.13 0.03 - 0.03 0.13 0.63 1.38 1.57 1.53 1.38 1.53 1.56 1.58 1.53 1.48 1.38 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.53 0.89 0.47 0.28
Base 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12
2023 PGF Gross 5.37 5.25 5.15 5.12 5.15 5.25 5.75 6.50 6.69 6.65 6.50 6.65 6.68 6.70 6.65 6.60 6.50 7.25 11.0 7.56 6.65 6.01 5.59 5.40

24Hr Capacity Supply Cycle
Design
Capacity Peak MWh LF
Capacity Mix
Peak 4.30 5.71 6% 5%
Mid Merit 1.58 24.03 63% 15%
Base 5.12 122.88 100% 80%
12.00 2023 11.00 152.62 58% 100%
11.00
10.00
9.00
8.00
7.00
6.00
Mid-Merit Demand
5.00
4.00
3.00 Base Demand

2.00
1.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Peak - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.55 4.31 0.86 - - - -
Mid Merit 0.25 0.13 0.03 - 0.03 0.13 0.63 1.38 1.57 1.53 1.38 1.53 1.56 1.58 1.53 1.48 1.38 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.53 0.89 0.47 0.28
Base 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 5.12
2023 PGF Gross 5.37 5.25 5.15 5.12 5.15 5.25 5.75 6.50 6.69 6.65 6.50 6.65 6.68 6.70 6.65 6.60 6.50 7.25 11.0 7.56 6.65 6.01 5.59 5.40

Case1: Island Grid ICE Tech-HFO/LFO
11MW Peak by 2023
Base Capacity - 5.0MW
11.00
Mid-Merit Capacity -1.5MW
10.00
Peak Capacity - 4.5MW
9.00
Peak Demand - 11.0MW
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Solar 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 3.00 3.50 3.50 3.50 1.25 0.50
HFO/LFO Base 5.37 5.25 5.15 5.12 5.15 5.25 5.75 6.25 6.19 5.90 5.50 3.65 3.18 3.20 3.15 5.35 6.00 7.25 11.0 7.56 6.65 6.01 5.59 5.40
Total 5.37 5.25 5.15 5.12 5.15 5.25 5.75 6.50 6.69 6.65 6.50 6.65 6.68 6.70 6.65 6.60 6.50 7.25 11.0 7.56 6.65 6.01 5.59 5.40

11MW Peak by 2023
Supply Capacity Generation, MWH
Capacity
PGUs CF% CF%
MW Peak Daily Annually Mix
Design Actual
HFO or LFO
11.00 85% 51% 11.00 134.870 49,228 88%
Base
Solar 5.00 18% 15% 3.50 17.750 6,479 12%
Total 16.00 40% 11.00 152.620 55,706 100%
11.00
10.00
9.00
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Solar 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 3.00 3.50 3.50 3.50 1.25 0.50
HFO/LFO Base 5.37 5.25 5.15 5.12 5.15 5.25 5.75 6.25 6.19 5.90 5.50 3.65 3.18 3.20 3.15 5.35 6.00 7.25 11.0 7.56 6.65 6.01 5.59 5.40
Total 5.37 5.25 5.15 5.12 5.15 5.25 5.75 6.50 6.69 6.65 6.50 6.65 6.68 6.70 6.65 6.60 6.50 7.25 11.0 7.56 6.65 6.01 5.59 5.40

11MW Peak by 2023
Capacity and IPP Cost of Electricity Owned Facility

Generation, MWh
Mix PhP Million PhP Million
PGUs
MW % Peak Daily Annual GenRate Daily Annual GenCost Daily Annual
HFO or LFO
11.00 88% 11.00 134.870 49,228 7.50 1.012 369.207 6.50 0.877 319.979
Base
Solar 5.00 12% 3.50 17.750 6,479 6.50 0.115 42.112 4.50 0.080 29.154
Total 16.00 100% 11.00 152.620 55,706 1.127 411.319 0.957 349.133
Blended 7.38 6.27
AGR=HFO 11.50 11.50
AGR-LFO 18.00 18.00
Savings-
4.12 0.628 229.30 5.23 0.799 291.49
HFO
Savings-
10.62 1.620 591.39 11.73 1.791 653.58
LFO

Case 2: Grid Connected Base Capacity
40MW Peak by 2023
40.00
Base Capacity - 15MW
35.00
Mid-Merit Capacity - 10MW
30.00 Peak Capacity - 15MW
Peak Demand - 40MW
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Solar 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 6.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 2.50 1.00
Hydro2 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 2.50 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75
Hydro1 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 2.50 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75
GridSupply 15.7 15.1 14.9 14.6 15.1 15.4 17.3 18.6 19.2 19.0 17.9 13.7 13.5 14.0 13.7 18.0 18.7 21.8 35.0 21.8 20.5 17.3 16.7 15.9
Total 19.2 18.6 18.4 18.1 18.6 18.9 20.8 22.6 23.7 24.0 23.4 23.2 24.0 24.5 24.2 24.0 23.2 25.3 40.0 25.3 24.0 20.8 20.2 19.4

40MW Peak by 2023
Supply Capacity Generation, MWh

Capacity
PGUs
CF%- CF% Mix
MW Peak Daily Annually
Design Actual
Grid Supply 30.00 50% 59% 35.00 424.07 154,784 78%
Hydro1 5.00 50% 36% 2.50 42.75 15,604 8%
Hydro2 5.00 50% 36% 2.50 42.75 15,604 8%
Solar 10.00 19% 15% 7.00 35.50 12,958 7%
Total 50.00 45% 40.00 545.07 198,949 100%
545.07 198,949

40MW Peak by 2023
Capacity and IPP Cost of Electricity Owned Facility
Generation, MWh
Mix PhP Million PhP Million
PGUs
MW % Peak Daily Annual Daily Annual GenCost Daily Annual
GenRate
Grid
30.00 78% 35.00 424.067 154,784 6.00 2.544 928.706 6.00 2.544 928.706
Supply
Hydro1 5.00 8% 2.50 42.750 15,604 5.50 0.235 85.821 4.25 0.182 66.316
Hydro2 5.00 8% 2.50 42.750 15,604 5.50 0.235 85.821 4.25 0.182 66.316
Solar 10.00 7% 7.00 35.500 12,958 6.50 0.231 84.224 4.50 0.160 58.309
Total 50.00 100% 40.00 545.067 198,949 3.245 1,184.571 3.068 1,119.647
Blended 5.95 5.63
Grid Rate 6.00 6.00 3.270 1,193.70
Savings 0.05 0.025 9.13 0.37 0.203 74.05

RE Investment Incentives
➢ 7 Years income Tax Holiday
➢ Duty Free Importation on Capital Equipment
➢ Special Rate on Real Estate Tax
➢ (1.5% of RE asset net Book Value, net book value is maximum of 80% of installed value)
➢ Net Loss Carry-Over (Nolco)
➢ Reduced Corporate Income Tax Rate
➢ (10% of Net Taxable Income, from the 8th Year of Operation and Onwards
➢ Accelerated Depreciation of RE Assets

➢ (ONLY IF RE Project not able to avail of ITH)
➢ Zero Rated VAT

➢ Electricity Sale
➢ Purchase of local goods, properties and services for the development, construction and installation of RE
Power Generation Facility
➢ RE exploration and development up to conversion into power, including services performed by
contractors/subcontractors
➢ Tax Exemption from sale of Carbon Credits
➢ Tax Credit on Domestic Capital Equipment and Services
➢ 100% of VAT and Customs Duties paid

AVGarcia Power Systems Corp.
www.avgarciapowersystems.com
Energy Solutions
Integrator and Provider

Mobile: +63 917 522 2225
Email - adel.garcia@avgarciapowersystems.com
Energy Systems Integration AVGarcia Power Systems Corp. Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.
Quezon City, Metro Manila, Tel: 372 9247
Q&A
RE Capacity Mix for Long
Term Embedded Capacity
Solutions in DX Grid Systems

Mobile: +63 917 522 2225
Expertise and Services
Renewable, Alternative and Conventional Energy
Business Development, EPC and O&M
• Resource Identification and Assessment
• Site Assessment and Evaluation
• Engineering Studies: FS; ED; Hydrology; Seismic Hazard;
IEE/EIAS; EESS/Hecras; DIS/DAS & CFSIS/CFAS;
Survey&Topo
• Regulatory Compliance and Permitting
• Financial and Economic Study
• Engineering-Procurement-Construction
• Test and Commissioning
• 3rd Party Engineer for Lenders and Owners
• O&M Set-Up and O&M Services
Adelino V. Garcia, Jr.
Professional Electrical Engineer - Fellow
40 Years of Energy Systems Engineering
and
Business Management
Chairman and President Chairman

AVGarcia Power Systems, Corp. Alta Valeo Corporation
Chairman and President Chairman

Abdao Hydro Power Corp. Ballesteros Memorial Park Corp.
President President
Biyao Hydro Power Corporation NARRA RockWater Corporation
Expertise and Qualifications
• Executive Management of various businesses in Power
Generation and Utilization Industries; Agro-Industrial and
Related enterprises
• Project Development; Engineering, Design and Systems

Integration; Project Execution and Management; Operation
and Maintenance of an aggregate capacity of more than 6GW
of various Conventional and Renewable Power Generation
Technologies, such as Coal, Diesel, NG, Biomass/Biogas,
WTE, Hydro Solar, Wind and Fuel Cells
• Engineering and Execution of at least 6GW of Grid

Connection Facilities; from 15kV to 500kV

Day Peak Energy Management Solution: Solar Power

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Solar Power:

Day Peak Energy

Adel Garcia, Jr. – PEE

➢ The Presentation proposes Solar Power as Day

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Typically, 5Yr demand growth is used as basis for

➢ Annual Plant Capacity Factor 18% to 20%

➢ Niche Opportunity As Day Peak Shaver

➢ Technology & Sustainability Mature; High

➢ Future Capacity Expansion Modular and Scalable

➢ Average Area Requirement 7.5m2/kW

➢ Typical Project Volume <US$1M/MW

➢ Ave Generation COST @13.8kV PhP 4.0 to 5.0 per kWh

2. O&M/C&I Local Skills Available

3. Cost of Electricity LOWER THAN CURRENT Levels

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

3.00 Base Capacity

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

3.00 Base Demand

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

3.00 Base Demand

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Capacity and IPP Cost of Electricity Owned Facility

Blended 7.38 6.27

AGR=HFO 11.50 11.50

AGR-LFO 18.00 18.00

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Supply Capacity Generation, MWh

Grid Supply 30.00 50% 59% 35.00 424.07 154,784 78%

Hydro1 5.00 50% 36% 2.50 42.75 15,604 8%

Hydro2 5.00 50% 36% 2.50 42.75 15,604 8%

Solar 10.00 19% 15% 7.00 35.50 12,958 7%

Total 50.00 45% 40.00 545.07 198,949 100%

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Blended 5.95 5.63

Grid Rate 6.00 6.00 3.270 1,193.70

Savings 0.05 0.025 9.13 0.37 0.203 74.05

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

➢ Accelerated Depreciation of RE Assets

➢ Zero Rated VAT

Suite 7H, 20 Lansbergh Place, 170 T Morato Ave.

Adel Garcia, Jr. – PEE

Adel Garcia, Jr. – PEE

Chairman and President Chairman

Chairman and President Chairman

• Project Development; Engineering, Design and Systems

• Engineering and Execution of at least 6GW of Grid

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