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Vision Statement

National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 2020

DzTo encourage reliable, affordable and


efficient xEVs that meet consumer
performance and price expectations
through Government - Industry
collaboration for promotion and
development of indigenous manufacturing
capabilities, required infrastructure,
consumer awareness and technology;
thereby helping India to emerge as a leader
in the xEV Two Wheeler and Four Wheeler
market in the world by 2020, with total xEV
sales of 6-7 million units thus enabling
Indian automotive Industry to achieve
global xEV manufacturing leadership and
contributing towards National Fuel
‡…—”‹–›Ǥdz
NEMMP 2020 2012
”‘–Š‡‡•‘ˆ ‘ǯ„Ž‡‹‹•–‡”for Heavy
Industries and Public Enterprises
The Indian automotive industry has made tremendous progress in the last decade. India has
today emerged as the 6th largest vehicle manufacturer globally with the automotive industry
contributing approximately ϮϭйƚŽƚŚĞĐŽƵŶƚƌLJ͛Ɛexcise duty collection.

2. This sector is important for economic growth and development because of its high
contribution to the national GDP, employment generation and as it meets the needs of the
logistics and transportation industry, which is the life line of the economy. The growth of the
auto industry which, at present, contributes 22% to the manufacturing GDP will be critical
for realizing the target, envisaged in the new Manufacturing Policy, of increasing the share Shri Praful Patel,
of manufacturing in overall economy to 25% by 2022. ,ŽŶ͛ďůĞD;,/ΘWͿ

3. Continued high level growth of the Indian economy and the transportation sector is must for improving the
lives of millions of Indians. However, with growth also comes the responsibility of meeting the associated
challenges of fast depletion of traditional energy sources, rising energy costs, increasing oil import bill and the
impact of mobility on the environment. It is, therefore, essential that we now invest in interventions that can help
mitigate these challenges.

4. Exemplary Industry ʹ Government partnership, clarity and joint ownership of the future vision through
Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) 2006-16 have been instrumental in shaping the successes achieved so far. All
forecasts point to the vast untapped potential that still exists for the Indian automotive industry. It is our duty to
take steps to not only realize this potential but more importantly shape the future direction of the auto industry so
as to promote and achieve sustainable growth. In-depth primary data based study conducted jointly by the
Government and the Industry indicates the existence of high latent demand for environmentally friendly electric
vehicle (xEV) technologies exists. However, strong upfront & continued support by Government would be essential
to realize this demand. I believe that encouraging the faster adoption of xEVs (hybrid & electric vehicles) and their
manufacture in India is a wise investment that we need to make for our future generations.

5. A common future roadmap for the National Mission for Electric Mobility (NMEM), on the lines of the AMP
2006-16, was essential to steer and synergize the efforts of all the stakeholders. I am very pleased that my
Department, in consultation with all other stakeholders in and outside of Government, has prepared this
comprehensive document: ͚EĂƚŝŽŶĂůůĞĐƚƌŝĐDŽďŝůŝƚLJDŝƐƐŝŽŶWůĂŶ (NEMMP) ϮϬϮϬ͛ which will guide our flagship
program in the future. I am confident that the continued proactive support of the Government and the combined
efforts of all stakeholders shall enable us to realize the potential latent demand for electric vehicles by 2020. I
would like to complement all those who are instrumental in giving shape to this vision document.

(Praful Patel)
New Delhi, August, 2012.

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Contents - I
Contents
Chapter 1: Background
1.1 Broad overview of the Indian Automotive Industry. ............................................................... 3
1.2. The need for electric mobility.................................................................................................. 7
1.3. Past efforts and present status of electric mobility in the country. ...................................... 10
1.4. Global scenario...................................................................................................................... 13

Chapter 2: Recent Developments


2.1. National Mission for Electric Mobility (NMEM). ................................................................... 17
2.2. Setting up of the National Mission targets and the roadmap for the future........................ 18

Chapter 3: Developing the Electric Mobility Mission Plan 2020.


3.1. The Indian automotive market ʹ a unique market. .............................................................. 20
3.2. Methodology - I (Consumer survey and stakeholder inputs) ................................................ 21
3.3. Methodology - II (Models used) ............................................................................................ 23
3.4. Summary of the projections for latent demand by 2020. ..................................................... 26
3.5. Barriers to adoption of electric mobility. .............................................................................. 28
3.6. Assessment of ease of implementation for different vehicle segments ............................... 28
3.7. Essential ingredients for realizing the potential latent demand........................................... 29
3.8. NEMMP 2020 stakeholders and their roles........................................................................... 32

Chapter 4: Demand creation.


4.1. Current status and present demand incentives for xEVs ...................................................... 36
4.2. The potential global demand for xEVs in 2020 ..................................................................... 37
4.3. Three possible scenarios of demand projection for India. .................................................... 39
4.4. Important findings of the Government ʹ Industry study. .....................................................40

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4.5. Demand incentive structure and other recommendations. .................................................. 48
4.6. Scope, coverage & phasing of demand incentives ................................................................ 63
4.7. Demand incentive scheme ʹ the way ahead........................................................................ 65
4.8. Retro fitment kits for hybrid vehicles. .................................................................................. 67
4.9. Source of Government funding & incentive delivery mechanism ........................................ 71
4.10. Implementation structure and mechanism .......................................................................... 73
4.11. Key stakeholders, roles & responsibilities ............................................................................. 73
4.12. Review, monitoring & course correction mechanism............................................................ 74

Chapter 5: Reseach & Development.


5.1. Introduction and global scenario .......................................................................................... 75
5.2. The current status of R&D in India, priority & focus areas for xEV R&D............................... 77
5.3. R&D strategy. ........................................................................................................................ 80
5.4. Priorities, fund requirements and phasing. ........................................................................... 82
5.5. Key stakeholders, roles and responsibilities.......................................................................... 86
5.6. Implementation structure and mechanism........................................................................... 87
5.7. Review, monitoring & course correction mechanism............................................................ 93

Chapter 6: Supply Incentives.


6.1. Introduction........................................................................................................................... 94
6.2. Manufacturing strategy ........................................................................................................ 99
6.3. The way ahead. ...................................................................................................................106
6.4. Implementation strategy, funding, review, monitoring & course correction mechanism..107

Chapter 7: xEV Infrastructure


7.1. Introduction.........................................................................................................................108
7.2. Study findings for infrastructure requirements...................................................................110
7.3. xEV charging infrastructure strategy ..................................................................................116
7.4. Resource requirements and funding. ..................................................................................123

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Chapter 8: The Electric Mobility Mission Plan 2020.


8.1. /ŶƚƌŽĚƵĐƚŝŽŶ͞ůĞĐƚƌŝĐŵŽďŝůŝƚLJĂŶŝŶǀĞƐƚŵĞŶƚĨŽƌƚŚĞĨƵƚƵƌĞ͘͟ ...........................................125
8.2. Roadmap for the plan. ........................................................................................................126
8.3. Broad investment implications............................................................................................128
8.4. Assessment of the likely benefits of the initiative ...............................................................130
8.5. Segment wise cost ʹ benefit analysis and ease of implementation....................................135
8.6. E-mobility strategy ..............................................................................................................138
8.7. Linkages............................................................................................................................... 140
8.8. Implementation mechanism ............................................................................................... 143

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Contents - II
Index of Figures
Figure 1 ʹ Expected Li ʹ ion battery price evolution ............................................................. 16
Figure 2 ʹ Levers to support xEV adoption .......................................................................... 30
Figure 3 ʹ Demand assurance measures ʹ vehicle segment wise assessment ....................... 50
Figure 4 ʹ Elements of a comprehensive demand incentive scheme..................................... 51
Figure 5 ʹ Incentive calculation method adopted................................................................. 54
Figure 6 ʹ Options for scope of demand incentives .............................................................. 65
Figure 7 ʹ Various possible options for channelizing demand incentives .............................. 72
Figure 8 ʹ Study areas for the xEV R&D initiative roll out ..................................................... 91
Figure 9 ʹ Task forces for the xEV initiative roll out.............................................................. 92
Figure 10 ʹ NEMMP 2020 Implementation structure ............................................................143
Figure 11 ʹ Dynamic system based on continuous feedback loop..........................................145

Index of Exhibits
Exhibit 1 ʹ Vehicle production - 2020 projections ................................................................... 7
Exhibit 2 ʹ Crude oil gap for India ........................................................................................... 8
Exhibit 3 ʹ Eʹ mobility models.............................................................................................. 14
Exhibit 4 ʹ National Mission for Electric Mobility structure ................................................... 18
Exhibit 5 ʹ The broad methodology followed in the study..................................................... 22
Exhibit 6 ʹ Fuel saving calculations ....................................................................................... 24
Exhibit 7 ʹ Total cost of ownership model ............................................................................ 25
Exhibit 8 ʹ Carbon dioxide emission model........................................................................... 26
Exhibit 9 ʹ Potential global demand for xEV 4W by 2020 ...................................................... 37
Exhibit 10 ʹ Global demand forecast ʹ 2W ............................................................................. 38
Exhibit 11 ʹ Proposed demand incentive structure for 4 wheelers .......................................... 55
Exhibit 12 ʹ Proposed demand incentive structure for two wheelers ...................................... 55

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Exhibit 13 ʹ Proposed demand incentives for xEV Buses ......................................................... 56


Exhibit 14 ʹ Proposed phasing of localization (domestic value addition) for 4 W ..................... 58
Exhibit 15 ʹ Proposed phasing of localization (domestic value addition) for 2W ..................... 58
Exhibit 16 ʹ Proposed phasing of localization for buses .......................................................... 58
Exhibit 17 ʹ Proposed phasing plan for localization (domestic value addition) for LCVs .......... 58
Exhibit 18 ʹ Proposed phasing plan for localization (domestic value addition) for 3 W ............ 58
Exhibit 19 ʹ Proposed likely phase out plan for 4W demand incentives .................................. 59
Exhibit 20 ʹ Proposed phased lowering of demand incentive for two wheelers ....................... 60
Exhibit 21 ʹ Proposed likely phase out plan for 2W demand incentives .................................. 60
Exhibit 22 ʹ Proposed likely phase out plan for bus demand incentives .................................. 61
Exhibit 23 ʹ Proposed demand incentive scheme ................................................................... 62
Exhibit 24 ʹ Building R&D capabilities .................................................................................... 78
Exhibit 25 ʹ Technology priority areas ................................................................................... 79
Exhibit 26 ʹ ͞ZŝŐŚƚƚŽǁŝŶ͟ZΘĂƌĞĂƐĨŽƌ/ŶĚŝĂ ..................................................................... 80
Exhibit 27 ʹ xEV technology strategies.................................................................................... 81
Exhibit 28 ʹ xEV R&D implementation .................................................................................... 82
Exhibit 29 ʹ Research investment for 4W, 2W and buses ........................................................ 84
Exhibit 30 ʹ The xEV R&D roll out model ................................................................................ 90
Exhibit 31 ʹ xEV R&D rollout plan ........................................................................................... 90
Exhibit 32 ʹ Vehicle lifecycle cost for industry ʹ breakup by supply chain elements͙͙͙͙͙͙͘94
Exhibit 33 ʹ Cost of manufacturing for ICE and battery electric vehicles .................................. 95
Exhibit 34 ʹ OEMs development activities in various power trains in India.............................. 96
Exhibit 35 ʹ Status of xEV component supplier in India ........................................................... 96
Exhibit 36 ʹ Demand creation support essential for creating xEV manufacturing eco-system .. 98
Exhibit 37 ʹ Ten year 4-phased approach for building 4W xEVs manufacturing capability in
India. ................................................................................................................101
Exhibit 38 ʹ Phased approach to encourage manufacturing of xEV four wheelers ..................102
Exhibit 39 ʹ Manufacturing strategy for two-wheeler OEMs and suppliers .............................104
Exhibit 40 ʹ Manufacturing strategy for bus OEMs and suppliers ...........................................105

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Exhibit 41 ʹ Manufacturing strategy for LCV OEMs and suppliers ...........................................105


Exhibit 42 ʹ Infrastructure requirement for xEV four-wheelers ..............................................112
Exhibit 43 ʹ Infrastructure requirement for xEV four-wheelers. ............................................113
Exhibit 44 ʹ Infrastructure requirement for High Gas / HEV scenario for buses.......................113
Exhibit 45 ʹ Infrastructure requirement for High Gas / HEV/BEV scenario for buses ...............114
Exhibit 46 ʹ Infrastructure requirements for High Gas/ HEV scenario for 3W .........................114
Exhibit 47 ʹ Infrastructure requirements for High Gas/ HEV/BEV scenario for 3W ..................114
Exhibit 48 ʹ Infrastructure requirements for High Gas/HEV scenario for LCVs ........................115
Exhibit 49 ʹ Infrastructure requirements for High Gas/HEV/BEV scenario for LCVs .................115
Exhibit 50 ʹ Strategy for xEV infrastructure ...........................................................................118
Exhibit 51 ʹ The potential roadmap for hybridization/electrification ....................................127
Exhibit 52 ʹ Total investment required for supporting the electric 2W ...................................129
Exhibit 53 ʹ Net benefits from adoption of xEV two-wheelers ..............................................131
Exhibit 54 ʹ Net benefits of xEV four-wheeler adoption ........................................................132
Exhibit 55 ʹ xEV technology and vehicle segment prioritization ............................................137

Index of Graphs
Graph 1 ʹ Projected 4W xEV share in 2020 .............................................................................. 43
Graph 2 ʹ Category wise registered vehicles in India ................................................................ 68

Index of Tables
Table 1 ʹ Production of vehicles (in nos.) .................................................................................. 5
Table 2 ʹ Export of vehicles (in nos.) ......................................................................................... 5
Table 3 ʹ xEV potential demand by 2020 ................................................................................ 27
Table 4 ʹ Analysis of the ease of implementation of electric mobility plan .............................. 29
Table 5 ʹ Physical targets and central financial assistance (FY 2011 and FY 2012) .................... 36
Table 6 ʹ Global 2020 xEV demand summary .......................................................................... 39
Table 7 ʹ India and global xEV demand projections for 2020 ................................................... 43
Table 8 ʹ Projected global share of 4W xEV ............................................................................ 43
Table 9 ʹ Vehicle segment wise matrix of key barriers to xEV adoption. .................................. 44

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Table 10 ʹ Vehicle segment wise matrix of key consumer purchase criteria. ............................ 45
Table 11 ʹ Sensitivity analysis matrix for different vehicle segments. ...................................... 46
Table 12 ʹ Vehicle segment wise matrix of consumer preference for incentive. ....................... 47
Table 13 ʹ Total investment proposed for the next 5 years...................................................... 62
Table 14 ʹ Assessment of xEV introduction implications.......................................................... 63
Table 15 ʹ Vehicle segment wise assessment of xEV introduction implications. ....................... 64
Table 16 ʹ Total number of registered motor vehicles ............................................................. 68
Table 17 ʹ ŐĞƉƌŽĨŝůĞŽĨƚŚĞ͞ŽŶƌŽĂĚǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͟ŝŶ/ŶĚŝĂ.......................................................... 69
Table 18 ʹ Vehicle segment wise R&D spent for 5 years .......................................................... 84
Table 19 ʹ Vehicle segment wise & R&D area wise expenditure .............................................. 85
Table 20 ʹ Phasing of R&D expenditure .................................................................................. 86
Table 21 ʹ Export ʹ import data for auto components ............................................................. 99
Table 22 ʹ Phased wise approach for promoting xEV manufacturing in India ..........................103
Table 23 ʹ Activities and initiatives under consideration of DHI ..............................................106
Table 24 ʹ Studies to be undertaken ......................................................................................107
Table 25 ʹ Key xEV charging infrastructure related findings from the consumer survey. .........111
Table 26 ʹ Assessment of the segment wise investments required for xEV infrastructure. ......124
Table 27 ʹ Total investment proposed for the next 8 years.....................................................129
Table 28 ʹ Vehicle segment wise investments. .......................................................................130
Table 29 ʹ Level of fuel savings in 2020 ..................................................................................133
Table 30 ʹ Major assumptions for calculating fuel savings ......................................................133
Table 31 ʹ Summary of potential savings ...............................................................................134
Table 32 ʹ Vehicle segment wise savings ................................................................................134
Table 33 ʹ Summary of costʹbenefit analysis for different vehicle segments and ease of
implementation ....................................................................................................135
Table 34 ʹ The e-mobility strategy for India ʹ a comparison. .................................................139
Table 35 ʹ List of sub groups set up under the working groups ...............................................144

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Abbreviations
ACMA Automotive Component Manufacturers Association
AFST Alternate Fuels for Surface Transport
AMP Automotive Mission Plan
ASDC Automotive Skills Development Council
BEE Bureau of Energy Efficiency
BEV Battery Electric Vehicle
BHEL Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited
BIS Bureau of Indian Standards
BRIC Brazil, Russia, India & China Group
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
CAR Collaborative Automobile R&D
CDM Clean Development Mechanism
CEM Clean Energy Ministerial
CMVR Central Motor Vehicle Rules
CNG Compressed Natural Gas
CPCB Central Pollution Control Board
CSIR Council of Scientific & Industrial Research
DHI Department of Heavy Industry
DIPP Department of Industrial Policy & Promotions
DRDO Defence Research & Development Organisation
DRT Department of Road Transport
DSM Demand Side Management
DST Department of Science and Technology
ER-EV Extended Range-Electric Vehicle
EVs Electric Vehicles
FGD Focused Group Discussion
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GoI Government of India
GW Giga Watt
HEV Hybrid Electric Vehicle

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HG High Gas
I&C Inspection & Certification
IC Integrated Circuit
ICE Internal Combustion Engine
IEA International Energy Agency
ITS Intelligent Transport System
JNNURM Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission
JVs Joint Ventures
KPTCL Kalpataru Power Transmission Corporation Limited
KW Kilo Watt
LCVs Light Commercial Vehicles
LPG Liquid Petroleum Gas
MEML Mahindra Eco Mobiles Ltd
MNES Ministry of Non-conventional Energy Sources
MNRE Ministry of New and Renewable Energy
MoEF Ministry of Environment & Forests
MoF Ministry of Finance
MoP Ministry of Power
MoRTH Ministry of Road Transport & Highway
MoUD Ministry of Urban Development
MW Mega Watt
NAB National Automotive Board
NAPCC National Action Plan for Climate Change
NATIS NATRiP Implementation Society
NATRiP National Automotive Testing and R&D Infrastructure Project
NBEM National Board for Electric Mobility
NCEM National Council Electric Mobility
NEMMP National Electric Mobility Mission Plan
NMCC National Manufacturing Competitiveness Council
NMEEE National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency
NMEM National Mission for Electric Mobility
NMSH National Mission on Sustainable Habitat
NPV Net Present Value
NSDC National Skill Development Corporation
NSM National Solar Mission

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OEMs Original Equipment Manufacturers


PHEV Plug-in-Hybrid Electric Vehicle
PMSM Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor
PPP Public-Private Partnership
PSU Public Sector Undertakings
R&D Research & Development
SG Sub Group
SIAM Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers
STU State Transport Undertaking
SUV Sports Utility Vehicle
SMEV Society of Manufacture of Electric Vehicle
TIFAC Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment Council
TSC Technical Standing Committee
USD United States Dollar
VAT Value Added Tax
VKT Vehicle Kilometer Travelled
WG Working Group
WG-R&D Working Group for Research & Development
WG-DS Working Group for Demand Supply
WG-Infrastructure Working Group for Infrastructure
xEVs Full Range of Electric Vehicles
2W Two Wheeler
3W Three Wheeler
4W Four Wheeler

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Foreword
The Indian automotive industry is today amongst the fastest growing automotive
industries globally. It is expected that, by 2020, the annual demand for passenger
vehicles, commercial vehicles and two wheelers in India will be 10 million, 2.7 million
and 34 million units respectively, thereby making India the third largest vehicle
market in the world.

2. /ŶĂŶ͞ĂƐŝƐ͟ĐĂƐĞƐĐĞŶĂƌŝŽ͕ƚŚĞŝŶĐƌĞĂƐĞŝŶǀĞŚŝĐƵůĂƌƉŽƉƵůĂƚŝŽŶǁŝůůůĞĂĚƚŽƐŚĂƌƉƌŝƐĞŝŶĚĞŵĂŶĚĨŽƌ
fossil fuels and have an undesirable impact on the environment. As per International Energy Agency (IEA)
estimates, globally the transportation sector accounts for 30% of worldwide energy consumption and is the
2nd largest source of COЇ emissions contributing to 20% of Global GHG. Three quarters of the projected
increase in oil demand in future will be from transportation sector with the highest growth from China and
India.

3. India depends largely on oil imports to meet its energy needs. The percentage of oil imported by
India has risen from 57% in 1997 to 85% in 2010; this is likely to reach 92% of the total demand by 2020. High
import dependence along with continuously increasing prices of oil poses a serious challenge ĨŽƌ /ŶĚŝĂ͛Ɛ
future energy security.

4. As economic development is indispensable, it is crucial that strategies for mitigating adverse impact
of growth are adopted. The National Mission for Electric Mobility (NMEM) has National energy security and
growth of domestic manufacturing capabilities in full range of electric vehicle technologies as its two inter-
related key objectives. The NEMMP 2020 lays the vision and provides the roadmap for achieving significant
penetration of efficient and environmentally friendly electric vehicle (including hybrids) technologies (xEVs) in
India by 2020, thereby helping to achieve the NMEM objectives. NEMMP 2020 implementation will involve
finalization and roll out of comprehensive array of interventions involving all stakeholders, both in and out of
the government.

5. The Department is fully confident that objectives and targets set forth in NEMMP 2020 shall be
realized and help the Indian Automotive Industry achieve a paradigm shift for strong, continuing sustainable
growth. I would like to place on record the appreciation for tremendous work done by the officers of the
Department, industry representatives and experts who have identified the priorities and various
interventions that have gone into the finalization of the mission document. The Mission Plan would be a
useful blueprint for the future to provide the joint vision of the Government and the Indian Automotive
Industry in this very important initiative.

(S. Sundareshan)
Secretary, Department of Heavy Industry,
New Delhi, August, 2012 Government of India

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Preface
The Department of Heavy Industry (DHI), which is the nodal department in Govt. of India for the automotive
sector, has taken a number of initiatives aimed at accelerating the growth and development of Indian
automotive industry. This includes the 10 year vision roadmap for the automotive industry, viz, Automotive
Mission Plan (AMP) 2006-16.

2. The National Mission for Electric Mobility (NMEM) is amongst the most significant recent initiatives
taken up by the Department͘dŚĞŐĞŶĞƐŝƐŽĨEDDǁĂƐƚŚĞƌĞĐŽŵŵĞŶĚĂƚŝŽŶƐĨƌŽŵWƌŝŵĞDŝŶŝƐƚĞƌ͛Ɛ'ƌŽƵƉ
on Technology for fast tracking the introduction and manufacture of full range of electric vehicles, including
hybrids, in the country. Based on detailed stakeholder consultations and an in-depth study, the Government
had approved the taking up of this initiative on a National Mission mode, along with setting up of a high level
apex structure in the form of National Council for Electric Mobility (NCEM) and National Board for Electric
Mobility (NBEM).

3. In order to assess the present day ground realities, the future possibilities for introduction of electric
mobility in the country, for setting the Mission targets and for finalizing the roadmap for NMEM, a detailed
study based on consumer feedback and extensive stakeholder consultations has been undertaken. The study
was carried out with a reputed consultant, as the knowledge partner, who brought with them extensive
knowledge of developments around the world. The study took advantage of wide-ranging deliberations and
consultations involving all stakeholders from Government, Industry, academia and research associations. The
study findings were presented to the NBEM, in their second meeting held on 3rd Jan, 2012, wherein the broad
general principles, guidelines and framework for finalizing the National Electric Mobility Mission Plan
(NEMMP) 2020 were approved. It was also decided that three Working Groups in the areas of R&D,
infrastructure, and demand generation would be set up and their additional suggestions, if any, would also be
incorporated.

4. The NEMMP 2020 is the National Mission document providing the vision and the roadmap for the
faster adoption of xEVs (full range of hybrid and electric vehicles) and their manufacturing in the country. We
believe that with the commitment and support of all stakeholders, 6-7 million units of new vehicle sales of
xEVs, along with resultant fuel savings of 2.2 ʹ 2.5 million tonnes can be achieved in 2020. In order to
operationalize the NEMMP 2020, various schemes, interventions, policies and projects will be finalized and
approved for roll out by the NBEM/NCEM. These will be based on the approach enunciated in NEMMP 2020.
In order to expedite this process, the collaborative structure of various Working Groups and Sub-Groups will
be effectively utilized, so as to ensure maximum participation of all stakeholders at all stages.

5. I would like to gratefully acknowledge the guidance, support and encouragement received from the
,ŽŶ͛ďůĞ DŝŶŝƐƚĞƌ ĨŽƌ ,ĞĂǀLJ /ŶĚƵƐƚƌŝĞƐ Θ WƵďůŝĐ ŶƚĞƌƉƌŝƐĞƐ͕ ^Śƌŝ WƌĂĨƵů WĂƚĞů ĂŶĚ ^ĞĐƌĞƚĂƌLJ͕ ĞƉĂƌƚŵĞŶƚ ŽĨ
Heavy Industry, Shri S Sundareshan. I would also like to thank my colleagues from Government, senior

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representatives of industry, academia and automotive research institutes who have invested a great deal of
their time and effort in finalizing NEMMP 2020. I am confident that this initiative shall greatly contribute to
the future energy security of India, mitigate the impact of transportation on the environment and also help in
strengthening the Indian automotive industry for its continued sustainable growth.

(Ambuj Sharma)
New Delhi, August, 2012 Joint Secretary, Department of Heavy Industry,
Government of India

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1. BACKGROUND
Chapter 1
1.1. Broad overview of the Indian Automotive
Industry.

1.2. The need for electric mobility.

1.3. Past efforts and present status of electric


mobility in the country.

1.4. Global scenario.


NEMMP 2020 2012

Chapter 1 Ȃ Background

1.1 Broad overview of the Indian Automotive Industry.

1.1.1. The Automotive Industry globally is industry - the Automotive Mission Plan
one of the largest industries and because 2006-16 (AMP 06-16) which was formally
of its deep forward and backward linkages released by the ,ŽŶ͛ďůĞ Prime Minister in
with the rest of the industry, it has a January, 2007. The AMP 06-16 lays down a
strong multiplier effect and is one of the 10 year roadmap for the automotive
major drivers for economic growth. industry covering every aspect of its
growth ranging from broad direction on
1.1.2. With the gradual liberalization of fiscal policies, emissions, safety and
the automobile sector in India since 1991, globalization in terms of technical
the number of manufacturing facilities has standards, enhancing competitiveness,
grown progressively. The Indian skill development, testing and
automotive industry produces a wide homologation, Research & Development,
variety of vehicles: passenger cars, light, etc.
medium and heavy commercial vehicles,
multi-utility vehicles such as jeeps, two
wheelers that include scooters, motor-
cycles and mopeds, three wheelers,
tractors and other agricultural
equipments. The Indian automobile
industry is dominated by two wheelers,
which account for 75% of the total vehicles
sold in the country. In the passenger car
segment, India is mainly a small car
market.

1.1.3. In view of the huge potential of the


automotive sector, the Government of Release of AMP2006-ϭϲďLJ,ŽŶ͛ďůĞWƌŝŵĞDŝŶŝƐƚĞƌŽĨ
India jointly with the industry prepared a India

ten year strategic vision plan for the

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1.1.4. The Automotive Mission sector to the National GDP has risen from
Plan 2006-2016, envisages that 2.77% in 1992-93 to close to 6% now. At
AMP 2006-16

by 2016, India will emerge as the present, the installed capacity of the four
destination of choice in the wheeler industry (comprising passenger
world for the design & vehicles and commercial vehicles) is over 4
manufacture of automobiles and million units and two & three wheeler
automotive components. The industry is over 15 million units with an
ŽƵƚƉƵƚ ŽĨ /ŶĚŝĂ͛Ɛ ĂƵƚŽŵŽƚŝǀĞ investment of over Rs 80,000 crores. The
sector is targeted to reach $145 billion by industry has developed in clusters which
2016 with doubling of the contribution of have large number of companies with
the sector to the National GDP from their vendor base. The major automotive
around 5% in 2006 to 10% in 2016 and hubs being in Pune region (Maharashtra),
additional employment generation NCR region, Pithampur (MP), Chennai, and
opportunities for 25 million people in the Uttaranchal. Gujarat is emerging as the
entire value chain. As on date, the latest major automotive hub.
automotive industry is on track to meet
most of the AMP targets for 2016. The 1.1.6. At present India has 19
AMP document captures the expectations manufacturers of passenger cars & multi
and responsibilities of all the stakeholders utility vehicles, 14 manufacturers of
for a common end objective and is a commercial vehicles, 16 of 2/3 wheelers
shining example of how Government ʹ and 12 for tractors besides 5
Industry collaborative approach can manufacturers of engines in India. This
transform an industry sector. The includes virtually all the major global
approach and ethos of AMP has been OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers)
adopted even more rigorously for as well as home grown companies. In
developing the NEMMP 2020 document. 2010-11, India surpassed France, UK and
Italy to become the 6th largest vehicle
manufacturer globally. Today, it is the
1.1.5. Today, the automobile sector in
largest manufacturer of tractors, second
India is aptly described as the next sun rise
largest manufacturer of two wheelers, 5th
sector of the Indian economy. This sector
largest manufacturer of commercial
has been growing at a CAGR, in excess of
vehicles and the 4th largest passenger car
15% over the last 5-7 years. In fact, in the
market in Asia. During 2011-12, India
last ten years, the volumes, exports and
exported 2.9 million vehicles to more than
turnover have increased by 3.8, 19.6 and 6
40 countries which included 0.5 million
times respectively. The contribution of this

National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 2020 Page 4


NEMMP 2020 2012
passenger cars and 1.94 million two employment to 13.1 million people. The
wheelers. Today, the automobile industry production of vehicles and exports is given
in India provides direct and indirect in Table 1 & 2 below:

Table 1 - Production of vehicles (in numbers)


Category 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 5-yr.
CAGR (%)
Passenger 1,545,223 1,777,583 1,838,593 2,357,411 2,982,772 3,123,528 15.11
Vehicles
Commercial 519,982 549,006 416,870 567,556 760,735 911,574 11.88
Vehicles
Two 8,466,666 8,026,681 8,419,792 10,512,903 13,349,349 15,453,619 12.79
Wheelers
Three 556,126 500,660 497,020 619,194 799,553 877,711 9.56
Wheelers
Grand Total 11,087,997 10,853,930 11,172,275 14,057,064 17,892,409 20,366,432 12.93

Source: SIAM data.

Table 2 - Export of Vehicles (in numbers)


Category 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 5 year
CAGR (%)
Passenger 198,452 218,401 335,729 446,145 444,326 507,318 20.65%
Vehicles
Commercial 49,537 58,994 42,625 45,009 74,043 92,663 13.34%
Vehicles

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Category 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 5 year
CAGR (%)
Two 619,644 819,713 1,004,174 1,140,058 1,531,619 1,947,198 25.73%
Wheelers
Three 143,896 141,225 148,066 173,214 269,968 362,876 20.32%
Wheelers
Grand Total 1,011,529 1,238,333 1,530,594 1,804,426 2,319,956 2,910,055 23.53%

Source: SIAM data.

1.1.7. In 2010-11, the total from emerging economies continues to be


Recent performance of the sector

turnover of the automotive high with India becoming the second


Industry stood at USD 73 Billion fastest growing automotive market after
(Rs 3, 27,300 crores)1 of which China. The global economic downturn of
the turnover of the vehicle the recent past has firmly shifted the
industry was USD 53.1 billion2 centre of gravity of the automotive
(Rs 2, 39,000 crores) with a 26% industry to the east. It is predicted that the
growth on year to year basis. future growth of automotive industry will
The turnover of the auto primarily come from the emerging
component industry, in 2010-11 economies which include the BRIC nations
was USD 40 Billion (Rs. 1,79,320 viz. Brazil, Russia, India and China along
crores approx.)3. The export of with Thailand, Iran and Mexico.
vehicles and auto components
during 2010-11 stood at USD 6 Billion and 1.1.9. In 2010-11, the total global demand
5 Billion respectively. In 2010-11, the of passenger vehicles was 73 million units,
contribution of the automotive industry to of which the volume in India was 2.4
the Manufacturing GDP and the excise million units (4%). It is estimated that by
duty was at 22% and 21% respectively. 2020, Asia, Pacific and Africa region will
witness a demand of 54 million passenger
1.1.8. The global recession of 2009 vehicles out of a total global demand of
impacted the global automotive industry 108 million units (50%), of which the
in a big way. Demand in traditional global demand from India will be 10 million units
automotive markets has declined and (8%) 4 . Further, in 2020, the market /
remains sluggish. However, the demand production for commercial vehicle,
tractors and two wheelers in India is
1
SIAM Data. expected to reach 2.7 million, 1 million
2
This also includes a portion of turnover of auto
component industry.
3 4
ACMA Data. J D Power, E&Y)

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NEMMP 2020 2012
and 34 million units respectively, thereby industry attaining a turnover of USD 113
making India the third largest vehicle billion. However, for this potential to be
market in the world (Exhibit-1) This will fully realized, a lot of effort, both by the
translate to an overall industry turnover of industry and the Government, will be
USD 162 billion, with the component required.

Exhibit 1 - Vehicle production ʹ 2020 projections

Future projections
1.2. The need for electric mobility.

1.2.1 Globally, automotive industry is 1.2.2. As per IEA


passing through a paradigm shift. The past report of 2009,
century has been the era of internal fossil fuel based
combustion engine (ICE) primarily on transportation is
account of the ease of use, availability and the second largest
low-cost of fossil fuels. The shift to electric source of CO2
mobility has become necessary on emissions globally. From 2006 to 2030,
account of fast depletion of fossil fuels, the global energy consumption is likely to
rapid increase in energy costs, impact of rise by 53% and about three quarters of
transportation on the environment and the projected increase in oil demand will
concerns over climate change. come from transportation. World over

National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 2020 Page 7


NEMMP 2020 2012
these concerns are driving Governments This coupled with hardening of the crude
and automotive industries alike to invest prices is leading to increase in the trade
heavily towards developing vehicles based deficit. This poses a serious challenge to
on alternate propulsion systems including /ŶĚŝĂ͛Ɛ ĞŶĞƌŐLJ ;ĨƵĞůͿ ƐĞĐƵƌŝƚLJ͘ Therefore,
electric mobility. all measures need to be taken for
lessening the dependence on fossil fuels
for ƚŚĞ ĐŽƵŶƚƌLJ͛Ɛ energy requirements.
The projected production and
consumption of crude oil for India up to
2020 is given in (Exhibit 2).

Exhibit 2 ʹ Crude oil gap for India

1.2.3. For emerging economies like India,


the urgency to
find viable
alternatives for
sustainable 1.2.4. The transportation sector alone
mobility is also accounts for about one-third of the total
accentuated by crude oil consumption and road
rapid economic transportation accounts for more than
development which is accelerating the 80% of this consumption. Therefore, the
demand for transportation. As a result of Government will need to focus on this
sustained high GDP growth, /ŶĚŝĂ͛Ɛ sector and partner with industry for
primary energy consumption is expected investing in sustainable mobility solutions
to increase by 70% in the next ten years 5. for the future. Transportation energy use
The gap between domestic crude oil and its impact on the environment
production and consumption is widening. including green house gas emissions are
determined by a number of factors. These
5
MoPNG can be broadly classified in four distinct
National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 2020 Page 8
NEMMP 2020 2012
yet interrelated set of factors that include population in India. This will be possible
(i) vehicle efficiency (ii) vehicle use and through introduction of a vigorous pan
distance travelled (iii) the type of fuels or India Inspection and Certification (I&C)
energy sources used in transportation (iv) regime. In addition, recent
overall system efficiency of the developmental testing results for retro
infrastructure. fitment hybrid kits for cars in India by the
industry indicate that fuel efficiency gains
1.2.5. Each one of these of 25-30% are possible. These solutions
Approaches for environmental

factors are important and the will also need to be supported and
various interventions relating adopted.
impact mitigation

to them will need to be 1.2.5.2. Vehicle usage and distance


adopted as a part of a multi- travelled includes broad level
pronged strategy for interventions like better

Vehicle use
increasing transportation designed cities for minimizing
efficiency levels & mitigation the need for travel,
of the adverse impact of development of mass public
transportation sector on the transportation for intra-city
environment and climate travel, shift to public transportation from
change. Some of the private vehicle use, etc.
interventions within this broad 1.2.5.3. Interventions related to type
classification of factors include the of fuel are aimed at lowering
Type of fuel

following: dependence on fossil fuels and


1.2.5.1 This includes improvements gradual shift to cleaner and low
in fuel efficiency of both “new carbon energy sources such as
Vehicle efficiency

vehicles” and “on road advanced bio-fuels, a greater


vehicles”. In addition to adoption of electric vehicles fed on
achieving higher efficiencies renewable energy sources, etc.
through improvements in 1.2.5.4. Overall system efficiency of
traditional ICE vehicles by the infrastructure: System
Infrastructure

better designs for lowering efficiency improvements in


rolling resistance, aerodynamic drag and infrastructure through better
light weighting etc, much higher gains can roads, traffic management and
be made through greater adoption of use of Intelligent Transport
xEVs. Simultaneously, it is also essential to Systems (ITS), etc are also
address the huge “on road vehicle” important.

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1.2.6. In India, a lot of work vehicles. This coupled with the challenges
National approach needs to focus
needs to be done in all these of time and resources associated with roll
on greater adoption of xEVs.
areas. In fact, the National out of comprehensive mass transport
Action Plan for Climate systems and given the aspirational aspects
Change emphasizes the need associated with owing vehicles, it is
for introduction of rapid mass imperative that the National approach for
transportation system for energy security and for mitigation of the
major cities and greater shift impact of mobility on environment and
towards public transportation climate change also focuses strongly on
including Railways. However, the greater adoption of xEVs (full range of
given the fact that the present electric vehicles from mild hybrids to pure
level of vehicle penetration in electric vehicles). These vehicles can
India is amongst the lowest in the world, provide significant contribution in
at 11 cars and 32 two wheelers per enhancing energy (fuel) security and
thousand persons, there is a very high sustainable mobility.
head room for off take of personal

1.3. Past efforts and present status of electric mobility in the country.

1.3.1. The first electric three wheeler - 1.3.2. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.
Vikram SAFA was developed by Scooters launched its first electric 3 wheeler in
India Ltd, Lucknow in 1996 and 1999 and also launched a new company,
approximately 400 vehicles were made & MEML, based in Coimbatore, in 2001, to
sold. These vehicles ran on a 72 volt lead make and sell electric vehicles named
acid battery system. In 2000, BHEL Bijlee. In 2004, MEML was closed down
developed an 18 seater electric bus. Its due to lack of demand. Mahindra again
power pack consisted of an AC induction started making electric vehicles at
Motor and a 96 Volt lead acid battery Haridwar plant in 2006 and continues to
Pack. Some 200 Electric vans were built produce electric vehicles as per market
and run in Delhi, with monetary support demand. Bajaj Auto Ltd, Pune had also
from MNES. The major concern with these demonstrated their 3 Seater electric
vehicles was their poor consistency, low Rickshaw in 2001. The vehicle used
life and very high cost of the battery. advanced PMSM drive system. However,

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this product has not been commercially and TVS have announced their xEV
launched. rollouts and have also showcased their
vehicles.
1.3.3. In 2001, REVA, Bangalore entered
the EV sector in the Car category with a 1.3.5. In the two wheeler segment, Hero
vehicle developed by an American cycles collaborated with UK based Ultra
company (Amerigon) and built with a Motor to launch a series of bikes in 2007.
state-of-the-art battery management Other companies such as Electrotherm
system. Some 3200 cars have been sold India, TVS Motor, Hero Electric etc are also
worldwide including approx 1500 cars that manufacturing and selling electric two
have been sold in India, mostly in wheelers. Some other players who have
Bangalore City. entered this space and launched e-bikes
include Atlas, Avon Cycles and Chennai
based TI Cycle. These bikes are usually
charged at the domestic supply voltage
and therefore, require no special adapter.
Batteries, Motors and other electrical kits
for these vehicles are imported from
China and other countries whereas,
mechanical design and assembly of these
bikes is done here. However, despite an
installed capacity close to half a million
units; the high cost of electric two
wheelers remains the major hurdle due to
Reva NXR
which the average capacity utilization in
Very recently, other manufacturers,
the industry remained quite low.
including TATA motors, Maruti Suzuki
However, recently the off take of these
India showcased their demonstration
vehicles has picked up on account of
vehicles during Commonwealth Games
subsidy scheme launched by the
held in 2010 at New Delhi.
Government of India and concessions
given by some state governments.
1.3.4. High battery cost and lack of
charging infrastructure remains a major
concern area for mass adoption. Recently,
car manufactures in India including TATA
motors, General Motors, Hero Motocorp,

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funding scheme for all industries,
including automotive industry. The
Council for Scientific and Industrial
Research (CSIR) is also active and R&D on
lithium-battery technology for xEVs is
ongoing at the Central Electrochemical
Research Institute, Karaikudi.
Furthermore, certain state governments
like the Delhi Govt. are also providing
demand side subsidies in addition to VAT
and road tax waiver. Owing to these
BEV Two Wheeler various programs, xEV 2 wheelers have
reportedly witnessed growth of 20% and
1.3.6. The Government of India has been Reva recorded a three-fold rise in average
supporting electric mobility efforts in the monthly sales. However, these initiatives
country. The Department of Heavy remain largely fragmented & short-term.
Industry (DHI), being the nodal
Department for the automotive sector, 1.3.8. The various initiatives taken in the
has been funding research, design, country to promote electric mobility could
development and demonstration projects not yield the desired results mainly due to
and also spearheading the electric higher cost of EVs, challenges in battery
mobility initiative in the country. In the technology, limited range of EVs, lack of
recent past (2010-12), Ministry of New infrastructure and consumer mindset. In
and Renewable Energy (MNRE) has also addition, the past efforts also did not have
incentivized the purchase of electric the desired level of synergy, continued top
vehicles through its Alternate Fuels for level support & ownership both in the
Surface Transportation Program (AFSTP) government and industry. As such, most
scheme which had an outlay of Rs 95 of the efforts undertaken fizzled out since
crores. The incentive was provided to they were isolated in nature, lacked
OEMs that gave at least one year warranty collaborative approach and did not tackle
and were setting up at least 15 service all the issues holistically. In order to
stations across India. achieve the potential, a more systematic
and collaborative approach is required
1.3.7. In addition, the Department of with a clear long term roadmap.
Science and Technology (DST), has a

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1.4. Global scenario

1.4.1. Various alternate Research & Development incentives (v)


xEV definitions

powertrain technologies are imposition of stringent fuel efficiency


available today ʹ Hybrid Electric norms.
Vehicle (HEV), Plug-in Hybrid
Electric Vehicle (PHEV), 1.4.3. Different nations have followed
Extended-Range Electric Vehicle different
(ER-EV) and Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV). strategies for
In the NEMMP 2020 document these are promoting xEVs.
collectively referred to as xEVs. HEVs have While US has
both internal combustion and electric been primarily
drives, which work in tandem leading to focusing on
higher fuel efficiency. If the battery is used both demand
only when vehicle is started or stopped, and supply side incentives, with
for regenerative braking and limited Government directly subsidizing private
electric motor assist, it is classified as mild initiatives, Japan and France have been
hybrid. Whereas, full Hybrids have full focusing on supporting charging
electric launch assist and motor drive. infrastructure of xEVs with more limited
PHEVs and Extended Range EVs (ER-EV) support on demand and supply side
can run on batteries alone for a significant incentives. In contrast, China has a very
length and have ICE backup. BEVs run comprehensive and large scale program
solely on batteries. for adoption for e-mobility ʹ and plans to
spend tens of billions of dollars, primarily
1.4.2. Across the world, to support PHEVs and BEVs (lately, there is
Global scenario

Governments are playing a key talk for support to HEVs also). This is
role in facilitating greater summarized in (Exhibit 3) on the following
adoption of electric mobility page.
through use of the following
five main levers of public policy 1.4.4. A deeper analysis of the strategies
to influence the early adoption adopted by different countries reveals
of xEVs (i) Demand incentives (ii) Supply that
side incentives for spurring manufacturing 1.4.4.1. USA aims to have 1 million
(iii) Power & Charging Infrastructure (iv) PHEVs by 2015 and has been focusing on

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NEMMP 2020 2012
both demand and supply side incentives 1.4.4.3. Japan has targeted 2 million
and has also been directly subsidizing xEVS by 2025 and has earmarked USD 250
private initiatives, which includes USD 2.5 million over next three years R&D on
Billion grant for battery development and vehicles and components and
USD 2.4 Billion loan to OEMs for xEV 1.4.4.4. France aims to have 2
production million BEVs and PHEVs by 2020 with an
1.4.4.2. China plans to have 5 million investment of USD 380 ʹ 430 million for
xEVs by 2020 and has earmarked USD 15 battery investment and pilot projects for
billion over next three years for R&D on vehicles and USD 2 billion public
vehicles and components, USD 4.4 billion investment for recharging network of 1
over next 10 years on pilot projects and million recharging points by 2015. Further
USD 5 billion for half million public the French companies and government
chargers also plan to buy 100,000 electric vehicles.

Exhibit 3 ʹ E-mobility models

1.4.5. The total global demand 2020. Two wheeler segment already have
for four wheelers and two a high penetration level for electric
demand
Global

wheelers, which at present is 45 variants, mainly in China. The demand for


million and 43 million units, is xEV two wheelers is expected to remain
expected to increase to 70 high with majority of demand expected to
million and 76 million units respectively by come from Asia Pacific region (95%) with

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China expected to generate maximum performance improvement and cost
demand. reduction in xEVs. This is likely to continue
and lead to a favorable cost evolution for
xEVs in the future.
1.4.6. The Global demand projection for
four wheeler xEVs has a high degree of
uncertainty as demand and supply sides 1.4.8. At present Lithium-ion batteries are
along with the xEV technology are all quite the preferred
immature. Furthermore, as the future choice for usage
technology and price evolution is not in xEVs. They
clear, precise forecasting is difficult. It is have high energy
expected that penetration of xEVs in the density and low
passenger 4 wheeler vehicle space will be discharge rates,
significant. The detailed global xEV and hence are able to deliver sustained
demand forecasts are dealt within high performance. These batteries have
Chapter 4. low maintenance cost and a long lifespan.
However, their high price continues to be
the main barrier to their widespread
1.4.7. In view of the increasing usage.
Technology developments

focus on xEV research,


promising developments across 1.4.9. It is expected that technology
all dimensions of xEV innovation and scale of production will be
powertrain have been seen. the important levers that will together
These include significant impact almost 90% of the lithium-ion
progress in the area of engine battery cost. From the technology
downsizing (HEV/PHEV), standpoint, cost could be reduced by
development of non rare earth identifying cheaper raw materials and safe
material motors and research in chemistries for automotive usage.
battery and battery management systems Furthermore, manufacturing processes
around chemistry, stability, performance, could be automated and streamlined to
smart charging, etc. In the area of improve quality and yield. It is expected
controllers too, better cooling and power that favorable developments in these
management techniques have been areas could bring down Lithium ion
developed and a higher level of control battery costs from the current levels of $
integration is being envisaged. These 500-800 / kWh to $ 325-430 /kWh by
cumulative efforts have led to significant

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NEMMP 2020 2012
2020 (Figure 1). In the BEV segment, this concerned, it is expected that the Li ion
would tantamount to a 5% y-o-y decrease, battery costs are likely to remain higher
while for HEV and PHEV, the decrease than the customer expectations. This is
could be up to 7%. The favorable battery borne out from a comparison of the
cost evolution would lead to significant expected willingness of the consumer to
global sales penetration of xEVs. However, pay price premium for Li ion batteries with
despite the reduction in price of Li ion the expected cost evolution of these
batteries in the future, as far as India is batteries up to 2020.

Figure 1ʹ Expected Li ʹ ion Battery price evolution

Note: Assume technology impacts cost of active materials and other parts like electronics reducing cost by ~50% by 2020; scale
effects impact equipment (depreciation), labor, R&D costs; scale based on estimated global uptake of respective powertrain systems
and market share of lead battery manufacturer; 2011 costs based on JRC/ Duke estimates
Source: MIT Technology Review, JRC, JD Power, Argonne National Lab, Deutsche Bank, Expert Interviews, GoIʹ Industry study

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2. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
FIRST MEETING OF
NATIONAL BOARD FOR ELECTRIC
MOBILITY
11th JULY, 2011
Chapter 2
2.1. National Mission for Electric
Mobility (NMEM).

2.2. Setting up of the National Mission


targets and the roadmap for the
future.
NEMMP 2020 2012

Chapter 2 Ȃ Recent Developments


2.1. National Mission for Electric Mobility (NMEM).

2.1.1. Government of India academia. The NCEM is chaired by the


has recognized the fact ,ŽŶ͛ďůĞ Minister for Heavy Industries &
that at present the barriers Public Enterprises. The composition, roles,
to greater adoption of responsibilities and functions of the
Electric Vehicles (EVs) are immense. Given Council are in Annexure I. The Council will
the importance of the initiative, the be aided by a 25 member National Board
Government has decided to launch the for Electric Mobility comprising of
National Mission for Electric Mobility secretaries of stakeholder Central
(NMEM). The adoption of the mission Ministries/Departments with
mode approach is intended to provide this representation from industry and
initiative the desired high level of academia. The composition, roles,
ownership (both in Government and the responsibilities and functions of the Board
Industry), continued government are in Annexure II.
intervention/support, continued long term
commitment from all stakeholders and a 2.1.3. The National Council and the
synergized - holistic approach to the National Board will be serviced initially by
complex issues involved with the program. the NATRiP Implementation Society
(NATIS) and later by the National
2.1.2. As a first step, an enabling Automotive Board (NAB), once set up.
mechanism has been set up for speedier NAB will comprise of domain and
decision making and for ensuring greater technical experts and shall be the nodal
collaboration amongst various agency for all ongoing and new initiatives
stakeholders. This consists of empowered of the government for the automotives
bodies at the apex level in the form of sector. This mechanism is intended to
National Council for Electric Mobility provide a common platform for all
(NCEM) and the National Board for initiatives; enable fast decision making,
Electric Mobility (NBEM). The Council encourage industry-academia-government
comprises of Ministers from the key collaboration, and also approve and
Central Ministries/Departments, eminent monitor all allocations that are made from
representatives from the industry and the Government of India for development

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NEMMP 2020 2012
of xEVs. The roles, responsibilities and duplication of efforts and also enable
functions of the NAB are in Annexure III. prioritization of allocation of resources by
the Government. The enabling structure
2.1.4. The NMEM structure will ensure approved by the Government is depicted
synergies between the efforts being made as (Exhibit 4).
by different agencies, help avoid

Exhibit 4 ʹ National Mission for Electric Mobility Structure

2.2. Setting up of the National Mission targets and the roadmap for the
future.

2.2.1. Earlier, while seeking the the National Hybrid / Electric Mobility
NEMMP 2020

approval of the Union Cabinet Mission Plan viz. NEMMP 2020, the
for the initiative, Department of Department of Heavy Industry in
Heavy Industry had undertaken a collaboration with the Industry
detailed study for the possible commissioned a rigorous study based on
interventions. Although, this primary research with M/s Booz &
involved focus group discussions, Company as the knowledge partner.
expert opinions etc, the exercise
remained largely based on secondary data 2.2.2. The objective of the exhaustive
sources like international studies, study was to help establish the possible
literature reviews etc. In order to finalize road map, crystallize mission objectives,

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NEMMP 2020 2012
targets and milestones to be achieved by enhance national fuel security, provide
2020 along similar lines of Automotive affordable and environmentally friendly
Mission Plan: 2006-2016. The study was transportation and enable the Indian
undertaken with the active involvement of automotive industry to achieve global
all key stakeholders including the manufacturing leadership.
concerned key Ministries of the
Government of India, automotive industry 2.2.5. The NEMMP 2020 will be the basis
associations, industry experts, automotive for guiding all the future

Future roadmap
testing agencies etc. For this purpose, a initiatives, schemes, policies and
steering committee comprising of other interventions of the
representatives of all key stakeholders government for electric
was constituted which guided and closely mobility. It will also help shape
monitored the study. In addition, a the future priorities of the
number of workshops were also industry. While the 2020 levels
conducted during the course of the study. of xEV penetration projected by
NEMMP 2020 is being adopted
2.2.3. The findings of the study have been
as the National goals, the various specific
considered by the National Board for
formulations provided by the study
Electric Mobility in their second meeting
including the level of demand incentives,
held on 3rd January, 2012. The board
their duration, total investment required
agreed on the broad principles and the
etc are being taken as an indicative
framework that can be the basis for
finalizing the National Electric Mobility estimate which will be fine tuned during
Mission Plan 2020 (NEMMP 2020). These the process of formulating the various
decisions have been fully incorporated in specific schemes and interventions. The
the NEMMP 2020. various schemes and interventions for
demand creation, xEV R&D, xEV
2.2.4. The National Electric Mobility infrastructure, etc will be approved and
Mission Plan 2020 (NEMMP 2020) is rolled out separately as per Govt. rules. A
intended to provide the future roadmap, mechanism for continued review,
establish common set of priorities, broad monitoring and mid-course corrections is
principles and framework for promoting intended to be an integral part of the
the adoption of the full range of electric NEMMP 2020.
mobility solutions for India, which can

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NEMMP 2020

3. DEVELOPING THE ELECTRIC MOBILITY


MISSION PLAN 2020
Chapter 3
3.1. The Indian automotive market – a unique
market.
3.2. Methodology I (Consumer survey and
stakeholder inputs).
3.3. Methodology II (Models used).
3.4. Summary of the projections for latent
demand by 2020.
3.5. Barriers to adoption of electric mobility.
3.6. Assessment of ease of implementation for
different vehicle segments.
3.7. Essential ingredients for realizing the
potential latent demand.
3.8. NEMMP 2020 stakeholders and their
roles.
NEMMP 2020 2012

Chapter 3 Ȃ Developing the Electric


Mobility Mission Plan 2020
3.1. The Indian automotive market Ȃ a unique market.

3.1.1. The Indian 3.1.3. Within the passenger car segment,


automotive market the sale of small cars (of length less than
is quite distinct four meters and having engine capacity
from automotive less than 1200 cc for petrol engines and
markets in other less than 1500 cc for diesel engines) is
countries. This is approximately 75% of the total sale of
both on account of passenger cars. In comparison, the sales
the automotive of small cars in China, US and UK were
market 59%, 28% and 10% respectively of the
composition and total passenger car sales in 2010.
also in terms of the
consumer preferences and level of 3.1.4. The present structure of the Indian
infrastructure development. automotive market is partly due to
Government policies such as lower excise
3.1.2. The Indian automotive duty for smaller cars. It is also on account
Indian automotive market

market is dominated by two of the fact that the Indian consumer is


wheelers. The sales and on highly value conscious and affordability
road population of two plays a vital role in consumer buying
wheelers is almost 75% of the decisions. This is an important aspect that
total vehicles sold/ vehicles on needs to be kept in mind for developing a
the road. In other words, the strategy for faster adoption of xEVs in
sales of two wheelers are India.
almost five times the sales of
passenger cars and sports 3.1.5. In addition, at present India has an
utility vehicles (SUVs). average power deficit of 8-10%, has lack
of sufficient road infrastructure and has
high levels of traffic congestion. In view of
the uniqueness of the Indian automotive

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market, products and solutions from other Similarly, the strategy for supporting
markets cannot be replicated in India. electric vehicles in India has to be uniquely
Customized solutions are required to tailored taking into account the ground
match the consumer preferences, realities of India.
electricity supply and market realities.

3.2. Methodology - I (Consumer survey and stakeholder inputs).

3.2.1 Given the the issues involved, challenges ahead and


uniqueness of the has also given an estimate of the possible
Indian automotive latent xEV demand in India, consumer
market and its eco- preferences, barriers to adoption and
system; it is effective drivers for uptake of hybrid and
essential that the electric vehicles in India.
strategy and the
solutions that are 3.2.3. This study involved
Primary data research
adopted for extensive field level consumer
greater adoption surveys based on direct
of electric vehicles interviews through administered
in India are tailor questionnaires. Several rounds
made to suit Indian of focused group discussions
conditions and and interactions with key
ground realities. stakeholders were also
conducted covering all major
3.2.2. The study cities and demographic profiles
jointly conducted during May, 2011 ʹ Oct, 2011.
by the The methodology followed in
Department of the study is given in (Exhibit 5) on the next
Heavy industry page:
(DHI) and the
industry has
given an in-depth
understanding of

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Exhibit 5 ʹ The broad methodology followed in the study


Global HEV / EV Market India HEV / EV Market and Challenges Recommended Interventions

Extensive Primary Research across Industry, Government


Consumer Interviews ² Qualitative (FGD),
Quantitative (Surveys)

Consumer Acceptability
ƒ Detailed Consumer
Research Insights Policy Framework
Case for Change to Unlock xEV
ƒ Why alternative Potential
powertrains Production capability ƒ Demand
ƒ Scale effects Incentives
ƒ Why xEVs
ƒ Technologies considered ƒ Supply
Net Benefits
Incentives
from xEVs
Global Demand and Price-performance ƒ R&D
ƒ Fuel Security
Policies evolution ƒ Infrastructure
Potential for xEVs ƒ Carbon dioxide
ƒ Demand for xEVs ƒ Battery price evolution emissions
ƒ Policy Levers ƒ Performance evolution Cost Benefit ƒ Job creation
Analysis and
Technology Capability Challenges
Global Technology ƒ Importance of
Evolution ƒ Net Present
technologies for India Value
ƒ ICE, start-stop ƒ ,QGLD·VULJKWWRZLQ
ƒ xEVs ² battery, ƒ Fuel savings
motors etc. Infrastructure ƒ Investments
Requirement
ƒ Power
ƒ Charging Terminals

Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

3.2.4. The initial placed on understanding the cost and


stage of the study price evolution of batteries.
focused on
scanning and 3.2.5. For an in-depth understanding of
gaining an the Indian scenario and future
understanding of possibilities, detailed interactions were
global HEV / BEV held and inputs of various key
vehicle market in terms of global demand, stakeholders including the various
policy levers used by various governments Ministries/ Departments, State
to promote xEVs, and how the technology Governments, State Transport
is evolving globally in critical areas such as Undertakings (STUs), Power Utilities,
ICE technology development, Consumers, Industry (OEMs, component
developments in start-stop technology, as manufacturers and dealers), Industry
well as all xEV components like batteries, Associations, Experts, Automotive Testing
power electronics, electric motors etc. Institutes, Academia, Research Institutes,
This has provided the basis to benchmark etc were taken.
with the global scenario and also identify
potential issues. Greater emphasis was 3.2.6. The consumer survey covered 7000
respondents across 16 cities, including the

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tier 1, tier II and tier III & IV cities and 12 recharge time and range, to obtain a true
focus groups across the nation covering all insight into consumer preferences for
vehicle segments. In addition, 200 these attributes. Preference and
interviews were conducted covering all sensitivity variation with demographic
automotive stakeholders including the parameters like age, occupation,
Government (Central Ministries & education etc. was also considered. The
Departments, State Governments etc), interaction with the key stakeholders in
Industry (both OEMs and suppliers), the industry helped in the understanding
Research Institutes and Associations etc. of the existing production capabilities,
price-performance evolution of xEVs, and
3.2.7. The consumer survey captured technology capability within the country,
various important aspects such as along with the potential for xEVs.
technology awareness and preference,
preferred attribute levels (price, mileage, 3.2.8. These inputs have provided the
top speed etc.), perception of alternative basis for possible scenarios for level of
technology compared to conventional penetration of electric mobility in the
technology, major drivers and barriers to country (upto 2020), the key interventions
adoption etc. Additionally, a questionnaire required from the Government and the
was floated with the survey and a conjoint Industry, the possible levels of
analysis was performed to capture the investments required and the likely return
sensitivity of consumer preference to on these investments.
parameters like price, running cost,

3.3. Methodology Ȃ II (Models used).

3.3.1. A number of analytical


Analytical models used

Focused
Group models have been used for
Discussions
arriving at the projections for the
net fuel savings, relative
Consumer
Survey economies of all power trains in
the future, the likely penetration
Analytical
modeling of different technologies and
likely savings in the carbon
dioxide emissions.

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Fuel savings 3.3.2. The fuel saving from xEVs different technologies in vehicle sales,
was calculated by using inputs on vehicle kilometers travelled by each
the expected vehicle segment segment and its future evolution etc. This
sales by 2020, penetration of is depicted in (Exhibit 6) below.

Exhibit 6 ʹ Fuel saving calculations

Note: Retrofits are assumed to have 80% of the fuel efficiency gain compared to OEM produced HEV / PHEV, Fuel efficiency of ICE
: 2w ʹ 65 kmpl, 3w ʹ 38 kmpl, 4w ʹ 12 kmpl (petrol), Premium Bus ʹ 2.4 kmpl, LCV ʹ 18kmpl
Source: OEM Interviews, Secondary Research, GoIʹ Industry study.

3.3.3. The Total Cost of specific drivetrain technology


Total cost of ownership

Ownership (TCO) model has been (HEV/PHEV/BEV etc.), the acquisition cost
used to arrive at relative comprising of vehicle and powertrain cost,
economics of all the powertrains, running cost, maintenance cost and
and the likely penetration of incentives were considered. From the
each (Exhibit 7). In order to total cost of ownership, the lowest cost
arrive at the total cost of drivetrain for each vehicle segment (based
ownership of a specific vehicle on kilometers travelled) was identified.
segment (2w, 4w etc.) and of the Further, based on the assumption that
consumers will make the most rational

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economic choice, the distribution of automobiles and penetration per
drivetrains in incremental sales was drivetrain.
calculated leading to total market size for

Exhibit 7 ʹ Total cost of ownership model

Note: Price in 2011 refers to expected price if OEMs bring the commercial product to the market based on current price and
performance,
2) VMT refers to the Total Vehicles Miles Travelled (annual distance travelled in km)
3) The Market penetration is adjusted with a market inertia factor to reflect consumer hesitance while shifting to new xEV
technologies
Source: GoIʹ Industry study

3.3.4. For dioxide emissions model was


CO2 emissions

estimating the used (Exhibit 8). The total CO2


carbon dioxide emission calculations involved
emissions and the calculation of emission per
likely savings vehicle per kilometer by vehicle
arising out of technology. This has three
adoption of xEV solutions, the carbon components ʹ the tank to wheel

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emission which depends on the fuel and the total emission per vehicle per
efficiency of the drivetrain; the well to kilometer was multiplied with annual
tank emission which is a function of average vehicle kilometer driven and total
battery size in addition to fuel efficiency; parc to get total emissions. Comparison of
and the material emissions which are emissions of the high gas/HEV scenario
dependent on the vehicle weight. The and high gas/HEV/BEV scenario with
total emission used is the combination of status-quos gave the emission reduction
these three components. The three in case of each one of these scenarios.
components were individually computed

Exhibit 8 ʹ Carbon dioxide emission model

Source: GoI± Industry study.

3.4. Summary of the projections for latent demand by 2020.

3.4.1. It is projected that the expected to increase to 70 million and 76


projections

total global demand for four million units respectively by 2020. It is also
Global

wheelers and two wheelers, expected that the current level of


which at present is 45 million penetration of electric (includes hybrid &
and 43 million units, is PHEV) four and two wheelers which at

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present is 2% and 38-40% respectively penetration that is possible in

Potential demand for India ʹ


may shift to 7-19% and 34-36% 6 2020 is depicted in Table 3
respectively by 2020. This will translate to below. The basis for the latent
5-13 million electric 4W and 27 million demand projections made for
electric two wheelers by 2020. India by 2020, the essential

2020
requirements to realize the
3.4.2. Further, potential, the various
it is estimated strategies that can be adopted
that the total are covered in detail in
potential Chapter 4 ʹ Demand Creation.
demand for
the full range Table 3 ʹ xEV potential demand by 2020
of electric
vehicles in Vehicle / Technology Potential for
India (mild Segment xEVs (M Units)
hybrids to full
electric BEV 2W 3.5 ʹ 5
vehicles) will
be in the range HEV Vehicles (4W, Bus,
of 5-7 million 1.3 ʹ 1.4
LCV)
units in new
vehicle sales Other BEV Vehicles
0.2 ʹ 0.4
by 2020. This (3W, 4W, Bus, LCV)
will include 3.5-5 million pure electric two
wheelers (BEVs), 1.3-1.4 million HEV Total 5-7
vehicles (4W, buses, LCVs) and 0.2-0.4
million other pure electric vehicles (4W,
buses, LCVs). However, it is also clear that
on its own these levels of penetrations are
not expected to be achieved and will
therefore require government support to
spur industry investments. The level of

6
The slight reduction for the electric two wheelers
projected for 2020 is on account of the decreasing
trend for electric two wheelers seen in China.

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3.5. Barriers to adoption of electric mobility.

3.5.1. Globally significant the country, limited current capabilities


barriers to larger and faster etc are some of the concern areas. (iii)
Barriers

adoption of electric mobility Manufacturing Investments ʹ includes the


exist. These are mainly on limited domestic manufacturing
account of higher cost of capabilities and non-existent supply chain.
acquisition, challenges relating to (iv) Lack of xEV related Infrastructure.
batteries (these include issues relating to
price, range, performance etc), consumer 3.5.3. In order to overcome these
acceptability, performance standards of barriers, creation of market for xEVs
xEVs in comparison to traditional IC through greater consumer acceptability
engine based vehicles (range, speed, will have to be the starting point. This will
acceleration etc), lack of charging need to be taken up in right earnest and
infrastructure etc. includes addressing issues related to
higher price of acquisition of electric
3.5.2. These barriers can be clubbed into vehicles and various other demand
four broad areas which need to be generation measures. Demand incentives
overcome. As far as India is concerned, should be accompanied by measures for
various issues in these areas include (i) spurring localization of manufacturing and
Consumer Acceptability ʹ this includes greater investment in R&D and technology
issues relating to low consumer acquisition. The efforts for addressing the
awareness, current price ʹ performance infrastructure related issues will need to
gap etc. (ii) Technology Development ʹ be addressed continuously from the very
the existing low level of R&D in this area in beginning of the road map.

3.6. Assessment of ease of implementation for different vehicle segments.

3.6.1. An assessment of the various existing price performance gap and the
vehicle segments with respect to the ease level of investments required. This is
of implementation / introduction of xEVs based on the data generated during the
has been carried out based on an course of the study and is depicted in
assessment of the current capabilities, the Table 4 on the next page.

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Table 4 ʹ Analysis of the ease of implementation of electric mobility plan
Analysis Four Two Buses Three LCVs
Wheelers Wheelers Wheelers
CAPABILITIES Low to Moderate to Moderate Moderate Low
Ease of Implementation

Moderate High
PRICE PERF. Moderate to Low to High High High
GAP High Moderate
INVESTMENT Significant High Moderate Moderate Moderate
investments investment
required by needed as
OEMs volumes
are high.
Overall Low to Moderate Moderate Moderate Low
Moderate to High
Source: GoI ʹ Industry study

3.6.2. Table 4 shows that introduction of into account. As per the


xEVs in the LCV segment is likely to be the interactions with various
most difficult, the ease of introduction of xEV implementation vehicle manufacturers (OEMs),
xEVs in case of four wheelers will be low the order of ease of roll out of
to moderate. Two wheelers followed by xEVs for various vehicle
buses and the three wheeler segments are segments is buses, followed by
the most amenable vehicle segments for two wheelers and three
introduction of xEVs. In addition, views of wheelers, with four wheelers
the industry in this regard were also taken being the most difficult.

3.7. Essential ingredients for realizing the potential latent demand.

3.7.1. In view of the nascent Government- industry collaboration would


Levers for xEV adoption

nature of the xEV market, lack be essential


of manufacturing eco system in
India and the significant existing 3.7.2. The important interventions,
barriers for adoption of xEVs, schemes and instruments of government
the role and support of the policy that are required to support the
government will be critical. This growth of the hybrid / electric vehicle
will involve closer working of all market can be classified into five broad
stakeholders, especially the areas of demand and supply related
government and the industry. As such, interventions, research and development

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support, infrastructure investments and tax incentives and peripheral benefits
Chapter 6 ȂSupply Incentives
fuel efficiency measures. Interventions in such as road tax exemption etc.
these areas will need to be used
effectively and leveraged.
66.1. Introduction. 3.7.3.2. Supply related interventions
to encourage domestic manufacturing:
Figure 2 ʹ Levers to support xEV adoption. The supply side interventions are aimed at
6.1.1. Encouraging value addition in India will not only help
creating the manufacturing eco system for
development and drive down the costs of xEVs but will also
xEVs through greater domestic value
manufacture of xEVs allow for more robust components and
addition. This can be achieved by linking
and their vehicle to be developed given the unique
demand incentive from the Government
components in India conditions of India. This fact is supported
to a certain minimum level of localization
is one of the prime by the manner in which the Indian
Efficiency

of xEV components along with a phased


Fuel

objectives of the automotive industry has developed in the


increase in local value addition as a
NMEM. This is not only with a view to recent past.
qualifying precondition for manufactures.
develop the domestic manufacturing
In addition, various other incentives, such
capabilities which is in line with the 6.1.2. The importance of R&D and
as accelerated depreciation, tax holidays
Government objective of increasing the production activities can be seen by the
etc can also be used to encourage and
contribution of manufacturing sector to fact that almost two-thirds of the 4W xEV
strengthen the local manufacturing
the national GDP thereby resulting in large value is created in R&D and production
capabilities. Further, as domestic
scale employment generation, but equally (Exhibit 32). This is similar to gasoline 4W
3.7.3. These areas are dealt in detail in capabilities increase over time, the
important is the fact that higher level of vehicles where ~60% of the value arises
subsequent chapters, however, briefly current special dispensation of low import
localization is also critical for the faster from component production and assembly
some of the possible interventions in duty structure on critical xEV components
adoption of electric vehicles in the and ~7-8% from research and
these areas include: can be harmonized with the general auto
country. This is due to the fact that larger development.
3.7.3.1. Demand Generation: This component import duties to give fillip to
Exhibit 32 includes
32--VVehicle a host
lifecycle cost forofindustrylocal
ʹ breakup manufacturing
by supply chain as elements
against direct
41%
measures
42%
including imports. EV (high volume)
Constitutes ~65% of Gasoline
mandating xEV in vehicle lifecycle cost
for a 4W

government fleets 3.7.3.3. Research & Development:


25% 25%
and public For developing the
17% 17%
transportation for domestic xEV
creating assured
8% 7% demand. Promoting the 4% 4%
manufacturing
5% 5%
eco-
sale of xEVs by bridging the higher system and lowering
acquisition costs of xEVs through a host of of costs in future, it is
possible measures such
Research &
Development
Component
as cash incentives,
Production
Assembly essential
Marketing that research
Sales &
Distribution
andAfter
development
Sales Service

programs be aimed at promoting India


Source: GoI- Industry study.

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94
NEMMP 2020 2012
specific solutions and greater localization 3.7.3.4.1. For charging infrastructure,
of xEVs be encouraged and funded. The the aim will be to develop this as a
R&D effort will require investments from commercially viable business opportunity
both the government and the automobile that attracts private investment. The
industry. As a part of this initiative, government will need to facilitate this
consortium building approach or direct activity by taking a number of measures
grant models can be examined, as some of that include mandating charging
the funding mechanisms to support and infrastructure in public buildings,
ensure a strong local R&D base yielding introducing standards for charging
tangible results. To this effect, it would be equipment, amending building laws to
necessary to define measurable output mandate provision for charging outlets,
indicators for R&D. providing speedier access to land for
setting up of charging infrastructure,
3.7.3.4. Infrastructure Support: The allowing private retailing of power,
xEV roll out will require augmentation of uninterrupted electricity at reasonable
existing infrastructure of Power costs for xEV recharge, speedy clearances
Generation & and by undertaking pilot projects for
Transmission testing the efficacy of the various charging
and also setting infrastructure models that can be
up of Charging adopted.
Infrastructure 3.7.3.4.2. The pilot xEV charging
for xEVs. The projects will be taken up in the early
requirement of adopter areas or cities and will not only
additional power involve identifying suitable pilot stage
generation on account of xEVs is not cities but also key target transport groups
expected to be very high. However, for electrification like fleet operators,
significant Charging Infrastructure would public transportation companies,
be required to be set up particularly for operators of feeder buses to the metro
buses. While, in case of buses, charging system etc.
stations can be located in the bus depots,
for other vehicle segments, charging 3.7.3.5. Fuel Efficiency: Higher fuel
stations will need to be set up in efficiency is one of the important
apartment complexes, malls, parking outcomes expected from the initiative.
garages, workplaces, public buildings, etc. However, given the present level of
maturity of the xEV market, taking into

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account the impact of xEVs in arriving at 3.7.3.6. Creating awareness about
fuel efficiency norms can be done only at xEV technologies among the consumers is
a later stage once these technologies have also an important initiative that will be
attained economic viability, greater required to be taken up. The details of the
penetration and acceptance. At that time, strategy proposed for each of these levers
more stringent fuel efficiency norms can is dealt in detail in subsequent chapters.
be an important lever of government
policy to support xEV growth.

3.8. NEMMP 2020 stakeholders and their roles.

3.8.1. It is clear that in order to 3.8.2. In addition to bridging the higher


realize the latent demand for acquisition costs of xEVs another barrier
The key NEMMP 2020 stakeholders

xEVs, all stakeholders including that currently exists for pure electric
the Government and the vehicles on account of range limitation
industry will need to provide (maximum distance driven per charge)
continued long term support also needs to be addressed. As such,
and commitment to this 'ŽǀĞƌŶŵĞŶƚ͛Ɛ ĐŽŶƚŝŶƵĞĚ ƐƵƉƉŽƌƚ ĨŽƌ ŬŝĐŬ
initiative. The Central starting xEV infrastructure and R&D
Government is one of the key creation will be essential. The creation of
stakeholders for this initiative adequate charging infrastructure,
with DHI, DST, NMCC, MNRE, development of battery swap and fast
MoRTH, MoP, MoUD, MoF, charging as viable business models
MoEF, and DIPP being the main coupled with improvements in range,
concerned Union Ministries. In performance, charging time, and cost
view of the existing limitations on both reductions through R&D efforts are
demand and supply side, the Government expected to play a key role in addressing
will be required to commit continued & this issue.
sustained support for creating a critical
market size for xEVs through bridging 3.8.3. In order to effectively administer
higher acquisition costs (to the extent the various schemes and for achieving the
agreed upon) for an optimal number of desired outcomes, the Government will
xEVs of different segments for an agreed also have to ensure the development of
duration. electric vehicle performance, quality and
safety parameters/standards. This will

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include issues relating to vehicle and standards, charging infrastructure
battery performance, durability & standards, standards for inspection &
warranties, driving range, charge time, maintenance, etc. (iii) Instruments of Fiscal
energy efficiency of vehicle, policy measures and trade related policies
standardization of technical characteristics as tool for shaping the market, export-
like battery characteristics, motor import. (iv) Manufacturing policy aimed at
specifications etc. In addition, the facilities encouraging investments (v) Specific
required for testing and homologation will policies aimed at incentivizing the
also need to be set up. manufacture and earlier adoption of
electric vehicles through demand creation
3.8.4. These ground realities would incentives. (vi) Schemes and pilot projects
necessitate mid to long term stable for facilitating Infrastructure creation (vii)
Government policies, schemes and pilot Policy for facilitating Research,
projects to be approved and launched in Development and Demonstration.
the start off phase itself. The Government
will also need to co-ordinate efforts for 3.8.6. The State Governments, local
international collaboration in the area of bodies, municipalities are also important
growth of electric mobility and also for stakeholders and will have a key role to
R&D activities in this field. play in effective adoption and roll out of
electric mobility through host of measures
3.8.5. The various important like road tax incentives, mandating
Government policies

mechanisms/ policies that can charging infrastructure in building byelaws,


be used by the Government to enabling private parties to sell electricity,
help shape the outcomes of this earmarking certain areas for electric
initiative include (i) Permissive vehicles only, selective levies like parking
legislations: Use of legislation fees etc.
framework, laws, both central
and local to shape what mode 3.8.7. These measures by the
and vehicle types will be allowed Government are expected to substantially
to ply in various areas (ii) Operational de-risk the large private investments
regulations: Use of legislation framework required and thereby create the
and regulations, both central and local environment and provide confidence for
aimed at setting up safety regulations, realizing the xEV demand by 2020.
emission regulations (environmental
regulations), vehicle performance

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3.8.8. The main stakeholder industries for networks and collaboration as the way
this initiative include (i) Automobile forward.
industry, (ii) Auto component industry, (iii)
Battery manufacturers, (iv) Motor 3.8.10. Acquiring a better understanding
manufactures, (v) Power utilities, (vi) of the consumer needs and key
Renewable energy companies like Suzlon, factors/strategies that will best influence a
(vii) Public transport companies and fleet change in consumer purchase behavior,
operators both for freight and passenger. individual travel behavior pattern etc is
The de-risking and conducive environment also very important. These insights can be
created by Government policies and other used not only by the industry for their
interventions should encourage the marketing strategy but also by the
automotive companies to make the Government for developing the most
investments required for creating the appropriate policies. In addition, consumer
manufacturing eco-system (supply chain) education and awareness will also be
and for undertaking significant product critical.
development activities. The role of the
power utilities and oil dispensing
companies would also be important. Upfront stable long term
Government policies, investments,
3.8.9. The automotive R&D institutes, schemes and key interventions for
R&D centers in other related areas, xEV infrastructure and R&D will
academia and the Industry will be required contribute significantly for
to collaborate in their research efforts in a providing confidence and de-
more effective manner so as to have faster risking the investment decisions of
and desirable outcomes. In addition to the private sector. The industry
facilitating the roll out of the NEMMP will in turn, need to make the
2020, collaborative R&D is one of the other committed level of investments
important activities/areas to be taken up required for creating the
by the National Automotive Board (NAB) manufacturing eco-system and
being created under the Department of undertake product development
Heavy Industry. The NAB will play a key for realizing the xEV demand by
pivotal role in this regard. The xEV R&D 2020.
strategy elaborated in Chapter 5 lays
strong emphasis on effective R&D
3.8.11. For success, the Government will
have to be the catalyst to ensure that

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collaboration between all these patterns by different segments for
stakeholders becomes a reality. The effective targeting and also for the right
industry will be required to make viable product design and specifications.
business models and understand well the
consumer preferences and vehicle usage

*******

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4. DEMAND CREATION
Chapter 4
4.1. Current status and present demand
incentives for xEVs.
4.2. The potential global demand for xEVs in
2020.
4.3. Three possible scenarios of demand
projection for India.
4.4. Important findings of the Government –
Industry study.
4.5. Demand incentive structure and other
recommendations.
4.6. Scope, coverage & phasing of demand
incentives.
4.7. Demand incentive scheme – the way ahead.
4.8. Retro fitment kits for hybrid vehicles.
4.9. Source of Government funding & incentive
delivery mechanism.
4.10. Implementation structure and mechanism.
4.11. Key stakeholders, roles and responsibilities.
4.12. Review, monitoring & course correction
mechanism.
NEMMP 2020 2012

Chapter 4 Ȃ Demand Creation


4.1. Current status and present demand incentives for xEVs.

4.1.1 The past efforts by the Ministry of New and Renewable


and the current status Energy (MNRE). This program provides
of the xEV market in demand incentives for all xEVs, amounting
India has been to a total of Rs 95 crore between 2010 and
summarized in Para 2012. This was available to OEMs giving at
1.3. The most recent demand generation least 1 year warranty and setting up 15
incentive program in India for xEVs, service stations across India. The contours
namely the Alternate Fuels for Surface of this program are summarized in Table 5
Transportation Program (AFSTP), was run below.

Table 5 - Physical targets & central financial assistance (FY 2011 and FY 2012)
Type of Physical (units)
Assistance per vehicle
Vehicle FY11 FY12
2W Low Speed 20,000 80,000 Rs. 4,000/- or 20 % ex-works cost of vehicles
whichever is less
High Speed 10,000 20,000 Rs. 5,000/- or 20 %
3W 7 seater 100 166 Rs. 60,000/- or 20 %

Passenger Car 4 seater 140 700 Rs. 1,00,000/- or 20 %

Bus/Mini Bus >10 seater - - Rs.,4,00,000/- or 20%

4.1.2. In addition, some State 4.1.3. The two most important drawbacks
Governments have also been highlighted by the industry that need to
State Governments

providing incentives for electric be improved in the earlier and existing


vehicles. For instance, the Delhi xEV demand incentive schemes are (i) lack
Government provides (i) a 15% of continuity of the incentive
subsidy on the base price, (ii) policy/scheme for sufficiently long
12.5% exemption of VAT and (iii) duration that is necessary to give
Refund of road tax and confidence to the industry for committing
registration charges large investments for setting up domestic

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manufacturing facilities. Currently the improvement for this. As such, the
existing schemes are extended on year to learning from efforts made so far highlight
year basis without any assurance on their the importance of having upfront
total duration and budget. As a result, the commitments on total size (number of
manufacturing/value addition in the vehicles covered and amount of incentive
country is currently restricted to assembly per vehicle), duration of a demand
operations with critical components being incentive policy/scheme and an efficient
imported. (ii) Simple and effective incentive delivery mechanism for the
incentive delivery mechanism that allows scheme to be effective in faster adoption
for the incentive to reach the intended of xEVs, for spurring domestic investments
beneficiaries quickly and efficiently. and for creation of domestic xEV
Current schemes leave a lot of scope for manufacturing eco-system.

4.2. The potential global demand for xEVs in 2020.

4.2.1. The global demand for xEV four 2020. Therefore, based on different
wheelers are expected to grow at a CAGR technology scenarios, the sales of four
of 18-30% in the next eight years and four wheeler xEVs is expected to range
wheeler xEVs are expected to capture 7- between 5 million and 13 million units by
19% of global 4W incremental sales by 2020. This is depicted in (Exhibit 9) below.

Exhibit 9 - Potential global demand for xEV 4W by 2020

Sources - JD Power - Drive Green 2020, JD Power - Global Engine &Transmission Forecast, Deutsche Bank - Electric Cars Plugged In 2.

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4.2.2. Given their strong focus on Notwithstanding this, the current xEV two
emission control and liquid fuel savings, wheeler global demand projection of 17
US and Europe are expected to have the million units is expected to rise to 27
greatest penetration of four wheeler xEVs. million units by 2020, maintaining a 5%
Japan which has made significant CAGR (Exhibit 10). The majority of
technological breakthroughs is also demand is expected to come from Asia
expected to have a significant number of Pacific (95%). China is expected to have a
4W xEV units by 2020. maximum demand, accounting for about
two-thirds of the total global demand.
4.2.3. The two wheeler
segment is at an advantage 4.2.4. The global xEV bus sales are
compared to other vehicle expected to grow at 22% CAGR reaching ~
segments as there is 1.1 ʹ 1.2 lakh units in 2020. The
already a significant adoption of electric penetration is also expected to rise from
two-wheelers in China, pushing the global the current 5% to 20% in 2020. It is
xEV two wheeler penetration to close to expected that 45% of the total global xEV
40%. While the current penetration of bus sales in 2020 will be from China. The
electric 2 wheelers in China is close to penetration of electric bus in China is
75%, it is expected to decline to 68% by expected to rise from the current 4% to
2020, mainly on account of safety about 24% in 2020.
concerns and change in licensing rules.

Exhibit 10 ʹ Global demand forecast ʹ 2W


Global Demand for E2Ws1,2 Global Demand Distribution of E2Ws2,3
In M units In 2020

Global
Demand
for 2Ws 43 55 76
L.A. N.A.
E. Europe Africa/M.E.
Penetration
38-40% 37-39% 34-36% W. Europe
of total (%)

27
+5% 3 E-Motorcycles
Rest of
21 Asia Pacific 29%
3
17
2

23 E-Scooters
18 66%
15 China

2011 2015 2020

Sources ʹ SIAM, JAMA, FAMI, AISI, Global insight, Datamonitor, Pike research, Govt. Industry study.

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4.2.5. In summary, it is expected shift to 7-19% and 36-34% respectively by
Global scenario
that the current level of 2020. This will translate to 5-13 million
penetration for electric four and xEV 4W and 27 million electric two
two wheelers (including hybrid & wheelers by 2020. The likely global xEV
PHEV) which at present is at 2% demand by 2020 is summarized in Table 6
and 38-40% respectively may below.

Table 6 ʹ Global 2020 xEV demand summary


(units in Millions)
Vehicle segment 2W 4W Range Buses Total
Global xEV projections 2020 Numbers 27 5 13 0.12 32.12 - 40.12
Total vehicles 2020 Numbers 76 70 70 0.57 147
Global penetration of xEV % 35.5% 7% 19% 20%

4.3. Three possible scenarios of demand projection for India.

4.3.1. In case of India, three been considered. This scenario underlines


Projections for India

most likely future scenarios of a strong xEV focus to substitute IC engine


vehicle demand projection have technology. Here a substantial CNG
been considered for the purpose penetration of about 30-35% and
of analysis and outcome significant Hybrid penetration of 10-15%
development. These are: has been assumed by 2020 for vehicles
4.3.1.1. Scenario 1 - Status- other than 2W. The BEV penetration has
quo: ʹ This scenario assumes been taken to be low, reaching about 2%
that there is no change in the current in 2020. However, in view of the ease of
state of fuel mix and the penetration deployment of BEV two wheelers, 15%
patterns of the respective vehicle penetration in sales by 2020 is taken in
segments remain similar to the current this scenario.
pattern i.e. ʹ high ICE penetration and 4.3.1.3. Scenario 3 - High Gas, High
marginal CNG penetration. HEV and High BEV: - This is one step ahead
4.3.1.2. Scenario 2 - The High Gas of the high gas/HEV scenario and takes
and High HEV: ʹ Here significant into account a strong focus on BEVs in
government focus on CNG and xEV addition to CNG and HEV. Here the BEV
through investments and incentives has penetration is assumed to increase to 5%

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in 2020 (by sales) across most vehicle made for both the High Gas/High HEV and
segments, while capturing 15% of 2- High Gas/High HEV/High BEV scenarios in
wheeler market. order to estimate the possible savings by
2020 and also the likely cost – benefit
4.3.2. In addition, estimates of the likely analysis for the initiative. This has been
impact of these penetration levels on taken up in greater detail in Chapter 8.
future liquid fuel consumption have been

4.4. Important findings of the Government – Industry study.

4.4.1. In-depth study comprising of an interviews with bus fleet owners were
extensive ground level consumer survey extensive and 75%-80% of bus population
based on direct interviews and in tier 2, 3 and 4 cities and 40%-50% bus
administered questionnaires was carried population in tier 1 cities were covered.
out. The study included several rounds of
focused group discussions covering all 4.4.3. The Focus Group Discussions (FGD)
major cities and demographic groups and with potential consumers
Focus Group Discussions

interactions with key stakeholders were provided several significant


also conducted. The Joint Government – insights, such as (i) currently
Industry study provided an understanding there is a limited understanding
of the consumer preferences, and the of xEV technologies amongst the
likely effective divers for adoption of consumers. (ii) Consumers are
hybrid and electric vehicles in India. This willing to pay a premium of 10-
study forms the basis for arriving at the 20% for HEVs justified by their
latent xEV demand projections for India. lower operating costs; however
the premium should be
4.4.2. As already detailed in Chapter 3, the recoverable in 2-3 years. (iii) Highest
field survey for four and two wheeler preference has been expressed for HEVs,
vehicle segments involved more than followed by PHEVs and BEVs – due to lack
1800 consumers across 16 cities, while of charging requirement, higher range,
that for buses and three wheelers entailed lack of battery replacement, availability of
170 interviews of bus fleet owners across an IC engine as a backup to the electric
11 cities and 1600 consumers respectively engine etc. (iv) Consumers appeared to be
to understand their preferences. The more receptive to PHEVs and BEVs, if

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there is an acceptable range and if the Cost of Ownership (TCO) analysis model,
necessary charging infrastructure is the study has made estimations for the
available. (v) Charging aspects was cited possible latent demand projections for
as being important and most respondents xEVs by 2020. These are summarized
preferred public charging infrastructure below.
and lower charging time. The charging 4.4.5.1. Consumer research

Four wheelers
time anxiety was higher for two wheelers has revealed that overall there is
and three wheeler owners. (vi) a high latent demand for xEV
Environmental benefits of xEVs did not cars (4W) and that 25-30% of
appear to be an important buying surveyed consumers would
criterion for consumers. prefer a xEV to traditional ICE
four wheelers (4W) provided
4.4.4. The insights gained from price & performance expectations are
Industry feedback

the OEMs, research institutes suitably met. Amongst the xEV four
and component suppliers wheelers, the higher preference is for HEV
indicates that (i) the low (~14-15%) followed by PHEV (~9-10%) cars
demand for xEVs in Indian and least for BEV cars (~5%). The main
market is due to high price, low barriers inhibiting adoption of 4W BEVs
performance, lack of are poor pick up, low top speed and issues
infrastructure and low relating to battery replacement.
awareness. (ii) HEVs seem to be preferred 4.4.5.2. Projections based on the
due to higher range and no charging total cost of ownership (TCO) analysis for
issues as compared to PHEVs and BEVs. 4Ws indicate that with suitable incentives
(iii) Amongst the various vehicle being provided; the four wheeler xEVs will
segments, the easiest uptake of xEVs will have significant latent demand by 2020.
be for buses, two wheelers followed by The likely potential demand for 4W will be
four wheelers and three wheelers. in the range of ~ 1.6-1.7 million units by
2020. In this projection, it is assumed that
4.4.5. Demand Projections the scale effects will come into play in
TCO model

based on Consumer survey, 2020 and lead to 10% reduction in


FGDs, TCO analysis: Based on acquisition price. Within 4W xEVs, mild
extensive consumer surveys, hybrid and full hybrid EVs can have a
focus group discussions, latent demand of ~20% by 2020 due to
interactions with different their lower acquisition and operating
stakeholders, including OEMs and Total costs. The 4W HEVs are likely to have a

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latent demand of ~4% by 2020 and 4W 4.4.5.4. Higher preference has been
BEVs can have a latent demand varying expressed for hybrid buses by

Buses
from 2.5% -5% based on cost. It is also consumers compared to PHEV
clear that on its own, the xEV potential for and BEV buses. The key barriers
4Ws in India will not be reached by 2020 for early adoption of xEV buses
unless consumer expectations are met. include pick up, battery replacement and
The study indicates that demand side charging time. In order to harness the
incentives would be critical. In addition, existing latent market potential leading to
technology and infrastructure increased xEV adoption, incentivizing both
improvements would also be required for consumers and manufacturers would be
realizing the latent demand for 4W xEVs. required. The demand side incentives can
4.4.5.3. Consumer research push up demand thus enabling the OEMs
Two wheelers

indicates that although electric to achieve scale thereby reducing the


two wheelers have much higher production costs and make the buses
acceptance, yet poor pick up, low more affordable. It would therefore be
top speed and battery preferable to front load the incentives to
replacement issues continue to drive early adoption and then phase out
be the main barriers to higher adoption of the incentives. By 2020, the likely
xEV 2W. The demand projections based potential demand for xEV buses will be in
on TCO analysis indicate significant latent the range of 2300 - 2700 units.
demand for BEV two wheelers which is 4.4.5.5. Consumer survey
LCVs

projected to rise from 2% at present to indicates that the key barriers


~16% by 2020. This corresponds to ~5 which may inhibit the adoption of
Million units by 2020 constituting 16% of xEV LCVs include poor pick up,
the total future projected demand of 32 low top speed and high battery
million two wheelers. Depending upon the replacement costs. In case the demand
future petrol prices, it is estimated that incentives and other enabling conditions
the latent demand could be in the range are met, it is expected that by 2020 HEV
of 20% for BEV scooters and 15% for BEV and BEV LCVs may achieve a penetration
bikes by 2020 to as high as 21% in a more level of 8% and 4% respectively. In volume
aggressive scenario. Further, consumer terms, this translates to 81,000 units and
research also indicates that there is a 35,000 units of HEV and BEV LCVs
higher preference for battery operated respectively.
2Ws (~55-60%). 4.4.5.6. Pick up and top speed
emerged as the top two key barriers

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inhibiting adoption of three translating to price level of $325 - $

wheelers
wheeler xEV technologies 430/kWh by 2020. However, these prices
Three

along with battery would still remain higher than equivalent


replacement cost. It is price expectation of the Indian consumer
expected that with demand ($ 210-275/ kWh) leading to a higher
incentives, latent demand for 3W BEVs acquisition cost than consumer
can be more than 2% by 2020. expectation. This aspect has been taken
into account while arriving at the likely
4.4.5.7. The Impact of technology xEV demand projections for India by 2020.
and economies of scale on demand: It is
expected that Improvements in 4.4.5.8. The projections for possible
technology and global scale effect will xEV latent demand in India along with the
bring down lithium ion battery costs by Global projections for 2020 are
about 5-7% YoY in future, thereby summarized in Table 7 & 8:

Table 7 - India and global xEV demand projections for 2020 (Nos in Millions)
Vehicle seg./ country 2W 4W Range Buses Total Range
India xEV projections 2020 Numbers 4.8 1.6 1.7 0.002 5 7
penetration of xEV India % 15.0% 17.8% 18.9% - 14-16%
Total vehicle Sales India Numbers 32 9 9 - 43
Global xEV projections 2020 Numbers 27 5 13 0.12 32.12 40.12
Global penetration of xEV % 35.5% 7% 19% 20%
Total vehicles 2020 Numbers 76 70 70 0.57
India Share as per above % 17.8% 12.8% - 30% -

Graph 1 ʹ Projected 4W xEV share in 2020 Table 8 - Projected Global Share of 4W xEV

Country 4 W Nos in Mn % Share


USA 3.2 25.0%

Europe 3.5 27.3%

Japan 1.2 9.4%


China 3.3 25.8%
Others 1.6 12.5%

Total 12.8 100.0%

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4.4.5.9. The summary of the analysis across four key parameters of
vehicle segment wise barriers for price, running costs, recharging time and
Barriers

adoption of xEVs, as indicated in range. (iii) City wise variations in xEV


preceding paras, is summarized in demand. (iv) Consumer preference for
Table 9. It must be remembered incentive type. (v) Possible niche usage
that this feedback is in context of areas for xEVs are summarized as follows.
the comparisons that consumers made in
the performance of traditional IC engine 4.4.6.1. Consumers have expressed
vehicles with xEVs. In addition, it must maintenance cost, battery cost,
also be appreciated that the current pickup, top speed and charging
consumer understanding of xEVs is also time as major factors considered

Key consumer purchase criteria


limited. However, these barriers relating while buying xEV two wheelers
to performance will need to be overcome and four wheelers. In case of
by ensuring that xEVs that are introduced LCVs top factors considered while
in the market meet certain specified buying xEV LCVs are pick up,
minimum requirements. maintenance costs and running
costs. The top factors indicated
Table 9ʹ Vehicle segment wise matrix of key by consumers while buying three
barriers to xEV adoption. wheeler xEVs were maintenance
Range 4 4 4 4 costs, range and running costs.
Charging 5 5 3 Maintenance costs, pick up,
time
Battery 3 3 3 3 2 running costs and availability of
replacement spares are important to 60%
Low top 2 2 2 2 4 consumers and therefore emerge as the
speed
Low pick up 1 1 1 1 1 key factors considered by consumers
4W 2W 3W LCV Bus while buying xEV buses. A summary of the
Source: GoI ʹ industry study. Note: Numbers indicate
key consumer purchase criteria for
priority with 1 representing the highest ranking. different vehicle segments is captured in
Table 10 on the next page:
4.4.6. The other
findings of the

important findings of
important
Other

study

the study in regard to


(i) Key consumer
purchase criterion for
xEV. (ii) Sensitivity

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Table 10ʹ Vehicle segment wise matrix of key efficiency can serve as effective levers to
consumer purchase criteria. increase the adoption of 4W HEVs.
Spares 4 Therefore, OEMs should also focus on
Range 2 improving fuel efficiency for HEVs, and
Running cost 3 3 3 spreading awareness of the same.
Charging time 5 5
Similarly, in case of 4W PHEVs and BEVs
Top speed 4 4 5 4
Pick up lowering of acquisition cost can be
3 3 1 5 2
Battery Cost 2 2 4 effective in stimulating demand. The face
Maintenance 1 1 2 1 1 to face consumer interviews validated the
cost efficacy of acquisition cost based
4W 2W LCV 3W Bus incentives and battery subsidies for 4W
Source: GoI ʹ industry study. Note: Numbers indicate
priority with 1 representing the highest ranking. xEVs.
4.4.6.2.2. Similar to the 4W segment in
4.4.6.2. Sensitivity analysis case of 2W also, consumers are most
Sensitivity analysis across key parameters

across four key parameters of sensitive to acquisition price. In addition,


price, running cost, recharge consumers have also shown sensitivity to
time and range was conducted recharging time. This indicates that
as a part of the conjoint analysis incentives on BEV 2W is likely to be
on consumer feedback received effective in boosting demand. The
from various cities. This gives a adoption of fast/quick chargers is also
good understanding on the likely to help generate demand.
extent of the impact that any 4.4.6.2.3. In case of LCVs, in addition
changes to these parameters to acquisition price, consumers have
are likely to have on the shown sensitivity to running costs. As such
consumer preference. cash incentive on acquisition costs is likely
Therefore, this helps in to be effective. Further, lower charging
identifying the parameters of time is also important and will lead to an
maximum impact in each of the increase in latent demand in case of
vehicle segments. This analysis reveals the PHEVs.
following: 4.4.6.2.4. Like most other segments, in
4.4.6.2.1. In case of 4W, the bus segments also consumers have
consumers are highly sensitive to price expressed sensitivity around acquisition
and running cost of HEV cars; with greater price. Hence, cash incentives would be
preference for lower acquisition costs. effective and will be essential to generate
This implies that cash incentives and fuel demand. Moderate sensitivity was also

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observed for running costs and recharging and rapid charging terminals and public
time for PHEVs. Setting up fast or rapid charging infrastructure.
charging stations for buses could be a 4.4.6.2.6. The summary of the
good lever in promoting xEV adoption in outcome of the sensitivity analysis for the
buses. various vehicle segments across the four
4.4.6.2.5. Acquisition price remains parameters is given in Table 11. This
the major concern in the three wheeler clearly indicates that gains through higher
segment as well. Running cost, charging fuel efficiency and demand incentives will
time and range are also areas of major be the key levers for higher xEV off take.
concern to consumers. These concerns
can be mitigated through roll-out of fast

Table 11ʹ Sensitivity analysis matrix for different vehicle segments.


HEV BEV HEV BEV Critical Area Effective Levers
for Intervention
Range 2 4 4 Battery Size Battery cost
Parameters

Re-charge 2 3 3 3 Charging
Time infrastructure
Run Cost 2 3 2 2 2 2 Fuel Efficiency Fuel Efficiency
Price 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Acquisition Demand
Cost Incentive
4W 4W 2W 3W LCV Bus Bus
Source: GoI ʹ industry study. Note: Numbers indicate priority with 1 representing the highest ranking.

4.4.6.3. Consumer feedback and tier 4 cities. As far as the battery


City wise variations

from 16-18 cities reveals that operated two wheelers is concerned,


there are significant variations there is a high latent demand for these
across cities. An analysis of the vehicles specifically in tier 2 cities followed
responses received across various by tier 1 cities. The respondents in tier 1
cities reveals that in case of xEVs, and 2 cities have also cited highest
four wheelers and LCVs have preference for low maintenance cost and
higher uptake in Tier 1 and 2 high mileage. The tier wise breakup shows
cities as compared to the Tier 3 and 4 that in the bus segment, HEVs are most
cities. In case of LCVs, Tier 1 and Tier 3 preferred and that HEVs have the highest
cities have shown a higher preference for preference in tier 2 and 4 cities; while
HEV than BEV/PHEV. In case of 3W, higher PHEV and BEV buses are most preferred in
preference has been expressed in tier 2 tier 4 cities. State Road Transport

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Corporations in cities like Bangalore and cost batteries are the most preferred
Delhi have evinced interest in xEV buses. incentive. Further, as in the case of 4W
also, it is also expected that with the use
4.4.6.4. In case of 4W, of lithium ion batteries in buses, battery
Consumer preference for type of incentive

consumer interviews indicate that replacement may be required in 5-7 years.


cash/tax subsidies would be the As such the replacement of batteries is not
preferred (58% respondents) expected to be a barrier in future,
mode of demand incentive for therefore, upfront acquisition costs only
adoption of 4W xEVs. The cash or need to be supported. The consumer
tax incentive can be given directly preference for type of incentive is
to an OEM or to the consumer summarized in Table 12 below.
either directly or routed through
the OEM. Subsidy on batteries Table 12 ʹ Vehicle segment-wise matrix of
consumer preference for incentive.
emerged as the second most Toll Discount 2
favored route (56% respondents). Others xEV Kits Electricity
cost
xEV xEV
Kits Kits
However, battery subsidies may Free Parking 3 3 4 4 5
not be required in the near term Subsidy on 2 2 5 2 3
as the advent of Li ʹ ion batteries Batteries (56%)
Cash/Tax 1 1 1 1 1
in cars delays the replacement of batteries Subsidies (58%)
to 7-10 years after purchase. Lower 4W 2W 3W LCV Bus
preference has been indicated for other Source: GoI ʹ industry study. Note: Numbers indicate
priority with 1 representing the highest ranking.
peripheral benefits such as dedicated toll
lanes, toll discounts etc. In case of two
However, it must also be remembered
wheelers, low/no tax and low cost of
that the incentive delivery mechanism
batteries have been cited as the most
that is adopted should be simple and
important motivators for adoption of xEV
effective that allows the incentive to reach
2 W by the consumers. In case of three
the intended beneficiaries quickly and
wheelers, the preferred form of incentives
efficiently. As already indicated, the
indicated was low/no tax, retro fit kit
existing/earlier schemes leave a lot of
availability and free/reduced cost of
scope for improvement in this regard.
permits. For LCVs, consumers indicated
no/low tax and availability of low cost
4.4.6.5. Possible niche area of usage/
batteries as the preferred incentive
applications for xEVs: In case of the
modes. In case of buses, surveys indicate
various vehicle segments, the xEV variants
that cash support, toll discounts and low

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lend themselves to niche area 4.4.6.5.2 Small buses used for last
applications/usage. Some of these include: mile connectivity for metro stations will
4.4.6.5.1 The premium bus segment also be highly amenable for xEVs due to
(low floor A/C) can be a target for xEVs their usage pattern.
buses, as price points are high (Rs. 1-1.3 4.4.6.5.3 xEV LCVs can be used in
Crore for xEVs compared to Rs. 60-70 niche applications such as airport pick-ups,
Lakhs for ICE bus). However, prices for xEV transportation within factory premises etc.
high floor bus would be very high as Rapid charging stations may need to be
compared to a high floor ICE bus (~Rs. 70- established to increase adoption of such
80 Lakhs compared to Rs. 25-30 Lakhs for vehicles.
ICE). Hence, xEV adoption in low floor 4.4.6.5.4 Low speed 3W BEVs can be
buses (like DTC buses) may be more used in pockets with high traffic, small
viable. campus and small towns.

4.5. Demand incentive structure and other recommendations.

4.5.1. Essential requirements time/volume phasing, issues like yearly


Essential requirements of a

of a demand incentive based volume caps for incentives


demand incentive scheme

scheme: Designing an effective (maximum number of vehicles to be


demand incentive scheme will covered segment wise), desirability of
not only require identification mandating of certain minimum portion of
of the optimum quantum of incentives to be earmarked for a particular
incentives for various vehicle technology within a vehicle segment (say
segments based on a sound BEV within the 4W segment), the final
rationale but also the phasing out of incentives can be examined
comprehensive criteria based and incorporated as a part of the demand
on which these incentives can incentive scheme that is adopted.
be structured and distributed. This can be 4.5.1.1. Conditions of minimum
done on the basis of qualified vehicle quality, durability, homologation and
parameters, time / volume (phasing) safety standards for xEV vehicles will need
considerations and degree of localization to be mandated as an essential qualifying
conditions. The vehicle parameters include criterion for demand incentives. Further,
(i) battery size (ii) technology (iii) localization criterion will also be required
minimum performance criteria. In case of to be inbuilt in the scheme as a measure

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to ensure that demand incentives are demand incentive strategy; the boundary
matched with minimum xEV component conditions will be unique for different
indigenization to create the xEV vehicle segments.
manufacturing eco system within the 4.5.1.4. It is also to be kept in mind
country. Certain additional requirements that in certain vehicle segments

Demand assurance measures


can also be considered for entitling a cash incentives alone may not be
manufacturer to qualify for incentives effective enough for promoting
such as minimum level of in-house R&D localization of xEV, as xEV
spend on xEV. component supply chain may
4.5.1.2. The linkage of not come up unless there is a
Demand incentive strategy

demand incentive decisions to sufficient demand volume which


issues like battery size, is assured upfront. As such, in
technology and minimum the initial years, the strategy of
performance criteria (i.e. vehicle linking localization of xEVs to
parameters) for different vehicle demand incentives may need to
segments constitutes the specific be supplemented with some level of
demand incentive strategy for demand assurance measures in certain
that particular vehicle segment. cases. In addition, the feasibility of putting
The prescribed strategy for in place assured demand measures will
different vehicle segments will differ also need to be evaluated as in case of
substantially depending upon various certain vehicle segments this may not be
conditions. This has been taken up later in possible. The possible means of achieving
detail. demand assurance can be through
4.5.1.3. The criteria of (i) procurement of xEV vehicles for Central
parameters

time / volume i.e. phasing (ii) and State Government vehicle fleets,
Boundary

minimum localization mandating of xEVs in certain


conditions (iii) assured areas/locations etc. In case of low floor
minimum quality, durability intra city buses, since most of the intra-
and safety standards etc city bus fleets are operated by
constitute the essential qualifying Government owned State Transport
parameters that a manufacturer will need Undertakings (STUs), a certain share of
to meet in order to be eligible for demand new bus purchases by STUs can be
incentives. These parameters can be mandated to be xEVs, with Government
collectively termed as the qualifying or support being provided on similar lines to
boundary parameters. As in the case of procurement of low floor buses through

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the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban next page. The quantum of incentive [A],
Renewal Mission (JNNURM). This may the parameters for deciding
however not be feasible for high floor their distribution/gradation

Comprehensive demand incentive


buses on account of very high cost amongst the various vehicle
differential between the xEV bus and the segments & technologies [B],
traditional IC engine bus. Similarly, it may the minimum qualifying
also be possible to mandate certain XEV criterion/ boundary parameters
four wheelers in Government purchase. that need to be insisted upon

h
The cumulative demand generated across [C], and the supplementing
various vehicle segments, some of which
demand assurance measures [D]
also includes assured demands can
for some of the vehicle
provide the required volumes for
segments together constitute
component suppliers to invest in setting
the necessary elements required
up local manufacturing units. An
for a comprehensive demand
assessment of the demand assurance
incentive scheme. This is at the core of the
measures for various vehicle segments is
given in Figure 3 below. NEMMP 2020 strategy that will drive
4.5.1.5. A comprehensive demand faster adoption and also provide impetus
incentive scheme will comprise of the to manufacturing of xEVs in the country.
various elements discussed in preceding
paras. This is depicted in Figure 4 on the

Figure 3 ʹ Demand assurance measures ʹ vehicle segment wise assessment


Vehicle Two Wheelers Three Four Buses LCVs
Segment Wheelers Wheelers
Demand 4.8 million 20,000-30,000 1.4-1.6 million 2600-3000 30,000-50,000
(2020)
Assessment
Insufficient Insufficient Insufficient
of mandates Sufficient Insufficient
Demand, similarity Demand, mandate Demand, mandate Demand, City fleet
required Demand, no
with 2W will drive like procurement
like govt. vehicle could be
mandates localization; free by STUs would be
fleet procurement mandated to be
required additional permits required coupled
may be required. xEV starting 2015.
will be useful. with pilot projects.

Source: GoI ʹ industry study.

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Figure 4: Elements of a comprehensive demand incentive scheme

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study.

4.5.2. Government within various vehicle segments and the


Industry recommendations: other boundary (essential) conditions for
Government ʹ Industry study

Based on extensive qualifying for incentives have also been


recommendations

interactions with all suggested. These recommendations


stakeholders including provide a robust framework for framing of
industry and consumers and a comprehensive demand incentive
relying upon key findings, the scheme which will be approved separately
indicative levels of demand by the NBEM and NCEM during the roll
incentives required for out phase of the plan. The findings from
different vehicle segments the Government ʹ Industry study are
have been proposed in the summarized as follows.
Government ʹ Industry study.
In addition, various possible formulations 4.5.3. As far as the demand
for gradation & distribution of demand incentive strategy for four wheelers; the
incentives across various technologies; Government ʹ Industry study has

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NEMMP 2020 2012
proposed that given the higher out. In addition, demand assurance by
Possible demand incentive strategy
battery size; more incentives mandating a share of new sales in the
for different vehicle segments.
should be given to PHEVs and public intra city buses, especially in the
BEVs as compared to HEVs. low floor category, and metro feeders to
tŝƚŚŝŶ ƚŚĞ s͛Ɛ, it is xEV buses would be conducive to
suggested that higher adoption of xEV buses. As this is still a
incentive can be allocated to nascent technology in India, before full
high performance BEVs. In the scale commercialization, pilot projects can
study, high performance has be conducted for hybrid/electric buses in
been defined in terms of the cities such as Delhi, Mumbai, and
pickup and top speed of the Bangalore for monitoring the benefits and
vehicle. Further deliberations the commercial viability. In addition, the
will be required to define the establishment of fast and rapid charging
optimum and most effective performance stations at bus depots may be required for
parameters. BEV / PHEV buses.
4.5.3.1. In case of two wheelers, the 4.5.3.3. With respect to LCVs, the
strategy is centered on higher incentive incentives are proposed to be based on
for higher battery size and within the battery size (higher incentive amount to
same battery size higher incentive BEVs) with a portion of incentive
allocation is recommended for better earmarked for BEVs.
performing two wheelers in terms of
higher speed and durability. It is also 4.5.3.4. The Government ʹ Industry
proposed by the Government ʹ Industry study also recommends the
criterion for diff. tech.
Incentive distribution

study that in the initial years (2012-2014), distribution of incentives


higher quantum of demand incentives for based on technology type as
certain types of two wheelers can be kept an important constituent of
which can be reduced during the later the demand incentive
phase (2014-2017). strategy.
4.5.3.2. The demand incentive 4.5.3.4.1. At present, in
strategy for buses is proposed to be based relative terms, as HEVs have
on higher incentive for larger battery size much higher market
(i.e. higher incentives for PHEVs and BEVs) acceptability, these are easiest to roll out
with front loading of incentives, in terms and have fewer issues to be addressed. In
of volumes (first 900, next 750 and so on), case equal treatment is given to all
to drive early adoption and then a phase technologies, it may so happen that most

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of the demand incentives are consumed of demand incentives for these
by products using this technology which technologies will be examined during the
may limit the subvention available for formulation of the comprehensive
demand creation of other technologies. demand incentive scheme. Further,
4.5.3.4.2. Therefore, the possible associated issues relating to possible non
formulations suggested for splitting the utilization ŽĨ ͞ƌĞƐĞƌǀĞĚ ƉŽƌƚŝŽŶ͟ ŽĨ
demand incentives within different vehicle incentives for these technologies and
segments amongst different technologies ǁŚĞƚŚĞƌ ƚŚĞƐĞ ͞ŶŽŶ-ƵƚŝůŝnjĞĚ͟ ŝŶĐĞŶƚŝǀĞƐ
(HEV, PHEV and BEV) are as under: will be rolled over to subsequent years or
i. The Government - will be allocated to other technology
industry study proposes that the products, will also need to be addressed.
4W

incentive for 4W can be split as


75-90% for mild/full HEVs and 4.5.3.5. The possible strategies as
PHEVs and balance 10-25% be reserved recommended in the Government ʹ
for BEVs. This may help in bolstering BEV Industry study will be further refined to
demand by preventing domination by arrive at the optimum demand incentive
HEVs and PHEVs. In addition, it is also strategy for each vehicle segment during
proposed that suitable incentive can also the finalization of a specific policy on
be applied for approved retrofit solutions. demand incentives to be approved by the
ii. In case of buses, it is NCEM during the initial roll out phase of
and LCVs
Buses

proposed that 75%-90% of the NEMMP 2020.


the demand incentives can be
reserved for HEVs/PHEVs and 4.5.4. The level of demand
10-25% for BEVs. In case of LCVs, the incentives for the different
incentives
Level of

study has proposed an incentive ratio of vehicle segments were


80-70% by volume for HEVs/PHEVs and calculated using an iterative
20-30% for BEV. These recommendations process with inputs from the
will need greater deliberations before total cost of ownership (TCO)
finalisation. model, OEMs, Government, consumer and
4.5.3.4.3. While the agreed upon global perspectives. This is depicted in
fundamental approach is not to favor any Figure 5 on the next page. A two pronged
particular technology through policy, approach was used wherein on the
however, in order to allow popularization demand side, the TCO model was used
and development of PHEVs and BEVs, the along with vehicle kilometers travelled
desirability of reserving a certain portion (VKT) to work out the demand penetration

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NEMMP 2020 2012
for different technologies in different VKT the demand levels that are required/
segments. This assumed that the needed to be achieved. The gap between
consumer would make the most rational these two estimations was used to arrive
economic decision while making a at the level of incentive that would be
purchase and gave an estimation of the required for different vehicle segments.
demand levels that can be achieved for The level of incentives proposed in the
different technologies. On the supply side; study for various vehicle segments, which
inputs were taken from the OEMs and can be considered subject to the
global perspectives on the expected prescribed boundary/qualifying conditions
penetration levels and minimum scale are summarized in the following
required for xEVs to become self paragraphs.
sustaining. This provided the estimate of

Figure 5 - Incentive calculation method adopted

Source: Govt ʹ Industry study

4.5.4.1. The proposed level based on performance standards are as


4W

of demand incentives for four follows.


wheeler xEVs based on type of Rs. 25K for mild HEVs
technology and within the pure electric Rs. 50K for full HEVs
technology (BEVs), the incentive level Rs. 1 Lakh for PHEVs

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Rs. 1 Lakh for low-performance BEV, Rs. Rs. 10 ʹ 12.5K per high speed, high
1.5 Lakh for high-performance BEV. durability BEV (1.5 ʹ 2.5 kWh)
The possible performance criterion for Rs 15,000 per high speed BEV
differential incentive in case of pure motorbike (+ 2.5 kWh)
electric four wheelers includes top speed, It is proposed that higher level of
pick up and range. This is depicted in incentives would be given upfront in the
(Exhibit 11) below. initial years (2012-14) for faster early
adoption of xEV 2W which will help bring
Exhibit 11 - Proposed demand incentive structure for 4
wheelers. down the costs through scale and higher
5V¶
160
domestic value addition. This can be
Can be given to the 150

140 first 200,000 units/yr followed by phase II of lower level of


from 2012 for five

120
Low Performance years incentives. This is depicted in (Exhibit 12).
High Performance

100 100 100


Exhibit 12 - Proposed demand incentive structure for
80 two wheelers.
Rs
60 16,000
50 15,000 15,000

14,000 Can be awarded to


40 the first one Million
units annually 12,500
25 12,000 starting 2012
20
10,000

0
8,000 7,500 7,500 7,500
Mild HEVs Full HEVs PHEVs (2.5- BEVs (>10 kWh)
(0.5-1 kWh) (1-2.5 kWh) 10 kWh) 6,000
5,000 5,000
Source: GoI ʹ industry study. 4,000

2,000

However, as indicated earlier, the 0


0.5-1.5 kWh 1.5-2.5 kWh 1.5-2.5 kWh 2.5+ kWh (High
(HEVs /low (High speed (High speed speed BEV bikes)

incentive strategy will need to be further speed BEVs) low durability


BEV scooters)
high durability
BEV scooters)
2014-2017 2012-2014
deliberated and refined.
Source: GoI ʹ industry study.

4.5.4.2. The level of Here also differential incentives, varying


Two wheelers

demand incentives for two with the type of vehicle, time and volume
wheelers that can perhaps be can be considered.
considered, along with the
possible allocation criterion, is 4.5.4.3. In case of the bus
indicated as under:
Buses

segment, the possible demand


Rs. 5 ʹ 7.5K per HEV / low speed BEV incentives proposed for low floor
(0.5 ʹ 1.5 kWh) urban buses are:
Rs. 5 ʹ 7.5K per high speed, low Rs. 20-5 lakh for HEV (decreasing
durability BEV (1.5 ʹ 2.5 kWh) annually)

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Rs. 34-18 Lakhs for PHEVs incentivized through the following


Rs. 37-20 Lakhs for BEVs measures:
The demand incentive structure for buses Free permits and incentives of Rs
is given in (Exhibit 13). 10,000 per BEV 3Ws can be given to
20,000 units every year from 2012 for 5
Exhibit 13 ʹ Proposed demand incentives for xEV Buses
years.
Incentive
Rs. Lakhs HEV 10-20 kWh
Mandate low speed BEVs in public
40 PHEV 50-70 kWh
37
35 34 BEV >100 kWh transportation in certain areas of cities
31
30 29
27 with high traffic, with small campuses,
25 24
23
20 21 20 small towns etc to create initial demand
20 18
15 15 for OEMs.
11
10
7
5 5

0
4.5.4.4.1. During deliberation on the
First 900 Next 750 Next 600 Next 450 Next 300 demand incentives for three wheelers, the
Source: GoI ʹ industry study results from a recent detailed three
In addition, as STUs purchase ~22,000 wheeler consumer survey conducted by a
buses per annum, of these ~ 50% or manufacture were also deliberated. As per
11,000 buses are intra-city. As already this, it appears that market acceptability
indicated, a proportion of this annual of xEV three wheelers would require
procurement can also be mandated to be higher performance standards (range, top
hybrid buses based on city tier (high for speed etc). In such a scenario the
tier 1 cities) to create initial assured incentives levels may need to be increased
demand. However, as the economic to offset the higher costs. In terms of the
rationale and operating performance of agreed upon approach, this aspect would
these buses needs to be fully established, be examined and a decision would be
pilot projects should be conducted for taken at the time of finalizing the demand
hybrid / electric buses in the initial take incentive scheme.
off years, benefits of which can be
monitored closely before full-scale roll- 4.5.4.5. In case of LCVs, the
Government ʹ Industry study
LCV

out.
proposes that:
4.5.4.4. In case of three Incentives of Rs 50,000 per
3W

wheelers, it is suggested that vehicles for HEV (0.5-3 KWh) and Rs


xEV in this segment can be 100,000 per vehicle for BEV (> 7 Kwh)

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be given to the first 50,000 units per essential qualifying parameters or
year from 2013 for five years. boundary parameters based on which
Mandating of xEVs in Government fleet, incentives can be given. The NBEM
specific cities can be considered. approved that the essential conditions
required for qualifying for incentives as
4.5.4.6. The NBEM in also the other set boundary parameters
NBEM decision - study recommendation to

their second meeting decided should be included in the demand


that the report findings on incentive scheme. It was also decided that
quantum of demand subsidy the specific conditions and parameters
be taken as indicative

will be taken as the indicative should be framed based on the possible


starting point and the WG on formulations given in the Government ʹ
Demand & Supply (WG-DS) Industry study. As per the Government ʹ
will use these inputs to Industry study, the recommendations in
recommend the specific respect of these criteria for different
incentive levels etc for the vehicle segments are given in subsequent
approval of the NCEM. It was paras.
also decided that in order to
make the scheme more 4.5.5.1. In order to
effective, the incentive promote local manufacturing
Localization commitments
(phasing of localization)

delivery mechanism should be made as and sourcing, demand


simple as possible. As such micro incentives need to be subject
examination and finalization of the to firm industry commitments
incentive levels will be undertaken in the on the minimum level of
roll out phase. localization of xEV
components in the vehicle. A
4.5.5. Essential qualifying minimum threshold
Essential qualifying conditions

conditions/boundary parameters percentage of localized value


for grant of demand incentives: needs to be specified for each
As indicated in Para 4.5.1.3, the technology with an agreed upon annual
criterion of (i) time / volume i.e. increase of domestic value addition
phasing. (ii) minimum coinciding with the next five years of
localization conditions. (iii) demand subvention (at the level of at
assured minimum quality, least 5% increase annually). This will vary
durability, homologation and between different vehicle segments
safety standards constitute the depending upon various conditions. Bill of

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Material can serve as the basis for Exhibit 16 ʹ Proposed phasing of localization for
evaluation of this criterion being met. As buses as per study.

per the Government ʹ Industry study the


proposed localization conditions for
different vehicle segments are illustrated
in (Exhibit 14 to 18).

Exhibit 14 ʹ Proposed phasing of localization


(domestic value addition) for 4 W as per study.

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study. Note 2012 = start yr of scheme.

Exhibit 17 ʹ Proposed phasing plan for localization


(domestic value addition) for LCVs as per study.

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study. Note 2012 = start yr of scheme.

Exhibit 15 ʹ Proposed phasing of localization


(domestic value addition) for 2W as per study.

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study. Note 2012 = start yr of scheme.

Exhibit 18 - Proposed phasing plan for localization


(domestic value addition) for 3 W as per study.

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study. Note 2012 = start yr of scheme.

This essential qualifying requirement has


been agreed in principle to be
incorporated in the final demand incentive
scheme; however, the level of localization
and extent of annual increase will be Source: GoI ʹ Industry study. Note 2012 = start yr of scheme.

further examined in detail.

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Furthermore, in view of the need for However, in case, it is seen that

Phase out
encouraging local manufacturing and the industry or a particular
assembly, no incentives would be vehicle segment becomes self-
provided for completely built imported sustaining within the pre-defined
xEV vehicles. Further, the current import period, the incentives can be
duty benefits for xEV components will also withdrawn earlier. Also, in case of non-
need to be phased out and aligned with attainement of the desired volumes by the
normal auto component tariffs over a end of the incentive period, a review
period of time (for instance, 5 years) to would be done to consider further
promote indigenous manufacturing. continuation of the scheme. The proposed
phase out of the incentives as per the
4.5.5.2 The study has Govt. ʹ Industry study for different vehicle
recommended annual volume segments is given hereunder:
Volume caps

caps for the demand incentives 4.5.5.3.1. In case of four

Four wheelers
in each of the vehicle segment wheelers, it is envisaged that the
before the final phase out year. incentives will be gradually
It is proposed that the Incentives phased out from the sixth year
can be made available to the first with 100,000 units supported in
200,000 four wheelers per year, the first 1 the first half and 50,000 units in
million two wheelers, 20,000 three the second half of the sixth year.
wheelers and the first 50,000 LCV units Following this the incentives will be
every year. In case of non utilisation of full withdrawn. This is depicted in (Exhibit 19).
incentives for any vehicle segment, the
option of carrying this over to the next Exhibit 19 ʹ Proposed likely phase out plan for 4W
demand incentives.
year or allocating the unutilised balance to
another segment in the same year will
also need to be included during the roll
out of the scheme. Further, regular review
mechanism will also be set up for
assessment of the impact of this market
creation initiative.

4.5.5.3 The incentives for xEVs are Source: GoI ʹ Industry study. Note 2012 = start yr of scheme.
proposed to be phased out in five years
for the various vehicle segments.

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4.5.5.3.2. In case of two Exhibit 21 ʹ Proposed likely phase out plan for 2W
Two wheelers demand incentives.
wheelers, it is proposed that in
the initial years i.e. 2012 - 2014;
higher level of incentives ranging
from Rs 7500 ʹ Rs 15000
(depending on vehicle type) can
be given to boost demand. The initial
higher offtake is likely to lower cost of
production owing to scale effect and
localisation; so as to enable the level of Source: GoI ʹ Industry study. Note 2012 = start yr of scheme.

incentives in subsequent years i.e. 2014-


4.5.5.3.3. The study
2017 to be decreased. This is illustrated in

3W
proposes that the incentive for
(Exhibit 20).
three wheelers will also be
Exhibit 20 ʹ Proposed phased lowering of demand
phased out after five years i.e. by 2017
incentive for two wheelers by restricting the incentive to 10000
16,000
Rs
vehicles in H1 - 2017 and 5000 in H2 -
15,000 15,000

14,000 Can be awarded to


the first one Million
12,500
2017.
units annually
12,000

10,000
starting 2012
4.5.5.3.4. In case of LCVs, the
LCV

8,000 7,500 7,500 7,500 incentive can eventually be


6,000
5,000 5,000 phased out after five years from
4,000

2,000
2013 (25,000 units in first half of 2018 and
0
0.5-1.5 kWh 1.5-2.5 kWh 1.5-2.5 kWh 2.5+ kWh (High
12,500 units in the second half of 2018).
(HEVs /low (High speed (High speed speed BEV bikes)
speed BEVs) low durability
BEV scooters)
high durability
BEV scooters)
4.5.5.3.5. The introduction of
Bus

2014-2017 2012-2014
xEV buses can be done on pilot
Source: GoI ʹ Industry study.
project basis, for cities such as
In addition, as in case of other vehicle Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore etc, wherein
segments, it is also proposed that in 6th the benefits and adoption by consumers
year, incentives can be given to 500,000 can be monitored so that issues, if any,
two wheelers in the first half and 250,000 can be addressed before full scale
units in the second half, after which they commercialization. It is estimated that
may be withdrawn. This is depicted in incentive to about 3000 buses should
(Exhibit 21). provide enough scale to OEMs to bring
down the costs by 20-25%. Therefore, the
proposed Incentives can be made
available to the first 3000 buses starting

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from 2013, subject to localization, quality NBEM that these requirements will be
and minimum performance standards etc, insisted upon and the specific details in
and then these can be withdrawn. In case this regard will be finalized as a part of the
of demand incentives for buses, it is also demand incentive scheme.
proposed that the level of incentives
should continue to decline with increasing 4.5.5.5. In order to
volumes as depicted in (Exhibit 22). enforce the quality,
4.5.5.3.6. For all segments, the actual safety and performance
yearly caps, start year, phase out, etc will standards, regulations
be finalised during final scheme approval. and standards will be
set up on priority in areas where these do
Exhibit 22 ʹ Proposed likely phase out plan for
not currently exist. In addition, the testing
bus demand incentives.
infrastructure required to enforce these
standards will also be set up. An
assessment in this regard will be made by
the WG on demand.

4.5.6. While projecting the


total demand incentive levels,
Total demand side

the study has considered two


incentives

scenarios ʹ HG/HEV and


Source: GoI ʹ Industry study. Note 2012 = start yr of scheme.
HG/HEV/BEV, with the second
scenario having higher
4.5.5.4 The demand incentives
penetration of BEVs (pure
to be provided to xEVs will also
electric vehicles). The range of
performance criteria
Quality, safety and

be subject to set quality &


investments required for the
safety standards, performance
demand generation for the HG/HEV
criterion and warranty
scenario is Rs 12,250 crores ʹ Rs 12,600
requirements approved by
crores and that for the HG/HEV/BEV
authorized automobile testing
scenario is Rs 13,500 ʹ Rs 13,850 crores.
institutions. The performance
The summary of the total demand
standards may include
generation incentives suggested for the
parameters like fuel efficiency,
different vehicle segments for the next
range, minimum battery life, minimum
five years is summarized in Table 13. This
top speed, min passenger carrying
is an indicative assessment of the level of
capacity, etc. It has been decided in the

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Government support that will be required Government ʹ Industry study is depicted
for spurring demand generation for xEVs. in (Exhibit 23) below. The WG ʹDemand &
Supply, created by the NBEM, will help
4.5.7 The overview of further detail and refine the proposed
the possible demand demand incentive scheme for the
incentive scheme as consideration of the NBEM/NCEM.
proposed by the joint

Exhibit 23 ʹ Proposed demand incentive scheme

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study.

Table 13 ʹ Total investment proposed for the next 5 years - (Rs Crores)
4W 2W 3W Buses LCV Total
Area HG/ HG/HE HG/ HG/ HG/HE HG/ HG/HEV HG/ HG/HE HG/ HG/HEV
HEV V/BEV HEV HEV V/BEV HEV /BEV HEV V/BEV HEV /BEV
Demand 4900 5600- 5200- 400- 700- 500- 500- 1200- 1500- 12,250 13,500
Incentives -5000 5700 5300 500 750 550 550 1300 1550 -12,600 -13,850
Source: GoI ʹ Industry study. Note: These are indicative estimates. For higher performance three wheelers (range, speed and load
capacity) the demand incentives will be higher.

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4.6. Scope, coverage & phasing of demand incentives.

4.6.1. The different vehicle segments needs to be examined whether or not


have dissimilar levels of implementation different priorities need to be accorded to
difficulty and pose distinct challenges for different technologies in each of the
introduction of xEVs. The total funds vehicle segment. Table 14 below provides
needed for meeting the demand incentive a summarized assessment of the vehicle
requirements for different vehicle segment wise variation of (i) demand
segments varies significantly. The incentive requirements calculated on the
outcome (benefits) from introduction of number of xEV to be provided incentive in
xEV in each vehicle segment is also quite each vehicle segment for full duration of
different. As such, it needs to be decided the program, (ii) ease of implementation
whether the introduction of electric (introduction) of xEVs and (iii) the
vehicles needs to be supported for all projected net benefits from introduction
vehicle segments at the same level or if of xEVs based on the realization of the
different priorities are to be allocated to potential demand by 2020.
various vehicle segments based on pre
determined criterion. Further, it also

Table 14 ʹ Assessment of xEV introduction implications.


Four Two Three
Buses LCVs
Wheelers Wheelers Wheelers
Total demand HEV 4900-5000 500-550 400-450 1250-1300
incentives 5200-5300
HEV/BEV 5600-5700 500-550 700-750 1500-1550
Ease of Overall Low to Moderate to Moderate Moderate Low
Implementation Moderate High

NPV of benefits HEV 4800 3300 1200 1500


(Net Benefits) 28,000
HEV/BEV 7100 3700 1700 3000
Source: GoI ʹ Industry study.

4.6.2. An assessment of consumer feedback, OEM feedback and


the ease of the outcome of the government ʹ industry
implementation and study, is summarized in Table 15. From
preferred areas for xEV this, it is seen at present that both
introduction, based on consumers and OEMs prefer hybrid and

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mild hybrid technologies. The OEMs view vehicle segments and technology favoring
that the implementation of xEV will be introduction of electric vehicles is also
easiest for buses, two wheelers, three depicted in the matrix below with a higher
wheelers followed by four wheelers. The no of .

Table 15 ʹ Vehicle segment wise assessment of xEV introduction implications.


Priority Two Four Three Buses
Segment wheelers wheelers wheelers
Priority Tech. 1 2 3 4 3 3 2 1

Mild Hybrid
Hybrid

Plug in Hybrid

Pure Electric

- OEMs

- Consumer

4.6.3 Based on the supported initially, (ii) similarly, a choice


data indicated at needs to be made regarding the
Table 14 and Table technology to be adopted, (HEV, PHEV,
15, an assessment of BEV) and its phasing, (iii) in case, it is
the possible macro decided to take up all segments
level implementation immediately and also to support all
scope options can be technologies, then it will need to be
made. The various decided if equal priorities is to be given to
options can be all the vehicle segments and technologies
worked out based on or otherwise. Of the various permutations
broad decisions like possible, the three possible options
(i) if all the vehicle deliberated by the NBEM are indicated in
segments are to be taken up immediately Figure 6 on the next page.
or only the most promising ones be

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Figure 6 - Options for scope of demand incentives

All Segments now All Segments now Some Segments now

All Technologies now All Technologies now Appropriate Tech. now

Equal Priority Different Priorities Different Priorities

4.6.4. The NBEM during the second 4.6.5. Phasing during next five
meeting decided that neither any specific years: The phasing of the demand

Phasing
vehicle segment nor any particular incentives for the next five years
technology should be excluded from the and the degree of localization as
scope of the NEMMP 2020. It was also indicated in the Government ʹ
decided that the vehicle segment and Industry study for the various
technology priorities along with incentive vehicle segments will be fine tuned by the
criterion (battery size etc) & incentive type WG-D&S. The decision taken by NBEM for
would be worked out by WG-D&S and linking time limits for demand incentives
proposed to NBEM/NCEM for to achievement of outcome will be also
consideration and approval. The taken into account as a part of the
methodology proposed should be linked comprehensive demand creation policy
to outcome achievement. which will be submitted for approval of
NBEM/NCEM.

4.7. Demand incentive scheme Ȃ the way ahead.

4.7.1. In terms of the Government implementation of the scheme, initiative,


decision taken during the approval for the intervention. This is essential to ensure
National Mission for Electric Mobility synergic working by various agencies to
(NMEM), all interventions, schemes, the common end objective.
policies, initiatives are to be approved by
NBEM and NCEM, irrespective of the 4.7.2. As a number of agencies and
Ministry/agency entrusted with the organizations will be involved, the NBEM

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in its second meeting decided to set up a on year to year basis. The evaluation of
Working Group on demand & Supply (WG- the various options for the vehicle
D&S) comprising of all concerned parameters, qualifying parameters
stakeholders. This working group has been (boundary conditions) and performance
mandated to also look into issue related parameters will include developing a
to demand incentive scheme, supply side formulation that allows for flexibility of
incentives and hybrid retro fitment kits. approach, use of innovation to achieve
The micro detailing for the initiative, mission objectives and incentives for
including schemes, timelines, milestones, higher achievement of key mission
and specific decisions will be developed objectives of fuel efficiency, localization
with the help of the WG-D&S. and greater investment in R&D. This
would require the scheme /policy to be
4.7.3. During the first meeting of the WG- technology agnostic on a broad level
D&S held on 22nd -23rd February, 2012, it thereby allowing adoption of various
was decided that the study, being an technology pathways.
extensively researched document will be
the basis for the finalization of a 4.7.5 The WG-D&S also made certain
comprehensive demand incentive important suggestions that will be
scheme/policy. The various issues relating considered while framing the demand
to (i) validation of the quantum of incentive policy. Some of these include;
demand incentives, (ii) setting up of 4.7.5.1. The existing incentive
simple yet effective vehicle parameters for schemes are extended on year to year
gradation of/differential incentives basis without any assurance on their total
between different vehicle segments and duration and budget. Certainty of the
technologies, (iii) validation and fine duration and quantum of the incentive
tuning of the qualifying policy/scheme is essential to give
criterions/boundary parameters and (iv) confidence to the industry for committing
detailing of the demand assurance large investments for setting up domestic
measures will be undertaken through manufacturing facilities. Further, the
various sub groups of the WG-D&S. incentive delivery mechanism should be
simple and effective that allows for the
4.7.4. The exercise for validation of the incentive to reach the intended
incentive levels as proposed by the study beneficiaries quickly and efficiently.
will also involve monetizing the proposed 4.7.5.2. The capacity and firm
incentives for different vehicle segments commitment of the industry to be able to

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NEMMP 2020 2012
supply the required number of xEVs would external conditions like wind, light etc. In
be adequately captured. view of the intermittent availability of
4.7.5.3. The mission should renewable energy, buffer storage and
encourage the development of new decentralized power generation from
vehicle types/designs instead of mere alternate fuels needs to be promoted.
conversion of heavy IC engine based NMEM can be an important initiative to
vehicle designs. Mass reduction (light provide the means for buffer storage (xEV
weighting) and energy efficiency should batteries) and the use of renewable
therefore be encouraged. energy at remote locations. Therefore,
4.7.5.4. The incentives should be a NMEM should also be seen as an
percentage of the price differential with important intervention that can promote
the balance being met from the benefits renewable energy. Renewable energy
accruing from lower operating costs and generation efforts should be linked to the
economies of scale. Public transportation NMEM.
(Buses and three wheelers) should be
given higher priority in view of their larger 4.7.6. The draft demand incentive
benefit to the society. scheme/policy will be finalized by a core
4.7.5.5. Since xEVs have higher group headed by Department of Heavy
weight as compared to ICE vehicles mainly Industry and consisting of members from
due to battery, the optimum battery sizes MNRE, NMCC, Planning Commission, MoF
for different xEVs should be specified etc. The representatives of industry
upfront. Further, a detailed and effective associations will also be co-opted. The
definition of minimum quality, durability inputs from the working group on demand
and warranty requirements for xEVs will be considered while finalizing the
should also be prescribed. draft scheme/policy. The draft
4.7.5.6. The generation of renewable scheme/policy will be considered and
energy is highly variable depending on approved by the NBEM/NCEM.

4.8. Retro fitment kits for hybrid vehicles.

4.8.1. The key objectives of the NMEM are through encouraging fast adoption of xEVs
to ensure national energy security and and their manufacturing in the country.
also to encourage manufacturing. For this, dŚĞ ǀĂƐƚ ĨůĞĞƚ ŽĨ ͞ŽŶ ƚŚĞ ƌŽĂĚ͟ ǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ
the main focus is on new xEV vehicle sales will also need to be made more energy

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efficient. TŚĞ ƉŽƉƵůĂƚŝŽŶ ŽĨ ͞ŽŶ ƚŚĞ ƌŽĂd 4.8.2. However, as per the estimates
ǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͟ ŝŶ /ŶĚŝĂ ŝƐ estimated to be over made by the Central Pollution Control
100 million. A snapshot of the total Board (CPCB), the age profile of ƚŚĞ ͞on
number of registered motor vehicles in road͟ vehicles in India is depicted in Table
India from 1951-2009 is given in Table 16 17 on the next page. As per this, in the
and is also depicted in Graph 2. This only case of two
reflects the cumulative number of vehicles wheelers, with
registered in India, as accurate data on the the existing
number of vehicles that have gone off the population of
roads is not readily available. around 52
million, nearly
Table 16 ʹ Total number of registered motor 50% two
vehicles (in thousands)
wheelers are
Year All Two Cars, jeeps
vehicles wheelers & Taxis less than 5 years
old and about
1951 306 27 159 27% are 6-10
year old. In case
1981 5391 2618 1160 of cars also,
around 50% of
1991 21374 14200 2954 existing 7
million cars are less than 5 years old, while
2001 54991 38556 7058
30% are between 6-10 years old. The
2009* 114951 82402 15313 numbers of two and four wheelers which
Source: MoRTH; Note: the number of vehicles taken off the are more than 10 years old are 23% and
roads is not captured.
20% of the total population of these
Graph 2 Category wise registered vehicles in India vehicles respectively. Similarly, 42% of the
on road LCV population is more than 10
years old. However, as per CPCB estimates
60% of air pollution is caused by vehicles
that are more than 10 years old. These
comprise about 30% of the total vehicle
population.

Source: MoRTH

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Table 17 ʹ ŐĞƉƌŽĨŝůĞŽĨƚŚĞ͞ŽŶƌŽĂĚǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͟ŝŶ/ŶĚŝĂ

11-15 yrs

16-20 yrs
6-10 yrs

> 25yrs
yrs. (%)
< 5 yrs

20-25
(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)
Sr. Vehicle Population
No Type ( In Millions)
1 2- wheelers 52 48.7 27.2 14.3 7.8 1.8 0.3
2 Cars 7 50.3 29.5 12.9 6.0 1.1 0.2
3 LCV 2 36.8 21.5 26.5 11.3 3.2 0.8
Source: Status of vehicular pollution control program in India ʹ CPCB, March,2010

4.8.3. dŚĞ͞ŽŶƚŚĞƌŽĂĚ͟ǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐƚĞŶĚ ƚŽ 10% of conversion cost, subject to


have much lower fuel efficiency levels and maximum of USD 4000 for converting a
emission performance owing to various vehicle to plug in hybrid or electric vehicle.
factors. In view of their vast population
and large scope or ŝŵƉƌŽǀĞŵĞŶƚƐ͕ƚŚĞ͞ŽŶ 4.8.6. HEV retro fitment solutions for
ƚŚĞ ƌŽĂĚ͟ ǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ ŶĞĞĚ ƚŽ ďĞ specifically vehicles are also being developed
targeted for improving their fuel/energy Retro fitment hybrid kits
in the Indian market, trials of
efficiency and emissions as the likely which indicate up to 30% fuel
impact would be huge. savings. These fuel efficiency
gains have also been certified by
4.8.4. Encouraging higher fuel/energy recognized automotive testing
ĞĨĨŝĐŝĞŶĐLJ ĂŵŽŶŐƐƚ ƚŚĞ ͞ŽŶ ƚŚĞ ƌŽĂĚ͟ agencies in their labs. India has a
vehicles can be done through several unique strength in IT, low cost
means that include introduction of a manpower and given the wide
robust pan India inspection & certification acceptance amongst Indian
(I&C) regime, phasing out of old and consumers for LPG/CNG kits, it is felt that
obsolete vehicles (fleet modernization) the HEV retro fitment kits are also likely to
and also through retrofitting existing become widely accepted in the Indian
liquid fuel (IC engine) driven vehicles with market. The main barrier for adoption will
HEV kits that improve their fuel efficiency be their high acquisition costs. The other
levels significantly. challenges that will need to be addressed
include ensuring an effective
4.8.5. Although hybrid retro fitment kits implementation mechanism that ensures
are available, globally these have not quality, safety and durability of the retro
gained popularity owing to various fitted vehicle.
reasons. USA also provides a tax credit of

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4.8.7. In order to popularize these kits, 4.8.9. The NBEM has given an in principle
the interventions that would be essential agreement for taking up & promoting
include (i) demand incentives for the retro fitment hybrid kits ĨŽƌ ĞdžŝƐƚŝŶŐ ͞ŽŶ
initial years till the industry attains scale ƌŽĂĚǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͘͟&ŽƌƚŚŝƐƉƵƌƉŽƐĞ, the Board
and maturity with required conditions also directed that the setting up of
such as those kept for new vehicles, (ii) regulations & minimum performance and
Ensure that quality, safety standards and safety standards should be fast tracked. It
performance parameters are strictly was also decided that the WG on Demand
followed/met through setting up of the & Supply will recommend to the
required standards and also by having an NBEM/NCEM (through NAB) the agreed
effective roll out mechanism. upon mechanism for implementation of
HEV retro fitment initiative and also the
4.8.8. The incentive scheme for hybrid possible subsidies / incentives that can be
retro fitment kits would require given for this purpose.
identification of the block of vehicles that
can be targeted and prioritized, the level 4.8.10. The work for setting
of support required, its duration, yearly regulations, quality and safety standards
volume caps, phasing out plan, and for hybrid retro
localization criterion to be met etc. In fitment kits has
addition, the quality, safety standards and already been
performance criterion will need to be set initiated through
up through the concerned agencies a panel under the
(CMVR-TSC under DRT for safety AISC/CMVR-TSC
standards and other automotive which is being coordinated by ARAI. This
regulations etc) along with the exercise is likely to be finalized within 3-4
infrastructure required to test these months. The WG-DS in its meeting held on
regulations/standards. Further, evaluation 22nd February, 2012 decided to set up a
of possible business models involving sub group under the chairmanship of DHI
battery lease, implementation of the to develop the scheme for incentivizing
scheme through authorized and qualified hybrid retro fitment kits and are for
franchises etc will also be examined. recommending the implementation
These constitute the essential strategy (to ensure safety, quality,
prerequisites for the scheme to promote durability etc) for its roll out.
hybrid retro-fitment kits to be considered
and approved by the NCEM/NBEM.

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4.9. Source of Government funding & incentive delivery mechanism

4.9.1. The investments indicated for requirements for undertaking these


demand incentives initiatives for promoting electric mobility
in the NEMMP 2020 pertaining to different departments will
takes into continue to be undertaken by the
consideration all the concerned Ministries through their
vehicle segments respective budgetary allocations for these
along with the level programs. In case of new programs,
of incentives schemes, projects, initiatives etc. the
proposed, both in approval of the Government will be taken
terms of quantum separately once these are approved by the
and number of vehicles to be covered. NCEM. The additional resource
Demand creation will be the key to requirements are proposed to be met
achieving xEV potential as the present from various sources such as the funds for
acquisition cost of xEVs is much higher technology development, propagation of
and needs to be bridged appropriately to renewable energy sources, climate change
ensure creation of minimal market size mitigation, automobile Cess etc͘͟
that is viable for the industry to invest in
product development and for creation of 4.9.3. The implementation of various
local manufacturing facilities. As indicated schemes that are approved by the
earlier also, the actual level of demand NBEM/NCEM will be taken up by NAB
incentives, the demand incentive strategy which in partnership with the existing
along with the qualifying criterion/ agencies involved in these activities.
boundary conditions to be adopted will be
recommended to the NCEM as a part of 4.9.4. Further, during the inter-ministerial
the comprehensive xEV demand creation consultations at the time of seeking
policy document. cabinet approval, some Ministries had also
suggested the creation of a specific fund
4.9.2. During the stage of for various projects, schemes etc to be
seeking approval of the taken up under this initiative. This
Funding
source

Government for the NMEM, it possibility will also be explored and taken
was indicated in Para 4.4.2. up by DHI for various other
ƚŚĂƚ͙͙͘͞the resources initiatives/schemes including the initiative

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for funding retro fitment kits for hybrid most preferred mode. A brief analysis of
vehicles. the various incentive channelizing options
that can be used is given in Figure 7
4.9.5. Form of Incentives to be below. The optimum formulation will be
considered: Consumer preference proposed in the demand incentive
Incentive type

for the form of incentive (tax scheme/policy. In addition, it will also be


breaks, excise duty concessions, ensured that the incentive delivery
direct cash subsidies, subsidies on mechanism that is used is simple and
batteries etc) in case of various effective thereby facilitating the incentive
vehicle segments has been delivery to the intended beneficiaries in a
covered in Para 4.4.6.4. It quick and efficient manner.
emerges that cash/tax incentives are the

Figure 7 ʹ Various possible options for channelizing demand incentives

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study

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4.10. Implementation structure and mechanism.

4.10.1. As per the coordination and collaboration with the


monitoring & review

approval of the Government various agencies and organizations


Implementation,

NATRiP/NAB (once set up), involved in these areas. The WG-D&S and
being the technical advisor various sub-groups constituted under it
and secretariat to assist the shall assist NATIS/NAB, in carrying out
NBEM/NCEM, will facilitate in these responsibilities.
the formulation and approval
of the various schemes for 4.10.2. The monitoring and review
demand creation. In addition, of specific programs, projects, schemes
NATIS/NAB will also spearhead the and impact of policies will also be under
implementation and roll out of the various taken through NATIS/NAB with the help of
interventions for demand creation in close the WG-D&S.

4.11. Key stakeholders, roles & responsibilities.

4.11.1 The study clearly brings out 4.11.2. It is clear that in the early
that high acquisition cost is one of the stages Government support for creation
major barriers for the early and faster of demand for xEVs through demand
adoption of xEVs in India. The generation based incentives will be essential. Once
of demand for xEVs is also an essential the comprehensive xEV demand creation
precursor for xEV manufacturing eco- policy is approved by the NCEM, the xEV
system to be created in the country. Given demand incentive scheme will be rolled
the importance of making transportation out through the approved mechanism of
sector more fuel efficient and lesser NCEM/NBEM/NAB. However, in order to
dependent on fossil fuels as a vital achieve desired results and create the
element of the efforts aimed at national manufacturing capabilities within the
energy security and lowering the carbon country the firm commitment of the
intensity of the economy, the role of the industry for investments in research &
Government in popularization of xEVs and development efforts, setting up the supply
their manufacture in India will be critical, chain, product development and adequate
especially in the initial phases. after sales facilities is also essential.

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4.11.3. As such the xEV demand (domestic value addition), phase out of
creation policy and the scheme for the incentive scheme, quality, safety,
incentivizing the hybrid retro fitment kits durability and other performance criterion
that will be submitted for the approval of will also be captured upfront.
the NBEM/NCEM will adequately capture
these commitments from all stakeholders. 4.11.4. In addition, the various
The scheme will not only clearly spell out automotive testing centers will be
targets for demand incentives (in terms of upgraded by setting up the required
no. of vehicles and quantum of incentive), testing infrastructure and develop
but also the commitments for localization, competencies for being able to test and
volume caps and gradual phase out, validate that the quality, safety and
quality and performance standards that performance requirements have been
need to be met by the manufacturers as met. The Government, industry and the
the qualifying conditions & boundary academic institutions will collaborate so
parameters. The assurance of the industry the required trained manpower is
about its readiness for meeting the available in the entire value chain i.e. to
projected demand and other meet the requirements from R&D,
commitments regarding localization manufacturing, maintenance etc.

4.12. Review, monitoring & course correction mechanism.

4.12.1. The implementation 4.12.2. The progress of various


structure for this initiative i.e. NCEM and initiatives shall be submitted as regular
NBEM at the apex level and the agenda item in all the NBEM/NCEM
NAB/NATIS along with the WG-D&S and meetings. The review at the apex NCEM
its sub groups at the working level shall level is planned to be held at least once a
review and monitor the roll out of this year, while that at the NBEM level will be
program and the various projects and taken up 3-4 times in a year as per
schemes that are implemented under it. requirements. The NAB/NATIS and WG-
The course corrections, if required, shall D&S will conduct monthly reviews. The
be decided at the appropriate level as per lead agency for this activity shall be
the delegation that is agreed upon. NAB/NATIS.

*******

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5. Research & Development


Chapter 5
5.1. Introduction and global scenario.

5.2. The current status of R&D in India, priority &


focus areas for xEV R&D.

5.3. R&D strategy.

5.4. Priorities, fund requirements and phasing.

5.5. Key stakeholders, roles & responsibilities.

5.6. Implementation structure & mechanism.

5.7. Review, monitoring & course correction


mechanism.
NEMMP 2020 2012

Chapter 5 – Research & Development


5.1. Introduction and global scenario.

5.1.1. Regulations, demand incentives 5.1.2. The ongoing global R&D efforts in
and technology xEV can be broadly classified in the
innovation are following areas.
expected to 5.1.2.1. Battery is the most

Battery unit
drive xEV important part of the xEV
emergence. The powertrain, both by function and
biggest concern by value. Currently, the battery
for xEVs today cost is approx 40-50% of the total
relates to manufacturing cost of a BEV car.
battery As such significant research and
technology. The development is being aimed at developing
need for high energy density, improved cost effective battery solutions. The
battery life, concerns over safety and ongoing battery research efforts
reliability have resulted in extensive worldwide are focused around cell
research in basic battery chemistry. chemistry seeking improved power
Battery management systems are also density, thermal management, lifespan
being developed to achieve higher level of and stability at a reasonable price.
integration and reliability. In addition, a 5.1.2.2. Battery management system
lot of work is being done in the areas of is the electronics which binds the
Battery Management System

acceleration assist, optimization from cells together into a battery pack.


downsizing of engines, regenerative It manages the rechargeable
energy and overall system optimization to battery by monitoring its state,
improve efficiency of xEV powertrains. protecting the battery, controlling
The ongoing extensive research efforts are its environment, and balancing it.
expected to lead to major breakthroughs BMS development focus is largely
that will help in bridging the price- concentrated on providing flexible
performance gap thereby boosting the compatibility with a range of cell
global demand for xEVs. chemistries and battery
architectures.

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5.1.2.3. Power Electronics real world performance of such
Power Electronics
(motor controller) refers to the systems/vehicles.
control system that provides
energy to the motor from 5.1.3. Brief scan of the
batteries. Controller research is global research efforts:
mainly focused on providing a The ongoing R&D efforts
greater level of integration, in the leading
enhancing thermal control and automotive nations are
eliminating external signal conditioning. summarized below:
5.1.2.4. In xEV, powertrain 5.1.3.1. In United States, battery cell
xEV powertrain system integration

research initiatives are focused research is the primary focus amongst


towards developing more component suppliers and OEMs have
efficient xEV powertrain. This focused on xEV transmission system
includes research in the areas of research. Additionally, national labs and
dual operation mode of motor- academic institutions are also conducting
generator module in hybrids and research at various levels of the xEV
plug-in hybrids for providing powertrain. OEMs like GM and Ford have
acceleration assist, downsizing of significant patents on transmission
IC engine, overall system systems.
optimization including 5.1.3.2. Japan has focused its R&D
regenerative energy optimization efforts mainly on battery cells and has
etc. On the motor front, the achieved the world leader status in
ongoing efforts are mainly aimed Lithium ion battery research and
at developing products which are not development. In Japan, research is mostly
based on rare earth materials. Lately, a lot driven by OEMs and suppliers. Battery
of research is being conducted globally for suppliers like Sanyo, GS Yuasa, NEC etc.
xEV powertrain integration mainly in the have extensive intellectual properties in
areas such as system integration, thermal lithium ion chemistry around electrolytes,
management etc. The OEMs/Govt. electrode material, charging/discharging
organizations across the world are methods etc. OEMs like Toyota and Nissan
complementing the research conducted in also hold numerous battery and BMS
various xEV sub-systems by developing, patents. Motor and transmission system
demonstrating and testing fleet of xEV are the other areas where Japanese OEMs
vehicles which would allow collection of hold significant patents. Honda, Toyota
and Nissan combined hold more than 350

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patents on alternate transmission systems 5.1.3.4. China has recently started
and more than 220 patents in electric focusing on basic research in the xEV
motors. space especially in the area of lithium-ion
5.1.3.3. ^ŽƵƚŚ <ŽƌĞĂ͛Ɛ ĨŽĐƵƐ ŝƐ ĂůƐŽ batteries. Academic institutions like Jia
largely around battery and BMS research. Tong University and Tsinghua University
LG Chem and SBLiMotive (JV between have patents around cathode materials,
Samsung and Bosch) are leading research hydraulic brake regeneration, fault
and manufacturing efforts on Lithium ion simulation systems etc. Chery has worked
batteries in Korea. Efforts are directed on high capacity lithium-ion batteries and
towards developing customized battery high voltage power management. BYD
packs for different xEVs. Among OEMs, holds a large number of patents in lithium-
Hyundai-Kia holds intellectual property in ion batteries. SAIC and Chery hold
xEV powertrains in areas like dual clutch significant patents in BMS both
transmission and 4-wheel drive. In individually, and through their
addition, some academic institutions like collaborative ventures. In electric motors,
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Chery has focused on torque management
Technology also hold patents on Lithium and power distribution controller.
battery anode materials.

5.2. The current status of R&D in India, priority & focus areas for xEV R&D.

5.2.1. At present, the Indian OEMs and 5.2.2. In order to be globally competitive,
component manufacturers have limited it is essential for the Indian companies to
R&D capabilities across all key xEV reach capability levels comparable to US,
components. OEMs like TVS (with 5-7 Japan, China and Korea. Globally, Japan,
patents), Mahindra Reva (with 10 United States and Korea have strong
patents), Tata Motors and Hero Electric (1 capabilities in lithium batteries. Japan
patent each) have made some progress on leads with ~5500 patents for battery cells
xEV components like battery, power and BMS and Korea and US follow suit
electronics and electric motor. Indian with ~2500 and ~2000 patents
component manufacturers have no respectively. Japan and United States are
patents as yet and foreign OEMs and also strong in transmission systems with
manufacturers carry out most of the R&D the major players applying for ~373
in their home country. patents in Japan and ~239 patents in US.
These patents are spread across local and

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international universities, national labs, This is typically led by academia and
OEMs and suppliers. smaller groups within large industrial
houses.
5.2.3. In areas of R&D, battery is the most
important area and within batteries, cell Exhibit 24 ʹ Building R&D capabilities.
materials and electronics are the most
research intensive areas. The electrodes
and the electrolyte within the cell Licensing Joint
/ Alliance
Acquisition
Venture Organic
together constitute one of the highest
cost segments for lithium ion batteries
Increasing Complexity, Time Investment
leading to considerable research in these
areas. For instance, Sanyo has been
Typically Industry led Industry &
granted 134 patents on optimizing lithium Academia
ion battery performance. This includes 84
patents on electrolytes, 26 on electrodes
and 15 related to the electronics.
5.2.5. The in-depth study undertaken
5.2.4. Based on priorities, jointly by DHI & Industry indicates that
Building R&D capability

internal capabilities, competitive high priority R&D areas for India include
intensity and investment needs, battery cell technologies which will drive
there are a range of technology affordability and adoption. As per this
strategies that can be used to study, battery cells and battery
attain global standards. R&D management systems form the highest
capability can be built via priority areas, as they have a great impact
multiple routes including on cost and performance of xEVs. It is
licensing/ alliances, acquisitions, expected that localized battery systems
joint ventures, and organic customized for Indian weather and traffic
development (Exhibit 24). Licensing duty cycles will yield better performance.
technologies from other entities and The next priority is accorded to xEV
forging alliances is the least complex route Powertrain system integration,
with much less investment in terms of transmission systems (Hybrid), electric
time and money. This is typically industry motors and power electronics (especially
led. At the other end of the spectrum, for HEVs/ PHEVs). Localized power
organic in-house development calls for electronics can yield better performance
significant time and monetary investment. at a lower cost and low cost motors by use

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NEMMP 2020 2012
of non-rare earth magnets can also be an 5.2.6. In addition, to these
important area of technology developed. priority R&D areas, it is essential

͞ZŝŐŚƚƚŽǁŝŶ͟ZΘĂƌĞĂƐĨŽƌ/ŶĚŝĂ
To achieve the desired efficiency and and important to identify the
performance from xEV vehicles, optimized areas where in India has a higher
xEV powertrain integration is an ĐŚĂŶĐĞ ŽĨ ƐƵĐĐĞƐƐ ŝ͘Ğ͘ ͞/ŶĚŝĂ͛Ɛ
important R&D area as well. The ƌŝŐŚƚ ƚŽ ǁŝŶ ZΘ ĂƌĞĂƐ͘͟ An
technology priority areas for R&D are evaluation of the current
summarized in (Exhibit 25). capabilities in the country,
investments required and global
Exhibit 25 ʹ Technology priority areas. competitive intensity helped
determine the areas where R&D
ͻ Value 55-70%, efforts in India are expected to

Battery Cell Priority 1 yield better outcomes. From this


comparative analysis, it emerges
that India has a ͞right to win͟ in
R&D areas of battery management
ͻ Value 5-10%, systems, power electronics, xEV
Battery Priority 2 powertrain system integration and electric
Management motors for xEVs (Exhibit - 26). While
System
battery cell is a high priority area, high
investments and global competitive
ͻ Value 10-15%, intensity translate to a lower right to win
Power Priority 3 for India. BMS, power electronics, electric
Electronics
(Hybrids) motors and xEV powertrain system
integration are highly attractive areas as
ͻ Value 5-15%, current expertise in technology and
manufacturing is high and investments
Electric
Priority 4 required are also low- to- moderate.
Motor

ͻ Value < 5%,


Transmission Priority 5
System
(Hybrids)

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Exhibit 26 ʹ ͞ZŝŐŚƚƚŽǁŝŶ͟ZΘĂƌĞĂƐĨŽƌ/ŶĚŝĂ͘

Power Electric Battery


BMS Transmission
Electronics Motor Cell

/ŶĚŝĂ͛Ɛ
High High High Moderate Low Right to
Win

Area
2 3 4 5 1 Priority

5-10% 10-15% 5-15% <5% 55-70% Value in


xEV

Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

5.3. R&D strategy.

5.3.1. The analysis of the R&D management systems, power electronics,


R&D strategy for India

priority areas and the right-to- electric motor technologies and xEV
win evaluation for the country powertrain system integration can be
as indicated in the preceding developed by organic investment and
pages provides an insight into local consortia. Whereas for the low
the different technology priority ʹ moderate difficulty areas like
strategies that can be adopted transmission, OEMs/ Manufacturer can
for various xEV components. work towards improvising on global
The optimum strategy for the product development activities by
high priority but hard-to- acquiring companies. The possible xEV
develop components like battery cells R&D strategies for different broad areas
would be through the acquisition of are depicted in (Exhibit 27) on the next
technologies and partnering with global page.
players.

5.3.2. The moderate priority and higher


right to win areas like battery

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Exhibit 27 ʹ xEV technology Strategies

Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

5.3.3. The xEV schemes like the R&D funding from


technology automotive Cess funds provided by DHI
strategies as etc.
depicted in
(Exhibit 27) 5.3.4. These strategies can be
above will be the implemented through OEMs, universities
blue print to be and national labs (Exhibit 28). Universities
followed by all and national labs can take the lead on
the stakeholders for the xEV R&D nascent technologies like battery cells and
initiative. In addition, in view of their electric motors. For more mature areas
positive impact across all technologies, like BMS, power electronics, xEV
traditional areas of automotive R&D that powertrain integration and electric motors
have high potential for increasing energy OEMs/component manufacturers with
efficiency like light weighting, reduction of support from the Government can take
rolling resistance in tyres, downsizing of the lead in new product development.
engines etc will also be given high priority.
The funding for these areas will continue 5.3.5. The R&D effort for xEV will require
to be taken up through the existing considerable continued support &

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nurturing from the Government. This consortia and R&D grants as required. The
initiative will be taken up as a consortia models to be adopted and
collaborative effort between the mechanisms that are built around the
Government ʹ Industry and the R&D philosophy of fairness, equal opportunity
agencies (automotive & others) with clear and transparency will be developed and
common roadmap for better synergy and approved by the NCEM for adopton,
outcomes. The Government funding to effective roll out and implementation of
the national labs, academia and industry this initiative.
will be through multiple routes including

Exhibit 28 ʹ xEV R&D implementation

Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

5.4. Priorities, fund requirements and phasing.

5.4.1. Due to presence of mature power electronics and xEV powertrain


software and electronic industry, players system integration compared to other
in electrical machines, low to medium R&D areas. In line with the efforts made
financial investment required and low together by Government organizations
global competitive intensity, India has and OEMs globally, India should also focus
higher R&D ͞right to win͟ in battery on promoting prototype development and
management system, electric motor and fleet testing of xEV vehicles. This will allow

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India to develop its own knowledge base 50 crores for 4W & 2W and ~ Rs 80 crores
of performance of xEV vehicles on actual for buses to develop component
road conditions and therefore allowing validation and vehicle testing facilities.
tuning of these technologies specific to This is an initial indicative estimate. All
India requirements. public funding for setting up of
component and vehicle testing and
5.4.2. The organic in-house product validation infrastructure will be made in
development of battery management existing and upcoming automotive testing
systems, power electronics and facilities in the country so that this is in
improvising transmission technologies will the public domain and that these facilities
require targeted investment from OEMs are available to all companies alike.
and manufacturers. However, electric
motor and battery cell technologies are 5.4.5. No separate R&D investments for
more nascent, and therefore, R&D in this the 3W and LCV vehicle segments are
area will require Government assistance. proposed as there are likely to be
significant overlaps and possibility of
5.4.3. Based on a detailed application of R&D outcomes from a
Funds required for R&D

assessment undertaken during particular vehicle segment in other


the course of the xEV study, it is segments also.
estimated that the Government
will need to invest ~ Rs 200 crores 5.4.6. Accordingly, as per initial estimates,
each for the 4W, 2W and buses, an overall investment for 4W, 2W & buses
with a matching level of will be in the range of Rs 500 - 600 crores
investment from OEMs to spanning over the next 5 year period.
support battery cell alliances and Since there is considerable overlap, this
technology acquisition including will also take care of the R&D
infrastructure for battery recycling. requirements for 3W and LCVs. As such
the total level of investment for xEV R&D
5.4.4. Similarly, funding to the tune ~Rs is projected to be in the range of Rs 1600 -
50 crores each for 4W, 2W and bus 1800 crores over the period of next five
segments, over next five years is required years. This includes investments from
to be made for research and new product OEMs also. The R&D investment for 4W,
development of electric motors by both 2W and buses is depicted in (Exhibit 29)
Govt. and OEMs. In addition, the on the next page.
Government will also need to invest ~ Rs

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5.4.7. The total estimated support modifications or expansions. The R&D
required from Government will be in the spent on other areas that have potential
range of Rs 930 crores and includes Rs 180 for increasing energy efficiency across all
crores for setting up of the required technologies like light weighting etc will
component and vehicle testing also be supported through the existing
infrastructure. As this is an initial estimate, schemes. The summary of the likely R&D
it is proposed that a frequent periodic investments required is given in Table 18
review of these programs will be below and the proposed segment wise &
conducted to review progress and R&D area wise investments is given in
incorporate course corrections, Table 19 on the next page:

Exhibit 29 ʹ Research investment for 4W, 2W and buses

Component and Vehicle


Technology Strategy Component Research Component Development
Testing Infrastructure

Technology development, acquisition Periodic review of these


Battery Cell and alliances 1) programs will be
200 Crores conducted to suggest
modifications
/expansions
Battery Invest in new product development
Management OEM / Mfr. investment
System

Invest in new product development ƒ Rs. 50 Crores for Component


Power Electronics OEM / Mfr. investment Validation and Vehicle
Testing (Rs 80 Cr for Buses)

Invest in new product R&D


Electric Motor ~Rs. 50 Crores over 5 years

Adopt minimum standards and


Transmission improvise OEM / Mfr. investment on
System reaching scale

Government investment; matching


Government investment
investment from OEMs

Source: GoI-Industry study. Note: above depiction is common to 4W, 2W and buses with the only difference that in case of bus
segment, the expenditure on setting up of testing infrastructure will be Rs 80 crores instead of Rs 50 crores.

Table 18 ʹ Vehicle segment wise R&D spent for 5 years (Rs in crores)
4W 2W 3W Buses LCV Total
Area HEV/ HEV/ HEV/ HEV/ HEV/
HEV BEV HEV HEV BEV HEV BEV HEV BEV HEV BEV
R&D 500 - 500 - 500 - 500 - 500 - 1500 - 1500 -
Investment 600 600 600 - - 600 600 - - 1800 1800
Source: GoI-Industry study. Note: These are approximate estimations for the likely range of investments required. The R&D
expenditure for both HEV and HEV/BEV options is the same. It is assumed that investments in 4W, 2W and Buses will also facilitate
3W and LCVs.

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Table 19ʹ Vehicle segment wise & R&D area wise expenditure
Component Research Component Development Component and Vehicle
(CR) (CD) Testing Infrastructure

3W

3W
LCV

LCV

LCV
3W
R&D Area 4W 2W Bus 4W 2W Bus 4W 2W Bus

Battery Cell 200* 200* 200*

Battery Mgmt OEM/Manufacture Investment


System
Power OEM/Manufacture Investment 50 50 - 80 -
Electronics
Rs 50 Cr each from Govt. & industry for 4W, 2W and Bus segment
Electric Motor for component research and development

Transmission OEM/Manufacture Investment

225* 225* 225* 25* 25* 25* 50 50 80


Total
Note: (i) These are approximate estimates (ii) * indicates matching investment from both government and Industry. For sake of
simplicity, Rs 50 Cr for motors has been equally split between CR & CD. Therefore, for 4W the investment for CR is Rs 200 Cr + Rs 25 Cr
from Govt. & industry both i.e. Rs 450 Cr. and Rs 50 Crore for Component development. Source: GoI ʹ Industry study.

5.4.8. In terms of the Industries automotive sector. It is planned that the


Sources of Government funding

Development (Regulation) Act, requirement of funds for building new


1951, the automotive industry facilities, and also for meeting a portion of
has also been notified by the R&D expenditure would be met from the
government, in 1983, for the head of automotive Cess through higher
purposes of levy of automotive budgetary allocations to DHI.
Cess to be used for the growth
and development of the 5.4.9. The Department of Science and
automotive industry. Accordingly, Technology will also partner in funding the
a Cess on automobiles (1/8th of electric mobility R&D program from their
1%) is levied and collected along budget allocations. Similarly, funding from
with excise duty collections. This other departments under various existing
is made available to the schemes will also be explored. In addition,
Department of Heavy Industry for the the feasibility of setting up of an exclusive
various initiatives for the automotive electric vehicle technology development
industry. In 2010-11, it is estimated that fund to support xEV technology
the automotive cess collected was in the development on continual basis will also
range of Rs 225 crores. This is being used be explored.
to fund pre-competitive automotive R&D
projects and other schemes of the
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5.4.10. In terms of the Government higher level of front loading of R&D
decision (Cabinet decision), all funding of investments may need to be done.
various R&D programs by the Government However, as this is an initial estimate, the
will be through the empowered exact funding level as also the optimum
mechanism of NAB/NBEM/NCEM. phasing of expenditure will be examined
Accordingly, all projects to be funded will by the WG-R&D and submitted for
be initially evaluated by a suitable consideration of NAB/NBEM/NCEM. In
mechanism set up under NATRiP/NAB case of any shortfalls in outflows during
before being considered by NBEM/NCEM. the initial years on account of delays in
The award, monitoring and outcome finalization of project proposals etc; the
evaluation of the projects will also be balance unspent amount will be carried
done through the same structure. over to subsequent years. In addition, the
progress of the R&D initiative and the
5.4.11. The proposed phasing of review of phasing of the expenditure will
Government expenditure is indicated in be done on a regular basis by
Table 20 hereunder. It is also possible that NCEM/NBEM.

Table 20 ʹ Phasing of R&D expenditure

2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 Total


For testing infrastructure 60 90 30 - - 180
For xEV R&D Projects 50 100 150 200 250 750
Total for xEV 110 190 180 200 250 930

5.5. Key stakeholders, roles and responsibilities.

5.5.1. As indicated earlier, xEV R&D Government R&D labs, industry,


activities in India are at present minimal, Government departments and academia is
fragmented and involve multiple agencies not sufficient. Therefore, it is imperative
and various Ministries. There is that all Government funded/aided R&D
insufficient coordination and synergy projects and other activities are put on a
amongst the various efforts being single platform through the
undertaken by different arms of the NAB/NBEM/NCEM. All resource
Government. The collaboration between

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allocations made from GoI will be through other important role of the Government
this one common platform includes integration and coordination of
investment and research/technology
5.5.2. Further, this intervention need is to within various Government organizations.
be taken up as a collaborative effort
between the Government ʹ Industry and 5.5.4. The industry will need to match the
the R&D agencies (automotive & others) Government in terms of commitment and
with clear common roadmap for better resource allocations for R&D in the area of
synergy and outcomes. xEV. In fact, the roadmap provides for
significant R&D investments by the
5.5.3. The role of the Government will be industry.
to help provide the resources for taking up
of R&D in key identified areas through 5.5.5. The various Government labs,
incentives, R&D grants, directly taking up automotive testing centers will be geared
R&D projects, acquisition of technology up to develop competencies, commit
and possible sourcing of required resources and collaborate with the
expertise. In addition, the Government industry, other labs and academia for
will also need to catalyze, help in creation taking up the various xEV related R&D
of collaborative mechanism, bring all projects and complete these as per fixed
stakeholders on board and help de-risking timelines with desired outcomes.
of industry efforts in this direction. The

5.6. Implementation structure and mechanism.

5.6.1. A single platform of NCEM/NBEM R&D strategy, roadmap, implementation


has been created by the models to be used and all the R&D
structure & mechanism

Government to achieve initiatives/projects to be taken up through


Implementation

greater synergy through Government support will be approved


common vision, roadmap, and through the mechanism of NAB, NBEM
priorities amongst all and NCEM.
stakeholders involved in
promoting electric mobility. As 5.6.2. The existing structures, agencies
such and in terms of existing and organizations currently having
Government approval, the expertise in this area, such as NATIS and

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its constituent centers, etc will be the 5.6.5. DST has also shown keen interest in
implementation agencies of the focusing its resources and labs for
Government. Further, NATIS/NAB will also undertaking the effort in shape of a much
assist the NBEM/NCEM in the xEV R&D bigger R&D program which will include a
project approval, review and monitoring number of specific projects and may also
process. involve acquiring of technology, if
required. As such, in addition to the
5.6.3. The xEV R&D initiative will automotive testing and R&D labs, other
Collaborative approach

be taken up on a collaborative labs under DST will also be involved as per


approach with NATIS/NAB and requirement.
the existing automotive R&D
centers under it jointly playing 5.6.6. While the study has identified the
the pivotal role in partnership broad areas where R&D efforts need to be
with TIFAC/DST. While TIFAC/DST made, however, a more detailed exercise
will focus on technology foresight will be undertaken with DST and the
and project nucleation, industry to identify the specific R&D
NATIS/NAB, DHI will focus on projects, their budgets, outcomes and
project implementation with timelines. Further, the existing automotive
certain degree of overlap for smooth regulations relating to xEVs are also being
functioning. reviewed by the various panels set up
under the CMVR-TSC that is administered
5.6.4. The existing collaborative R&D by the DRT, Government of India.
model used by CAR (Collaborative
Automotive R&D) program under 5.6.7. The current and the upcoming level
TIFAC/DST for forming project consortia of automotive testing infrastructure in the
may be used for which key stakeholders country is planned to be further
including the industry, academia and augmented. This will be required not only
other research institutes will be taken on for R&D purposes but also for testing
board. In addition, the Government ʹ vehicles as per the new regulations and
Industry study has also proposed a standards that will be introduced (e.g. test
number of other possible consortia equipment for e-motors and battery test
models that can be explored and adopted beds, etc.). The ongoing automotive
in case these are approved by the testing and R&D infrastructure up-
NBEM/NCEM. gradation project (NATRiP), under DHI, will
be therefore, expanded to cover these

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newer areas. As per the estimations made members, as per requirement, will also be
in the study, the level of investment co-opted to these groups.
required for this is in the range of Rs 180
crores. However, these estimates still 5.6.9. The WG-R&D during its
require further detailing, fine-tuning and first meeting deliberated on the

Roll out model


approval by NCEM/NBEM. Once approved, various important pre-requisite
these investments can be clubbed with activities that need to be taken
the current ongoing up-gradation exercise up immediately for the roll out of
under the NATRiP project. DHI & NATRiP the xEV R&D interventions. This
will be the implementation agencies for includes setting up of the
the up-gradation of existing automotive necessary enabling rules,
testing and R&D facilities. In addition, guidelines and policies. In addition,
wherever required, other facilities and identification of specific R&D projects to
labs under DST, CSIR, DRDO will also be be taken up, project detailing including
partnered with. the resources required, R&D project
prioritization and phasing also needs to be
5.6.8. In view of the enormity completed and approved by the
WG-R&D

and complexity of the task, the NBEM/NCEM. In order to achieve these


large number of stakeholders tasks the WG-R&D constituted three sub-
involved, it was felt that a groups, four task forces and
Working Group (WG) comprising commissioned eight studies/reports. The
of all the key stakeholders should be responsibility, mandate and timelines for
constituted to help in the micro detailing completion of work have been agreed
and roll out/implementation of this upon by all the stakeholders. Most of the
initiative. For this purpose, the WG on studies/reports will be carried out by
R&D has been set up by the NBEM in its TIFAC/DST and three of the task forces will
second meeting. The WG-R&D will not also be lead by DST. NATRiP/NAB will
only undertake the initial detailing of the coordinate the functioning of the Working
R&D initiative but will continue to function Group on xEV R&D (WG-R&D) and its sub
for the implementation phase also. Three groups, task forces etc. The xEV R&D roll
Sub-Groups have also been set up under out/ implementation model that is being
the WG-R&D. The composition of the used is depicted in (Exhibit 30 and 31) on
various working groups, including WG- the next page.
R&D, is given at Annexure-IV. Additional

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Exhibit 30 - The xEV R&D roll out model

Review
Criterion
B for Prj.

Review
mech. for
industry
efforts.

Exhibit 31 ʹ xEV R&D rollout plan


5.6.10. Three sub-groups
Sub Groups

Sub-
Groups have been constituted in the area
of BMS & batteries, Power
electronics and motors and
testing infrastructure, human
xEV
Task resources & efficient
Forces
R&D
technologies. The broad mandate of these
Roll out groups is to identify and propose the
various projects that can be taken up and
their prioritization. This includes details
Key
studies like project outcomes, lead agencies,
resource requirement, optimum

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methodology (consortia, grant based etc), studies will also set a precedent for
timeline and monitoring mechanisms. further such efforts at developing cutting
edge industrial technology in the country.
5.6.11. The eight study /ŶŽƌĚĞƌƚŽĞŶƐƵƌĞƚŚĂƚƚŚĞ͞ƌŝŐŚƚǀŝĞǁ͟ŝƐ
Studies /reports

reports commissioned by the formulated in all these subject areas, a


Working Group on R&D will high level participation from the
provide the key inputs for policy stakeholder agencies will be encouraged.
decisions and program These reports can be clubbed in three
formulation under the EV broad areas (i) Technology Policy /
Mission. These are without International Collaborations, (ii) Focus
exception first time efforts. The areas for technology development, (iii)
models for technology development that R&D program structure. This is depicted in
will be developed as a result of these Figure 8 below:

Figure 8 ʹ Study areas for the xEV R&D initiative roll out

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5.6.12. Four task forces members from time to time, and holding
Task Forces
have also been constituted as specific inter-agency consultations. The
standing bodies for the duration Secretariat support and administrative
of the National Mission on Electric expenditure will be provided by the lead
Mobility. These will submit agencies, as part of the EV Mission
quarterly reports to the activities. These task forces can be
NAB/NBEM through the Working Group categorized in four broad areas on similar
on R&D. The mandate of these task forces lines to the three broad study areas as
will include the commissioning of specific depicted in Figure 9 below:
survey reports and co-opting additional

Figure 9 – Task forces for the xEV initiative roll out.

•Task Force to • Task force to • Task force • Task force to


identify areas develop the for Floating identify and
and research “Call for of approve
agencies for Proposals”, Expression additional
international identify of Interest testing &
cooperation,
through (a)
nodal for development
International agencies for Consortium infrastructure
S&T co- the project Funded for xEVs,
operation areas and Projects and human
framework of identify selection of resource
DST and (b) areas of candidate development
existing possible projects / etc.
international technology collaboratio - Led by
tie ups (DHI) acquisition. ns/
with Germany DHI/ NAB.
– Led by consortia. –
and China.
- Led by DHI TIFAC/DST. Led by
/NAB TIFAC/DST.

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5.7. Review, monitoring & course correction mechanism.

5.7.1. The implementation structure for demand initiatives. The report on the
this initiative i.e. NCEM and NBEM at the progress of various xEV R&D initiatives will
apex level and the NAB/NATIS along with be submitted as an agenda item in all the
the Working Group on R&D (WG-R&D) NBEM/NCEM meetings. The review at the
and its sub groups at the working level will apex i.e. NCEM level is proposed to be
review and monitor the roll out of this held at least once a year, while that at the
program and the various projects and NBEM level will be taken up 3-4 times in a
schemes that are implemented under it. year as per requirements. The review at
NAB/NATIS and WG-R&D level will be held
5.7.2. The review, monitoring and course at once in a month as per requirements.
correction mechanism for xEV R&D The lead agency for coordinating the
initiative will be on same lines as the reviews will be NAB/NATIS.
mechanism adopted for review of xEV

*******

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6. SUPPLY INCENTIVES
Chapter 6
6.1. Introduction.

6.2. Manufacturing strategy.

6.3. The way ahead.

6.4. Implementation strategy, funding, review,


monitoring & course correction mechanism.
NEMMP 2020 2012

Chapter 6 ȂSupply Incentives


6.1. Introduction.

6.1.1. Encouraging value addition in India will not only help


development and drive down the costs of xEVs but will also
manufacture of xEVs allow for more robust components and
and their vehicle to be developed given the unique
components in India conditions of India. This fact is supported
is one of the prime by the manner in which the Indian
objectives of the automotive industry has developed in the
NMEM. This is not only with a view to recent past.
develop the domestic manufacturing
capabilities which is in line with the 6.1.2. The importance of R&D and
Government objective of increasing the production activities can be seen by the
contribution of manufacturing sector to fact that almost two-thirds of the 4W xEV
the national GDP thereby resulting in large value is created in R&D and production
scale employment generation, but equally (Exhibit 32). This is similar to gasoline 4W
important is the fact that higher level of vehicles where ~60% of the value arises
localization is also critical for the faster from component production and assembly
adoption of electric vehicles in the and ~7-8% from research and
country. This is due to the fact that larger development.

Exhibit 32 - Vehicle lifecycle cost for industry ʹ breakup by supply chain elements
EV (high volume)
41% 42%
Constitutes ~65% of Gasoline
vehicle lifecycle cost
for a 4W

25% 25%

17% 17%

8% 7%
4% 4% 5% 5%

Research & Component Sales &


Assembly Marketing After Sales Service
Development Production Distribution

Source: GoI- Industry study.

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6.1.3. In contrast to the traditional ICE dominate, contributing to ~55-70% and
vehicles where chassis and powertrain ~10-15% of the cost respectively.
each contribute to 33% of the costs, in 4W Consequently, these assume paramount
BEVs, the chassis contributes only 16% importance while determining areas of
and powertrain ~67% of the cost of the focus for R&D and production (Exhibit-
vehicle. Within the powertrain, the 33).
battery pack and power electronics

Exhibit 33 - Cost of manufacturing for ICE and battery electric vehicles


Research & Product Component Research & Product Component
Assembly Assembly
Design Development Production Design Development Production

IC engine vehicle xEV vehicle


Interiors 14% Interiors 7%

Chassis 33% Chassis 16%

Car Body 20% Car Body 10%

PowerTrain 33% PowerTrain 67%

Cost break up in a
typical BEV car 55-70% 55-70% 5-10% 10-15% 5-15%
<5%
Battery Cell BMS Power Motor Transmission
Electronics System

Source: GoI-Industry study. Note: Analysis for sub-compact battery electric vehicle, Source: Nomura, Argonne National Laboratory,
Booz & Company analysis

6.1.4. Currently, domestic technology and products are still


Current scenario

capabilities in xEV power train imported. Most of the components for the
and component development and electric two wheelers being sold in India
manufacturing are low. This is are also imported, with only assembly
depicted in (Exhibit 34) on the activities taking place in India. The local
next page. A few OEMs in India component manufacturing capability in
have initiated efforts for India across major xEV sub-systems is also
developing their xEV very limited. (Exhibit 35) Interviews with
manufacturing capabilities. While OEMs reveal that battery technology in
firms like Mahindra (Reva) and Maruti India is nascent with no manufacturing
Suzuki have made progress in the four- capabilities in the country for lithium-ion
wheeler xEV space, much of the cells.

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Exhibit 34 ʹ OEMs development activities in various power trains in India


NON -EXHAUSTIVE

HEV PHEV BEV Prototypes / Commercial

1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3
ƒ Commercial ² Reva

ƒ Prototype ² Eeco

ƒ Commercial ² YoBykes

ƒ Prototype ² Hybrid Starbus

ƒ Prototype ² Hybus

ƒ Prototype ² Hybrid 2W
ƒ Prototype ² 3W Streak

ƒ Commercial ² Zion, Maxi etc.

1 = Not active/little information 2 = Emerging /In the process 3 = Active/strong focus

Source: GoI-Industry study.

Exhibit 35 ʹ Status of xEV component supplier in India


NON-EXHAUSTIVE

Transmission Electric Power


Battery BMS Comments
System Motors Electronics

‡ Lead ² acid batteries for electric 2W

‡ BMS solution for HEV


‡ Electronic control unit

‡ Special drive motors


‡ Traction motors

‡ Manufacture e-motors for Reva

Source: GoI-Industry study.

6.1.5. There have been numerous industry to develop electric vehicle market
initiatives by the Government and also the in the country. However, most of these

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have not been able to fully yield the wherein demand creation support by the
desired outcomes on account of various Government continues to be provided
factors. Besides the challenges associated endlessly. The lowering of the acquisition
with the issues of technology and required costs through lesser manufacturing costs
infrastructure, the main barrier is the can happen mainly through (i) economies
huge difference in the acquisition cost of of scale associated with much higher
the xEV as compared to the counterpart IC volumes, (ii) lowering of costs through
engine vehicle. Therefore, despite the fact technological developments, (iii) higher
that the operational cost of an electric degree of localization. Therefore, in the
vehicle is much lower than that of the IC near future significant investments by
engine vehicles, for the consumer this is automotive industry are essential to build
still not significant enough to offset the scale and also benefit from localization to
higher acquisition cost of the xEV and as a drive down the costs of xEVs. However,
result, the off take of xEVs remains low. the existing low and uncertain demand for
The sharp dependence/ co-relation xEVs has contributed to significant under
between the acquisition price of xEV and investments for specialized xEV
the demand of xEVs is also demonstrated components thereby leading to higher
by the fact that whenever there has been cost of manufacturing. The high
any demand creation initiative for xEVs by manufacturing costs has in turn resulted
the Government (central or state), the off in low demand thereby leading to a
take of xEVs has shot up tremendously. vicious cycle that needs to be broken. This
This has also been seen in respect of both is depicted in (Exhibit 36) on the next
the electric two wheelers and four page. In order to break this cycle, it is
wheelers (Reva) during the recent demand essential for the industry to make the
creation scheme of MNRE. necessary investments for building the
xEV manufacturing eco system and scale.
6.1.6. In order to However, a conducive environment has to
develop a sustainable be created that permits significant
xEV industry eco investment de-risking for the industry
system, it is essential through necessary assurance for (i) a
to bring down the much larger demand for these vehicles
higher initial then what is at present, (ii) the continuity
acquisition cost of xEV and certainty about the minimum demand
vehicles because it is neither feasible nor volumes in the future, (iii) commitment
sustainable to envisage a scenario and support from the Government

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especially in the initial phases (infancy) of has to be significant in size, (ii) the
this industry, (iv) stability of Government demand creation scheme needs to be
policies through an agreed upon medium continued for a minimum pre-defined
to long term plan. period, (iii) the vision, strategy and the
roadmap for electric mobility initiative has
6.1.7. It is therefore, to be clearly defined and owned by all
developing manufacturing ecosystem
Demand incentives are critical for

essential for the Government stakeholders. These enablers are expected


to support demand creation to provide the confidence and give
in the initial phases through significant de-risking comfort to the
narrowing the price industry for investing significantly in the
difference between the IC creation of the xEV manufacturing base in
engine and xEV vehicles. the country. Therefore, the demand
Demand creation strategy as creation support to be provided by the
discussed in earlier chapter is Government needs to be seen as an
the key to creation of the xEV ͞investment͟ with a strong linkage to
manufacturing eco system in creation of local xEV manufacturing
the country. The other capabilities rather than a subvention
essential pre-requisite scheme.
conditions include (i) the demand created

Exhibit 36 ʹ Demand creation support essential for creating xEV manufacturing eco-system

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6.2. Manufacturing strategy.

6.2.1. The Indian auto component higher transactional and infrastructural


industry mainly comprises of small and costs in India, lower productivity and
medium sized companies. Although the shortage of skilled manpower. Overall, the
Indian Automotive Industry has been Indian auto component industry is facing
growing at impressive rate for the past challenges from cheap imports. In 2010-
few years and has attained sufficient scale 11, India was a net importer of auto
and maturity, there are specific areas of components worth USD 5 billion. This
concern that needs to be addressed. trade deficit has been increasing over time
These include the increased competition and the amount of exports and imports of
from companies based in other low cost auto components is summarized in Table
countries, lack of adequate capacities and 21 below:
design capabilities, disadvantages of

Table 21 ʹ Export ʹ import data for auto components


2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11

Exports 2.67 3.52 3.80 3.80 5.00


% Growth 8 32 8 - 32
Imports 3.60 5.22 6.80 8.16 10.00
% Growth 45 45 30 20 23
Import as % of Turnover 24 29 37 37 33

Exports as % of Turnover 18 20 21 13 17

6.2.2. The Department of Heavy Industry efforts to improve the competitiveness of


has been supporting the growth of the the Indian auto component supply chain
Indian auto component sector through will be the essential pre-requisite for
various programs like the ACMA-UNIDO developing an efficient and competitive
cluster development program and is also indigenous xEV component supply chain.
working on various new initiatives like the
Automotive Skills Development Council, 6.2.3. Meeting the domestic demand for
developing an Auto Component xEVs will necessitate strengthening of the
Technology Development fund etc. These local manufacturing and supply base. The
initiatives will need to be augmented and development of the local xEV supply chain

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is sought to be achieved through a phased approach spread over next ten

Phased approach
approach for gradually building the years, depending upon the
domestic manufacturing capabilities for vehicle segment will be adopted
the various vehicle segments. In addition, to build the manufacturing
this strategy will also involve the essential capability for xEVs in India. The
requirement of linking Government phased manufacturing strategy
support for demand creation to firm for xEVs and four wheelers is
commitments by the industry to reach depicted in (Exhibit 37 and 38) on
pre-defined levels of domestic value following pages. Although the
addition in terms of the percentage value phased ʹ ten year approach is common to
of the local xEV components used in the all vehicle segments, however, in view of
xEV. This will help create, to a large the different levels of off take of xEVs in
extent, the required impetus for the various vehicle segments, the number of
supply side investments and commitment phases and the timelines of the various
from the industry for creating the xEV phases vary slightly across different
supply chain. The committed level for vehicle segments.
localization is also proposed to be
gradually increased in a phased manner 6.2.6. In case of the four wheelers, the
during the period wherein demand first stage of development from (0-4
incentives continue to be provided. years) would involve strengthening of the
domestic assembly. During this phase, the
6.2.4. In addition; in order to encourage industry will develop high capability in
manufacturers having higher level of manufacturing with local assembly of xEVs
localization content, the possibility of using imported or local components.
having distinguishing/gradation Simultaneously, the local sourcing can also
localization criterion for getting higher be increased translating to moderate
level of demand incentives (in terms of capabilities on this front. Further, the
quantity of vehicles covered or the industry and Government will also initiate
amount of incentive provided) can also be investments in R&D and product
explored. Further, the possibility for range development centers as the current
of other enablers to fast track investments capabilities in these areas are quite low in
will also be seen. the country.

6.2.5. As per the joint Government ʹ 6.2.7. The second stage from the next 5-8
Industry study, a three/four-phased years will involve developing indigenized

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products. By this time, it is expected that 30% of xEV components in terms of value
the R&D and industry product to be sourced locally. In order to support
development centers would have attained the reasonably developed local supply
moderate capabilities for developing chain, during this phase the customs duty
indigenized components (BMS, exemptions for xEV components will also
transmission system, electric motors etc.). be phased out completely.
At this point, the country will target ~25-

Exhibit 37 - Ten year 4-phased approach for building xEVs manufacturing capability in India.

Source: GoI-Industry study.

6.2.8. During the third phase for 4W xEVs, research to assembly and manufacturing.
8-10 years from now, the focus will be on During this phase, nearly 100% of the
developing technologies to suit Indian components would be locally sourced
conditions and usage. In this period, including local manufacturing of complex
industry should have developed high components like battery cells. In the final
capabilities across the value chain from stage (>10 years), the target will be on the

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export market. This will require suitable product development centers and
investments to enhance capability of R&D, production plans for exports.

Exhibit 38 ʹ Phased approach to encourage manufacturing of xEV four wheelers

6.2.9. As far as the other vehicle indigenized components such as BMS,


segments (two wheelers, buses, three transmission system, electric motors.
wheelers LCVs etc) are concerned; a During this phase, in order to promote
similar approach with three phases will be local components, the customs duty
adopted. The focus of phase one from exemption will be completely phased out.
year 1 to 4 will be on local assembly with During the last phase, i.e. from year 7 to
investments being made for R&D and 10, the emphasis will be on locally
product development. During phase 2, developing technologies for India and
from year 5 to 7, it is envisaged that the exports. The phase wise approach for
efforts will involve developing indigenized these vehicle segments is summarized in
products with the level of indigenization Table 22 on the next page.
reaching 60% for 2W and LCVs and 25-
30% for buses. The focus of R&D and
product development will be to develop

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Table 22 ʹ Phase wise approach for promoting xEV manufacturing in India
Phase & Two/three Wheelers Buses LCVs
duration
The local assembly of xEVs The focus will be on Develop capabilities
using imported or locally developing capabilities in in local assembly of
manufactured components local assembly of xEVs xEVs using imported
First Phase (Yr 1 - 4)

can be fully strengthened. using imported or locally or locally


Direct and indirect manufactured manufactured
incentives to increase local components. Investments components.
sources along with in R&D and product Investments in R&D
investments in R&D and development will be and Product
product development will initiated to build Development will be
help this segment mature. capabilities in indigenized initiated as well.
components.
The industry is likely to Having developed the The focus will be on
develop indigenized local assembly of xEVs, developing
products and have high the focus will be on indigenized
capabilities across the value developing indigenized products. R&D will
chain. Research and product components. R&D focus focus on indigenized
development focus will be should aim to build components such as
placed on indigenized indigenized components BMS, transmission
components including such as BMS, transmission system, electric
battery, transmission system, electric motors. At motors. By this time,
Second Phase

system, electric motor etc. least 25-30% xEV at least 60% xEV
(Yr 5 -7)

Moving down the value components should be components should


chain, the target should be locally sourced and the be locally sourced
to source >60% of the xEV custom duty exemptions and the custom duty
components locally with the be completely phased out, exemptions be
customs duty exemption to increase localization. phased out
being completely phased completely.
out. It is expected that most
components will be
indigenously manufactured
with vehicles localized to
suit the Indian market.

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Phase & Two/three Wheelers Buses LCVs


duration
During this phase, the industry will need to enhance capabilities to be globally
competitive and focus on exports.
Third Phase

This will involve enhancing capabilities of R&D, product development centers


(Yr 7 -10)

and production plants to supply in the Indian market as well as for exports.

Capabilities will need to be developed across the value chain with indigenously
developed components, local manufacturing of battery cells and nearly 100%
local sourcing.
Note: The phased approach for spurring 3W manufacturing is identical to the other vehicle segments indicated above.

6.2.10. In addition, a host of other National Manufacturing Policy, duty


possible incentives for encouraging exemption for capital equipment used by
investments like tax holidays to OEMs and OEMs for xEV assembly, soft loans etc
component manufacturers, possibility of would also be explored to facilitate
green field xEV plants to be included and building of domestic capabilities. The
thereby qualify for the consequent phased approach for promoting
benefits in the National Manufacturing manufacturing in various vehicle segments
and Investment Zones as proposed in the is depicted in (Exhibits 39 to 41).

Exhibit 39 - Manufacturing strategy for two-wheeler OEMs and suppliers


Stage 1
Domestic Assembly
1 & Indigenization Research Product Development Sourcing Manufacturing
1 ² 4 Yrs.
ƒ Initiate investments in R&D and PD centres ƒ Increasing local sourcing ƒ Local assembly of xEVs using imported /
local components

Stage 2
Indigenized
2 Products Research Product Development Sourcing Manufacturing
5 ²7 Yrs.
ƒ Indigenized components (battery, transmission system, electric ƒ >60% local sourcing for xEV ƒ Most components indigenously developed,
motors etc.) components vehicles to target Indian market
ƒ Customs duty exemption
phased out
Stage 3
Products designed
3 for Exports
Research Product Development Sourcing Manufacturing
~7 ²10 Yrs.
ƒ Enhance capability of R&D and PD centres, and production plants for exports

Low Moderate High


capability Capability capability

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study.

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Exhibit 40 - Manufacturing strategy for bus OEMs and suppliers
Incentives for
manufacturing can
be similar to 4W
Stage 1
1 Research Product Development Sourcing Manufacturing
Domestic Assembly
1 ² 4 Yrs.
ƒ Indigenized components (BMS, transmission system, electric ƒ >70% local sourcing ƒ Local assembly of xEVs using
motors etc.) ƒ Custom duty exemptions imported / local components
phased out

Stage 2
Research Product Development Sourcing Manufacturing
2 Indigenized Products
5 - 8 Yrs.
ƒ Indigenized components (BMS, transmission system, ƒ >25-30% local sourcing for xEV ƒ Local assembly of xEVs using local
electric motors etc.) components components (except battery cells)
ƒ Custom duty exemptions
phased out

Stage 3
Locally Developed Research Product Development Sourcing Manufacturing
3
Technologies for India
and exports
~8 ²10 Yrs. ƒ Indigenized components (BMS, transmission system, ƒ Nearly 100% local sourcing ƒ Indigenously developed
electric motors etc.) ƒ Local manufacturing of components targeting Indian and
ƒ Enhance capability of R&D and PD centres, and production battery cells export markets
plants for exports
Low Moderate High
capability Capability capability

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study.

Exhibit 41 - Manufacturing strategy for LCV OEMs and suppliers


Incentives for
manufacturing can
be similar to 4W

Stage 1
1 Domestic Assembly Research Product Development Sourcing Manufacturing
1 ² 4 Yrs.
ƒ Initiate investments in R&D and PD centres ƒ Increasing local sourcing ƒ Local assembly of xEVs using
imported / local components

Stage 2
2 Indigenized Products Research Product Development Sourcing Manufacturing
5-8 Yrs.

ƒ Indigenized components (BMS, transmission system, ƒ >60% local sourcing for xEV ƒ Local assembly of xEVs using local
electric motors etc.) components components
ƒ Custom duty exemptions
phased out

Stage 3
Locally Developed Research Product Development Sourcing Manufacturing
3 Technologies for India
and exports
ƒ Indigenized components (BMS, transmission system, ƒ Nearly 100% local sourcing ƒ Indigenously developed
~8²10 Yrs.
electric motors etc.) components targeting Indian and
ƒ Enhance capability of R&D and PD centres, and production export markets
plants for exports
Low Moderate High
capability Capability capability

Source: GoI ʹ Industry study.

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6.3. The way ahead.

6.3.1. The broad contours of the Working Group on Demand & Supply for
manufacturing strategy were agreed consideration by the NBEM and NCEM.
during the second meeting of the National
Board for Electric Mobility. It was decided 6.3.2. The Working Group on Demand &
that the support provided by the Supply during their first meeting
Government for demand creation of xEVs recommended that in addition to the
will be linked with a firm commitment manufacturing strategy as agreed by the
from the industry to make investments for NBEM, the following activities and
phased increase in the degree of initiatives indicated in Table 23 below,
localization of xEVs as an essential that are aimed at enhancing the
eligibility criterion for demand generation competitiveness and capabilities of the
support. This along with a fixed time automotive component industry currently
frame window for the Government under consideration of the Department of
support for demand creation constitutes Heavy industry, would be augmented and
the two key elements of the demand expedited. These would help strengthen
creation strategy that will have a the Indian auto component sector,
significant catalytic impact for creation of especially the tier 3 & 4 level, that would
the xEV manufacturing ecosystem in the also facilitate the capacity of the Indian
country. The NBEM also mandated that auto component industry to take up local
the specific micro issues and other manufacture of the components related
possible investment incentives will be to electric mobility.
examined and recommended by the

Table 23 ʹ Activities and initiatives under consideration of DHI


Sr. No. Activity
1. ACMA ʹ UNIDO capacity building program phase III.

2. Creation of a modernization/automotive development fund.


3. Skill development through the Automotive Skills Development Council.

6.3.3. In addition, other important issues small xEV two wheelers and development
like the mandatory registration of the & enforcement of quality, homologation

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and safety standards and performance and improving the strategy for spurring
criterion for xEV components, both domestic manufacture of xEV
domestic and imported, would be taken components, will be taken up
up at the earliest with the Department of immediately. The areas of study along
Road Transport for taking the lead. A with the details of the lead agencies and
number of studies, for further fine tuning members are indicated in Table 24 below:

Table 24 ʹ Studies to be undertaken.


Sr No. Study Area Agencies
1 Assessment of areas of xEV component Lead agency: ACMA
manufacture where India can be globally Gr members: NMCC, DHI, DIPP,
competitive, other Industry associations
2. Analysis of the various manufacturing Lead agency: ACMA
incentives, their efficacy and the optimum Gr members: NMCC, DHI, DIPP,
incentive strategy for xEV component other Industry associations
manufacture.
3. Human resource gaps and competencies Lead agency: SIAM
required to be created for supporting xEV Gr members: ASDC, NATRiP, DHI,
manufacture and after sales support in the NMCC, other Industry
country. associations, NSDC

6.4. Implementation strategy, funding, review, monitoring & course


correction mechanism.

6.4.1. The implementation of the various permanent structure with representation


recommendations will be done by NAB in from all stakeholders to support
coordination with various nodal Ministries NATIS/NAB for proposing various
/Departments and agencies. The funding schemes/initiatives, regularly reviewing &
requirements wherever required will be monitoring progress of various initiatives
made through augmentation of existing and decisions and for recommending
allocations or through allocations for new course corrections, if required, for the
schemes as may be the case. The Working consideration and decision of the NBEM
Group on Demand & Supply will be a and NCEM.
*******

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7. xEV INFRASTRUCTURE
Chapter 7
7.1. Introduction.

7.2. Study findings for infrastructure


requirements.

7.3. xEV charging infrastructure strategy.

7.4. Resource requirements and funding.


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Chapter 7 Ȃ xEV Infrastructure


7.1. Introduction.

7.1.1. The limitations of current xEV vary substantially in their costs; therefore,
batteries with the charging terminals need to be created
regard to their as per the requirement of the location.
energy storage While level 1 charging terminals are
capacity and the appropriate at residences/office
slow pace of buildings/parking lots etc, the level 2
charging charging terminals are more suited for
significantly restricts the usage pattern of areas where vehicle is likely to be parked
electric vehicles (EV, PHEV and range for shorter but substantial duration of
extended EVs) and the preparation time time like commercial areas (shopping
required for their use. Only HEV is malls), Airport/ Railway stations and also
autonomous as it depends only on the some at parking lots. The rapid chargers
fossil fuel stored in its fuel tank. These are best suited to be located at
limitations not only necessitate the need convenient locations like petrol pumps
for widespread availability of public etc. A mix of these public charging points
charging infrastructure but also facilities needs to be established on a pilot basis to
for fast and rapid charging. In view of the evaluate consumption pattern and the
ĨĂĐƚƚŚĂƚ͞ƌĂŶŐĞĂŶdžŝĞƚLJ͟ŝƐŽŶĞŽĨƚŚĞŬĞLJ optimal type and location mix for the
concerns of the consumer, the greater different charging terminals.
adoption of pure electric vehicles is closely
linked to development of the required 7.1.3. The extent of linkage between the
public charging infrastructure. availability of public xEV charging
infrastructure and adoption of xEV varies
7.1.2. The charging infrastructure broadly between different vehicle segments, for
includes level 1 terminals, level 2 different usage patterns (average vehicle
terminals (fast chargers) and level 3 kilometers travelled). For instance, electric
terminals (rapid chargers). The typical two wheelers are less dependent on
time taken for charging by these chargers public recharging infrastructure for their
is 6-8 hours, 3-4 hours and less than 30 off take as compared to electric four
minutes respectively. These chargers also wheelers. Further, within the two wheeler

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segment; the consumers whose average utility companies have been developed to
vehicle mileage is lower are less impacted deploy the xEV charging networks.
by the non availability of public recharging 7.1.4.2. China is also following a
infrastructure, as they can recharge their public-private-partnership model for
vehicles at home just like their mobile electric vehicle charging infrastructure
telephones. In addition, the fleet deployment. The state utilities companies
operators like the state run intra-city bus in China have been investing in charging
services have a totally different and infrastructure and have also set up Joint
unique recharging infrastructure ventures with battery manufacturers for
requirement for their electric bus fleet. It this purpose. China has allocated USD 4.4
is therefore, necessary that the public billion for conducting pilot projects over
charging infrastructure strategy and the next 10 years and earmarked USD 5
planning has to be unique to match the billion for deployment of more than
context in which it is being set. World over 500,000 public chargers.
countries are investing heavily in setting 7.1.4.3. In order to achieve the
up extensive recharging infrastructure. target of 2 million xEV vehicles by 2025,
Japan has made significant investments in
7.1.4. As infrastructural support infrastructure development in addition to
is essential to develop a strong providing moderate R&D support and
Global trends

electric vehicle market, countries incentives. The Japanese Government has


across the world are providing plans to set up 15,000 charging stations in
subsidies to strengthen the Japan by 2015. Subsidy is being provided
electric vehicle charging for the establishment of Clean Energy
infrastructure. This includes Vehicles refueling facilities. In addition,
support for charging stations and the government is also funding
battery swapping stations. Some demonstration projects for low-pollution
of the significant efforts made globally for vehicles including car-sharing and station
setting up public charging infrastructure car. Japan is also collaborating with US
are as follows: and PPPs for Okinawa smart-grid pilot
7.1.4.1. America has allocated project. Moreover, there are collaborative
around USD 400 million to set up 15,000 experiments in the area of battery
charging stations in 15 cities across the swapping, e.g. Better Place has started
country, including cities like Chicago and setting up battery swapping stations for
Los Angeles. Joint ventures between electric taxis.
OEMs, infrastructure developers and

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7.1.4.4. France has targeted a production, with some States having
cumulative adoption of 2 million xEVs by losses as high as 62%. Two of the major
2020. In order to achieve this target the problems facing the grid are poorly
government is providing customer planned distribution network and
incentives and developing public charging frequent overloading of system
infrastructure. Extensive plans for components.
investments of approx USD 2 billion for
establishment of a recharging network of 7.1.6. Further, as far as India is
1 million charging points by 2015 have concerned, currently very little or no
been chalked out. France is also following efforts have been made for roll out of
a PPP model for infrastructural public charging infrastructure for electric
development wherein the state utilities, vehicles. More importantly, in order to
OEMs and battery suppliers collaborate overcome the existing scenario of power
through joint ventures. Furthermore, deficit, India faces the twin fundamental
there are also JVs between foreign electric challenges of rapidly increasing the
companies and local investment firms. installed power generation capacity and
significantly improving the power
7.1.5. At present, India faces a power transmission and distribution network. It
deficit situation with demand for power is therefore, essential to keep these facts
outstripping generation. In addition, the in mind while deciding on the future
amount of transmission and distribution strategy for electric vehicle charging
losses are amongst the highest in the infrastructure for the country.
world, averaging 26% of total electricity

7.2. Study findings for infrastructure requirements.

7.2.1. In view of the existing power Government ʹ Industry study. In addition,


generation and transmission scenario in consumer feedback on the issue of
India, an in-depth estimation of the recharging infrastructure was also
additional power generation obtained in the study.
infrastructure requirements and the
charging infrastructure that will be 7.2.2. As per the extensive consumer
needed to support the level of survey carried out as a part of the
penetration of xEVs being proposed by Government ʹ Industry study; the findings
2020 has been made in the joint pertaining to consumer perception of xEV
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compared to a traditional ICE vehicle, the summarized in Table 25. These findings
key barriers to xEV adoption and are an important input for further
consumer sensitivity analysis relating to developing the xEV charging infrastructure
xEV charging infrastructure are strategy for the country.

Table 25 - Key xEV charging infrastructure related findings from the consumer survey.
Vehicle Perception of Key Barriers for Sensitivity
Segment xEV compared to adoption
ICE (Range)
Four xEV worse than Range ʹ 46% (4th) For PHEVs ʹ Acquisition price >
Wheelers ICE - 46% recharge time in sensitivity
Charging time ʹ 41% (6th) analysis.
Inference: Pilots can be
Charging infra ʹ 31% conducted for public fast charging
(10th) terminals to monitor adoption of
xEVs before complete roll out.
Buses xEV worse than Charging time ʹ 56% (3 ) Recharge time is the 3rd most
rd

ICE - 39% important parameters as per


Charging infra ʹ 45% sensitivity analysis.
(7th) Inference: Moderate sensitivity
observed for recharge time for
th
Range ʹ 33% (4 ) PHEV and BEV buses indicating
the need to set up fast and rapid
recharging stations.
Two Wheelers BEV scooters Range ʹ e-scooters - 46% Recharge time and range are the
worse than ICE - (4th), e-bikes ʹ (48%) 2nd and 4th most important
46% (4th) parameters as per the sensitivity
BEV bikes worse analysis.
than ICE - 46% Charging time ʹ e-
scooters - 46% (5th), e- Inference: Typical changes to re-
bikes ʹ 43% (5th) change time translates to
significant variations in consumer
Charging infra ʹ e- preference for BEV bikes and
scooters - 30% (10th), e- scooters, while the consumers
bikes ʹ 29% (10th) are relatively agnostic to changes
in range of the vehicle.
th
Three xEV worse than Range ʹ 50% (4 ) Recharge time is the 3rd most
Wheelers ICE - 46% important parameters as per
Charging time ʹ 50% (4th) sensitivity analysis.

Charging infra ʹ 42%


(8th)
Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

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7.2.3. For supporting the xEV demand and 7.2.4. In case of the four wheeler
supply capabilities, sustainable segment, it is predicted that adequate
infrastructure is critical. As per the charging facilities will be required to
Government ʹ Industry study, a vehicle support xEV demand and uptake. It is
segment wise assessment of the estimated that by 2020, 150-225 MW of
additional power required to meet the extra power generation capacity and
demand for electricity from xEV vehicles investment of Rs 750-1000 crores for
by 2020 and the investments needed for charging infrastructure may be required to
the additional power generation capacity support the 4W xEV potential (Exhibit 42
and charging infrastructure has been & 43). In a scenario assuming high uptake
made. As far as two wheelers are of CNG and HEVs, 150MW of extra power
concerned, the size and battery capacity generation may be required in 2020
used in 2 wheelers is small. Hence BEV assuming 20% peak charging. This
two wheelers can be charged at home and translates to ~175,000 charging stations
as such significant investments in public including fast chargers, level 1 chargers
charging infrastructure will not be and rapid chargers involving an
required. However, given their huge investment of Rs 750 crores. In the
volumes, infrastructural support in terms alternate scenario assuming high CNG,
of additional electricity generation would HEV and BEV uptake, the 2020 power
be required. It is estimated that an requirement rises to ~225MW. The higher
additional 600 MW power requirement off-take of BEVs would necessitate
would be needed to support the energy ~227,000 charging stations to be
requirements for the electric two established by 2020 involving investment
wheelers by 2020. of Rs 1000 crores.

Exhibit 42 - Infrastructure requirement for xEV four-wheelers


High Gas / HEV Scenario ² 4W
Extra Generation Required (MW) Charging Infrastructure Investment # Charging Terminals
(Rs. Crores) LQ¶
150
750 175
17 Rapid Chargers
35 Fast Chargers
Majority of xEV
charging is expected 4W
to occur in off-peak 122 Level 1 Chargers
hours

2020 - With 20% Peak Charging 2020 2020

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Exhibit 43 - Infrastructure requirement for xEV four-wheelers. (Part II)
High Gas / HEV / BEV Scenario ² 4W

Extra Generation Required (MW) Charging Infrastructure Investment # Charging Terminals


(Rs. Crores) LQ¶)
225
1,000 227
23 Rapid Chargers
45 Fast Chargers

4W
159 Level 1 Chargers

2020 2020
2020 - With 20% Peak Charging

Note: Price per charging station ʹ Rs. 2,25,000 ($5,000) for fast charging (10% of stations), Rs 36,000 ($800) for level 2 charging (20%
of stations), Rs.18,000 ($400) for level 1 charging (70% of stations). Charging station efficiency = 18 hours per day. Source: GoIʹ
Industry study.

7.2.5. Based on the two off-take feeder buses. Rapid charging points, which
scenarios, an estimated 2-4 MW of extra enable quick charging (5-10 minutes), can
power generation would be needed for also be created at prominent bus stops to
meeting the requirement from xEV buses. eliminate the need for large batteries.
The corresponding charging infrastructure However, rapid recharging points cost five
would require an investment of Rs 10-20 times the cost of Level-1 charging stations
crores to build 300-500 charging terminals (~$22,000 per terminal), as such these
(Exhibit 44 & 45). For xEV buses, the State may not be viable on a large scale. Pilot
Transport Undertakings (STUs) can stage roll out will be required to work out
establish charging stations at bus the economics of the recharging
stands/Depots and at metro stations for infrastructure for buses.

Exhibit 44 - Infrastructure requirement for High Gas / HEV scenario for buses
Extra Generation Required (MW) Charging Infrastructure Investment # Charging Terminals
(Rs. Crores)
2
10 310
30 Rapid Chargers
Majority of xEV 60 Fast Chargers
charging is expected
to occur in off-peak
hours
220 Level 1 Chargers

2020 - With 20% Peak Charging 2020 2020

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Exhibit 45ʹ Infrastructure requirement for High Gas / HEV/BEV scenario for buses
Extra Generation Required (MW) Charging Infrastructure Investment # Charging Terminals
(Rs. Crores)

4
20 500
50 Rapid Chargers
100 Fast Chargers

350 Level 1 Chargers

2020 - With 20% Peak Charging 2020 2020

Note: Price per charging station ʹ Rs 10,00,000 ($22,000) for fast charging (10% of stations), Rs 4,50,000 ($10,000) for level 2
charging (20% of stations), Rs 2,00,000 ($4,400) for level 1 charging (70% of stations). Charging station efficiency -18 hours/day;
majority of xEV charging is expected to occur in off-peak hours. Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

7.2.6. In order to support the battery penetration of 3 wheelers. This would


charging requirements of the electric entail investments of Rs 50-75 crore for
three wheelers, incremental 10-15 MW of charging infrastructure involving 11,000 ʹ
electricity generation would be required, 18,000 charging terminals (Exhibit 46 &
based on the two scenarios of HEV/ BEV 47).

Exhibit 46 ʹ Infrastructure requirements for High Gas/ HEV scenario for 3W


Extra Generation Required (MW) Charging Infrastructure Investment # Charging Terminals
(Rs. Crores) LQ¶
10
50 11
1 Rapid Chargers
Majority of xEV
2 Fast Chargers
charging is expected
to occur in off-peak
hours
8 Level 1 Chargers

2020 - With 20% Peak Charging 2020 2020

Exhibit 47 ʹ Infrastructure requirements for High Gas/ HEV/BEV scenario for 3W


Extra Generation Required (MW) Charging Infrastructure Investment # Charging Terminals
(Rs. Crores) LQ¶

15
75 18
2 Rapid Chargers
4 Fast Chargers

13 Level 1 Chargers

2020 - With 20% Peak Charging 2020 2020

Note: Price per charging station ʹ Rs 2,25,000 ($5,000) for fast charging (10% of stations), Rs 36,000 ($800) for level 2 charging (20%
of stations), Rs 18,000 ($400) for level 1 charging (70% of stations). Charging station efficiency = 18 hours per day. Source: OEM
Interviews, GoIʹ Industry study.

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7.2.7. As far as the LCVs are concerned, in HEV/ BEV scenario for LCVs, it is estimated
the High Gas/ HEV Scenario, an additional that 20 MW of additional power
10 MW of power generation capacity will generation will be required with charging
be required. For this penetration level, it is infrastructure investment of Rs 120 crores
estimated that 18,000 charging terminals comprising of 27,000 charging terminals
would be needed at an investment of Rs (Exhibit 49).
75 crores (Exhibit 48). In the High gas/

Exhibit 48 ʹ Infrastructure requirements for High Gas/HEV scenario for LCVs


Extra Generation Required (MW) Charging Infrastructure Investment # Charging Terminals
(Rs. Crores) LQ¶
10
75 18
2 Rapid Chargers
Majority of xEV
4 Fast Chargers
charging is expected
to occur in off-peak
hours
13 Level 1 Chargers

2020 - With 20% Peak Charging 2020 2020

Exhibit 49 ʹ Infrastructure requirements for High Gas/HEV/BEV scenario for LCVs


Extra Generation Required (MW) Charging Infrastructure Investment # Charging Terminals
(Rs. Crores) LQ¶)

20
120 27
3 Rapid Chargers
5 Fast Chargers

19 Level 1 Chargers

2020 - With 20% Peak Charging 2020 2020

Note: Price per charging station ʹ Rs 2,25,000 ($5,000) for fast charging (10% of stations), Rs 36,000 ($800) for level 2 charging (20%
of stations), Rs 18,000 ($400) for level 1 charging (70% of stations). Charging station efficiency = 18 hours per day. Source: OEM
Interviews, GoIʹ Industry study.

7.2.8. The projections of the Government are indicative, for specific programs and
ʹ Industry study gives a good estimate projects, additional inputs from detailed
that can be used for framing the broad infrastructure studies will also be required
strategy and in the initial take off stage of to supplement these findings.
the program. However, as these estimates

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7.3. xEV charging infrastructure strategy.

7.3.1. The Government ʹ Industry study done by the Government. It is therefore,


indicates that (i) moderate investments in recommended that the Government
xEV charging infrastructure would be investments in the charging infrastructure
required by 2020 to achieve the potential should be restricted to the initial off take
for xEVs in India. (ii) The requirement of period including the pilot programs to
additional power generation capacity in evaluate the level of impact of public
India to support the projected electric charging stations (e.g., parking stations,
vehicle penetration levels is not expected malls etc.) on xEV adoption and for
to be very high. As per KPTCL, it is working out the commercial viability of
estimated that for 1 million BEV cars with charging stations so that these can then
~10-20 kWh battery size, the additional be developed as a viable business models
power requirement will be about 1 GW to be adopted for full roll out. Similarly, in
generation, which over the total installed case of buses also, these investments
base is not very high. As per the should be made in pilot programs first,
Government ʹ Industry study, it is before rolling out on a larger scale.
expected that less than 1 GW of extra
power generation capacity would be 7.3.3. Given the current status of xEV
required 7 in order to achieve the xEV charging infrastructure in the
xEV infrastructure lead time

potential for India by 2020. country and the likely levels of


infrastructure investment
7.3.2. The xEV charging required, need to initially
Pilot projects

infrastructure can be a self undertake pilot projects, lead


sustaining viable business time required for setting up
opportunity, if adequately infrastructure and the likelihood
facilitated by the Government. for amendments/modifications
As such, most of the investments in building byelaws and other
in charging infrastructure can be laws by various Governments
made by the private sector provided the (central, state and local); there is
initial investments for pilot projects and likely to be a significant
setting up of the required framework is gestation time before adequate
electric vehicle public charging
7
Assuming 20% of electric vehicles charge during peak power load infrastructure can be rolled out.
periods

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7.3.4. An effective way to get of recharging infrastructure. A
around this bottleneck without
Way forward comprehensive public xEV charging
impacting the fast adoption of infrastructure will require greater
xEVs, especially the short run, participation of the power utilities and oil
will be to propagate faster initial marketing companies along with the
adoption of electric vehicles for battery suppliers and vehicle
limited range usages and greater manufacturers. In addition, the role of
adoption of technologies Government would also be critical in
(hybrids, PHEVs) that have lower helping to develop innovative energy
dependence on charging infrastructure. delivery models for xEVs. This is quite
The intervening time can be used to important, as these can help decouple the
gradually roll out the infrastructure after battery costs from the upfront vehicle
which the scope of electrification of purchase cost which could enable EVs to
mobility can be expanded. During this be sold at more competitive prices
phase, various aspects of an effective thereby resulting in higher sales.
recharging infrastructure strategy will
need to be examined, evaluated and 7.3.6. Based on the above
Phased roll out

essential requirements identified, planned strategy, a phased roll out of the


and put in place. xEV charging infrastructure is
proposed to be adopted. This is
7.3.5. Besides ensuring availability of depicted in (Exhibit 50) on the
reliable, regular next page.
electricity supply
and adequate xEV
charging
infrastructure; the
Government will
need to ensure
standardization of
batteries and
recharging related
components, as
this is an essential
ingredient for a
successful roll out

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Exhibit 50 ʹ Strategy for xEV infrastructure

Preparatory
Pilot Projects;
work, Roll out of
develop
standardisation infrastructure
business models
etc I II III

Greater off take of 2W BEVs and 4 Faster off take of BEVs


W Hybrids

7.3.7. The strategy of xEV infrastructure. This is essential not only for
infrastructure roll out involves a ensuring minimal quality and safety
Phase I

three phased approach. The standards but also to enable early


Phase I (first year) ʹ or the initial achievement of economies of scale for
preparatory phase will involve different components. This activity can
achieving immediate to short term either be spearheaded by the CMVR/DRT
objectives. This will entail greater detailed process or through BIS. Efforts for
and in-depth evaluation of various standardization will also include
options, prioritization and putting in place assessment of the testing infrastructure
the required framework, enabling policies, requirements, identification of testing and
charging infrastructure standards, laws certifying agencies and putting the testing
and undertaking detailed studies that will infrastructure in place.
facilitate the roll out of the optimum xEV
infrastructure. The various activities to be 7.3.7.2. Evaluation of various
taken up immediately include: strategies followed worldwide that
7.3.7.1. Introduction of standards for includes assessment of the efficacy in the
vehicle to grid interface, components, Indian context of providing subsidies for
batteries and other charging charging equipment, streamlining the

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charging installation permitting process, energy storage medium in remote areas
etc for possible adoption in India. powered by renewable energy.

7.3.7.3. Assessment of the changes 7.3.7.5. Assessment of the various


to the legal framework required for possible incentives for setting up of
facilitating xEV recharging infrastructure that may include
infrastructure roll tax breaks, grants, soft loans etc.
out: For day time
recharging, public 7.3.7.6. Evaluation of various
recharging strategies/models that can be used for
infrastructure at designing optimal recharging
petrol pumps, infrastructure and also to decouple the
office locations, shopping centers, parking cost of batteries from the purchase of EVs:
lots, mass transport terminals, streets, etc. The cost of batteries and setting up of
will be required. Furthermore, public charging infrastructure are amongst
modification to the electricity act will also the most important limiting factors that
be needed for allowing charging stations needs to be resolved for greater off take
to sell power. This will necessitate of electric vehicles globally. It is estimated
enabling legislation, modification to the that the average cost of the Li-ion battery
relevant laws and also perhaps legal would need to be at USD 300-400 per KW
mandates for private charging hour from the present USD 500 per KW
infrastructure. Currently, a number of hour to for pure economics of EV to be
countries have passed such laws near par with ICE vehicles. Some studies
mandating recharging infrastructure, in indicate that the breakeven point
fact most recently San Francisco Building ďĞƚǁĞĞŶ sƐ ĂŶĚ / ǀĞŚŝĐůĞƐ͕ ŽŶ Ă ͞Life
Authority has mandated recharging points cycle ĐŽƐƚ ŽĨ ŽǁŶĞƌƐŚŝƉ͟ ďĂƐŝƐ͕ ǁŝƚŚŽƵƚ
in all new and refurbished buildings. any subsidies may be reached by 2017.
Therefore, an assessment of the The various activities that can be
modifications required in the legal undertaken in this regard include:
framework will need to be made. 7.3.7.6.1. Assessment of the optimal
battery capacity or range required
7.3.7.4. Carrying out studies for the through scientifically analyzing and
impact assessment of xEV charging on the understanding the consumer behavior and
micro grids and possibility of using xEV to vehicle usage pattern for all the different
power /stabilize the grid and act as an segments in different settings.

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7.3.7.6.2. Preliminary evaluation of second use, once the battery finally
possible new innovative energy delivery reaches its end of life, recycling processes
business models like battery leasing, and infrastructure needs to be built to
battery swapping etc that take out the derive maximum economic value and also
cost of battery from the acquisition cost of mitigate environmental impact. In fact if
the electric vehicle/ hybrid vehicle or help targeted properly, India with its traditional
reduce battery ownership costs for xEV advantages of lower labor costs can
consumers. For instance, the battery swap perhaps suit this industry well to even
model can potentially also be designed in serve the end of life and recycling
such a way so as to recover both requirements of other countries.
electricity cost as well as battery capital
cost through the battery swapping 7.3.7.7. Design of pilot projects and
charges on an incremental basis. finalizing the DPR and outcomes of the
7.3.7.6.3. In addition, other innovative projects.
electric charging business models, e.g.
smart metering and grid powering from 7.3.8. The second phase
batteries will also need to be examined involving medium term
Phase II

and developed. Even for home recharging objectives/activities (Phase II ʹ


oriented system, the cost of batteries Year 1 - 3): The activities in the
could be bundled into the daily cost of medium time frame would build
recharging thereby allowing consumers to on the initial basic work done and include
pay for the batteries over longer period of deeper impact assessment studies &
time. programs, pilot projects, xEV
7.3.7.6.4. Li ion batteries that can no infrastructure consortium building
longer be used for automobile application activities, development of possible
still retain as much as 80% of storage business models, etc. The indicative list of
capacity. This makes these batteries possible activities that need to be taken
attractive for alternate use like storage of up during this phase includes the
energy generated from renewable sources following:
(wind, solar etc) and also for meeting 7.3.8.1. The finalisation of the
power backup needs in case of power guidelines and specifications for
failure. Therefore, such batteries can mandating charging infrastructure
return significant value to the original requirement for new constructions. This
user. A viable business model for this can may initially be started with Government
be easily built up. In addition, after the and public buildings/infrastructure and

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then expanded to cover commercial and 7.3.8.4. Developing the
residential buildings subsequently. This infrastructure and business models for
activity will also involve carrying out reuse and recycling of Li ion batteries.
modifications to the existing legal
framework and also for making the 7.3.8.5. Developing strong linkages
necessary new laws, where these do not between the electric mobility initiative
exist, to facilitate roll out of xEV with the national renewable energy
infrastructure. generation efforts: In case the energy
generation is not clean and transmission
7.3.8.2. Roll out of xEV charging losses remain high, the environmental
infrastructure on a pilot project mode in benefits of shifting to electric mobility
various cities with optimal number and cannot be fully realized, therefore, in
mix of different type of chargers arrived at order to get the full environmental
through the insights gained from studies benefits of electric mobility, quality of
on consumer behavior and vehicle usage power generation as also the efficiency of
pattern in various cities for different power transmission and distribution
vehicle segments. An assessment of the needs to be addressed in a holistic
project outcomes will be undertaken. This manner. In addition, in the long run to
will allow the associated make BEV/PHEVs even more effective;
business/economic models to be tested batteries in BEVs/PHEVs can also be used
and if necessary for their recalibration, so for storage of energy and also for load
that these can then be used during the full balancing of the grid i.e. feeding electricity
roll out of the xEV charging infrastructure. back to the grid when the BEVs/PHEVs are
not in use. Therefore, electric mobility and
7.3.8.3. Testing of the various renewable energy generation can
possible strategies/models for designing potentially strongly complement each
optimal recharging infrastructure and for other. As such the efforts on mobility side
decoupling the cost of batteries from the will have to be adequately married with
purchase of EVs. This will include detailed strong linkages with renewable energy
evaluation of various possible business generation e.g. solar recharging of
models like battery leasing, battery BEVs/PHEVs, wind recharging of
swapping, grid powering, etc. for their BEVs/PHEVs, biogas based recharging of
feasibility of use and enabling structures BEVs/PHEVs etc.
required.

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7.3.8.6. Exploring the
Consortium approach
feasibility of consortiums for 7.3.9. Final phase involving medium to
providing energy solutions for long term objectives (Phase III ʹ

Phase III
xEVs: The setting up of the xEV 3rd Year to 2020): The medium to
charging infrastructure needs to long term objectives will include
be kept in the private domain or (a) Ensuring availability of
through PPP model as viable reliable and regular electricity
business models. The role of the supply, (b) Making available adequate
Government needs to be recharging facilities with convenient
restricted to facilitating, access, (c) Development of EV charging as
monitoring and oversight activities. There a viable business entity, (d) Well
is very strong possibility of synergies in established and synergic linkage between
providing the energy supply solution for xEV charging infrastructure with
xEVs by the oil sector, power utilities and renewable energy generation
renewable energy generation companies. infrastructure, (e) Development of public
For these companies, this activity would recharging infrastructure that includes
constitute forward linkages with strong opportunities for rapid recharging through
possibility of good business models. For either setting up of optimal number of fast
power utility companies and oil marketing recharging centers or by use of batteries
companies, this model can be linked to swapping stations that allows quick
the existing network that they have. For replacement of discharged battery packs
the renewable energy generation with charged ones.
companies, this would also provide
opportunities especially in remote area 7.3.10. The roll out of the xEV charging
recharging locations etc. At the same time infrastructure, interventions and the
recharging business would also be equally various schemes will be done through NAB
attractive for the battery manufactures for in partnership with the concerned
which this will mean good forward infrastructure Ministries/Departments.
linkages. A consortium approach between Accordingly, the Ministry of Urban
the oil marketing companies, power Development, Ministry of Road Transport
utilities, renewable energy generating & Highways and Ministry of Power will be
companies, battery manufactures, actively involved along with the other
automobile companies and finance stakeholder Central Government
companies needs to be explored and Ministries, State Governments/ Union
facilitated for recharging infrastructure. Territories, Local Governments, the

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automotive industry, Power & Oil consideration of the NBEM/NCEM. In
marketing companies and the testing addition, WG-Infra will also assist
agencies. The Working Group on NATIS/NAB in monitoring the progress of
Infrastructure (WG-Infra) which has been the roll out of xEV charging infrastructure
constituted will be a permanent body with interventions along with related issues
representation from all the stakeholders and recommend course corrections, if
for developing key interventions and required, for the consideration of the
making recommendations for the NBEM/NCEM.

7.4. Resource requirements and funding.

7.4.1. In terms of the assessment made normal investments for capacity


by the joint Government-Industry augmentation by the private sector and
Investments

study, the amount of total PSUs. Government support will be


investments needed for setting required for electric vehicle charging
up the required infrastructure up infrastructure only in the initial stages
to 2020 (both power and charging during the phase when pilot project roll
infrastructure), vehicle segment out and business model development
wise, is summarised in Table 26 takes place. Subsequently, the
on the next page. From this, it can be seen investments for recharging infrastructure
that the major portion of the investment are also expected to come from the
required towards infrastructure private sector as viable business ventures.
development is slated to be for the setting
up of the additional power generation
capacity to meet the demand from
projected population of electric vehicles
by 2020. Significant investments for new
power generation capacities are already
being made by the PSUs and private
sector. It is therefore, expected that the
additional new capacities required to
meet xEV demand will also come from

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Table 26 ʹ Assessment of the segment wise investments required for xEV infrastructure.
4W 2W 3W Buses LCV Total
HG/ HG/ HG/ HG/
Area
HG/ HEV/B HG/ HG/ HEV/ HG/ HEV/ HG/ HG/HE HG/ HEV/
HEV EV HEV HEV BEV HEV BEV HEV V/BEV HEV BEV
Additional
Generation
150 ʹ 225 600 10 - 15 <5 10 ʹ 20 775 ʹ 865
Capacity (MW)

Power 3300 4100


700- 1200- 40- 4685 -
Infrastructure - 75-85 5-10 20-30 55-65 90-100 -
800 1300 50 4915
(Rs Cr) 3400 4325
Charging
700- 950- 40- 115 - 815 - 1145-
Infrastructure - 70-80 5-10 10-20 70-80
800 1000 50 125 940 1225
(Rs Cr)
Source: GoI. ʹ Industry study.

7.4.2. As in the case of funding of the Given the integrated ʹ one platform
demand generation measures, it is approach being followed through the
proposed that the Government funding setting up of the NCEM/NBEM, this should
for the initial pilot projects, studies etc will not pose a major problem. However, since
be taken up through NAB in partnership during the inter-ministerial consultations
with the existing mechanisms and at the time of seeking Cabinet approval,
agencies currently undertaking this. some Ministries had also suggested the
Therefore, the partner Ministries/ creation of a specific fund for various
Departments will integrate these projects; schemes etc to be taken up
additional financial resource requirements under this initiative. This aspect will also
in their planning and budgeting exercise. be examined and taken up with Planning
Commission and Finance Ministry, if
required.

*******

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8. THE ELECTRIC MOBILITY


MISSION PLAN 2020
Chapter 8
8.1. Introduction “Electric mobility an
investment for the future”.

8.2. Roadmap for the plan.

8.3. Broad investment implications.

8.4. Assessment of the likely benefits of


the initiative.

8.5. Segment wise cost – benefit analysis


and ease of implementation.

8.6. E-mobility strategy.

8.7. Linkages.

8.8. Implementation mechanism.


NEMMP 2020 2012

Chapter 8 ȂThe Electric Mobility Mission


Plan 2020

8.1. Introduction DzŽ‡…–”‹…obility an investment for the futuredz.

8.1.1. In order most of whom are not familiar with these


to achieve the products. For
potential industry, this shift High level growth of
the Indian economy
demand of xEVs represents
and the transportation
for 2020, all technologies,
sector is inevitable
stakeholders of products, and also essential for
the plan will business models, improving the lives of
need to work in competitive millions of Indians.
unison and landscape and However, the
harmony. A competencies consequence of this
number of that are will be significant
increase in fossil fuel
interventions completely new
imports and impact on
criss-crossing that need to be
the environment. It is
various broad developed in therefore, essential
areas of their supply that we invest today
consumer acceptability, technology chain, employees in areas and
development, setting up of the and channel interventions that can
manufacturing eco system and xEV partners. The help mitigate these
infrastructure will be required to be taken Government will future challenges.
Encouraging the faster
up involving large number of stakeholders have to assume
adoption of xEVs and
representing various arms of the the role of a their manufacture in
Government, automotive testing and R&D collaborator, India is a wise
organizations and a much wider spectrum facilitator, adopt investment for our
of industry. The shift towards electric new concepts future generations.
mobility will also involve significant issues and have a much
Shri Praful Patel,
ƌĞůĂƚŝŶŐ ƚŽ ͞ĐŚĂŶŐĞ ŵĂŶĂŐĞŵĞŶƚ͟ ĨŽƌ Ăůů faster & flexible ,ŽŶ͛ďůĞDŝŶŝƐƚĞƌ;,/ΘWͿ
the stakeholders including the consumers, decision making

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NEMMP 2020 2012
approach in its working. As such, the for creating the manufacturing ecosystem
outcomes of NMEM will also depend upon for these technologies to become viable.
how successfully the consumers, industry Along with demand incentives,
and the Government are able to manage Government support for R&D and electric
this ͞ĐŚĂŶŐĞ͟as it impacts them. vehicle infrastructure will facilitate
creation of affordable xEV solutions which
8.1.2. As indicated earlier also, the role of can meet consumer expectations. This is
the Government will be critical in essential for realizing the potential
supporting the creation of demand and demand for these vehicles by 2020 which
acceptability of xEVs, spurring will translate to huge savings in liquid fuel
collaborative R&D efforts and enabling the consumption and emissions. The
required infrastructure to take shape. For Government-Industry study indicates that
this purpose, the xEV demand generation these savings will be large enough to
scheme is planned to be more robust both result in significant positive Net Present
in terms of size and duration so that it Values (NPV) for all vehicle segments. As
meets the twin objective of bridging the such the financial resources committed by
existing gap in acquisition price of xEV in the Government for this initiative are
comparison to the normal ICE vehicle and investments for the future.

8.2. Roadmap for the plan.

8.2.1. The approval of the Government to stakeholders for deciding and taking up of
take up this the various activities under this mission.
initiative on mission The continued apex level support from
mode approach Government and industry leaders will be
through the NMEM vital for the various stakeholders to
is a strong signal for manage the changing paradigms better. In
the firm this backdrop, the NEMMP 2020 is
commitment and intended to provide the single common
high priority roadmap, priorities and end objective
accorded to this targets for all the stakeholders. This
initiative by it. The setting up of the NCEM enabling structure will also provide the
and NBEM has put in place the enabling strong framework for rolling out the
single high level platform representing all multitude of interventions, schemes,

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policies and projects under this mission. promote localization. These efforts are
The roadmap for the NMEM is depicted as expected to lead to development of viable
(Exhibit 51) below solutions in the market for consumers at
acceptable price points. The Govt. support
8.2.2. The National Mission for Electric for initial xEV demand creation,
Mobility roadmap infrastructure and R&D efforts is expected
captured in the to encourage OEMs to make the required
NEMMP 2020 investments for local manufacturing. This
document entails will make the xEV market economically
starting with viable beyond which incentives shall not
creation of be needed. The creation of the local
consumer manufacturing eco-system will be boosted
acceptability and through the firm localization
development of infrastructure for these commitments that will be kept as pre-
solutions. In addition, the xEV technology conditions for manufactures to qualify for
will need to be developed/ acquired to the demand incentives.

Exhibit 51 ʹ The potential roadmap for hybridization/electrification.

Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

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8.2.3. Further, up requirement for developing the industry
front efforts are also and generating a viable mechanism for
required to put in providing incentives. It will be essential for
place the necessary all the stakeholders, particularly the
standards, test Government and the industry to support
procedures and this long term roadmap in order for the
testing infrastructure in the initial phase xEV potential to be realized.
itself as this is the essential starting

8.3. Broad investment implications.

8.3.1. As per the estimates of electric sales penetration levels of 10-15%


the Government ʹ Industry and 5% respectively.
Investment

study, the total investments on


the four broad areas of 8.3.2. The total investments required for
intervention, for both the the largest vehicle segment i.e. two
industry and Government, wheelers is expected to be in the range of
required for achieving the xEV Rs.10000 - 10500 crores over the next
potential by 2020, will be in eight years. Given the impetus required to
the range of Rs 20,200 crores create an initial demand and achieve
to Rs 21,100 crores for the sufficient scale for self-sustainability,
HG/HEV scenario and Rs 22,400 crores to nearly 50% of the investment is towards
23,300 crores for the HG/HEV/BEV demand-side incentives. Although R&D
scenario. The total level of investment and product development investments
varies with the type of scenario and the constitute a smaller fraction (~5%), they
HG/HEV/BEV scenario with higher are fundamental to the long term success.
penetration of pure electric vehicles will Remaining ~45% needs to be dedicated to
necessitate larger investments. The developing the power infrastructure and
HG/HEV i.e. the High gas/ High Hybrid financing the fuel costs. This is depicted in
vehicles scenario has hybrids and pure (Exhibit 52) on the next page.
electric sales penetration of 10-15% and
2% respectively. The High gas/High Hybrid
and High pure electric i.e. HG/HEV/BEV
scenario assumes the hybrids and pure

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Exhibit 52 ʹ Total investment required for involve Government support to the extent
supporting the electric 2W of Rs 980 crores and includes the setting
Investment
(Rs. Crores)
11,000
up of the testing and R&D infrastructure.
10,000 ² 10,500
10,000

9,000
1,000 ² 1,100
The balance requirements will be met by
8,000

7,000
3,300 ² 3,400 the industry. As far as the infrastructure
6,000

5,000
5200-5300 500 - 600 related investments are concerned, it is
4,000

3,000
expected that most of these will come
2,000

1,000
from the industry and the Government
0
Demand Incentives R&D Investments Power Infrastructure Fuel Procurement for
Power Generation
Total will need to invest manly during the initial
Legend: Government Investments Joint Government / Industry Investments
pilot project stage for the charging
Source: GoIʹ Industry study. infrastructure. The summary of the
various interventions suggested in the
8.3.3. For other vehicle segments, the study for different areas relating to
total investment required will be approx. demand generation, research &
Rs 7000-Rs 9000 crores, Rs 1100 ʹ 1300 development, infrastructure, etc along
crores and Rs 1400 ʹ 1800 crores for the with the approximate range of
4W, bus and LCV segments respectively. corresponding investments required
during the next eight years for different
8.3.4. The majority of investments by the segments of vehicles is summarized in
Government will be mainly for demand Table 27. The corresponding level of
creation i.e. Rs 12,250 to Rs 13,850 crores. investments required for the different
The Research and Development vehicles segments is given in Table 28.
investments of Rs 1500-1800 crores will

Table 27 - Total investment proposed for the next 8 years (Rs in Crores)
4W 2W 3W Buses LCV Total
Area
HG/ HG/HEV HG/ HG/ HG/HE HG/ HG/HE HG/ HG/HE HG/ HG/HEV
HEV /BEV HEV HEV V/BEV HEV V/BEV HEV V/BEV HEV /BEV

Demand 4900- 5600- 5200- 400- 700- 500- 1250 - 1500 - 12,250- 13,500
Incentives 5000 5700 5300 450 750 550 500-550 1300 1550 12,600 -13,850
R&D 500- 500- 500- 1500- 1500-
Investment 600 500-600 600 - - 600 500-600 - - 1800 1800

Power
Infrastruct 700- 1200- 3300- 40- 4100- 4685-
ure 800 1300 3400 50 75-85 5-10 20-30 55-65 90-100 4325 4915
Charging
Infrastruct 700- 950- 40- 815- 1145-
ure 800 1000 50 70-80 5-10 10-20 70-80 115-125 940 1225

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4W 2W 3W Buses LCV Total


Area
HG/ HG/HEV HG/ HG/ HG/HE HG/ HG/HE HG/ HG/HE HG/ HG/HEV
HEV /BEV HEV HEV V/BEV HEV V/BEV HEV V/BEV HEV /BEV
7200- 8700- 10000- 500- 800- 1100- 1200- 1400- 1700- 20200- 22400-
Total* 7300 8800 10500 600 900 1200 1300 1500 1800 21100 23300
* Includes amounts for fuel procurement for power generation (approx. figures). These are indicative estimates.
Source: GoIʹ Industry study.
Govt. Funded Govt. & Ind. Funded

Table 28 ʹ Vehicle segment wise investments.


Sr. No. Segment Investments required
1 Four wheelers Rs 7000 ʹ Rs 9000 Crores,
2 Two Wheelers Rs 10,000 ʹ Rs 10,500 Crores,
3 Buses Rs 1,100 ʹ Rs 1,300 Crores.
4 Light Commercial Vehicles Rs 1,400 ʹ Rs 1,800 Crores.
5 Three Wheelers* Rs 500 ʹ Rs 900 Crores.
6 Total Rs 20,000 ʹ Rs 23, 500 Crores.
* These are indicative estimates. Additional studies indicate that the investment levels for xEV three wheelers may be larger in order
to support higher performance vehicles (range, speed, load capacity). Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

8.4. Assessment of the likely benefits of the initiative.

8.4.1. Greater adoption of full range of penetration levels for xEVs by 2020, the
electric vehicles, as electric mobility initiative is likely to not
one of the key only result in significant savings in liquid
interventions by the fuel consumption thereby lowering the
Government, for petroleum import bill but will also result in
ensuring future mitigation of impact of mobility on the
energy security for environment. There are likely to be
the country and the significant reductions in emissions and
manufacturing of also net decrease in CO2 emissions on a
electric vehicles in ͞ǁĞůůƚŽǁŚĞĞů͟ďĂƐŝƐ͘
the country are the
two prime end 8.4.2. The support and direction from the
objectives for the Government is likely to facilitate a vibrant
NMEM. It is expected manufacturing eco-system for electric
that by achieving the targeted sale vehicles to be created in the country and

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NEMMP 2020 2012
the Indian automotive industry will be be instant transfer of capabilities and
able to compete globally. This will ensure many technologies for manufacture of
greater value addition in the country, spur more efficient and cheaper appliances
manufacturing and generate significant that use motors. As such creation of the
additional employment. In 8-10 years xEV domestic capabilities and supply chain
from now, as OEMs in India develop will lead to much wider impact on growth
capabilities, they can also consider exports of manufacturing sector and energy
to markets outside India. It is projected efficiency in the Indian economy.
that through local manufacturing of xEVs,
at least 60,000 ʹ 65,000 additional jobs 8.4.4. As per the study, the uptake of ~
can be generated by 2020, over and above 4.8Mn BEV two-wheelers is estimated to
the jobs created by growth of result in fuel savings of 4.9MT till 2020.
manufacturing for conventional vehicles. This will translates to net benefits with
In addition, 180,000 ʹ 200,000 jobs are NPV of Rs. 28,000 crores from now to
also likely to be created in new related 2020. Further, decrease in transmission
services. losses and technological improvements
are likely to result in BEVs with emissions
8.4.3. The growth of automotive of only ~29g CO2/km/vehicle in 2020. As
manufacturing in the country is credited such, in the aggressive off take scenario,
with introduction of large number of new adoption of two-wheeler BEVs can
concepts, efficient shop floor and potentially reduce two-wheeler CO2
management practices like Just in Time emissions by ~3% in 2020. The year wise
(JIT) etc which have benefited many other net benefits from adoption of electric two
manufacturing sectors in India. The wheelers are given in (Exhibit 53).
development of domestic manufacturing Exhibit 53 - Net Benefits from Adoption of
eco system for xEVs will also have a large xEV Two-Wheelers (in Rs 000 crores)
cascading beneficial impact of larger Net Benefits
75.5 75.2
7.5
domestic manufacturing. For instance, 7.5
7.0
NPV of Benefits Rs. 28,000
6.5
Crores, includes

development of motors, batteries, 6.0


5.5
implementation of xEV
strategy in motorbikes as
well, which account for
5.9

5.0 majority of battery electric

controllers, etc. will definitely benefit 4.5


4.0
2W sales 4.3

3.5

many other segments and not only 3.0


2.5 2.2
2.0

contribute to manufacturing growth in 1.5


1.0
0.5 0.4

many other areas but also help contribute 0.0


-0.5 -0.1
-0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3
Net Benefits
from Terminal
Value
towards improvement in energy efficiency 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

in those sectors. For example, there can Note: Assumed terminal multiple: 10%. Hurdle rate for NPV
calculation: 12%. Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

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8.4.5. For 4W, with evolution of 8.4.6. The reductions in CO2 emissions as
technology, PHEVs and BEVs are expected a result of the projected shift to xEVs have
to have ~35+% and ~45+% lower well-to- been calculated using the well to wheel
wheel emissions respectively as compared approach. As per this, the CO2 emissions
to contemporary gasoline engines in 2020. on account of emissions related to
Cleaner electricity generation with materials (production), electricity
improved fuel mix is expected to help generation (well to tank), and fuel
lower CO2 emissions further. Adoption of efficiency (tank to wheel) have all been
xEVs will help achieve liquid fuel savings in considered. It is estimated that, for all
the range of ~1.1 MT ʹ 1.6 MT till 2020. vehicle segments, achieving the potential
Cumulative net benefits are estimated to demand for xEVs by 2020 could help result
have NPV of ~Rs.4800- 7100 crores. While in potential reduction of 1.3% - 1.5% in
initial investments translate to negative CO2 emissions, compared to status quo
returns in the near term, positive benefits scenario by 2020.
are expected from 2018 onwards. This is
depicted in (Exhibit 54). 8.4.7. On the whole, it is estimated that in
2020, the total
Exhibit 54 - Net benefits of xEV four-wheeler new vehicle sales
adoption (in Rs 000 crores) of 6-7 million xEVs
Net Benefits in Rs. ¶&URUHV
Net Benefits High Gas / HEV will result in total
20.5
20.5
2.0 NPV of Benefits Rs.
2.0 liquid fuel savings
4,800 Cr.
1.5
1.0
to the tune of 2.2
1.0 0.7
0.5 ʹ 2.5 MT. The
0.0
-0.5 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 Net Benefits vehicle segment
-0.5 from Terminal
-1.0
-1.5
-0.9
-1.4 -1.2
Value wise possible
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 savings in the liquid fuels in 2020 is given
Net Benefits Net Benefits in Rs. ¶&URUHV in Table 29. The projected fuel savings is
High Gas / HEV / BEV
28
27.4 on account of higher penetration of xEVs
NPV of Benefits Rs. 2.7

2
7,100 Crores only and does not include the possible
1.5
1
1.0
liquid fuel savings due to the higher
0
-0.1 -0.2 -0.2
Net Benefits penetration of CNG vehicles. This level of
-1 -0.6 from Terminal

-2
-1.1
-1.7
-0.9 Value fuel savings translates to savings of Rs
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 13,000 ʹ 14,000 crore by 2020. The
Note: Terminal multiple of 10 is used. NPV calculation cumulative liquid fuel savings over the
uses hurdle rate of 12%. Source: GoI ʹ Industry study.
next 8 years are expected to be 7-8 MT.

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The bulk of these fuel savings (>50%) decreasing order of fuel savings. The
would come from battery electric two assumptions pertaining to penetration
wheelers. Four wheelers are also expected levels of xEV, future total vehicles sales,
to account for 20ʹ25% of these fuel average distance travelled, fuel efficiency
savings, followed by buses, light achieved etc used for arriving at the fuel
commercial vehicles and three wheelers in saving scenario is summarized in Table 30.

Table 29 - Level of fuel savings in 2020


Segments 2W 4W BUS LCV 3W
xEV sĞŚŝĐůĞ^ĂůĞƐŝŶϮϬϮϬ;͚ϬϬϬƵŶŝƚƐͿ
HEV / PHEV - 1275 2 120 -
BEV 4800 170-320 0.3-0.7 30-50 20-30
Fuel Savings due to xEVs in 2020 (Million Tonnes of Liquid Fuel)
Fuel Savings 1.4 0.4-0.65 0.16-0.19 0.09-0.16 0.06-0.09

Table 30ʹ Major assumptions for calculating fuel savings


% Mileage
% Penetration (2020) Sales (Million) improvement Annual
over ICE Mileage
improvement
HEV PHEV BEV 2011 2020 HEV PHEV

High HEV
2W 15% 11.8 32 30% 40%
High
HEV/BEV
NA
High HEV 2%
3W 0.5 1 25% 40%
High
3%
HEV/BEV

High HEV 2%
4W 2.5 8.5 24% 65% 2%
High
4%
HEV/BEV
11% 4%
High HEV 2%
Bus 0.004 0.014 32% 40%
High
5%
HEV/BEV

High HEV 2%
LCV 8% - 0.3 1.5 20% 35%
High
4%
HEV/BEV
Source: GoIʹ Industry study. Note; Assumptions for Fuel efficiency (FE) for ICE: 2W - 65kmpl, 3W -38 Kmpl, 4W ʹ 12Kmpl (petrol),
Premium Bus ʹ 2.4 Kmpl, LCV ʹ 18 Kmpl.

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8.4.8. The potential savings associated in 8.4.9. It is estimated that the total
case latent demand for xEVs in 2020 is cumulative net benefits
realized and is summarized in Table 31. from xEV initiative
would be in the range
Table 31 ʹ Summary of potential savings of Rs. 39,000 ʹ 43,000
High Gas High Gas/ Crores. The vehicle
/HEV HEV/ BEV
segment wise
Annual Crude
Oil Savings ~ Rs 13,000 ~ Rs 14,000 cumulative benefits in
over status Crores Crores terms of the
quo scenario cumulative fuel savings (up to 2020) and
Reduction in Net Benefits have been worked out and
CO2 emissions
~ 1.3 % ~ 1.5 % are summarized in Table 32 below.
over status
quo scenario

Table 32 ʹ Vehicle segment wise savings

Vehicle
2 Wheelers 3 Wheelers 4 Wheelers Bus LCV
Segment

High High High High High


High High High High High
Scenario HEV/ HEV/ HEV/ HEV/ HEV/
HEV HEV HEV HEV HEV
BEV BEV BEV BEV BEV

Cumulative
liquid fuel
savings in 4.9 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.5
MT
(up to 2020)

Net Benefits
(NPV in Rs 28,000 1,200 1,700 4,800 7,100 3,300 3,700 1,500 2,700
Crores)

Source: GoIʹ Industry study.

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8.5. Segment wise cost Ȃ benefit analysis and ease of implementation.

8.5.1. In order to analyze the amenability benefits) for each vehicle segment is given
of the off take of in Table 33.
electric mobility
technologies for 8.5.2. As per this, it can be seen that the
the various electric two wheelers have the highest
vehicle segments potential demand by 2020, offer the
would require an maximum fuel savings (in case of the
assessment of potential demand being achieved), and
the ease of have the maximum net present value on
implementation of electric mobility for the investments. As such, the two wheeler
these vehicle segments, investments segment appears to be the most
required to achieve the potential demand amenable to introduction of electric
by 2020 and the likely benefits on mobility technologies. In addition, as the
achieving the demand potential. An Bus and the three wheeler segment cater
analysis matrix summarizing the total to public transportation, their usage
investments required vehicle segment (average vehicle kilometers traveled) and
wise, level of likely fuel benefits by 2020, passenger transported intensity is very
the ease of implementation, and the Net high. As such the desirability of
Present Value (NPV) of benefits (Net introduction of electric mobility solutions
for these segments is also high.

Table 33 ʹ Summary of cost ʹ benefit analysis for different vehicle segments and ease of
implementation.
Analysis Four Two Buses Three LCVs
Wheelers Wheelers Wheelers
Total HEV 7,200-7,300 1100-1200 500-600 1400-
Investments - 10,000- 1500
next 8 years (Rs HEV/BEV 8,700-8,800 10,500 1700-
Crores) 1200-1300 800-900
1800
Fuel Benefits HG/HEV (fuel 1.1 MT
saving by 0.5 MT 0.2 MT 0.3 MT
2020) 4.9 MT by
HG/HEV/BEV 1.6 MT 2020
(fuel saving by 0.6 MT 0.3 MT 0.5 MT
2020)

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Analysis Four Two Buses Three LCVs


Wheelers Wheelers Wheelers
Ease of CAPABILITIES Low to Moderate Moderate Moderate Low
Implementation Moderate to High

PRICE PERF. Moderate to Low to High High High


GAP High Moderate
INVESTMENT Significant High as Moderate Moderate Moderate
investments volumes
required by are high.
OEMs
Total additional Numbers 26000- 22,000 1150-1200 1200 7200-
direct new jobs 30000 8000
NPV of Rs Crores 4800-7100 28,000 3300 - 1200- 1500-
benefits (Net 3700 1700 3000
Benefits)

8.5.3. As a part of the Government ʹ OEMs preferred the mild hybrid and
Industry study, inputs from consumers, hybrid technology solutions (other than
OEMs and the Government were taken in for two wheelers). This is summarized in
terms of their (Exhibit 55). The preferred (higher
preference for adoption possibilities) technology and
the various vehicle segments as per the analysis of the
electric mobility data summarized in Table 30 has also
technologies been captured and incorporated in
and the (Exhibit 55). The most amenable cells for
prioritization of xEV adoption ŝŶ ƚŚĞ ͞ǀĞŚŝĐůĞ ƐĞŐŵĞŶƚ ʹ
different vehicle ƚĞĐŚŶŽůŽŐLJ ŵĂƚƌŝdž͕͟ as per this data, is
segments. As represented with яяя and яя & я
per the feedbacks from the OEMs; the indicates decreasing priority segments.
vehicle segment preference ranking
(indicating the perceived ease of adoption
for xEVs) was buses, two wheelers, three
wheelers and four wheelers. For different
xEV technologies both the consumers and

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Exhibit 55 ʹ xEV technology and vehicle segment prioritization.
Priority Four Three
Two Wheelers Buses LCVs
Segment Wheelers Wheelers
Priority
1* ԙ 3* ԛ 3* Ԛ 2* Ԙ ?
Technology
Mild яя яя я
Hybrid
Hybrid яя яяя яя
Plug in Hybrid я яя
Pure Electric
яяя яя яя

OEM preference Consumer preference


Source: GoIʹ Industry study. Note: * - ranking as per the study data.

8.5.4. As already highlighted in the policy would include the provision for
Scope & coverage

Para 4.6.4., the NBEM during annual market based feedback, impact
their second meeting decided assessment and mechanism for review of
that neither any specific vehicle the options so that continuous
segment nor any particular improvement and fine tuning can be
technology should be excluded undertaken for achieving mission
from the scope of the NEMMP objectives.
2020. As such, as far as possible
a technology agnostic approach 8.5.5. As such, the NMEM does not
coupled with market driven propose creation of any permanent
vehicle segment prioritization is proposed linkage to any particular technology
to be followed. It was also decided that pathway. This is essential to allow India
based on these broad principles, the initial and the auto industry the flexibility to
vehicle segment and technology priorities innovate and adopt the optimal and most
along with incentive criterion (Battery size promising solutions as they emerge in the
etc) & incentive type would be worked out market. This approach will also not restrict
by WG on demand and proposed as a the industry to focus their efforts only on
policy formulation to NBEM/NCEM for power train alone but also to explore and
consideration and approval. In addition, invest in other equally important areas
like light weighting, lowering rolling

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NEMMP 2020 2012
resistance of tyres, alternate fuels, fuel necessarily emerge as the solutions of
cell technologies, etc. This approach choice in the long term. In this scenario,
recognises the fact that technological many of the technologies available today
breakthroughs will continue to happen in may just prove to be bridge technologies
the future and many of the technological and not the end game.
solutions available today may not

8.6. E-mobility strategy.

8.6.1. In terms of the ͞in principle͟ five years. This is an essential requirement
agreement of to drive down the manufacturing costs
the NBEM to over a period of time through economies
the likely of scale and localization benefits. This
levels of coupled with general lowering of costs
allocation of through technological developments is
Government intended to create a self sufficient and
support/ viable xEV vehicle industry segment in the
resources to country that does not depend upon
the various Government support to bridge the
areas of acquisition gap between the xEVs and the
intervention; traditional ICE vehicles. In addition,
the relative Government support for R&D and xEV
importance of infrastructure development, albeit at a
the different lower quantum, will also be provided. As a
levers of Government policy and hence result, it is expected that India will be able
the e-mobility strategy for India is to realize the NEMMP 2020 targets and
depicted in Table 34. As per this, the main achieve significant road transportation
focus will be on demand side incentives related liquid fuel savings and
for creating consumer acceptability and environmental benefits.
hence higher off take of xEVs. This is must
for creating the optimal level of demand
that enables setting up of the xEV
manufacturing eco-system in India within

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Table 34 ʹ The e-mobility strategy for India ʹ a comparison.
Lever US China Japan France India*
R&D яяя яяя яя яя я
Supply Side яя яяя я я яя**
Demand-side яяя я яя яяя яяя
Incentives
Infrastructure яя яяя яя яяя я
Incentives for Only road tax Equal Incentives Under
HEVs phased out deduction for incentives for HEVs < consideration
HEV / PHEV /
Incentives for HEVs for all xEV 50%
BEV
PHEVs & BEVs Max. subsidy for technologies compared
Incentives
based on battery BEVs, lesser for to PHEVs /
size PHEVs BEVs
Proposed
>$5 B > $20 B >$1.7 B >$3.5 B $ 2.7 -$ 3 B
Investment
Source: GoIʹ Industry study. Note: Investments indicated include investments already made and announced. Japan͛s
investment is from 1998 to 2014. * Based on the study recommendations ** For supply side incentives; primarily deep
linkages between demand incentives and firm commitments by OEMs to pre-agreed localization levels is envisaged. In
addition, some incentives may also be considered. Exchange rate used: 1 USD =Rs 50.

Government preferred option OEM preferred option

8.6.2. The total likely investment for the to the various policy levers as a part of
initiative is in the range of Rs 20,200 to Rs their e-mobility strategy. The preference
23,300 crores (USD 4-4.5 billon 8 ). This to different policy levers as indicated by
includes the investments in R&D and xEV the responses received from the various
infrastructure that are likely to be made Government and OEMs representatives
by the private sector. The level of total during the Government ʹ Industry study is
Government investment, taking into also captured in Table 34. The level of
account both the scenarios (HEV and investment for R&D is based on a detailed
HEV/BEV) is expected to be in the range of analysis of the existing eco-system and
Rs 13,500 to Rs 15,250 crores (USD 2.7ʹ capabilities. It is expected that the level of
3.05 billion). Table 34 also depicts the R&D investments envisaged, which is
proposed level of investment in considerably less than the demand
comparison to those made abroad and the creation incentives, will suffice the
different approaches adopted by various resource requirement for the efforts in
countries on the relative emphasis given R&D areas where IndŝĂ ŚĂƐ Ă ͞ƌŝŐŚƚ ƚŽ
8 ǁŝŶ͟
Note: Exchange rate used is 1USD = Rs 50.

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8.7. Linkages.

8.7.1. The Government of India ample care has been taken to


has already taken a number of ensure that the NMEM is fully
Create inter ʹ program synergies and linkages

NAPCC
measures for shifting to aligned to the NAPCC. Some of
sustainable development the important principles
models through greater adopted in the NAPCC that are
emphasis on renewable energy relevant and have also been
sources, cleaner environment imbibed in the NEMMP 2020
and initiatives aimed at include ʹ ͞(i) Achieving national growth
mitigating the adverse impact objectives through a qualitative change
of economic growth on in direction that enhances ecological
environment and climate sustainability, leading to further
change. This includes the mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions.
National Transport Policy, (ii) Devising efficient and cost-effective
Renewable Energy Generation strategies for end-use demand side
Programs and the National management. (iii) Deploying
Action Plan for Climate Change appropriate technologies for both
(NAPCC). The NAPCC includes adaptation and mitigation of greenhouse
eight National missions gas emissions extensively as well as at an
including the National Solar accelerated pace. (iv) Engineering new
Mission (NSM), National and innovative forms of market,
Mission for Enhanced Energy regulatory and voluntary mechanisms to
Efficiency (NMEEE), National promote sustainable development. (v)
Mission on Sustainable Habitat Effective implementation of programs
(NMSH) and National Mission through unique linkages with civil
for Strategic Knowledge for Climate society and local government
Change. institutions and through public ʹ private
partnerships.͟9
8.7.2. NAPCC is by far the most important
overarching guiding policy for climate 8.7.3. In view of the projected large
change mitigation strategies of the potential reduction in CO2 which is a key
country. Since one of the most important outcome of the NMEM, the inclusion of
outcomes of the NMEM is reduction in
CO2 emission from the transport sector, 9
Source: National Action Plan on Climate Change.

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NEMMP 2020 2012
NMEM as the ninth National Mission the government seeks to promote
under the NAPCC will be explored for sustainability of habitats
developing the required effective and through various measures
strong linkage between the two efforts. including modal shift towards

NMSH
The NAPCC already specifies that the public transportation,
various national missions will be improving access to goods and
institutionalized by the respective services through integrated
Ministries and will be organized through urban planning and fuel
inter-sectoral groups which include in conservation through fuel efficiency
addition to the related Ministries, Ministry standards & shifting from fossil fuels to
of Finance and Planning Commission, natural gas, renewable and alternate fuels
experts from industry and academia. This including xEVs. As far as the
institutional framework/structure already transportation is concerned, the NMSH
exists for NMEM through the NCEM and builds on the National Urban Transport
NBEM. Policy (NUTP) of 2006 released by the
MoUD. The NUTP also lays emphasis on
8.7.4. In addition, better integration with greater shift towards mass public
other relevant missions that are already a transport solutions and non motorized
part of the NAPCC will be done. These modes. The expansion of Metro Rail
include: Transportation Systems in Delhi and other
8.7.4.1. The National Solar cities and BRTS are part of this program.
Mission (NSM) seeks to increase While these efforts (NMSH & NUTP) will
the solar energy generation in definitely lead to lowering of the energy
NSM

the country. 20,000 MW of and CO2 intensity of transportation sector,


electricity generation is the extremely low penetration levels of
targeted for 2020. As already personal vehicles (cars and scooters) in
detailed in Chapter 7, in order India, which are amongst the lowest
to achieve maximum benefits, the NMEM globally, along with the inadequate public
and NSM need to be synergized and transportation solutions available is likely
renewable energy generation sources be to result in continued high demand and
linked to the off take of xEVs in the off take of personal vehicles in the future.
country. Therefore, a linkage between these
initiatives is necessary and will be put in
8.7.4.2. National Mission for place.
Sustainable Habitat (NMSH) approved by

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8.7.4.3. National Mission for seen if the efforts through the NMEM can
Enhanced Energy Efficiency (NMEEE) being be structured in a manner that allow for
implemented by the Ministry of CDM framework to be used for financial
Power (MoP) and Bureau of gains arising out of the carbon emission
NMEEE

Energy Efficiency (BEE), as a savings.


part of NAPCC, lays emphasis
on energy conservation and 8.7.5. As a part of linking
efficiency, particularly through NMEM with the efforts of the

CEM
Demand Side Management country for cleaner energy,
(DSM) and estimates that 15% energy electric vehicles (mobility) has
saving is possible through these measures. already been included as an
The NMEEE recognizes that enhanced use area of engagement by India in
of energy efficient products and the multi lateral Clean Energy
technologies is often constraint by their Ministerial (CEM) discussions. The 4th
higher first costs (acquisition costs) as round of meeting is being hosted by India
compared to less efficient products and in 2013.
that the first cost bias needs to be
overcome to initiate market 8.7.6. Significant off take of xEVs will also
transformation towards their preferential lead to a large
acquisition. NMEEE also proposes population of
leveraging international financing used batteries
instruments like the Clean Development being generated.
Mechanism (CDM) for promoting energy As such issues
efficient products. Since, there is relating to
significant similarity in the issues facing recycling will
these two initiatives, the two missions need to be
need to be effectively linked so that examined and
efforts made under the NMEM can gain optimal solutions
from the experience and learning of the integrated in the
NMEEE. This includes examining the various schemes
possibility of replicating the various Recycling of the NMEM at
models and frameworks used in NMEEE to the outset itself.
supplement their efforts to create energy This is not only to mitigate the possible
efficiency market for the greater off take ͞end of life͟ environmental impact,
of xEVs. In addition, it also needs to be comply with the environmental laws but

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NEMMP 2020 2012
also to exploit this as a business and assemblies will also allow lowering of
opportunity to extract the maximum the total cost of ownership of xEVs
possible residual value of batteries and thereby positively impacting the upfront
other components. The leveraging of the acquisition of these vehicles.
͞End of life͟ value of such sub systems

8.8. Implementation mechanism.

8.8.1. NEMMP 2020 will include a large been approved by the Government to be
number of interventions in the broad the technical advisor and secretariat for
areas of demand support/creation, setting NBEM & NCEM. This structure (Figure 10)
up of the manufacturing eco system will also be used for monitoring and
(supply chain), Research and Development assessment of the outcomes of the
and xEV Infrastructure. The various various interventions.
policies, schemes, projects, etc are
proposed to be designed by involving all Figure 10 ʹ NEMMP 2020 Implementation
stakeholders through the mechanism of structure
the three Working groups (WGs) set up by
the NBEM. Given the enormity and NCEM
complexity of the task, constitution of
various sub groups (SG) under the WGs is NBEM
also implemented. All concerned
Ministries, Industry representatives, R&D NATIS/NAB
Centers and experts from the academia Working Grs.
will be adequately represented on these
WGs and their SGs. Sub Groups & Task Forces

8.8.2. The suggestions and formulations


of the WGs will be examined by
8.8.3. During the first meeting of the
NATIS/NAB (once set up) and
three working groups constituted by the
recommendations made to the NBEM and
NBEM to examine specific issues and to go
NCEM for consideration and approval. The
into micro detailing for the development
functioning of various WGs and SGs will be
of the various interventions; a number of
coordinated by NATIS/NAB, which has
sub-groups have been constituted for the

National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 2020 Page 143


NEMMP 2020 2012
various specific critical areas. The framework, policies and schemes that are
immediate task before these bodies is to essential for roll out and implementation
assess the ground realities in case of the of the NEMMP 2020. In addition three
various interventions and assess the task forces in the area of R&D have been
resources required, suggest prioritization constituted and a number of studies to be
of these interventions, establish and put in commissioned. The list of the various sub-
place the various enabling guidelines, groups is given in Table 35 below.

Table 35 ʹ List of Sub Groups set up under the Working Groups


Sub-Groups under Working Group on R&D
Sr.
Domain Area of Sub Group
No
1 Sub Group on BMS & Battery
2 Sub Group on Power Electronics and Motors
Sub Group on testing infrastructure, human resources, energy efficiency technologies (light
3
weighting etc.)
Sub-Group under Working Group on Infrastructure
Sr.
Doman Area of Sub Group
No.
1 Sub Group on technology and standards (SG-T&S)

2 Sub Group on infrastructure roll out (SG-IRO)

Sub-Group under Working Group on Demand & Supply Incentives


Sr.
Doman Area of Sub Group
No.
1 Core Group for finalizing the demand incentive scheme (CG-DI)
2 Sub Group on validation of level of demand incentives. (SG-VDI)
3 Sub Group on vehicle parameters & qualification criteria. (SG-VP&QC)
4 Sub Group on demand assurance policy. (SG-DAP)

5 Sub Group on incentive delivery and monitoring mechanism (SG-ID&MM)

6 Sub Group for promoting hybrid retro-fitment kits (SG-RFT)

8.8.4. In view of the fact that faster enable this will be explored including
approval and decision making will be greater empowerment of NBEM and
essential for successful roll out of the NCEM and adoption of simpler processes.
NEMMP 2020; various methodologies to

National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 2020 Page 144


NEMMP 2020 2012
8.8.5. The various schemes, projects, the required modifications to the various
policies that are programs, projects, schemes and policies
adopted as a that are being assessed.
part of the
NMEM are Figure 11 - Dynamic system based on
planned to be continuous feedback loop

designed to be
adaptive and
evolve/ improve dynamically through the
design-implement-assessment feedback
Continuous
loop. That is, the various schemes,
Feedback
projects, policies etc will include provision
for continuous periodical impact/outcome
assessments through appropriate
mechanisms including studies, assessment
reports etc. The periodicity of the reviews
will be decided depending upon the kind 8.8.6. The implementation of the various
of intervention to be assessed. NATIS/NAB interventions that are approved by the
(once set up) will coordinate these efforts NCEM will be taken up through the
along with other stakeholders and lead concerned nodal Ministries, existing
agencies that are identified for different agencies mandated for those activities
issues. The various working groups that and agencies approved by the
have been set up will provide the Government along with the active
necessary inputs for designing of the involvement of all stakeholders. It will be
policies, programs etc. These inputs will ensured that new structures and agencies
be provided to NBEM and NCEM not only are used only where it is inescapable so
for periodical program assessment, cost ʹ that no replication takes place.
benefit analysis but also to incorporate

*******

National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 2020 Page 145


NEMMP 2020

ANNEXURES
Annexures
Annexure I – C
 omposition, roles,
responsibilities & functions
of NCEM.

Annexure II – C
 omposition, roles,
responsibilities & functions
of NBEM.

Annexure III – Roles, responsibilities &


functions of NAB.

Annexure IV – C
 omposition of various
working groups.
Annexure I
To be published in Gazette of India (Extraordinary) Part I of Section 1

Ministry of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprises


(Department of Heavy industry)

NOTIFICATION

New Delhi dated 27th May, 2011

1. (i) No. ______ In pursuance of the decision of the Cabinet in its meeting held on 31st March, 2011 for
the launch of the “National Mission for Electric Mobility” and for setting up of National Council
for Electric Mobility (NCEM) and National Board for Electric Mobility (NBEM) to propagate electric
mobility and manufacture of electric vehicles (including hybrid vehicles) and their components,
the Central Government hereby constitutes the “National Council for Electric Mobility (NCEM)”
with the following members, namely:-

1) Minister (Ministry of Heavy Industries & Public Enterprises) Chairman


2) Minister (Ministry of Power) Member
3) Minister (Ministry of New & Renewable Energy) Member
4) Minister (Ministry of Urban Development) Member
5) Minister (Ministry of Road Transport and Highways) Member
6) Minister (Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas) Member
7) Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission Member
8) Minister (Ministry of Science & Technology) Member
9) Minister of State (Ministry of Environment & Forests) Member
10) Minister of State (Finance) Member
11) Chairman, National Manufacturing Competitive Council Member
12) Principal Scientific Advisor to the Prime Minister Member

Nominated Members:
Five members of eminence and expertise from the area of automobile industry, academia and research
& development:-

13) Mr. Anand Mahindra- Vice Chairman & MD, Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Member
14) Dr. Surinder Kapur - Chairman Sona Group of Industries Ltd. Member
15) Dr. V.K Saraswat - Secretary, Department of Defence Research
and Development, DG, DRDO and Scientific Advisor to Defence Minister Member
16) Prof. V.S Ramamurthy, Director, National Institute of Advanced Studies,
Bangalore Member
17) To be nominated later Member
18) Secretary, Department of Heavy Industry Member Secretary

(ii) The Chairman, NCEM may also co-opt additional members including members from the state
governments or union territories, as required, from time to time.

(iii) Tenure of members: The nominated members will have a tenure of two years on the council, or
until further Government order, whichever is earlier. These members can be re-nominated for
additional terms, if needed.
2. Functions & powers of National Council on Electric Mobility: The functions and powers of the
Council would be as under:
a) To finalise and approve the short term and long term objectives of the mission program on
electric mobility, its quantifiable outcomes and the milestones along with roles and
responsibilities of the various stakeholders.
b) Consider and recommend/approve overall broad policy guidelines, required fund
requirements and governance models and strategies for promoting electric mobility and for
encouraging manufacture of electric vehicles in the country.
c) To approve the key interventions, projects and incentives required, prioritize these
interventions, projects. Approve the nodal agency/ministry for its implementation and
finalise the short term and long term road map for these interventions/projects.
d) To consider and recommend to the government any legislation, act or notification or
amendment to an existing legislation, act or notification for promoting electric vehicles and
their manufacturing in India.
e) To consider and recommend to the government the additional resources required for
promoting EV and their manufacturing in India including finalizing the resource requirements
for the five year plans.
f) To consider and approve projects and schemes to be taken up with the help of the state
governments.
g) To synergize the efforts being made by various Ministries, industry, academia and research
institutes.
h) To consider, approve funding of and monitor the various electric mobility related R&D
projects and pilot projects.
i) To consider and approve mechanisms, collaboration, business models and possible
government incentives/interventions in funding for technology acquisition, acquisition of
technical expertise and for entering into agreements with leading R&D centres globally to
facilitate availability of technology to the domestic industry.
j) To monitor, review the various projects, schemes and interventions and propose the
mid-course corrections, additions and closure of parts and whole of any particular
programme/scheme, if any.
k) The NCEM shall be the final authority to resolve the differences of opinion amongst various
ministries, if any.
l) In the matters falling within the domain of State Governments/Local bodies and directly
related to them, their views and concerns will also be taken into account.
m) Any other role that is assigned to it.

3. The National Council for Electric Mobility would meet periodically, to discharge the above
functions. The NCEM will be assisted by the NBEM.

4. Presently, NATRiP Implementation Society (NATIS) and subsequently, National Automotive Board
(proposed), after its formation, would function as technical advisor and secretariat of the NCEM
and NBEM.

[File No. 12(89)/2009-AEI]

(Ambuj Sharma)
Joint Secretary to the Government of India
********
Annexure II

To be published in Gazette of India (Extraordinary) Part I of Section 1

Ministry of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprises


(Department of Heavy industry)

NOTIFICATION

New Delhi dated 27th May, 2011

1. (i) No. ___ In pursuance of the decision of the Cabinet in its meeting held on 31st March, 2011 on
launch of the “National Mission for Electric Mobility” and for setting up of National Council for
Electric Mobility (NCEM) and National Board for Electric Mobility (NBEM) to propagate electric
mobility and manufacture of electric vehicles (including hybrid vehicles) and their components, the
Central Government hereby constitutes the “National Board for Electric Mobility (NBEM)” with
the following members, namely:-

1) Secretary (Department of Heavy Industry) Chairman


2) Secretary (Department of Economic Affairs) Member
3) Secretary (Department of Revenue) Member
4) Secretary (Ministry of Power) Member
5) Secretary (Ministry of Road Transport and Highways) Member
6) Secretary (Ministry of Urban Development) Member
7) Secretary (Ministry of New & Renewable Energy) Member
8) Secretary (Ministry of Environment & Forests) Member
9) Secretary (Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion) Member
10) Secretary (Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas) Member
11) Secretary (Ministry of Science & Technology) Member
12) Secretary, Planning Commission Member
13) Joint Secretary, National Manufacturing Competitive Council Member
14) CEO, NATRiP/Chairman, National Automotive Board (proposed) Member
15) President, Society for Indian Automobile Manufactures (SIAM) Member
16) President, Automobile Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA) Member
17) President, Society of Manufacturers of Electric Vehicle (SMEV) Member
18) President, Battery Manufacturers Association Member

Nominated Members:
Six members of eminence and expertise from the area of automobile industry, academia and research &
development:-
19) Mr. Vikram Shreekant Kirloskar, Chairman & Managing Director,
Kirlokar Systems Limited Member
20) Mr. Chetan Maini, Chief of Technology & Strategy Officer and
Deputy Chairman, Mahindra REVA Electric Vehicle Company Limited Member
21) Mr. Mukesh Bhandari, Chairman & CTO, Electrotherm Ltd. Member
22) Dr. Arun Jaura, Vice- President of Technology, India Engineering Centre –
Eaton Corporation Member
23) Prof. H. P Khincha, Professor, Electrical Engineering Department,
Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore Member
24) To be nominated later Member
25) Joint Secretary (in-charge automobile division) Member Secretary

(ii) The NBEM may also co-opt additional members including members from state governments or
union territories as required, from time to time.

(iii) Tenure of the members: The nominated members will have a tenure of two years on the Board or
until further Government orders, whichever is earlier. These members can be re-nominated for
additional terms, if needed.

2. Functions & powers of National Board on Electric Mobility: The main functions and powers of the
Board shall include:
a) To examine, formulate and propose the short term &long term plan and contours of the mission
program on electric mobility, its objectives, quantifiable outcomes and roles and responsibilities
of the various stakeholders.
b) To propose and recommend policy guidelines and government interventions and possible
strategies for promoting electric mobility and for encouraging manufacture of electric vehicles
in-the country.
c) To analyse and propose the key interventions, incentives and projects required, propose the
prioritizations of the interventions and recommend the nodal agency/ministry for its
implementation and propose the short term and long term road map for these
interventions/projects.
d) To examine and propose to the National Council the introduction of any legislation, act or
notification or amendment to an existing legislation, act or notification for promoting electric
vehicles and their manufacturing in India.
e) To evaluate and recommend to the NCEM the projects, schemes, studies, interventions and
initiatives for the 12th five year plan and the fund requirements for the same.
f) To expedite the standardization of electric vehicle charging systems and charging infrastructure.
g) To hold regular deliberations to ensure synergy amongst the efforts of the various stakeholder
Ministries, industry, academia and research institutes. Coordinate and resolve bottlenecks, if
any.
h) To formulate strategies and give directions to various ministries and other stakeholders for
implementing the decisions of the NCEM.
i) To ensure and report compliance of action for the various decisions taken by NCEM.
j) To Coordinate and resolve differences of opinion amongst various ministries, if any.
k) To examine, recommend and monitor and review electric mobility related R&D projects and
pilot projects.
l) To evaluate and propose various mechanisms and possible business models for popularizing
electric mobility.
m) To explore and recommend possible collaborations and tie ups for technology acquisition,
obtaining technical experts and exploring possible agreements with leading R&D centres globally
to facilitate availability of technology to the domestic industry.
n) To monitor, review and report the progress of various projects, schemes and interventions and
also suggest mid course corrections, if any, to the NCEM. Recommend the additions,
modifications and closure of parts and whole of any particular programme/scheme, if any.
o) The Board may as deem fit also constitute Sub-Committees for looking into the various specific
aspects.
p) Any other role that is assigned to it.

3. The National Board for Electric Mobility (NBEM) would meet periodically, to discharge the above
functions and shall assist the NCEM.

4. Presently, NATRiP Implementation Society (NATIS) and subsequently, National Automotive


Board (Proposed), after its formation, would function as technical advisor and secretariat of the NBEM.

[File No. 12(89)/2009-AEI]

(Ambuj Sharma)
Joint Secretary to the Government of India

**********
Annexure III

Role, responsibilities and functions of NATIS/NAB.

The proposed roles, responsibilities and functions of NATIS/NAB are enumerated below:

a) NATIS/NAB shall be the repository of technical, domain expertise and data on all aspects of
EV and their manufacturing and shall be the technical advisor and secretariat for both the
Council and Board

b) To provide the expert advice to the National Board for the formulation, of the overall short
term and long term plan of the program, its objectives, and quantifiable outcomes.

c) To evaluate and appraise the various project proposals, possible interventions, incentives,
possible government policies, schemes, etc for promoting electric mobility and for
encouraging manufacture of electric vehicles in the country. Make recommendations and
give expert advise to the National Board and the Council in this regard;

d) Prepare recommend pilot feasibility studies and detailed project reports on various
initiatives for the consideration of the National Board and the Council.

e) Select and appoint consultants, experts, implementation agencies for various projects/pilot
schemes to be undertaken.

f) To coordinate with various agencies, industry and academia for collaborative R&D initiatives
in various selected research and development projects. These projects will be jointly carried
out with the help of various testing centres which have these existing facilities,
academicians and Deptt. of Science & Technology.

g) To optimally utilize the available facilities of its centres, liaison and enter into collaborations
with other R&D centers, labs in India and aboard for implementing the approved R&D
projects and studies for EVs.

h) To evaluate and advice the Board and the Council on the various possible new business
models for popularizing electric mobility and EV manufacturing in India.

i) To monitor and report the progress of implementation of various projects and schemes
from time to time and suggest corrective action if required.

j) To assist in any other way i.e. required for smooth functioning of National Board and the
Council.

**********
Annexure IV

Composition of the Working Groups on Demand & Supply, Research &


Development and Infrastructure

Demand & Supply R&D Infrastructure

• Government: • Government: • Government:


• DHI, • DHI, • DHI,
• MoF (DoR, DoE) • DST, TIFAC • MoUD, MoP
• Planning Commission, • MoF (DoR, DoE) • MoF (DoR, DoE)
DIPP • Planning Commission, • Planning Commission,
• MNRE, DRT, NMCC • DRT, NMCC DIPP, MoPNG
• MNRE • MNRE, DRT, NMCC
• Industry:
• SIAM, ACMA, SMEV • Industry: • Industry:
• SIAM, ACMA, SMEV • SIAM, ACMA, SMEV
• Shri Chetan Maini
(Mahindra Reva), • Prof Khincha (IISC), • Shri Kartik Gopal
Shri I.V. Rao (MUL), Shri Chetan Maini (Mahindra Reva),
Shri K Srikanth (Toyota), (Mahindra Reva), Shri P. Sachadeva
Shri Pandit (KPIT), MD, Electrotherm, (Mahindra Reva),
Shri P. Sachadeva Shri I.V. Rao (MUL), Shri Jayendra Parikh
(Mahindra Reva), Shri K Srikanth (Toyota), (Ashok Leyland),
Shri Jayendra Parikh Dr Arun Jaura (Eaton Corp), Dr. Rao Chalasani
(Ashok Leyland), Shri Kartik Gopal (General Motors),
Dr. Rao Chalasani (Mahindra Reva), Ms. Sulajja Firodia
(General Motors), Shri Jayendra Parikh Motwani (Kinetic Motor),
Ms. Sulajja Firodia Motwani (Ashok Leyland), Shri I.V. Rao (MUL),
(Kinetic Motor), Dr. Rao Chalasani Shri R. Chandramouli
Shri A. Srinivas (General Motors), (Mahindra Reva),
(Mahindra & Mahindra), Ms. Sulajja Firodia Motwani Shri S. Ravishankar
Shri A.S. Puri (Tata Motors) (Kinetic Motor), (Tata Motors),
• Chair: Joint Secretary, Shri A. Srinivas Shri K Srikanth (Toyota)
Automotive Sector, DHI (Mahindra & Mahindra), • R&D organizations: ARAI,
• Member Secretary: Shri S. Ravishankar • Chair: Joint Secretary,
Shri Vikram Gulati, (Tata Motors), Automotive Sector, DHI
Director (Operations), • R&D organizations: CSIR, • Member Secretary:
NATRiP DRDO, ARAI, NATRiP (iCAT) Shri Vikram Gulati,
• Chair: Joint Secretary, Director (Operations),
Automotive Sector, DHI NATRiP
• Member Secretary:
Shri Vikram Gulati,
Director (Operations), NATRiP

Source: Minutes of 2nd meeting of NBEM circulated vide OM No. 12 (89)/2009-AEI dated 01.02.2012
NEMMP 2020
Publication Details:
Published and Printed by:
Department of Heavy Industry, Government of India

Written by:
Mr. Vikram Gulati
Director (Operations)
National Automotive Testing and R&D Infrastructure Project (NATRiP)
Department of Heavy Industry
Government of India

Editorial Committee:
Mr. Vishnu Mathur, Director General, Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM)
Dr. Rao Chalasani, Director (AVDC), General Motors Technical Center India
Mr. Vikram Gulati, Director (Operations), NATRiP

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED


Further copies of this publication are available from:
Director (Operations)
NATRiP, Department of Heavy Industry
NBCC Place, South Tower, 3rd Floor
Bhishma Pitamah Marg, Pragati Vihar, Lodi Road
New Delhi-110003, India
Website: www.dhi.nic.in / www.natrip.in

As on August 2012

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