Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Submitted To
Mr. Mirza Ferdous (MzF)
Senior Lecturer, Department of Accounting & Finance,
North South University
Group Details
Name
Asif Iqbal Choudhury
Tanzina Sabrin Prova
Md.Tauhidur Rahman
Asheq Abeer Hossain
Md. Rahat Bin Islam
5 Midterm-1 Presentation
co Pharmaceuticals Limited
Section: 02
Submitted To
Mr. Mirza Ferdous (MzF)
, Department of Accounting & Finance,
North South University
Group Details
ID
103 0661 530
162 0146 020
162 0222 630
171 1714 030
171 2691 030
Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited and its Subsidiaries Consolidated
Profit or Loss and Other Comprehensive Income From the year 2
2018-2019 2019-2020
BDT BDT
22,816,629,795 25,611,947,655
(12,196,286,770) (13,712,847,509)
10,620,343,025 11,899,100,146
(5,554,169,458) (6,289,606,032)
(752,944,182) (792,951,709)
(4,801,225,276) (5,496,654,323)
5,066,173,567 5,609,494,114
139,917,665 293,558,304
(1,029,762,542) (1,013,804,085)
(29,325,720)
4,147,002,970 4,889,248,333
(200,937,234) (235,808,378)
3,946,065,736 4,653,439,955
(905,662,782) (1,108,956,854)
(803,760,846) (1,086,668,418)
(101,901,936) (22,288,436)
3,040,402,954 3,544,483,101
(1,852,559) (1,577,828)
3,038,550,395 3,542,905,273
7.48 8.67
405,556,445 405,556,445
Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited and its Subsidiaries Consolidated Statem
Flows From the year 2017 - 2020
10%
150.00%
8%
100.00%
Axis Title
6%
50.00%
4%
2% 0.00%
2017 2
0%
2017 2018 2019 2020 -50.00%
Growth Ratios
Cashflow Ratios
200.00%
150.00%
100.00%
50.00%
0.00%
2017 2018 2019 2020
-50.00%
BDT
Cash and Cash Equivalents 635,016,519
Operating Current Liabilities 2,202,319,026
Net Working Capital 10,211,743,374
Total Financial Debt 15,118,973,301
Net Financial Debt 14,483,956,782
D
Debt
2020
Number of shares outstanding 405,556,445
Current market price of share 176.5
Market Capitalization 71,580,712,543
BDT
Assets
Net Working Capital 10,211,743,374
BDT
Liabilities and Equity
Total Financial Debt 15,118,973,301
Minus, Cash & Cash Equivalents 635,016,519
Net Financial Debt 14,483,956,782
We can see super normal growth in 2018, and that's why dividend growth
rate fall the next year. So, we just weighted 80% on year 2020 as it seems
more sustainable.
Average Dividend Growth Rate Cost of equity: Gordon Model
2018 2019 2020 Current Share Price
502,757,959 505,351,881 601,957,017 Total share outstanding
2,533,135,998 3,038,550,395 3,542,905,273 Total dividend paid
20% 17% 17% Dividend Paid Per Share
16% Dividend growth rate
160% 1% 19%
Cost of Equity (re)
20%
1.4
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
19%
0.2
1%
0
2018 2019 2020
ity: Gordon Model Share price as of 07 January
2021.
176.50
405,556,445
601,957,017
1.48
20%
20.912%
Cash Flow to Equity
Audit
Years Dividends Stock Dividend Legal and Professional Expense
Fee
2017 193,154,407 3,165,382,980 725,000 1,500,000
2018 502,757,959 3,165,382,980 324,570 1,600,000
2019 505,351,881 3,165,382,980 177,993 2,090,000
2020 601,957,017 3,165,382,980 144,000 2,195,000
Equity Cost of Equity: Equity Payout
Membership Fees
Total Fees Total Equity Payout
and Subscription Number of Shares Outstanding
6,327,500 8,552,500 3,349,984,887 Share Price as at 07 January, 2021
6,327,500 8,252,070 3,659,888,869 Market Value of Equity
6,327,500 8,595,493 3,662,139,368 Growth
6,327,500 8,666,500 3,758,673,497 Cost of Equity (re)
y: Equity Payout
405,556,445
176.50
71,580,712,543
2.92%
8.32%
Implied Tax Rate
Year 2017 2018 2019 2020
Tax Expense 664,786,534 828,679,830 905,662,782 1,108,956,854
Income Before Tax 2,891,481,658 3,361,334,131 3,946,065,736 4,653,439,955
Tax Rate 23% 25% 23% 24%
Implied Tax Rate (tc) 23.61%
24% 24%
24%
23% 23%
23%
ax rate, 23%
ch.
22%
2017 2018 2019 2020
CAPM
Beta, b 1.55
Risk-free rate, krf 4.48%
Expected market return, E(km) 11%
Cost of equity, re 14.52400%
1) As the debt is decreasing, and cash is increasing we took the weighted average of the
cost of debts of each year. Also, more weights were allocated to the latest year's cost of
debt.
6,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
635,016,519 600,000,000
3.28%
6.42% 500,000,000
393,735,946
400,000,000
2020
15,118,973,301
300,000,000
275,028,025
20,409,291
1,012,519,091 200,000,000
992,109,800
6.05% 100,000,000
0
2017 2018 2019 2020
Cost of Debt, rd
0.07
6.30% 6.29%
0.06
0.05
4.32%
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
2017 2018 2019 2020
18,000,000,000 17,667,641,651
14,000,000,000
12,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
7,982,493,512
8,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
0
2017 2018 2019 2020
Findings
Market Value of Equity ( E) 71,580,712,543
WACC 11.8%
e Cost of equity from the Gordon Model, 35% of Cost of
tal Equity Payout, 10% of Cost of equity from the CAPM
quity from the Tax-adjusted CAPM.
Free Cash Flow of Beximco Pharma Limited
Year 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019
BDT BDT BDT
Cash Flows from Operating Activities
Receipts from Customers and Others 15028477642 17195399333 22463550299
Payments to Suppliers and Employees -11480328595 -14113012465 -17434690241
Cash Generated from Operations 3548149047 3082386868 5028860058
25934454695 1000000000
-18467458543
0
7466996152 1- 2 3 4
-1000000000 898307092.90432
6
-1012519091 -
-2000000000
20409291 2363068636.1020
1
-932399131 -3000000000
-
3629333096.3135
5542487221 -4000000000 6
2499606059.5
2.0577797112
11564
2499606059.4854
9
1020
Beximco Ph
Findings
Enterpris
FCF of 2020 2,499,606,059 Year
WACC 11.78% FCF
Short-term FCF Growth Rate 86% Terminal Value
Long-term FCF Growth Rate 6% Total
Enterprise Value Using DCF
Add: Cash & Cash Equivalents
Asset Value in 2020
Bangladesh's forecasted GDP, after Less: Total Financial Debt of
3years, is around 8%. Pharmaceuticals 2020
Industry is expected to grow at 12% for Equity Value
next couple of decades. But it is very
unlikely for Beximco Pharmaceuticals, No. of Shares Outstanding
to grow in long term at that much rate. Equity Value Per Share
So, we took 6% as long term growth in
the most possible scenario.
Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited
Enterprise Value Using CCF
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
2,499,606,059 4,660,339,458 8,688,874,706 16,199,794,958 30,203,376,797
- - - - 553,692,916,587
4,660,339,458 8,688,874,706 16,199,794,958 583,896,293,384
375,209,774,436
635,016,519
375,844,790,955
15,118,973,301
360,725,817,654
405,556,445
889.46
Sales
Year 2017 2018 2019
Sales 15,508,776,972 17,716,716,855 22,816,629,795
Growth Rate 14.24% 28.79%
Implied Growth Rate 17.91%
Current Assets
Year 2017 2018 2019
Current Assets 9,130,816,169 11,344,199,700 13,264,161,542
Growth Rate 24.24% 16.92%
Implied Growth Rate 10.97%
Current Liabilities
Year 2017 2018 2019
Total Current Liabilities 3,406,039,548 9,018,185,760 12,745,832,154
Growth Rate 164.77% 41.33%
Implied Growth Rate 45.13%
Operating Expenses
Year 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019
Operating Expenses 3,736,675,551 4,259,811,440 5,554,169,458
Growth Rate 14.00% 30.39%
Implied Growth Rate 19.15%
Depreciation
Depreciation
Year 2017 2018 2019
Depreciation 20,402,482 11,757,201 9,175,291
Growth rate -42.37% -21.96%
Implied Growth Rate -20.85%
Interest/ Debt
Year 2017 2018 2019
Interest Expense 557,003,162 536,570,775 1,032,409,014
Total Debt 7,982,493,512 14,976,859,818 17,667,641,651
Interest/ Debt 6.98% 3.58% 5.84%
Growth rate -48.66% 63.10%
Implied Growth Rate 16.50%
2020
We have taken 20% of year 2017-2018 and 40% of year
13,049,078,919 2018-2019 and 40% of year 2019-20. Because, year 2018
-1.62% growth was lot more different than next two years.
2020
We have taken 20% of year 2017-2018 and 40% of year
11,357,965,004 2018-2019 and 40% of year 2019-20. Because, year 2018
-10.89% growth was lot more different than next two years.
2020
35,000,809,631 We have taken 20% of year 2017-2018 and 40% of year
2018-2019 and 40% of year 2019-20. Because, year 2018
3.39% growth was lot more different than next two years.
2020
13,712,847,509 We have taken 20% of year 2017-2018 and 40% of year
12.43% 2018-2019 and 40% of year 2019-20. Because, year 2018
growth was lot more different than next two years.
2019-2020
6,289,606,032 We have taken all years equal percentages. Because, the
13.24% growth is very little each year.
2020 We have weighted more gradually on recent years.
8,114,071
-11.57%
2020
1,012,519,091
15,118,973,301 We have weighted more gradually on recent years.
6.70%
14.61%
2020
We have weighted more gradually on recent years.
5,963,327,323
-9.70%
Sales Growth Rate
35.00%
30.00% 28.79%
25.00%
20.00% Cur
15.00%
14.24% 30.00%
12.25%
10.00% 25.00%
24.24%
5.00% 20.00%
0.00%
15.00%
1 2 3
10.00%
5.00%
Current Liabiities 0.00%
1
180.00%
164.77% -5.00%
160.00%
of year
ar 2018 140.00%
rs. 120.00%
100.00%
80.00%
Net
60.00% 0.3
41.33%
40.00% 24.73%
0.25
20.00%
0.2
0.00% -10.89%
-20.00% 1 2 3 0.15
0.1
0.05
0
Cost of Goods Sold 2018
35.00% Growth R
29.32%
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
13.30%
15.00%
Opera
12.43%
35.00%
10.00%
5.00% 30.00%
0.00% 25.00%
1 2 3
20.00%
15.00% 14.00%
10.00%
Depreciation 5.00%
0.00% 0.00%
-5.00% 1 2 3 1
-10.00%
15.00% 14.00%
10.00%
Depreciation 5.00%
0.00% 0.00%
-5.00% 1 2 3 1
-10.00%
-11.57%
-15.00%
-20.00%
-21.96%
-25.00%
Int
-30.00%
80.00%
-35.00%
60.00%
-40.00%
-42.37% 40.00%
-45.00%
20.00%
0.00%
1
-20.00%
-40.00%
-48.66%
-60.00%
4%
16.92%
-1.62%
2 3
10.91%
3.39%
2019 2020
Operating Expenses
30.39%
14.00% 13.24%
1 2 3
14.00% 13.24%
1 2 3
Interest/ Debt
%
% 63.10%
%
%
14.61%
%
1 2 3
%
%
-48.66%
%
Implied Growth Rates
Sales 17.91%
Cost of sales 19.36%
Operating Expenses 19.15%
Implied Tax Rate 23.61%
Net Fixed Assets 10.66%
Current Assets 10.97%
Current Liabilities 45.13%
Depriciation -20.85%
Interest/ Debt 16.50%
(10,638,893,956) (12,676,153,583)
27,889,296 30,948,583
(10,611,004,660) (12,645,205,000)
8,049,767,864 9,017,362,694
(1,601,095,956) (1,865,328,850)
6,448,671,908 7,152,033,844
(1,522,312,901) (1,688,352,818)
4,926,359,007 5,463,681,026
changed.
nchanged.
assets,
assets, current
current liabilities
liabilities and
and non-current
non-current
their
their implied
implied growth
growth rate.
rate.
Implied Growth Rates
Sales 17.91%
Cost of sales 19.36%
Operating Expenses 19.15%
Implied Tax Rate 23.61%
Net Fixed Assets 10.66%
Current Assets 10.97%
Current Liabilities 45.13%
Depriciation/Non-current Assets -20.85%
Non Current Liabilities -1.67%
Interest/ Debt 16.50%
50,238,523,587 55,595,922,957
47,434,717,689 52,493,121,250
325,481,262 360,190,346
1,728,698,415 1,913,045,549
740,901,243 819,910,409
5,084,276 5,626,459
3,640,702 4,028,944
17,831,566,452 19,787,581,164
8,123,526,966 9,014,628,615
1,059,760,094 1,176,009,350
4,516,899,412 5,012,375,888
3,263,629,901 3,621,630,311
867,750,079 962,937,000
68,070,090,039 75,383,504,121
30,804,557,274 30,804,557,274
4055564450 4055564450
5,269,474,690 5,269,474,690
294,950,950 294,950,950
1,125,767,451 1,125,767,451
20,058,799,733 20,058,799,733
5,668,902,994 5,574,028,067
1,570,047,257 1,543,770,900
2,038,196,173 2,004,084,862
2,060,659,563 2,026,172,304
34,721,170,970 50,391,696,037
22,616,707,270 32,824,187,845
4,445,815,373 6,452,322,046
4,471,782,062 6,490,008,145
2,260,682,372 3,280,984,360
52,232,361 75,806,119
873,951,532 1,268,387,521
71,194,631,238 86,770,281,378
rative, Selling and
Expense are calculated using
n the growth rate sheet.
FCF Calculation from Proforma Statements
Year 2021 2022
Profit after tax 3,956,477,540 4,423,107,749
Add back depreciation 6,422,625 5,083,775
Subtract increase in operating current assets 1,361,747,369 1,511,122,798
Add back increase in operating current liabilities 993,961,164 1,442,560,473
Subtract increase in fixed assets 3,732,460,711 4,130,487,588
Add back after-tax interest on debt 278,467,754.93 324,423,989.15
Free cash flow 141,121,004 553,565,601
Growth 292.26%
Mean Growth
Renata Limited
Enterprise Value Using DCF
Year 2021 2022
Free cash flow 141,121,004 553,565,601
Terminal Value
Total 141,121,004 553,565,601
Enterprise value 25,0
Add: Cash & Cash Equivalents 6
Asset Value in 2020 25,6
Less: Total Financial Debt of 2020 15,1
Equity Value 10,5
No. of Shares Outstanding 4
Equity Value Per Share
tatements The Depreciation rate of -20.85% is used to
calculate the forecasted depreciation.
2023 2024
4,926,359,007 5,463,681,026 The Implied Tax rate of 23.61% is used to
4,024,019 3,185,179 calculate the after-tax interest on debt.
1,676,883,806 1,860,827,791
The forecasted Free Cash Flow growth is
2,093,623,771 3,038,528,072 around 158.78% between 2021 and 2024.
4,570,959,760 5,058,403,561
377,964,496.34 440,340,928.14 The Proforma Equity Value per share is BDT
26. This is 85.87% less than current market
1,154,127,728 2,026,503,852 value per share, BDT 176.5.
108.49% 75.59%
158.78%
CF
2023 2024
1,154,127,728 2,026,503,852
Findings
37,150,178,130
1,154,127,728 39,176,681,981 WACC 11.78%
25,052,871,652 Long-term growth rate 6%
635,016,519
25,687,888,171
15,118,973,301
10,568,914,870
405,556,445
26
Recommendation: "HOLD"
1. On 15 November 2020, a tripartite MoU was signed between SII, Bangladesh pharmaceutical co
Beximco. Pharmaceuticals Ltd (BPL), Oxford/AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine.
2. NFD of Beximco. Pharma. is positive and growing and Bangladesh leaves the LDC category, possi
When that happens, other companies can invest in other poor economic countries but Beximco. Pharm
of excess cash.
4. Recent years, Dividend growth rates are very similar, making stocks unattractive.
5. According to EBV, EMV and EV using Proforma DCF calculation, Beximco. Pharma. is overvalued
recommend to hold to sell until the vaccine arrives and the market price increases.