Total Home 10 Piece Total Home sales (millions)

month year Set sold

sales (millions) units
6.00
Jan-11 5.36 219
Feb-11 4.88 175 5.00

Mar-11 4.47 306

4.00
Apr-11 4.20 394
May-11 4.15 394 3.00
Jun-11 4.18 131
Jul-11 4.05 131 2.00

Aug-11 4.41 438

1.00
Sep-11 4.28 525
Oct-11 4.32 613 0.00
Nov-10 Feb-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12
Nov-11 4.40 657
Dec-11 4.38 394 1,800
Jan-12 4.51 354
1,600
Feb-12 4.52 706
1,400
Mar-12 4.46 603
Apr-12 4.53 603 1,200

May-12 4.59 367 1,000

Jun-12 4.41 328 800
Jul-12 4.60 509
600
Aug-12 4.84 429
400
Sep-12 4.78 417
200
Oct-12 4.83 1,553
Nov-12 4.96 1,670 0
Nov-10 Feb-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Ja
Dec-12 4.90 1,204
10 Piece Set sold units Total Home sales (millions)
(millions)

Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13

6.00

5.00

4.00

3.00

2.00

1.00

0.00
pr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13

Home sales (millions)

 10-Piece 10-Piece Total Home
month year Set sold Time in Set sale
units price sales (millions)
month SUMMARY OUTPUT
Jan-11 219 1 $949.98 5.36
Feb-11 175 2 $949.98 4.88 Regression Statistics
Mar-11 306 3 $949.98 4.47 Multiple R
Apr-11 394 4 $949.98 4.20 R Square
May-11 394 5 $949.98 4.15 Adjusted R Square
Jun-11 131 6 $949.98 4.18 Standard Error
Jul-11 131 7 $949.98 4.05 Observations
Aug-11 438 8 $949.98 4.41
Sep-11 525 9 $949.98 4.28 ANOVA
Oct-11 613 10 $949.98 4.32
Nov-11 657 11 $949.98 4.40 Regression
Dec-11 394 12 $949.98 4.38 Residual
Jan-12 354 13 $949.98 4.51 Total
Feb-12 706 14 $949.98 4.52
Mar-12 603 15 $949.98 4.46
Apr-12 603 16 $949.98 4.53 Intercept
May-12 367 17 $949.98 4.59 Time in month
Jun-12 328 18 $949.98 4.41 10-Piece Set sale price
Jul-12 509 19 $949.98 4.60 Total Home sales (millions)
Aug-12 429 20 $949.98 4.84
Sep-12 417 21 $949.98 4.78
Oct-12 1,553 22 $799.95 4.83
Nov-12 1,670 23 $799.95 4.96 RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Dec-12 1,204 24 $799.95 4.90
Observation
1
2
3
300
4
200 5
6
100 7
8
0 9
10
-100 11
12
-200
13
14
-300
15
-400 16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
-200

-300

-400
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
ssion Statistics
0.920742195
0.847766189
0.824931118
166.3488217
24

df SS MS F Significance F
3 3082012.7239 1027338 37.12561997 2.296E-08
20 553438.609434 27671.93
23 3635451.33333

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
6541.279287 1180.14967605 5.542754 2.000381E-05 4079.5302 9003.028373 4079.5302 9003.028373
12.48361405 6.01136158523 2.07667 0.050934688 -0.05586648 25.02309459 -0.055866481 25.02309459
-6.26591329 0.88689628207 -7.06499 7.519951E-07 -8.11594652 -4.415880063 -8.115946515 -4.41588006
-69.5000151 126.413581065 -0.549783 0.588555849 -333.194124 194.1940942 -333.1941245 194.1940942
A ctu a l 1 0 -p iece set s o ld u n its

Predicted 10-Piece Set sold Residuals

units
228.750513 -9.7505129997
274.5941343 -99.594134307
315.5727546 -9.5727545566
346.8213727 47.1786273093
362.7799875 31.2200124995
373.1786011 -242.1786011 1,800
394.6972171 -263.69721712 1,600

382.1608257 55.8391742656 1,400

403.6794418 121.320558247 1,200

413.3830552 199.616944797 1,000

800
420.306668 236.693331952
600
434.1802824 -40.180282405
400
437.6288945 -83.628894494
200
449.4175084 256.582491602 0
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
466.0711234 136.928876642
Predicted 10-Piece set sold units
473.6897364 129.310263645
482.0033495 -115.0033495
506.9969663 -178.99696628
506.2755775 2.72442254008
502.0791879 -73.079187888
518.7328028 -101.73280285
1467.816387 85.1836130469
1471.264999 198.735000957
1487.918614 -283.918614
 Time in month Residual Plot
300
200
100
Residuals 0
-100
-200
-300
-400
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time in month

Time in month Line Fit Plot

1,800
1,600
10-Piece Set sold units

1,400
1,200
1,000 10-Piece Set sold units
800 Predicted 10-Piece Set sold
units
600
400
200
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time in month

45 degree line
Column B

1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800

set sold units