Ejercicio #26

2 2
a+4 m+b 4 +4 ( 5 ) +6 (b−a) (6−4 )
A= =A= =5 var= = =0.111
6 6 36 36

2 2
a+ 4 m+ b 6+4 ( 7 ) +8 ( b−a) (8−6)
C= = =7 var= = =0.111
6 6 36 36
2 2
a+4 m+b 6 +4 ( 7 )+ 8 (b−a) (8−6)
E= = =7 var = = =0.111
6 6 36 36
2 2
a+4 m+ b 1+ 4 ( 3 ) +5 (b−a) (5−1)
F= = =3 var= = =0.444
6 6 36 36
2 2
a+ 4 m+b 8+ 4 ( 10 ) +12 (b−a) (12−8)
G= = =10 var = = =0.444
6 6 36 36
Tiempo PERT = 32 Varianza total = 1.2222
Desviación del proyecto = σ = √ 1.2222
X−32 33−32
P(X ≤ 33) = P [ ≤
1.1055 1.1055 ]
= P ( z ≤ 0,90 ) =0.8159 = = 81.59%

X−32 30−32
P(X ≤ 30) = P [ ≤
1.1055 1.1055 ]
= P ( z ≤ 1.8091 )=0.035 = = 0.35%

X−32 35−32
P(X ≤ 35) = P [ ≤
1.1055 1.1055 ]
= P ( z ≤ 2.71 )=0.998 = = 99.8%

X−32 32−32
P(X ≥ 32) = P [ ≤
1.1055 1.1055 ]
= P ( z ≥ 0 ) =0.5 = = 5%