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You know the rule of thumb that states that if data follows a normal distribution, Why are finance models based on normal
then 68% of the observations will be within one standard deviation of the mean, distribution? Why is it anticipated that investment
returns generally follow a normal distribution?
95% within two standard deviations, and 99.7% within three. There are similar
rules for the t distribution, but all of those figures are smaller, and they decrease Ask New Question
with the degrees of freedom of the distribution.
In the extreme case, which is a t distribution with three degrees of freedom, you
have about 61% of the data within one standard deviation of the mean, 86%
within two standard deviations, and about 94% within three standard
deviations. When there are two or fewer degrees of freedom, we can't talk about
the standard deviation for technical reasons.
14.8k Views · View Upvoters · Answer requested by Zoe Decker
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Zoe, you will know that Student’s T-test for statistical significance is the original
such test. The Z-test makes assumptions which simplify the calculation and it is
attractive for that reason. (My personal opinion is that there is nothing onerous
about a T-test and it will always work.)
The Z-test assumes normal distribution but the T-test can cope with non-normal
distribution.
It is generally accepted that a Z-test is valid for any sample where n>30. When a
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sample is 30 or less it is essential to use the more sophisticated T-test to get a
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reliable result. If the sample size gets too small a reliable result is not attainable.
The whole subject of tests for statistical significance is a very large one and goes Related Questions
Add a comment... Comment Recommended All What's the difference between z statistic and t
statistic?
that they do not mention is that the Student-T distribution is not an exponential Why are finance models based on normal
family [1] of distributions. On occasion, this makes it somewhat more difficult to distribution? Why is it anticipated that investment
returns generally follow a normal distribution?
come up with. Also, unlike the Student-T, the normal distribution enjoys the
following properties: Ask New Question
it is a stable distribution
The three points above make it a very popular choice for modeling, as one can
often come up with closed-form results and also justify the choice of a normal
distribution.
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