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居民旅游目的地形象评价及其亲旅游开发行为研究:以中巴经济走廊为例
目的 : 本文基于巴特勒的旅游目的地生命周期模型和利益相关者理论, 提出一个整合的模型用于考察跨越
国境的大型基础设施在中国-巴基斯坦经济走廊的影响。本文假定对这些影响的感知能够预测当地居民感 Received 24 August 2019
知目的地形象和旅游发展前的行为。 Revised 10 October 2019
27 November 2019
方法 : 使用自填式问卷和描述性数据分析技术。 21 December 2019
Accepted 21 December 2019
发现 : 通过对800份问卷数据的结构方程分析, 发现感知中国-巴基斯坦经济走廊收益积极影响居民感知目
的地形象和旅游发展前的行为。进一步, 感知中国-巴基斯坦经济走廊成本积极影响居民感知目的地形象 Disclosure statement. The
但是消极影响旅游发展前的行为。而且, 居民感知目的地形象部分中介了感知中国-巴基斯坦经济走廊收 authors reported no potential
conflict of interest..
益和旅游发展前的行为, 完全中介了感知中国-巴基斯坦经济走廊成本和旅游发展前的行为。
The authors would like to
贡献 : 在居民目的地形象研究中, 很少使用巴特勒的旅游目的地生命周期模型。故而, 在居民目的地形象 extend their appreciation to
研究中使用巴特勒的旅游目的地生命周期模型, 应用在中国-巴基斯坦经济走廊这一跨国界的大型基础设 Dr Carson L. Jenkins (Emeritus
Professor), Hospitality and
施开发项目情境中, 是创新的。 Tourism Management,
关键词 : 目的地形象, 旅游发展前行为, 巴特勒旅游目的地生命周期模型, 利益相关者理论, 感知中国-巴基 University of Strathclyde
斯坦经济走廊的影响, 多群组分析 Glasgow, UK, for his
exceptional research
论文类型 : 研究论文 guidance.
1. Introduction
The destination image is acknowledged as a powerful tool for tourism and can influence
visitors visit intentions (Yang et al., 2009; Stylidis and Cherifi, 2018). A positive destination
image is an important indicator in the tourist-destination relationship and increases the flow
of tourists to a destination (Chen and Phou, 2013; Buhalis, 2000; Kim et al., 2019). The
industrialised world possesses a positive destination image and can be associated with
increased tourism demand and economic benefits (Zeugner-Roth and Žabkar, 2015).
Conversely, the destination image of some developing countries may be less favourable due
to law and order issues, security risks, poor infrastructure, especially road and hospitality
related infrastructure, which negatively influences tourism demand and visit intentions
(Rahman et al., 2013; Raza and Jawaid, 2013). However, the provision of infrastructure,
promotion of cultural events and international sporting events within these developing
countries may positively influence destination image (Albalate and Bel, 2010). Previous studies
have identified that infrastructure development including, air and high-speed rail transportation
can improve tourism demand and revenue (Li and Chen, 2019) and destination image,
attractiveness and tourist accessibility within the destination (Feliu, 2012; Wang et al., 2012).
However, the impact of cross-border, mega-infrastructure development as an antecedent of
destination image has been largely overlooked. The cross-border collaboration may enable
regions to co-create, promote their destinations, attract tourists and gain benefits (Kozak and
Buhalis, 2019). Furthermore, residents’ attitudes towards tourism development got less
attention in Pakistan. Tourism literature indicates that most of studies are conducted in USA
and China, therefore it is essential to examine residents’ attitude towards tourism in the less
studied geographical areas because of cultural differences (Hadinejad et al., 2019). Moreover,
previous research has extensively explored on destination image from tourist perspectives
than residents’ perspectives (Stylidis et al., 2014; Stylidis, 2019).
The current study contributes to literature from the prospect of belt and road initiatives
(BRI), which is a Chinese Government cross-border, mega-infrastructure development and
investment strategy to increase connectivity between 152 Eurasian countries through six
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corridors. The current study focused on the “Gilgit-Baltistan” corridor on the
“China–Pakistan economic corridor” (CPEC), which connects China to central Asia through
the north of Pakistan. Moreover, previous tourism studies have widely investigated
destination image as an antecedent or as an outcome variable, while investigations into
destination image as a mediating variable received less attention. Therefore, current study
aims to empirically investigate-how residents’ perceived CPEC impacts influence residents’
perceived destination image (RPDI) and how RPDI influences relationship between
perceived CPEC impacts and pro-tourism development behaviour (PTDB).
2. Literature review
2.1 Theoretical background
The model for this work is based on Butlers’ Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC) model,
stakeholder theory and on previous literature. Within the destination image literature,
stakeholder theory has been extensively applied to explore tourist perceptions of
destination image (Kim and Perdue, 2011). However, residents as stakeholders in
destination image studies has received less attention. Similarly, Butler’s TALC model has
been widely applied in tourism research to understand residents’ attitudes towards tourism
impacts, but there is a paucity of its application in destination image studies.
Therefore, the major contribution of current work is to develop an integrative model, which
empirically ascertains how the residents’ perceived CPEC impacts influences RPDI and
PTDB. A graphical model is shown in Figure 1.
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investment. Similarly, Tang and Rochananond (1990) also identified that infrastructure
development in Thailand has a vital role in promoting it as a tourist destination. High-speed rail
infrastructure development in China and Madrid also appears to be attractive to international
tourists (Chen and Haynes, 2015; Pagliara et al., 2015). Furthermore, the tourism demand
significantly increased in Japan and China due to Shinkansen network and High-speed rail
infrastructure respectively (Kurihara and Wu, 2016). In addition, large scale events also help in
the development of local infrastructure, leading to improved destination image and increased
tourism demand (Herz and Arnegger, 2017; Tasci et al., 2019). Therefore, indicates a
significant relationship among transport infrastructure development, destination image and
tourism demand (Khadaroo and Seetanah, 2007, 2008).
Conversely, there are negative impacts of mega-infrastructure development along with the
positive, including traffic congestion, overcrowding, noise and environmental pollution
(Kanwal et al., 2019; Lv et al., 2019). However Butlers’ TALC model argues that,
destinations at initial phase of tourism development ignore development costs and perceive
impacts positively (Butler, 1980). Therefore, based on the preceding literature and Butler’s
TALC model the following hypothesis is proposed:
H1a. Residents’ perceived CPEC benefits has a positive relationship with their perceived
destination image.
H1b. Residents’ perceived CPEC costs has a positive relationship with their perceived
destination image.
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the area and show pro-tourism development behaviour and support for tourism
(Schroeder,1996). Therefore, the following hypothesis is proposed.
H3. Resident’s perceived destination image has a positive relationship with their pro-
tourism development behaviour.
3. Methodology
3.1 Study location
The study was conducted in Gilgit-Baltistan (GB), Pakistan, which is at the entrance to the
CPEC and connects China to Central Asia. The CPEC project is a network of modern
transportation infrastructure, solar power energy projects and industrial zones. The main
purpose behind conducting the study in Gilgit-Baltistan was that it could be an attractive tourist
destination with the worlds’ highest mountain ranges, (the Himalayas, the Karakoram, the
Hindukush) and is bestowed with the worlds’ second highest peak K2 and the Nanga Parbat,
and the worlds’ longest glaciers – the Baltoro Glacier, the Biafo Glacier and the Batura Glacier.
The region is famous for mountaineering, trekking, hiking, camping and skiing, yet given this
tourism potential, the destination remains underdeveloped. A lack of infrastructure development
in the region means the destination remains at the initial stages of tourism development.
However, the construction of the Karakoram Highway under the CPEC project has enhanced
the regions beauty, provided increased access and increased tourism demand and flows from
thousands to millions in a short period (Figure 2, Department of Tourism, Gilgit-Baltistan).
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Figure 2 Tourist flows to Gilgit-Baltistan by year
Tourist flow
1,610,000
1,391,628
of 200 respondents for effective parameter estimation (Anderson and Gerbing, 1988). The
targeted sample size was achieved with stratified random sampling method and selected eight
strata’s (Gilgit, Hunza, Ghizer, Astor, Nagar, Skardu, Ghanche and Kharmang). Further, with a
purposive sampling method, within each district approached residents from schools, colleges,
universities, government and non-government organisations, restaurants/hotels, shopkeepers
and social activists who could read and write and are were aware of the CPEC project.
The interviewer adopted a self-administered questionnaire method and visited the various
institutions mentioned in each district. Investigator sought the voluntary participation of
respondents and investigator briefly explained the purpose of study. Anonymity of their
personal information was assured and to ensure a higher response rate, investigator waited for
the respondents to complete the questionnaire. Investigator distributed 1,000 questionnaires in
eight districts, from the 1,000 distributed, 870 were collected and 70 incomplete questionnaires
were excluded. The remaining 800 completely filled were used for data analysis.
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exchange, to support hotels and restaurants, to protect natural and environmental
resources, and willingness to promote Gilgit-Baltistan as tourist destination, which were
again adopted from the literature (Kitnuntaviwat and Tang, 2008; Gursoy et al., 2010). A
five-point Likert scale was used to measure constructs. To test reliability of instrument, pilot
study was conducted with sample of 50 respondents, and the coefficient on Cronbach’s
alpha was 0.85.
4. Study findings
4.1 Socio-demographic characteristics
Demographic characteristics of 800 respondents were gender, age, education and
employment. Results indicated that 32% of respondents were women and 68% were men.
The majority of respondents (86%) were between 20 and 40 years of age, and 98% had an
academic degree above secondary. Respondents full-time employment included those in
public/private jobs (54.5%), self-employed (14%) and students (30%). Details of sample are
summarised in Table 1.
Gender Male 68
Female 32
Age group 20-30 55.5
31-40 30.5
41-50 9.8
51-60 3.4
61 and above 0.9
Education level Primary 1
Middle 1
Secondary 5
Graduate 36.6
Masters or above 56.3
Employment status Self-employed 14
Public/ private job 54.4
Retired 1.1
Student 30.1
Housewife 4
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Table 2 The measurement model
Constructs Mean SD Factor loading CR AVE a
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Table 3 Discriminant validity
Perceived CPEC Perceived Residents’ perceived Pro-tourism
Constructs benefits CPEC costs destination image development behaviour
0.960, the higher values of GFI, TLI and CFI (around 0.95) indicated a good-fitting models
(Hu and Bentler, 1999). The value for RMSEA =0.068. With RMSEA values less than 0.07,
this indicates good fit (Bagozzi and Yi, 2012). Therefore, the results indicate the proposed
hypothesised model shows a good fit.
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Table 4 Estimated standardised coefficients
Path relationship Stand. estimates t-value Results
and above 30 years) and employment wise (working group and students), the results
showed that there was no significant difference in perceptions. These result results are
demonstrated in Table 6.
5. Conclusion
The study addresses a gap in the literature by developing a conceptual integrative model,
which examines the influence of the perceived impacts of the CPEC on RPDI and PTDB. The
empirically tested model revealed that perceived CPEC impacts (benefits and costs) has a
significant positive effect on RPDI, and RPDI influences PTDB. Further, RPDI as a mediator
influences the relationship among perceived CPEC impacts (benefits and costs) and PTDB.
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the CPEC cross-border mega-infrastructure development project. The results indicated
that perceived CPEC costs have a positive relationship with RPDI, which shows that
destinations at early phase of tourism development ignore development cost and
perceive impacts on destination positively. Therefore, from an academic perspective,
current work advances the tourism literature by further extending Butler’s TALC model
in destination image studies. Therefore, these findings assist to better understand the
perceived impacts of the CPEC as significant predictor of RPDI. The Gilgit-Baltistan
region is an under-developed tourism destination that has future potential. The mega-
infrastructure development project within the region has increased tourism demand
and flows of tourists and therefore, residents have perceived the destination image
positively, even if there are infrastructure development costs. The study also
contributes to tourism literature by further extending stakeholder theory from residents’
destination image perspective. The findings identified a direct relationship among
perceived CPEC impacts (benefits and costs) and RPDI and subsequently RPDI is
likely to play a significant role in PTDB. Residents’ destination image acts as a
destination ambassadors to non-residents (Hudson and Hawkins, 2006).
The findings offer several practical implications for stakeholders including government,
policymakers and tourism related organisations. The local authorities should ensure residents
are involved in tourism-related planning and management processes, as residents’ have a
deeper understanding of place. Further, the involvement of all stakeholders including
(residents’ and tourists) in tourism planning process can help in organising resources,
knowledge sharing and governance of tourism destination (Barandiarán et al., 2019; Fyall and
Garrod, 2019). In addition, the government could improve community services by providing
entertainment and leisure opportunities and support the establishment of quality hospitality
services. Moreover, the government and policymakers could use social media platforms to
promote the destination based on its tourism potential.
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About the authors
Shama Nazneen received Master of Development Studies from COMSATS University.
Currently, she is doing PhD from Nankai university china in tourism management. Her area
of research is destination image, quality of life, infrastructural development (i.e. BRI),
sustainable tourism.
Prof. Hong Xu received a PhD in Business Management from Nankai University, China, in
2003. Currently, she is a Professor with the Department of Tourism and Service
Management, Nankai University. Her research interests include tourism industry ecology,
tourism destination competence, tourism supply-chain management, tourism enterprises
strategy and innovation management, and service management and financial
management.
Nizam Ud Din received MBA (finance) from COMSATS University in 2007. Currently, he is
enrolled in PhD at Nankai Business School, Nankai University, PR China. He is a Lecturer
with Karakoram International University, Pakistan since 2008. His research focuses on
tourism, gender and accounting. Nizam Ud Din is the corresponding author and can be
contacted at: nixamuddin@yahoo.com
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