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Introduction
- Covid-19
- General effects of covid-19 on the economy
- The problem
- Research question
- Thesis

Main text
Analysis of the current situation
- Beginning of 2020
- Pre Covid-19 (january)
- Predictions (normal)
- First shock (early 2020)
- Covid-19 first wave (february)
- First stimulus checks
- Increased unemployment rate
- After the first shock
- After first wave (situation june 2020)
- Unemployment rate slowly declined
- Situation now
- Recovery but uncertainty
- Vaccinations
- Third round (hasn't been paid yet), paid in installments till 2030

Short-term predictions
- CBO
- What is their prediction?
- What do they base their prediction on?
- Economic theory predictions
- Political sources?
- Social sources?
- Evaluation: pros & cons of their prediction
- Federal reserve
- What is their prediction?
- What do they base their prediction on?
- Economic theory predictions
- Political sources?
- Social sources?
- Evaluation: pros & cons of their prediction
- Our prediction
- What is our prediction?
- What do they base their prediction on?
- Economic theory predictions
- Political sources?
- Social sources?
- Evaluation: pros & cons of their prediction
Conclusion
- Restate thesis
- Summarize of main points
- State a related topic question

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