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HYPOTHESIS TESTING
-
the observed value of test statistic is compare to critical values
1.
Determine the appropriate test statistic and sampling distribution. Find the critical value that divides
thedistribution into rejection and non
rejection.4.
Compare the computed test statistic and the critical value, then make a decision and formulate your
conclusion.
I.
Testing a Claim about the Mean Using a Large and Small Samples (One sample group)
When a hypothesis test involves a claim about a population mean, then we will draw a sample and look
at the samplemean to test the claim. If the sample drawn is large enough (), then the Central Limit
Theorem applies, and thedistribution of sample means is approximately normal.
Note:
, or
, where
is a constant, we will always assume for the purpose of our test that
Case 1: Z
is known)
, but in both cases itwill be more convenient to convert our sample mean
x
, we also have
, and so:
xx
xxzn
As long as
z
defined above will be the StandardNormal Distribution. (Note: Z test is specifically used for large
samples,
30
).
Example 1:
Suppose we believe that the mean body temperature of healthy adults is less than the commonly
acceptedmeasurement of
98.6
F and a standard deviation of 1.1°. A sample of 60 healthy adults is drawn with anaverage temperature
of
98.2
Step 1: Ho:
The mean body temperature of healthy adults is greater than or equal to 98.6°
(H
98.6
)Ha:
(H
o
98.6
0.05,
60
Step 3:
Step 4:
Critical Value:
CV =
1.65
Step 5: Computation:
xzn
Step 6: Decision/Conclusion:
2.82) falls within the rejection region, then we reject thenull hypothesis. In other words, since
2.82 1.65
, we reject H
. The data provide significant evidence toshow that the mean body temperature of healthy adults is
indeed less than the commonly accepted 98.6°. Thusthe claim is true.
Example 2:
The manager of a certain large department store wants to determine if the mean sale amount of all
sales on apromotion day is just the same with that on a regular day which is $78 with a standard
deviation of $25. On a specialholiday promotion day, the total purchase amount of 80 different
randomly selected sales has a mean of $82. Test thehypothesis at 10% significance level.
Step 1: Ho:
The mean sale amount of all sales on a promotion day is equal to that on a regular day which is $78.
: $78
)Ha:
The mean sale amount of all sales on a promotion day is not equal to that on a regular day which is $78.
: $78
0.10,
,
80
Step 3:
tail test
30
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Step 4:
Critical Value:
since Ha is non
CV =
1.65
Step 5: Computation:
82 7801.43/ 25/
80
xzn
Step 6: Decision/Conclusion:
Since the computed z value (1.43) falls within the acceptance region, then we accept thenull hypothesis.
In other words, since
1.43 1.65
, we accept H
. There is significant evidence that the meansale amount of all sales on a promotion day is just the same
with that on a regular day which is $78. The meanof all sale amounts during the said days are just
comparable, at 10% significance and based on the samplesselected.
–
C) AND 9.47A IN PAGE 318 OF OUR TEXTBOOK. FOR SPSS ACTIVITY, KINDLYREFER TO 9.61 IN PAGE 324
AND 9.65 IN PAGE 325.
Case 2: T
UNKNOWN)
In most hypothesis
testing situations dealing with numerical data, we do not know the population standarddeviation,
Instead, we use the sample standard deviation, s. If we assume that the population standarddeviation is
normally distributed, the sampling distribution will follow a
distribution
with
degrees of freedom.
If the population is not normally distributed, t
large enough
UNKNOWN):
xt s n
where
follows a t
–
distributionhaving n
1 degrees of freedom.
Example 1:
A company claims that the mean selling price for a certain type of imported sports car is $42,000. A
survey of 16randomly selected owners of such cars shows that they actually paid a mean of $44,200
with a standard deviation of$6,000 for their
Step 1: Ho:
The mean selling price for a certain type of imported sports car is $42,000.
: $42,000
)Ha:
The mean selling price for a certain type of imported sports car is $42,000.
: $42,000
)Step 2: Level of significance,
0.01
16
Step 3:
tail test
Step 4:
Critical Value:
xt s n
Step 6: Decision/Conclusion:
Since the computed z value 1.47 falls within the acceptance region, then we accept thenull hypothesis.
In other words, since
1.47 2.6025
, we accept H
selling price for a certain type of imported sports car is $42,000. Therefore, the company’s claim is not
ACTIVITY # 2KINDLY REFER TO ITEM NOS. 9.55 & 9.57A IN PAGE 323 OF OUR TEXTBOOK. FOR SPSS
ACTIVITY, KINDLY REFER TO9.58A AND 9.59A IN PAGE 324.
II.
The
P-value
of a test is the probability of getting a test statistic equal to or more extreme than the sample result,
giventhat the null hypothesis, Ho is true. The p- value, often referred as the
observed level of significance,
is the smallest levelwhich Ho can be rejected.The rule we will use to decide whether to reject is:
Reject if
Do not reject if
Steps to follow:
1.
0
H
3.
Collect the data, compute the value of the test statistic and compute the p
value.5.
Example 1:
Suppose we believe that the mean body temperature of healthy adults is less than the commonly
acceptedmeasurement of
98.6
F and a standard deviation of 1.1°. A sample of 60 healthy adults is drawn with anaverage temperature
of
98.2
Step 1: Ho:
The mean body temperature of healthy adults is greater than or equal to 98.6°
(H
98.6
)Ha:
(H
98.6
0.05,
60
.
Step 3:
Step 4: Computation:
xzn
Step 5:
The P
2.82, that is
2.82 0.0024
Pz
.
Step 6: Decision/Conclusion:
0.05
, then we reject the null hypothesis. Thereis significant evidence that the mean body temperature of
healthy adults is indeed less than the commonlyaccepted 98.6°. Thus the claim is true.
Example 2:
The manager of a certain large department store wants to determine if the mean sale amount of all
sales on apromotion day is just the same with that on a regular day which is $78 with a standard
deviation of $25. On a specialholiday promotion day, the total purchase amount of 80 different
randomly selected sales has a mean of $82. Test thehypothesis at 10% significance level.
Step 1: Ho:
The mean sale amount of all sales on a promotion day is equal to that on a regular day which is $78.
: $78
)Ha:
The mean sale amount of all sales on a promotion day is not equal to that on a regular day which is $78.
: $78
H
0.10,
80
Step 3:
tail test
Step 4: Computation:
78 8201.43/ 25/
80
xzn
Step 5:
P z or z
Step 6: Decision/Conclusion:
Since the p
, then we accept the null hypothesis.The data provide significant evidence that the mean sale amount of
all sales on a promotion day is just thesame with that on a regular day which is $78. The mean of all sale
amounts during the said days are justcomparable, at 10% significance and based on the samples
selected.
ACTIVITY # 3KINDLY REFER TO ITEM NOS. 9.57B IN PAGE 323 AND 9.63B IN PAGE 325 OF OUR
TEXTBOOK. FOR SPSS ACTIVITY,KINDLY REFER TO 9.58B AND 9.59 IN PAGE 324.
III.
πorP
the ideas involving hypothesis testing for proportions are very similar to those for the means
πorP
n&x
When testing a claim about a population proportion, the null hypothesis has one of the following forms:,
, or so as with the mean, we will assume
π 5 andn 1-π 5
with
pp
pp
pp
pp
p-Pz =P 1-Pn
where,
Example 1.
A cereal company claims that two-thirds of all children prefer Rice Crunchies to Rice Flakies. In a sample
of
100 children, 55 prefer Rice Crunchies. Test if the company’s claim is overstated at the 5% level of
significance.
Step 1: Ho:
(Ho:
2/3
)Ha:
Less than two
(Ha:
2/3
0.05,
100
Step 3:
Step 4:
Critical Value:
CV =-1.65
Step 5: Computation:
-2.49
P=2/3=0.666 0.667
Step 6: Decision/Conclusion:
value
2.49
critical value
1.65
,
reject Ho.
Therefore, based on the sample data we conclude that the company’s claim regarding the proportion of
children who prefer Rice Crunchies to Rice Flakies is overstated at 5% level of significance.
Example 2.
A drug rehabilitation center claims that at most 22% of its patients who are certified as drug
free suffer arelapse within 2 years. A study of 35 randomly selected graduates of the program shows
that 10 have goneback to drugs within 2 years. Test if the claim is overstated at the 1% level of
significance.
Step 1: Ho:
At most 22% of a drug rehabilitation center’s patients who are certified as drug–
(Ho:
22%
)Ha:
More than 22% of a drug rehabilitation center’s patients who are certified as drug–
(Ha:
22%
35
Step 3:
Step 4:
Critical Value:
CV =2.33
Step 5: Computation:
35
Step 6: Decision/Conclusion:
value (0.94)
accept Ho.
proportion of their patients who are certified as drug free yet still suffer a relapse within 2 years is
notoverstated at 5% level of significance. The data gathered justified that the true proportion of at most
22%.
ACTIVITY # 4KINDLY REFER TO ITEM NOS. 9.71 AND 9.75 IN PAGE 329 OF OUR TEXTBOOK. FOR SPSS
ACTIVITY, KINDLY REFER TO9.71 AND 9.75 IN PAGE 329.IV.
This permits us to compare two different groups to see if they represent different populations of if they
areessentially equivalent with respect to a particular parameter.
In this case, we’ll have two different populations with potentially different means,
12
μ and μ
12
σ andσ
12
H:
μ =μ ;
12
H:
μμ;
12
H:
μμ
12
a
H:
μμ;
12
H:
μ >μ
12
or H :
μ<μ.
To perform this hypothesis test, we need two separate independent random samples, one drawn from
eachpopulation. Thus the sample date give:
11 1
,,
nxs
22 2
,,
nxs
from the second group. Weconsider the difference between the means of these two samples:
12
xx
. The set of all such differences of samplemeans from the two populations forms a new sampling
distribution known as the
CASE 1: Z
1212
n30andn30 and
12
12
xx
and standarddeviation
12
2 21 21 2
xx
nn
12
n 30 andn 30.
When we work with this normal distribution for differences of sample means, the
z values
12
1 2 1 2x -x
x -x -
μ -μ
z=
where
12
2 21 2x -x1 2
σ σσ = +
nn
12
or
12
12
1 2x -x
x -xz =
EXAMPLES
family homes in two adjacent communities. In CollegeHeights, the mean asking price for a random
sample of 50 homes is $142,000 with a standard deviation of $30,000. InUniversity Gardens, the mean
asking price for a random sample of 35 homes is $168,000 with a standard deviation of$40,000. Test
whether there is a difference in the mean asking prices for homes in these two areas at the 5% level
ofsignificance.
HypothesesHo:
There is no significant difference in the mean asking prices for homes in these two adjacent
communities.
12
Ha:
There is a significant difference in the mean asking prices for homes in these two adjacent communities.
12
12
α = 0.05,n = 50 andn = 35
Since both
12
we use Z
–
Ha
indicates that
12
tail test.
Critical Value
Using
are
Computation
Given Data:
111
and
222
n = 35University Gardens x =168,000s 0,000
=4
22
1 22 21 21 2
x -x=s s+n n
Decision/Conclusion
-3.26
-1.96
reject Ho
There is a significant difference in the meanasking prices for homes in these two adjacent communities.
Since the computed z is (
3.26), there is sufficient evidencethat the mean asking price for homes in College Heights subdivision is
lower than that in the University Gardens.2. A study is made comparing wages paid to women and men
holding comparable jobs in a large company. A random sampleof 100 women are paid a mean hourly
wage of P315.25 with a standard deviation of P71.34 while a random sample of 75men are paid a mean
hou
rly wage of P350.61 with a standard deviation of P80.48. Do these data constitute “proof” that,
on the average, women are paid less than men at the 5% level of significance?
HypothesesHo:
There is no significant difference in the mean hourly wage paid to women and men who are holding
comparable jobs in a large company. In symbol,
owm
Ha:
awm
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wm
Since both
12
we use Z
Ha
indicates that
wm
tail test.
Critical Value
Using
one
Given Data:
www
and
mmm
22
1 22 21 21 2
x -x=s s+n n
Decision/Conclusion
-3.02
-1.65
reject Ho
. That is, women are seemingly paid lowerwages, on the average, than men in this organization at the
5% level of significance.
CASE 2: POOLED
12
though this can still be used for large samples as long as thepopulation variances are assumed equal
11
1 21 2
t=
x -x+n n
where
2 21 1 2 221 2
1 12
p
n s n s sn n
12
df n n
. The term,
pool
the information fromboth samples to get one single estimate of the unknown variance,
. We call this
pooled variance,
pool
s
EXAMPLES
1. A waitress at a yacht club restaurant conducts a study to compare the average amount of tips she
receives per person on a$20 dinner from sailboaters versus motorboaters. In a random sample of 28
sailboaters, she receives a mean of $3.80 with astandard deviation of $1.22. In a random sample of 24
motorboaters, she receives a mean of $4.22 with a standarddeviation of $1.04. Test if there is a
difference in the average tip at the 5% level of significance. (Assume that the populationvariances are
equal).
HypothesesHo:
There is no significant difference in the average amount of tip received by the waitress from sailboaters
andmotorboaters on a $20 dinner. In symbol,
osm
Ha:
There is a significant difference in the average amount of tip received by the waitress from sailboaters
andmotorboaters on a $20 dinner. In symbol,
asm
Since both
12
n 30 andn 30,
<<
we use t
Ha
indicates that
sm
tail test.
Critical Value
Using
28 24 2 50,
2.0086
Computation
Given Data:
sss
and
mmm
Computing for
first we have,
2 22 21 1 2 22p1
,
Thus the t
value,
11
1 21 2
x -x+n n
Decision/Conclusion
-1.30
2.0086
accept Ho
.T
here is no significant difference in the averageamount of tip received by the waitress from sailboaters
and motorboaters on a $20 dinner at 5% level of significance.That is, on the average, sailboaters and
motorboaters gave comparably equal amounts of tip to the waitress.
2 21 2
21
22
. In this case, t
2 21 2
ss
1 21 2
t=
x -x+n n
22 21 21 22 22 21 21 21 2
11
df
s sn n s sn nn n
EXAMPLES
1. A waitress at a yacht club restaurant conducts a study to compare the average amount of tips she
receives per person on a$20 dinner from sailboaters versus motorboaters. In a random sample of 28
sailboaters, she receives a mean of $3.80 with astandard deviation of $1.22. In a random sample of 24
motorboaters, she receives a mean of $4.22 with a standarddeviation of $1.04. Test if there is a
difference in the average tip at the 5% level of significance.
HypothesesHo:
There is no significant difference in the average amount of tip received by the waitress from sailboaters
andmotorboaters on a $20 dinner. In symbol,
osm
Ha:
There is a significant difference in the average amount of tip received by the waitress from sailboaters
andmotorboaters on a $20 dinner. In symbol,
asm
H
sm
Since both
12
n 30 andn 30,
<<
we use t
Ha
indicates that
sm
tail test.
Critical Value
Using
two
α=0.05,tailtest
2 22 2 2 21 21 22 2 2 22 22 21 21 21 2
df
s sn n s sn nn n
2.0086
Computation:
Given Data:
sss
and
mmm
so
2 2 2 21 2
ss
1 21 2
x -x+n n
Decision/Conclusion
-1.34
2.0086
accept Ho
.T
here is no significant difference in the averageamount of tip received by the waitress from sailboaters
and motorboaters on a $20 dinner at 5% level of significance.That is, on the average, sailboaters and
motorboaters gave comparably equal amounts of tip to the waitress.
ACTIVITY # 5KINDLY REFER TO ITEM NOS. 10.7 PAGE 355, 10.11 IN PAGE 356 AND 10.12 IN PAGE 356 OF
OUR TEXTBOOK. FORSPSS ACTIVITY, KINDLY REFER TO 10.14 AND 10.18 IN PAGE 357.
V.
THE PAIRED
DATA TEST
This test is applied when two samples are linked or paired, that is, if they are
dependent.
In this test, we would me concern about the differences d of the two linked samples, that is, d = x
y for all members of the population to see whether themean is actually zero.
and
:0
Ho
. The alternative hypothesisis then formulated in any of the following forms depending on the type of
test:
:0
ad
:0
ad
or
:0
ad
This can also be used to determine whether there is any difference between two sets of measurements
on the sameindividuals or items.
data test
or the
paired t
test.
dd
d t sn
, where
22
n d d sn n
1.
Note: T- test paired can still be used when n > 30.
EXAMPLES
1. A study is conducted to compare the pricing at two competing food stores. Twelve common grocery
items are chosen atrandom and the price (in dollars) of each is noted at the two stores, as follows:Item 1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Store A 0.89 0.59 1.29 1.50 2.49 0.65 0.99 1.99 2.25 0.50 1.99 1.79Store B 0.95
0.55 1.49 1.69 2.39 0.79 0.99 1.79 2.39 0.59 2.19 1.99Test whether there is a mean difference in the
prices at the two stores at the 2% level of significance.
HypothesesHo:
Ho: 0
Ha:
Ha : 0
0.02, 12
use t
Critical Value
df = n
±2.718
Computation
Item d = x
1 -0.06 0.00362 0.04 0.00163 -0.20 0.04004 -0.19 0.03615 0.10 0.01006 -0.14 0.01967 0 08 0.20
0.04009 -0.14 0.019610 -0.09 0.008111 -020 0.040012 -0.20 0.0400
0.88
0.880.07312
2
0.2586
2 22
12 0.2586 0.880.1331 12 12 1
n d d sn n
and the t
value is
0.0731.900.13312
dd
d t sn
Decision/Conclusion
1.90
2.718
, we cannot reject the null hypothesis. There is insufficientevidence to indicate any difference between
the average prices at the two stores at the 2% significance level.
ACTIVITY # 6KINDLY REFER TO ITEM NOS. 10.24 PAGE 366, AND 10.27 IN PAGE 367 OF OUR TEXTBOOK.
FOR SPSS ACTIVITY,KINDLY REFER TO 10.24 AND 10.27 IN PAGE 366
367.
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