QM 1 A Quiz 1 - Answer Key

Q1. A bag has 10 balls, 4 of which are yellow and 6 of which are red.
One ball is removed from the box, it’s color unnoted. Find the
probability that a second ball removed from the box is yellow.
(Assume that all the balls are equally likely to be drawn from the box.)

Answer : 2/5

Q2. A survey consisted of 20 % men and 80 % women. It is known

that 30 % of the men and 70 % of the women wear branded clothes.
What is the probability that a randomly selected person wearing
branded clothes is a man?

Answer : 3/31

Q3. There are two schools. School 1 has 200 males and 400 female
students. School 2 has 400 males and 200 female students. A school
is selected at random, and a student is chosen randomly from the
selected school. If the student turns out to be female, what is the
probability that School 1 had been selected?

Answer : 2/3

Q4. A standard fair die is rolled until some face other then 5 or 6
turns up. Let X denote the face value of the last roll and A = {X is
even}, B = {X is at most 2}. Then, what is the value of P (A ∩ B)?

Answer : 1/4

Q5. Consider the following statements about two events A and B:

I. P ( A ∩ Bc ) = P(A) – P ( A  B )
 II. If P ( A)  P ( B ) then A  B

Answer : Only statement I is correct

Q6. Mr. Rahul has an investment portfolio consisting of 10 stocks. Let

U(k) be the event that the price of stock k goes up on a given day,
k=1,2,…, 10. From historical data, he knows that P(U(k))=0.5 for all
k=1, 2,…, 10. He further knows that the U(k)’s are mutually
independent events. What is the probability that on a given day the
price of at least one of the stocks in his portfolio goes up?

Answer : 1023/1024

Q7. Consider the following statements about two events A and B:

I. If A ∩ B = Φ , then P(A ) <= P( Bc)

II. P ( A  B  C )  min{P ( A  B ), P ( A  C ), P ( B  C )}

Answer : Both statements I and II are correct

Q8. A number X is selected at random from set A and then another

number Y is chosen at random from set B. What is the probability
that X < Y?
Set A : 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 , 8
Set B : 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 , 8 , 9

Answer : 9/16

Q9. 46% of the individuals in a European country who received the

COVID-19 vaccine reported headache as a side-effect. What is the
chance that in a family of four adults all of whom received the COVID-
19 vaccine no one suffered from headache as a side effect?

Answer : 0.085
Q10. Suppose there are 10 events Ai with P(Ai)=0.5 for i=1,…, 10 and
P ( Ai  A j )  0.1 for all 1  i  j  10 . Consider the following statements :

I. The events A1,…, A10 are mutually independent

II. P(at least one of A1,…, A10 occurs) ≥ 0.5

Answer : Only statement II is correct

( Note : Some students have seen an alternate version of this

question on moodle for the quiz as stated below. The answers is
same for both the versions )

Q10. Suppose there are 10 events Ai with P(Ai)=0.5 for i=1,…, 10 and
for all . Consider the following statements :
III. The events A1,…, A10 are mutually independent
IV. P(at least one of A1,…, A10 occurs) ≥ 0.5

Answer : Only statement II is correct

Q11. If P(A) = 1/3 , P(B) = 3/4 and P(AUB) = 11/12 , probability

P(B|A) is :

Answer : 1/2

Q12. In a survey of people conducted in Ahmedabad to know which

shopping malls they visited in the past month, it was found that 30%
people visited the Central Mall while 40% people visited the
Ahmedabad One Mall. Also , 10% people visited both the malls. What
is the probability that a randomly chosen respondent did not visit
either the Ahmedabad One Mall or the Central Mall in the past month?

Answer : 0.40

Q13. Suppose A, B and C are three events. Further, let A be a subset

of B and 0< P(A), P(B), P(C)<1. Consider the following statements:
 I. P(A|C) ≤ P(B|C)
II. A and B are not mutually independent
Answer : Both statements I and II are correct

Q14. Twenty tickets are marked with the numbers 1, 2,…, 20 and are
put in an urn. Four persons A, B, C and D pick one ticket each at
random from the urn one-by-one without replacement. What is the
probability that A gets the ticket with the largest number and D gets
the ticket with the smallest number?

Answer : 1/12