Flood prediction

Aim of the lesson

Attempts at flood prediction, including changes in weather forecasting and uncertainty in
climate modelling

How can floods be predicted?

Watch this video clip > AFP news agency - The causes of flooding and list at least 3
causes of flooding. Using your own knowledge and understanding explain how each of
these causes could be predicted

Causes How each cause can be predicted

Cause 1: ?????

Cause 2: ?????

Cause 3: ?????

Using flood predictions to give flood warnings

Look at flood-warning-information.service.gov.uk - are there any severe flood warnings or
flood alerts currently in place? If there is - give the details of one of them.

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What is the difference between a severe flood warning, flood warnings or flood alerts?

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Using flood predictions for land use planning

Use flood-map-for-planning.service.gov.uk to find areas in the UK which have been used
for housing but are at risk of flooding.

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Global Flood Monitoring System

Watch ScienceCasts: Predicting Floods - What is the Global Flood Monitoring System?
and briefly how does it work (what data is used to make the forecasts).

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Use flood.umd.edu to find the locations close to you with high

1. Streamflow 12km res.
2. Surface storage 1km res.
3. Inundation map 1km res.
4. Rainfall (7 day)
5. Flood detection
Screenshot and add the corresponding maps below

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Where is going to be the next flood ‘near’ your location? How do you know where? How
certain are you?

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Adapted from:
https://www.geographyalltheway.com/in/ib-freshwater-2019/02-006-flood-prediction.htm