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flow rates annual runoff
and/or flow volumes for
hydrographs approximating
for the design pollutants
of conveyance loads in the
and quantity design of water
control quality control
facilities facilities
Hydrologic events are described by stating the
ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITY (AEP)
or the AVERAGE RECURRANCE INTERVAL
(ARI)
AEP – probability that an event of specified
magnitude, or volume and duration, will be
exceeded in a time period
ARI – referred to as the return period, is the
average length of time between events that
have the same magnitude, or volume and
duration
Specifically, the ARI is given by :
1
Tr .100
P
Where, Tr – ARI in years
P – AEP in percent
Multi storm ARI design approach Single storm ARI design approach
(major/minor)
Detention/retention may not perform in Ponds may not be efficient in infrequent
repeated/multiple storms storms
Event and continuous (retention only) Annual average load modelling
modelling