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FOREIGN POLICY
The Micro-Macro Linkage Approach
Quansheng Zhao
HONG KONG
OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS
OXFORD NEW YORK
1996
NTERRETING CENESE FOREIGK OLIT THE STUDY OF CHNESE FOREICN F O I
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he n s fr LS peiacy ow ard Ohua 1985 Waltr. 19 Thas "bulkard-hail mxkel. a Chrstpber R2 ant
Ome ohcr conspacuoes probiem s a lack of imag1native andtheoret Margot Light (198 157 hve termed it. fcre polar a o s
sees
A deirmnd primar1h by the muerplay of aterruunai i r s
p r h e s tcouid icad to comprehenarve and conceptual ways
INTERPRETING CHINESE FOREIGN
POLICY
T0 THE STUDY OF CHINESE FOREIGN POoLICY
1991; Harding, 1992; Foot, 1995; Ross, 1995). Japan (C. Lee. 1976 and claim, as
David Bachman (1989: 31) does, that domestic factors
1984: Bedeski, 1983), the Soviet Union (Dittmer, 1992), and Vietnam "have had a
(Ross, 1988) Some focus on the making of China policy in other greater impact than intematronal factors in shaping Chinese
countries, such as in the United States (Sutter, 1983; Tan. 1992), the policy' Each of China's domestic political campaigns (such foreign as the
former Soviet Union (Rozman, 1985), and Japan (Zhao, 1993a). These Anti-Rightist Campaign of 1957, the Great Leap Forward of 1958, and
the peak of the Cultural Revolution of 1966 to 1969).
analyses generally concentrate on the ongoing bilateral relationships, Kenneth Lieberthal
(1984: 43) asserts, 'has had clear and direct implications for its
starting with neither the intemational nor the domestic elements, but posture
toward the rest of the world'. This school of
rather somewhere in the middle- that is, choosing not to
emphasize that domest1c factors are important to every
thought has
emphas1zed
any one particular element. country's foreign policy.
but they are perhaps more inportant to the PRC's
Nevertheless, it is noteworthy that there are indeed preferences among extemal behaviour
than to that of most other countries The constant
scholars who consider one particular level of elements to be the
pri challenge which
Taiwan presents in both the domestic and intemational arenas has
mary source of Chinese foreign policy. Scholars, for made
example, who Beijing supersensitive to such issues as reg1me leg1timacy, termtoral
subscribe to the Type A approach have emphasized the
intermational constraints to the formulation of Chinese
importance of sovereignty, and national survival.
foreign policy Adherents of the Type C approach believe that
(Levine, 1980; Ng-Quinn, 1983; Pollack, 1984b; Ross, 1986; foreign policy1s
1989: Tow, 1994). They especially stress the extent to which Cumings
the inter-
determined, ultimately, at the level of individual decision-making, and
take this as the primary level for
national environment, and
superpower bipolanity in particular, frames
analys1ng Chinese foreign policy
Cultural (political) psychology., and
Chinese foreign policy options. William Tow (1994: group theory are the prefered
120) for example, perspectives of this school of thought, which argues for the decisive
contends that, 'Since the PRC's inception, its
most influenced by the
foreign policy has been impact of the political eaders and their ideologies, strategies, tactics,
balance-of-power, state-centric approach to in- and personal styles, on the direction of Chinese
foreign policy (sce Van
temational politics and security.' According to this
the intemal elements of Chinese group of scholars, Ness, 1970; Hinton, 1972; Amstrong. 1977,
OLeary. 1980; Shih, 1990:
politics are less important to Chinese Hunt, 1996). A factor related to this
foreign policy, or as Jonathan Pollack (1984a) puts it, they are 'not the based perspective is that intemal power
psycho-cultural and ideological-
critical determinant". Robert Ross (1986: stniggles among political leaders
286) has argued along this profoundly affect the directions of Chinese politics, which, in
line that, "the relative
importance of domestic politics has been a func- infuence tum
tion of the range of choice Beijing's foreign policy orientations
allowed by the pattem of The notable example of this Type C approach is the
Soviet-US-China) politics triangular (i.e. most
Mao-in
command model (Tsou and M. Halperin, 1965: B. Schwartz,
According to this analytical line, Chinese foreign Teiwes, 1974; Pye, 1976; M. Meisner, 1977)." This
1967
extermal actions are seen as policy issues and analytical approach.
responsive to the changing dynamics of the which was especially
popular during the 1960s and 1970s when Mao
international environment. "The extermal sources of was still the dominant
Bruce Cumings (1989: 220) Chinese policies', figure on China's political scene, assumes that
argues, can be viewed as 'a matter of Chinese domestic and foreign policies 'reflected the
changing
attttudes
conditioning and shaping' Chinese options. One well-known of a Party Chaimian who remained very much in control of his
is China's
yibiandao (leaning to one side) policy, example country's
affairs' (Harding, 1984: 296). In
Soviet Union (vis-à-vis the United meaning to favour the a comprehensive study of Mao Zedong's
Mao Zedong in June 1949 and it States). This policy was begun by major policy commitments over half a century (1921-76) (sit out of
lasted until the late 1950s. The 'lean- wenty policy commitments during this period were foreign policy
ing toward the Soviets'
policy has been viewed as a direct result of the ISSues). Michel Oksenberg (1976: 23) concludes that Mao 'achieved the
bipolar structure of world politics in the Cold War ieast success in the foreign policy and economic realms This is a
era."
FOREIGN POLICY
INTERPRETING CHINESE THE STUDY OF CHINESE FOREIGN POLICY
14
the importance to the policy-making process of the realm of power, its This model is, however, intended to
pred1cting future events.
possessors, and their means of controlling and wielding it. In particular nterpret the trends and direc-
tions of Chinese foreign policy over tume It features
this dimension is concemed with such issues as how different sources three pairs of key.
guiding analytical concepts as a promising way to apply the
of power are allocated within China's foreign policy community, and approach under each macrostructure: linkage
how they are mobilized by different groups in a struggle for the control
from revolution to modernization
over policy-making; it ultimately deals with the issue of regime leg1t- (descnbing the shift in the symbolic
imacy and foreign policy strategies, tactics, and behaviour patterns. structure):
from vertical authoritaria1sm to horizontal
What makes this model different from others, therefore, is that it not authoritarian1sm (char-
only "links' the micro and macro levels, it also analyses the three d acterizing the changing inslitutional structure), and
mensions of the Chinese foreign policy macrostructure, thereby taking rigidiry versus flexibiliry (describing the fluctuat1ng nature of power/
nto account both elements of the levels' (in a vertical way) and the regime structure).
stuctures' (in a honizontal way). The different macrostructures featured These concepts are employed to
highl1ght the changing dynamics of
under the thrce categories each involve various influences and exigencies. Chinese foreign policy as the PRC has shufted from
being a revolution-
leaving room for decision-makers at the micro level to react. Thus, the ary power to becom1ng a member of the world nation-state system.
choices and preferences of individual decision-makers may play an They are the tools with which this model will nterpret Chinese foreign
active role in the formulation of foreign
policy. The micro-macro linkage policy patterms and policy choices.
model, argues that neither the macrostructure, nor thhe decision-makers Although both the international-domestic linkage approach and the
at the micro level has absolute control over a micro-macro linkage approach can be regarded as linkage theones, the
country's foreign policy two
Their influences are all considered in a relative sense. To understand approaches have quite different understandings of the concept of
the dynamics of foreign one has to look at the mutual
linkage. The fomer deals with two different units- intermational struc-
policy-making ture and
influcnces and the channels and mechanisms between and among e domestic instuutions without covering the dynamics of
elements at the micro and macro levels. ndhvidual actors and their interactions with these two units. From the
One may wish to push this model miCTO-macro link perspective. the challenge of lmkage 'is how to create
further to illuminate precisely tne
interactions between the micro and nmacro levels. It theoretical concepts that translate or map varables at the individual level
should be maac
FOREIGN POLICY
INTERPRETING
CHINESE
THE MICRO-MACRO LINKAGE APPROACH 29
28
vice versa' (Gersten.
social systems, and With a much relaxed atmosphere, a number of high-ranking diplomats
into variables characterizing the intermational-domestic
the fact that (now retired) have published their memoirs, contributing important new
1987: 86). Therefore, despite ability in the study
advanced our analytical insights into Chinese foreign policy decision-making. Examples include
linkage approach has greatly criticized as an incomplete, and thus mis-
can be Ambassador Wang Bingnan (1985), who was the major negotiator with
of foreign policy, it the macro level of analysis
which only operates at the US in the famous Warsaw talks before the normalization of rela
leading approach
lionship between the two countries; Ambassador Liu Xiao (1986), who
was ambassador to the Soviet Union from 1955 to 1962, when Beijing
Micro-Macro Linkage Model
The Application of the was shifting from a "honeymoon period' to open confrontation with
Moscow, and former vice-minister of foreign affairs Wu Xiuquan (1991),
this linkage model to the study of
who participated in negotiations with the United States during the Korean
One major obstacle to applying Lieberthal has suggested, 'a lack
Kenneth War, and was China's first ambassador to Yugoslavia (between 1955
Chinese foreign policy is, as Valerie Hudson
at the micro level.' As and 1958) when Belgrade was a focal point of tension in the interna-
of necessary data'. particularly
221) point out: tional Communist movement.
and Christopher Vore (1995:
There is even a collective volume entitled Nü Waijiaoguan (Women
or burcaucracy in question,
detailed
If the research is not part of the group and
Diplomats) (Cheng, 1995) which features the recollections or records
from a variety of primary sources
accounts of what transpired, preferably of Chinese female diplomats. Most of them are foreign ministers'or
consideralions, such information
Because of security
viewpoints, are necessary ambassadors' wives (though they, themselves, are not appointed to
not available for many years
(when it is declassified or the arch1ves
is usually offcial posts, they also serve as diplomats)." A few of them, are wel
are opened to historians). known appointed diplomats, themselves, such as Gong Peng (bureau
established a policy or system for chief of the News Department of the Foreign Affairs Ministry and wife
The fact that China has not yet
the task of Chinese forcign of Qiao Guanghua); Ding Xuesong (ambassador to the Netherlands and
declassifyinggovemment documents makes
difficult. Denmark); and Gong Pusheng (ambassador to Ireland and wife of Zhang
policy scholars all the more Hanfu). Some top diplomats' wives have also written their own, single
boxes' when conducting a
Inevitably, one encounters many "black volumes. For example, Zhu Lin (1991). the wife of Ambassador Huang
and its formulation
comprehensive study of any country's foreign policy Zhen (the first envoy from the PRC to the United States, from 1973 to
in studies that
Indeed, this problem is likely to be particularly daunting
which emphasizes the chan 77). has published her recoliections, offering detailed description of
apply the micro-macro linkage approach, Huang's more than twenty years of diplomatic service in vanious coun-
nels and mechanisms connecting awide variety of factors at diflerent
tries, including Hungary (1950-4), Indonesia (1954-61), France (1964-
levels. Micro-level analysis, or the actor-specific theory mentioned
carlier, involves what Herbert Simon (1985: 303) called 'specification
73), and the United States (1973-7)
'often
These accounts, though sometimes restrained and unbalanced, are
of the situation' which is 'data intensive', 'time consuming', and welcome addittons to the body literature in the field. for they have
(Hudson and Vore, 1995: 211)
requires country orregional expertise' provided first-hand insights into the intcmal workings of the Chinese
This study, it must be made clear, is not intended to open cvery
foreign affairs establishment. They are particularly instructive for the
"black box' in Chinese foreign pol1cy purpose Its is more modest, but
study of Chinese foreign policy n tem1s of its formulation and 1mple
none the less valuable namely, to provide a starting framework mentation, and are helpful sources for thc study of the domestic roots
within which to exanmine the combined impact of international and of Chinese foreign policy.
domestic environments on individual decision-makers, while allowing Furthemore, there have becn some very interesting, unprecedented
us to analyse the choices and preferences of decision-makers when
faced memoirs published outside of the Mainland by those who have moved
with concrete foreign policy issues. abroad. Those memoirs are largely from two groups of people: ex-high-
Having recognized the difficulties in terms of data collection. how ranking ofticials or personal ussociates of top Chinese leaders. The
memoirs of Xu Jiatun (19931, the fomner head of the Chinese Xinhua
ever, on a nore hopeful note, sources from China have increased News Agency in Hong Kong (the PRC's shadow head in Hong Kong). is
mendously and become more accessitble to academic rescarchers sin
the inception of China's Open Door policy toward the outside
wr
CHINESE FOREIGN POLICY
INTERPRETING
0 THE MICRO-MACRO LINKAGE
APPROACH
fomer group: Mao Zedong's personal physician
a typical example of the
Li Zhisui's (1994) The Private Life of
Charman Mao represents the Introduction to the Other Chapters
latter
These works are nommally far less restrained by political conditions Part II of this book
within China, and therefore often provide
much more de- (Chapters 3 to 6) applies the micro-macro linkage
prevailing model of Chinese foreign policy
tailed pictures of the inner workings of Chinese politics. These first. extemal affairs from 1949 to the
presented in this chapter to China's
at the micro present. It analyses the fundamental
hand materials help to open some of the "black boxes changes in Chinese foreign pol1cy at the macro and micro levels.
level in terms of the top leaders' personal thinking
and perceptions of In so
doing. it examines such issues as the paramount importance of
major foreign (as well as domestic) policy issues. survival (in the face of both external and internal threats) to the regime
has begun to pub- Chinese
An equally important development is that Beijing leadership: China's gradual sh1ft from secunty issues to cconomic
lish its own reference book on China's foreign relations and foreign concerns,
which has further inereased the relative
weighi' of domestic structures
policy. The most inmportant exan1ple is Dangdai Zhongguo Waijiao on forcign
policy (Katzenstein. 1978: 10: and the dist1nctive combina-
of for-
(Diplomacy of Contemporary China), produced by the ministry tion of rigidity and flexibility in Chinese
foreign policy behaviour.
Han Nianlong (1987) as editor-
eign affairs, with former vice minister Chapter 3 concentrates on the symbolic macrostructure and thc chang-
in-chief. There are also publications (books and journal articles) about ing priorities of Chinese foreign policy. It
China's major external actions and fore1gn relations. such as the Ko-
analyses the major shift in
Beijing's interpretations of intemationaB and domestic environments.
rean War and the Vietnan1 War. The increase of English analyses on examining the concomitant chang1ng perveptions and prionties in the
China's foreign affairs by scholars in mainland China is also noteworthy PRC's extemal polcies. lt pays special attention to the
critical changes
Although most works concentrate on China's relations with the United between the era of Mao Zedong and the cera of
Deng Xiaoping Examin-
States (either as a history of bilateral relations, or analysis of US policy ing Beijing's shifting interpretations of the outside world
toward China), a few scholars in China have begun to pay attention to ing and adaptation can help us better to understand the
through learm-
the internal dynamics of Chinese foreign polcy. Wang Jis1 (1994), for of Chinese foreign changing prionties
policy. These changing priorties are more often
example, has written a fine summary about the evolution and charac- than not regarded as responses to the
teristics of Chinese theories of international relations. He also has
changing dynamics of the inter-
national and internal environments rather than to the
individual lezders'
analysed Chinese attitudes toward Westerm theories, stressing "the preferences.
uniqueness of Chinese thinking on world affairs . Another example is Chapier 4 studies the institutuonal macrostructure and
Chen Xiaolu. son of former foreign minister Marshal Chen Yi. Chen process. It examines China's societal and instirutuonal policy-making
the scope and degree of inputs, namely
(1989) published an article in English on the evolution of Chinese participation in the foreign policy-making pro-
foreign policy toward the United States from 1949 to 1955. Chen, using cess, as well as China's
general pol1tucal and economic cond1tions. It
the example of the Korean War, emphas1zed the differences between analyses the changes in rules, normms, and niechanisms in the
policy-
socialist China and the Soviet Union in global strategic thinking as making process, and investigates the interactions between
makers and societal and institutional elements. decision
early as the 1950s. These new publications have provided not oaly
detailed accounts of the intermal workings of Chinese foreign policy- The power/regine macrostructure is the focus of
looks more closely at this dinension and its
Chapter 5, which
making, but also give us Chinese perspectives on international affairs.
which are important contributions to the field as a whole, and are par
inmpact ondecision-makers
policy preferences and choices. Chuna's foreign affairs have been pro-
valuable to the model of micro-macro linkage." Despite the foundly shaped by internal politicals, as well as traditional and ideo-
ticularly logical considerations, and this chapter seeks to develop this concclion
above-mentioned progress, the available materials are still inadeyuate
further by studying Beijing's concems about
for capturing and retlecting the full and complicated picture of Chinese reg1me legiunacy and its
foreign policy. There is a great need for more empirical studies to
characteristic strategies and tactics in dealing with extemal affaur The
analyses of the distinctive combination of rigid1ty and fletibility n
continue this research direction. (For further discussion about a future
Chinese foreign pol1cy behaviour
research agenda.
see Chapter 8.) attempt to answer such questions ax