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JIABR
1,1 Initial returns of Malaysian IPOs
and Shari’a-compliant status
Ruzita Abdul Rahim
60 Faculty of Economics and Business, School of Business Management,
National University of Malaysia, Bangi, Malaysia, and
Othman Yong
Graduate School of Business, National University of Malaysia,
Bangi, Malaysia
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the initial return patterns of Malaysian initial
public offerings (IPOs) and whether shari’a-compliant status would alter such patterns.
Design/methodology/approach – The effect of shari’a-compliant status on the patterns of initial
return of IPOs is analyzed using a sample of 386 IPOs issued between January 1999 and December
2007.
Findings – The preliminary results indicate that over the study period, the initial returns of
Malaysian IPOs drop substantially from 94.91 percent reported from the pre-crisis period of 1990-1998
to 31.99 percent, a level more comparable to that reported in advanced markets. Since the initial
returns do not revert to pre-crisis levels, the new low IPO underpricing trend is more likely to be
associated with the removal of pricing restraints. The results of regression analyses on the full sample,
however, suggest that there is no drastic change with respect to factors that drive initial returns in
Malaysian IPOs. With regards to shari’a-compliant status, IPOs of this subsample show similar
profiles to those of non-shari’a counterparts. However, other than demand, the two subsamples are
driven by different factors. Initial returns of shari’a-compliant IPOs are driven by the size and type of
offers, whereas those of the non-shari’a IPOs are driven by risks.
Research limitations/implications – Future studies should re-examine the issue by taking into
consideration the extensiveness of a firm’s compliance to shari’a rules and other predictor variables.
Originality/value – This paper is one of the first to examine the effect of shari’a-compliant status on
the performance of IPOs.
Keywords Investments, Stocks and shares, Stock returns, Malaysia
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
The underpricing of initial public offerings (IPOs) of stocks has been widely accepted as
a universal phenomenon (Allen and Faulhaber, 1989; Baron, 1982; Chemmanur, 1993;
Chowdhry and Sherman, 1996; Grinblatt and Hwang, 1989; Ibbotson, 1975; Ibbotson
and Ritter, 1995; Miller and Reilly, 1987; Loughran et al., 1994, 2008; Reilly, 1977; Reilly
and Hatfield, 1969; Rock, 1986). Asian markets are no exception (Yong, 2007a) with
underpricing in China being documented to be exceptionally high (Su and Fleisher,
1999). In the smaller circle of Southeast Asia, Malaysia has been known to report
Journal of Islamic Accounting and overwhelmingly high IPO underpricing (Dawson, 1987; How et al., 2007; Kim et al.,
Business Research 1995; Yong, 1991). While building new evidence to the existing literature on Malaysian
Vol. 1 No. 1, 2010
pp. 60-74 IPOs is a natural course, this study addresses two issues. The first is whether the IPO
q Emerald Group Publishing Limited
1759-0817
underpricing persists in Malaysia, given the changes that it has undergone in recent
DOI 10.1108/17590811011033415 years. Other than the known fact that the market has just recovered from the 1997
Asian financial crisis, it is also significant that since January 1996, the IPO market has Initial returns of
undergone a pricing deregulation (How et al., 2007; Paudyal et al., 1998; Saadouni et al., Malaysian IPOs
2005; Wan-Hussin, 2006). The second issue relates to the growing concerns over shari’a
investment throughout the world, particularly among Islamic countries like Malaysia.
Specifically, this study deviates from previous research, as it examines whether
shari’a-compliant status would alter the initial return patterns of the IPOs. Our study
also examines the possible factors that might have contributed to the levels of IPO 61
underpricing in Malaysia including the demand, offer size and firm size effects as well
as type of offer (Kim et al., 1995; Yong and Isa, 2003; Yong, 2007b) and risks (Bradley
and Jordan, 2002) for shari’a IPOs, separately from their non-shari’a counterparts.
The significance of understanding IPOs of shari’a-compliant companies separately
from the generic IPO market relates well to the basic requirements of Islamic
investment, which forbid any element of:
.
riba or interest;
.
gharar or uncertainty; and
.
maisir or gambling[1].
In the case of equity instruments, which have been approved by the Council of the
Islamic Fiqh in 1993 as permissible investment vehicles (Naughton and Naughton,
2000), the respective companies must comply with two basic sets of filters:
(1) The primary business activities of the company must be legitimate or halal in
accordance with shari’a principles.
(2) The financial management of the company must be free from riba and
impurities (El-Gamal, 2000; Hakim and Rashidian, 2004; Hayat, 2006;
OICU-IOSCO, 2004).
While these criteria address the legitimacy and riba issues, no financial instruments can
be totally devoid of gharar. Yet, assuming that the second shari’a-screening criterion
serves as an additional monitoring mechanism as is the case for socially ethical or
responsible investment (Bauer et al., 2006; Jin et al., 2005), then the status could be
interpreted as a signal of a lower risk company and accordingly lower returns to its
investors. Alternatively, the similarity could also suggest that investors in shari’a IPOs
behave more ethically and responsibly and be less aggressive in speculating the price
run-up on the first trading day. This is particularly so given the more conventional
emphasis in Islamic principles on the haul or adequate time for the invested capital to be
put into fueling the real growth of the company. On the other hand, the growing concern
for Islamic investment and trend for international or global funds in Islamic
equities could also result in the increasing popularity of shari’a-compliant shares,
which in turn creates additional pressure on prices and therefore higher return on
these IPOs.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 presents a brief
background of the underpricing phenomenon in Malaysia. Section 3 presents the data
and methodology employed in this study. Section 4 reports and discusses the results,
and finally Section 5 concludes and discusses the implications.
JIABR 2. Malaysian IPO market
1,1 2.1 The structure
Several unique characteristics are worth noting regarding the structure of the new
issues market in Malaysia before the discussion proceeds to evidence of underpricing.
One of the characteristics of particular concern to this study is the pricing mechanism,
which is regulated by the Securities Commission ((SC), the regulator of Malaysian
62 securities market since 1993) instead of market. Before the pricing mechanism was
liberalized in January 1996, the Capital Issues Committee (CIC)[2] had since 1988 been
imposing pricing restraints whereby issuers must set the offer prices within a certain
range of the prospective price to earnings ratio (for details of the P/E multiples, refer to
Wan-Hussin, 2006). The removal of this pricing restraint is an attempt to improve the
transparency and efficiency of the Malaysian securities market (How et al., 2007;
Paudyal et al., 1998; Saadouni et al., 2005; Wan-Hussin, 2006). Under the new structure,
issuers and advisers are given total responsibility for setting the price, while final
approval from the SC is still required to ensure appropriateness. In addition to the
pricing mechanism, IPO issuance also needs to undergo an extensive process that
involves seeking listing approval from the Ministry of International Trade and Industry
and the Foreign Investment Committee in addition to the SC (Paudyal et al., 1998).
Other unique features include the proportion of IPOs allocated to Bumiputera
investors (Malaysian indigenous), which is imposed to ensure that these investors hold
at least 33 percent ownership in the company (How et al., 2007; Paudyal et al., 1998).
There is also a requirement for controlling shareholders (and the adviser) of the IPO
issuing company to provide a profit guarantee of not less than 90 percent of the
forecast profit reported in the prospectus and 90 percent maintainable profits for two
consecutive years after listing. Alternatively, the controlling shareholders must
commit to a three-year moratorium or lock-up period after the date of listing during
which they are prevented from selling the shares. In addition, for all issuers of the
second board and issuers of the main board whose core business is either construction
or property development, the SC also imposes a one-year moratorium period
preventing major shareholders from selling, transferring or assigning 45 percent of
nominal issued and paid-up capital (Paudyal et al., 1998; Wan-Hussin, 2006). These
requirements are imposed to protect minority shareholders by ensuring active
participation of the controlling and major shareholders in the management of the
company throughout the lock-up period.
200
180 OSR IPORTN
160
140
IPORTN = 94.91%
120
100
80 IPORTN = 31.99%
OSR = 43.71 OSR = 32.44
60
40
20
0 Figure 1.
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Initial returns (IPORTN)
and OSR of Malaysian
Note: The dotted line marks the year that segregated between the periods covered in Yong and Isa (2003) IPOs, 1990-2007
(1990-1998) and the present study (1999-2007)
JIABR
Variables Mean Range SD Skew Kurt J-Bera t-stat. Z-stat.
1,1
IPORTNA 0.320 2 0.667 to 2.077 4 £ 102 1 1.412 5.467 226
IPORTNS 0.321 2 0.489 to 1.941 4 £ 102 1 1.257 4.732 129
N
IPORTN 0.312 2 0.667 to 2.077 5 £ 102 1 1.878 6.931 65 0.131 2 0.913
DEMANDA 32.439 2 0.940 to 377.960 5 £ 101 3.314 17.499 4,087
64 DEMANDS 32.709 2 0.940 to 377.960 5 £ 101 3.327 17.386 3,485
DEMANDN 30.743 2 0.400 to 229.200 4 £ 101 2.830 14.266 351 0.332 2 0.902
OFSIZEA 6.09 £ 107 840,000 to 2 £ 108 8.645 88.833 123,297
3.05 £ 109
S 7
OFSIZE 4.45 £ 10 840,000 to 2 £ 108 8.878 92.588 115,735
2.01 £ 109
N 8
OFSIZE 1.64 £ 10 1.68 £ 106 to 5 £ 10 8
4.661 24.956 1,256 2 3.406 * 2 1.919 *
3.05 £ 109
IPORISKA 1.445 0.208 to 6.250 1 £ 10 1.645 5.488 273
IPORISKS 1.475 0.208 to 6.250 1 £ 10 1.633 5.342 224
IPORISKN 1.257 0.217 to 3.571 9 £ 102 1 1.172 3.385 12 1.565 2 0.659
Table I. Notes: IPORTN is IPO initial returns as calculated in equation (1), DEMAND is OSR, OFSIZE is offer
Descriptive statistics size and IPORISK is risk of IPO as calculated in equation (2); superscripts A, S and N refer to all,
of main variables shari’a and non-shari’a IPOs, respectively
earlier findings (How et al., 2007; Saadouni et al., 2005) but is consistent with the
significantly lower IPO initial returns reported earlier in Japan after the removal of
price limits and introduction of public auction (Pettway and Kaneko, 1996). In a
separate study of IPOs in the USA, Bossaerts and Hillion (2001) suggested that in the
absence of price limits, the IPO returns are lower because the market prices the assets
more efficiently.
þ b5 IPORISKi þ 1i ð3Þ
This model specification is used to determine which (if any) of the predictor variables
has a significant role in explaining initial returns on the shari’a IPOs, separately from
the non-shari’a IPOs.
4. Empirical results
Table I presents the descriptive statistics of the main variables for the full sample,
shari’a and non-shari’a IPOs over the study period. The initial returns (IPORTN),
JIABR demand (OSRs) and risks (IPORISK) of the shari’a IPOs are obviously very similar to
1,1 those reported for the full sample, and only slightly higher than those of the non-shari’a
IPOs. With values of initial returns and demand closely resembling that of the full
sample, further discussion seems a repetition of the description of Figure 1. Our focus
is then on an interesting result concerning the IPO risk, which in contrast to our earlier
prediction indicates that shari’a IPOs (1.475) appear to be riskier than non-shari’a IPOs
66 (1.257). However, as indicated by the t- and Z-statistics, the only difference detected
between the two sub-samples is the size of the offer (OFSIZE). The average offer size of
a shari’a IPO is RM44.5 million while that of a non-shari’a IPO is RM164.01 million.
Table I also reports the results of the distribution of the observations, which all tend to
be positively skewed and have fat tails. The resulting Jarque-Bera statistics for all
variables reject the null hypothesis that the data are normally distributed. Accordingly,
the subsequent differences between the two subsamples are tested using both
parametric (t-test) and non-parametric (Mann-Whitney U-test) methods.
Table II shows the profiles of shari’a and non-shari’a IPOs in greater detail based on
company size, which is proxied using board of listing. Since both the t-test and the
Mann-Whitney U-test produce similar results, our discussion proceeds according with
the t-test to be more consistent with the reported mean values. Panel A of Table II
shows that the initial returns of shari’a IPOs listed on the main board (22.49 percent)
are significantly lower than those of the second board (31.83 percent) and the MESDAQ
(41.10 percent). Even though the difference between the initial returns of the second
board and MESDAQ IPOs is not significant, the trend consistently indicates a negative
relationship between IPO returns and firm size. There are two possible explanations
for this phenomenon. The first links with the risk-return trade-off whereby smaller
firms are commonly associated with greater risks, which implies higher returns are
necessary to compensate the investors. The second associates with the resulting prices
(or returns) in a particular supply-demand relationship.
As also shown in Panel A, Main Board shari’a companies seem to have greater
supply (offer size) compared to those of the second board, which in turn have greater
supply than those of MESDAQ. Assuming a constant pool of investable funds or a
constant demand for investment in IPO, more rather than less supply is likely to
generate less pressure on prices. This proposition is further reinforced by the next
finding on the significant negative relationship between demand (OSR) and firm size.
Integrated with earlier findings, the negative relationship implies that IPOs of larger
firms report lower initial returns because the larger supply-lower demand combination
subsequently creates less pressure on their prices. With respect to risk, the mean
values that show lowest risk for main board IPOs (0.7813) and highest risk for
MESDAQ IPOs (2.8109) consistently support our earlier proposition associating
company size and risk. The difference test results confirm the risk difference of IPOs of
different company size.
Unlike the more comparable number of cases of IPOs issued by listing board,
Table III indicates a leniency towards public issue IPOs. Public issue represents 60.62
percent of the sample (234), with 85.90 percent of them issued by shari’a-compliant
firms. Before we proceed with the discussion, it is worthwhile to note that as in the case
of Table III, the results of the t-test and Mann-Whitney U-test are similar, except only
stronger in a few cases involving comparisons between public issue and combination
of non-shari’a IPOs. This to some extent supports our finding regarding comparison
Main vs second Main vs Mesdaq Second vs Mesdaq
Variables Listing board Mean t-stat. Z-stat. t-stat. Z-stat. t-stat. Z-stat.
67
Table II.
Initial returns of
1,1
68
JIABR
Table III.
by types of offers
Profiles of shari’a
versus non-shari’a IPOs
Offer for Sale vs
Offer for sale vs public issue combination Public Issue vs Combination
Variables Type of offer Mean value t-stat. Z-stat. t-stat. Z-stat. t-stat. Z-stat.
consistently indicate negative relationships between initial returns and type of offer,
even though the result for the non-shari’a IPOs is not significant. Given that DOFTYPE of
1 represents a public issue, this finding suggests that high-initial returns are attributes
of offers for sale and/or combination types of offers. The tendency for the former is
slightly higher because offers for sale IPOs record higher average initial returns than
those of combination (data for the full sample is not reported). The strong results
reported for shari’a IPOs also contradict the patterns of average initial returns reported
earlier in Table III, which suggest that higher initial returns on shari’a IPOs are
attributes of public issue offers. Finally, the coefficients of IPORISK suggest mixed
results regarding the relationships between risk and returns of IPOs. The negative and
weak relationship detected in the overall IPOs seems to be influenced by the negative
and significant relationship reported for the non-shari’a subsample. For this
sub-sample, other things equal, lower risks (which imply a higher offer price) are
significantly associated with higher underpricing. Putting aside the appropriateness of
the risk measure used in this study, the positive relationship from the shari’a IPOs is
more consistent with the risk-return theory and findings by Bradley and Jordan (2002),
but the evidence is weak.
The findings from the regression analyses so far lead us to the following conclusions.
First, regardless of the status of compliance with shari’a, initial returns of Malaysian
IPOs are driven by demand (OSR) factors. This conclusion lends strong support to
earlier findings (How et al., 2007; Paudyal et al., 1998; Wan-Hussin, 2006; Yong and Isa,
2003). Second, despite the preliminary evidence relating high-initial returns to smaller
firms, such a relationship is only supported as far as second board IPOs are concerned,
particularly when involving non-shari’a IPOs. Unlike Kim et al. (1995), who suggest an Initial returns of
association between initial returns and financial variables like type of offer, the results Malaysian IPOs
of this study indicate that the association between initial returns and public issue
(which seem to be detected in preliminary results) tends to be an attribute unique to
shari’a IPOs. The negative coefficients of public issue in the overall sample and shari’a
sample in the meantime are consistent with results by How et al. (2007). In contrast to
the risk-return trade-off proposition, risk is significantly negative in the case of 71
non-shari’a IPOs, probably because more non-shari’a IPOs (43 percent) are listed on the
main board than shari’a IPOs (28 percent), and larger firms are more commonly
associated with lower risks. In general, the regression models explain at best 37.16
percent of the variations in initial returns of Malaysian IPOs, indicating a great need for
additional predictors.
Notes
1. The prohibition of riba is unequivocal in Islam not only to avoid injustice due to its exploitative
nature of the rich capital provider of the poor debtor but also to avoid injustice to the capital
provider from suffering diminution on the lent capital (El-Gamal, 2000). Gharar refers to “the
sale of probable items whose existence or characteristics are not certain, due to risky nature
which makes the trade similar to maisir or gambling” (El-Gamal, 2000, p.7). Unlike riba, the
prohibition of gharar is somewhat less-strictly imposed for the very reason that no investment
(direct or indirect) can be totally free from risk of losses (El-Gamal, 2000). A special case of
gharar is maisir, or gambling, which is prohibited for its obvious nature of gaining merely by
chance, without any underlying productive activity taking place (El-Gamal, 2000). The fact
that equity capital invested in productive activities of Shari’a-compliant companies generates
profits, of which a portion (dividend) will be distributed proportionately among equity holders
and that the seemingly “speculative” common stock trading is a standard arbitrage
opportunity sought in any productive business transaction (El-Gamal, 2000) have allowed
common stocks to be one of the permissible investments.
2. Since March 1993, CIC’s functions have been officially taken over by the SC with the tabling
of the Securities Commission Bill 1992 by the Minister of Finance in October 1992.
3. Public issue refers to new shares of stocks offered to the public for the first time and
therefore results in an increase in the paid-up capital of the issuing company. Offer for sale
refers to shares that are already sold to the original stockholders, who in turn offer their
shares for sale to the public. Accordingly, there is no change in the paid-up capital of the
issuing company, as the proceeds from sale go to the original owner. The purpose of offer for
sale is to restructure the ownership structure of the company in line with the government’s
rules and regulations.
4. In a separate test, the results of which are not reported to conserve space, we group
MESDAQ and second board IPOs together to take a value of 1 to capture the small firm
effect on the initial returns. Surprisingly, despite the earlier results in Table II, which show
that there is no initial return difference between second board and MESDAQ IPOs, we find
results that consistently show that DCOSIZE has no significant role in explaining initial
returns on IPOs.
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Corresponding author
Ruzita Abdul Rahim can be contacted at: ruzitaar@ukm.my