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Inference
BBA-VB
Chapter 5
Standard Normal Distribution (Z-Distribution)
Dr Imtiaz Husain
Definition:
• The standard normal distribution, also called the z-distribution, is a special
normal distribution where the mean is 0 and the standard deviation is 1.
We only need to know the mean and standard deviation of our distribution to find the z-score of a value.
Normal Distributions Calculations
The standard normal distribution table provides the probability that a
normally distributed random variable Z, with mean equal to 0 and
variance equal to 1, is less than or equal to z.
Diagrammatically, the probability of Z less than 'a' being Φ(a), as
determined from the standard normal distribution table, is shown
below:
Probability between z-values
• The key requirement to solve the probability between z-values is to
understand that the probability between z-values is the difference
between the probability of the greatest z-value and the lowest z-
value:
Standard Normal distribution
• Formula:
Finding probability using the z-distribution:
• Find the probability of SAT scores in the exam exceeding 1380, mean
of the distribution is 1150, and the standard deviation is 150. Find
the z-score.
Solution:
• The z-score tells us how many standard deviations away 1380 is from the mean (1150).
µ = 527
σ = 112
Pr{X > 500} = Pr{Z > -0.24}
= 1 – 0.4052 = 0.5948
How high must an individual score on the
GMAT in order to score in the highest 5%?
Solution: x−
z=
x − 527
µ = 527 0.8289 =
112
σ = 112 0.8289(112) = x − 527
P(X > ?) = 0.05 92.8368 = x − 527
⇒ P(Z > ?)= 1 - 0.05 x = 92.8368 + 527
= 0.95 x = 619.8
⇒ Z = 0.8289
The average number of acres burned by forest and range fires in a large New Mexico
county is 4,300 acres per year, with a standard deviation of 750 acres. The
distribution of the number of acres burned is normal. What is the probability that
between 2,500 and 4,200 acres will be burned in any given year?
Solution:
Normal Distribution
486 + 4300 = x
x = 4786
The Edwards’s Theater chain has studied its movie customers to determine how
much money they spend on concessions. The study revealed that the spending
distribution is approximately normally distributed with a mean of $4.11 and a
standard deviation of $1.37. What percentage of customers will spend less than
$3.00 on concessions?
• Solution:
x−
z=
What spending amount corresponds to the
th
top 87 percentile?
Solution:
x−
z=
x = 4.86
x − 4.11
0.5517 =
1.37
0.5517 (1.37 ) = x − 4.11
0.755829 = x − 4.11
0.755829+4.11 = x
The length of life of an instrument produced by a machine has a normal distribution
with a mean of 12 months and standard deviation of 2 months. Find the probability
that an instrument produced by this machine will last
a) less than 7 months.
b) between 7 and 12 months.
Solution: x − 7 − 12
(a) P(x < 7) = =
2
(c)For x = 70000, z = 1
Area to the right (higher) of z = 1 is equal to 0.1586 = 15.86% earn more than $70,000.
A large group of students took a test in Physics and the final grades have a mean of 70 and
a standard deviation of 10. If we can approximate the distribution of these grades by a
normal distribution, what percent of the students
a) scored higher than 80?
b) should pass the test (grades≥60)?
c) should fail the test (grades<60)?
Solution:
a) For x = 80, z = 1
Area to the right (higher than) z = 1 is equal to 0.1586 = 15.87% scored
more that 80.
b) For x = 60, z = -1
Area to the right of z = -1 is equal to 0.8413 = 84.13% should pass the
test.
c)100% - 84.13% = 15.87% should fail the test.
Thank You