Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Sincerely,
Alice Qinhua Zhou
Chair of Yale Graduate Student Consulting Club (YGCC)
www.yale.edu/consulting/
20 106 Grace Proof Paper BCG and SOM II Market Entry Consumer Goods 3 5 4
Our client is a large global pharmaceutical company that has succeeded in developing drugs
Prompt
for the treatment of rare diseases (fewer than 200,000 sufferers in the US). Our client wants
to double its sales in its rare disease business in five years. They have hired us to figure out
how to do it.
• The sales of our current portfolio of drugs is 2.5B and is forecast to grow by 60% by the
end of five years.
Additional Info
• Generally, the small population for each disease means that no companies are competing
to treat the same disease. There are an estimated 7,000 rare diseases with no drug right
now, which can become new drug targets.
• It takes 10 years to develop a drug from the beginning of research to launch.
The maximum revenue per drug is $500M, which depends on the number of patients, not
the launching time.
• All the calculations do not consider interest, inflation, discount rate.
• Exhibit 1: Drugs currently under development
• Exhibit 2: Market penetration
• Before structuring, a good candidate should ask the quantitative goal of the project and
ideas the client are considering. With those in mind, the candidate should explore all
possibilities to increase sales and conclude with quantitative analysis back-up.
Structure
• Since the goal here is to double sales, the interviewer should mainly focus the revenue.
The revenue can be broken down into
• Current sales
• Drugs under development
• Acquire (or joint venture) new drugs
• An excellent candidate should form a hypothesis. A sample hypothesis could be
“projected current sales and revenues from drugs in pipeline is enough to achieve the
goal”. The candidate should state that if the data does not support the hypothesis, he will
move on to consider acquiring new drugs.
• A general understanding of market will lead the candidate to conclude that rare disease
market is promising.
• Revenue from current sale by the end of the 5th year is: 2.5B × 60% = 1.5B.
• So, this leaves 2.5B - 1.5B = 1B to be added through new products in order to reach the
target of 5B in 5 years.
• From Exhibit 1 & 2, with the growth of current sale and potential revenue from drugs in
pipeline, a gap of 2.5B − 1.5B − 600M = 400M should be closed by acquiring new targets.
• The interviewer waits to see if the candidate takes the initiative to propose such question:
what is the minimum number of drugs that needs to be acquired to reach the goal.
• By assuming $500 potential revenue from phase III drug(s), calculate the minimum (x)
number of new drugs need to be acquired is 500M × x × 80% × 40% = 400M
• So x = 2.5, i.e. at lease 3 drugs.
To double the sales by the end of 5th year, we recommend to acquire at least 3 phase III
drugs because projected current revenue (1.5B) and potential revenue from products under
development (600M) together leave us a $400M gap in achieving the goal. This analysis
Summary
assumes no variation of attrition and penetration rate variation among drugs and the same
maximal revenue for each drug, and estimates that our client should acquire 3 phase III
drugs. It is also possible to push the regulation approve faster on rare disease. Some
potential risks could be the uncertainty in getting FDA approvals and the unavailability of
acquiring targets. Next, we will work out the cost-effective implementation plan to achieve this
goal.
Research 6 10 10%
Phase I 4 5 20%
Phase II 3 3 40%
1 20%
2 30%
3 40%
* Penetration means percentage of max revenue/drug accumulated by the end of 5th year.
Our client is a cookie maker. It sells to high schools and universities. They found that their
sales from one private boy’s high school, called Alessio, has been flat whereas others
increased by 25%. Why and how to solve the problem?
Substitutes Customer
Factors
A good candidate should ask about the quantitative goal and some general understanding of
Note
the business (product portfolio). For example, the solution should result in the growth rate of
that high school to be as same as the other schools they are serving.
client sells.
• The interviewer should lead the candidate to cross out “know” and “will” factors. As for
“can”, the candidate can consider open hours, locations and shelf spaces.
• Only when the candidate mentions the possibility of an inventory shortage should the
interviewer show the Exhibit 1 & 2. From Exhibit 1 & 2, the candidate should notice that
both chocolate cookies and chocolate chips cookies have been sold out.
How many months to break even if we add one additional shelf to each cart?
• Assume students need of more these types of cookies and the growth rate is 25%, same
as other schools.
• $1500 = x × $0.5 × (2000+2000) × 25%
• x=3
We recommend adding additional shelves to store chocolate cookies because the saturation
Summary
of inventory in chocolate cookies limited the growth in this high school it takes 1/3 of an
academic year (an academic year contains 9 months) to break even, assuming the same
growth rate and that the client will stay in the school for the next few years. The next step is to
analyze the other potential solutions such as changing the inventory mix.
Our client is a car rental company in US. They have been successfully entered west Europe
region. Now, they are thinking about entering the east Europe region. Should they enter?
What factors should they consider?
• Quantitative goal, gain $200,000 profit / year by the end of the third year
• The total revenue of the current market at that region 10M and will steadily linearly grow
Additional Info
by 10%/yr for the next 5-10 years. In other words, increase 30% by the end of the third
year
• Current competitor in that region: 1 international firm shares 35%, 1 local firm shares 45%,
and the other firms share the rest 20%
• No segmentation of the market
• All companies in that market has the same profit margin, 5%
• No regulation as an entry barrier
• Our client has 35% of the west Europe market
• A good candidate should ask the quantitative goal and then notice that the profit goal is
not high for a large corporation and ask why. One explanation is that the profit margin is
low for rental car industry and therefore they don’t expect to gain much in the first few
years given the initial investment.
• Use the market entry framework (see Exhibit 1 for example)
• Given the total revenue of the market (10M), growth rate (10%/yr), profit margin, and
profit goal, the candidate should calculate how much market share (x) the company
should gain in order to reach the goal.
Analyze
• The candidate should move to the next branch and mention three possibilities:
• Partner
Analyze
• Acquire
• From scratch
• For the first two options, the client can almost immediately achieve such goal or even
faster, with the associated risk and strategy unexplored. For the last option, the client will
facing several entry barriers such as brand loyalty, learning curve, capital requirements,
and all types of business problems that might not be transferable. It will be relative easier
if the client has past experience in successfully entering similar market.
Summary
We recommend to enter the eastern EU market because the market is growing and profitable.
To achieve $200,000 profit goal by the end of third year, we need to gain 30% of market
share by M&A or joint venture. Next step is to consider work out an implementation plan on
how to achieve M&A and to minimize associated risk.
How to gain
Enter? M&A
market
Joint venture/
partner
Opportunity cost
Competitor
reaction
Big Box is a retailer company like Wal-Mart. Big Box is currently the market leader and has
Prompt
been growing steadily at the rate of industry average. The CEO of the company has a gut
feeling that something with the company has gone wrong. He asks you to figure out what
went wrong if something did go wrong.
• One new competitor has been gaining share over the past few years and has been
projected to continuously grow in the future.
Additional Info
• Gross profits of competitor and our client are the same, 100M. The gross profits exclude
fix costs, i.e. πgross= Revenue - Variable Cost
• Our client sells only 2–3 products from the same company, while the competitor sells 4-6
products per company. The distribution and SG&A costs are the same between the client
and the competitor.
• Our client pays to its employees a higher benefit package and therefore the employees
stay longer. In contrast, the competitor only pays a minimal benefit package and its
turnover rate is higher.
• Exhibit 1: Sales data of our client and competitor
Substitutes Customer
Factors
Will (attracted)
• A good candidate should ask whether there is any specific “gut” feeling the CEO has in
mind (However, the interviewer should provide no additional information upon asking.)
and can state his/her assumption that the “gut” feeling is about profitability since
Note
• From Exhibit 1, the candidate should notice that the sales of computers are much higher
than our competitors, while the sales of the household is the lowest among all the
segments and lower than our competitors.
• Although the gross profit is the same as competitor, the client earn less revenue than the
competitor but we have higher overall gross profit margin since the computer segment
has the highest profit margin.
• It is hard to tell which company overall is more profitable (no fixed cost info)
Analyze
Math question: calculate the revenue of each company (Rclt and Rcomp)
• As for the sales, we need to consider: Location, Open hours, Sale force, Layout, and
Promotion
• To increase food/drink goods sale, we might need to
• Improve our layout
• Train sales force
• Attract traffic by promotion
• The interviewer can tell the candidate the information about our employee benefit
package. The candidate can reasonably state that the reason why the client sells those
high tech goods better is because the client has more experienced labor and the client
may have established such reputation among customers.
The problem is that Big Box has lower revenues than the competitor. We recommend that our
client increase revenue by bundling sales, improving layout, employee training program and
promotion. Next, we would like to work with you on the implementation plan of these
recommendations and further investigate ways to lower fixed costs.
% of Sales
Goods Contribution Margina
Client Competitor
Computer/tech 70% 20% 40%
Media 20% 30% 10%
Food/drink 10% 30% 20%
Household 0% 20% 20%
aContributionmargins and defined as (price - variable cost)/price and are the same for client and competitor.
The interviewer should tell the candidate of contribution margin without explain the meaning of it unless asked.
Revenue of each segment Rclt x 70% Rclt x 20% Rclt x 10% Rclt x 0%
Profit of each segment Rclt x 70% x 40% Rclt x 20% x 10% Rclt x 10% x 20% Rclt x 0% x 20%
Rclt × 70% × 40% + Rclt × 20% × 10% + Rclt × 10% × 20% + Rclt × 0%
Total Profit
× 20% = $100M; So Rclt = $312.5M
Revenue of each segment Rcomp x 20% Rcomp x 30% Rcomp x 30% Rcomp x 20%
Profit of each segment Rcomp x 20% x 40% Rcomp x 20% x 10% Rcomp x 20% x 20% Rcomp x 20% x 20%
Rcomp × 20% × 40% + Rcomp × 30% ×10% + Rcomp × 30% × 20% + Rcomp × 20%
Total Profit
× 20% = $100M; So Rcomp = $476.2M
Pick your favorite magazine, how can you increase their revenue?
• 50 years ago, 90% of revenue comes from ad. Nowadays, the percentage has dropped to
40% (30% paper ad and 10% online ad, no data for tablet ad)
Additional Info
• Before structuring, the candidate could ask why focus on revenue not profit? Any
numerical goal?
• Issue tree: see Exhibit 1 for example
• Lets take BusinessWeek for example. The revenue comes from two sources: subscription
and advertisement.
Analyze
• Lead the candidate to discuss different ways to attract more subscription (see Exhibit 2
for sample answers). Increasing/decreasing the price of subscription is not entirely
unacceptable. However, the elasticity of the price is high at high price and low at low price
and may result in revenue decrease.
• A good candidate should ask for revenue data and conclude that the problem comes from
ad revenue. Then if the candidate may ask for price and volume information on ads,
provide him/her Exhibit 3.
• Ask the candidate to list factors that affect the number of ad pages sold or how to increase
ad pages sold (see Exhibit 4 for sample answers)
• A good candidate should mention that
• The business type magazine may make customer rich;
• If the competitors are cutting budget on ad in recession, the ad can stand out and
attract their customers.
Analyze
• Annual subscription (about 1M) × online Readers per Copy (about 10) × % of click the
online ad (about 0.1%) × $5 / 1000 click = $50
• The candidate should conclude that if charge the ad by clicking, the online revenue could
be neglected.
• If the candidate mention tablet ad, ask the candidate to the pricing strategy of tablet ad
compared to print ad. A potential answer could be “Ad rate on ipad can be the same as
print ad or even higher because ipad ad is still a part of reading experience and ipad is
capable of interactivity, video and other elements that make ad more effective.”
Content
Improve product
(retain current customer)
Printing tech
Younger generation
(Facebook)
Institutional
Find new subscribers
cooperation
International market
Source: PerfectMarket.com
Magazine Contents
Know
Magazine Reputation
Ad fee
Space available
Will
Quality of ad
presented
The client makes and sells low end grills for cooking in US and has been industry leader for
the past decades. They are thinking of selling premium grill. Should they do it?
Additional Info
• The candidate should ask the motivation of the new idea (which is making more money)
and then state using that as major criteria.
• A good candidate can write down other possibilities that are beyond the scope of this
case (for example, selling products that require similar tech such as portable stove,
selling complements, enter other international market, etc).
Structure
• So if the company capture 20% of market share, potential revenue growth is 600M x 20%
= 120M
Lead the candidate through value chain (or cost structure) and consider
Analyze
• R&D
• Infrastructure compatibility
• Capacity
• Sales/marketing
Summary
We recommend that the client enter the premium grill market. They can achieve their goal
either by acquiring one-to-several of their competitors. Alternatively, they can directly compete
with differentiated products that better meet customer needs and utilize a well-planned
marketing strategy. Our next steps could be to analyze the possibility of M&A.
The client is a coffee shop chain in NYC. They found the other coffee shop is selling ice
cream and they wonder if they should do so as well.
• The candidate should ask about the motivation of the new plan (which is making more
money) and use this as the major criterion as the case flows: selling ice cream has to add
Structure
profit and we need to estimate the revenue and cost of selling ice cream.
• Three major estimate methods on revenue side are:
• Max Revenue: market size x growth x the share client can get
• Min Revenue: based on cost, pricing data, calculate how much volume need to
generate, compare with market share to determine achievable or not
• “Pilot” Revenue: try the idea in small portion of the business and test if it work in that
small portion and within certain time period (notice the bias of sampling).
• Risks:
• Legal issues
• Competitors’ response
• Additional criteria: brand image
4pm and
25% $7 200×25%×$7=350 10% $6 250×10%×$6=150
beyond
causes drop in customer numbers in the afternoon? Are the driving forces dependent on
ice cream, or be specific to that pilot store? If possible, I would like to see more detailed
breakdown of ice cream sales versus coffee for each ticket.
Why the pilot program is not profitable?
Without further investigation into the preceding two issues, possible explanations include:
• The change of customer mix: more kids, more customer don’t value premium coffee; in
other words, the ice cream hurt the brand image
• Cannibalization between desert or coffee with ice cream
• Sampling bias
Summary
We recommend the client not to sell ice cream in their coffee chain because, based on the
data from pilot program, it will reduce revenue by cannibalization products, shift customer mix
to lower end products.
Source: www.coffeeforums.com Similarly, based on a typical ice cream recipe, you can figure that the gross margin is
around 60%. Notice that we didn’t count fixed cost in the calculation and the COGS can vary due to the recipe, quality of
raw material, and economic of scale.
The client manufactures and sells a medical device called laparoscope. The laparoscope
Prompt
allows doctors to perform both minor and complex surgeries with a few small cuts in the
abdomen. They have been the leader for the last 20 years and had control over price. In the
past 5 years, a new entrant from Chinese has taken 50% of the market share. How should
the client out compete the competitor?
• Market is flat because the innovation of laparoscope is slow. Only minor innovations have
been developed, such as the orientation of the handle
Additional Info
• Our customer are hospitals. Most hospitals concerned about the cost.
• The client send representatives on-site to train doctors in using the machine. This is a
majority of the cost structure.
• The competitor’s product has lower price. Some part of the laparoscope that the
competitor sells is removable and can be cleaned and reused. They don’t provide on-site
training and along with lower labor cost.
• Since the client is already a big name for hospitals, they don’t need to worry about access
to customer in the case.
• Analyze current market: Why has the competitor gained market share? What is the
difference between our client and the competitor?
• Customer: segmentation, particular needs
• Product: price, mix, quality
• The way we sale: channel, ad, promotion, service
• Expand to new market
How to out compete the competitor?
• The interviewer should tell the candidate that a customer survey shows that the hospitals
are now more sensitive to the price.
• To out compete the competitor, the client can
• Lower the price (and remain the same profit margin, if possible): compare our cost
Analyze
• The interviewer should tell the candidate that the study finds the client has higher costs in
Analyze
To compete with the competitor, we recommend the client 1) to cut off the on-site training to
save cost and lower the price, 2) to innovate on reduce usage cost of hospitals. The client
can also consider differentiation from the competitor by setting up a premium product
segment with a “good service” brand image.
Your client is a private equity firm that plans to buy all 30 teams of professional lacrosse
Prompt
league, which are only present in Northeast region. There was a player’s strike last year and
therefore those players got a 5% raise in their salary. Because of the strike, the league
canceled the whole season, lost TV contract and most of their revenue. Should they buy the
league? If so, what is the highest acceptable price if the client want to pay back in 3 years?
Additional Info
• The client wants to buy the Northeast segment of the lacrosse sport market, which has
been grown by 138% / year since 2001. Therefore, the client will become the monopoly of
the northeast lacrosse market and compete for audience attention with other sports.
• Ticket price = $30 / spectator, no differentiation on seat price, profit margin = 21%.
• Ticket revenue composes of 50% of total revenue.
• Exhibit 1: Ticket sales data of last season
• Exhibit 2: Survey over 1000 potential customers
Profit
Cost: equipment, labor, SG&A, tax, etc
Value chain
Buy? Implementation
Exit strategy
Responses
External
Legal issues
Risks
Financial
Internal
Operational
• Tell the candidate to focus on ticket revenue for the rest of the case and show the
candidate Exhibit 1.
• Please see the following table for the calculation of the profit from ticket sales
• Increase the number of games: show game, compete with other part of the
country, add new teams
• Increase the number of audience/game
• Target: students, corporate group activity
• Locations: capacity, transportation convenience
• Timing: game too long, summer too hot
• My initial hypothesis is that the game is too long to be attractive and we can shorten the
game to increase ticket revenue. To test this, I would like to conduct customer interviews/
survey.
need to understand
• Why they lose interest in lacrosse after 30 years old
• Why they prefer playing lacrosse but not watching it between age 18-30
• Some areas to further investigate are
• Marketing strategy
• Stadium: location, players, explanation of , cheer team performance, lucky draw
events
• Game rule: Length, break, score
• Season: length, time, number of games (not conflict with other major sport events,
comfortable whether)
• In the meantime, we need to make sure the teenagers will continue to watch game when
they get older.
We recommend to buy the league for no more than $210M because the market is growing
Summary
and the business is profitable with yearly ticket profit = $35M. However, in order to further
grow the business, we need to target those who have income to watch the game. We may
need to change the time, location and rules of the game and marketing strategy to satisfy our
targeting group. Next, I would like to further interview with customers to get their opinion on
those aspects.
• Private Equity buy company and sell them at higher price. So for all the PE cases, make
sure to mention how to further grow the business so that PE can sell higher 5-7 years
later.
Note
• Three common valuation methods consider stock price (if available), comparable deal
multiple (profit times multiple a constant (4-11) = deal price) and NPV. This simplified case
only ask the candidate to calculate current cash flow, one step before NPV.
• This case is designed to end the interview before reaching decisive conclusion on how to
improve the profitability.
Legend: color from dark to light: Play, Watch TV, Watch in stadium, Not interested
Source: YGCC
The client was a market leader of retail banks in South Africa. Despite that they have recently
lowered the cost to the lowest in the industry, the client is still not profitable in recent years.
The client has come to us to find ways of increasing revenue.
• Goal: profitable in 2 years (give the following information until the candidate ask, i.e.
increase revenue by 20%)
• Retail bank provides: checking account, saving account and loans
Additional Info
• A good candidate should ask clarifying questions such as what is retail banking, what
does client do and what specific goal do they have in mind.
Market Customers
Structure
External
Government regulation Competitors
Factors
Current
Product
Internal New
Service
• We don’t mention cost because cost has been lowered as mentioned in the prompt.
higher the attrition rate is, the less loyalty the customers are.)
• Our client’s attrition rate is much higher than world average and South Africa average. A
good candidate should take the initiative to ask “so what”, i.e. why is our attrition rate so
high and what shall we do? Aspects to be improved could be
• Product
• Product mix/variety
• Price
• Quality
• Brand image: trust
• Service
• Channel accessibility (mobile banking)
• Security (online purchase warning)
• Personalized context (email alert of new product)
To increase our revenue, I recommend that our client decrease our higher-than-average
Summary
attrition rate by increasing product variety, building trustable brand image, make our channel
more available and convenient for our customers. Also, we found that if we want to increase
revenue by 20%, we need to double our current market share which is challenging. In the
following weeks, I will look into how to increase our share in college loan and create
implementation plan to increase our customer loyalty.
Your client is a national hotel chain across US. It has a website for guests to book rooms.
Prompt
Guests can also book the room through a third party website, which offers an entire vacation
package, including air tickets, hotel, rental car etc. Your client is interested in growing the
revenues by offering its own website for booking the vacation packages and come to you for
advice.
• Percentage of profit from airfare = (10% × $160 × 2%) / ($125 × 10% + 10% × $160 × 2%)
≈ 2.5%
• State the obvious: so the airfare would only be a small proportion of the total profit.
• Drive the insight: if we are not considering the additional profit from booking the room, it
seems that airfare booking will only grow our revenue by 2.5%. Considering the risk of
losing relationship with our current partner and cannibalization, this is a good opportunity.
See answer for Q1. To minimize the risk of cannibalization, we can differentiate our service
from 3rd party website and target premium customers, such as free printing e-ticket of airfare
Analyze
What would you do to the third party website you launch your own website
for vacation packages?
Your client, ElectronicRS, is a national electronics chain store (like BestBuy). It is recognized
Prompt
by customers for its outdated products, such as printers, DVD players but not for the latest
electronic products they sell. The revenue in the past 3 years has thus stayed flat. The
manager would like to significantly increase the revenues in the next 3-5 years.
Additional Info
• External: market
• Segmentation, size, growth
• Competition
• Internal: profit
• Revenue of each revenue stream
• Profit margin k
• Implementation/risk
generate (100 + 350 + 300) / 2690 ≈ 28% of the total profit. In addition, those categories is
declining or flat. Unless we can reverse the declining demand of the industry, we should
less focus on those three categories.
• On the other side, the cell phone, Parts and Service has been growing and has been
profitable. I will choose cell phone as our primary focus base on impact and difficulty: 1)
cell phone profit composes larger percent of our total profit than Service and 2) there are
fewer types of products, which is easier to implement than Parts.
Our client is an electric device manufacturer of circuit breakers for households in US. Their
profit has been staggered and is looking for a new market for growth. They think electric car
chargers are interesting and wonder if they should enter.
Additional Info
• Exhibit 1: The electric car market is and will continue growing. The number of electric car
sold in 2015 is estimated between 50k to 500k. Since one car has one charger, the
number of car charger will be 50k to 500k.
Analyze
• Exhibit 2: The price of the charger is decreasing and the trend indicate that the price at
2015 will be stable around $500.
• Together, the market size of electric car charger is calculated to be $25M (= 50k × $500) ~
250M ( = 500k × $500).
• If we assume the client can grasp 20% market share, the estimated revenue at 2015
would be 5M and 50M.
• In order to determine the profitability, I would like to understand the cost structure of this
business so as to compare our revenue with the cost.
• According to the volume estimation in Exhibit 1, the candidate calculates the total annual
cost shown in Exhibit 4.
• Since the total cost for either scenario is higher than the potential revenue, this is not a
profitable business without considering the initial investment, implementation difficulty and
future competition.
Summary
I do not recommend that the client enter the electric car charger market because we will not
be profitable assuming the market size of electric car at either 500k or 50k by 2015, the price
of charger at $500, our share being 20% and the cost structure.
Source: YGCC
Source: YGCC
Our client is US pharmaceutical company. One of its blockbuster drugs will go off-patent next
Prompt
year. This drug generate $10B revenue per year. However, no new drug has been added to
the R&D pipeline since 4 years ago. They are looking for growth opportunities and find
disease management an interesting target. They hired us to find out if this area is worth
pursuing.
• The client’s criteria is “If the new market can cover 10B revenue lost from the blockbuster
drug.”
• The annual growth is 40% per year from 1997-2005.
• If our client enter the market, it would have 10 customers (institute/company) in two years.
On average, each customer has 30k employee. Only 50% of the employees will enrolled
in DM. 75% are healthy and the rest are not.
• The employer can save $500/employee/yr for those semi-healthy and save $200/
employee/yr for those healthy. For the simplicity of this case, lets assume the amount the
employer saves is equal to the client’s revenue.
How much would you predict our revenue to be if we enter this market?
Analyze
Besides developing new drug and selling them world wide, what other ways
the client can do to cover the lost revenue?*
• R&D and manufacturing: cosmetics
• Knowledge in disease and medicine: diagnosis devices and kits, health consultation
• Relationship with provider, patients: insurance, IT system for hospital
*This question test the candidate’s ability of “out of box thinking” or “creativity”. My thinking process is to look at the value
chain of Pharm, their capability at each step and see if any of their strength can be applied to an existing or emerging
industry, potentially with money left on the table. Using a more structure thinking process, even if you didn’t hit an interesting
option such as cosmetics, the interviewer will still value you more than if you are brainstorming because they can see where
your ideas comes from and if your creativity is repeatable
Disease management alone can only generate 41M of revenue and will not be sufficient to
Sum
cover the 10B lost. I recommend the client to looking into other opportunities such as
cosmetics, health consultation and insurance.
Your client is a luxury goods franchise that owns 14 brands. They are only in charge of
Prompt
marketing and a central reservation center. The others are operated by franchisee. The
franchisee must pay a franchise fee, which is 4% of revenue. The client is looking for growth
opportunity. What should they do?
Additional Info
• Our client’s website conversion rate (# of purchase / # of visit) is 5%, while the industry
average is 10%. Our client hasn’t update the website in past 4 years.
• Initial investment for updating website is 48M, the recurring cost is 4M. The client want to
breakeven in 3 years. We have 1M visitors/yr. The average spending is $12500 / visitor.
• Exhibit 1: Revenue in recent five years
• Exhibit 2: Profitability of each distribution channel
• External: market
• Segmentation, size, growth
• Competition
• Internal: profit
• Revenue of each revenue stream (volume × price, historical trend)
• Profit margin
• Implementation plan / risk
• Over the past few years, the “walk-in” segment is continuously growing and the most
profitable, while the other segments have been stable.
• My criteria to prioritize them is 1) impact and 2) difficulty. The walk-in segment has the
largest impact because it has been growing and it is the most profitable. However, since
the client has less control over them, it is hard to target this segment. Despite that the
website segment been stable, this segment has the second highest profit/customer and
Analyze
• The next step is to do a breakeven analysis to understand if we invest into the website,
how much we need to improve the conversional rate to breakeven.
The interviewer provide additional information on breakeven analysis.
• 1M visitors/yr × additional conversion rate x × $12500/visitor × 4% commission fee × 3yr =
$48M + 3yr × $4M/yr. A common error is missing this 4%.
• So, the additional conversion rate for breakeven is 4%. The industry average is 10% still
larger than 5% + 4% so this goal is realistic and if we reach the same or higher
conversion rate, we will increase our revenue.
Summary
To further grow the business, I recommend to invest in updating the website to increase
our conversion rate (currently 5%) to match with industry average (10%). We prioritize the
website because of it has the second highest profit/customer and relatively easy to
implement. We can breakeven in 3 years if we increase the conversion rate to 9%.
Source: YGCC
Source: YGCC
Your client is a national retail bank that has 1000 branches. They are looking for growth
opportunities among 3 options: 1) buy small retail bank, 2) build branches from scratch and 3)
Prompt
direct banking (offer financial service without branches). In the case, let’s focus on the first
option. The client is considering acquiring bank B, which operates 200 branches in
metropolitan areas. The current deal includes $100M premium in addition to the valuation.
The client comes to you and ask if the deal makes sense.
• Additional revenue
• Capture the new group of customer
Structure
From Exhibit 2, we can see that bank B has much lower profitability than our client. In order
to understand why, we compare the revenue/branch and cost/branch and find that it is the
revenue drives the lower profitability of bank B. Their revenue per branch is lower than ours
while the cost is comparable considering lack of economic of scale.
Those 200 branches is going to generate additional $950M/5 - 40M = $150M of profit, which
is larger than the 100M premium.
Summary
The 100M premium is acceptable because after the deal, we can transform the bank B into
a more profitable bank as we are and therefore generate additional 150M profit/yr.
Your client is a national retail bank in US. They have 3 business unit: credit cards, mortgages
and loans, saving and checking accounts. The client want to achieve $10M/yr cost saving on
printing and mailing of the statements.
• Email or online content (save both print and mailing cost): environmental campaign
• Fax (save mailing cost but not cost on machine or printing)
Structure
I would like to understand the cost of each item above for different segments of each item and
find areas we can reduce the cost.
enough to accommodate additional 5M statements per month, I would also subtract the
cost of the new machine from our cost saving analysis.
• We can pre-sort all the different types of statements together to get more volume
discount. I would like to calculate how much saving we can achieve per year by doing so.
The interviewer provide additional information set 2
• Saving on printing mortgage statement:
• First year: ¢2 × 10M × 12 - 2M = 0.4M/yr
• Second year and beyond: 2.4M/yr
• Saving on mailing: ¢1 × (50M + 10M + 5M) × 12 = 7.8M/yr
• Together, 10.2M/yr from second year and beyond. So we can achieve this goal by
implementing those two cost saving transformations.
I would like to compare those two options see which one is more cost efficient.
Analyze
• If the additional transportation cost surpass the new machine investment and
• If the company is capable and willing to handle the printing.
As long as the candidate can validate his/her recommendation, either answer is fine.
Credit card 50 2 12 36
Mortgage 10 2 18 40
Debit card 5 2 10 42
The Director of the IT department of famous retail Bank comes to you and asks you if they
should move the Data center from California to Texas.
• Implementation
• Cash
• Time
• Tech such as server, connection network
• Talent: can we keep them
• Risk
• Employee morale
• Street perspective
The analysis shows that we can breakeven in 2 years, which is less than 3-year-breakeven-
goal. So we should move the data center. Next, I would like to form a implementation plan
and discuss the potential risk associated with it.
The client is a major pharmaceutical company and they are interested in investing in medical
devices. Which market should they enter?
Additional Info
• Attractiveness (market size × growth × the share client can get × profit margin - initial
investment cost)
Structure
From Exhibit 1, each drug delivery method has its advantages and disadvantages. According
to my framework, to prioritize them, I would like to evaluate the market size (demand from
doctors) first. In order to estimate the market size, we need to know which device doctors
favor most at certain circumstances. I could conduct a survey on what factors doctors
consider most in prescribing those devices, such as Dose precision and Emotional Stress of
patients and safety issues.
BCG has surveyed 10,000 doctors and Exhibit 2 summarizes their responses
Analyze
• From Exhibit 2, we see that the safety and efficacy are the two most important factors
cross different types of diseases. Therefore, the inhaler will not be a good target because
it could potentially cause oral cancer. Considering the pain and dose precision, the skin
patch seems more suitable for serious diseases than the auto-injector. As for the mild and
acute diseases, both one-shot and slow-release types are suitable. If we do need to match
one device with one disease category, the one-shot works better for mild disease than the
slow release type because the doctors have slightly higher emphasize on the efficacy.
(However, we need to determine 5% of difference is statistically significant or not.)
• The next step is to determine which one will give higher net profit. I will first start with
understand the overall market size and the profitability if we step into anyone of the
market.
• The sales data in Exhibit 3 indicates that the total profit of the auto-injector market is
(1+1.2) × $200 × 20% = $88B and only 3M × $100 × 25% = $75M for the skin patch.
• So the auto-injector market is the most attractive.
• Next, I would like to evaluate our capability to gain market share and initial cost to set-up
this product line.
Analyze
• Externally, we need to consider the competitors’ reaction: how will they react to our entry,
will our movement will followed by others?
• Internally, opportunity cost of the investment, cannibalization with current product portfolio
(e.g. if the client are selling normal injectors.) and brand image are the things we need to
consider.
Source: YGCC
Note: We notice that efficacy may be dependent on the dose precision and therefore the listing of factors is not MECE.
Volumea 3M 1B 1.2B
Your client manufactures grace proof paper manufactured mainly for microwave popcorn
Prompt
package. The paper prevents the oil in the popcorn or the package from leaking into the
microwave when heating. Two sheets of paper can be folded into one popcorn paper bag.
Our client just invented a 10 times more grace proof paper. It only takes one sheet to make a
bag. They have patented it and come to us to help them: what should they do with this paper?
• Other usage than pop-corn packaging is not considered. (But encourage a good
Additional Info
• Profitability estimation: market size × growth × the share client can get × profit margin -
initial investment cost
• In this case, since we assumed that the number of bags sold to the pop-corn manufacturer
Structure
is the same for the new product, “market size × growth × the share client can get” are
condensed to volume sold of 100M bags. Also, the new product is not a pharmaceutical
new product, the initial investment of R&D is not significant and can be neglected. Now, it
leaves us to discuss the profit margin, since the manufacturer knows the cost, the only
question left to us, consultants, is pricing strategy.
• As a candidate, we can ask the interviewer basic questions about market size, growth and
competition (market share) to get an overall picture of the market, as well as sense of the
focus of the case. Then navigating to the profit side, the candidate has two options
determine volume or determine price to get total profit.
If the competitor will only bear more than 10% of profit margin, what price
would you recommend?
• Their cost is $0.25/bag, so the lowest price they can bear (x) is (x-0.25) / x = 10%, i.e.
0.25 / 90% = $0.2778, which is higher than $0.2375. So we can price lower than their
bottom line at $0.275, which will gives us total profit of $30M (see Exhibit 2 for
calculation) and we might drive the competitor out of the market.
• Of course, we haven’t considered if the customers are willing to switch to the new grace
paper because they might need to modify their packaging procedure and might worry
about safety issues with the new grace paper.
We recommend to sell the new grace proof paper between $0.2375 to $0.275 because this
Summary
will gives us 5-30M of profit and is still pricing lower than the competitors. Here, we assumed
manufacturing at full capacity, the customers are willing to switch to us and the competitor
can not bear lower than 10% profit margin. Next, I would like to calculate the price if we
consider the R&D and implementation cost. We also would like to work with you to discuss
the possibility of expand capacity and selling the grace proof paper for other uses.
Current New
To calculate x, we have the equation: ($x - $0.0625) × 100M - $12.5M = $5M, so x = $0.2375
FC $12.5M
• Major products of our client are low-end compact car, SUV etc. So we will only enter the
low-end market.
• One comparable US competitor sells low-end cars both in China and US. They are the
leader in US.
• The quality of our products are similar to the competitor.
• The variable cost of manufacturing is the same as the competitor.
• Exhibit 1: Sales and market data
Q2: Exhibit 1 shows the sales data of our client and the US competitor in
China and US. What is the low-end car market size of US and China?
Analyze
Comparing the two market: first calculate the revenue = price × volume and market size =
revenue / share (see Exhibit 2). We notice that the low-end market composes a lower
percentage of total market in US than in China, yet that the absolute market size of low-end
market is higher in US than in China. Assuming the market is quite mature and stable in US,
the size of the US low-end market is ok.
We notice that the competitor actually charges a higher price in China than in US. This is
possibly due to 1) premium brand image and 2) additional tariff cost and distribution,
marketing and sales cost. However, if the client enters US, we would not have such premium
brand image and we probably need to keep the low price to get into the market. In addition,
we are going to face a cost disadvantage by importing cars to US. This raises concerns about
how profitable we can be in the US low-end market.
Analyze
Q4: Assume that we can sell similar units and price if we enter US market,
how much market share do we need to obtain?
The revenue target will be the same as we currently have in China, which is $530.5M. Since
we are only entering low-end US market, its market size is $8B. $530.5M / $8B = 6.63%.
I recommend not entering the US low-end market because from the market side, the market
size in US is slightly larger than the Chinese market. However, from the profitability point of
view, to gain similar profit from US as from China, we need to achieve more than 6.63% of
market share and become a market leader, which is quite impossible due to low brand
awareness. Even if we do, the additional cost from transportation, entry sales/marketing and
potentially lower price will further decrease our profit from US. Next, I would like to find other
attractive market for you to enter such as high-end Chinese market.
Summary
30 years ago, the Japanese entered the US market with no cost advantage or
brand image. They are now the market leader. Why can’t we mimic them?
The key here is to answer the challenge from CEO diplomatically (disagree without
offending). “Yes, it is true that Japanese succeed because they differentiated themselves from
US competitors by innovating in safety and fuel efficiency. If we are be able to do so or
compete in a niche market first, entering US might be a good idea. If time allows, we can
work with you to identify such niche market in the future engagement.”
1 15,000 10% 10,000 150M 1.5B 12,500 10% 12,000 150M 13,000 13.65% 10,500 136.5M 1B
2 20,000 12% 12,000 240M 2B 17,500 11.55% 13,200 231M 15,000 12.5% 12,500 187.5M 1.5B
3 5,000 7.5% 12,500 62.5M 0.833B 4,500 7.56% 14,000 63M 12,500 6.75% 13,500 168.75M 2.5B
4 6,000 5% 13,000 78M 1.56B 7,500 7.5% 15,600 117M 8,000 3.73% 14,000 112M 3B
5 -- -- -- -- 0.6B 4,500 15% 20,000 90M 42,000 15.27% 20,000 840M 5.5B
Our client is HelpDesk, Inc, a company that provides outsourced IT services to large
commercial and industrial clients. For a fixed monthly fee, customers receive the right to
Prompt
make unlimited IT helpdesk calls to our client. When a customer call cannot be resolved over
the phone by call-center technicians, on-site technicians are dispatched to address problems
in person at the customers’ sites. As the company’s operations have grown, its profit has
declined. We have been hired to diagnose the problem and recommend a solution.
Additional Info
• External: market
• Segmentation, size, growth
Structure
• Competition, substitute
• Internal: profit
• Revenue streams
• Customers
• Product
• How we sell
• Cost
Q2: What do you think are the most important operational costs?
Analyze
• See Exhibit 1 for additional information the interviewer should give when the interviewee
asks and for the details of calculation. One common mistake is not to consider the on-site
visit cost associated with each technician.
• State the obvious: so technician A is more cost-effective as A costs $15 less per call than
B. Although technician A takes fewer calls per hour, he/she refers fewer cases to the on-
site team.
Analyze
• Drive the insights: we need to investigate why technician A refers fewer. Is it because he/
she spend longer time with the customer? (A reasonable hypothesis)
• State the obvious: We can see a correlation between number of calls per hour and the
referral rate: the fewer calls a technician deals with, the lower referral rate and therefore
the more cost-effective that technician is. (There is also some minor clustering: a group
clustering toward A and the other clustering at top right corner.)
• Drive insights: It is possible that as the business grew, we hired more B type technicians
and therefore drove the cost up. Do you have any historical data indicate this is the case?
• Know: not aware that referring more on-site visit costs more for the company
Analyze
We recommend reducing the referral rate by providing more training and refined incentives to
Summary
less cost-effective call center technicians and by referring unsolved cases to more
experienced techs. We found that the less time technician spend on each call, the higher the
referral rate and thus higher cost per call. Next, our team would like work with you to design
the implementation plan. Also, we can look into other options to lower the cost.
Cost / on-site visit = $50/hr/person × persons/visit × 1hr/visit + $20 other cost / visit = $120 / visit
Known Calculated
Call-center Time spent/call
Referral rate Wage/hr Calls/hr Cost/call Cost/technician/call
technician (min)
$30 / 2 15 + 120 × 15%
A 30 15% $30 2
= $15 = $33
$30 / 5 6 + 120 × 35%
B 12 35% $30 5
= $6 = $48
Source: YGCC
Your client is an advocacy group for a national cancer society. Your client wants to investigate
differences in cancer survival rates between patients that have health insurance and patients
that do not. What factors would you consider?
Cancer types
Genetics
Patients
Structure
Life styles
Factors
Prevention (related education or training)
Diagnosis (frequency)
Processes
Treatment (drug, surgery, mental care)
Proportion of population
Insurance Survival Rate
Analyze
• Compared with other countries, average US residents pay 20% more in purchasing
prescribed drugs, and they actually get 20% fewer pills. How much more are the drug
prices in the US than other countries?
• Solution: (1+20%) / (1-20%) = 1.5, which means 50% more
Q3: What are the possible reasons for higher drug prices in the US?
Analyze
R&D
Cost Transportation
Sales / marketing
High demands
Customers
Doctors and insurance companies agree on a high price
The client is a smart phone manufacturing company. They are thinking about launching two
new products together: “C” level premium smart phone (more functions) and low-end smart
phone. What factors should be consider?
Market Competitors
Structure
Substitutes
Worth?
Revenue
Profit
Cost
Enter? Implementation Issues along value chain
Competitor responses
External
Innovation speed
Risk
Financial
Internal
Operational
• The interviewer should dictate the following information through phone call. How many
low-end smart phones do we need to sell to generate equal profit with “C” level ones?
(Notice that the interviewer may ask you to estimate the price if time allows.)