Significance of

Population Data for

Planning and Decision
Making
2020 CPH Regional Data Dissemination Forum
on Population Counts
July 21, 2021

are influenced by the interplay of

the following events…
Population size are called…
(number) •FERTILITY – number of live births
in the locality
Age and Sex
•MORTALITY - deaths in the
Composition
locality
Spatial •MIGRATION – movement of
Distribution people from and to an area to
establish residence

“If people are not

counted, they are
excluded”
“ The everyday activities of all
human beings, communities
and countries are interrelated
with population change,
patterns and levels of use of
natural resources, the state
of the environment, and the

”
pace and quality of social
Ban Ki-moon, and economic development
UN Secretary General International Conference on Population and
Development

1
 Interrelationships of Population and Health Factors

INTER-LINKAGES POPULATION FACTORS PopulationDEVELOPMENT

Factors Affecting
FACTORS

POPULATION DEVELOPMENT PROCESSES

• Age and sex of people Health
• Health care
• Income
OUTCOMES • Number of population •
utilization
Educational Status
A growing•population
• Consumption of goods & services • Location of • Employment Status
• Environmental
• Population Size/ • Savings/Investment increases the need forQuality
• Environmental health
population contamination
Number • Human capital utilization (labor) services
• Age-Sex Composition • Physical capital utilization (land, • Nutrient or
capital, technology) • Fertility Health
•dietary needs and health
• Savings
• Spatial Distribution intake
• Spacing and
• Public expenditure, etc.
frequency of seeking behavior differ
• Accessibility by age
and availability
• Injury/accident of health services and
pregnancy/births and sex facilities
• Mortality • Fertility
POPULATION • Migration
• The distribution• Culturalof population
factors
PROCESSES DEVELOPMENT OUTCOMES • Transportation
likewise determines the
• Institutional factors
• Income/ Income distribution
• Fertility • Employment
Health geographic
Status demand for health
of theservices
People
• Mortality • Educational Status
• Health/Nutritional Status
• Migration Mortality, Morbidity, Nutritional
• Environmental Quality & quantity
Status, Disability

Change in population composition = Change in service requirements

Change in population composition = Change in service requirements

Education
Moderate population growth, coupled Rapid population growth may
Health Employment Health with availability and proper distribution lead to adverse effects if existing
of resources can lead to beneficial resources cannot cope with the
Requirement per person

Requirement per person

effects on health, e.g., more and better health needs of an ever-

health facilities, health personnel and increasingly large population
Adolescent Elderly Adolescent medicak services (e.g., congestion in health
Health Health facilities, insufficient health care
providers, medical supplies and
Maternal Health Maternal Health equipment). Some sectors of
society (e.g., the poor) may not
be able to avail of health
services.
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95… Ag / time 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95… Ag / time
e e
Source: Adapted from Corsa and Oakley 1971 in Carroll, et al., 2007 Source: Adapted from Corsa and Oakley 1971 in Carroll, et al., 2007
Note: Adolescent Health and Elderly, author’s own interpretation Note: Adolescent Health and Elderly, author’s own interpretation

Data, Information, Knowledge

KNOWLEDGE
Know-how, understanding,
experience, insight, intuition,
and contextualized information

INFORMATION
Contextualized, categorized, calculated,
and condensed data

DATA
Facts and figures which relay something specific
which are not organized in any way

2

Importance of communicating
population data
• Data remains as insignificant numbers until
• Data seldom speaks for itself, it needs to be told
“Our lives begin to end the day we
become silent about things that
matter.”
Martin Luther King
Translating Data into Policies
and Programs
• GENERATE OBSERVED CONDITIONS/ KEY
• GATHER INFORMATION
• Establishment of database
• Gather relevant, timely, and accurate data
• Ensure completeness and comprehensiveness
of data to have a wide and deep description of
the situation
• Data should allow deep analysis of the
situation
Translating Data into Policies
and Programs
• IDENTIFY POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS TO THE
PROBLEMS (POLICIES AND PROGRAMS)
• What can be done to address the identified
problem or issue and its causes?
• Who should primarily take action?
• What is the implication if the problem is not
resolved?
• What is the benefit the decision-makers can
gain by addressing the problems or issues?
Importance of communicating
population data
translated into desired actions
in human stories
• Population data may be too technical and not
appreciated by decision-makers
• A story that humanizes the evidence and places it in a
real-world context can “transport” the audience into
the narrative world, motivating action and serving as
a powerfully persuasive tool
Translating Data into Policies
and Programs
FINDINGS
• Identify key issues from the data:
• Methodologies
• Trend analysis – comparison of data across time
or periods
• Comparing indicators with baseline and targets
or planning standards or development goals
• Comparing data with data of other geographic
areas (municipal vs province/ province vs
national)
household density and the challenge
of physical distancing…
3
 POPULATION POPULATION COVID CASES

BUTUAN CITY DENSITY

Density
Classificatio Vulnerability
Land Projected n (Low=100 Classification Percent
COVID CASES Populati Projecte Area Barangay and below; (Low,
Covid Covid Covid
Case
Infection
Code Name Death Active Infection rate as of
on d (Hectar PopulatioMedium=101- Medium, High Fatality
Percent (2015 Populati es) n Density 200; or VERY
s as Cases as s as of
Rate as of
15 April
Covid Infection of 15 of 15 April 15 April 2021 (in
Covid Case POPCEN on per High=201- HIGH)
April 2021 2021
15 April
Percent)
Covid Deaths Active rate as of ) (2021) Hectare 999; VERY 2021
Urban / Rural(based on 2015 Infections Fatality (2021) HIGH= 1000
2021
as of 15 April Cases as 15 April
POPCEN) as of 15 Rate as of and over)
2021 of 15 2021 (in
April 2021 15 April 160202002 Agao Pob. 778 840 3 280.0 HIGH MEDIUM 1 16 6 1.9
April 2021 Percent) 5,070
2021 160202003 Agusan Pequeño 5,475 103 53.2 LOW VERY HIGH -
160202004 Ambago 12,656 13,666 700 19.5 LOW VERY HIGH 3 17 146 2 1.1
160202006 Amparo 2,981 3,219 876 3.7 LOW MEDIUM 1 5 - 0.2
160202007 Ampayon 12,720 13,735 794 17.3 LOW VERY HIGH 4 13 112 4 0.8
11,308
44 Urban 160202012
160202014
Baan KM 3
Bading Pob. 4,921
12,210
5,314
712
101
17.1
52.6
LOW
LOW
VERY HIGH
VERY HIGH
3
2
32
3
156
51
2
4
1.3
1.0
45 371 2,612 3.29 1.4 160202017 Banza 4,235 4,573 606 7.5 LOW HIGH 4 14 - 0.3
Barangays 160202020 Bayanihan Pob.
160202025 Bonbon
4,599
5,446
4,966
5,881
175
1,601
28.4
3.7
LOW
LOW
HIGH
HIGH
2
1
21
8
117
27
2
4
2.4
0.5
160202027 Buhangin Pob. 4,407 4,759 192 24.8 LOW VERY HIGH 1 11 9 0.2
160202033 Baan Riverside 5,376 5,805 85 68.3 LOW HIGH 3 4 33 9 0.6
Pob.
160202037 Imadejas Pob. 1,954 2,110 49 43.1 LOW MEDIUM 5 35 - 1.7
42 Rural 160202038 Diego Silang Pob.
160202039 Doongan
908
13,728
980
14,823
14
304
70.0
48.8
LOW
LOW
LOW
VERY HIGH
2
4
11
25
45
172
4
2
4.6
1.2

Barangays 4 46 354 0.66 0.3 160202043 Golden Ribbon

Pob.
3,833 4,139 33 125.4 MEDIUM HIGH 4 4 48 8 1.2

160202044 Dagohoy Pob. 1,177 1,271 20 63.6 LOW LOW 1 7 45 2 3.5

160202045 Jose Rizal Pob. 5,036 5,438 45 120.8 MEDIUM HIGH 3 6 83 4 1.5

POPULATION POPULATION DENSITY COVID CASES POPULATION POPULATION COVID CASES

Density DENSITY
Classification Vulnerability
Land Projected (Low=100 and Classification Covid Covid Percent Density
Populati Project Area Barangay (Low, Active Covid Case Infection Classific
Code Name below; Deaths
on ed (Hecta Population Cases as Infections Fatality rate as of 15 ation
Medium=101- Medium, High as of 15
(2015 Populat res) Density per of 15 as of 15 Rate as of April 2021
200; High=201- or VERY April (Low=10 Vulnerability
POPCEN ion Hectare April April 2021 15 April (in Percent)
999; VERY HIGH) 2021 Land Projected 0 and Classification Covid
) (2021) (2021) 2021 2021 Covid Covid Percent
HIGH= 1000 and Area Barangay below; (Low, Active Infection
over) Code Name Populatio Deaths Infection Case
Projected (Hectare Populatio Medium= Medium, High Cases as rate as of 15
7,267 7,847 HIGH n as of 15 s as of Fatality Rate
160202047 Holy Redeemer Pob. 93 84.4 LOW 3 37 - 0.5 Populatio s) n Density 101-200; or VERY of 15 April 2021
137 LOW (2015 HIGH) April 15 April as of 15
160202048 Humabon Pob. 148 4 37.0 LOW 1 3 33 2.0 n (2021) per High=20 April (in Percent)
1,135 1,226
POPCEN) 2021 2021 April 2021
160202051 Lapu-lapu Pob. 14 87.6 LOW MEDIUM 23 - 1.9 Hectare 1-999; 2021
160202053 Leon Kilat Pob. 163 176 5 35.2 LOW MEDIUM 2 - 1.1 (2021) VERY
160202054 Libertad 21,703 23,435 773 30.3 LOW VERY HIGH 7 66 514 1 2.2 HIGH=
160202055 Limaha Pob. 6,301 6,804 55 123.7 MEDIUM HIGH 4 6 90 4 1.3 1000 and
160202056 Los Angeles 5,234 5,652 1,524 3.7 LOW VERY HIGH 3 8 - 0.1 over)
160202062 Mahogany Pob. 5,218 5,634 142 39.7 LOW HIGH 3 16 - 0.3 160202008 Anticala 3,864 4,172 4,679 0.9 LOW VERY HIGH 2 - 0.0
160202066 Maon Pob. 5,072 5,477 55 99.6 LOW HIGH 2 6 41 5 0.7 3,643
160202009 Antongalon 3,934 1,176 3.3 LOW VERY HIGH 8 - 0.2
160202069 Port Poyohon Pob. 4,798 5,181 46 112.6 MEDIUM VERY HIGH 4 1 44 9 0.8 160202010 Aupagan 1,660 1,792 757 2.4 LOW HIGH 1 8 - 0.4
160202070 New Society Village Pob. 1,481 1,599 6 266.5 HIGH HIGH 4 15 - 0.9
160202013 Babag 1,823 1,968 340 5.8 LOW VERY HIGH 1 8 - 0.4
160202071 Ong Yiu Pob. 4,859 5,247 24 218.6 HIGH HIGH 1 2 12 8 0.2
160202016 Bancasi 4,925 5,318 517 10.3 LOW HIGH 11 72 - 1.4
160202074 Rajah Soliman Pob. 465 502 3 167.3 MEDIUM LOW 9 14 - 2.8
160202018 Baobaoan 1,438 1,553 558 2.8 LOW HIGH 1 10 - 0.6
160202075 San Ignacio Pob. 2,637 2,847 20 142.4 MEDIUM VERY HIGH 1 1 26 4 0.9
160202019 Basag 3,786 4,088 1,067 3.8 LOW VERY HIGH 2 15 - 0.4
160202077 San Vicente 16,187 17,479 344 50.8 LOW VERY HIGH 3 27 145 2 0.8
43 160202021 Bilay 1,349 1,457 618 2.4 LOW HIGH 1 - 0.1
160202078 Sikatuna Pob. 46 7 6.6 LOW LOW 2 5 - 10.9
661 HIGH 160202022 Bit-os 3,166 3,419 2,105 1.6 LOW VERY HIGH 8 - 0.2
160202079 Silongan Pob. 714 4 178.5 MEDIUM 1 11 - 1.5
160202083 Taguibo 4,238 4,576 918 5.0 LOW HIGH 1 3 23 4 0.5 160202023 Bitan-agan 1,243 1,342 1,548 0.9 LOW HIGH 1 - 0.1
160202084 Taligaman 4,100 4,427 490 9.0 LOW VERY HIGH 2 19 - 0.4 160202024 Bobon 1,689 1,824 457 4.0 LOW HIGH 4 - 0.2
160202085 Tandang Sora Pob. 3,846 4,153 30 138.4 MEDIUM MEDIUM 1 2 33 3 0.8 160202026 Bugabus 1,417 1,530 713 2.1 LOW VERY HIGH 1 - 0.1
160202086 Tiniwisan 3,684 3,978 590 6.7 LOW VERY HIGH 5 27 - 0.7 160202029 Cabcabon 2,326 2,512 576 4.4 LOW HIGH 8 - 0.3
160202087 Tungao 5,702 6,157 1,606 3.8 LOW VERY HIGH 3 - 0.0 160202031 Camayahan 1,258 1,358 1,048 1.3 LOW HIGH -
160202089 Urduja Pob. 83 90 5 18.0 LOW LOW 2 - 2.2 160202036 Dankias 1,195 1,290 750 1.7 LOW HIGH 1 1 - 0.1
160202090 Villa Kananga 11,173 12,064 281 42.9 LOW VERY HIGH 7 58 337 2 2.8 160202040 Dumalagan 2,580 2,786 1,238 2.3 LOW VERY HIGH 3 - 0.1
160202091 Obrero Pob. 9,774 10,554 34 310.4 HIGH VERY HIGH 6 29 - 0.3 160202049 Kinamlutan 3,097 3,344 1,071 3.1 LOW HIGH 1 9 - 0.3
160202097 Pagatpatan 5,933 6,406 133 48.2 LOW HIGH 1 17 6 0.3 160202052 Lemon 1,871 2,020 497 4.1 LOW HIGH 6 - 0.3
TOTAL 45 371 2,612 3.29 1.4 160202057 Lumbocan 4,462 4,818 231 20.9 LOW VERY HIGH 1 4 36 3 0.7

POPULATION POPULATION COVID CASES

DENSITY
Density
Classificati
on
Projected Vulnerability
Land (Low=100 Covid
Barangay Classificatio Covid Covid
Populati Area and below; Active Percent Infection
Code Name Projected Populatio n (Low, Deaths Infection
on (Hectar Medium=1 Cases as Case Fatality rate as of 15
Populatio n Density Medium, as of 15 s as of 15
(2015 es) 01-200; of 15 Rate as of 15 April 2021
n (2021) per High or April April
POPCE
N)
Hectare
(2021)
High=201-
999; VERY
HIGH=
VERY HIGH) 2021
April
2021
2021
April 2021 (in Percent)
“… without information, things are done arbitrarily and
1000 and
over)
one becomes unsure of whether a policy or program
160202060
160202061
160202063
Maguinda
Mahay
Maibu
3,600
4,062
1,492
3,887
4,386
1,611
1,512
491
1,422
2.6
8.9
1.1
LOW
LOW
LOW
VERY HIGH
VERY HIGH
HIGH
4
4
22
2
-
-
-
0.1
0.5
0.1
will fail or succeed. If we allow our policies to be guided
160202064 Mandamo
160202065Manila de Bugabus
859
3,785
928
4,087
1,504
2,887
0.6
1.4
LOW
LOW
HIGH
VERY HIGH
2
3
-
-
0.2
0.1
by empirical facts and data, there will be a noticeable
160202067
160202068
Masao
Maug
1,786
2,778
1,928
3,000
599
288
3.2
10.4
LOW
LOW
MEDIUM
VERY HIGH
1
1
10
10
10
-
0.5
0.3 change in the impact of what we do.”
160202072 Pianing 2,165 2,338 2,423 1.0 LOW VERY HIGH 1 1 9 11 0.4
160202073 Pinamanculan 3,060 3,304 992 3.3 LOW HIGH 7 - 0.2
160202076 San Mateo 2,828 3,054 645 4.7 LOW VERY HIGH 1 2 - 0.1
160202080 Sumilihon 4,989 5,387 941 5.7 LOW VERY HIGH 9 20 - 0.4
160202082
160202092
Tagabaca
Bugsukan
3,487
1,570
3,765
1,695
1,296
703
2.9
2.4
LOW
LOW
VERY HIGH
HIGH
11 - 0.3
- USAID MEASURE Evaluation Project
160202093 De Oro 1,968 2,125 668 3.2 LOW HIGH 3 7 - 0.3
160202094 Dulag 2,047 2,210 947 2.3 LOW HIGH 1 2 - 0.1
160202095 Florida 2,507 2,707 2,054 1.3 LOW VERY HIGH 6 - 0.2
160202096 Nong-nong 1,594 1,721 1,985 0.9 LOW HIGH 1 2 - 0.1
160202098 Pangabugan 2,630 2,840 94 30.2 LOW HIGH 7 - 0.2
160202099 Salvacion 1,580 1,706 937 1.8 LOW HIGH -
160202100 Santo Niño 2,658 2,870 807 3.6 LOW HIGH -
160202101 Sumile 2,087 2,254 1,719 1.3 LOW HIGH 2 - 0.1
160202102 Don Francisco 1,183 1,277 587 2.2 LOW MEDIUM -
160202103 Pigdaulan 2,529 2,731 584 4.7 LOW HIGH 1 3 25 4 0.9
TOTAL 4 46 354 0.66 0.3

4
 Why Improve Data-informed
Why address data demand & use?
Decision Making?
• Increased financial investments for service delivery
• Increased accountability requirements
• Improved national MIS
• Increased demand for evaluation and other
research

Evidence-based Decision-making Process We can use information to…

• Inform policies and plans
• Raise additional resources
• Strengthen programs and improve results
• Ensure accountability and reporting
• Improve quality of services provided
• Contribute to local/national/global lessons learned

“Making Data Speak” Using Data to Inform Resource

• Need: Strengthen commitment of policymakers to HIV
prevention
• Data: Behavioral and epidemiological data
• Response:
• Analyzed data with Asian Epidemic Model and GOALS model
• Determined responses and resources needed
• Communicated data to stakeholders
• Decision/Action:
• Successfully emphasized prevention agenda in national strategic
plan and developed an operational plan to guide prevention
programming
Allocation
• Need: Strengthen monitoring of HIV/AIDS service delivery
• Data: HIV service delivery indicators
• Response:
• Development of NNRIMS, a routine information system
• Quarterly reports summarizing data prepared for and reviewed by
LGA managers & decision makers
• Decision/Action:
• Chairman procured 480 HIV test kits, enabling more people to get
tested in Doma

5
 Do the data YES Are users aware of YES Are the data
Key Messages exist? data existence? available?
• Decisions based on evidence lead to better health NO Decision-makers NO NO YES
outcomes rely on intuition Mistrust of
and/or poor data Data
• We all have a role in M&E – partners in progress
Little use NO Can user analyze NO Are the data in
• High-quality information is needed for decision user-friendly
of Data complex data?
making at policy, planning, and program levels data?
User makes evidence-base
• Purpose of M&E is not just to produce more decision but communicate User only use data when
poorly urged to or when in crisis
information but to inform action YES
USER MAKES NO NO
EVIDENCE-BASE Can user Do the user have
DECISION AND CAN YES YES
COMMUNICATE communicate commitment to use
EFFECTIVELY evidence? data for decisions?

Not everything that can be

counted counts, and not
everything that counts can
be counted.
Albert Einstein, Physicist

6
 Statistics are like
bikinis. What they
reveal is suggestive,
but what they conceal
is vital.

Aaron Levenstein, Business Professor

at Baruch College

If you can’t explain it simply,

you don’t understand it well
If you torture the enough.
data long enough, it Albert Einstein, Physicist
will confess.

Ronald Coase, Economist

Thank You!
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