Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Results Expected
Upon completion of thi.~ chapter, you. willltave:
l. Develop.ed a deflnition of entrepreneurship and the entrepreneurial process that
spans lifestyle to high potential ventures.
2. Examined the practica] issues you will address and explore throughout the book.
3. Learn~d how entrepreneurs and their financial backers get the odds for success in
their favor, defying the pattem of disappointment and failure experienced by many.
4. Examined the Timmons Model of the entTepreneurial process, how it can be applied
to your entrepreneunal career aspirations and ideas for businesses, and how recent
research confinns its validity.
5. Analyzed the Kurt and John Bauer case study.
1
This definition of e ntrepreneurship has evolved over the past two dec.1des From research at Babson College and the Harvurd Bn sin~ss School and has rec<Jntly
been. ""hanc:cd by Stephen Spmell1, Jr., the John Muller Chairholder at Babson College. ·
2
J. Ah..Tunmons. D. F. Muzyka, H. H. Stevenson, and W. D. Bygrave, "Opportunity Recognitinn: The Core of Entrepreneurship," in Frcmtim'S 1if Eutre¡mmeur-
s <p Researclt (Babson Park, MA: Babson College, 1987), p. 409.
79
80 PaJt JI The Opportunity
The result of this value creation process, as we saw in 4.3 million jobs ancl $736 billion in an11Ual revenues
Chapter 2, is that the total econornic pie grows larger were created by venture capital investments. 4 As au-
and society benefits. topsy after autopsy was performed on failing large
companies , a fascinating pattern emerged, showing,
at worst, a total clisregarcl for the winning entrepre-
neurial approaches of their new rivals and, at best, a
Classic Entrepreneurship: The Startup glacial pace in recognizing the impending demise and
the changing course.
The classic expression of entrepreneurship is the raw
startup cornpany, an innovative idea that develops
into a high growth company. The best of tJ1ese be- 11
People Don 1 t Want to Be Managed.
come entrepreneurial legends: Microsoft, Netscape, They Want to Be Led!" 5
Amazon.com , Sun Microsystems, Home Depot,
McDonald's, Compaq Computer, Intuit, Staples, and These giant firms can be characterized, cluring ilieir
hundreds of others are now household names. Suc- highly vulnerable periods, as hierarchical in structure
cess, in addition to tl1e strong leadership from tJ1e with many layers of reviews, approvals, and vetoes.
main entrepreneur, almost always involves building a Their tired executive blood conceived of leaclership
team with complementary talents. The ability to work as managing and administering from the top clown, in
as a team and sense an opportunity where others see stark contrast to Ewing M. K:auffman's powerful in-
contradiction, chaos, and confusion are critical ele- sight, "People don't want to be managed. They want
ments of success. Entrepreneurship also requires the to be lecl!" These stagnating giants tended to reward
skill and ingenuity to find and conh·ol resources, of- people who accumulated the largest assets, budgets,
ten owned by others, in order to pursue the opportu- number of plants, proclucts, ancl head count, rather
nity. It means making sure the upstart venture does than rewarding those who createcl or founcl new busi-
not run out of money when it needs it the most. Most ness opportunities, took calculated 1isks, and occa-
highly successful entrepreneurs have held togetJ1er a sionally macle mistakes, all with bootstrap resources.
team and acquired financial backing in arder to chase Whüe very cognizant of th e importance of corporate
an opportunity others may not recognize. culture and strategy, the corporate giants' pace was
glacial: The research on clozens of giant companies in
the 1970s and l980s condueles that it typically took
six years for a large firm to change its strategy and 10
Entrepreneurship in Post-Brontosaurus to 30 years to change its culture. Meanwhile, the me-
Capitalism: Beyond Startups dian time it too k startups to accumulate the necessary
capital was one month, but averaged six months. 6
As we saw in Chapter 2, the upstart companies of the To make matters worse, these corporate giants had
1970s and 1980s have had a profouncl impact on the many bureaucratic tendencies, particularly arro-
competitive structure of the United States and world gance. They sharecl a blincl belief that if they followecl
industries. Giant firms , such as IBM (knocked off by the almost sacrecl best-management practices of the
Apple Computer ancl then Microsoft), Digital Equip- day, they could not help but prevail. During the
ment Corporation (another victim of Apple Com- 1970s ancl 1980s, these best-management practices
puter ancl acquired by Compaq Computer Corpora- dicl not include entrepreneurship, entrepreneurial
tion) , Sears (demolishecl by upstart Wal-Mart ancl leadership, and entrepreneurial reasoning. If any-
recentJy mergecl with Kmart), and AT&T (knocked thing, these were considerecl dirty words in corpo-
from its perch first by MCI, and then by cellular up- rate Ame1ica. Chief among these sacrecl cows was
starts McCaw Communications, Inc., CellularOne, staying clase to your customer. What may shock you
ancl others), once thought invincible, have been clis- is the conclusion of two Harvard Business School
memberecl by the new wave of entrepreneurial ven- professors:
tures. The resulting downsizing cluring the 1980s 3 One of tbe most consistent pattems in business is tbe
was still going strong by the end of 2001, witl1 For- failure of leading companies to stay at the top of their
tune 500 companies cutting more than 900,000 jobs industries when techno.logies or markets change ....
by October. While large companies shrank payrolls, But a more fundamental reason lies at the heart of the
new ven tu res aclcled jobs. Accorcling to a 2000 stucly, paradox: Leading companies succumb to one of the
~
3
Edwanl J. Mathias, &mwmic & lnvestment EnGimnml'llt-1997 (W:L<hington. OC: The Carlyle Croup, Janumy 1998). p. 119. Q
·• Ellen Florian. "Layoff Count," http://www.fortune.com/indexw.jhtml?channel=artcol.jhtml&doc id=2054.33, December 10, 2001 . to
5
The authors' fuvorite quote from Ewing M. Kauffman, founder of Marion Laborntories . lnc., the Ewing Mnrion KaufTman Foundatiou , Kansas City. ML<somi . l
" W . J. Dennis, Jr .. "Wells Fargo/NFII3 Series on Business Starts and Stops," November 19!:19. 8
Chapter 3 The Entrepreneurial Process 81
most popular, valuable ~anagement dogmas. They stay Corning, and Motorola, 10 Harley-Davidson Motorcy-
clase to their customers. 1 cles ($1.35 billion in revenue), Marshall Industries
When they do attack, the [new] entrant companies ($2.2 billion), and Science Applications International
find the established players to be easy and unprepared Corporation (SAIC) in San Diego. Most large bron-
opponents because the opponents have been looking tosaurus finns could learn valuable Iessons on how to
up markets themselves, discounting the threat from apply entrepreneurial thinking from companies such
below. 8
as these.
One gets further insight into just how vulnerable
and fragile the larger, so-called well-managed compa-
nies can become, and why it is the newcomers who Metaphors
pose the greatest threats. This pattern also explains
why there are tremendous opportunities for the com- Improvísational, quick, clever, resourceful, and in-
ing e-generation even in markets that are currently ventive all describe good entrepreneurs. Likewise,
dominated by large players. Professors Bower and innumerable metaphors from other parts of life can
Christensen summarize it this way: describe the complex world of the entrepreneur and
the entrepreneurial process. From music it is jazz,
The problem is that managers keep doing what has with its uniquely American impromptu flair. From
worked in the past: serving the rapidly growing needs of sports many metaphors exist: LeBron James's
their current customers. The processes that successful, agility, the broken-field running of Curtis Martín ,
well-managed companies have developed to allocate re- the wizardry on ice of Wayne Gretzky, or the com-
sources among proposed investments are incapable of
petitiveness ofTíger Woods. Even more fascinating
funneling resources in programs that current customers
explicitly don 't want and whose profit margins seem are tl1e unprecedented comebacks of athletic greats
unattractive. 9 such as Michael Jordan, Picaba Street, and Lance
Armstrong.
Coupled witl1 what we saw in Chapter 2 regarding Perhaps the game of golf, more than any other,
how many new innovations, firms, and industries replica tes the complex and dynamic nature of manag-
have been created in the past 30 years, it is no won- ing risk and reward, including all the intrícate mental
der that brontosaurus capitalism has found its ice age. challenges faced in entrepreneuring. No other sport,
at one time, demands so much physically, is so com-
plex, intricate, and delicate, and is simultaneously so
Signs of Hope in a Corporate Ice Age rewarding and punishing; and none tests one's \vill,
Fortunately, for many giant firms, the entrepreneur- patience, self-discipline, and self-control like golf.
ial revolution may spare them from their own ice age. Entrepreneurs face these challenges and remunera-
One of the most exciting developments of the decade tions as well. If you think that tl1e team concept isn't
is the response of some large, established U.S. corpo- important in golf, remember the 2004 American Ryder
rations to the revolution in entrepreneurial leader- Cup team, which failed to work together and lost to
ship. After nearly tJrree decades of experiencing the the Europeans. And what about the relationship
demise of giant after giant, corporate leadership, in between the caddy and golfer?
unprecedented numbers, is launching experiments An entrepreneur also faces challenges like a sym-
and strategies to recapture entrepreneurial spirit and phony conductor ora coach who must blend and bal-
to instill the culture and practices we would charac- ance a group of diverse people with different skills,
terize as entrepreneurial reasoning. The e-generation talents, and personalities into a superb team. On
has too many attractive opportunities in truly entre- many occasions it demands all the talents and agility
preneurial environments. They do not need to work of a juggler who must, under great stress, keep many
for a brontosaurus that lacks spü;t. balls in the air at once, making sure if one comes
fncreasingly, we see examples of large companies clown it belongs to someone else.
adopting principies of entrepreneurship and entre- The complex decisions and numerous alternatives
preneurialleadership in arder to smvive and to renew. facing the entrepreneur also have many parallels with
Researchers document how large firms are applying the game of chess. As in chess, the victory goes to the
entrepreneurial thinking, in pioneering ways, to in- most creative player, who can imagine severa! altemate
vent theír futures, including companies such as GE, moves in advance and anticípate possible defenses.
: Joseph L. Bower ¡Uld Clayton M. Christensen. "Disruptive Technologies: Catching the Wave," Harvard Business Review, January-February 1995, p. 43.
Illld.• p. 47.
9
1bid.
"'Fast CornprmiJ. June-July 1997, pp. 32, 79, 104; and U. Srinivasa Rangan, "Alliances Power Corporate Rene-.,•al,"" Babson College, 2001.
82 Part II The Oppmtunity
This kind of mental agility is frequently demanded in To nwke 11wney you have to first lose nwney. It
entrepreneurial decision making. is commonly said in the venture capital business
Still another parallel can be drawn from the book, that the lemons, or losers, ripen in two-and-a-
The Right Stuff, by Tom Wolfe, later made into a balf years, while the plurns take seven or eight
movie. The first pilot to break the sound barrier, years. A startup, venture-backed cornpany typi-
Chuck Yeager, describes what it was like to be at the cally loses money, often $10 million to $25 mil-
edge of both the atmosphere and his plane's per- lion or more, befar sustaining profitability and
formance capability, a zone never before entered- going public, usually at least fíve to seven yea.rs
a vivid metaphor for the experience of a flrst-hme la ter.
entrepreneur: To create and bwild wealth one must relinquish
In the thin air at the edge of space, where the stars ancl wealth. Among tl1e most successful and growing
the moon came out at noon, in an atmosphere so thin companies in the United States, the founders
that th e orclinary laws of aerody11amics no longer ap- aggressively dilute their ownership to create
plied and aplane could skid into a flat spin like a cereal ownership throughout the company. By reward-
bowl on a waxed Formica count r and then start tum- i.ng and sharing tl1e wealth "vitl1 tl1e people who
bling, end over end like a btick ... yo u had to be "afraid conh·ibute significantly to its creation, owners
to panic." In the skids, the tumbles, the spins, there was motívate stakeholders to make the pie bigger.
only one thinRyou could let yourself think about: what
To succeed, one first has to experience failu re. It
do l do next?
is a common pattern that the first venture fails ,
This feeling is frequently the reality on earth for yet tl1e entrepreneur learns and goes on to ere-
enh·epreneurs who run out of cash! Regardless of the ate a highly successful company. Jerry Kaplan
metaphor or analogy you choose for entrepreneur- teamed with Lotus Development Corporation
ship, each is likely to describe a creative, even artistic, founder Mitch Kapor to start the first pen-based
improvised act. The outcomes are often either highly computer. After $80 mil! ion of venture capital
rewarding successes or painfully visible misses. Always, investment, the campany was shut dov.rn .
urgency is on the doorstep. Kaplan went on to launch On-Sale, Inc., an
Internet Dutch-auction, which experienced
explosive growth and went public in 1996.
Entrepreneurship = Paradoxes Ent·repreneu:rship -requires considerable thought,
preparatíon, and planning, yet is basically an
One of the most confounding aspects of the entre- unplannable event. The highly dynamic, chang-
prenemial process is its contradictions . Because of its ing character of technology, markets, and com-
highly dynamic, fluid, ambiguous, and chaohc char- pe tition make it impossible to know all your
acter, the process's constant changes frequently pose competitors today, let alone five yems from now.
paradoxes. A sampling of entrepreneurial paradoxes Yet great cffmt is invested in atte mpting to
follows. Can you think of other paradoxes that you model and envision tl1e future. The resulting
have observed or heard about? business plan is inevitably obsolete when it
comes off tl1e printer. This is a creative
An opportunity wíth no or ven¡ low potential process- like molding clay. You need to make a
can be an enormously big opportunity. One of habit of planning and reacting as you constantly
the most famous examples of this paradox is reevaluate your options, blending the messages
Apple Computer Inc. Founders Steve Jobs and from your head and your gut, until this process
Steve Wozniak approached their employer, becomes second nature.
Hewlett-Packard Corporation (HP), with the For creativity and innovativeness to prosper;
idea for a deski:op, personal computer and were rigor and discipline must acc01npany the
told this was not an opportunity for HP. Hence, process. For years, hundreds of thousands of
Jobs and Wozniak struied their own company. patents for new products and technologies lay
Frequently, business plans rejected by some fallow i.n government and university research
venture capitalists become legendary successes labs because there was no commercial
wh en backed by another investor. Intuit, maker discipline.
of Quicken software, for example, was rejected
Entrepreneurship requíres a bias toward action
by 20 venture capitalists before securing
and a sense of urgency, but also demands
backing.
11
Tnm Wnlf't-, The Rí>!,ht Stuff (New Ynrk: Bantam Books, 1980). pp. 51-52.
Chapter 3 Tbe Entreprenemial Process 83
1
' See How>.m:l H. St<•vFnson. Do Lunch or Be T. uuch (Cambridge . MA: Harvard Business School Pr.. ss. 1998) lora prowx:ati ve ar"u mcnt (()r predictahil ity as
on~ of th t' most powerfu l of manager11ent tool s.
84 Prut II The Opportunity
13
Tlw Gloha/ Enlrr ¡JI"<'IIr'III'Ship Monitor, Babson Collep;c and tite London Bu.<iness Sehool , May 2004.
1
" In r"SJK>llS<' toa student que> tion at Founde r's Day. Bahson College, Apnl J9S3.
'" INC .. May 15, 1997. l. DC S · 11 B .· .. A 1 · · ·t ti 19\J9)
lfi Tlu1 Stnte nf Su 1111/ Bu,c;iue.~.s: A. Reporl of the Pt·esidl!tlt, Transmitted to th e Cougres.t;·, 19<-.)9 (Was ungto n , : m~t ustn es.~ ( tm ms m on, ·
17
The Stat!' tf Suw/1 8usirws.1·, 1992, p. 128. . . . 1 .. 11 · d E 1
"lnformution has heen culled from thc followin¡; studies: David L. Bireh. MIT Studies. 1979-1980; Michad B. T~ 1t>: et a .. Sma _. Busmess an '"P 0 )'111 ~: 1 1
Growth in Califum ia," Working Papcr No. 348, University of Culifomiu at B.erkeley, March ~.981. ta.ble 5, p . 22; U.S. Small Bt:smes.s .Admml stratlon ~.A~..,ust
29 1988. 8 D Ph·u· · a 1d 8 A Kin:hhotr "An Analysis of New Fiml SurviVal and Growth, Fmnflers m EntrqJr<'ncur:<lup & search. 1988. _ed. B. Kirchho!T
• • • • • l IJlS l . • ' k l l M . 1 d
et al. (Babson Park, MA: Babson College. 1988), pp. 266-67; und BizMiner 2002 Startup Business Ris m I'X : a¡or n usrn¡ epo . nm ow o. , n ·•
R rt B d e Ie
2002.
'" Summuries of these are reportt'd by Albert N. Shape ro and Josepb Gighemno, "Exits and Enhi es: A Stu d y m. Ye11ow p ages 1numa ¡·tsm, " ·m Fron ters oJ.r r
Eutn'prrnm"'hip Re•earch: 1982, e d . K. Vespe r e t al. (Babson Park, MA : Babson Collcgc, 1982). pp. 113-4 t. and Arno1d C . Cooper and Carolyn Y. Woo.
"Survival and Fai1ure: A Longitudinal Study," in Fron riers of Enrr·cprrneurship Rcscarch: 1988. ed. B. K1rchho!T e t al. (Bubson Park. MA: Babson College,
l981l), pp. 225-37.
Chapter 3 The EntrepreneUJi<tl Process 8.5
EXHIBIT 3.3
Overall Startup Failure Rates
Startups• Tracked
Startups Survivors Survival Failure
lndustry 1998 Ql 2002 Ql (percent) (percent)
Total for all industries 565 ,812 303,517 53 .6% 46 .4%
Agriculture 15,564 9,239 59 .4 40.6
Finance 14,899 8,005 53.7 46 .3
Manufacturing 32,236 18,92 1 58.7 41.3
Real estate 16,229 10,261 63 .2 36.8
Retail 142,504 72,512 50.9 49.1
Wholesale 37,307 19, 171 51.4 48.6
Technology 28,575 13, 159 46.1 53.9
Computer Hardware 485 221 45.6 54.4
Computer Software/Services 18,733 8,387 44.8 55.2
Source: BizMiner 2002 Srarfup Business Risk lndex: Ma¡or lndusfry Reporf, © 2002 BizMiner.
Reprinted by permission.
* Startups are defined as firms that are one year old or less.
To make matters worse, most people think th e fail- an entrepreneurial apprenticeship. If a business
ure rates are ach1ally much higher. Since actions of- fails , no other country in the world has laws, institu-
ten are governed by perceptions rather than facts, tions, and social norms that are more forgiving.
this perception of failure, in addition to the dismal Finns go out of existence, but entrepreneurs survive
record, can be a serious obstacle to aspiring en tre- an d le<:trn .
preneurs. The daunting evidence of f~lilure poses two impor-
Still other studies have shown significant differ- tant questious for aspiring entreprene urs. First, are
ences in survival rates among Bradstreet inclustry cat- there any exceptions to this general rule of f<lilure, or
egOJies: retail trade, construction, and small service are we faced with a punishing game of entrepreneur-
businesses accounted for 70 percent of aU f~ülures ial roulette? Second, if the re is an exception, how
and bankruptcies. One study calculates a 1isk factor does one get the odds for success in one's favor'?
or inclex for startups by indusb·y, which sends a clear
warning signa) to the would-be entrepreneur. 20 At
the hígh end of risk is tobacco pmducts and at the low GeHing the Odds in Your Favor
end you find the affinity and membership organiza-
Fortunately, there is a clecicled pattern of exceptions
tions such as AAA or Welcom e Wagon. "The fishing is
to the overall rate of failure among the vast majority
better in some streams versus others," is a favorite
of small, marginal flrm s createcl each year. Most
saying of the authors. Further, 99 percent of these
smaller enterprises th at cease operation simply do
failed companies had fewer than lOO employees.
not meet our notion of entrepreneurship. They do
Through observation ancl practica! experience on
not create, enhance, or pursue opportunities th at re-
would not be surprised by such reports. The implica-
alize value. They tend to be job substitutes in rnany
tions for would-be entrepreneurs are imp01iant:
instances. Undercapitalized, undennanaged, and of-
Knowing the difference between a good idea ancl a
ten poorly locatecl, they soon hül.
real opportunity is vital. This will be addressed in cle-
tail in Chapter 4.
A certain leve] of failure is part of the "creative
Threshold Concept
self-destruction " described by Joseph Schumpeter in
his num erous writings, including Business Cueles W'ho are the survivors? The odds for survival and a
(1939) ancl Capitalísm. It is part of the dynarnics of lugher leve! of success change dramatically if th e ven-
innovation and economic renewal, a process that re- ture reaches a criticalmass of at least JO to 20 people
quires both births and deaths . More important, it is with $2 million to $3 million in revenues and is cur-
also part of the learning process inherent in gaining rently pursuing opportunities with growth potential.
f.
·~
EXHIBIT 3.4 severa! reports, the service industry has the most
One-Year Survival Rates by Firm Siz:e
closed businesses (38.6 percent), distJibution (28.7
percent), ancl production (17.8 percent) after four to
Firm Si:ze (employees) Survival Percent five years.
1-24 53.6%
25-49 68.0
50-99 69.0 Promise of Growth
100-249 73.2 The definition of entrepreneurship implies the prom-
ise of expansion and the building of long-term value
Source: BizMiner 2002 Startup Business Risk lndex: Ma¡or lndustry
Report, © 2002 BizMiner. Reprinted by permission.
and durable cash flow streams as well.
However, as will be discussed later, it takes a long
time for companies to become established and grow.
Historically, 1:\vo of every five small firms founcled
Exhibit 3.4 shows that based on a cross-section of all
survive six or more years but few achieve growth clur-
new finns, one-year survival rates for new firms in-
ing the first four years .23 The study also found that
crease steadily as the firm size increases. The rates
survival rates more than double for fums that grow,
jump from approximately 54 percent for firms having
ancl the earlier in the life of the business that growth
up to 24 employees to approximately 73 percent for
occurs, the higher the c.:hance óf survival. 24 The 2000
Hrms with behveen lOO and 249 employees.
IN C. 500 exempli!>' this, with a :five-year growth rate
One study found that empirical evidence supports
of 1,933 percent.z.
the liability of newness and liabiüty of smallness ar-
Sorne of the b·ue excitement of entrepreneurship
guments and suggests that newness and small size
lies in conceiving, launching, ancl building flrms such
make survival problematic. The authors inferred,
as these.
''Perceived satisfaction, cooperation, and trust be-
1:\veen the customer and the organization [are] im-
portant for the continuation of the relationship. High
Venture Capital Backing
levels of satisfaction, cooperation, and trust represent
a stock of goodwill and positive beliefs which are crit- Another notable pattern of exception to the failure
ical assets that influence the commitment of the two rule is founcl for businesses that attract startup financ-
parties to the relationship. "2 1 The authors of this ing from successful prívate venture capital companies.
study noted, "Smaller organízations are found to be vVhile venture-backed firms account for a very small
more responsive, while larger organizations are percentage of new firms each year, in 2000, 238 of 414
found to provide greater depth of service ... . The IPOs, or 57 percent, had vent:ure backing. 26
entrepreneurial task is to find a way to either direct Venture capital is not: essential to a startup, nor is it
the arena of competition away from the areas where a guarantee of success. Of the companies making the
you are at a competitive disadvantage, or find sorne 2001 INC. 500, only 18 percent raised venture capi-
creative way to develop the required competency."22 tal and only 3 percent had venture funding at
After four years, the survival rate jumps from ap- startup. 27 Consider, for instance, that in 2000 only
proximately 35 to 40 percent for firms with fewer 5,557 companies received venture capital.28 How-
than 19 employees to about 55 percent for firms with ever, companies with venture capital support fare
20 to 49 employees. Although any estimates based on better overall. Only 46 companies with venture capi-
sales per employee vary considerably from industry tal declared bankruptcy or became defunct in 2000.29
to industry, this minímum translates roughly to a This is less than 1 percent of companies that received
thresholcl of $50,000 to $100,000 of sales per em- venture capital in 2000 .
ployee annually. But highly successful firms can gen- These compelling data have lecl someto conclude a
erate much higher sales per employee . According to threshold core of 10 to 15 percent of new companies
21
S. Venkataraman and Mnrray B. Low, "On thc Nature of Critica) Belationships: A Test of the Liabililies ami Sizc Hypothesis,"" in FnmlicJO in Enlrepreneur·
sl1íp Research: 1991 (Babson Park. MA: Babson Collcge, 1991), p. 97.
"" lhid. , pp. 105-6.
¡¡:¡ Bmt-e D. Phillips ami Brucc A. Kirchho!l", "Au Anal}'l'is of New Finll Survival w1d Growth."" in Fnmlia.~ i11 Enrn·¡m' IICIIT'Yhip Research: 1988 (Babson Park,
MA: Babson Cnllege, J9RS), pp. 266-67.
2-J Thi.< reafflrms !he e xception tn the f:tilure m le notro abovc and in the uri¡;inal ~;clition of this book in HJ77.
~' Susan Cwm, "Thc INC. 500 Alutauac," INC, October 2001 , p. 80.
~ "Aftermarke t at a Clance; · Th e IPO Reporter . Decemher 10. 2001: and ··¡pQ Aftcrmtu·kct,"' V~11111m Co¡Jilul jounwl. December 2001.
~' ''Thc INC. 500 Ahnanac."
2k Ve nture Ec-onomics, http://www.veuturect1momks.com/vec/stats/200lq21us.html, July 30, 200 l.
"" VentureXpert . Thompson FinancinJ Dala Se JVice,, 2001.
Chapter 3 The Entreprenelllial Process 87
will become the winners in tenns of size, job cre- a multitude of seminars, courses, and programs for
ation, profitability, innovation, and potential for har- would-be entrepreneurs of all types.
vesting (and thereby realize a capital gain).
expected, and the occasional guests from hell. The technologies, central themes or driving forces domí-
grass is always greener, so they say. nate this highly dynamic entrepreneurial process.
• lt is opportunity driven.
• lt is driven by alead entrepreneur andan
The nmmons Model: Where Theory entrep1·eneurial team.
• It is resource parsimoníous and creative.
and Pradice Collide in the Real World • It depends on the .fit and balance among these.
How can aspiring entrepreneurs-and the investors • lt is integrated and holistic.
and associates who join the venture-get the odds of • lt is sustainahle.
success on their side? What do these talented and
Tbese are the controllable components of the
successful high potential entrepreneurs, their ven-
entrepreneurial process that can be assessed, influ-
ture capitalists , and their prívate backers do differ-
enced, and altered. Founders and investors focus on
ently? What is accounting for their exceptional
these forces during their careful due-diligence process
record? Are there generallessons and principies un-
to analyze the risks and determine what changes can
derlying their successes that can benefit aspiiing en-
be made to improve a venture's chances of success.
trepreneurs, investors, and those who would join a
First, we will elaborate on each of these forces to
venture? If so, can these lessons be leamed?
provide a blueprint and a definition of what each
These are the central questions of our lifetime
means. Then using the early years of Netscape as an
work. vVe have been immersed as students, re-
example, we will illustrate how the holistic, balance,
searchers, teachers, and practitioners of the entre-
and fit concepts pertain to a starhlp.
preneurial process. As founding shareholders and
investors of several high potential venh1res (sorne of
which are now public), directors and advisors to ven- Change the Odds: Fix lt, Shape lt,
tures and venture capital funds, a charter director Mold lt, Make lt
and advisor to the Kauffman Center for Entrepre-
neurial Leadership at the Ewing Marion Kauffman The driving forces underlying successful new ven tu re
Foundation, and as director of the Arthur M. Blank creation are illustrated in Exhibit 3.5. The process
Center for Entrepreneurship at Babson College, we starts with opportunity, not money, strategy, net-
have each applied, testcd, refined, and tempered works, team, or the business plan. Most genuine
academic theory as fire tempers iron into steel: in the opportunities are much bigger than either the talent
fire of practice. and capacity of the team or the initial resources avail-
able to the team. The role of the lead entrepreneur
and the team is to juggle all these key elements in a
changing environment. Think of a juggler bouncing
lntellectual and Practical Collisions up and clown on a trampoline that is moving on a con-
w ith the Real World veyor belt at unpredictable speeds and directions,
Throughout this period of evolution and revolution, whi le trying to keep all three balls in the air. That is
New Venture Creation has adhered to one core prin- the dynamic nature of an early-stage startup. The
cipie: In every quest for greater knowledge of the en- business plan provides the language and code for
trepreneurial process and more effective learning, communicating the quality of the three cbiving forces
there must be intellectual and practica! collisions of the Timmons Model and of their fit and balance.
between academic theory and the real world of prac- In the entrepreneurial process depicted in the
tice. The standard academic notion of something Timmons Model, the shape, size, and depth of the
being all right in practice but not in theory is unac- opportunity establishes the required shape, size, and
ceptable. This integrated, holistic balance is at the depth of both the resources and the team. vVe have
heart of what we know about the entrepreneurial found that many people are a bit uncomfortable
process and getting the odds in your favor. viewing the opportunity and resources somewhat
precariously balanced by the team. lt is especially
disconcerting to some because we show the three key
elements of the entrepreneurial process as circles,
Value Creation: The Driving Forces
and thus the balance appears tenuous. These reac-
A core, fundamental entrepreneurial process ac- tions are justified, accurate, and realistic. The entre-
counts for the substantially greater success pattem preneurial process is dynamic. Those who recognize
among higher potential ventures. Despite the great the risks better manage the process and garner more
va1iety ofbusinesses, entrepreneurs, geographies, and return.
Chapter 3 The Entrepreneurial Process
EXHIBIT 3.5
The Timmons Model of the Entrepreneurial Process
Communication
Business plan
Creativity
+
"",,()//~"
Tea m
~ Leadership
Founder
The lead enh·epreneur's job is simple enough. He opporhmity. For cve¡y lOO ideas presented lo in -
or she must carry the deal by taking charge off he suc- vestors in the fonn of a business plan or propasa!,
cess equation. In tlús dynamic context, ambigu.ity ancl usually fewer than 4 get funded. More than 80 per-
risk are actually your friends. Central to the home- cent of those reject.ions occur in the flrst few hours;
work, creative problem solving and st:rategizing, ancl another 10 to 15 percent are rejected a.fter investors
due cliligence that hes ahead is analyzing tl1e flts ancl have read the business plan carefully. Less than 10
gaps that exist in the venture. What is wrong with this percent atb·act enough interest to me1it a more due
opportunity? What is missing? What good news and diligence thorough review that can take severa! weeks
favorable events can happen, as well as the adverse? or months. These <u-e ve1y slim odds. Countless honrs
vVhat has to happen to make it attractive and a fit for and days have been wasted by vvould-be entrepre-
me? vVhat market, technology, competitive, manage- neurs chasing ideas that ru·e going nowhere. An im -
ment, and financia! 1isks can be reduced or elimi- pOJtant skill for an en trepreneur oran investor is to be
nated? What can be <changed to make this happen? able to quic.:kly eva.luate whether se1ious potentíal ex-
Who can change it? What are the least resources nec- ists, and to decide how much time and effort to invest.
essruy to grow the business the farthest? Is this the John Doerr is a senior partner at one of tbe most
Tight team? By implication, íf yo u cru1 determine these famous and successful venture capital funcls ever,
answers and make the necessa1y changes by figming Kleiner, Perkins, Caulfielcl & Byers, and is consid-
out how to fill the gaps and improve the fit and attract ered by some to be the most influential venture capi-
key players who can add such value, then the odds for talist of bis generation . During lüs career, he has
success rise significantly. In essence, the entrepre- been the epítome of the revolutionaries described
neur's role is to manage and redefine the risk-reward earlier, who have createcl new industries as lead
equation- all with an eye towards sustainability. investors in such legends as Sun Microsystems ,
Since part of the entrepreneur's legacy is to create pos- Compaq Computer, Lotus Development COI·pora-
itive impact without harming the environment, the tion, Intuit, Genentech, Millennium, etscape, and
commUlúty, or society, the con~ept of sustainability ap- Amazon.Com. Regarclless of these past home runs,
peru·s as tl1e underlying foundation in the model. Doerr insists, "There's never heen a better time than
now to start a company. In the past, entrepreneurs
The Opportunity At the heait of the process is stmted businesses. Today they invent new business
th e opportunity. SuccessfuJ entrepreneurs and in- models. That's a big difference, and it creates huge
vestors know that a good idea is not necessaJi ly a good oppOJtunities."30
311
"john Docrr's Slart-Up Manual," Fas! Cum¡mny, Fe bnoary--March HJ\,.17, pp. 82--1!4 .
90 Pmt li The Opportunity
8
Market demand is a key ingredien t to measu ring an opportuni ty:
• ls customer payback less than one year?
"\!>oo\S
\la\\\l¡ai'
~ '
12
\Villi;om D. lly!(l":ll't: ami J•·ITry A. Tim mons. l'l'Odrtrr• CaJ>itfll flt lhc Cru.;.,nuuf., (13o<ton: Har'Vtlr~l Bnsin<:'SS School Press, !992), p. R.
~ ~\.; Fa_')f Compn"~l· Pt'h ru al) - ~·L m:h I ~J7, p- ~c.:;4.
U .~r Artlrnr 1'\ock. "Str.ot<·¡zy "'· T actie; r,.,,, a V< "tl ltr~ Capitalist: · Ha nJflrd BIL,inc.,s lkview, Now ruhcr-Deccmhe r 19llí. PI'· GJ-6i .
92 . Pmt II The Opportunity
appreciating the constant balancing act since oppor- fall into the hands of someone who coulcl turn it into
tunity, team , and resources rarely match. When envi- a real opportunity. Visually, the process can be appre-
sioning a company's future, th e entreprene ur can ciatecl as a constant balancing act, requiring continua!
ask: \iVhat pitfalls will 1 e ncounter to get to the next assessment, revised strategies ancl tactics, an experi-
boundary of success? \iVillmy cnrrent team be large mental approach. By addressing the types of questions
cnongh, or will we be over our heads if th e company necessmy to shape th e opportunity, the resources,
grows 30 percent over the next tvvo years? Are my ancl the team , the founcler begins to molcl the idea
resources sufficie nl (or too abundant)? Vivid exam- into an opportmüty, and the opportunity into a busi-
plcs of th e failure to rnaintain a balance are eve¡y - ness, just as you woulcl mold clay from a shape less
wh ere, such as when Iarge companies throw too form into a pi ece of artwork.
many resources at a weak, poorly defined opportu- At th e outset, founcle r Marc Anclressen would
ni ty. For example , Lucent Technologics' misplaced have seen something like the first figure, Exhibit
assumption slown ess to react to banclwidth demand 3.9(a), vvith the huge Inte rnet opportunity far out-
resulted in an almost 90 perce nt reduction in mar- weighing the team and resources. The gaps were
ket capitalization. majar. Enter venture capitalist John Doerr, th e first
Exhibit :3.9 shows how this balancing act evolvecl venture eapitalist to viviclly see the size ancl potential
for e tscape from inception through the initial pub- of the opportunity. He had great faith in Anclressen
tic ofTe1ing to just befare its me rger with AOL Time ancl knew he could flll the r~souree gaps ancl help
vVarner. vVlüle the clrawings oversimplify these builcl the team, both with insicle manage ment and
incredibly complex events, they help us to think con- outside directors ancl professional advisors. This ne\.v
ceptually- an important entrepreneurial talent- balance in Exhibit 3.9(b) creates a justifiable invest-
about th e company building process, includin g the ment. The opportunity is still huge and growing, ancl
strategic and manage ment implications of striving to competitors are inevitable (see Exhibit 3.9(c)). To
achievc balance ancl the inevitable fragilHy of the fully exp loit this opportunity, attract a large ancl
process. highly tal ented group of managers and professionals,
Thc Inte rnet was a huge, rapidly growing, but elu- and create even greater financia! strength than com-
sive opportunity. Mark Andressen hacl no significant petitors, the company must comple te an initial
capital or other resources to speak of. There was no pubUc stock offering (IPO ). Strategic investors can
team. Such a mismatch of ideas, resources, and talent greatly enhance the balance of the driving forces.
coulcl quickly topple out of the found er's control and Strategic investors, or partners , are clefin ed as
EXHIBIT 3.9(a)
Netscape-Journey through the Entrepreneurial Process:
At Startup, a Huge lmbalance
Communication
..._ __________
Business plan
/f
Fits and gaps / /
• Innumerab le: Money and / Exogenous torces
management /
/
Creativity /
/
~
........
Leadership
Founder
EXHIBIT 3.9(b)
Netscape-Journey through the Entrepreneurial Process:
At Venture Capital Funding, toward New Balance
Communication
Opportunity
Larger and growing
taster
Business plan
. ,. '0
Exogenous torces
"- "- • Catching up //
-
Uncertainty
Team
-
Cap1tal market context
Founder
EXHIBIT 3.9(<)
Netscape-Journey through the Entrepreneurial Process:
At IPO, a New Balance
Communication
Business plan
/.
Fits and gaps
/
• How large and protitable /
Ambiguity can we become? / Exogenous torces
/
Creativity Leadership
Founder
EXHIBIT 3.9(d)
Netscape-Journey thraugh the Entrepreneurial Pracess:
Today, toward a New lmbalance
Communication
Opportunity
•Major growth
..,. _ _ Business plan_ _
potential
•Competitors and Fits and gaps
Microsoft •Cand idate for brontosaurus
capitalism?
•Threat of disruptive technology
"'- •Sustaining and reinventing /
Ambiguity "'- "'- entrepreneurial organizati~/ Exogenous torces
- Founder
people who can fi 11 gaps left by other me mbers of the These trial-and-error experiments led to the new
team. They create balance where imbalance exists. knowledge, skills, and insights needed to actually fly.
The role of the strategic investor differs according to Entrepreneurs have similar learning curves.
the needs of aventure. The fit issue can be appreciated in terms of a
Netscape emerged (see Exhibit 3.9(d)) larger and question: This is a fabulous opportunity, but for
stronger in people and resources but faced new whom? Some of the most successful investments
challenges. Even the best and brightest of new ven- ever were turned clown by numerous investors be-
tures tend to erode over two or more decades into fare the founders received backing. lntuit received
slow-moving, reactive firms . Could Netscape sus- 20 rejections for startup funding by sophisticated in-
tain and reinvent its entrepreneurial roots and vestors. One former student, Ann Southworth, was
organization as the opportunity continued to mush- turned clown by 24 banks and investors befare re-
room and competition for markets, people, and ceiving funding for an elderly extended-care facility.
technology were greater than ever? Would it be- Ten years later, the company was sold for an eight-
come blindsided and eclipsed by a new disruptive figure profit. Time and again, there can be a mis-
technology, just as Apple Computer and Microsoft match between the type of business and investors,
bludgeoned IBM and Digital Equipment? Netscape the chemistry between founders and backers, or a
was acquired by AOL (.45 shares in AOL for every multitude of other factors that can cause a rejection.
share of Netscape) in 1998. This all-stock deal Thus , how the unique combination of people, op-
valued Netscape at $4.2 billion. In effect, AOL ac- portunity, and resources come together at a particu-
quired Netscape so that AOL would not become a lar time may determine a venture's ultimate chance
brontosaurus! for success.
This iterative entrepreneu.rial process is based on The potential for attracting outside funding for a
both logic and trial and error. lt is both intuitive and proposed venture depends on this overall fit and
consciously planned. lt is a process not unlike what how the investor believes he or she can add value to
the Wright brothers originally engaged in while creat- this fit and improve the fit, risk-reward ratio, and
ing the frrst self-propelled airplane. They conducted odds for success. Exhibit 3.10 shows the possible
more than 1,000 glider flights befare succeeding. outcomes.
Chapter 3 The Entrepreneurial Process 95
EXHIBIT 3.1 O
Fit of Entrepreneur and Venture Capital
High
:e;.
·e Potential for singles
;;>
-e Potential for tr iples
o or doubles, but may
c. and home ru ns
c. strike out
o
z
Q)
e:
Q)
>
<1)
"'
Q)
e:
Q)
.~ No hat and no cattle Big hat, no cattle
ü
~
~
Low High
Entrepreneur's fit and ba lance
(Mind-set, know-how, re levant experience, and track record of team and resources)
lmportance of Timing Equally important is in arder to get the odds in your favor. As each of the
the timing of the entrepreneurial process. Each of chapters and accompanying cases, exercises, and is-
these unique combinations occurs in real time, where sues expand on the process, addressing individual di-
the hourglass drains continually and may be friend, mensians, a detailed framework with explicit criteria
foe , or both. Decisiveness in recognizing and seizing will emerge. If you engage th.is material fully, you can-
the opportunity can make all the difference. Don't not help but improve yaur chances of success.
wait for the perfect time to take advantage of an op- The 2001 INC. 500 companies had on average a
portunity; there is no perfect tim . Most new busi- five-year growth rate af 1,933 percent, 2000 sales of
nesses run out of money befare they can find enough $25 million, and 160 employees. 35 Similar to the
customers and the right team for their great idea. Op- INC. 500 companies, the Ernst & Young LLP Entre-
portunity is a moving target. preneur of the Year winners were the basis of a majar
research effort conducted by the National Center far
Entrepreneurship Research at the Kauffman Center
Recent Research Supports the Model
for Entrepreneurial Leadership, with a specific facus
The Timmons Model ariginally evolved from doctoral on 906 high growth compan.ies. 36 These findings pro-
dissertation research at the Harvard Business School, vide important benchmarks of the practices in a di-
about new and grawing ventures. Over nearly three verse group of industries, among a high perfarming
decades, the model has evolved and been enhanced group af companies.
by ongoing research, case development, teaching, and Most significantly, these results reconfinn the im-
experience in high potential ventures and venture portance of the model and its p1inciples: the team, the
capital funds . The fundamental components of the market opportuníty, the resource strategies, nwst of
model have not changed, but their richness and rela- the individual c1ite1ia, the concept offit and balance,
tionships of each to the whole have been steadily and the holístic approach to entrep·reneurship.
enhanced as they have become better understood. Exhibit 3.11 summalizes the 26 leading practices
Numerous other researchers have examined a \vide identified in four key areas: marketing, finances , man-
range of tapies in entrepreneurship and new ven tu re agement, and planning. (A complete versian af the
creation. The bottam line is that the model, in its sim- study is available from the National Center far Entre-
ple elegance and dynamic richness, hamesses what preneurship Research, Kauffman Center for Entre-
you need to know about the entrepreneurial process prenemial Leadership, Kansas City, MO 64112.)
.¡.; Susan Gre~o. " ! C. 500 Almanac;· INC., October 2001, pp. 74-84.
:JI; Donald L. Sexton and Forrest l. Seale, Leading Pracllce8 of Fllst Cmwth Entnrpretleurs: Pathux<ys to Uigh Pe1jimoumce (Kansu.s City, MO: KauiTonan Center
for Entrepreneurial Leadc1-shi p, 1997).
96 Pmt II The Oppmtunity
EXHIBIT 3.11
Leading Practices
-~
l. \>\Te began to demystify enlrepreneurship by examining 4. Thinking big enough can improve the odds significantly. á.
E
its classic stattup definition and a broader, holistic way 1-Iigher potential ventures are sought by successful 8
of thinking, reasoning, and acting that is opportunity entrepreneurs , venture capitalists, and prívate investors.
obsessed and leadership balanced. 5. The Tirnmons Model is at the heatt of spotting and
2. Entrepreneurship has many metaphors and poses many buildiJlg the lügher potential venture and understanding
paradoxes. its three driving forces: opportunity, the team, and
3. Gctting the oclcls in your favor is the entrepreneur's resources. The concept of fit and balance is crucial.
peq)ctual challenge, and the smaller the business the 6. Recent research on CEOs of fast-growth ventures
poorer are the <Klds of Survival. nationwide aJds new validity to the model.