Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Unlocking the
supply chain for
LNG project success
kpmg.com/energy
KPMG INTERNATIONAL
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 2
Overview
This report is one of a series providing an overview of
the developments and challenges that the liquefied
natural gas (LNG) industry is facing during its
unprecedented wave of expansion. Lower oil and gas
prices, along with upcoming projects facing tough
conditions, make timely and cost effective project
delivery and operations more important than ever.
Optimizing the supply chain, both during construction
and operations, is key to reducing costs and speeding
time to market for new LNG export projects. KPMG
identifies 10 ways to improve the LNG project supply
chain, outlined in this report.
This is the third in a series of LNG reports that
provides deeper insights on improving project
economics and certainty through better project
management, cost transparency, governance,
jurisdiction engagement, stakeholders and
opportunity selection.
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3 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
Introduction
How do you build an LNG project with Once in operation, the plant requires
“We’re taking advantage a footprint that spans an area larger a steady stream of hydrocarbons,
than the entire UK? Or in an area 2,000 delivered by pipeline possibly from fields
of spare capacity in the kilometers from the nearest big urban a significant distance away; power,
supply chain.” area, itself the most isolated major possibly sourced from off-site; a wide
city in the world? Or invest twice an range of consumables and spare parts;
John Watson, CEO Chevron, African country’s GDP in its first LNG and operations and maintenance staff.
January 2015 plant? How do you effectively support In remote locations or offshore, staff will
operations on a first class nature reserve usually rotate to the project location. In
island with stringent quarantine rules? a few places, such as the United States
Or construct an expansive plant in a (US) Gulf Coast, many may live nearby.
mountainous area -- with barely enough
room to lay down the components? Managing supply chain means ensuring
LNG projects get the materials and
Combine these challenges with lower the people they need to be built and
oil and gas prices, and it’s clear the to operate efficiently, on time, in
economics of new LNG export projects the right order and condition, safely
will be under more pressure than and yet at the lowest possible price.
ever. “We will…actively pursue cost Such management is essential to
reductions throughout our supply chain reduce costs to realistic levels, to
Global spending on in order to lower overall outlays,” as achieve acceptable financial returns.
LNG facilities will Chevron CEO, John Watson, noted; 27 In turn, showing that such major
percent of Chevron’s upstream capital savings can be achieved will be
rise by 88% expenditure in 2015 would be on LNG,
notably completing the giant Gorgon
essential for giving all stakeholders
the confidence to press ahead with
in the 5 years to 2019, and Wheatstone projects in Australia. the next wave of major LNG plants.
with US$193 billion The focus of this paper is on the supply Despite lower oil and LNG prices
spent on liquefaction chain required to build and operate LNG over the past 6 months, forecast LNG
and shipping. projects. The supply chain of LNG itself spending remains strong. Industry
to the end-consumer is a separate topic. consultants Douglas-Westwood have
By Liquefaction plants and their associated predicted that global spending on LNG
upstream assets need a considerable facilities will rise by 88 percent in the
2030 and continuous flow of capital goods, 5 years to 2019, with US$193 billion
materials and services, ranging from spent on liquefaction and shipping.
the routine to the highly specialized The focus of spending is shifting
Global LNG construction could
and critical. from Australasia to North America
see global output almost (US and Canada) and East Africa.1
doubling its 2012 level of
250 million tonnes
per year (Mtpa) by 2030.
Roughly 60 Mtpa of
this are currently
being added
by Australia.
1
Douglas Westwood (December 2014) ‘World LNG Market Forecast 2015-2019’
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 4
Services and products provided to the Operators arrange the financing, This sector provides support and
LNG industry can generally be licensing, and organization of a services directly to both operators and
segregated into six sectors. project. They vary in size and in-house contractors. This can range from the
It should be noted that many capability, and thus in how they use specific (e.g. offshore catering and
multi-service companies straddle more the supply chain. specialist training) to the generic (e.g.
than one category. recruitment and IT support)
consultancies decommissioning
and consultancies
consultancies equipment design design & riser design & Medical services
and manufacture manufacture manufacture
Data
Civil works
interpretation Engineering Banking/finance
Marine/subsea
consultancies Drilling tubulars support
equipment
contractors Storage tanks
Seismic Laboratory LNG
instrumentation services Specialist Subsea marketing
engineering inspection Marine works and sales
Data storage services services and dredging
Legal
IT hardware/ Inspection
software services
Insurance
Specialist
steels and
tubulars Accountancy
The supply chain includes all companies involved in a project including the end user e.g. the Operator. The
Energy
nomenclature typically refers to the Operator as tier 1, the main contractors as tier 3. Companies can straddle
consultancies
more than one tier.
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5 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
110
Announced projects
90
New projects
Oceania
70
North America
Historical maximum Middle East
50
Latin America
FSU
30
Europe
10 Asia
Africa
-10
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Source: Oil & Gas, UK
2
Source: Statoil, ‘LNG – Clean Energy from the Arctic to Asia’, 30th September 2014
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 6
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7 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
88%
total project costs; however projects requiring lengthy maintenance and
rise by
in Australia have seen this rising to rework. As Jonathan Smith, Partner,
in the 5 years to 2019, 50 to 60 percent. From 2000 to 2013, Energy & Natural Resources and Oil
average capital costs of liquefaction and Gas Sector Leader, KPMG Australia
with US$193 billion plants rose from US$300 per tonne per
year to US$1,200.3 For the full project,
notes, “The supply chain issues have
been a result of underestimating the
spent on liquefaction
including upstream gas production, this complexity and scale of these mega
and shipping.
figure can reach US$3,500 per tonne projects. We are still yet to see how
per year in some Australian projects. these supply chains will perform once
By
The complexity and size of these these projects go beyond first gas. One
2030 projects strain the capacity of even the
most experienced companies.
thing for certain is there is still a great
deal of work to be done to optimize
them as little data exists at this stage.”
Global LNG construction could For instance, the major LNG projects
off Australia’s north-west coast are
see global output almost
2,000 kilometers from Perth, already
doubling its 2012 level of
250 million tonnes
per year (Mtpa) by 2030.
Roughly 60 Mtpa of
this are currently
being added
by Australia.
3
B. Songhurst (February 2014) ‘LNG Plant Cost Escalation’ Oxford Institute for Energy Studies
4
‘Future of procurement in Asia Pacific: Keeping pace with change in the Energy and Natural Resources Sector’, KPMG Global Energy Institute, 2015
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 8
Figure 3: Distance from major LNG logistical centers to major LNG project sites
SEOUL 2,500 km
GULF COAST DUBAI
2,500 km 5,000 km
2,500 km
5,000 km
5,000 km
10,000 km
10,000 km
10,000 km
Major site of LNG plants (existing)
Major site of LNG plants (in construction)
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9 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
Treatment &
Extraction Pre-Treatment Pipeline Shipping
Liquefaction
Main cost drivers Main cost drivers Main cost drivers
Capital Capital Capital
Well pads High number of FTE Significant labor (~3000 FTE
(2000 construction and design) required)
Gas plants
Material Material
Land
Right-of-way
1200 FTE in construction Operations
Operations Operations Energy
Ongoing significant capital Energy
investment for drilling Maintenance
Maintenance
Energy
Low labor (~50 FTE) Medium labor (~150 FTE required)
800 FTE in operation
5
Major new refineries, petrochemical plants or gas-to-liquids plants are similarly large, but usually in established industrial sites.
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 10
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11 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
Organizational Models
2 Adapt learning from other industries
Construction
6 Unlock the potential of modularization
Operations
9 Manage the transition to operations
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 12
André Donha
Partner-Diretor,
Management
Consulting
ENR Sales and
Operations KPMG
Consultoria Ltda.
KPMG in Brazil
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13 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
To combat this, Andy Calitz, CEO of LNG to address the need to professionalize the
Canada, advocates that proponents procurement function.”6 At a corporate
should “ensure that projects resource level, most of the 25 best-performing
highly respected project managers/ companies in supply chain use centers of
directors and CEOs, who will provide excellence to improve costs, efficiency
opportunities for success and build and performance.7
confidence in the project, and in turn,
Especially in remote locations, investment
attract the best staff; provide incentives
in training centers, in partnership with
or penalties within contracts to retain key
global institutions, and perhaps jointly
personnel/ leadership.”
with local academia, can be important.
Long-term framework agreements help One major LNG project in the Middle
supply chain contractors commit to East has located a training center in
personnel retention and development, collaboration with an internationally-
and to plan their human resources needs recognized research body, at the plant
over several years. site, to allow on-the-job training and
reduce security concerns. Chima Isilebo
The extended time-frame of LNG
of Nigeria LNG Ltd. observes, “NLNG
projects, often 6 to 10 years before
being the first and only LNG plant in
operations begin, makes retaining skills
Nigeria, there are no precedents. We have
more important, but also allows a more
to “grow our own timber.” We are not
considered perspective on investing in
located in a center where you can have
human development. Large companies
access to experienced personnel readily.”
executing several LNG projects can plan
The same will apply to the new plants in
personnel needs strategically, developing
Mozambique and Tanzania – even more
supply chain professionals able to
so, given that these countries do not have
translate knowledge from one setting
large existing oil and gas industries.
to another, and are open to redeploying
globally. New working practices and
Supply chain expertise needs to be technologies
understood as a core competence in The aging workforce demands more
itself. Skill in tactical logistics does not attention to retaining more experienced
necessarily translate into mastery of supply chain professionals, and offering
strategic supply chain management, more flexible options or different working
without suitable training and experience. environments to retirees. While there
Supply chain is a cross-functional are challenges for fresh graduates in
discipline, which includes skills in logistics, achieving professional competence
contract management, negotiation and quickly8: as Paul Sullivan, Senior VP of
value reporting, and ability to interface Global LNG and FLNG at Worley Parsons,
with other disciplines such as finance, tax, has observed, “We’re bringing along
HSE and IT. Companies should produce younger people who see the opportunity,
appropriate competency matrices, but they’re not going to be fit to take
and plan how their people will acquire on these projects in 10 years’ time. It’s
credentials and qualifications. The KPMG going to take them 20 years to get to that
Global Energy Institute’s report advocates stage, so you’re going to have a bit of a
that “procurement in Asia Pacific’s energy shortage in the meantime.” However, new
and natural resources sector should working practices and technology can
take on a cross-functional approach, be deployed to accelerate learning and
involving teams of engineers, finance and allow greater productivity from afar. For
procurement/supply chain… instance, virtual collaboration techniques
6
‘Future of procurement in Asia Pacific: Keeping pace with change in the Energy and Natural Resources Sector’, KPMG Global Energy Institute, 2015
7
K. Chadwick (21st April 2014) ‘Centers of Excellence Are Critical Enablers of Success in Supply Chains’ Gartner
8
P. Askew (19th July 2012) ‘The Challenges in the Oil and Gas Industry through the HR Lens’ Schlumberger
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 14
and simulations can help with remote the indigenous workforce. Governments
locations and dispersed fabrication sites. should avoid unworkable requirements
Additional distance learning is being used, on credentials, local content and the
but it needs to be monitored carefully to deployment of temporary workers, in
understand how effective it is.9 return for a reasonable depth of training
and development for local citizens.
Collaboration with government
Existing national skills, for example in
Project proponents also need to engage cargo handling or contract management,
with governments on workplace reform, may translate into supply chain positions.
to avoid excessive wage appreciation, For example, developing countries
restrictions on expatriates and labor may have supply chain and logistics
inflexibility, perhaps in return for better expertise from mining, ports and maritime
human capacity development, working business, aviation, trucking businesses
conditions, and long-term investment in and retail.
9
P. Sullivan (2015) ‘A Balancing Act: The outlook for the oil and gas industry in 2015’ DNV GL
10
KPMG (July 2010) ‘Supply Chain Opportunities in the Oil & Gas Sector’
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15 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
• A
n Australian E&P company needed to transform its • The client received
procure to pay (P2P) process to meet the needs of a
− A set of 15 key improvement initiatives that
US$12 billion LNG joint venture.
would improve the throughput of the P2P team,
KPMG response while reducing the opportunities to overpay for
services received.
• W
e managed the P2P process improvement project, − A set of high performance process maps for the
which identified all the risks and root cause issues P2P area of the corporate team.
within the previous processes, including areas of
non-compliance and potential revenue leakage.
• W
e developed a prioritised action plan to implement
the improvement initiatives for both the quick wins
and the longer term improvement opportunities,
including business transformation and IT system
(SAP) re-implementation project assistance.
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 16
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17 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
Hak Bin Pek, Partner and Head of Oil & company developing LNG supply chain
Hak Bin Pek Gas, Asia Pacific, KPMG in Singapore, infrastructure.“
Partner and Head suggests that “The capabilities required
Good practices include regular reviews
of Oil & Gas, Asia to support the LNG infrastructure and
and sharing of lessons learned, with a
Pacific commercial developments in Asia
focus on improving the performance
KPMG in Singapore are growing rapidly in recent years.
of the client, as well as the supplier.
Geographically located at a strategic
Incentives are, of course, already
choke point in Asia, Singapore has a
widely used. Contractual models can be
number of strong attributes to support
considered that share gains between
Pek Hak Bin is the Head of the KPMG Oil its ambition to become the regional gas
& Gas practice for Asia Pacific. A finance- supplier and client. Early engagement
trading hub. In addition, it is also a central
trained oil and gas executive, Hak Bin with contractors is emerging as a key
hub for LNG shipbuilding capabilities
has worked in various disciplines in the feature, to identify challenges in delivery
and engineering firms. So I see these
energy industry, in a career spanning and constructability. Supplier companies
developments as extremely helpful to any
more than 20 years. Former roles include
Country President and Chairman for
BP’s Singapore operations, 15 years
in BP and 3 years in Halliburton Energy
Services. Hak Bin is a well-known energy
specialist in Asia, having spent 5 years
in China pioneering BP’s investments
into China, heading up BP Thailand for
3 years and BP Singapore for 6 years.
KPMG response
• K
PMG identified multiple supply chain issues
including insufficient integration of the supply
chain organization, poorly defined processes,
lack of suitable demand planning, inefficient
vessel loading and unreliable supply of
contractor freight.
Benefits to client
• T
he client received a comprehensive
effectiveness analysis and recommendations
for improvement.
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 18
can be encouraged to set up consortia Regina Mayor, Principal, Head of Oil &
with specific tasks to solve, then Gas Americas, KPMG in the US. As she Regina Mayor
rewarded with incentive payments or advocates, “Find non-traditional suppliers Principal,
extra access to information when they to consolidate demand (e.g. logistics Head of Oil & Gas,
succeed. Bringing contractors “into the suppliers to manage water hauling) and Americas
tent”, however, can create tensions when look for vertical integration opportunities KPMG in the US
companies would typically have contracts to manage/control more of the critical
competitively bid – indeed, this may components yourself.” Instead of vertical
be a government requirement in some integration, project developers may also
countries. consider alternative suppliers or even the
With over 22 years of experience in
use of alternative components entirely to
Companies can think of “innovative advisory services across the oil and
avoid bottlenecks.
content strategies”11, as described by gas value chain, Regina Mayor has
significant depth and expertise in
business transformation, process
redesign, organizational design and
change management, delivering large
scale business and technology changes
to major global oil companies. Harvard-
educated, Regina is a sought after
speaker at global industry forums,
such as the National Petroleum
Refiners Association, the Argus
Americas Crude Conference and the
World Energy Conference.
11
Regina Mayor and Michael Lueck, KPMG in the US, (5th January 2015) ‘The Five Imperatives to Managing a Resilient Upstream Supply Chain’, Oil & Gas Monitor
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19 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 20
Gaurav Moda
Partner,
Head of Oil & Gas
Stakeholder engagement
KPMG in India
Credibility Comprehensive
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21 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 22
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23 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
Chima E. Isilebo
General Manager, Production
Nigeria LNG Ltd.
Chima Isilebo is responsible for managing the 6-train 22 Mtpa LNG plant complex located in Bonny, Rivers,
State of Nigeria, as well as the Gas Supply Network/Pipelines, where he manages planning, operations/asset
management, maintenance, technology, engineering and project development. He has more than 30 years of
diverse experience in the oil and gas industry, in both upstream and midstream, including engineering/project
management, HSSE management, business planning/economics, LNG commercial/business development
and operations/asset management/venture governance.
Chima joined Shell Nigeria in 1981, with multiple international assignments. As Vice President of Shell Gas & Power for the South-East
Asia region, he was responsible for new business development and governance of existing LNG/GtL joint ventures. Chima has served
as a Director on the Boards of a number of Shell JV companies, including Brunei Shell Petroleum (BSP), Brunei LNG (BLNG), Brunei Shell
Tankers (BST), Brunei Gas Carriers (BGC) and the Shell Gas-to-Liquid Plant (SMDS) in Malaysia.
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25 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 26
Andy Calitz
CEO, LNG Canada
Andy Calitz, CEO of LNG Canada, a Shell-PetroChina-Kogas-Mitsubishi Joint Venture, started his
working career in the electricity business, joining Shell in 1996. He has spent more than 30 years
on various energy projects having worked internationally in a variety of roles, including business
development, project management and commercial aspects of the Shell business. Andy’s LNG
experience includes LNG shipping and commercial and director roles on the Sakhalin and Gorgon
LNG projects.
With an Electrical Engineer degree from the University of Stellenbosch, Andy has further qualifications in commerce,
management and business administration from the Harvard Business School and the Universities of Witwatersrand and Insead.
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27 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 28
Conclusion
The rush to first LNG delivery, the challenges of
constructing plants in remote and unfamiliar locations,
and workforce skills shortages, have all contributed to
sub-optimal supply chains. This move to tougher LNG
projects and environments, at a time of lower oil and gas
prices, demands a more rigorous and innovative approach
to the supply chain. To reach a final investment decision,
proposed projects need to demonstrate capital efficiency
and the ability to stay on schedule. Developers will seek
to lock in key suppliers and reduce supply chain costs,
but the projects need to remain viable for contractors
too. With volatile commodity and service prices, there is
a better chance of success for both project proponents
and contractors when they use contractual models that
align the interests of all participants. Meanwhile, existing
plants need to optimize productivity and operating costs.
Supply chains need to be efficient, but they also need to
be resilient – able to function well – despite unexpected
disruptions and changes.
Developers can continue to deliver viable LNG projects
even in a world of lower commodity prices and more
challenging situations, if they pay close attention to the key
areas: putting human resources first; investigating new
supply chain models and technologies; understanding and
adapting to the construction environment; and optimizing
supply chain from construction through the transition to
operations.
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29 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 30
Put human resources first – and treat supply chain excellence as a core skill.
Consider new approaches, including modularization, floating LNG and new IT tools – but
understand their strengths and weaknesses.
Develop innovative contracting and alliance models, including synergies with other nearby
operators. Reduce supply chain costs via partnerships with other companies, governments and
stakeholders, engaging employees in solutions.
Treat supply chain risk at a holistic, enterprise level. Deal with pricing issues, volatility and
uncertainty in the marketplace i.e. fluctuating commodity prices, increased environmental
regulation, customer demands for transparency about products and services, awareness of the
social license to operate, and local content requirements.
Manage the transition to operations, and adapt maintenance philosophy to the situation.
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31 Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
• Risk identification Risks through tools and methodologies that address demand
• Enterprise risk management planning, supply and inventory management, strategic sourcing
• Outsource or insource? and helping to mitigate contract management.
• Business operations strategy Organizational effectiveness, business readiness for LNG and
• Demand side management operational excellence.
• Issue recognition and strategy development Designing or improving current business processes, including
• Business operations strategy implementing technology focusing on logistic, supply chain and
• Capitalizing on different technology investments procurement management, are services that member firms’
• Quality reporting advisory teams have delivered successfully.
• Meeting increasing regulatory, government and Managing relationships between IOCs and NOCs is critical to
multiple stakeholder demands helping ensure a balance between political and commercial
• Managing major capital expenditure projects and objectives, such as royalty and taxation, security of supply, em-
energy investment requirements ployment and infrastructure development. We assist IOCs and
• Security of supply NOCs in creating a stable and attractive investment environ-
• Talent management ment by developing policy and governance structures.
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 32
kpmg.com
For further publications, videos and other information on LNG, visit: kpmg.com/LNG
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centers
Un locking the s upply c hai n f o r L NG p r o je c t s u c c e s s
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U nl ocki ng t he suppl y chai n f or LN G pr oj ec t s uc c es s 34
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Publication name: Unlocking the supply chain for LNG project success