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7 1 1 0.987766 1.41 0.333 2.91E⫺1 1.276 3.15E⫺2 ⫺3.037 0.85463 13.5 24.1
8 ⫺2 2 0.308072 2.83 0.667 9.52E⫺1 2.431 7.58E⫺1 ⫺2.326 0.32123 ⫺4.3 ⫺25.6
9 ⫺2.5 0.5 0.558091 2.55 0.601 9.98E⫺1 2.203 5.37E⫺1 ⫺2.466 0.57059 ⫺2.2 15.4
Absolute average error 5.4 33.2
a
X n ⫽normalized values for X(X/X max).
b
FSCគPrediction⫽ a* Z a ⫹ b* Z b / a ⫹ b .
c
%FSC Error⫽共Actual Value⫺FSCគPrediction兲/Actual Value.
where n is a positive integer number that makes X less than 2. Jonathan Jingsheng Shi, M.ASCE1
FSC was developed using the 64 data points 共Scenario 2 stud- 1
Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil and Architectural Engineering,
ied by the author兲 as training data sets. Eqs. 共3兲 and 共4兲 were Illinois Institute of Technology, 3201 S. Dearborn St., Chicago,
developed accordingly. IL 60616. E-mail: jonathan.shi@iit.edu
Z a ⫽0.8165X⫹0.12117 (3a) The writer was very interested in reading the fuzzy subtractive
clustering 共FSC兲 results presented in the discussion. The claimed
Z b ⫽0.5024X⫺3.74707 (3b)
accuracy seems appealing.
2 Using the response concept 共Smith et al. 1995兲, a neural net-
a ⫽e ⫺16储 X n ⫺0.611储 (4a)
work 共NN兲 may be expressed as to estimate a set of interested
2 factors 共e.g., Z⫽ 兵 z 1 ,z 2 ,...,z m 其 ) under a given set of variables
b ⫽e ⫺16储 X n ⫺0.7982储 (4b)
共e.g., X⫽ 兵 x 1 ,x 2 ,...,x n 其 ), i.e.
The data points were generated randomly, in a manner similar Z⫽ f 共 X 兲 (1)
to that used in the note, over three zones 共Fig. 2兲. The active
parameter X for these training data sets was estimated as shown in where f⫽mapping relationship between Z and X.
Fig. 3. For r a ⫽0.5, two clusters 共a and b兲 were obtained from the After training, f is obtained. It is generally assumed that the
training data points as shown 共Fig. 3兲. The output of these clusters same f be applicable for the entire space due to the embedded
共Z兲 and their membership values 共兲 can be calculated using Eqs. nonlinear ability in NN. The performance of a system consisting
共3兲 and 共4兲, respectively. of modular NN models may improve if different relationships
The nine data points specified by the author were also used to 共e.g., f 兲 between Z and X exist in different regions of the space
test the performance of the FSC. The results obtained were com- 共Shi et al. 1998兲. Of course, creating modular NN models would
pared to those generated using the author’s technique 共see Table require extra work.
1兲. The results clearly indicate much higher accuracy for the pro- Clustering seems a useful technique to help a user identify the
posed FSC over the technique presented by the author 共see, number of NN modules needed for a given problem based on the
%FSC Error versus %NN Error兲. number of clusters identified. Strong clusters are essential to as-
was noted that an additional step was used in the discussion 关i.e., earth-moving systems using discrete-event simulation.’’ J. Constr.
Eq. 共2兲兴 for computing X first, and FSC estimation was then based Eng. Manage., 121共4兲, 388 –396.