Above Town Below Town Forecast(Below Town) Confidence Interval(Below Town)

4.7 5.06666666667
4.8 4.6 6
4.9 4.7
5 4.75
5.1 4.7 5
5.2 4.2
5.3 4.50370989894622 0.287488669223132
4
5.4 4.14891656475399 0.287489962919233
5.5 4.3230481141018 0.289872132186418
5.6 3.96825477990957 0.28987569622456
3

0
4.7 4
6

0
4.7 4.8 4.9 5 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6

Below Town Forecast(Below Town)

5.5 5.6
Above Town Below Town
5.2 4.2
4.8 4.4
5.1 4.7
5 4.9
4.9 4.6
4.8 4.8
5 4.9 Above Town
4.7 4.6
4.7 5.1 Mean 4.92
5 4.3 Standard Error 0.0404733893
4.7 5.5 Median 4.9
5.1 4.7 Mode 5
5 4.9 Standard Deviation 0.1567527626
4.9 4.8 Sample Variance 0.0245714286
4.9 4.7 Kurtosis -0.883845738
Skewness 0.0051355327
Range 0.5
Minimum 4.7
Maximum 5.2
Sum 73.8
Count 15

F-Test Two-Sample for Variances

Above Town
Mean 4.92
Variance 0.0245714286
Observations 15
df 14
F 0.2395543175
P(F<=f) one-tail 0.0057444548
F Critical one-tail 0.402620943
 Below Town

Mean 4.74
Standard Error 0.082692776
Median 4.7
Mode 4.7
Standard Deviation 0.320267745
Sample Variance 0.102571429
Kurtosis 1.338978175
Skewness 0.52867165
Range 1.3
Minimum 4.2
Maximum 5.5
Sum 71.1
Count 15

Below Town
4.74
0.1025714286
15
14
t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances

Above Town Below Town

Mean 4.92 4.74
Variance 0.0245714285714285 0.1025714286
Observations 15 15
Pooled Variance 0.0635714285714286
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
df 28
t Stat 1.95511429592042
P(T<=t) one-tail 0.0303091232814168
t Critical one-tail 1.70113093426593
P(T<=t) two-tail 0.0606182465628335
t Critical two-tail 2.04840714179524

5.3
5.2
5.1
5

Above Town
4.9
4.8
4.7
4.6
SUMMARY OUTPUT 4.5
4.4
4
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.486597266388405
R Square 0.236776899656668
Adjusted R Square 0.178067430399489
Standard Error 0.142112833426365
Observations 15

ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 0.08145125348 0.0814512535
Residual 13 0.26254874652 0.0201960574
Total 14 0.344

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat

Intercept 6.04888579387187 0.56332329146 10.737858501
Below Town -0.238161559888579 0.1185921871 -2.0082398825

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Above Town Residuals

1 5.04860724233983 0.15139275766
2 5.00097493036212 -0.2009749304
3 4.92952646239554 0.1704735376
4 4.88189415041783 0.11810584958
5 4.9533426183844 -0.0533426184
6 4.90571030640669 -0.1057103064
7 4.88189415041783 0.11810584958
8 4.9533426183844 -0.2533426184
9 4.83426183844011 -0.1342618384
10 5.02479108635098 -0.0247910864
11 4.73899721448468 -0.0389972145
12 4.92952646239554 0.1704735376
13 4.88189415041783 0.11810584958
14 4.90571030640669 -0.0057103064
15 4.92952646239554 -0.0295264624
 Normal Probability Plot
5.3
5.2
5.1
5
Above Town

4.9
4.8
4.7
4.6
4.5
4.4
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile

Below Town Line Fit Plot

5.3
5.2
5.1
5
Above Town

4.9
4.8
4.7
4.6
4.5
4.4
4 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5 5.2 5.4 5.6
Below Town

Above Town Predicted Above Town

F Significance F
4.03302742560075 0.0658607941

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

7.8294846044722E-08 4.8318998115 7.2658717762 4.8318998115 7.2658717762
 0.065860794066845 -0.4943644038 0.018041284 -0.4943644038 0.018041284

PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Percentile Above Town

3.33333333333333 4.7
10 4.7
16.6666666666667 4.7
23.3333333333333 4.8
30 4.8
36.6666666666667 4.9
43.3333333333333 4.9
50 4.9
56.6666666666667 5
63.3333333333333 5
70 5
76.6666666666667 5
83.3333333333333 5.1
90 5.1
96.6666666666667 5.2
Is the suspicion of the pollution control inspector valid? Did he have to do any assumptions to test his suspicion

Above Town Below Town

5.2 4.2
4.8 4.4
5.1 4.7
5 4.9
4.9 4.6
4.8 4.8
5 4.9
4.7 4.6
4.7 5.1
5 4.3 Test-Statistic
4.7 5.5
5.1 4.7
5 4.9
4.9 4.8
4.9 4.7
o any assumptions to test his suspicion

Step 2 0.05

Step 3 3.8045730738

X1 Bar 4.92
X2 Bar 4.74
Var1 0.0245714286
Var2 0.1025714286
n1 = n2 15
df n1+n2-2 28

Step 4 0.0007078507 P_Value

t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances

Above Town Below Town

Mean 4.92 4.74
Variance 0.0245714286 0.1025714286
Observations 15 15
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
df 20
t Stat 1.9551142959
P(T<=t) one-tail 0.0323446439
t Critical one-tail 1.7247182429
P(T<=t) two-tail 0.0646892877
t Critical two-tail 2.0859634473
 Below Town
6

5
f(x) = − 0.994186046511628 x + 9.63139534883721
Axis Title 4 R² = 0.236776899656669

0
Numerator 0.18 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5 5.1 5.2 5.3
Denominator 0.047311 Axis Title

P_Value>Alpha Reject Null Hypo