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    REBECA DANIELA BARRIOS ENRIQUEZ
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    The document discusses a method for calculating probabilities of flows between states using matrix algebra. It provides the transition matrix and flow matrix for a system with four states: S1, S2, S3, S4. The method involves setting up equations for the flow between each state based on the transition probabilities, then solving the equations simultaneously to find the probabilities of flowing between each state pair. The solved probabilities are: 1) Flow from S1 to S2 is 63.64% 2) Flow from S3 to S2 is 40.91% 3) Flow from S1 to S4 is 36.36% 4) Flow from S3 to S4 is 59.09%

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    Sistemas II

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    The document discusses a method for calculating probabilities of flows between states using matrix algebra. It provides the transition matrix and flow matrix for a system with four states: S1, S2, S3, S4. The method involves setting up equations for the flow between each state based on the transition probabilities, then solving the equations simultaneously to find the probabilities of flowing between each state pair. The solved probabilities are: 1) Flow from S1 to S2 is 63.64% 2) Flow from S3 to S2 is 40.91% 3) Flow from S1 to S4 is 36.36% 4) Flow from S3 to S4 is 59.09%

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    6 views6 pages

    Cadenas Absorbentes

    Uploaded by

    REBECA DANIELA BARRIOS ENRIQUEZ
    The document discusses a method for calculating probabilities of flows between states using matrix algebra. It provides the transition matrix and flow matrix for a system with four states: S1, S2, S3, S4. The method involves setting up equations for the flow between each state based on the transition probabilities, then solving the equations simultaneously to find the probabilities of flowing between each state pair. The solved probabilities are: 1) Flow from S1 to S2 is 63.64% 2) Flow from S3 to S2 is 40.91% 3) Flow from S1 to S4 is 36.36% 4) Flow from S3 to S4 is 59.09%

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    of 6

    METODO DE LA SUMA DE FLUJOS:

    P(S1-2) =
    P(S1-4) =
    P(S3-2) =
    P(S3-4) =

    P(S1-2) =
    P(S3-2) =

    0.6P(S1-2) - 0.2P(S3.2) = 0.3


    -0.1P(S1.2) + 0.4P(S3-2) = 0.1

    P(S1-4) =
    P(S3-4) =

    0.6P(S1-4) - 0.2P(S3-4) = 0.1


    -0.1P(S1-4) + 0.4P(S3-4) = 0.2
    MÉTODO MATRICIAL:
    S1 S2 S3 S4
    S1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
    S2 0 1 0 0
    S3 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.2
    S4 0 0 0 1

    S1 S2 S3 S4
    S1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
    S3 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.2
    S2 0 1 0 0
    S4 0 0 0 1

    S1 S3 S2 S4
    S1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1
    S3 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.2
    S2 0 0 1 0
    S4 0 0 0 1
    0.6P(S1-2) - 0.2P(S3.2) = 0.3
    -0.1P(S1.2) + 0.4P(S3-2) = 0.1
    ETODO DE LA SUMA DE FLUJOS:

    0.4P(S1-2) + 0.3 + 0.2(PS3-2)


    0.4P(S1-4) + 0.1 + 0,2(PS3-4)
    0.6P(S3-2) + 0.1 + 0.1P(S1-2)
    0.6P(S3-4) + 0,2 + 0.1P(S1-4)

    0.4P(S1-2) + 0.3 + 0.2(PS3-2)


    0.6P(S3-2) + 0.1 + 0.1P(S1-2)

    6P(S1-2) - 0.2P(S3.2) = 0.3 P(S1.2) = 0.63636 63.64%


    1P(S1.2) + 0.4P(S3-2) = 0.1 P(S3.2) = 0.40909 40.91%

    0.4P(S1-4) + 0.1 + 0,2(PS3-4) 1


    0.6P(S3-4) + 0,2 + 0.1P(S1-4) 1

    6P(S1-4) - 0.2P(S3-4) = 0.1 P(S1-4) = 0.36364 36.36%


    1P(S1-4) + 0.4P(S3-4) = 0.2 P(S3-4) = 0.59091 59.09%

    SUMAS
    1
    1
    1
    1

    A = 0.3 0.1
    0.1 0.2

    N= 0.4 0.2
    0.1 0.6
    I= 1 0
    0 1

    (I - N) = 0.6 -0.2
    -0.1 0.4

    (I - N)-1 = 1.818181818 0.909090909


    0.454545455 2.727272727

    (I - N)-1 * A = 0.636363636 0.363636364 P(S1.2) = 0.636363636


    0.409090909 0.590909091 P(S3.2) = 0.409090909

    P(S1-4) = 0.363636364
    P(S3-4) = 0.590909091
    63.64%
    40.91%

    36.36%
    59.09%

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