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Interactive Highway Safety Design Model

Crash Prediction Evaluation Report

July 22, 2022


Disclaimer

The Interactive Highway Design Model (IHSDM) software is disseminated under the sponsorship of the Department of
Transportation in the interest of information exchange. The United States Government assumes no liability for its content or use
thereof. This document does not constitute a standard, specification, or regulation.

The United States Government does not endorse products or manufacturers. Trade and manufacturers' names may appear in this
software and documentation only because they are considered essential to the objective of the software.

Limited Warranty and Limitations of Remedies

This software product is provided "as-is," without warranty of any kind-either expressed or implied (but not limited to the
implied warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose). The FHWA do not warrant that the functions
contained in the software will meet the end-user's requirements or that the operation of the software will be uninterrupted and
error-free.

Under no circumstances will the FHWA be liable to the end-user for any damages or claimed lost profits, lost savings, or other
incidental or consequential damages rising out of the use or inability to use the software (even if these organizations have been
advised of the possibility of such damages), or for any claim by any other party.

Notice

The use of the IHSDM software is being done strictly on a voluntary basis. In exchange for provision of IHSDM, the user agrees
that the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA), U.S. Department of Transportation and any other agency of the Federal
Government shall not be responsible for any errors, damage or other liability that may result from any and all use of the software,
including installation and testing of the software. The user further agrees to hold the FHWA and the Federal Government
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entity to which the user provides the IHSDM software. It is the user's full responsibility to inform any person to whom or any
entity to which it provides the IHSDM software of this hold harmless provision.
List of Figures Crash Prediction Evaluation Report

Table of Contents

Report Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Disclaimer Regarding Crash Prediction Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Section Types . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Section 1 Evaluation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3

List of Tables

Table Evaluation Highway - Homogeneous Segments (Section 1) .......................... 5


Table Predicted Highway Crash Rates and Frequencies Summary (Section 1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Table Predicted Crash Frequencies and Rates by Highway Segment/Intersection (Section 1) . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Table Predicted Crash Frequencies and Rates by Horizontal Design Element (Section 1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Table Predicted Crash Frequencies by Year (Section 1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Table Predicted Crash Type Distribution (Section 1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13

List of Figures

Figure Crash Prediction Summary (Section 1) ...................................... 4

iv Interactive Highway Safety Design Model


Crash Prediction Evaluation Report Report Overview

Report Overview
Report Generated: 22-jul-2022 23:04
Report Template: System: Single Page, 508 Compliant [System] (mlcpm5, 05-dic-2019 15:16)

Evaluation Date: Fri Jul 22 23:03:54 COT 2022


IHSDM Version: v17.0.0 (Sep 22, 2021)
Crash Prediction Module: v12.0.0 (Sep 22, 2021)

User Name: danny


Organization Name:
Phone:
E-Mail:

Project Title: Proyecto final


Project Comment: Created using wizard
Project Unit System: Metric

Highway Title: Via accidentes(Copy 1)


Highway Comment: Created Mon Jul 18 22:26:41 COT 2022
Highway Version: 1

Evaluation Title: Evaluation 9


Evaluation Comment: Created Fri Jul 22 23:03:26 COT 2022

Minimum Location: 0.000


Maximum Location: 15+750.000

Policy for Superelevation: AASHTO 2011 Metric


Calibration: HSM Configuration Loja
Crash Distribution: HSM Configuration
Model/CMF: HSM Configuration

First Year of Analysis: 2023


Last Year of Analysis: 2032
Empirical-Bayes Analysis: None
First Year of Observed Crashes:
Last Year of Observed Crashes:

Interactive Highway Safety Design Model 1


Report Overview Crash Prediction Evaluation Report

Disclaimer Regarding Crash Prediction Method

IMPORTANT NOTICE ABOUT COMPARING RESULTS FROM HIGHWAY SAFETY MANUAL FIRST EDITION
(2010) MODELS TO RESULTS FROM NEW MODELS DEVELOPED UNDER NCHRP PROJECTS 17-70, 17-58, AND
17-68

Since the publication of the Highway Safety Manual - First Edition (HSM-1), in 2010 by the American Association of State
Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO), multiple research efforts have been undertaken through the National
Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) to develop safety performance models for road segment and intersection
facility types that were not initially reflected in the HSM-1, in order to expand the breadth and depth of the HSM in the future.

The IHSDM Crash Prediction Module (CPM) is intended as a faithful implementation of HSM Part C predictive methods. As
NCHRP projects to develop new predictive methods for the HSM are completed, FHWA works to incorporate the new methods
into IHSDM, sometimes in advance of publication in the HSM. The following new crash predictive methods have been accepted
by NCHRP project panels and incorporated into IHSDM, while pending AASHTO's approval for incorporation into a future
edition of the HSM:

- Roundabouts: completed in 2018 under NCHRP Project 17-70, the new methods will provide improved outcomes for the safety
analysis of roundabouts.
- 6+ lane and one-way urban/suburban arterials (including models for segments and intersections): completed under NCHRP
Project 17-58.
- Intersection crash prediction methods for some intersection configurations and traffic control types not currently addressed in
the HSM (e.g., all-way stop; rural 3-leg signalized; 3-leg stop-controlled where the major leg turns; urban 5-leg signalized; urban
high-speed intersections): completed in 2021 under NCHRP Project 17-68.

However, in the absence of local calibration factors (see HSM-1 Part C, Appendix A for guidance on calibration of the predictive
models), it is neither appropriate nor advisable to directly compare the results from new models (from NCHRP Projects 17-58,
17-68, and 17-70) to results from HSM-1 models, as the models were not calibrated to the same base state data sets, and
consequently can produce unexpected results. If local calibration factors are available and applied to both new models and HSM-
1 models, then it may be appropriate to directly compare the results.[Note: Work being performed under NCHRP Project 17-72
(Update of Crash Modification Factors for the Highway Safety Manual) is expected to re-calibrate many of the old (HSM-1) and
new (e.g., NCHRP 17-70) models to data from a single (or small number of) states, that would allow results from all models to be
directly compared.]

The models produced for NCHRP Project 17-70 have independent value in terms of informing the design of a roundabout and
assessing the effects of different design characteristics on the expected safety performance of a roundabout.

The HSM-1 interim method previously included in IHSDM for evaluating roundabouts on urban/suburban arterials (i.e.,
evaluating an existing intersection and then applying a Crash Modification Factor for replacing the existing intersection with a
roundabout) has been deactivated in IHSDM, to minimize any confusion with the new roundabout methodology.

2 Interactive Highway Safety Design Model


Crash Prediction Evaluation Report Section Types

Section Types

Section 1 Evaluation
Section: Section 1
Evaluation Start Location: 0.000
Evaluation End Location: 15+750.000
Area Type: Rural
Functional Class: Arterial
Type of Alignment: Undivided, Two Lane
Model Category: Rural, Two Lane
Calibration Factor: 2U=0.25;

Interactive Highway Safety Design Model 3


Section Types Crash Prediction Evaluation Report

Figure 1. Crash Prediction Summary (Section 1)

4 Interactive Highway Safety Design Model


Crash Prediction Evaluation Report Section Types

Table 1. Evaluation Highway - Homogeneous Segments (Section 1)


Left Right Driveway
Start End Left Right TWL Automated Design
Seg. Length Length Lane Lane Grad Density Hazard Centerline Passing Radius
Type Location Location AADT Shoulder Shoulder T Lighting Speed Superelevation (%) Adverse Speed
No. (m) (km) Widt Widt e (%) (driveways/ Rating Rumble Strip Lanes (m)
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) Width (m) Width (m) Lane Enforcement (km/h)
h (m) h (m) km)

1 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 0.000 126.910 126.91 0.1269 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

2 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 126.910 190.480 63.57 0.0636 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

3 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 190.480 435.480 245.00 0.2450 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

4 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 435.480 462.600 27.12 0.0271 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

5 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 462.600 696.400 233.80 0.2338 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

6 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 696.400 761.320 64.92 0.0649 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

7 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 761.320 1+193.600 432.28 0.4323 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

8 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 1+193.600 1+269.830 76.23 0.0762 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

9 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 1+269.830 1+568.850 299.02 0.2990 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

10 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 1+568.850 1+605.650 36.80 0.0368 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

11 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 1+605.650 2+024.100 418.45 0.4184 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

12 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 2+024.100 2+074.590 50.49 0.0505 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

13 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 2+074.590 2+885.200 810.61 0.8106 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

14 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 2+885.200 2+924.090 38.89 0.0389 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

15 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 2+924.090 3+383.810 459.72 0.4597 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

16 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 3+383.810 3+489.190 105.38 0.1054 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

17 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 3+489.190 3+606.180 116.99 0.1170 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

18 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 3+606.180 3+735.840 129.66 0.1297 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

19 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 3+735.840 4+058.960 323.12 0.3231 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

20 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+058.960 4+126.940 67.98 0.0680 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

21 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+126.940 4+280.610 153.67 0.1537 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

22 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+280.610 4+577.250 296.64 0.2966 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

23 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+577.250 4+750.430 173.18 0.1732 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

24 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+750.430 4+897.210 146.78 0.1468 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

25 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+897.210 5+306.980 409.77 0.4098 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

26 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 5+306.980 5+549.080 242.10 0.2421 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

27 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 5+549.080 5+888.320 339.24 0.3392 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

28 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 5+888.320 5+967.080 78.76 0.0788 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

29 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 5+967.080 6+279.120 312.04 0.3120 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

30 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 6+279.120 6+362.040 82.92 0.0829 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

31 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 6+362.040 6+591.910 229.87 0.2299 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

32 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 6+591.910 6+762.630 170.72 0.1707 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

33 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 6+762.630 7+546.410 783.78 0.7838 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

34 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 7+546.410 7+596.820 50.41 0.0504 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

35 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 7+596.820 8+314.780 717.96 0.7180 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

36 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 8+314.780 8+400.300 85.52 0.0855 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

37 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 8+400.300 8+689.350 289.05 0.2890 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

38 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 8+689.350 8+744.490 55.14 0.0551 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

39 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 8+744.490 9+123.170 378.68 0.3787 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

40 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 9+123.170 9+185.630 62.46 0.0625 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

Interactive Highway Safety Design Model 5


Section Types Crash Prediction Evaluation Report

Left Right Driveway


Start End Left Right TWL Automated Design
Seg. Length Length Lane Lane Grad Density Hazard Centerline Passing Radius
Type Location Location AADT Shoulder Shoulder T Lighting Speed Superelevation (%) Adverse Speed
No. (m) (km) Widt Widt e (%) (driveways/ Rating Rumble Strip Lanes (m)
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) Width (m) Width (m) Lane Enforcement (km/h)
h (m) h (m) km)

41 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 9+185.630 9+448.250 262.62 0.2626 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false

42 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 9+448.250 9+517.700 69.45 0.0694 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70

10+132.14
43 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 9+517.700 614.44 0.6144 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0
10+132.14 10+176.70
44 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 44.56 0.0446 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

10+176.70 10+553.20
45 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 376.50 0.3765 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

10+553.20 10+654.01
46 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 100.81 0.1008 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

10+654.01 10+678.01
47 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 24.00 0.0240 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

10+678.01 10+791.06
48 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 113.05 0.1130 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

10+791.06 10+895.54
49 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 104.48 0.1045 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

10+895.54 10+921.32
50 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 25.78 0.0258 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

10+921.32 11+183.67
51 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 262.35 0.2624 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

11+183.67 11+277.29
52 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 93.62 0.0936 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

11+277.29 11+463.82
53 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 186.53 0.1865 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

11+463.82 11+554.93
54 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 91.11 0.0911 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

11+554.93 11+938.49
55 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 383.56 0.3836 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

11+938.49 11+995.68
56 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 57.19 0.0572 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

11+995.68 12+104.17
57 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 108.49 0.1085 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

12+104.17 12+542.40
58 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 438.23 0.4382 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 710.47 2.0 true 70
0 0

12+542.40 12+570.32
59 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 27.92 0.0279 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

12+570.32 12+682.21
60 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 111.89 0.1119 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

12+682.21 13+113.82
61 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 431.61 0.4316 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

13+113.82 13+261.67
62 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 147.85 0.1479 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

13+261.67 13+766.46
63 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 504.79 0.5048 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

13+766.46 13+832.57
64 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 66.11 0.0661 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

13+832.57 14+172.46
65 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 339.89 0.3399 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

14+172.46 14+201.00
66 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 28.54 0.0285 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

14+201.00 14+569.18
67 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 368.18 0.3682 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

14+569.18 14+849.14
68 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 279.96 0.2800 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

6 Interactive Highway Safety Design Model


Crash Prediction Evaluation Report Section Types

Left Right Driveway


Start End Left Right TWL Automated Design
Seg. Length Length Lane Lane Grad Density Hazard Centerline Passing Radius
Type Location Location AADT Shoulder Shoulder T Lighting Speed Superelevation (%) Adverse Speed
No. (m) (km) Widt Widt e (%) (driveways/ Rating Rumble Strip Lanes (m)
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) Width (m) Width (m) Lane Enforcement (km/h)
h (m) h (m) km)

14+849.14 15+192.10
69 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 342.96 0.3430 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
15+192.10 15+228.03
70 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 35.93 0.0359 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

15+228.03 15+403.81
71 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 175.78 0.1758 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

15+403.81 15+495.43
72 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 91.62 0.0916 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

15+495.43 15+589.68
73 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 94.25 0.0943 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

15+589.68 15+651.04
74 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 61.36 0.0614 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0

15+651.04 15+750.00
75 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 98.96 0.0990 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0

Interactive Highway Safety Design Model 7


Section Types Crash Prediction Evaluation Report

Table 2. Predicted Highway Crash Rates and Frequencies Summary (Section 1)

First Year of Analysis 2023

Last Year of Analysis 2032

Evaluated Length (km) 15.7500

Average Future Road AADT (vpd) 7,881

Predicted Crashes

Total Crashes 215.27

Fatal and Injury Crashes 69.10

Property-Damage-Only Crashes 146.17

Percent of Total Predicted Crashes

Percent Fatal and Injury Crashes (%) 32

Percent Property-Damage-Only Crashes (%) 68

Predicted Crash Rate

Crash Rate (crashes/km/yr) 1.3668

FI Crash Rate (crashes/km/yr) 0.4387

PDO Crash Rate (crashes/km/yr) 0.9280

Predicted Travel Crash Rate

Total Travel (million veh-km) 453.06

Travel Crash Rate (crashes/million veh-km) 0.47

Travel FI Crash Rate (crashes/million veh-km) 0.15

Travel PDO Crash Rate (crashes/million veh-km) 0.32

Table 3. Predicted Crash Frequencies and Rates by Highway Segment/Intersection


(Section 1)
Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Segment Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Number/Intersection Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
Name/Cross Road (crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)

1 0.000 126.910 0.1269 1.144 0.1144 0.0367 0.0777 0.9015 0.31

2 126.910 190.480 0.0636 2.515 0.2515 0.0807 0.1708 3.9570 1.38

3 190.480 435.480 0.2450 2.209 0.2209 0.0709 0.1500 0.9015 0.31

4 435.480 462.600 0.0271 1.893 0.1893 0.0608 0.1285 6.9806 2.43

5 462.600 696.400 0.2338 2.108 0.2108 0.0677 0.1431 0.9015 0.31

6 696.400 761.320 0.0649 2.531 0.2531 0.0813 0.1719 3.8991 1.35

7 761.320 1+193.600 0.4323 3.897 0.3897 0.1251 0.2646 0.9015 0.31

8 1+193.600 1+269.830 0.0762 2.664 0.2664 0.0855 0.1809 3.4945 1.22

8 Interactive Highway Safety Design Model


Crash Prediction Evaluation Report Section Types

Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Segment Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Number/Intersection Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
Name/Cross Road (crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)

9 1+269.830 1+568.850 0.2990 2.696 0.2696 0.0865 0.1830 0.9015 0.31

10 1+568.850 1+605.650 0.0368 2.202 0.2202 0.0707 0.1495 5.9830 2.08

11 1+605.650 2+024.100 0.4184 3.772 0.3772 0.1211 0.2561 0.9015 0.31

12 2+024.100 2+074.590 0.0505 2.362 0.2362 0.0758 0.1604 4.6785 1.63

13 2+074.590 2+885.200 0.8106 7.308 0.7307 0.2346 0.4962 0.9015 0.31

14 2+885.200 2+924.090 0.0389 2.226 0.2226 0.0715 0.1512 5.7245 1.99

15 2+924.090 3+383.810 0.4597 4.144 0.4144 0.1330 0.2814 0.9015 0.31

16 3+383.810 3+489.190 0.1054 3.006 0.3005 0.0965 0.2041 2.8520 0.99

17 3+489.190 3+606.180 0.1170 1.055 0.1055 0.0339 0.0716 0.9015 0.31

18 3+606.180 3+735.840 0.1297 3.290 0.3290 0.1056 0.2234 2.5374 0.88

19 3+735.840 4+058.960 0.3231 2.913 0.2913 0.0935 0.1978 0.9015 0.31

20 4+058.960 4+126.940 0.0680 2.567 0.2567 0.0824 0.1743 3.7764 1.31

21 4+126.940 4+280.610 0.1537 1.385 0.1385 0.0445 0.0941 0.9015 0.31

22 4+280.610 4+577.250 0.2966 5.247 0.5247 0.1684 0.3563 1.7688 0.61

23 4+577.250 4+750.430 0.1732 1.561 0.1561 0.0501 0.1060 0.9015 0.31

24 4+750.430 4+897.210 0.1468 3.491 0.3491 0.1120 0.2370 2.3781 0.83

25 4+897.210 5+306.980 0.4098 3.694 0.3694 0.1186 0.2508 0.9015 0.31

26 5+306.980 5+549.080 0.2421 4.608 0.4608 0.1479 0.3129 1.9032 0.66

27 5+549.080 5+888.320 0.3392 3.058 0.3058 0.0982 0.2076 0.9015 0.31

28 5+888.320 5+967.080 0.0788 2.693 0.2693 0.0865 0.1829 3.4199 1.19

29 5+967.080 6+279.120 0.3120 2.813 0.2813 0.0903 0.1910 0.9015 0.31

30 6+279.120 6+362.040 0.0829 2.742 0.2742 0.0880 0.1862 3.3071 1.15

31 6+362.040 6+591.910 0.2299 2.072 0.2072 0.0665 0.1407 0.9015 0.31

32 6+591.910 6+762.630 0.1707 3.771 0.3771 0.1211 0.2561 2.2090 0.77

33 6+762.630 7+546.410 0.7838 7.066 0.7066 0.2268 0.4798 0.9015 0.31

34 7+546.410 7+596.820 0.0504 2.361 0.2361 0.0758 0.1603 4.6841 1.63

35 7+596.820 8+314.780 0.7180 6.472 0.6472 0.2078 0.4395 0.9015 0.31

36 8+314.780 8+400.300 0.0855 2.773 0.2773 0.0890 0.1883 3.2422 1.13

37 8+400.300 8+689.350 0.2890 2.606 0.2606 0.0836 0.1769 0.9015 0.31

38 8+689.350 8+744.490 0.0551 2.417 0.2417 0.0776 0.1641 4.3828 1.52

39 8+744.490 9+123.170 0.3787 3.414 0.3414 0.1096 0.2318 0.9015 0.31

40 9+123.170 9+185.630 0.0625 2.502 0.2502 0.0803 0.1699 4.0065 1.39

41 9+185.630 9+448.250 0.2626 2.368 0.2367 0.0760 0.1608 0.9015 0.31

42 9+448.250 9+517.700 0.0694 2.584 0.2584 0.0830 0.1755 3.7212 1.29

43 9+517.700 10+132.140 0.6144 5.539 0.5539 0.1778 0.3761 0.9015 0.31

44 10+132.140 10+176.700 0.0446 2.293 0.2293 0.0736 0.1557 5.1452 1.79

45 10+176.700 10+553.200 0.3765 3.394 0.3394 0.1089 0.2305 0.9015 0.31

46 10+553.200 10+654.010 0.1008 2.952 0.2952 0.0948 0.2004 2.9282 1.02

47 10+654.010 10+678.010 0.0240 0.216 0.0216 0.0069 0.0147 0.9015 0.31

48 10+678.010 10+791.060 0.1130 3.095 0.3095 0.0994 0.2102 2.7380 0.95

49 10+791.060 10+895.540 0.1045 0.942 0.0942 0.0302 0.0640 0.9015 0.31

50 10+895.540 10+921.320 0.0258 1.800 0.1800 0.0578 0.1222 6.9806 2.43

51 10+921.320 11+183.670 0.2624 2.365 0.2365 0.0759 0.1606 0.9015 0.31

52 11+183.670 11+277.290 0.0936 2.868 0.2868 0.0921 0.1947 3.0631 1.06

53 11+277.290 11+463.820 0.1865 1.681 0.1682 0.0540 0.1142 0.9015 0.31

54 11+463.820 11+554.930 0.0911 2.838 0.2838 0.0911 0.1927 3.1152 1.08

55 11+554.930 11+938.490 0.3836 3.458 0.3458 0.1110 0.2348 0.9015 0.31

56 11+938.490 11+995.680 0.0572 2.441 0.2441 0.0783 0.1657 4.2677 1.48

57 11+995.680 12+104.170 0.1085 0.978 0.0978 0.0314 0.0664 0.9015 0.31

Interactive Highway Safety Design Model 9


Section Types Crash Prediction Evaluation Report

Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Segment Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Number/Intersection Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
Name/Cross Road (crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)

58 12+104.170 12+542.400 0.4382 5.016 0.5016 0.1610 0.3406 1.1446 0.40

59 12+542.400 12+570.320 0.0279 0.252 0.0252 0.0081 0.0171 0.9015 0.31

60 12+570.320 12+682.210 0.1119 3.082 0.3082 0.0989 0.2093 2.7543 0.96

61 12+682.210 13+113.820 0.4316 3.891 0.3891 0.1249 0.2642 0.9015 0.31

62 13+113.820 13+261.670 0.1479 3.503 0.3503 0.1125 0.2379 2.3694 0.82

63 13+261.670 13+766.460 0.5048 4.551 0.4551 0.1461 0.3090 0.9015 0.31

64 13+766.460 13+832.570 0.0661 2.545 0.2545 0.0817 0.1728 3.8500 1.34

65 13+832.570 14+172.460 0.3399 3.064 0.3064 0.0984 0.2080 0.9015 0.31

66 14+172.460 14+201.000 0.0285 1.992 0.1992 0.0640 0.1353 6.9806 2.43

67 14+201.000 14+569.180 0.3682 3.319 0.3319 0.1065 0.2254 0.9015 0.31

68 14+569.180 14+849.140 0.2800 5.051 0.5051 0.1621 0.3430 1.8043 0.63

69 14+849.140 15+192.100 0.3430 3.092 0.3092 0.0992 0.2099 0.9015 0.31

70 15+192.100 15+228.030 0.0359 2.192 0.2192 0.0703 0.1488 6.0995 2.12

71 15+228.030 15+403.810 0.1758 1.585 0.1585 0.0509 0.1076 0.9015 0.31

72 15+403.810 15+495.430 0.0916 2.844 0.2844 0.0913 0.1931 3.1044 1.08

73 15+495.430 15+589.680 0.0943 0.850 0.0850 0.0273 0.0577 0.9015 0.31

74 15+589.680 15+651.040 0.0614 2.490 0.2490 0.0799 0.1690 4.0573 1.41

75 15+651.040 15+750.000 0.0990 0.892 0.0892 0.0286 0.0606 0.9015 0.31

Total 15.7500 215.268 21.5268 6.9101 14.6167 1.3668

Table 4. Predicted Crash Frequencies and Rates by Horizontal Design Element (Section 1)
Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Title Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
(crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)

Tangent 0.000 126.910 0.1269 1.144 0.1144 0.0367 0.0777 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 1 126.910 190.480 0.0636 2.515 0.2515 0.0807 0.1708 3.9570 1.38

Tangent 190.480 435.480 0.2450 2.209 0.2209 0.0709 0.1500 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 2 435.480 462.600 0.0271 1.893 0.1893 0.0608 0.1285 6.9806 2.43

Tangent 462.600 696.400 0.2338 2.108 0.2108 0.0677 0.1431 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 3 696.400 761.320 0.0649 2.531 0.2531 0.0813 0.1719 3.8991 1.35

Tangent 761.320 1+193.600 0.4323 3.897 0.3897 0.1251 0.2646 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 4 1+193.600 1+269.830 0.0762 2.664 0.2664 0.0855 0.1809 3.4945 1.22

Tangent 1+269.830 1+568.850 0.2990 2.696 0.2696 0.0865 0.1830 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 5 1+568.850 1+605.650 0.0368 2.202 0.2202 0.0707 0.1495 5.9830 2.08

Tangent 1+605.650 2+024.100 0.4184 3.772 0.3772 0.1211 0.2561 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 6 2+024.100 2+074.590 0.0505 2.362 0.2362 0.0758 0.1604 4.6785 1.63

Tangent 2+074.590 2+885.200 0.8106 7.308 0.7307 0.2346 0.4962 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 7 2+885.200 2+924.090 0.0389 2.226 0.2226 0.0715 0.1512 5.7245 1.99

Tangent 2+924.090 3+383.810 0.4597 4.144 0.4144 0.1330 0.2814 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 8 3+383.810 3+489.190 0.1054 3.006 0.3005 0.0965 0.2041 2.8520 0.99

Tangent 3+489.190 3+606.180 0.1170 1.055 0.1055 0.0339 0.0716 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 9 3+606.180 3+735.840 0.1297 3.290 0.3290 0.1056 0.2234 2.5374 0.88

Tangent 3+735.840 4+058.960 0.3231 2.913 0.2913 0.0935 0.1978 0.9015 0.31

10 Interactive Highway Safety Design Model


Crash Prediction Evaluation Report Section Types

Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Title Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
(crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)

Simple Curve 10 4+058.960 4+126.940 0.0680 2.567 0.2567 0.0824 0.1743 3.7764 1.31

Tangent 4+126.940 4+280.610 0.1537 1.385 0.1385 0.0445 0.0941 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 11 4+280.610 4+577.250 0.2966 5.247 0.5247 0.1684 0.3563 1.7688 0.61

Tangent 4+577.250 4+750.430 0.1732 1.561 0.1561 0.0501 0.1060 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 12 4+750.430 4+897.210 0.1468 3.491 0.3491 0.1120 0.2370 2.3781 0.83

Tangent 4+897.210 5+306.980 0.4098 3.694 0.3694 0.1186 0.2508 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 13 5+306.980 5+549.080 0.2421 4.608 0.4608 0.1479 0.3129 1.9032 0.66

Tangent 5+549.080 5+888.320 0.3392 3.058 0.3058 0.0982 0.2076 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 14 5+888.320 5+967.080 0.0788 2.693 0.2693 0.0865 0.1829 3.4199 1.19

Tangent 5+967.080 6+279.120 0.3120 2.813 0.2813 0.0903 0.1910 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 15 6+279.120 6+362.040 0.0829 2.742 0.2742 0.0880 0.1862 3.3071 1.15

Tangent 6+362.040 6+591.910 0.2299 2.072 0.2072 0.0665 0.1407 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 16 6+591.910 6+762.630 0.1707 3.771 0.3771 0.1211 0.2561 2.2090 0.77

Tangent 6+762.630 7+546.410 0.7838 7.066 0.7066 0.2268 0.4798 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 17 7+546.410 7+596.820 0.0504 2.361 0.2361 0.0758 0.1603 4.6841 1.63

Tangent 7+596.820 8+314.780 0.7180 6.472 0.6472 0.2078 0.4395 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 18 8+314.780 8+400.300 0.0855 2.773 0.2773 0.0890 0.1883 3.2422 1.13

Tangent 8+400.300 8+689.350 0.2890 2.606 0.2606 0.0836 0.1769 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 19 8+689.350 8+744.490 0.0551 2.417 0.2417 0.0776 0.1641 4.3828 1.52

Tangent 8+744.490 9+123.170 0.3787 3.414 0.3414 0.1096 0.2318 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 20 9+123.170 9+185.630 0.0625 2.502 0.2502 0.0803 0.1699 4.0065 1.39

Tangent 9+185.630 9+448.250 0.2626 2.368 0.2367 0.0760 0.1608 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 21 9+448.250 9+517.700 0.0694 2.584 0.2584 0.0830 0.1755 3.7212 1.29

Tangent 9+517.700 10+132.140 0.6144 5.539 0.5539 0.1778 0.3761 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 22 10+132.140 10+176.700 0.0446 2.293 0.2293 0.0736 0.1557 5.1452 1.79

Tangent 10+176.700 10+553.200 0.3765 3.394 0.3394 0.1089 0.2305 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 23 10+553.200 10+654.010 0.1008 2.952 0.2952 0.0948 0.2004 2.9282 1.02

Tangent 10+654.010 10+678.010 0.0240 0.216 0.0216 0.0069 0.0147 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 24 10+678.010 10+791.060 0.1130 3.095 0.3095 0.0994 0.2102 2.7380 0.95

Tangent 10+791.060 10+895.540 0.1045 0.942 0.0942 0.0302 0.0640 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 25 10+895.540 10+921.320 0.0258 1.800 0.1800 0.0578 0.1222 6.9806 2.43

Tangent 10+921.320 11+183.670 0.2624 2.365 0.2365 0.0759 0.1606 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 26 11+183.670 11+277.290 0.0936 2.868 0.2868 0.0921 0.1947 3.0631 1.06

Tangent 11+277.290 11+463.820 0.1865 1.681 0.1682 0.0540 0.1142 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 27 11+463.820 11+554.930 0.0911 2.838 0.2838 0.0911 0.1927 3.1152 1.08

Tangent 11+554.930 11+938.490 0.3836 3.458 0.3458 0.1110 0.2348 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 28 11+938.490 11+995.680 0.0572 2.441 0.2441 0.0783 0.1657 4.2677 1.48

Tangent 11+995.680 12+104.170 0.1085 0.978 0.0978 0.0314 0.0664 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 29 12+104.170 12+542.400 0.4382 5.016 0.5016 0.1610 0.3406 1.1446 0.40

Tangent 12+542.400 12+570.320 0.0279 0.252 0.0252 0.0081 0.0171 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 30 12+570.320 12+682.210 0.1119 3.082 0.3082 0.0989 0.2093 2.7543 0.96

Tangent 12+682.210 13+113.820 0.4316 3.891 0.3891 0.1249 0.2642 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 31 13+113.820 13+261.670 0.1479 3.503 0.3503 0.1125 0.2379 2.3694 0.82

Tangent 13+261.670 13+766.460 0.5048 4.551 0.4551 0.1461 0.3090 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 32 13+766.460 13+832.570 0.0661 2.545 0.2545 0.0817 0.1728 3.8500 1.34

Tangent 13+832.570 14+172.460 0.3399 3.064 0.3064 0.0984 0.2080 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 33 14+172.460 14+201.000 0.0285 1.992 0.1992 0.0640 0.1353 6.9806 2.43

Tangent 14+201.000 14+569.180 0.3682 3.319 0.3319 0.1065 0.2254 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 34 14+569.180 14+849.140 0.2800 5.051 0.5051 0.1621 0.3430 1.8043 0.63

Interactive Highway Safety Design Model 11


Section Types Crash Prediction Evaluation Report

Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Title Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
(crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)

Tangent 14+849.140 15+192.100 0.3430 3.092 0.3092 0.0992 0.2099 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 35 15+192.100 15+228.030 0.0359 2.192 0.2192 0.0703 0.1488 6.0995 2.12

Tangent 15+228.030 15+403.810 0.1758 1.585 0.1585 0.0509 0.1076 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 36 15+403.810 15+495.430 0.0916 2.844 0.2844 0.0913 0.1931 3.1044 1.08

Tangent 15+495.430 15+589.680 0.0943 0.850 0.0850 0.0273 0.0577 0.9015 0.31

Simple Curve 37 15+589.680 15+651.040 0.0614 2.490 0.2490 0.0799 0.1690 4.0573 1.41

Tangent 15+651.040 15+750.000 0.0990 0.892 0.0892 0.0286 0.0606 0.9015 0.31

Table 5. Predicted Crash Frequencies by Year (Section 1)

Year Total Crashes FI Crashes Percent FI (%) PDO Crashes Percent PDO (%)

2023 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

2024 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

2025 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

2026 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

2027 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

2028 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

2029 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

2030 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

2031 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

2032 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

Total 215.27 69.10 32.100 146.17 67.900

Average 21.53 6.91 32.100 14.62 67.900

Note: Fatal and Injury Crashes and Property Damage Only Crashes do not necessarily sum up to Total Crashes because the
distribution of these three crashes had been derived independently.

12 Interactive Highway Safety Design Model


Crash Prediction Evaluation Report Section Types

Table 6. Predicted Crash Type Distribution (Section 1)


Percent FI PDO Percent Total Percent
Element Type Crash Type FI Crashes
(%) Crashes PDO (%) Crashes Total (%)

Highway Segment Collision with Animal 2.63 1.2 26.89 12.5 26.05 12.1

Highway Segment Collision with Bicycle 0.28 0.1 0.15 0.1 0.43 0.2

Highway Segment Other Single-vehicle Collision 0.48 0.2 4.24 2.0 4.52 2.1

Highway Segment Overturned 2.56 1.2 2.19 1.0 5.38 2.5

Highway Segment Collision with Pedestrian 0.48 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.65 0.3

Highway Segment Run Off Road 37.66 17.5 73.81 34.3 112.16 52.1

Highway Segment Total Single Vehicle Crashes 44.09 20.5 107.43 49.9 149.18 69.3

Highway Segment Angle Collision 6.98 3.2 10.52 4.9 18.30 8.5

Highway Segment Head-on Collision 2.35 1.1 0.44 0.2 3.44 1.6

Highway Segment Other Multiple-vehicle Collision 1.80 0.8 4.38 2.0 5.81 2.7

Highway Segment Rear-end Collision 11.40 5.3 17.83 8.3 30.57 14.2

Highway Segment Sideswipe 2.63 1.2 5.55 2.6 7.96 3.7

Highway Segment Total Multiple Vehicle Crashes 25.15 11.7 38.73 18.0 66.09 30.7

Highway Segment Total Highway Segment Crashes 69.24 32.2 146.17 67.9 215.27 100.0

Total Crashes 69.24 32.2 146.17 67.9 215.27 100.0

Note: Fatal and Injury Crashes and Property Damage Only Crashes do not necessarily sum up to Total Crashes because the
distribution of these three crashes had been derived independently.

Interactive Highway Safety Design Model 13

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