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List of Figures Crash Prediction Evaluation Report
Table of Contents
Report Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Disclaimer Regarding Crash Prediction Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Section Types . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Section 1 Evaluation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
List of Tables
List of Figures
Report Overview
Report Generated: 22-jul-2022 23:04
Report Template: System: Single Page, 508 Compliant [System] (mlcpm5, 05-dic-2019 15:16)
IMPORTANT NOTICE ABOUT COMPARING RESULTS FROM HIGHWAY SAFETY MANUAL FIRST EDITION
(2010) MODELS TO RESULTS FROM NEW MODELS DEVELOPED UNDER NCHRP PROJECTS 17-70, 17-58, AND
17-68
Since the publication of the Highway Safety Manual - First Edition (HSM-1), in 2010 by the American Association of State
Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO), multiple research efforts have been undertaken through the National
Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) to develop safety performance models for road segment and intersection
facility types that were not initially reflected in the HSM-1, in order to expand the breadth and depth of the HSM in the future.
The IHSDM Crash Prediction Module (CPM) is intended as a faithful implementation of HSM Part C predictive methods. As
NCHRP projects to develop new predictive methods for the HSM are completed, FHWA works to incorporate the new methods
into IHSDM, sometimes in advance of publication in the HSM. The following new crash predictive methods have been accepted
by NCHRP project panels and incorporated into IHSDM, while pending AASHTO's approval for incorporation into a future
edition of the HSM:
- Roundabouts: completed in 2018 under NCHRP Project 17-70, the new methods will provide improved outcomes for the safety
analysis of roundabouts.
- 6+ lane and one-way urban/suburban arterials (including models for segments and intersections): completed under NCHRP
Project 17-58.
- Intersection crash prediction methods for some intersection configurations and traffic control types not currently addressed in
the HSM (e.g., all-way stop; rural 3-leg signalized; 3-leg stop-controlled where the major leg turns; urban 5-leg signalized; urban
high-speed intersections): completed in 2021 under NCHRP Project 17-68.
However, in the absence of local calibration factors (see HSM-1 Part C, Appendix A for guidance on calibration of the predictive
models), it is neither appropriate nor advisable to directly compare the results from new models (from NCHRP Projects 17-58,
17-68, and 17-70) to results from HSM-1 models, as the models were not calibrated to the same base state data sets, and
consequently can produce unexpected results. If local calibration factors are available and applied to both new models and HSM-
1 models, then it may be appropriate to directly compare the results.[Note: Work being performed under NCHRP Project 17-72
(Update of Crash Modification Factors for the Highway Safety Manual) is expected to re-calibrate many of the old (HSM-1) and
new (e.g., NCHRP 17-70) models to data from a single (or small number of) states, that would allow results from all models to be
directly compared.]
The models produced for NCHRP Project 17-70 have independent value in terms of informing the design of a roundabout and
assessing the effects of different design characteristics on the expected safety performance of a roundabout.
The HSM-1 interim method previously included in IHSDM for evaluating roundabouts on urban/suburban arterials (i.e.,
evaluating an existing intersection and then applying a Crash Modification Factor for replacing the existing intersection with a
roundabout) has been deactivated in IHSDM, to minimize any confusion with the new roundabout methodology.
Section Types
Section 1 Evaluation
Section: Section 1
Evaluation Start Location: 0.000
Evaluation End Location: 15+750.000
Area Type: Rural
Functional Class: Arterial
Type of Alignment: Undivided, Two Lane
Model Category: Rural, Two Lane
Calibration Factor: 2U=0.25;
1 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 0.000 126.910 126.91 0.1269 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
2 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 126.910 190.480 63.57 0.0636 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
3 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 190.480 435.480 245.00 0.2450 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
4 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 435.480 462.600 27.12 0.0271 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
5 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 462.600 696.400 233.80 0.2338 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
6 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 696.400 761.320 64.92 0.0649 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
7 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 761.320 1+193.600 432.28 0.4323 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
8 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 1+193.600 1+269.830 76.23 0.0762 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
9 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 1+269.830 1+568.850 299.02 0.2990 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
10 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 1+568.850 1+605.650 36.80 0.0368 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
11 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 1+605.650 2+024.100 418.45 0.4184 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
12 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 2+024.100 2+074.590 50.49 0.0505 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
13 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 2+074.590 2+885.200 810.61 0.8106 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
14 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 2+885.200 2+924.090 38.89 0.0389 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
15 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 2+924.090 3+383.810 459.72 0.4597 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
16 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 3+383.810 3+489.190 105.38 0.1054 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
17 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 3+489.190 3+606.180 116.99 0.1170 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
18 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 3+606.180 3+735.840 129.66 0.1297 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
19 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 3+735.840 4+058.960 323.12 0.3231 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
20 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+058.960 4+126.940 67.98 0.0680 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
21 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+126.940 4+280.610 153.67 0.1537 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
22 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+280.610 4+577.250 296.64 0.2966 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
23 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+577.250 4+750.430 173.18 0.1732 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
24 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+750.430 4+897.210 146.78 0.1468 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
25 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 4+897.210 5+306.980 409.77 0.4098 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
26 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 5+306.980 5+549.080 242.10 0.2421 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
27 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 5+549.080 5+888.320 339.24 0.3392 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
28 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 5+888.320 5+967.080 78.76 0.0788 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
29 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 5+967.080 6+279.120 312.04 0.3120 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
30 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 6+279.120 6+362.040 82.92 0.0829 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
31 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 6+362.040 6+591.910 229.87 0.2299 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
32 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 6+591.910 6+762.630 170.72 0.1707 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
33 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 6+762.630 7+546.410 783.78 0.7838 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
34 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 7+546.410 7+596.820 50.41 0.0504 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
35 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 7+596.820 8+314.780 717.96 0.7180 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
36 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 8+314.780 8+400.300 85.52 0.0855 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
37 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 8+400.300 8+689.350 289.05 0.2890 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
38 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 8+689.350 8+744.490 55.14 0.0551 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
39 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 8+744.490 9+123.170 378.68 0.3787 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
40 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 9+123.170 9+185.630 62.46 0.0625 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
41 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 9+185.630 9+448.250 262.62 0.2626 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
42 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 9+448.250 9+517.700 69.45 0.0694 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
10+132.14
43 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 9+517.700 614.44 0.6144 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0
10+132.14 10+176.70
44 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 44.56 0.0446 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
10+176.70 10+553.20
45 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 376.50 0.3765 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
10+553.20 10+654.01
46 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 100.81 0.1008 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
10+654.01 10+678.01
47 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 24.00 0.0240 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
10+678.01 10+791.06
48 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 113.05 0.1130 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
10+791.06 10+895.54
49 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 104.48 0.1045 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
10+895.54 10+921.32
50 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 25.78 0.0258 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
10+921.32 11+183.67
51 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 262.35 0.2624 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
11+183.67 11+277.29
52 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 93.62 0.0936 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
11+277.29 11+463.82
53 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 186.53 0.1865 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
11+463.82 11+554.93
54 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 91.11 0.0911 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
11+554.93 11+938.49
55 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 383.56 0.3836 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
11+938.49 11+995.68
56 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 57.19 0.0572 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
11+995.68 12+104.17
57 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 108.49 0.1085 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
12+104.17 12+542.40
58 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 438.23 0.4382 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 710.47 2.0 true 70
0 0
12+542.40 12+570.32
59 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 27.92 0.0279 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
12+570.32 12+682.21
60 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 111.89 0.1119 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
12+682.21 13+113.82
61 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 431.61 0.4316 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
13+113.82 13+261.67
62 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 147.85 0.1479 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
13+261.67 13+766.46
63 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 504.79 0.5048 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
13+766.46 13+832.57
64 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 66.11 0.0661 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
13+832.57 14+172.46
65 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 339.89 0.3399 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
14+172.46 14+201.00
66 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 28.54 0.0285 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
14+201.00 14+569.18
67 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 368.18 0.3682 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
14+569.18 14+849.14
68 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 279.96 0.2800 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
14+849.14 15+192.10
69 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 342.96 0.3430 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
15+192.10 15+228.03
70 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 35.93 0.0359 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
15+228.03 15+403.81
71 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 175.78 0.1758 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
15+403.81 15+495.43
72 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 91.62 0.0916 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
15+495.43 15+589.68
73 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 94.25 0.0943 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
15+589.68 15+651.04
74 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 61.36 0.0614 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false 168.00 2.0 true 70
0 0
15+651.04 15+750.00
75 Rural Two-Lane Segment Two-lane Undivided 98.96 0.0990 2023-2032: 7,881 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 4.00 28.0 6 false 0 false false false
0 0
Predicted Crashes
Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Segment Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Number/Intersection Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
Name/Cross Road (crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)
Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Segment Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Number/Intersection Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
Name/Cross Road (crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)
Table 4. Predicted Crash Frequencies and Rates by Horizontal Design Element (Section 1)
Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Title Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
(crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)
Tangent 0.000 126.910 0.1269 1.144 0.1144 0.0367 0.0777 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 1 126.910 190.480 0.0636 2.515 0.2515 0.0807 0.1708 3.9570 1.38
Tangent 190.480 435.480 0.2450 2.209 0.2209 0.0709 0.1500 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 2 435.480 462.600 0.0271 1.893 0.1893 0.0608 0.1285 6.9806 2.43
Tangent 462.600 696.400 0.2338 2.108 0.2108 0.0677 0.1431 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 3 696.400 761.320 0.0649 2.531 0.2531 0.0813 0.1719 3.8991 1.35
Tangent 761.320 1+193.600 0.4323 3.897 0.3897 0.1251 0.2646 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 4 1+193.600 1+269.830 0.0762 2.664 0.2664 0.0855 0.1809 3.4945 1.22
Tangent 1+269.830 1+568.850 0.2990 2.696 0.2696 0.0865 0.1830 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 5 1+568.850 1+605.650 0.0368 2.202 0.2202 0.0707 0.1495 5.9830 2.08
Tangent 1+605.650 2+024.100 0.4184 3.772 0.3772 0.1211 0.2561 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 6 2+024.100 2+074.590 0.0505 2.362 0.2362 0.0758 0.1604 4.6785 1.63
Tangent 2+074.590 2+885.200 0.8106 7.308 0.7307 0.2346 0.4962 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 7 2+885.200 2+924.090 0.0389 2.226 0.2226 0.0715 0.1512 5.7245 1.99
Tangent 2+924.090 3+383.810 0.4597 4.144 0.4144 0.1330 0.2814 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 8 3+383.810 3+489.190 0.1054 3.006 0.3005 0.0965 0.2041 2.8520 0.99
Tangent 3+489.190 3+606.180 0.1170 1.055 0.1055 0.0339 0.0716 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 9 3+606.180 3+735.840 0.1297 3.290 0.3290 0.1056 0.2234 2.5374 0.88
Tangent 3+735.840 4+058.960 0.3231 2.913 0.2913 0.0935 0.1978 0.9015 0.31
Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Title Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
(crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)
Simple Curve 10 4+058.960 4+126.940 0.0680 2.567 0.2567 0.0824 0.1743 3.7764 1.31
Tangent 4+126.940 4+280.610 0.1537 1.385 0.1385 0.0445 0.0941 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 11 4+280.610 4+577.250 0.2966 5.247 0.5247 0.1684 0.3563 1.7688 0.61
Tangent 4+577.250 4+750.430 0.1732 1.561 0.1561 0.0501 0.1060 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 12 4+750.430 4+897.210 0.1468 3.491 0.3491 0.1120 0.2370 2.3781 0.83
Tangent 4+897.210 5+306.980 0.4098 3.694 0.3694 0.1186 0.2508 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 13 5+306.980 5+549.080 0.2421 4.608 0.4608 0.1479 0.3129 1.9032 0.66
Tangent 5+549.080 5+888.320 0.3392 3.058 0.3058 0.0982 0.2076 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 14 5+888.320 5+967.080 0.0788 2.693 0.2693 0.0865 0.1829 3.4199 1.19
Tangent 5+967.080 6+279.120 0.3120 2.813 0.2813 0.0903 0.1910 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 15 6+279.120 6+362.040 0.0829 2.742 0.2742 0.0880 0.1862 3.3071 1.15
Tangent 6+362.040 6+591.910 0.2299 2.072 0.2072 0.0665 0.1407 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 16 6+591.910 6+762.630 0.1707 3.771 0.3771 0.1211 0.2561 2.2090 0.77
Tangent 6+762.630 7+546.410 0.7838 7.066 0.7066 0.2268 0.4798 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 17 7+546.410 7+596.820 0.0504 2.361 0.2361 0.0758 0.1603 4.6841 1.63
Tangent 7+596.820 8+314.780 0.7180 6.472 0.6472 0.2078 0.4395 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 18 8+314.780 8+400.300 0.0855 2.773 0.2773 0.0890 0.1883 3.2422 1.13
Tangent 8+400.300 8+689.350 0.2890 2.606 0.2606 0.0836 0.1769 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 19 8+689.350 8+744.490 0.0551 2.417 0.2417 0.0776 0.1641 4.3828 1.52
Tangent 8+744.490 9+123.170 0.3787 3.414 0.3414 0.1096 0.2318 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 20 9+123.170 9+185.630 0.0625 2.502 0.2502 0.0803 0.1699 4.0065 1.39
Tangent 9+185.630 9+448.250 0.2626 2.368 0.2367 0.0760 0.1608 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 21 9+448.250 9+517.700 0.0694 2.584 0.2584 0.0830 0.1755 3.7212 1.29
Tangent 9+517.700 10+132.140 0.6144 5.539 0.5539 0.1778 0.3761 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 22 10+132.140 10+176.700 0.0446 2.293 0.2293 0.0736 0.1557 5.1452 1.79
Tangent 10+176.700 10+553.200 0.3765 3.394 0.3394 0.1089 0.2305 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 23 10+553.200 10+654.010 0.1008 2.952 0.2952 0.0948 0.2004 2.9282 1.02
Tangent 10+654.010 10+678.010 0.0240 0.216 0.0216 0.0069 0.0147 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 24 10+678.010 10+791.060 0.1130 3.095 0.3095 0.0994 0.2102 2.7380 0.95
Tangent 10+791.060 10+895.540 0.1045 0.942 0.0942 0.0302 0.0640 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 25 10+895.540 10+921.320 0.0258 1.800 0.1800 0.0578 0.1222 6.9806 2.43
Tangent 10+921.320 11+183.670 0.2624 2.365 0.2365 0.0759 0.1606 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 26 11+183.670 11+277.290 0.0936 2.868 0.2868 0.0921 0.1947 3.0631 1.06
Tangent 11+277.290 11+463.820 0.1865 1.681 0.1682 0.0540 0.1142 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 27 11+463.820 11+554.930 0.0911 2.838 0.2838 0.0911 0.1927 3.1152 1.08
Tangent 11+554.930 11+938.490 0.3836 3.458 0.3458 0.1110 0.2348 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 28 11+938.490 11+995.680 0.0572 2.441 0.2441 0.0783 0.1657 4.2677 1.48
Tangent 11+995.680 12+104.170 0.1085 0.978 0.0978 0.0314 0.0664 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 29 12+104.170 12+542.400 0.4382 5.016 0.5016 0.1610 0.3406 1.1446 0.40
Tangent 12+542.400 12+570.320 0.0279 0.252 0.0252 0.0081 0.0171 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 30 12+570.320 12+682.210 0.1119 3.082 0.3082 0.0989 0.2093 2.7543 0.96
Tangent 12+682.210 13+113.820 0.4316 3.891 0.3891 0.1249 0.2642 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 31 13+113.820 13+261.670 0.1479 3.503 0.3503 0.1125 0.2379 2.3694 0.82
Tangent 13+261.670 13+766.460 0.5048 4.551 0.4551 0.1461 0.3090 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 32 13+766.460 13+832.570 0.0661 2.545 0.2545 0.0817 0.1728 3.8500 1.34
Tangent 13+832.570 14+172.460 0.3399 3.064 0.3064 0.0984 0.2080 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 33 14+172.460 14+201.000 0.0285 1.992 0.1992 0.0640 0.1353 6.9806 2.43
Tangent 14+201.000 14+569.180 0.3682 3.319 0.3319 0.1065 0.2254 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 34 14+569.180 14+849.140 0.2800 5.051 0.5051 0.1621 0.3430 1.8043 0.63
Predicted
Total Predicted Predicted Total Predicted FI Predicted PDO
Predicted Travel Crash
Start Location End Location Length Crashes for Crash Crash Crash
Title Crash Rate Rate
(Sta. m) (Sta. m) (km) Evaluation Frequency Frequency Frequency
(crashes/km/yr) (crashes/million
Period (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr) (crashes/yr)
veh-km)
Tangent 14+849.140 15+192.100 0.3430 3.092 0.3092 0.0992 0.2099 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 35 15+192.100 15+228.030 0.0359 2.192 0.2192 0.0703 0.1488 6.0995 2.12
Tangent 15+228.030 15+403.810 0.1758 1.585 0.1585 0.0509 0.1076 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 36 15+403.810 15+495.430 0.0916 2.844 0.2844 0.0913 0.1931 3.1044 1.08
Tangent 15+495.430 15+589.680 0.0943 0.850 0.0850 0.0273 0.0577 0.9015 0.31
Simple Curve 37 15+589.680 15+651.040 0.0614 2.490 0.2490 0.0799 0.1690 4.0573 1.41
Tangent 15+651.040 15+750.000 0.0990 0.892 0.0892 0.0286 0.0606 0.9015 0.31
Year Total Crashes FI Crashes Percent FI (%) PDO Crashes Percent PDO (%)
Note: Fatal and Injury Crashes and Property Damage Only Crashes do not necessarily sum up to Total Crashes because the
distribution of these three crashes had been derived independently.
Highway Segment Collision with Animal 2.63 1.2 26.89 12.5 26.05 12.1
Highway Segment Collision with Bicycle 0.28 0.1 0.15 0.1 0.43 0.2
Highway Segment Other Single-vehicle Collision 0.48 0.2 4.24 2.0 4.52 2.1
Highway Segment Collision with Pedestrian 0.48 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.65 0.3
Highway Segment Run Off Road 37.66 17.5 73.81 34.3 112.16 52.1
Highway Segment Total Single Vehicle Crashes 44.09 20.5 107.43 49.9 149.18 69.3
Highway Segment Angle Collision 6.98 3.2 10.52 4.9 18.30 8.5
Highway Segment Head-on Collision 2.35 1.1 0.44 0.2 3.44 1.6
Highway Segment Other Multiple-vehicle Collision 1.80 0.8 4.38 2.0 5.81 2.7
Highway Segment Rear-end Collision 11.40 5.3 17.83 8.3 30.57 14.2
Highway Segment Total Multiple Vehicle Crashes 25.15 11.7 38.73 18.0 66.09 30.7
Highway Segment Total Highway Segment Crashes 69.24 32.2 146.17 67.9 215.27 100.0
Note: Fatal and Injury Crashes and Property Damage Only Crashes do not necessarily sum up to Total Crashes because the
distribution of these three crashes had been derived independently.