Nama : Leonardi Setiawan

Nim : 190403161
Kelas : Teknik Industri C

16. The planning department of an electronics firm has set up the activities for developing and production
of a new MP3 Player. Given the informationbelow, develop a project network using Microsoft Project.
Assume a five-day workweek and the project starts on January 4, 2017.
Activity
Activity Activity
Description Time
ID Predecessor
(weeks)
1 Staff None 2
2 Develop market program 1 3
3 Select channels of 1 8
distribution
4 Patent 1 12
5 Pilot production 1 4
6 Test market 5 4
7 Ad promotion 2 4
8 Set up for production 4, 6 16

The project team has requested that you create a network for the project,and determine if the project
can be completed in 45 week
Case A7.1
International Capital, Inc.—Part A
International Capital, Inc. (IC), is a small investment banking firm that specializes in
securing funds for small- to medium-sized firms. IC is able to use a standardized project
format for each engagement. Only activity times and unusual circumstances change the
standard network. Beth Brown has been assigned to this client as project manager partner
and has compiled the network information and activity times for the latest client as follows
:
Activity Description Immediate Predecessor
A Start story draft using template -
B Research client firm -
C Create “due diligence” rough draft A,B
Coordinate needs proposal with
D C
client
Estimate future demand and cash
E C
flows
Draft future plans for client
F E
company
Create and approve legal
G C
documents
Integrate all drafts into first-draft
H D,F,G
proposal
I Line up potential sources of capital G,F
Check, approve, and print final
J H
legal proposal
K Sign contracts and transfer funds I,J

Time in Workdays
Activity Optimistic
A 4
B 2
C 2
D 16
E 6
F 1
G 4
H 2
I 5
J 2
K 17
Most Likely Pessimistic
7 10
4 8
5 8
19 28
9 24
7 13
10 28
5 14
8 17
5 8
29 45
 MANAGERIAL REPORT
Brown and other broker partners have a policy of passing their plan through a project
review committee of colleagues. This committee traditionally checks that all details are
covered, times are realistic, and resources are available. Brown wishes you to develop a
report that presents a planned schedule and expected project completion time in workdays.
Include a project network in your report. The average duration for a sourcing capital
project is 70 workdays. IC partners have agreed it is good business to set up projects with
a 95 percent chance of attaining the plan. How does this project stack up with the average
project? What would the average have to be to ensure a 95 percent chance of completing
the project in 70 workdays?

Answer :
Dari rata-rata waktu aktivitas kita dapat mengetahui AON project network:

1 D 3
0 A 7 2 2
0 0 0 0
0 7 7 1 2 3

7 C 1
2 1 E 3 2 F 3
3 H 3 3 J 4
0 0 2 8 8 3
2 2 3 0
7 5 1 0 0 0 0
2 2 2 2 3 5 4
3 6 3
1 1 2 2 7 3

1 G 2 3 I 3
0 B 4
2 4 0 9
3 3
8 8 4 4
3 4 7
2 1 3 3 9 4
Legend:
E ID E Expected project duration is 73 workdays, with critical path A,C,D,H,J,K
S F
SL SL
LS DU FL
R

Standard deviation of the project

ΣσTe2 = σ 2(A) + σTe2(C) + σTe2(D) + σTe2(H) + σTe2(J) + σ 2(K)
Te Te

ΣσTe2 = 1 + 1 + 4 + 4 + 1 + 22
ΣσTe2 = 33
σTe= √33

If the average duration for a sourcing capital project is 70 workdays and the plan
is to set up projects with a 95 percentchance of this average duration. We need to
find Zvaluefor a probability of 95%. From table A7.2:

Zvalue Probability
+1.6 0.945
+1.8 0.964
Interpolating these values we find that Zvalue for 0.950 is +1.653

Where Ts is the scheduled project duration (70

workdays)1.653 = (70 – TE)/ √33

TE ≈ 61 workdays

thus, with 95% of probability to meet the schedule duration the critical path
duration(Average) must be 61 days.