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Factoring Multi-Hazard Risk Perception in Risk Assessment and Reduction
Measures in Landslide and Flash Flood Prone Areas – A Case Study of
Sichon District, Nakhon Si Thammarat Province, Thailand
Paper:
This study’s purpose is to analyze the degree of risk hoods in this area mostly come from agricultural activi-
and vulnerability involved in landslide and flash flood ties, such as rice fields and orchards. Thus, most people
prone community areas in Thepparat sub-district, try to change the land use pattern without visualizing the
Sichon district, Nakhon Si Thammarat province, consequences. For example, they change the forest area
Thailand. It also aims to analyze and understand to a plantation area and cut the slope of the mountain,
the socio-economic impacts on the community at the which could cause flash floods and landslides. The exten-
household level, and assess the community’s risk and sive floods in 2011 also affected the district and caused
vulnerability by examining its risk perception. The massive landslides. Apart from private properties, lots of
risk perception was done using focus group discus- government facilities, such as roads, bridges, small dams,
sions and a questionnaire survey with key stakehold- and drainage systems were destroyed, and the total dam-
ers. It mainly focused on how the risk of landslides ages of all districts amounted to around 320 million baht.
and flash floods influences the community’s risk per- As defined by researchers [1, 2], risk perception refers
ceptions, which was tested in two parts: at the orga- to people’s subjective judgment of an event’s risk prob-
nizational and community levels by focusing on gov- ability based on their different perspectives, experiences,
ernment officials and households, respectively. A cor- and knowledge. Therefore, risk perceptions of landslides
relation matrix was used to understand the relation- and flash floods differ from person to person based on
ship of the indicators selected. The Pearson correla- their individual experiences and knowledge. Society, cul-
tion result has shown that the degree of risk aware- ture, and beliefs can also play contributing roles [3]. This
ness positively correlates with the income level, educa- subjective judgment of landslide and flash flood risks
tion level, and controllability, signifying that the risk would determine the extent to which people are involved
of landslides and flash floods influences household risk with national policies and laws. Preparedness and miti-
perceptions. The qualitative assessment recommends gation research studies enhance landslide and flash flood
community-level preparedness as being paramount to awareness, preparedness plans and programs, as well
reduce the risk for a resilient community. as coping activities and resilience skills of the commu-
nity [4]. Furthermore, the current state of attitudes and
perceptions of the stakeholders, authorities, and imple-
Keywords: community preparedness, flash flood, land- menters can play a crucial role in influencing the final
slide, multi-hazard, risk perception amount of intended involvement, effort, and resources
that would be applied at the local level [5].
Therefore, a new trend of study concerns the change
1. Introduction of vulnerability conditions that can bring about disas-
ter risk reduction (DRR), such as the potential of post-
Sichon District, Nakhon Si Thammarat Province is lo- disaster loss [6, 7]. The disaster risk management ap-
cated in the southwest of Thailand, and is surrounded by a proach can address each of the components of risk, such
high altitude mountain on the west and a plain area on the as hazard intensity and probability, as well as popula-
east. Moreover, the mountain’s bedrock comprises gran- tion, critical infrastructure, and vulnerability [8, 9]. More-
ite that has a high potential of sliding. Furthermore, the over, since the assessment and perception of risks dif-
Sichon district is also prone to flash floods due to heavy fers amongst people in each community, these differences
or even moderate rainfall situations. The primary liveli- can be integrated to find out the best information on de-
© Fuji Technology Press Ltd. Creative Commons CC BY-ND: This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of
the Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/4.0/).
Pal, I. and Karnjana, J.
Table 1. Historical landslides and flash floods in Nakhon Si Thammarat province [15].
ature review, and could provide significant outcomes for government organizations and the local community were
this study’s data analysis. selected as the main targets for information and data col-
lection (Table 2).
4.1. Field Survey or Field Observation
To understand the study area’s actual situation and
5. Multi-Hazard Risk Perception
come up with a deeper background and detailed infor-
mation, this study’s questionnaire survey was designed 5.1. Community Risk Perceptions on Landslides
to gather information, such as socio-economic charac-
and Flash Floods
teristics related to risk perception, and the vulnerability
components of the local community. It used a stratified
and random sampling process and focus group interviews Risk perceptions were examined using a close-ended
to collect field-based data. The sample’s stratification questionnaire survey for the whole community at the
will be done based on the decision-making of the various household level, as well as for key stakeholders. This
stakeholders in the community. Since this study focused observation was based on the community’s experiences
on landslide and flash flood impact in Theppharat Tam- and perceptions of the landslide and flash flood disaster
bon, in 15 of its villages, every household was considered in March 2011. The questionnaire includes three parts of
as a sample, with a total of 220 respondents. It followed risk perception as shown in Table 3.
the method advocated by Yamane [16] (Eq. (1)), and se- The risk perception indicators have been designed to
lected its confidence level and allowable error as 95% and understand the relationship between the community’s at-
10%, respectively, titudes when perceiving the risk, and how communities
prepare to respond or cope with disasters. Since each of
N
n= , . . . . . . . . . . . . (1) the chosen indicators were linked with other indicators to
1 + N(e)2 perform some activities in the next step, this study also
where “n” is the sample size, “N” the population size, and performed the Pearson correlation matrix to express the
“e” the acceptable sampling error. relationship between the indicators. The final findings and
results will provide Thepparat with recommendations and
suggestions for reducing their risk of landslides and flash
4.2. Selection of Key Informants floods at the community level. This study’s risk percep-
For the detailed interviews, key informants were se- tion indicators have been selected to analyze three aspects
lected from the community, district, and provincial lev- of risk. First, emergency response, which involves under-
els, and included those who were close to the community standing the people’s satisfaction with the response team’s
and working with government agencies, so that they could operations in their community (Table 3). Second, aware-
provide and share their plans and enhance the community ness of future events, which refers to people’s perceptions,
by finding solutions for risk reduction measures. Thus, beliefs, or knowledge about the risks of probable future
Table 3. Landslide and flash flood risk perceptions of the focus group and community members.
including disaster prevention and mitigation, at both provincial and branch levels, such as the Provincial Irrigation
Office, Provincial Meteorological Station, and Tambon Administration Organization (Table 2).
events, such as landslides and flashfloods. Last, controlla- household incomes in the province, i.e., average or be-
bility that relates to people’s knowing about the structural low average income; iii) education level categories: low,
as well as non-structural mitigation measures that need to medium, and high; iv) controllability: undertaken by peo-
be taken, or which are in place. ple to protect their houses and properties from hazards,
According to the data preparation, indicators were set such as flash floods and landslides; and v) emergency
up based on the following criteria: i) the age group of the response, which involves measuring the people’s satis-
sample population; ii) annual household income based on faction and whether they think that the government’s re-
sponse operations in their community were quick or de- initiate activities, such as improving their houses, etc.,
layed (Table 4). to reduce their risk. People in the landslide as well as
flash flood prone areas were more aware of the risks of
flash floods because of having several experiences of flash
5.2. Survey of Key Informants: Officials of Govern- floods, whereas they had faced landslides for the first time
ment Organizations in 2011. This qualitative assessment suggests that gaps in
The informants for semi-structured interviews were se- risk communication and risk information hold the key for
lected from government departments, such as Provincial people living in areas with higher risks.
Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, Provincial Irrigation
Office, Provincial Meteorological Station, and Disaster 5.4. Household Risk Perceptions
Prevention and Mitigation of Sichon district’s Tambon
Landslide and flash flood risks can influence personal
Administration Organization. The analysis shows that
attitudes. The indicators of risk perception at the house-
most of the key informants in government organizations
hold level, shown in Table 3, were selected from avail-
are well aware of landslide and flash flood hazards, in
able literature on natural hazards, such as studies by Ho
terms of their locations, frequency of events, etc. Most
et al. [17] and Ainuddin et al. [18]. These include age, in-
of the officials mentioned the various structural mitiga-
come, education, controllability, and emergency response.
tion measures undertaken at the local level through vari-
Risk perceptions can help in understanding the interrela-
ous developmental projects and non-structural mitigation
tionship of risk perception variables to formulate strate-
measures, in line with the national DRR initiatives.
gies for addressing risk awareness and preparedness.
RA IN EL ER CON AG
Risk awareness (RA)
PC 1
Sig. (2-tailed)
N 220
Income levels (IN)
PC 0.273* 1
Sig. (2-tailed) 0.041
N 220 220
Education levels (EL)
PC 0.595** 0.162* 1
Sig. (2-tailed) 0.002 0.034
N 220 220 220
Emergency Response (ER)
PC 0.101 −0.069 −0.145 1
Sig. (2-tailed) 0.211 0.735 0.462
N 220 220 220 220
Controllability (CON)
PC 0.734** 0.544** 0.218* −0.283 1
Sig. (2-tailed) 0.003 0.004 0.043 0.144
N 220 220 220 220 220
Age of people (AG)
PC −0.079 0.023 0.279* 0.036 −0.113 1
Sig. (2-tailed) 0.691 0.409 0.04 0.858 0.566
N 220 220 220 220 220 220
PC = Pearson Correlation
*Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).
**Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Income levels: The household income was based 14% of highly educated people were well aware of the risk
on the Nakhon Si Thammarat province’s average annual of landslides and flash floods, while 67% of respondents
household income, viz., 25,124 Thai baht [19]. However, were not. The result indicates that the educational level
the income of the majority of the households (73%, i.e., has a positive correlation with people’s risk awareness on
161) is below a province’s average income (15,000 per landslides and flash floods (r = 0.59, N = 220, p < 0.01).
household), which is considered as the reference point, Emergency Response: It establishes training and
whereas households having incomes below 15,000 baht drills, such as OTOS for civil defense protection teams
are considered as poor. For testing the relationship be- and volunteers, in terms of access to first aid and ba-
tween income and household risk perception, income in sics. The negative correlation between emergency re-
the province is considered in two categories: below aver- sponse and controllability may have been prominent due
age household income and above average household in- to the structural mitigation for landslide and flash flood
come. With regard to future occurrence and controllabil- prone communities in the study area. Conversely, since
ity, income is compared with risk awareness. The results people’s incomes and education levels, both showed a
show that the average household income is correlated positive correlation with emergency response, it indicates
with the risk awareness of future occurrences (r = 0.27, the influence of human knowledge and financial capacity
N = 220, p < 0.05) and controllability (r = 0.54, N = 220, on DRR.
p < 0.01) because income is one of the determinants of Controllability: A Pearson correlation that was run
a community’s ability to cope with disasters. Regarding to determine the relationship between landslide and flash
the community’s housing condition, people had renovated flood risk awareness (future occurrences) and controlla-
their houses to avoid future flooding. From the field sur- bility (structural and non-structural measures) showed a
vey, it emerged that some people had carried out renova- strong and positive correlation (r = 0.73, N = 220, p <
tions, such as lifting the height of their houses by 1.5 m, 0.01). As a result, the correlation matrix shows that the re-
etc. many times. Thus, there is a positive correlation be- lationship between risk awareness and controllability has
tween income and controllability. a correlation with people in the community having some
Education: The respondents’ education was grouped knowledge about the risk, and their having faced it before.
into three categories: 1) Low: primary and secondary Especially, since communities in flash flood prone ar-
school education; 2) Medium: high school education; and eas had experienced floods, they could take measures
3) High: college and university education. It showed that when hazards did occur. Therefore, local governments in
flash flood zones would have taken some measures, such pared to landslides, and the mitigation measures taken by
as improving the existing dikes by increasing their height the community based on economic status. However, even
and dredging the canal. Moreover, to self-protect their though communities in the flash flood group had more re-
communities and reduce direct losses and damages, peo- silience, their disaster risk was still high because coordi-
ple have undertaken measures, such as lifting their houses nation between the government departments was absent,
and early harvesting of their crop productions. and disaster preparedness and mitigation programs were
Age of the people: To examine the relationship undertaken mostly in the landslide group [21]. In gen-
between landslide and flash floods risks with people’s eral, respondents were not aware of the hazards and risks
age groups, the respondents were categorized into three that the landslides and flash floods could cause [22]. This
groups: below 21 years of age, 21–60 years, and above study also found that the local government plays a key
60 years. The frequency analysis showed that 15% were role in increasing disaster awareness. The head of Dis-
over 60 years and 27% below 21 years. The elderly or aster Prevention and Mitigation in the Sichon branch and
people aged above 60 years, often represent vulnerability the head of the Provincial Meteorological Office, both had
to disaster because older people will take a longer time to opportunities to reach out to the community through the
recover from injuries from natural hazards. local radio channels (FM radio) for updates on weather
situations, and increase public awareness by reporting on
disaster news. This study also explored the granularity of
7. Conclusion and Remarks disaster data at various levels, which is also an essential
component for improved risk communication and better
7.1. Primary Findings preparedness by the community [23].
Both landslides and flash floods are more frequent due 7.2. Mitigation Strategies for Landslides and Flash
to hydro-meteorological phenomena. Generally, people Floods at the Community Level
in local communities are the first to face the disaster’s im-
pact. Since disaster management activities may not be Mitigation measures for landslides and flash floods
successful with the sole involvement of the national gov- have two parts: short-term and long-term mitigation mea-
ernment, the local government and community’s involve- sures. The long-term mitigation measures are mostly re-
ment is needed to reduce disaster risks through other ways lated to watershed management and agriculture, forest
of implementing a centralized risk governance mecha- cover, and land use patterns. However, short-term miti-
nism. The positive correlation between risk awareness gation measures can be initiated by the community and
and controllability depicts that people in the community local governments through the following ways:
know the risk if they have faced it before. The institu- • Improved and accessible early warning system
tional mechanism is playing an essential role in develop-
• Developing coordination for emergency response
ing community-based resilience [20]. This study’s pur-
pose is to analyze the degree of risk and vulnerability, pri- • Identifying safe places for temporary facilities
marily qualitative risk perception, in landslide and flash • Community Based Disaster Risk Management (CB-
flood prone areas. The risk analysis of the Thepparat DRM) training programs
sub-district explores the degree of exposure of the com-
• Increasing the capacity of volunteers for search and
munity at risk, and their vulnerability to both landslides
and flash floods. This study’s risk analysis findings show rescue
that three of the villages in one Tambon (Thepparat sub- • Disaster awareness
district) had different risks due to their varied topogra-
phies, slopes, land-use, and settlement areas. Although
the existing landslide susceptibility map can be used to Acknowledgements
identify the landslide factors as well as its vulnerability Special thanks to Thailand’s Department of Mineral Resources,
areas, the risk of communities vary based on other ele- Nakhon Si Thammarat’s Provincial Disaster Prevention and Miti-
ments that progress from vulnerable conditions, such as gation team, Sichon Branch’s Disaster Prevention and Mitigation
team, Nakhon Si Thammarat’s Meteorological Station, Nakhon Si
condition of the roads and houses, as well as capacities,
Thammarat’s Irrigation Office, and Thepparat Tambon’s Admin-
such as time to receive early warning information, time
istration Organization. We also acknowledge the support received
to go to an evacuation shelter, etc. Mostly, the commu- from e-Asia Joint Research Program and National Science and
nity’s vulnerability depends on its socio-economic condi- Technology Development Agency under the project entitled “Es-
tions, e.g., communities in the landslide group were more tablishment of a Landslide Monitoring and Prediction System.”
vulnerable than those in the flash flood group, in which,
people had more income, higher levels of education, and
more experiences of disasters, which could influence their
perceptions and awareness about the risks. Field obser-
vations too, support the argument on the higher vulnera-
bility of landslide prone areas than the flash floods ones,
due to the higher frequency of flash flood hazards as com-
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