ASSET PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT

AVEVA Predictive Analytics

Gopikrishnan P

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Agenda
Day 1 - Training

 Introduction to Predictive Analytics

 Modelling Concepts
 Predictive Analytics Indicators
 System Architecture & Components

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Introduction

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AVEVA Predictive Analytics - Advanced Pattern Recognition
SOLUTIONS FOR MAXIMUM RETURN ON INDUSTRIAL ASSETS
• Advanced Pattern Recognition software for online
equipment condition monitoring
HISTORICAL DATA
Application learns normal
• Uses existing sensor historical data to describe
how an asset normally operates and builds a
operation from historical data

model
PATTERN RECOGNITION
Advanced algorithms automatically create and
• Data driven model (not physics based)
organize operational profiles

• APR algorithms continuously monitor and

EARLY WARNING DETECTION
Deviations from normal operation identified and
identify small deviations in operating behavior in
real-time
displayed

• Alerts when the operation differs from the

historical norm
• Early warning detection of equipment problems
© 2020 AVEVA Group plc and its subsidiaries. All rights reserved.
Monitoring without Advanced Analytics
TYPICAL HISTORIAN TREND VIEW
P lo t -0
• Data contains many complicated
78 108 102 113 102 64 14 170 70 75

76
relationships
74

72

70 • Data analysis via DCS or historian

68 trends is resource intensive
66

64

62

60

58 96 86 107 94 46 0 110 52 25
4 /6 /2 0 0 8 4 :3 9 :2 1 .7 9 1 P M 3 .0 0 d a ys 4/ 9/ 2 00 8 4 :3 9 :2 1 .7 9 1 P M

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Traditional Alerts
SINGLE SENSOR HIGH / LOW ALERTS

• Safeguard the plant… but

• No early warning
• Wide alarm window limits
• No detection of multiple signal relationships
• Only absolute values (not deviations)

© 2020 AVEVA Group plc and its subsidiaries. All rights reserved.

 Pattern Recognition
PRiSM Algorithm

Traditional Alarms

Actual Value
Oil Drain Temp (°F)

PRiSM
Clusters

Outboard Bearing Temp (°F)

© 2018
2020 AVEVA Group plc and its subsidiaries. All rights reserved.
Subtle Changes
Outboard Bearing Temp (°F)

Actual Value
Predicted Value

Date and Time

© 2019 AVEVA Group plc and its subsidiaries. All rights reserved.
Comparing Current Conditions to History
LOOKING FOR CHANGES

PRiSM samples current PRiSM compares PRiSM notifies users of

conditions current conditions the any deviations
“clusters”

• Pulls current data • Are current • Users view alerts

from the historian conditions within a and determine if the
• Runs at model cluster? changes are of
sample frequency • If not, which cluster concern
is closest?

© 2020 AVEVA Group plc and its subsidiaries. All rights reserved.

Modelling Concepts
SENSOR RELATIONSHIPS
• Model collects sensors which are:
• Related in process
• Related in location and function
• Upstream / downstream influence
• Seasonal and process variation:
• Comparison to the ambient
• Load, season, process, etc.

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Modelling Concepts
Dedicated model for dedicated components
 Loose pistons
 Rotational looseness
 Bearing issues
Compressor
Mechanical

 Packing issues Compressor Compressor  Valve leaks

 Lubrication issues Auxiliary Process  Efficiency issues
 Purge issues

 Motor bearing Motor  Winding issues

Motor Thermal
issues Mechanical  Cooling issues

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Definitions
IMPORTANT TERMS
Overall Model Residual (OMR)
• Lumpsum of individual parameter behaviors
• Single leading indicator of performance against historical norm
Actual Value
• The original signal
• The value of an equipment sensor at that time
Predicted Value
• Created by AVEVA Predictive Analytics leveraging the actual value of all signals in the model
• Sensor’s expected value based on historically similar conditions
Absolute Deviation
• Difference between the actual and predicted values
• A signals distance from the expected performance
© 2020 AVEVA Group plc and its subsidiaries. All rights reserved.
Subtle Changes
DEVIATIONS FROM NORMAL BEHAVIOUR

PRiSM looks for deviations from historical

performance based on deviations between
ACTUAL VALUE and PREDICTED VALUE

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 Find Emerging Trends
DEVIATIONS FROM NORMAL BEHAVIOUR

ABSOLUTE DEVIATION

• A deviation from predicted values gives indication of emerging issues well in advance of DCS
Alerts limits.
• Use the time gained from the early warning to begin investigating the change and planning a
maintenance intervention if necessary.

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Definitions
• Relative Deviation = Absolute Deviation / Training Range

𝑇𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑅𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 = 𝑀𝑎𝑥𝑖𝑚𝑢𝑚 − 𝑀𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑚𝑢𝑚 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑑𝑎𝑡𝑎

𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 − 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑐𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝐴𝑏𝑠𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑡𝑒 𝐷𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
𝑅𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝐷𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 = ∆𝑋 = =
𝑇𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑅𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑇𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑅𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒

• Overall Model Residual (OMR) = A model’s distance from expected performance

(Root Mean Square of relative deviations)

∆𝑋 + ∆𝑋 + ∆𝑋 … + ∆𝑋
𝑂𝑀𝑅 = (𝑚𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑢𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛 %)
𝑛

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Overall Model Residual
• Key indicator of ‘asset health’

© 2020 AVEVA Group plc and its subsidiaries. All rights reserved.

Predictive Analytic Indicators
Close loop early warning + diagnostics + action plans

Overall Model Individual Deviation Fault Diagnostics Prescriptive Actions

Residual Alerts • Signatures of particular • Inspections
• Single Parameter • Specific tags (problem issues • Operation adjustment
Indicator of overall symptoms) • Problem cause • Normalization plan
health identification • Work orders

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System Architecture
AVEVA Predictive Analytics Predictive Asset Analytics
AVEVA Predictive Analytics Web Web Server
Monitoring REST API
Alerts
Interfaces
Manager
Trending Alertsing

Reports Database & Archive

Equipment Monitoring
AVEVA Predictive Analytics Client Models Results

Model Building
Analytics Server
Analytics Alertsing
Alerts email
Monitoring
Interfaces Interfaces
Engine

Enterprise Insight Historical Data Source

Historian
Historian
ODBC
CSV Live Data Source

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PRiSM Client

• Access from a thick client

• System configuration/Administration
• User security
• Build, test, maintain models
• Projects
• Templates
PRiSM Web

• Access from a web browser

• Monitor models
• View list of PRiSM alarms
• Trend runtime data
• Alarm Management
• Case Management
• Reports
• This is ultimately where end-users
will spend most of their time
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@avevagroup

ABOUT AVEVA
AVEVA is a global leader in engineering and industrial software driving digital transformation across
the entire asset and operational life cycle of capital-intensive industries.

The company’s engineering, planning and operations, asset performance, and monitoring and
control solutions deliver proven results to over 16,000 customers across the globe. Its customers are
supported by the largest industrial software ecosystem, including 4,200 partners and 5,700 certified
developers. AVEVA is headquartered in Cambridge, UK, with over 4,400 employees at 80 locations in
over 40 countries.
aveva.com

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