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  • Class Task 6

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    LICHEN YU
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    The document contains three topics related to project management: 1. It discusses how productivity changes over time due to a learning phase and steady state phase, showing a graph of increasing productivity as workers gain experience. 2. It presents a hierarchical estimation framework that estimates activity durations based on task data, productivity adjustments for factors like weather and crews, and an overall adjustment for learning. 3. It compares beta and normal distributions for estimating activity durations, showing how beta distributions are skewed while normal distributions are symmetrical around the mean.

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    The document contains three topics related to project management: 1. It discusses how productivity changes over time due to a learning phase and steady state phase, showing a graph of increasing productivity as workers gain experience. 2. It presents a hierarchical estimation framework that estimates activity durations based on task data, productivity adjustments for factors like weather and crews, and an overall adjustment for learning. 3. It compares beta and normal distributions for estimating activity durations, showing how beta distributions are skewed while normal distributions are symmetrical around the mean.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    8 views4 pages

    Class Task 6

    Uploaded by

    LICHEN YU
    The document contains three topics related to project management: 1. It discusses how productivity changes over time due to a learning phase and steady state phase, showing a graph of increasing productivity as workers gain experience. 2. It presents a hierarchical estimation framework that estimates activity durations based on task data, productivity adjustments for factors like weather and crews, and an overall adjustment for learning. 3. It compares beta and normal distributions for estimating activity durations, showing how beta distributions are skewed while normal distributions are symmetrical around the mean.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
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    of 4

    POSTGRADUTED DIPLOMA IN PROJECT

    MANAGEMENT

    MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES & PRACTICE

    ------ CLASS TASK 6

    YU LICHEN
    19/05/2021
    Draw neatly

    a) Productivity Change due to learning


    b) Hierarchical Estimation Framework
    c) Beta and Normal Distibuted Activity Duration Curve

    a)
    Learning Phase Steady State Phase
    Productivity

    Time

    Graph of Productivity Changes Due to Learning


    b)
    Task, Technology Ancillary Task
    and Site Data Information

    Maximum Down Time


    Productivity Adjustments

    Productivity Down Time


    Adjustment Estimate

    Productivity
    Estimate

    - Quantity of Work
    Initial Duration
    - Weather
    Estimation
    - Number of Crews

    Overall Adjustment
    (e.g. Learning)

    Activity Duration
    Estimate

    Sample of a Hierarchical Estimation Framework


    c)
    Beta Normal
    Distribution Distribution
    Probability of Chance of Occurrence

    Optimistic Most Likely Mean Pessimistic Duration


    (Beta) (Beta) (Normal) (Beta)

    Beta and Normally Distributed Activity Durations

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