Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine took Vietnam by surprise and directly threatened the lives
and livelihoods of an estimated 7,000 Vietnamese living in Ukraine. They were
successfully evacuated from the country.
Russia’s aggression created a dilemma for Vietnam’s leaders. It appears that
Vietnamese society was divided, with the plurality initially supporting Vladimir Putin’s
actions. More significantly, Russia was a comprehensive strategic partner and a firm
supporter of Vietnam. Russia was by far the major provider of military equipment,
weapons and defence technology to Vietnam. Quite simply, in strategic terms, it was
not in Vietnam’s interest to see Russia weakened or forced into a dependent
relationship with China.
The policy dilemma facing Vietnam was how to craft a policy on the war in Ukraine
that did incur the threat of western sanctions for maintaining normal relations with
Russia or threats of Russian retribution for siding with the west. For example, prior to
the UN General Assembly vote on suspending Russian membership on the Human
Rights Council, the Russian Ambassador to the UN reportedly told his Vietnamese
counterpart that a vote in favour of the resolution would be viewed as a hostile act.
Another consideration for Vietnam’s leaders was how to minimize damage to its
international reputation and prestige for not taking a firm stand against a blatant act
of Russian aggression against the civilian population and infrastructure of Ukraine. In
other words, how could Vietnam have its cake and eat it too.
Ambassador Giang’s remarks clearly signal that Vietnam has sought to align itself with
the majority of the international community, including its major economic partners in
Europe, North America and East Asia, by publicly supporting the UN Charter,
international law and the sanctity of sovereignty and territorial integrity. It is notable,
however, that Ambassador Giang did not mention Russia by name.
What has changed after a year? Putin’s war of aggression has failed to achieve its
objectives and looks like heading into a protracted stalemate. Vietnam’s priority
objectives of resuming high economic growth, increased international integration and
military modernization will be undermined by a continuation of the conflict. The
sharpening of tensions between the Russia-China partnership ‘without limits’ and the
unified network of U.S. alliances does not serve Vietnam’s interests as well.
Vietnam’s leaders have concluded that their self-interests are best served by
supporting de-escalation of the conflict, an end to hostilities and dialogue leading to
a negotiated settlement. Vietnam’s declaratory policy is cleverly worded to appeal to
all the protagonists without offending any one, including Russia. Ambassador Giang
concluded his statement:
Viet Nam supports international efforts and initiatives, including those by the UN and
Secretary General, to bring all parties together.
In this vein, results of ongoing initiatives such as the Black Sea Grain initiative should
serve as the foundation to finding a comprehensive solution to the conflict.
Within our capacity, we re-emphasize our readiness to make contributions to
diplomatic efforts and to the reconstruction, recovery and assistance in Ukraine.
3
True to its past form, Vietnam joined thirty-one other United Nations members and
abstained. One hundred and forty-one UN members voted for the resolution, nine
against and thirteen states failed to register a vote.
Suggested citation: Carlyle A. Thayer, “Vietnam Speaks Out on the War in Ukraine at
UN General Assembly” Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, February 24, 2023. All
background briefs are posted on Scribd.com (search for Thayer). To remove yourself
from the mailing list type, UNSUBSCRIBE in the Subject heading and hit the Reply key.
Thayer Consultancy provides political analysis of current regional security issues and
other research support to selected clients. Thayer Consultancy was officially
registered as a small business in Australia in 2002.