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Population Research
Abstract Our study explores the unemployment patterns of local-born and immi-
grant youth in Hong Kong. Hong Kong provides a unique context to evaluate
assimilation outcomes without a race effect. Based on data from the 2011 Hong
Kong census, the findings support the classical assimilation perspective, the seg-
mented assimilation perspective, and the paradox of assimilation. The fact that
immigrant youths have higher unemployment rates than local-born youths in Hong
Kong is related to their lower levels of education and arriving in Hong Kong at older
ages. However, the difference in the unemployment rate between Hong Kong local
and immigrant youths could be even wider if the income levels of immigrant parents
were not higher. The findings suggest that the dynamics of assimilation are com-
plicated even in places outside North America.
Introduction
One of the major discussions in immigration studies currently concerns the extent to
which the principle of assimilation applies to the adaptation process of today's
immigrants (Alba and Nee 2003; Bean et al. 2009; Portes and Rumbaut 2006; Haller
et al. 2011). Specifically, researchers are interested in understanding whether the
assimilation of immigrants across generations will inevitably lead to resemblance to
the local-born population, a process that is usually associated with positive or
favourable outcomes. Findings on health outcomes and academic performance
Ēā Eric Fong
fong @chass.utoronto.ca
Ô Springer
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youth unemployment. In Japan, the youth unemployment rate more than dou
from 4 % in 1990 to 9 % in 2009 (Olzak 1992). In Korea, even with a vib
economy, youth unemployment grew from 7 % in 1990 to 10 % in 2009 (
2010). In Taiwan, youth unemployment reached 13 % in 2012, although the ove
unemployment rate was only 4 % (Zhao 2003; Bloemraad 2013). Similarly, y
unemployment in Hong Kong hit 15 % while the general unemployment rate w
only 3 % in 2012 (Zhao 2003). The topic clearly has urgent policy implications f
the region.
In the following sections, we first provide an overview of immigration to Hong
Kong. We then review the literature on economic integration with respect to the
unemployment of immigrant youth. We develop hypotheses to guide our subsequent
analysis, taking into consideration the Hong Kong context. Using the 2011 Hong
Kong census, we document that immigrant youth have a higher unemployment rate
than local-born youth. Our findings show that the explanation for this pattern is
complicated. We find some support for the classical assimilation perspective, some
for the segmented assimilation perspective, and some for the paradox of
assimilation. We also discuss the implications of these findings for the general
discussion of assimilation in North America.
Hong Kong
Hong Kong is both an immigrant society and a post-colonial society. These two
characteristics have significant implications for understanding the context of
immigrant youth in Hong Kong. According to the 201 1 census, only 60.5 % of local
residents were born in Hong Kong. Most of those born outside Hong Kong came
from mainland China, and their total number has exceeded two million (Chan and
Buckingham 2008). As observed by Chiù et al. (2005), the influx of Chinese
immigrants when Hong Kong was a British colony peaked during four periods that
corresponded to political instability in China. The first period was between 1949 and
1953, after the civil war in China and the establishment of the People's Republic of
China. The second period was between 1962 and 1963 during the "Great Leap
Forward Movement", the great communist social experiment that ended in failure.
The third period was between 1966 and 1967 when the "Cultural Revolution"
occurred in China. The final period was between 1979 and 1980 during the "Four
Modernizations program" initiated by the Chinese government. Without doubt, the
population growth in Hong Kong since 1950 has been due in large part to
immigration from China at times when that country experienced major political
movements, social turmoil, and economic instability.
The majority of the immigrants from China who arrived in Hong Kong during
these time periods were illegal immigrants escaping political instability and social
turmoil. Throughout the decades after 1950, the British colonial government in
Hong Kong adopted a very lenient policy toward these illegal immigrants. For
example, illegal immigrants from China in the 1970s were allowed to become
permanent residents in Hong Kong as long as they reached Hong Kong. Though the
policy was later abolished, and deportation was enforced after the border was sealed
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As a post-colonial society, having been under the rule of the British govern
in the 20th century, Hong Kong has a firmly established market econom
mainland Chinese economy under the communist regime operated as a so
planned economy, and only gradually shifted to a market economy in r
decades. Immigrants from China have to learn about the operations of the la
market in Hong Kong. The adaptation can sometimes create stress for
immigrants (Wong 2002). Drawing rom analysis based on 131 female immigra
the study showed immigrants' experiences of the acculturation process are lin
their stress (Mo et al. 2006). Immigrant parents can provide only limited suppo
their children as they search for employment (Chiù et al. 2005). The parents
networks and knowledge of the labour market in mainland China may
applicable to the Hong Kong market (Wong and Song 2006; Post et al. 2014). T
the socioeconomic resources of immigrant parents from mainland Chi
sometimes difficult to translate into assistance towards the employment of
children (Ou and Pong 2013).
With this understanding of the context of immigration to Hong Kong, we
address the application to Hong Kong of factors related to immigrant integrat
discussed in the literature, which has been largely based on North Ame
experiences. Our discussion focuses on three major perspectives on assimilati
in particular on the economic integration of immigrant youth.
Since the inception of sociology in North America, assimilation has been the
concept in understanding the labour market performance of immigrants. The c
organizing formulation suggests that the labour market performance of immi
inevitably improves as they stay in the new country longer. As Park and Bu
(1969, 735) observed, immigrants "acquire the memories, sentiments, and att
of other persons or groups, and by sharing their experience and histor
incorporated with them in a common cultural life." As they are incorporated in
new society, their labour market performance improves. Part of the incorpo
reflects in their accumulation of human capital, such as education and lan
ability. Along the same lines, Rumbaut (2004) suggested that the study
adaptation of immigrants, especially children of immigrants, should differe
their age at arrival. Immigrants who arrive at different ages experience funda
tally different "pace and mode" of integration (Rumbaut 2004). Immigrants
arrive at younger ages are usually more adaptive (Kim and Sakamoto 2010
argument shares the same fundamental assumption that the labour m
performance of immigrants improves as they stay in the country longer.
To the best of our knowledge, there are no studies that compare the econo
performance of immigrants arriving at different ages in Asian cities such a
Kong. Given the basic argument that age at arrival reflects the life stage and
their subsequent adaptation of the individual, we expect this argument to ap
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Hypothesis 1 Immigran
higher likelihood of unem
Segmented assimilation:
of immigrant youth and
Hypothesis 2 A higher ho
unemployment for immig
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An important challenge to the assimilation perspective in recent years has been the
formulation of the paradox of assimilation, i.e., the notion that assimilation does not
necessarily bring about better labour market outcomes (Curran and Rivero-Fuentes
2003). Along the same line, we argue that improving educational levels may not
lead to favourable labour market outcomes. Specifically, we suggest that the
association between the education of immigrants and their economic outcomes
depends on the labour demand within their specific segments of the labour market.
Drawing from labour market segmentation theory, we argue that there are
differences in the requirements of different segments of the labour market. Most
jobs available to youth are associated with low levels of education and skill. Youth
with higher educational levels may have more difficulty securing jobs, as they find
themselves over-qualified in the youth labour market. The problem may be
compounded by the likelihood that immigrant youth with more education may have
higher expectations, and may be reluctant to accept low-skill jobs, which are usually
associated with lower status and lower pay (Cheung and Leung 2012). Subse-
quently, immigrant youth with lower educational levels are associated with a lower
likelihood of unemployment. Some studies also document that local-born popula-
tion h are usually less willing to take jobs with undesirable working conditions, little
chance of promotion, and low pay (Ngo 2013). Thus, regardless of their educational
level, local-born youth usually have higher expectations of their jobs than
immigrant youth. We expect local-born youth to be less willing to take the most
available jobs, which are low-skill and low-paying.
In Hong Kong, this situation is exceptionally obvious. Low-skill occupations in
various sectors, especially service sectors, such as clerical support, personal
services, retail sales, and elementary occupations, comprise about 50 % of the jobs
held by the working population in 2011 (Hong Kong Census and Statistics
Department 2013). The demand for these occupations suggests that these low-skill
jobs are more likely to be available to youth in general, including immigrant youth.
As immigrant youth with lower education are more willing to take any job available,
and low-paying jobs are more likely to be available, immigrant youth are less likely
to be unemployed. Though other mechanisms may operate that contribute to the
relationship, we still can observe the following pattern:
The data were drawn from the 201 1 Hong Kong Census, which was conducted from
the beginning of June to the end of August 201 1. Like censuses of many countries
ninth-tenths of households were asked to report basic demographic information
about all household members, and one-tenth of households were asked to provide
more elaborate demographic and socioeconomic information. Our analysis is based
on 5 % of the complete data set.
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to the new environment, and may not be able to provide much guidance to t
children. Youth from single parent households may have more economic ince
to support their families.
Finally, we control for locational context, especially community con
Community is operationalized by the 18 administrative districts in Hong
which differ in socioeconomic standing. In this paper, our discussion focuses o
community contexts: the community proportion of recent immigrants, and
community proportion of youth population. Proportion of recent immigrants ref
the proportion of the total population in the district who arrived in Hong Kong w
the previous 5 years. These two factors have been well discussed in the litera
Research based mainly on North American studies has suggested that the prop
of immigrants, especially recent immigrants, is negatively related to the emplo
opportunities of immigrants (Sanders and Nee 1987; Liu and Edwards 20
addition to competition with other immigrants, the employment opportunitie
immigrant youth can be hampered by their lack of working experience as they
the labour market. The presence of a higher proportion of youth in the comm
suggests that immigrant youth are competing with a larger number of pote
employees with similar demographic background. In such a competitive envir
ment, immigrant youth are at a disadvantage compared to local-born youth, b
they have limited networks and less knowledge of the labour market.
We employ a logistic regression model for our multivariate analysis. W
logistic hierarchical linear modelling (HLM) when independent variables a
individual and community levels are included.
Results
Table 1 describes the type of unemployment of youth born in Hong Kong and
mainland China. It is clear that the unemployment rates of both local-born and
mainland immigrant youth are higher than the average unemployment rate in the
city. While the overall unemployment rate in Hong Kong was about 3.4 % in 2011,
the unemployment rates of youth included in our study were over 15 %.
We further provided information about the different reasons for unemployment,
from being temporarily out of work and looking for a job or having short-term
sickness (temporary), to waiting to take up a new job or return to an earlier job
(transitional), to suitable jobs not being available or difficulty obtaining a job
(discouraged), to other inactive reasons (inactive). Temporary unemployment was
the most common kind of unemployment for both groups of youth.
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Disentangling youth
Individual characteristics
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2 A statistical significance level greater than 0. 1 is labelled 'not significant' throughout the paper.
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Table 4 Estimated odds ratios of logistic HLM regression models of unemployment for local b
immigrant youths in Hong Kong, 2011. Source : 2011 census of Hong Kong, 5 % sample
Individual characteristics
cc Comparison catego
*** p < 0.01; ** p <
Conclusion
Our study is a first step toward understanding the unemployment patterns of local-
born and immigrant youths in Hong Kong. The topic also makes a contribution to
the discussion on assimilation in the immigration literature.
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impossible to know to what extent a given factor actually has its sugg
effect" (p. 19).
These findings on youth unemployment in Hong Kong remind us to be cau
in applying factors discussed in the North American literature to other parts
world. For example, our results show that community contexts do not relate t
likelihood of unemployment among immigrant youth in Hong Kong. Th
exception is that the proportion of youth in the community is related
likelihood of employment of local-born youth. Another example relates
city's 18 administrative districts designated by the Hong Kong governm
Though these districts are distinctive in their social and economic standing,
city is relatively small and has a well-developed system of public transportat
is very common for individuals to commute to work from one community di
to another. The travelling time between two districts that are farthest apart
about an hour. The government has tried to make public transportation conv
and accessible. Thus job opportunities, particularly those in service sector, ar
bounded within community district. The findings show that we should be ca
in applying the community effect to unemployment or other demogr
patterns.
This study is not without limitations. Future research should include variables to
measure the reasons for involuntary unemployment. The information could help us
to delineate whether unemployment is due to a lack of available jobs or poor
performance in job interviews. It could help us to understand more precisely the
unemployment patterns of immigrant youth. Though our study controls for the
gender of the respondents, we did not run separate analyses for males and females.
Future studies should explore whether there are significant gender differences.
Along the same line, other factors, such as networks, should be included in the
analysis. We do not distinguish whether parents of local-born youth are immigrants.
Future studies should focus on and differentiate the effects of immigrant and local-
born parents. Finally, the results may be affected by age and cohort. Though we
controlled for age and age at arrival to minimize the effects, longitudinal data
should be collected to address these issues properly.
Despite these limitations, our study offers important insights into unemployment
patterns among immigrant youth in Asia. It is generally agreed that youth
unemployment has important consequences for the individuals who are unem-
ployed, and most countries experience higher rates of unemployment among youth.
Our findings shed light on the issue in an Asian context.
Acknowledgments The Census and Statistics Department of the Government of the Hong Kong Special
Administrative Region provided the 2011 census data set for our analysis.
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