RESULT UPDATE

AAVAS FINANCIERS
Impressive, but pricey
e
India Equity Research| Banking and Financial Services

Aavas Financiers (Aavas), a challenging operating environment EDELWEISS 4D RATINGS

notwithstanding, reported yet another strong performance (PAT up >50%);
Absolute Rating HOLD
however, it was marginally below our estimate on lower securitisation
Rating Relative to Sector Performer
income. Key highlights a) growth momentum sustained, reflected in 23% Risk Rating Relative to Sector Medium
disbursement and 46% AUM growth; b) this, along with steady spreads Sector Relative to Market Overweight
(impressive given systemic liquidity challenges), supported >30% revenue
growth; and c) asset quality was steady (stage-3 assets at 0.58%). While
there is some rise in 1+ dpd, it is more on seasonality and we expect course MARKET DATA (R: AVAS BO, B: Aavas IN)
correction in ensuing quarters. We continue to be firm supporters of Aavas’ CMP : INR 1,466
scalable growth franchise that’s backed by: a) solid business credentials— Target Price : INR 1,395
52-week range (INR) : 1,564 / 612
stringent credit & risk management, prescient investments, management
Share in issue (mn) : 78.1
bandwidth; and b) a strong capital base (>60% tier 1). That said, valuation
M cap (INR bn/USD mn) : 115 / 1,683
at 4.8x FY21E P/BV is a tad expensive vis-à-vis medium-term returns profile Avg. Daily Vol.BSE/NSE(‘000) : 102.2
(RoA of 3.5% & RoE of sub-14%). Hence, maintain ‘HOLD’. We will keep tabs
on: a) credit cost behaviour (especially in non-mortgage segment); b) SHARE HOLDING PATTERN (%)
operating leverage benefits; and c) structural rise in RoE.
Current Q4FY19 Q3FY19
Promoters * 58.3 58.3 58.3
Growth momentum sustained MF's, FI's & BK’s 15.8 18.7 19.7
Growth momentum sustained, reflected in 46% YoY spike in AUM to INR63.6bn, a FII's 16.6 13.1 11.6
reflection of Aavas’ strong domain knowledge. Moreover, steady spreads despite Others 9.4 9.9 10.5
systemic challenges on funding cost is impressive and reinforces our view that the * Promoters pledged shares : NIL
company has superior pricing power. We believe, Aavas has all the ingredients to scale up (% of share in issue)

and, hence, build in AUM CAGR of >35% for FY19–21E.

PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)

Asset quality holds despite soft real estate sentiment EW Capital

Stock Nifty
Goods Index
Asset quality is solid with GNPL at 0.58% (0.47% in FY19), which reflects prudent risk
management. Besides, nil developer portfolio and no DSA lending are comforting. We 1 month (14.9) (5.7) (11.6)
3 months (7.9) (5.4) (2.6)
will, however, closely monitor the trend given the weak real estate sentiment.
12 months 11.9 (2.1) (4.0)

Outlook and valuation: Priced in; maintain ‘HOLD’

We believe, Aavas has all the right ingredients to scale up led by its: a) niche customer
profile; b) prescient investments; c) excess capital; and d) strong execution capabilities.
While a compelling growth story, the stock is trading at 4.8x FY21E P/BV against an RoE
profile of 13–14%, not to mention the company’s limited operating history (versus others
Kunal Shah
like Bajaj Finance, Bandhan, Gruh Finance). All of these imply limited scope for valuation +91 22 4040 7579
re-rating. Hence, we maintain ‘HOLD/SP’. Key variable: Low free float. kunal.shah@edelweissfin.com

Financials (INR mn) Prakhar Agarwal

Year to March Q1FY20 Q1FY19 Growth (%) Q4FY19 Growth (%) FY19 FY20E FY21E +91 22 6620 3076
prakhar.agarwal@edelweissfin.com
Net revenue 1,172 890 31.7 1,329 (11.8) 4,558 5,945 7,704
Net profit 454 301 50.9 543 (16.5) 1,760 2,281 3,059 Prashant Ghuge
Dil. EPS (INR) 5.7 4.2 36.7 6.9 (16.6) 22.5 29.2 39.2 +91 22 4063 5517
prashant.ghuge@edelweissfin.com
Adj. BV (INR) 233.2 260.8 298.2
Price/ Adj book (x) 6.3 5.6 4.9
Price/ Earnings (x) 65.1 50.2 37.5 August 1, 2019
Edelweiss Research is also available on www.edelresearch.com,
Bloomberg EDEL <GO>, Thomson First Call, Reuters and Factset. Edelweiss Securities Limited
 Banking and Financial Services
Table 1: Q1FY20 earnings – Key takeaways
INR mn Q1FY20 Q1FY19 YoY (%) Q4FY19 QoQ (%) Comments
Operating income 1,975 1,468 34.5 2,042 (3.3)
Interest expended 804 581 38.3 723 11.2
Net operating income 1,171 887 32.1 1,319 (11.2)
Other income 1 3 (70.5) 10 NA
Net revenues 1,172 890 31.7 1,329 (11.8) Strong revenue momentum sustained
despite challenges
Operating expenses 496 438 13.2 527 (5.9) Operating leverage starts to kicked in;
we expect efficiency gains to continue to
play through
Pre-provision profit 676 452 49.8 802 (15.6)
Provisions and write off 32 25 32.3 34 (4.6)
Profit before tax 644 427 50.8 768 (16.1)
Tax 190 126 50.6 225 (15.3)
Profit after tax 454 301 50.9 543 (16.5)
Diluted EPS (INR) 5.7 4.2 36.7 6.9 (16.6)
Key Metrics
AUM 63,623 43,591 46.0 59,416 7.1 Growth momentum rolls on as seen in
>7% QoQ (46% YoY) in AUM to
INR63.6bn
GNPA (%) 0.5 0.5 0.6 Asset quality continues to be steady
despite operating in a riskier segment,
which shows prudent risk management
NIM (%) 0.4 0.4 0.5
Source: Company, Edelweiss research

Chart 1: Growth momentum builds up in spite of odds; with >7% QoQ rise in AUM
13 65

10 52

8 39
(INR bn)
(INR bn)

5 26

3 13

0 0
Q2FY18

Q3FY18

Q4FY18

Q1FY19

Q2FY19

Q3FY19

Q4FY19

Q1FY20

Q2FY18

Q3FY18

Q4FY18

Q1FY19

Q2FY19

Q3FY19

Q4FY19

Q1FY20

Disbursements AUM
Source: Company, Edelweiss research

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 Aavas Financiers

Chart 2: No developer portfolio renders comfort Chart 3: Strong know-how in self-employed segment

Mortgage
loans
25%
Salaried
35%

Self
employed
65%
Home
loans
75%

Chart 4: Operating leverage playing through, sustainability key

75.0

60.0

45.0
(%)

30.0

15.0

0.0
Q2FY18

Q4FY18

Q1FY19

Q2FY19

Q3FY19

Q4FY19

Q1FY20
Q3FY18

Cost/income
Source: Company, Edelweiss research

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Financial snapshot (INR mn)

Year to March Q1FY20 Q1FY19 % change Q4FY19 % change FY19 FY20E FY21E
Interest income 1,975 1,468 34.5 2,042 (3.3) 6,841 9,397 12,805
Interest exp 804 581 38.3 723 11.2 2,554 3,862 5,649
Net int. inc. (INR mn) 1,171 887 32.1 1,319 (11.2) 4,288 5,535 7,156
Other income 1 3 (70.5) 10 (91.6) 270 410 548
Net revenues 1,172 890 31.7 1,329 (11.8) 4,558 5,945 7,704
Operating expenses 496 438 13.2 527 (5.9) 1,891 2,284 2,729
Pre-provision profit 676 452 49.8 802 (15.6) 2,667 3,660 4,975
Provisions and write off 32 25 32.3 34 (4.6) 89 205 340
Profit before tax 644 427 50.8 768 (16.1) 2,578 3,456 4,634
Tax 190 126 50.6 225 (15.3) 818 1,175 1,576
PAT 454 301 50.9 543 (16.5) 1,760 2,281 3,059
Diluted EPS (INR) 5.7 4.2 36.7 6.9 (16.6) 22.5 29.2 39.2
Ratios (%)
NII/GII 59.3 60.4 64.6 62.7 58.9 55.9
Cost/income 42.3 49.2 39.6 (41.5) (38.4) (35.4)
Tax rate 29.6 29.6 29.3 (31.7) (34.0) (34.0)
Balance sheet data
AUM 63,623 43,591 46.0 59,416 7.1 59,416 82,004 111,827
Disbursements 6,710 5,469 22.7 8,730 (23.1) 26,724 36,254 48,684
Valuation metrics
B/V per share (INR) 235.2 264.4 303.5
Adj book value / share 233.2 260.8 298.2
Price/ Book (x) 6.2 5.5 4.8
Price/ Adj. book (x) 6.3 5.6 4.9
Price/ Earnings 65.1 50.2 37.5

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Q4FY19 concall takeaway

Growth and strategy:

 In FY19, the company has achieved some milestones – a successful IPO, long-term
credit rating upgrade by CARE (from A+/Positive to AA-/Stable on 01st March 2019),
and a consistent performance in the challenging environment.

 The company has increased its market reach by opening 45 branches in FY19 (total
210).
 Aided by the government’s policy push towards making housing affordable, the
company sees significant opportunities driven by demand from low-income and self-
employed customers along with significant financing gap in the segment.

 The company aims to scale up its business operations though distribution and
additional customers while maintaining asset quality (GNPA sub-1% and 1+ dpd sub-5%)
and consistent ROA of 2.5%+.
 The company does not aim to enter any new business segment in the near to medium
term as it wants to be a consistent and sustained player
o Focus on – 99% retail book, 75% home loans, sub-INR1mn ticket size.
o In next couple of years, the company aims to increase penetration in the existing
states only.

Operational metrics:

 The margin performance has been consistent with spreads maintained 5%+ over FY19.
 Given the challenging environment in last six months, the spreads have come down
(5.01% as of Q4FY19 from 5.12% in Q3FY19) and can contract further by 20-30bps due
to higher borrowing costs, however, the company aims to compensate any
compression by reducing operating expenses.
 Operating expenses were higher due to increased investments in technology,
management team built-up, branch expansion but have come down in recent quarters.
 Going forward, improved productivity of people and branches, along with extensive use
of data and analytics is expected to result in improved operating metrics.

 The company aims to maintain average ticket size for home loans below INR1mn.

 The incremental yields are ~13.5% (home loans – 12.6%, mortgages – 15.3%) which the
company is confident of maintaining throughout FY20.

 In Q4FY19, due to NHB refinancing under PMAY, the yields for some customers have
been reduced, thereby impacting the portfolio yields by ~10bps.
 The incremental ATS in home loans is ~INR0.95mn and mortgage is ~INR0.8mn.

 LAP book is INR9.2bn while INR5.3bn is other non-housing book.

Asset quality:

 The Stage 3 PCR has gone up (from 16% in FY18 to 22% in FY19) as the company
revisited every NPA account and took a conservative stance to provide more cushion.

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o The LGD was changed from 16% to 18% resulting in extra provisioning of INR25mn
in Q4FY19.

 Write-off for Q4FY19 is INR11.4mn (INR32.5mn in FY19) – actual write-off is ~INR1mn

while rest is taken conservatively.
 The Stage1/2/3 calculations would be revisited twice a year from now – in Q2 and Q4
(vs. once a year in Q4 earlier).

Liquidity & borrowings:

 The recent long-term rating upgrade by CARE in such cautious environment validates
the resilience of business model especially the retail lending business.
 The company has access to diversified sources of long-term funding (89% of borrowings
are long-term, no commercial papers) – relationships with 37 lenders.

 In FY19, the Company has further strengthen relationship with multilaterals institutions
like IFC & CDC.

 There is enough liquidity on hand (~INR15bn) to carry out business for next six months.

 The company has an approach to match the nature of assets (fixed vs. floating) to the
nature of liabilities i.e. depending on the nature of liabilities raised, the nature of assets
is determined.

 The company raised INR9bn at 8.21% during Q4FY19 (8.82% weighted average cost).
 The average borrowing cost for NHB refinance of INR9.5bn is 7.7% of which INR2.2bn
attracts a margin cap of 3.5%.

 Borrowing profile in near to medium term – NHB refinancing would be maintained at

current levels (~20%), funding from insurance/PF would increase (from ~10% to ~25%),
multilateral institutions (~10%), bank funding would be reduced (from ~42% to ~35%).

 The company aims to maintain 20% of the borrowings via. securitisation.

 Credit rating upgrade – ICRA would conduct a complete surveillance towards the end of
Q1FY20, hopeful of getting a long-term rating upgrade.

 Leverage for FY20 would be ~4x and will take another 5-6 years to reach 7x.

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Company Description
Aavas (formerly AU Housing Finance) was incorporated in 2011 in Jaipur as a retail,
affordable housing finance company. It primarily serves low and middle income self-
employed customers in semi-urban and rural areas. A majority of its customers have limited
access to formal banking credit. The company’s product offering consists of home loans for
the purchase or construction of residential properties and for the extension &repair of
existing housing units. Aavas has an in-house sourcing model leading to superior business
outcomes.

Aavas Finserv (a subsidiary) was incorporated in Jaipur in November 2017 as an unlisted

public company. It is authorised to provide finance either by way of loans or advances to
individuals, association of individuals (whether incorporated or not), industry or corporates.
It has not yet commenced operations and is still to apply to the RBI for a business license.
Aavas (directly or indirectly through its nominees) holds 100% of the issued capital in Aavas
Finserv.

Investment Theme
We believe, Aavas has all the right ingredients to scale up led by its: a) niche customer
profile; b) prescient investments; c) excess capital; and d) strong execution capabilities.
While a compelling growth story, the stock is trading at 4.8x FY21E P/BV against an RoE
profile of 13–14%, not to mention the company’s limited operating history (versus others
like Bajaj Finance, Bandhan, Gruh Finance). All of these imply limited scope for valuation re-
rating. Hence, we maintain ‘HOLD/SP’. Key variable: Low free float.

Key Risks
Concentrated operations in four states of West India: Aavas’ operations are largely
concentrated in four states of West India—Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and
Gujarat. Over 92% AUM was concentrated in these four states with Rajasthan accounting
for >44%. Any significant changes in government policies or social, economic or natural
disruptions in this region could significantly impact the company’s operations.

Change in housing finance sector’s dynamics: Factors such as increase in regulation by NHB,
fall in government incentives for the housing industry or increased competition among
players in the housing finance sector could affect Aavas’ business.

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Financial Statements
Key Assumptions Income statement (INR mn)
Year to March FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E Year to March FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Macro Interest income 4,163 6,841 9,397 12,805
GDP(Y-o-Y %) 7.2 6.8 6.8 7.1 Interest expended 1,891 2,554 3,862 5,649
Inflation (Avg) 3.6 3.4 4.0 4.5 Net interest income 2,273 4,288 5,535 7,156
Repo rate (exit rate) 6.0 6.3 5.3 5.0 - Fee & forex income 409 270 410 548
USD/INR (Avg) 64.5 70.0 72.0 72.0 Net revenues 2,682 4,558 5,945 7,704
Sector Operating expense 1,245 1,891 2,284 2,729
Credit growth 12.0 14.0 17.0 17.0 - Employee exp 734 1,172 1,331 1,483
Bank's base rate (%) 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 - Depn /amortisation 56 97 45 55
Wholesale borr. cost (%) 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 - Other opex 455 621 909 1,191
G-sec yield 6.5 7.0 7.1 7.1 Preprovision profit 1,437 2,667 3,660 4,975
Company Provisions 19 89 205 340
Yield on advances 15.5 17.2 16.9 17.1 Profit Before Tax 1,418 2,578 3,456 4,634
Cost of funds 8.6 8.2 8.5 8.7 Less: Provision for Tax 488 818 1,175 1,576
Spread 6.9 9.1 8.4 8.4 Profit After Tax 929 1,760 2,281 3,059
Employee cost growth 70.4 59.8 13.5 11.4 Reported Profit 929 1,760 2,281 3,059
Other opex growth 111.5 36.4 46.4 31.1 Shares o /s (mn) 69 78 78 78
Tax rate (%) 34.4 31.7 34.0 34.0 Basic EPS (INR) 13.4 22.5 29.2 39.2
Disbursement growth 47.4 30.3 35.7 34.3 Diluted shares o/s (mn) 69 78 78 78
Repayment/prepay. rate 24.9 19.7 23.0 23.0 Adj. Diluted EPS (INR) 13.4 22.5 29.2 39.2
Gross NPLs 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8
Net NPLs 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 Growth ratios (%)
Provision coverage 22.8 21.3 25.0 33.0 Year to March FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Revenues 64.9 70.0 30.4 29.6
NII growth 65.2 88.7 29.1 29.3
Opex growth 84.9 51.8 20.8 19.5
PPP growth 50.7 85.7 37.2 35.9
Provisions growth (75.4) 365.8 130.1 66.2
Adjusted Profit 62.7 89.4 29.6 34.1

Operating ratios
Year to March FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Yield on advances 15.5 17.2 16.9 17.1
Cost of funds 8.6 8.2 8.5 8.7
Net interest margins 7.5 9.3 8.5 8.2
Spread 6.9 9.1 8.4 8.4
Cost-income 46.4 41.5 38.4 35.4
Tax rate 34.4 31.7 34.0 34.0

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Balance sheet (INR mn) RoE decomposition (%)
As on 31st March FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E Year to March FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Share capital 692 781 781 781 Net int. income/assets 7.5 9.3 8.5 8.2
Reserves & Surplus 10,293 17,589 19,870 22,929 Net revenues/assets 8.8 9.9 9.1 8.8
Shareholders' funds 10,985 18,370 20,651 23,710 Operating expense/assets 4.1 4.1 3.5 3.1
Long term borrowings 22,327 31,242 46,269 64,921 Provisions/assets 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Short term borrowings 325 455 674 945 Taxes/assets 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8
Total Borrowings 26,108 36,533 54,104 75,915 Total costs/assets 5.8 6.1 5.6 5.3
Long Term Liabilities 578 563 777 1,059 ROA 3.1 3.8 3.5 3.5
Def. Tax Liability (net) 118 428 600 832 Equity/assets 27.4 31.9 30.0 25.3
Sources of funds 37,789 55,893 76,132 101,516 ROAE (%) 11.2 12.0 11.7 13.8
Gross Block 296 396 496 596
Net Block 184 229 285 330 Valuation parameters
Total Fixed Assets 184 229 285 330 Year to March FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Non current investments 141 45 50 54 Adj. Diluted EPS (INR) 13.4 22.5 29.2 39.2
Cash and Equivalents 5,650 8,749 12,353 15,732 Y-o-Y growth (%) 36.8 67.8 29.6 34.1
Loans & Advances 32,200 47,245 63,963 86,107 BV per share (INR) 158.8 235.2 264.4 303.5
Other Current Liab 386 375 518 706 Adj. BV per share (INR) 158.0 233.2 260.8 298.2
Total Current Liab 386 375 518 706 Diluted P/E (x) 109.2 65.1 50.2 37.5
Net Curr Assets-ex cash (386) (375) (518) (706) P/B (x) 9.2 6.2 5.5 4.8
Uses of funds 37,789 55,893 76,132 101,516 Price/ Adj. BV (x) 9.3 6.3 5.6 4.9
BVPS (INR) 158.8 235.2 264.4 303.5

Peer comparison valuation

Market cap Diluted P/E (X) P/B (X) ROAE (%)
Name (USD mn) FY20E FY21E FY20E FY21E FY20E FY21E
Aavas Financiers 1,683 50.2 37.5 5.5 4.8 11.7 13.8
HDFC 52,901 23.5 19.1 2.8 2.5 13.9 15.4
Indiabulls Housing Finance 3,309 5.5 4.8 1.3 1.1 25.7 25.2
LIC Housing Finance 3,781 10.1 8.7 1.4 1.2 16.1 16.3
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services 2,721 15.7 11.4 1.7 1.5 10.6 13.9
Manappuram General Finance 1,384 11.6 10.0 2.0 1.7 18.0 18.1
Muthoot Finance 3,520 11.2 10.0 2.3 1.9 21.9 20.9
Repco Home Finance 295 7.5 6.6 1.1 1.0 16.4 15.9
Shriram City Union Finance 1,301 7.9 7.0 1.2 1.1 16.6 16.4
Shriram Transport Finance 3,178 8.1 6.8 1.3 1.1 17.0 17.4
Median - 10.6 9.4 1.5 1.4 16.5 16.3
AVERAGE - 16.0 13.0 2.2 2.0 16.8 17.3
Source: Edelweiss research

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Additional Data
Directors Data
Krishan Kant Rathi Chairman, Independent Director K R Kamath Nominee Director
Kalpana Iyer Independent Director Kartikeya Dhruv Kaji Nominee Director
Manas Tandon Nominee Director Nishant Sharma Nominee Director
Sandeep Tandon Independent Director Vivek Vig Nominee Director
Sushil Kumar Agarwal Whole Time Director & CEO

Auditors - S.R. Batliboi & Associates LLP

*as per last annual report

Holding - Top 10
Perc. Holding Perc. Holding
AU Small Finance Bank 7.23 SBI Funds Management 5.84
Agarwal Sushil Kumar 3.83 Buena Vista Fund Management 1.94
DSP Investment Managers 1.84 Rawat Ghanshyam 1.39
Credit Agricole Group 1.07 Amundi Luxembourg 1.07
HSBC Holdings 1.07 Wasatch Advisors 0.98
*as per last available data

Bulk Deals
Data Acquired / Seller B/S Qty Traded Price
07 Jun 2019 AU SMALL FINANCE BANK LIMITED SELL 585000 1380.29
01 Mar 2019 MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL FUNDS A/C MATTHEWS INDIA FUND BUY 404915 1070.10
01 Mar 2019 AMUNDI FUNDS SBI FM EQUITY INDIA SELL 447963 1070.10
*in last one year

Insider Trades
Reporting Data Acquired / Seller B/S Qty Traded
23 May 2019 Vivek Vig Sell 65144.00
09 May 2019 Ghanshyam Rawat Sell 167510.00
09 May 2019 Sunku Ramnaresh Sell 49500.00
09 May 2019 Sushil Kumar Agarwal Sell 235000.00
09 May 2019 Ashutosh Atre Sell 24000.00
*in last one year

10 Edelweiss Securities Limited

 RATING & INTERPRETATION

Company Absolute Relative Relative Company Absolute Relative Relative

reco reco risk reco reco Risk

Aavas Financiers HOLD SP M Aditya Birla Capital BUY SO H

Axis Bank HOLD SP M Bajaj Finserv HOLD SP L
Bank of Baroda REDUCE SU M DCB Bank HOLD SP M
Dewan Housing Finance BUY SP H Equitas Holdings Ltd. BUY SO M
Federal Bank BUY SO L HDFC BUY SO L
HDFC Bank BUY SO L ICICI Bank BUY SO L
IDFC Bank BUY SP L Indiabulls Housing Finance BUY SU M
IndusInd Bank BUY SO L Karnataka Bank BUY SP M
Kotak Mahindra Bank BUY SP M L&T Finance Holdings HOLD SU M
LIC Housing Finance BUY SP M Magma Fincorp BUY SO M
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services BUY SP M Manappuram General Finance BUY SP H
Max Financial Services BUY SO L Multi Commodity Exchange of India HOLD SU M
Muthoot Finance BUY SO M Power Finance Corp BUY SO M
Punjab National Bank REDUCE SU M Reliance Capital BUY SP M
Repco Home Finance HOLD SU M Rural Electrification Corporation BUY SP M
Shriram City Union Finance BUY SO M Shriram Transport Finance BUY SO M
South Indian Bank BUY SP M State Bank of India BUY SO L
Union Bank Of India HOLD SU M Yes Bank HOLD SU M

ABSOLUTE RATING
Ratings Expected absolute returns over 12 months

Buy More than 15%

Hold Between 15% and - 5%

Reduce Less than -5%

RELATIVE RETURNS RATING

Ratings Criteria
Sector Outperformer (SO) Stock return > 1.25 x Sector return

Sector Performer (SP) Stock return > 0.75 x Sector return

Stock return < 1.25 x Sector return

Sector Underperformer (SU) Stock return < 0.75 x Sector return

Sector return is market cap weighted average return for the coverage universe
within the sector

RELATIVE RISK RATING

Ratings Criteria

Low (L) Bottom 1/3rd percentile in the sector

Medium (M) Middle 1/3rd percentile in the sector

High (H) Top 1/3rd percentile in the sector

Risk ratings are based on Edelweiss risk model

SECTOR RATING
Ratings Criteria
Overweight (OW) Sector return > 1.25 x Nifty return

Equalweight (EW) Sector return > 0.75 x Nifty return

Sector return < 1.25 x Nifty return

Underweight (UW) Sector return < 0.75 x Nifty return

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Edelweiss Securities Limited, Edelweiss House, off C.S.T. Road, Kalina, Mumbai – 400 098.
Board: (91-22) 4009 4400, Email: research@edelweissfin.com

ADITYA
Digitally signed by ADITYA NARAIN
DN: c=IN, o=EDELWEISS SECURITIES
Aditya Narain LIMITED, ou=SERVICE,
2.5.4.20=3dc92af943d52d778c99d69c48a
8e0c89e548e5001b4f8141cf423fd58c07b0
2, postalCode=400011,
Head of Research
NARAIN
st=MAHARASHTRA,
serialNumber=e0576796072ad1a3266c27
990f20bf0213f69235fc3f1bcd0fa1c300927
aditya.narain@edelweissfin.com 92c20, cn=ADITYA NARAIN
Date: 2019.08.01 21:03:01 +05'30'

Coverage group(s) of stocks by primary analyst(s): Banking and Financial Services

Aavas Financiers, Aditya Birla Capital, AU Small Finance Bank Ltd, Axis Bank, Bharat Financial Inclusion, Bajaj Finserv, Bank of Baroda, Capital First, DCB
Bank, Dewan Housing Finance, Equitas Holdings Ltd., Federal Bank, HDFC, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd, IDFC
Bank, Indiabulls Housing Finance, IndusInd Bank, Karnataka Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, LIC Housing Finance, L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS LTD, Max Financial
Services, Multi Commodity Exchange of India, Manappuram General Finance, Magma Fincorp, Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services, Muthoot Finance,
Punjab National Bank, Power Finance Corp, Reliance Capital, Rural Electrification Corporation, Repco Home Finance, State Bank of India, Shriram City
Union Finance, Shriram Transport Finance, South Indian Bank, Union Bank Of India, Yes Bank
Recent Research

Date Company Title Price (INR) Recos

30-Jul-19 Axis Bank RoE target: Long road ahead; 708 Hold
Result Update
30-Jul-19 Shriram City Growth softer, asset quality 1400 Buy
Union steady; Result Update
Finance
29-Jul-19 Punjab Better, but not out of the 68 Reduce
National Bank woods; Result Update

Distribution of Ratings / Market Cap

Edelweiss Research Coverage Universe Rating Interpretation

Buy Hold Reduce Total Rating Expected to

Rating Distribution* 161 67 11 240 Buy appreciate more than 15% over a 12-month period
* 1stocks under review
Hold appreciate up to 15% over a 12-month period
> 50bn Between 10bn and 50 bn < 10bn
743
Reduce depreciate more than 5% over a 12-month period
Market Cap (INR) 156 62 11
594

One year price chart

446
(INR)

1,600
297
1,400

149 1,200
(INR)

- 1,000
Apr-14

Sep-14
Feb-14

Mar-14

Jun-14

Dec-14
Jul-14

Aug-14

Oct-14

Nov-14
May-14
Jan-14

800

600
Dec-18
Dec-18
Oct-18

Oct-18

Apr-19

May-19

May-19
Nov-18

Jan-19

Feb-19

Jun-19
Mar-19
Mar-19

Jul-19
Jul-19

Aavas Financiers

12 Edelweiss Securities Limited

 Aavas Financiers
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