24/2/23, 22:32 Actividad 1 - Guía 2-Morelia Diaz Hernandez

Instructor: Luisa Fernanda Buitrago

Student: Morelia Diaz Hernandez
Course: Análisis Multivariado Y Funcional Assignment: Actividad 1 - Guía 2
Date: 02/24/23
C1G3

In a certain city​district, the need for money to buy drugs is stated as the reason for 25​% of all thefts. Find the probability that among the next
5 theft cases reported in this​district,
(a) exactly 2 resulted from the need for money to buy drugs.
(b) at most 3 resulted from the need to buy drugs.

In a binomial​experiment, the probability of exactly x successes in n trials is given by the following​formula, where p is the probability of a
success and q is the probability of​failure, 1 − p.

n x n−x
b(x; n, p) =  p q , x = 0, 1, 2,..., n.
x

(a) Find the probability that among the next 5 theft cases reported in this​district, exactly 2 resulted from the need for money to buy drugs.

To find the probability that exactly 2 of the next 5 theft cases result from the need for money to buy​drugs, first find the values for​n, p, and q.
Identify the number of​trials, n.

n=5

Now find the probability of a​success, p, assuming that needing money to buy drugs is considered a success.

p = 0.25

Calculate the probability of​failure, 1 − p.

q = 0.75

Using n = 5​, x = ​2, p = 0.25​, and q = 0.75​, find the probability that exactly 2 thefts resulted from the need for money to buy​drugs, rounding to
three decimal places.

n x n−x
b(x; n, p) =  p q
x

5 2 5−2
b(2; 5, 0.25) =  0.25 0.75
2
= 0.264

(b) Find the probability that among the next 5 theft cases reported in this​district, at most 3 resulted from the need to buy drugs.

Note that the event​"x is at most​3" is the sum of the probabilities of x being exactly​0, 1,​2, and 3.

P(X ≤ 3) = ​P(X = ​0) + ​P(X = ​1) + ​P(X = ​2) + ​P(X = ​3)

Using n = 5​, x = ​0, p = 0.25​, and q = 0.75​, find the probability that exactly 0 thefts result from the need for money to buy​drugs, rounding to three
decimal places.

n x n−x
b(x; n, p) =  p q
x

5 0 5−0
b(0; 5, 0.25) =  0.25 0.75
0
= 0.237

Using n = 5​, x = ​1, p = 0.25​, and q = 0.75​, find the probability that exactly 1 theft results from the need for money to buy​drugs, rounding to three
decimal places.

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24/2/23, 22:32 Actividad 1 - Guía 2-Morelia Diaz Hernandez

n x n−x
b(x; n, p) =  p q
x

5 1 5−1
b(1; 5, 0.25) =  0.25 0.75
1
= 0.396

Note that the probability that exactly 2 thefts result from the need for money to buy drugs in part​(a) is 0.264. ​Lastly, use n = 5​, x = ​3, p = 0.25​,
and q = 0.75 to find the probability that exactly 3 thefts result from the need for money to buy​drugs, rounding to three decimal places.

n x n−x
b(x; n, p) =  p q
x

5 3 5−3
b(3; 5, 0.25) =  0.25 0.75
3
= 0.088

Sum the probabilities found to determine the probability that at most 3 thefts resulted from the need to buy drugs.

P(X ≤ 3) = ​P(X = ​0) + ​P(X = ​1) + ​P(X = ​2) + ​P(X = ​3)

= 0.237 + 0.396 + 0.264 + 0.088
= 0.985

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