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Logical Reasoning
Logical Reasoning
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Contents
1 Introduction 1
The Ascendancy of the Military 3
Military Regimes 8
Military Disengagement and Civilianization of Military Rule 10
Post-withdrawal Military, State and Society 12
2 Civil±Military Interaction 17
The State and the Political Process 18
The Military 20
Expansion of the Role of the Military 21
(i) The Societal Factors 22
(ii) Internal Dynamics of the Military 23
(iii) Transactions across the Boundaries between the Civil
and the Military 24
(iv) The International Dimension 24
The Military Regime 26
Military Withdrawal 28
3 The Heritage 34
The Foundations 34
The Recruitment Policy 37
Civil±Military Relations 40
The Military and Imperial Rule 42
Indianization of the Commissioned Ranks 46
The Military and Politics 49
Division of the Military 52
v
vi Contents
Civilian Institution-building 68
The Military and the Political Process 76
Institutional Imbalance 79
5 The First Military Regime 82
Martial Law Administration 84
Administrative Measures 86
The Social Sector 89
Major Economic Measures 91
Political and Constitutional Changes 94
(i) Basic Democracies 96
(ii) The Presidential Referendum 97
(iii) The Constitution Commission 98
(iv) Enforcement of the Constitution 99
6 Authoritarian Clientelism: Post-Martial Law Rule 101
The Ayubian Political Order 101
Interaction with the Military 104
Defence and Security Issues 107
Political Dynamics 113
The Collapse of the Ayub Regime 117
7 The Second Military Regime 121
The Nature and Style of the Military Regime 121
Major Administrative Measures 122
Political Strategies and Elections 124
The East Pakistan Crisis 127
Civil War and Disintegration 136
8 Civilian Interlude 142
Reassertion of Civilian Supremacy 142
The Security Imperatives and the Military 146
Civil±Military Interaction 149
The Political Process and Civilian Institution-building 151
The General Elections 158
The Military and the Political Crisis 160
9 The Third Military Regime 165
Political Priorities 166
Islamization 170
The Politics of Co-option 174
The Politics of Exclusion 176
Expansion of the Role of the Military 181
Civilianization of Military Rule 182
10 Post-Withdrawal Civil±Military Relations 189
The Military and Policy-making 190
Contents vii
Notes 249
Bibliography 289
Index 295
List of Tables
viii
Abbreviations
ADC Aide-de-Camp
AKMC Azad Kashmir Muslim Conference
APMSO All Pakistan Mohajir Student Organization
APP Associated Press of Pakistan
ATA Anti-Terrorism Act, 1997
BD Basic Democracies
BDS Balochistan Dehi Mahafiz
BNP Balochistan National Party
BSF Border Security Force (India)
CENTO Central Treaty Organization (formerly Baghdad Pact)
CII Council of Islamic Ideology
C-in-C Commander-in-Chief
CMLA Chief Martial Law Administrator
COAS Chief of Army Staff
COP Combined Opposition Parties, 1964±65
CSP Civil Service of Pakistan
CSS Central Superior Services
DAC Democratic Action Commitee, 1969
DCC Defence Committee of the Cabinet
DMG District Management Group
EBDO Elective Bodies Disqualification Order, 1959
EBR East Bengal Regiment
EPR East Pakistan Rifles
ESAF Extended Structural Adjustment Fund, IMF
FIA Federal Investigation Agency
FSC Federal Shariat Court
FSF Federal Security Force
FWO Frontier Works Organization
GHQ General Headquarters
GOC General-Officer-Commanding
IB Intelligence Bureau
ICO Indian Commissioned Officers
ICS Indian Civil Service
IJI Islami Jamhoori Itehad (Islamic Democratic Alliance)
IJT Islami Jamiat-i-Tulba
INA Indian National Army
IPG Independent Parliamentary Group
IPS Indian Political Service
ISI Inter-Services Intelligence
ix
x Abbreviations
This study was undertaken while the author was Quaid-i-Azam Professor at
the Southern Asian Institute, School of International and Public Affairs,
xii
Preface xiii
Columbia University, New York. The author acknowledges with thanks the
cooperation and support of his colleagues Valentine Daniel, Philip Olden-
burg, Leonard Gordon and Rounaq Jahan. Thanks are also due to Naveed
Iqbal, MD, and Shaheryar Azhar, for their interest in the work. However, the
author alone is responsible for what is written in this book.
H.A.R.
Prologue: the October 1999 Coup
xiv
Prologue xv
shortage of fuel, they asked him to land at Nawabshah, 200 kilometres north
of Karachi, and made arrangements for the arrest of Pervez Musharraf by the
police. Meanwhile, the Corps Commander, Karachi, moved his troops and
dislodged pro-Sharif police and civilian authorities from the airport, and
Musharraf's aircraft landed safely. By the time he reached the Karachi
Corps headquarters, his commanders were in control of Islamabad.
Nawaz Sharif had appointed Pervez Musharraf Army Chief in October
1998 on Jehangir Karamat's resignation when Nawaz Sharif took exception
to Karamat's public comments on the political and economic situation in
the country. Musharraf had the reputation of a thorough professional but
Nawaz Sharif hoped that an Urdu-speaking `mohajir' Army Chief presiding
over a predominantly Punjabi-Pakhtun Army top command would be weak
and unassertive, making it possible for Nawaz Sharif to strengthen his hold
over the military. Initially, relations between the government and the milit-
ary were cordial, with Musharraf describing his relationship with the polit-
ical leadership as a `partnership' between `the massive mandate [of the
civilian government] and the military'. However, he expressed concern
about the state of the national economy.1 While helping the government
to overcome political and economic problems, the Army Chief reiterated on-
and off-the-record statements concerning the military's well-known position
that it would neither serve the partisan interests of civilian leaders nor could
it be pushed around.
The discord in civil±military relations in mid-1999 can be attributed to
three major factors. First, the Sharif government's personalized and whim-
sical governance by appointing trusted personnel or nonentities to key
positions so that there was no resistance to the decisions made by Nawaz
Sharif in consultation with a small group of advisers hailing from the
Lahore/Islamabad area. After appointing loyalists to the posts of President
and Provincial Governors and taming major state institutions, including the
upper judiciary, through constitutional amendments and political manip-
ulation, it was natural for him to consider penetrating the hard shell of the
military.
Second, the political government ignored the reality of Pakistani politics
that political stability depended on trouble-free interaction with the military
who were interested in protecting and advancing their professional and
corporate interests from the sidelines. Any attempt on the part of civilian
leaders to monopolize power by upsetting the delicate balance of power in
the polity was bound to create problems.
Third, encouraged by the resignation of Jehangir Karamat in October
1998, the Sharif government violated the well-known norm of civil±military
relations which emphasized respect for the military's autonomy and civilian
1
See M. Ziauddin, `Dateline Islamabad: The Mystery Deepens'. Dawn, 15 November
1999.
xvi Prologue
was fully alert to such a possibility. Thus, when Nawaz Sharif decided to
strike, the senior commanders jointly decided to take counter-measures to
defend the Army Chief and the Army as an institution. The takeover was
swift and bloodless and the civilian government crumbled instantly. The
coup was widely welcomed in the country. However, it faced the problem of
acceptability at the international level. The Commonwealth condemned the
coup and suspended Pakistan from the organization. The European Union
was equally critical of the displacement of the civilian government. The
European Parliament resolution also made adverse comments on the estab-
lishment of military government. US criticism was carefully worded, but
expressed a clear displeasure over the change. The Western states wanted a
deadline from the military government for the return to democracy and
constitutional rule. Pakistan's military rulers were not willing to give a
definite date, maintaining that such a commitment could not be made
without achieving some significant progress on their political agenda. Inter-
national pressure was not expected to change the priorities of the military
regime. It did make the military regime cautious and slow in adopting
policies and taking action against the leaders of the ousted regime found
involved in corruption and misuse of state resources and power. Yet another
reason for delay in taking definite steps for policy implementation was that
the military had no blueprint for the future when it assumed power. There-
fore, the new leaders took a month or so to make up their minds about
policy issues, causing some disappointment among the population who
expected the military to move swiftly to tackle political and economic
problems. International pressure eased somewhat over 5±6 weeks, but the
West maintained a negative attitude towards the military regime. Such a
negative perception was in sharp contrast to the support the new military
rulers commanded within Pakistan. How long they can continue to enjoy
this support is more critical to the future of the military regime than external
pressures.
President Rafiq Tarar, installed by Nawaz Sharif, continued to hold office
and Pervez Musharraf assumed the newly coined title of Chief Executive,
whose recommendations were binding on the President. The federal and
provincial governments were dismissed and the parliament and the provin-
cial assemblies were suspended. The 1973 Constitution was also suspended,
but the new government was to function as close to it as possible, subject to
the overriding power of the Chief Executive. The country was not placed
under martial law, although the emergency imposed by Nawaz Sharif in May
1998 remained in place. No restriction was imposed on political parties or
political activities; freedom of the press was respected. No military courts
were established; the regular courts continued to function, but these could
not question the authority and orders of the Chief Executive. A new
National Security Council and a federal cabinet headed by the Chief Execut-
ive were appointed. Governors headed provincial governments. The Punjab
xviii Prologue
problems and set up political institutions that will function without the
support of the top brass. It seems that Musharraf will resort to a carefully
planned transition to democracy through constitutional and political engin-
eering and cooption of political leaders. He may not have a grand vision for
the future, but he is expected to institute changes in the constitutional
arrangement to ensure checks and balances among key institutions and
officials as well as create an institutional framework for the military's formal
participation in decision-making. The pace of transition to democracy
depends on the dynamics of domestic politics, the disposition and policy
choices of the senior commanders and interaction between the military
regime and the political forces. International pressures and the manipula-
tion of foreign economic assistance have implications for the performance
and longevity of the military regime. However, the domestic developments
and considerations will be decisive. The senior commanders still uphold
professionalism and are conscious of the complexities of the domestic
socio-economic scene. They also recognize the inhospitable international
environment for military rule. But they are not prepared to stand on the
sidelines and let the country slide into the sort of uncertainty and anarchy
that has engulfed Afghanistan. Their professional and corporate interests are
closely linked to the survival and orderly functioning of the Pakistani state
and society.