Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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This term in a nutshell
Two big issues:
1. How do economic agents make decisions under constraints? How does
economic policy shape decisions? How can we assess welfare effects?
• Classical consumer theory; insights from behavioural economics
• Intertemporal choice; decisions under uncertainty; labour supply decisions
• Strategic decision-making
4
Key skills you will develop in EC201
• Analytical and reasoning skills needed to understand the models
• The ability to think critically about models and their relationship to the
world
5
EC201 Lectures and classes this term
• Main lectures: Tuesdays 13:00-14:00 and Wednesday 11:00-12:00 (MT
Weeks 1-11)
• Interactive lecture: Thursdays 12:00 - 13:00 (MT Weeks 1-11) to cover
examples, past exam questions, readings and Q&A
• Mathematics reading list (in case you need to brush up) on Moodle
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EC201 formative work
• Weekly problem sets
• Study groups
• Group submission in advance of class
• Not marked, but shapes class and strengthens learning
• Lecture checklists
• Test your understanding of lecture content 9
EC201 summative assessment
• 1 hour January examination (30% weight) – online/in person TBD
• 4 short questions spanning the MT syllabus (25 marks each)
• 15 minutes reading time; no calculators
• Up to 10 minutes
• Due Week 9
• Loom for Education
• Video marked on the basis of:
(i) clarity of argument,
(ii) use of relevant theory,
(iii) reference to relevant related literature.
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Student support for EC201
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MT EC201
YouTube Playlist
Any
Questions?
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1.1 Consumer Theory: Preferences and Utility
The purpose of consumer theory
• To understand:
• What determines household behaviour: buying, selling,
working, saving and borrowing, accepting or alleviating risk
17
To analyse consumer theory we use models
• Models simplify and abstract from reality to focus on the most
salient aspects of an issue
18
How do we know if our model is any good?
19
Question: Which is the best route from St Paul’s to Barbican?
20
0
Mornington
John’s Wood Crescent
St. King’s Cross Angel
Cam
The tube map simplifies: Pancras
International
Regent’s Hoxton
Park A1
Euston King’s Cross
TER Great St. Pancras Old Street B
Baker Portland Shoreditch
Street Street High
one Euston Russell
Square Square Farringdon Street
Moorgate
Goodge Street
Regent’s Warren Liverpool
Park Street Tottenham
Edgware Court Road Holborn Street
Oxford Barbican
Road Bond Circus
Street Chancery St. Paul’s
Aldgate
Lane Bank
Leicester Covent City Fenchurch St.
Marble Arch Garden Thameslink Mansion Tower
Square House
Temple Hill
ster
e Charing
Cross Blackfriars Cannon
Hyde Green Park
Piccadilly Embankment Street Monument
Circus
A10
Park Waterloo East
Westminster 21
London Bridge
Our model gives:
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But is there an even better model?
23
Back to consumer theory…
• Neoclassical microeconomic models assume:
• Households maximize utility or expected utility
• Firms maximize profits and minimize costs
24
Standard critique
• Microeconomic models assume people make lightning
calculations, which they don’t
• …but perhaps they act as if they were
26
How do we perform these minor miracles?
• D. Kahneman “Thinking Fast and Slow” Penguin, 2011
• Modes of thinking:
• System 1 (fast, instinctive and emotional)
• System 2 (slow, deliberate, logical)
Good 1
0
31
Marginal Rate of Substitution (MRS)
• Hicks (and most textbooks) defines the MRS as minus the gradient of
indifference curve (at a particular point)
Good 2
0 Good 1
32
Back to Hicks…
• Indifference map but not a utility function
• Tells us whether the individual prefers one particular bundle of
goods over another… but not by how much
Good 2
● Bundle A
●
Bundle B
Good 1
0
33
In summary
• Marshall: utility from consumption of a single good
34
Modern assumptions on preferences and utility
• Utility depends on the quantities consumed of all goods
• Note:
• People are assumed to care only about their own consumption of goods
• In LT we extend to include other people’s consumption e.g. externalities
• Doesn’t tell us where preferences come from
• Human relationships are not part of this theory – but can be included
35
Modern assumptions on preferences over
bundles of goods
1. Completeness
2. Transitivity
3. Continuity
4. Non-satiation
5. Convexity
36
1. Completeness
As utility is a number, then for any two bundles of goods (𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) and
(𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵) it follows that one of these relationships must hold:
• 𝑢(𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) > 𝑢(𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵): the consumer prefers bundle (𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) to
(𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵)
(𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) ≻ (𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵)
• 𝑢(𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) < 𝑢(𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵): the consumer prefers bundle (𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵) to
(𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) (𝑥 , 𝑥 ) ≺ (𝑥 , 𝑥 )
1𝐴 2𝐴 1𝐵 2𝐵 37
1. Completeness
• Diagrammatically, if a consumer is choosing between any two bundles A
and B then either:
● ● Bundle B ● Bundle B
Bundle B
39
1. Completeness
• Key implication: the consumer can make choices over the entire range
of possibilities
40
2. Transitivity
As utility is a number, then for any three bundles of goods (𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴),
𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵 and (𝑥1𝐶 , 𝑥2𝐶 ):
• If 𝑢(𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) > 𝑢(𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵) and 𝑢(𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵) > 𝑢(𝑥1𝐶 , 𝑥2𝐶 ), then it
follows that 𝑢(𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) > 𝑢(𝑥1𝐶 , 𝑥2𝐶 )
• If (𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) ≻ (𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵) and (𝑥1𝐵, 𝑥2𝐵) ≻ 𝑢(𝑥1𝐶 , 𝑥2𝐶 ), then it follows
that (𝑥1𝐴, 𝑥2𝐴) ≻ (𝑥1𝐶 , 𝑥2𝐶 )
41
2. Transitivity
While transitivity may seem obvious, be careful…not all relationships are
necessarily transitive.
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3. Continuity
• If bundle A is preferred to bundle B and bundle C is close to bundle B,
then bundle A is preferred to bundle C
• This can be stated far more precisely but beyond the scope of EC201
Good 2
● Bundle A
●
● Bundle C
Bundle B
Good 1
0 43
Implications of assumptions 1-3:
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Ordinal Utility
45
Ordinal Utility
46
Ordinal Utility
• Let preferences of a consumer be represented by the utility function
𝑢 𝑥1, 𝑥2 = 𝑥1¾ 𝑥2½ (Cobb-Douglas)
• If 𝑥1 > 0 and 𝑥2 > 0, then 𝑢 > 0
• 𝑢 1,1 = 1
• 𝑢 1,4 = 2
• 𝑢 1,9 = 3
• Hence bundle (1,9) is preferred to (1,4), which is preferred to (1,1)
!⁄
• Now consider function 𝑣(𝑥1, 𝑥2) = [𝑢(𝑥1, 𝑥2) ]2 = 𝑥1 " 𝑥2
• 𝑣(1,1) = 1
• 𝑣(1,4) = 4
• 𝑣(1,9) = 9
• Again bundle (1,9) is preferred to (1,4), which is preferred to (1,1) 47
Ordinal Utility
• 𝑣(𝑥1, 𝑥2) represents the same preferences as 𝑢(𝑥1, 𝑥2) - this means
consumer decisions would be the same!
0 Good 1
𝑥1𝐴 50
Back to the Marginal Rate of Substitution
#$&
#%&
• For 𝑢 𝑥1, 𝑥2 , the 𝑀𝑅𝑆 = #$&
#%"
() #$
#'& #$&
#%& ($ #%& #%&
• For 𝑣 𝑥1, 𝑥2 , the 𝑀𝑅𝑆 = #'& = () #$ = #$&
#%" ($ #%" #%"
51
Example: Cobb-Douglas preferences
"⁄ !⁄
• Let 𝑢 𝑥1, 𝑥2 = 𝑥1 * 𝑥2 * and 𝑣 𝑥1, 𝑥2 = %⁄' 𝑙𝑛 𝑥1 + (⁄' 𝑙𝑛𝑥2
#$&
#%& "⁄ ) ,!+* ) !+* %)"
* !
• For 𝑢 𝑥1, 𝑥2 , the 𝑀𝑅𝑆 = #$& = "
!⁄ ) +* )
"
," +*
=
#%" ()!
* ! "
52
4. Non-satiation
• More is better
53
Example: Cobb-Douglas preferences
"⁄ !⁄
• Consider 𝑢 𝑥1, 𝑥2 = 𝑥1 * 𝑥2 *
54
4. Non-satiation
• Key implication: indifference curve slope downwards and the preferred
set is above the indifference curve
55
4. Non-satiation
• Question: Is non-satiation satisfied for this consumer?
x2
preferred set
0 x1 56
Are these people satiated?
• Bill Gates, Queen Elizabeth II, Melinda Gates, Richard Branson, Jeff Bezos
57
5. Convexity
• Non-satiation implies the
indifference curve is downward
sloping and the preferred set lies
above it
58
5. Convexity
• Key implication: Convexity means a preference for averages
• C is the average of A and B and is preferred to either A or B
●C
59
Non-convex preferences?
• Example: tea and coffee in the same cup!
• Key implication: A preference for extremes rather than averages
x2
● preferred
A
set
B●
0 x1
60
Checking for convexity
• Follow this method to check for convexity
61
Example: Cobb-Douglas preferences
"⁄ !⁄
• Consider 𝑢 𝑥1, 𝑥2 = 𝑥1 * 𝑥2 *
63
Preferences we will work with regularly
• Cobb-Douglas: 𝑢 𝑥1, 𝑥2 = 𝑥1. 𝑥2/ (and in logarithmic form)
• These have particular properties and implications for consumer choice and
welfare effects, which we will explore.
64
Final food for thought
65
Mathematical Appendix – Concavity and convexity
Concave functions
• A function is concave if any line joining two points on its graph lies
entirely on or below the graph.
f(x)
0 x
67
Concave functions
For functions with first and second derivatives:
• Concave functions are functions with decreasing first derivatives
• Concave functions are functions with negative second derivatives
f(x)
0 x
68
Concave functions
• If a function is concave and its derivative is 0 at x0 then x0
maximizes the function.
f(x)
0 x0 x
69
01
Recall is
0)
decreasing
0 x0 x
>0 <0
f(x) f(x)
increasing decreasing
0 x1 71
Convex functions
For functions with first and second derivatives
• Convex functions are functions with increasing first derivatives
• Convex functions are functions with positive second derivatives
f(x)
0 x
72
A convex set
• Mathematically a set is convex if any straight line joining two
points in the set lies in the set
• For example: