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PMGT 5871 Project Process

Planning and Control

Week 7 –
Planning Cost & Quality

Kestrel Stone

The University of Sydney Page 1


Lecture Topics

1. PM in today’s workplace 8. Planning HR & Governance

2. PM Bodies, Methodologies, 9. Planning Risk & Procurement


Standards & Simulation Preview
10. Soft Skills for Project Managers
3. Business Case, Initiating Projects &
Developing the Project Charter 11. Implementation Phase
4. Scoping Projects, Stakeholders & 12. Earned Value Management
Planning Communication
13. Closure & Simulation – Part 1
5. [BREAK] (Initiation & Planning)
6. Scheduling 14. Simulation – Part 2
(Implementation Phase)
7. Planning Cost & Quality

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Planning Cost
4
Growth
Do more & do it better

Continuously Diversify, offer more


improve products & products & services
services

Invest profits

Profit from original Profit from How does


contract scope contract variations good PM lead
to profit?

Win more
work with
Successful Good
existing
customers
projects reputation

Win-Win

Customer Win new


satisfaction customers
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© Elemental Projects 2016
Cost categories

Direct costs
• Attributable wholly and directly to the achievement of specific project outcomes
• Examples: labour, materials, travel, consulting fees

Indirect costs / Overhead / On-costs


• Costs incurred by all projects but not directly attributable to any of the project outcomes
• Examples: facilities, utilities, accounting/HR/procurement departments

Fixed costs
• Independent of the quantity of inputs or outputs (e.g. equipment lease)

Variable costs
• Vary with the quantity of inputs or outputs (e.g. labour, materials)

Sunk costs (retrospective as opposed to prospective costs)


• Costs that have already been incurred and cannot be recovered

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Cost sub-plans

Project Cost Estimate Time-Phased Budget Cash-Flow

– Project Cost Estimate …….. indicates total cost of project


– Time-Phased Budget ……… enables costs to be monitored/controlled
– Cash-Flow ……………………… determines when access to funds will be needed

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Project Cost Estimate

– The Project Cost Estimate is the total estimated cost of the project

Time-Phased Budget Direct Cost - i.e. the cost of doing the work in
the WBS (e.g. Goods, services, labour, etc.)
Cash-Flow

Contingency – i.e. funds for the Indirect Cost (AKA overhead, on-cost)
unknown work (e.g. activities – i.e. costs incurred by all projects that
taking longer than planned, issues, can not be traced back to any single
etc.). Not for new scope. Can be project or work package (e.g. utilities,
further broken into Management
Reserve (for “unknown unknowns”)
Project rent, procurement department, software
licenses, security, workers compensation,
and Project Contingency (for Cost etc.). Sometimes broken into specific
“known unknowns”). Estimate amortized costs. May be included in
labour rates for internal resources and
thus included in Direct Costs.

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Bid Price
Cost breakdown
Project Cost Profit Cost of bid project
Estimate

Direct Costs Management Indirect Cost


(“Project Budget”) Reserve

Project Cost Baseline /


Contingency Overhead Amortized Costs
BAC

e.g. marketing
Control Control Control
Account 1 Account 2 Account 3

Time-Phased Budget
e.g. R&D
Cash-Flow
Work Package Work Package
Contingency Cost Estimates e.g. fines/
settlements

Activity Cost
Estimates
Bid = quote, proposal, tender response
BAC = Budget at Completion Activity
Contingency
R&D = Research & Development
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© Elemental Projects 2016
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Bid Price
Cost breakdown
Project Cost Cost of bid
Profit
Estimate project

Contingency /
Direct Cost Management Indirect Cost
Reserve

Cost Baseline / Amortized


Contingency Overhead
BAC Costs

e.g.
Control Control Control marketing
Account 1 Account 2 Account 3
Time-Phased Budget e.g. R&D
Cash-Flow
Contingency Work Package
Cost Estimates e.g. fines/
settlements

Activity Cost
Estimates
Bid = quote, proposal, tender response
BAC = Budget at Completion Activity
Contingency
R&D = Research & Development
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Example Cost Baseline

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Example Cost Baseline

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Project Cost Estimate

Cost Baseline (Direct Costs)


WBS Funding Source Labour Goods/materials Sub-total
Planning Control Account 1 $50,000 $4,000 $54,000
Phase 1 pilot Control Account 2 $30,000 $25,000 $55,000
Phase 2 rollout Control Account 2 $380,000 $120,000 $500,000
Phase 3 handover Control Account 2 $20,000 $2,000 $22,000

Closure Control Account 3 $5,000 $500 $5,500

Total direct cost: $636,500

Cost type Cost Project Cost Estimate


Direct Cost $636,500
Indirect Cost (e.g.10% direct cost) $63,650 $827,450
Contingency (e.g. 20% direct cost) $127,300

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Accuracy of project cost estimates

– Rough Order of Magnitude (ROM): -25% +75%


– Preliminary (Analogous): -15% +50%
– Budgetary Estimate: -10% +25%
– Definitive: -5% +10%
– Final

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Techniques for estimating direct cost
(may also be used to estimate duration)

– Top-down = guess
– Analogous = similar past project, adjusted for current circumstances
– Incremental = similar past project, adjusted for CPI
– Parametric = unit value x number of units
– Monte Carlo Technique = simulation based techniques / ‘what-if’ scenarios
– 3-point-weighted average / PERT = average of optimistic/pessimistic/most likely
estimates, but weight the most likely estimate
– Bottom-up / zero-base = estimate bottom level items on WBS, add together to
calculate next level up… aggregate estimates as you roll up through the WBS
– Expert consultation = ask a subject matter expert (SME)
– Vendor Bid Analysis = request quotes from several vendors, then take the average
– Publications = lists/books of estimates (e.g. Rawlinsons in construction)

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Estimating indirect cost

– Arbitrary amount – e.g. $10,000


– Excluded from Cost Baseline
– Arbitrary percentage – e.g. 15% project budget
– Excluded from Cost Baseline
– Factored into the labour rate for internal human resources
– Counted as Direct Cost and thus included in Cost Baseline

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Estimating contingency

– Arbitrary percentage
– Arbitrary amount
– Based on project type
– Based on risk
– Qualitative assessment
– Quantitative assessment
– Adjusted as the project progresses based on
fluctuating risk levels

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© Elemental Projects 2016
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Activity

• Develop the Project Cost Estimate


Understanding “quality”
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ACTIVITY

• List the features and


functions of this product
that make it “fit for purpose”
• How much would you expect
to pay for it?

© Elemental Projects 2016


It is for army officers to navigate and
communicate during combat and other operations It is a birthday present for a friends’ 5-year-old

It is for wait staff at a busy restaurant to It is for farmers to manage crop


capture orders and send to the kitchen/bar planting/harvesting

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Quality vs. grade

– Quality = “the degree to which a set of inherent characteristics fulfil


requirements” (ISO 9000) – i.e. how fit for purpose it is
– Grade = “a category assigned to deliverables having the same functional
use but different technical characteristics.” (PMBoK)

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Quality vs. grade

– The project team must define the appropriate grade and level of quality of project
deliverables
– Grade too low = not fit for purpose, client and end-user dissatisfaction
– Grade too high = “gold plating”, wasted time and money

– Low grade with high quality: a ‘cheap and cheerful’ software product with just
a few basic features (low grade) that works as advertised with no obvious
defects and a user-friendly manual (high quality).

– High grade with low quality: a ‘bells & whistles’ software product with many
hi-tech features (high grade) that breaks down frequently, has many defects, is
difficult to use with a poorly written user manual (low quality).

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Quality vs. grade

Construction hard hat JSF helmet

High

Quality Disposable helmet Recalled motorbike helmet

Low

The University of Sydney


Low Grade High Page 23
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Defining quality requirements

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Quality requirements

The project team must define the quality requirements for the
products and the project process by which they are created.

Features/functions that make the


Features/functions that make the
process fit for purpose.
product fit for purpose.
E.g. standards to be met,
E.g. High-grade components.
methodology to be used, etc.

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Product vs process requirements

Fun, aesthetically pleasing,


long-lasting, safe,
PRINCE2 methodology environmentally friendly
to be used

Walls to be made of treated


hardwood timber, minimum
Design to comply with 10mm thick
council regulations

Ladder rungs to be 300mm


Window to be 600mm high apart with rubber grips
x 1200mm wide with
aluminium frame
Builder to comply with
Australian construction
standards.
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© Elemental Projects 2016
Understanding quality from different perspectives

– Think about quality


from the point of
view of your client,
your client’s client,
end users, etc.

– Step into their shoes


and understand
their situation,
issues, needs,
agendas and
motivation

– May need to
manage competing
requirements

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Quality considerations

– Specifications, contract documentation


– Risks and opportunities
– Regulations/legal constraints in relevant jurisdictions
– Standards – e.g. formal (e.g. ISO 9000); exemplar (e.g. Art Gallery of NSW)
– Product lifecycle (e.g. 2 years? 20 years?), through-life costs, obsolescence
– Quantitative acceptance criteria for intangible features/functions – e.g.:
– Beautiful – e.g. expert opinion; focus group survey
– User-friendly – e.g. average time users stay online; focus group survey
– Reliable – e.g. Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) metrics; calls to help-desk
– Durable – e.g. stress tests; pilots
– Intuitive – e.g. average time taken by new users to perform a task

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Defining quality in the context of project constraints

Who do we have to work


with? What is the team’s
capability and capacity?

Human Resources
Can we afford high-
grade components,
human resources and
processes?

Time
Cost

Scope
Do we need the
What does quality
product urgently, or
cost? ……
can we take our time?
Quality
What is the cost of
quality?
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© Elemental Projects 2016
Increasing quality means increasing cost

– Due to:
– Taking more time to do the work
properly drives up labour costs
– High-grade components cost more
– Independent checks, tests, reviews,
prototypes, pilots, etc, all cost money
– Highly skilled and qualified people
tend to charge more

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Cost of Quality (COQ)

COQ = Cost of Conformance + Cost of Non-Conformance

Money spent during the project to avoid Money spent during and after the project
defects/failures (QA) because of defects/failures (QC)
– Prevention Costs (cost of building quality – Internal Failure Costs (failures found by the
products) project)
• Training • Rework
• Documenting processes • Scrap
• Equipment – External Failure Costs (failures found by the
• Time to do it right customer)
– Appraisal Costs (cost of appraising the quality) • Liabilities
• Testing • Warranty work
• Destructive testing loss • Lost business, reputational damage
• Inspections

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Quality costs; but beware the “1:10:100 rule”

Every dollar spent on prevention of $1


defects (QA) saves 10 dollars in (prevention &
finding and fixing defects (QC) and appraisal costs)

100 dollars if defective products reach


your customers/end users.
$10
(Internal Failure Costs)

$100
(External Failure Costs)

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© Elemental Projects 2016
Cost of Quality (COQ)

“You buy something expensive;


you cry once.
I wish this
You buy something cheap; you cry thing had a
every day”
higher MTBF!
– Indian proverb

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Planning quality
Planning quality involves

– 1. Defining quality requirements


– 2. Planning Quality Assurance activities
– 3. Planning Quality Control activities

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© Elemental Projects 2016
QA and QC

– Quality Assurance (QA) = “the process of auditing


the quality requirements and the results from quality
QA is like control measurement to ensure appropriate quality
standards and operational definitions are met” -
preventative PMBoK
medicine – Translation: taking steps to ensure that the product
and processes are both of an acceptable standard of
quality

– Quality Control (QC) = “the process of monitoring


and recording results of execution the quality
QC is like activities to assess performance and recommend
diagnosis necessary changes.” - PMBoK
and cure – Translation: checking the completed products and
processes to make sure that they ARE of an
acceptable standard of quality. Where defects are
discovered, removing/fixing these and adjusting the
QA process to prevent further defects.
The University of Sydney Page 36
Quality Plan

Quality Definition: Quality Quality


Assurance: Control:
Product / Definition of Technical/functio Acceptance How will the How will the
process ‘quality’ for this nal standards to Criteria team meet the team identify
item (features/ be met by the (measure of Quality and rectify
functions that product and the minimum Definition? defects?
will make it ‘fit process by acceptable
for purpose’) which it is standard of
produced quality)
Tablet case Camouflage, Military Standard Weight <300g; MTBF Specialist provider, Independent
waterproof, 810F Test Standards 100 weeks; research inspections, lab
lightweight, single- withstand 3m drop conditions, test, field test,
handed opening, and 120kg crush; monthly quality operational pilot
durable splash/rain proof reviews

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© Elemental Projects 2016
QA and QC tools & techniques

QA techniques: QC techniques:

– Developing a Quality Management Plan and – Quality inspections;


Quality Plan;
– Scheduled and random audits;
– Holding regular Quality Review meetings;
– Acceptance decisions
– Analysing lessons learned from previous
projects; – Use of checklists;
– Following organisational manuals/procedures; – Elimination of re-work;
– Hiring qualified and/or experienced – Continuous improvement process;
personnel; – Process adjustment;
– Providing training;
– Performance testing;
– Building a culture of quality through
– Independent assessment;
celebrating/rewarding quality
– Providing safety equipment; – Seeking feedback through interviews, surveys,
evaluation forms, etc.;
– Staff and contractor inductions.
– Rectification of defects.

Configuration Management can support QA & QC…

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Configuration Management

Translation…
– “Configuration management (CM) is a process
for establishing and maintaining consistency It is a way of mapping all of the components
of a product’s performance and functional in a product or system.
and physical attributes with its requirements,
design and operational information It provides a record of the current features of
throughout its life.” - Wikipedia a product (e.g. a bolt of certain length and
strength), and their relationship with other
components (e.g. a windshield frame).

It enables changes to these features to be


recorded; and the impact of these changes
on related features to be analysed.

It enables the builder of a product to know that they


have included all of the required features; and the
buyer of the product to know that they’ve got
everything they paid for.
The University of Sydney Page 39
© Elemental Projects 2016
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Activity

• Develop the Quality Plan for the case study project.


Questions

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