Toronto Survey for the National Ethnic

Press and Media Council of Canada

Field Dates: May 12-13, 2023

Release Date: May 15, 2023

Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,318
Torontonians through Interactive Voice
Recording (IVR) from May 12 to May 13, 2023.

Respondents were screened for voter eligibility.

Responses were weighted using demographic

and geographic information to targets based on
the 2021 Census.

The margin of error for survey results is ± 2.69

percentage points, 19 times out of 20 for the
total.

Results may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

50

45%
45

43%
39%
40

35

32%
32%
30

25
20%

20
18%
16%

15
13%

13%
12%

12%
12%

12%
11%

11%
11%

11%
11%
10%
10
8%
8%

8%
7%
6%

6%
6%

6%

6%
5%

5%

5%

5%
5
4%

4%

4%

4%
3%

3%
3%
2%
1%
1%

1%
1%

1%
1%

1%
0%
0%
0
Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else Undecided

April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

All Male Female Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Downtown Etobicoke North York Scarborough
Bailao 5% 4% 6% 4% 7% 5% 4% 2% 6% 2% 5% 4%
Bradford 8% 8% 8% 6% 5% 8% 11% 9% 10% 6% 7% 7%
Chow 20% 19% 22% 9% 18% 22% 20% 21% 18% 21% 23% 20%
Furey 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 3% 1% 1%
Hunter 8% 10% 5% 19% 10% 7% 6% 9% 10% 4% 3% 14%
Matlow 10% 12% 8% 12% 9% 11% 12% 8% 10% 10% 15% 4%
Perruzza 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
Saunders 11% 10% 13% 6% 11% 9% 12% 12% 11% 17% 11% 7%
Someone Else 4% 4% 4% 2% 5% 3% 3% 5% 5% 7% 3% 2%
Undecided 32% 30% 33% 39% 33% 32% 31% 32% 29% 28% 32% 40%
Sample (Unweighted) 1318 589 668 61 197 394 362 365 442 234 376 266
Weighted 1318 607 660 51 447 324 288 259 460 183 390 285
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

35

30 30%

27%
26%
25
23% 23%
21%
20 20% 20%
19%

16%
15 15%

12% 12%
11%
10 10% 10% 10%
8%
7% 7%
6% 6%
5 5% 5%
3%
2% 2% 2% 2%
1%
0 0%

-5
April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13

Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 Change From Last Week
Bailao 6% 9% 7% 9% -2
Bradford 6% 10% 10% 12% 12% No Change
Chow 22% 23% 26% 27% +3
Furey 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% No Change
Hunter 11% 9% 10% 10% +2
Matlow 23% 21% 19% 16% 15% -1
Perruzza 2% 2% 1% 0% +1
Saunders 20% 19% 20% 16% 16% No Change
Someone Else 8% 5% 5% 7% -1
+1 416-483-2335

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