Toronto Survey for the National Ethnic

Press and Media Council of Canada

Field Dates: May 17-18, 2023

Release Date: May 20, 2023

Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,311
Torontonians through Interactive Voice
Recording (IVR) from May 17 to May 18, 2023.

Respondents were screened for voter eligibility.

Responses were weighted using demographic

and geographic information to targets based on
the 2021 Census.

The margin of error for survey results is ± 2.7

percentage points, 19 times out of 20 for the
total.

Results may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

50

45%
45

43%
39%
40

35

32%
32%
30

28%
25
21%
20%

20
18%
16%

15

13%
13%

12%
12%
12%

12%

12%
11%
11%

11%
11%

11%
11%
10%
10

8%

8%
8%
8%

7%
7%
6%

6%

6%
6%

6%

6%

5%
5%

5%
5%

4%
4%

4%

4%
4%

3%
3%
3%

2%

2%

1%
1%

1%
1%
1%

1%
1%

1%
0%
0%
0
Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else Undecided

April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 17-18
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

All Female Male Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Downtown Etobicoke North York Scarborough
Bailao 6% 5% 7% 5% 8% 6% 5% 4% 7% 4% 6% 6%
Bradford 7% 7% 7% 5% 5% 7% 10% 8% 9% 5% 6% 6%
Chow 21% 20% 23% 10% 20% 22% 21% 22% 18% 22% 23% 22%
Furey 2% 2% 2% 5% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 2% 2%
Hunter 11% 13% 8% 21% 13% 9% 10% 10% 12% 8% 6% 18%
Matlow 8% 9% 7% 12% 7% 9% 10% 6% 8% 7% 11% 5%
Perruzza 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
Saunders 12% 11% 13% 7% 13% 10% 13% 13% 12% 19% 13% 8%
Someone Else 4% 4% 4% 2% 5% 3% 3% 5% 4% 7% 3% 2%
Undecided 28% 28% 28% 34% 28% 30% 27% 29% 29% 23% 30% 29%
Sample (Unweighted) 1311 665 588 58 194 394 360 363 430 228 393 260
Weighted 1311 656 605 50 444 321 287 259 458 182 387 284
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

35

30 30%
29%
27%
26%
25
23% 23%
21%
20 20% 20%
19%
17%
16% 16%
15 15%

12% 12%
11%
10 10% 10% 10%
9%
8% 8%
7% 7%
6% 6%
5 5% 5% 5%
3% 3%
2% 2% 2%
1% 1% 1%
0 0%

-5
April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 17-18

Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 17-18 Change From Last Week
Bailao 6% 9% 7% 9% 7% 8% +1
Bradford 6% 10% 10% 12% 12% 10% -2
Chow 22% 23% 26% 27% 30% 29% -1
Furey 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% +1
Hunter 11% 9% 10% 10% 12% 15% +3
Matlow 23% 21% 19% 16% 15% 11% -4
Perruzza 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% No Change
Saunders 20% 19% 20% 16% 16% 17% +1
Someone Else 8% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% -1
+1 416-483-2335

info@liaisonstrategies.ca

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Toronto, Ontario, Canada