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IN)
Rating: BUY | CMP: Rs4,462 | TP: Rs6,000
☑ Change in Estimates | Target | Reco Margin jump aided by lower raw material and freight costs. Elevated spreads
to normalize gradually as lower input costs are passed on to customers.
Change in Estimates
FY24E
Current
FY25E
Previous
FY24E FY25E
Gujarat land allotment is still awaited. Management is evaluating more options
Rating BUY BUY in India and USA (including inorganic); prepared to pursue all opportunities.
Target Price 6,000 6,000
Sales (Rs. m) 27,138 27,589 29,195 29,107
FINEORG delivered strong operating profit performance adjusted for
% Chng. (7.0) (5.2)
EBITDA (Rs. m) 6,092 6,241 6,435 6,420 inventory build-up; ahead of PLe and consensus. Adjusted EBITDA at
% Chng. (5.3) (2.8)
EPS (Rs.) 157.3 166.8 162.2 162.0
Rs1.8bn (+12% YoY/ +13% QoQ), increased on spread expansion (adjusted
% Chng. (3.0) 3.0 EBITDA margin at 30% vs 21.1% in Q3FY23 and 25.9% in Q4FY22) despite
lower revenue (-21% YoY/ -3% QoQ) on slower exports. FY24 peak capacity
Key Financials - Consolidated utilization guidance maintained as domestic demand picks up across
Y/e Mar FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E segments even as exports witness temporary slowness. While we tweak our
Sales (Rs. m) 18,763 30,231 27,138 27,589
estimates to factor further moderation in blended realizations and spreads in
EBITDA (Rs. m) 3,645 8,311 6,092 6,241
Margin (%) 19.4 27.5 22.4 22.6 FY24/FY25 (vs current assumptions), we maintain ‘BUY’ with unchanged TP
PAT (Rs. m) 2,596 6,181 4,824 5,113 at Rs 6000 (36x FY25E EPS).
EPS (Rs.) 84.7 201.6 157.3 166.8
Gr. (%) 115.7 138.1 (22.0) 6.0
DPS (Rs.) 9.0 20.2 31.5 33.4 FINEORG remains the best play on rising adoption of oleochemical based
Yield (%) 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 green additives. Its growth prospects look encouraging given 1) strong
RoE (%) 30.7 49.4 27.5 23.6
demand/ order visibility giving rising customer engagement and wallet share
RoCE (%) 35.3 60.6 31.6 26.3
EV/Sales (x) 7.2 4.4 4.7 4.4 gains 2) some capacity headroom still available to enable capture demand
EV/EBITDA (x) 37.1 15.9 20.8 19.6 improvement in FY24/FY25 while management eagerly awaits land allotment
PE (x) 52.7 22.1 28.4 26.8
P/BV (x) 14.3 8.9 7.0 5.8
by Gujarat government 3) strong profitability over FY24-FY25 on optimum
product mix and operating leverage playing out 4) net cash balance sheet and
healthy OCF of Rs 15 bn over FY23-25 to enable self-funded capex.
Key Data FINO.BO | FINEORG IN
52-W High / Low
Sensex / Nifty
Rs.7,329 / Rs.4,022
61,873 / 18,321
Consolidated revenue at Rs6bn (-3% YoY/ -21% QoQ) was impacted by
Market Cap Rs.137bn/ $ 1,653m temporarily softer export demand on destocking and pass-through of lower
Shares Outstanding 31m
3M Avg. Daily Value Rs.184.34m input costs. It was ~Rs1bn lower vs standalone revenue at Rs7bn (+16%YoY/
-7%QoQ) due to Rs1.25bn inventory buildup at subsidiary level (in-line with
Shareholding Pattern (%) customer’s requirement to maintain inventory at warehouses, especially in US).
Promoter’s 75.00
Foreign 4.83 Consolidated gross margin (adjusted for inventory build-up) at 45.8% (vs
Domestic Institution 12.09
33.8% in Q3FY23 and 44% in Q4FY22). While reported EBITDA is Rs2.02bn
Public & Others 8.08
Promoter Pledge (Rs bn) - (+27% YoY/ +27% QoQ), adjusted EBITDA stood at Rs1.8bn (+12% YoY/
+13% QoQ) and EBITDA margin at 30% (vs 21.1% in Q3FY23 and 25.9% in
Stock Performance (%) Q4FY22). Reported PAT at Rs1.5bn (+23% YoY/ +41% QoQ) while adjusted
1M 6M 12M PAT stands at Rs1.28bn (+5% YoY/ +20% QoQ).
Absolute 3.3 (26.6) 4.2
Relative 0.4 (26.1) (9.5)
FY23 was an extremely strong year for FINEORG with revenue at Rs 30.2bn
(+61% YoY), EBITDA at Rs8.3bn (+128% YoY), EBITDA margin at 27.5% vs
Nitesh Dhoot
19.4% YoY, PAT at Rs6.2bn (+138% YoY; EPS Rs202). Robust operating
niteshdhoot@plindia.com | 91-22-66322260
profits and stable working capital at 75 days (flat YoY) translated into FCF of
Rs4bn and net cash on books at Rs 5.2bn; to aid self-sustained capex.
Revenue decline QoQ on slower exports Margin jump on lower input costs
Revenue (Rs bn) Gross Margin (RHS) EBITDA PAT EBITDA Margin (RHS)
10 49.6% 55% 3,000 33.9% 40%
50% 44.0% 2,500 35%
28.7%
8 30%
39.0% 45% 21.1%
2,000 21.9% 25.9%
(Rs m n)
6 25%
33.8% 40%
32.3% 1,500 14.5% 20%
4 35%
1,000 15%
30% 10%
2 500
2.4
2.7
3.0
3.6
4.4
4.6
6.2
7.5
9.2
7.6
6.0
3.2
25% 5%
0 20% 0 0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY21 FY22 FY23
Capacity constraint in FY25 on delayed capex Revenue to decline over FY23-25E on lower prices
(m tpa)
4.2 3.0
104 15 19
3.0 101
102 2.0
2.0 10
100 10 11
5 1.0
1.0 98
0.0 96 0 0.0
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E
Gross margins to stabilize at historical levels Robust profitability even as spreads normalize
Gross Profit Gross Margin (RHS) EBITDA PAT EBITDA Mgn (RHS)
14.0 41.3% 45% 27.5%
41.0% 9 30%
12.0 37.0% 37.1% 8 23.2% 22.4% 22.6%
36.7% 40% 25%
10.0 35.9% 7 19.4%
6 17.6% 20%
(Rs bn)
35%
(Rs bn)
8.0 5
15%
6.0 4
30%
3 10%
4.0
25% 2
5%
2.4
1.6
2.0
1.2
3.6
2.6
8.3
6.2
6.1
4.8
6.2
5.1
2.0 1
4.3 4.1 6.9 12.4 10.0 10.2
0.0 20% 0 0%
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E
Source: Company, PL
Financials
Income Statement (Rs m) Balance Sheet Abstract (Rs m)
Y/e Mar FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E Y/e Mar FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E
EBIT 3,246 7,832 5,584 5,704 Capital Work In Progress 141 404 250 250
Margin (%) 17.3 25.9 20.6 20.7 Goodwill - - - -
Non-Current Investments 315 397 397 397
Net Interest 49 46 7 - Net Deferred tax assets 84 107 107 107
Other Income 329 642 770 1,001 Other Non-Current Assets 647 819 819 819
(Rs)
No. Date Rating TP (Rs.) Share Price (Rs.)
7200
1 13-Apr-23 BUY 6,000 4,481
May - 21
May - 22
May - 23
Nov - 20
Nov - 21
Nov - 22
7 06-Jul-22 BUY 5,600 4,950
8 01-Jun-22 BUY 5,600 4,969
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