i Cd(i) Rd(i) Cr(i) Rr(i) Cd valor presente

0 0 3 0 10 0.00
1 5 2 0.8 8 4.50
2 6 1 1.6 7 4.86
3 7 0.5 4 6 5.10
4 7.5 0.5 6 5 0.00
5 8 0.5 8 4.5 0.00
6 8.5 0.5 9.6 4 0.00
14.5

t 3 variable de decisión
n 6
A 10
r=1/(1+i) 90%
Cr valor presente A valor presente Rd Valor presente Rr Valor Presente
0.0 0.00 0.00 0
0.5 0.00 0.00 0
0.9 0.00 0.00 0
2.1 7.3 -0.4 -3.2
0.0 0.00 0.00 0
0.0 0.00 0.00 0
0.0 0.00 0.00 0
3.6 7.3 -0.4 -3.2 21.8
 t 21.8
0
1
2
3
4
5
6

Chart Title
12.0

10.0

8.0

6.0
CAN

4.0

2.0

0.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Tiempo (momento idoneo para el reemplazo)
 i Cd(i) Rd(i) Cr(i) Rr(i)
0 0 3 0 10
1 5 2 0.8 8
2 6 1 1.6 7
3 7 0.5 4 6
4 7.5 0.5 6 5
5 8 0.5 8 4.5
6 8.5 0.5 9.6 4

t 9 variable de decisión
n 15
A 10
r=1/(1+i) 90%

Chart Title
50
45
40
Defensor
35
Power (Defensor)
Opex Anual

30
25 Retador
20 Power (Retador)
15 Volatilidad Defensor
10 Volatilidad Retador
5 f(x)
f(x) == 0.732032107992878 x^1.46486334895789
4.96946015427824 x^0.298157178254446
R²
R² == 0.983437700720833
0.996838341376003
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Edad Adicional (defensor)

Costos defensor Residual defensor Costos retador Residual retador

Sigma 12% 20% 12% 25%
y = 4,9695*x^0,2982 y=2,2415e-0,316x Y=0,732*x^1,4649 y=9,5511e-0,151x
0.311 0.348 1.510 0.178

i Cd(i) Rd(i) Cr(i) Rr(i)

0 0.0 2.2 0.0 9.6
1 5.0 1.6 0.7 8.0
2 6.2 1.1 2.1 6.7
3 7.0 0.8 3.8 5.6
4 7.6 0.6 5.9 4.7
5 8.2 0.4 8.3 3.9
 6 8.7 0.3 11.0 3.3
7 9.1 0.2 13.8 2.7
8 9.5 0.1 16.9 2.3
9 9.8 0.1 20.2 1.9
10 10.2 0.1 23.7 1.6
11 10.5 0.0 27.4 1.3
12 10.8 0.0 31.2 1.1
13 11.0 0.0 35.2 0.9
14 11.3 0.0 39.4 0.8
15 11.5 0.0 43.7 0.7
 Chart Title
12 Defensor
f(x) = 8.57601577022082 x^-0.391670077019286 Power (Defensor)
10 R² = 0.947161929869433
Logarithmic (Defensor)
f(x) = 9.55105380974526 exp( − 0.151288311501814Power
x ) (Defensor)
8 R² = 0.990493577987368
Valor Residual

f(x) = 1.73726888492645 x^-0.819747872565353 Power (Defensor)

Defensor 6 R² = 0.877347233898343 Exponential (Defensor)
Power (Defensor) Retador
4
Retador Power (Retador)
Power (Retador) 2 f(x) = − 0.841050004417427 ln(x) + 1.75557987682074
Exponential (Retador)
R² ==0.847094927639391
f(x) 2.24147261786162 exp( − 0.31575051108871 x )
Volatilidad Defensor Residual defensor volatil
Volatilidad Retador 0 R² = 0.804069781764
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Residual retador volatil

Edad Adicional (defensor)

esidual retador

=9,5511e-0,151x

Cd valor presente Cr valor presente A valor presente Rd Valor presente Rr Valor Presente
0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0
4.47 0.3 0.00 0.00 0
4.99 0.7 0.00 0.00 0
5.10 1.1 0.00 0.00 0
5.02 1.5 0.00 0.00 0
4.84 1.9 0.00 0.00 0
 4.61 2.3 0.00 0.00 -0.67
4.35 0.0 0.00 0.00 0
4.08 0.0 0.00 0.00 0
3.81 0.0 3.87 -0.04 0
0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0
0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0
0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0
0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0
0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0
0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0
41.26 7.67 3.87 -0.04 -0.67

Chart Title
120

100

80

60

40

20

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
r
Defensor)
mic (Defensor)
Defensor)
Defensor)
tial (Defensor)

Retador)
tial (Retador)
l defensor volatil
l retador volatil

Min 52 minimo costo

52
0 102
1 89
2 78
3 70
4 64
5 59
 6 56
7 54
8 52
9 52
10 52
11 53
12 54
13 56
14 57
15 59
52.09

12 14 16
minimo costo