Professional Documents
Culture Documents
AFFILIATION
SCHOOL NAME
DATE
ADMS D/NURS/20047/3423
2
DECLARATION
This is my original work and has not been presented for any academic award in any other
institution
Sharon Jepkemboi
This research project has been submitted for presentation with my approval as the university
supervisor
This research project report is dedicated to my mother Judith Mwei for believing in me, my
lecture Mr Patrick rotich, for enabling me with research skills and Kapsabet County Referral
I thank the almighty God for granting me strength and good health during the period of this study
I would like to acknowledge my supervisor Mr Patrick Rotich for his dedicated support and
I also acknowledge the support I receive from the Nandi traffic police department and the
National Transport and Safety Authority (NTSA) for providing the necessary information
Finally, I acknowledge my family, friends, and colleagues who offered me a great support
system and encouragement to make sure that I finished this research project on time.
5
ABSTRACT
The road transport industry in Kenya plays a vital role in the life of a majority of its citizens.
Many Kenyans utilize different transport modes to reach their various destinations daily. Nearly
3000 people are killed on Kenyan roads annually. This translates to approximately 68 deaths per
10,000 registered vehicles, which is 30-40 times greater than in highly motorized countries.
Nandi County has some road fatality rates for vehicle ownership in Kenya, with an average of 4
deaths from the 35 road crashes that occur each Month. Despite the huge burden the major
causes of accidents in Nandi, have not been modeled to outline the major causes and their inter-
relatedness. Current interventions are sporadic, uncoordinated, and less effective despite the huge
This study sought to explore the major causes that were likely to contribute to road traffic
accidents in Nandi County. This was to be achieved using suitable techniques whose
performances were subsequently analyzed. The study utilized accident data between the years
2007-2022 obtained from the Nandi Traffic Police department. Poisson and the negative
regression models were used to identify the main risk factors and models that performed better
DECLARATION 2
DEDICATION 3
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 4
ABSTRACT 5
LIST OF ACRONYMS 9
DEFINITION OF TERMS 10
CHAPTER ONE 12
INTRODUCTION 12
1.1Background 12
1.3.1General Objective 16
Significance 17
71.5 Scope 18
2.0 Introduction 19
3.0 Introduction 23
3.1Study designs 23
3.9 Pretesting 28
REFERENCES 30
APPENDICES 31
APPENDIX I: Questionnaires 31
CONSENT FORM 31
QUESTIONNAIRES 32
Road Traffic Accident (RTA): A collision between vehicles and pedestrians, between vehicles
Road Traffic Injuries (RTI): These are injuries occurring as a result of RTA.
Road User: Pedestrians and vehicle users, including all occupants (i.e. driver, rider, and
passengers).
Road: Every public road system: state, regional or local road, or city street.
Vehicle: A machine that is used to carry people or goods from one place to another, it could be a
Slight injury: This is an injury y of a minor character (i.e. bruise, sprain, cut, or laceration) that
Serious injury: This is an injury resulting in a person being detained in a health facility
asinpatienttient”, or any of the following injuries whether or not detention results (i.e. fractures,
internal injuries, crushing, severe cuts, and concussions). They do cause death 30 or more days
Pedal-cycle: A vehicle operated solely by pedals and propelled by human power. This includes
bicycles, tricycles, unicycles, sidecars, or trailers attached to any of the above-listed devices.
11
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
This chapter provides the background to the study, context, problem statement, and objectives of
the study. The purpose of this chapter is to provide an overview of the research that is presented
1.1Background
A road accident refers to a collision involving one or more vehicles on the road, or a pedestrian
and results in death, injury, or damage of property (Odhiambo et al, 2015). Road traffic injuries
place a heavy burden on global and national economies and household finances. With more than
13 million deaths and 20 – 50 million injuries being directly linked to road traffic accidents in
the world, the social and economic burden presents a compromising scenario for Kenya as a
nation. Road accidents follow HIV/AIDS and malaria as the leading causes of death in Kenya
according to (Odero, Khayesi&Heda, 2003). This largely affects the economically productive
population in the country. About 23% of them are motorists, while pedestrians and cyclists
account for 22 and 5 percent respectively. Other victims are pedestrians, vehicle occupants, and
other unspecified users who account for 31% and 19% of the rest of the deaths.
Most road accidents lead to fatalities or serious disabilities which disenfranchise many families.
In addition, family members are plunged into poverty because of the loss of their usual
breadwinner through death or the high costs incurred in medical costs (WHO, 2009). Therefore,
relevant authorities in the transportation sector need to make an effort and enact policies or
12
measures that would significantly reduce the impacts of road accidents including fatalities,
disabilities, morbidity, and the related costs of medical expenses associated with preventable
road accidents.
Most players in the transport sector blame the bad state of the Kenyan roads for the numerous
accidents. With the recent improvement of infrastructure, however, fatal road accidents continue
to be reported. This elicited varied reactions from transport authorities in Kenya including the
ban on night travel on all Public Service Vehicles until they met the stated requirements of the
government. Public Service Vehicles operators have protested this move claiming that the
government has been insensitive about their needs. The blame game between transport
authorities and PSV operators continues even though much has been done to curb the number of
road accidents. Traffic police have also been on the receiving end following their role in
reducing road accidents. Corruption has been cited as one of the reasons the traffic police have
failed to arrest the drivers found to have infringed on the regulations of road use. Policies
developed based on comprehensive statistical models are likely to lead to the development of a
competitive transportation network that will enhance Kenya’s role as a hub in East Africa.
Kapsabet is the headquarter of Nandi County hosting county government ministries, businesses,
and numerous economic activities. It is also an important economic hub for Western provinces.
The population of Nandi has experienced significant growth since the year 2009 when it was at
752,965 (Population and Housing Census, 2009). The county population continues to grow at the
rate of +17.6%. Continued urban sprawl has increased transportation in the county with a large
population relying on the public transport system, which has been marked with unstructured
This system has caused a scramble among the people trying to access their workstations or job
opportunities within the set working hours. This has led to rapid growth in non-conventional
means of public transport comprising of minibuses, taxis and more recently by commercial
motorcycles. Most of these means are notorious for flouting traffic rules resulting to externalities
such as accidents, congestion and corruption. KIPPRA (2015: 1) estimates that in 2020 there
were 500,000 thousand registered vehicles in Kenya and 30% were used in Nandi county. The
distance of the road network in Nandi as in 2020 was about 20,000 kilometers long (KRB, 2020),
The Roads Act of 2007 enacted established three new agencies in charge of road infrastructure
management, rehabilitation, maintenance and development. These are the Kenya National
Highways Authority (KeNHA); Kenya Rural Roads Authority (KeRRA) and the Kenya Urban
Roads Authority (KURA). The Kenya Roads Board (KRB) solicits and distributes funds for
development of the road infrastructure while the Nandi Traffic Department and County
Inspectorate Department are responsible for enforcement duty to ensure compliance with traffic
Act and County Government regulations. The National Transport and safety Authority (NTSA)
whose vision is geared towards a sustainable, safe road transport system with zero crashes has
been instrumental in the efforts to reduce road accidents and is responsible for registration,
licensing and road safety. This informs us that the government appreciates the role of road
transport and research geared towards addressing the influences of RTAs, which will foster a
Road accidents are among the leading cause of death and disability in the county. Nearly
hundred people die annually because of accident related activities. This translates to
approximately 8 deaths per 10,000 registered vehicles, which is 30-40 times greater than in
highly motorized countries. Research indicates that about two people die out of thirty-five road
crashes that occur each day in Nandi county. Despite the huge economic burden exerted by
RTAs, the major causes of accidents in Nandi have not been descriptively analyzed and modeled
to outline the major causes and their inter-relatedness. This emphasizes the need to
comprehensively understand the major causes of these accidents. This study therefore intends to
utilize generalized linear models to explore the major causes of road traffic accidents in Nandi
County that will help in minimizing loss of lives through road accidents.
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1.3 Objectives of the Study
1.3.1General Objective
To determine the suitable technique to model the injuries arising from road accidents in
NandiCounty
To compare the results of models used in estimating the daily number of RTAs.
Traffic accidents are the leading cause of hospitalization in adolescence, with the 18–24-year-old
age group accounting for 23% of deaths by traffic accidents. Recurrence rate is also high. One in
four teenagers will have a relapse within the year following the first accident. Cognitive
engagement in dangerous situations such as road accidents. Two categories of factors seem to be
associated with traffic accidents: (1) factors specific to the traffic environment and (2) “human”
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factors, which seem to be the most influential. Moreover, the establishment of a stronger relation
to high speed driving increases traffic accident risks and can also be intensified by sensation
seeking. Other factors such as substance use (alcohol, drugs, and “binge drinking”) are also
identified as risk factors. Furthermore, cell phone use while driving and attention deficit disorder
with or without hyperactivity also seem to be important risk factors for car accidents. The family
environment strongly influences a young person’s driving behavior. Some interventional driving
strategies and preventive measures have reduced the risk of traffic accidents among young
people, such as the graduated driver licensing program and advertising campaigns. So far, few
therapeutic approaches have been implemented. Reason why, we decided to set up an innovative
strategy consisting of a therapeutic post accident group intervention, entitled the ECARR2
protocol, to prevent recurrence among adolescents and young adults identified at risk, taking into
1.4 Significance
Researchers have been modeling RTAs with crash prevention models in various parts of the
world. This has however not been done in Kenya. It is essential to conduct research to establish
the main causes of Road Accidents and come out with the reality on the ground so that, policy
makers can design strategies that will effectively reduce the numerous deaths caused by Road
Traffic Accidents to the barest minimum in the country. It is necessary to develop better
prediction mechanism to plan for future occurrence. This will help ensure that resources are
channeled to the right direction geared towards addressing the major cause of Road Traffic
Accidents (RTAs) as many causes have overtime been attributed to causing accidents in Nandi.
It will also aid in policy formulation that would address the major causes of accidents thus
2.0 Introduction
In 2010, the United Nations General Assembly adopted resolution 64/2551 proclaiming a
Decade of Action for Road Safety so as to stabilize and reduce the increasing trend in road traffic
fatalities. Interestingly RTAs in high income countries is expected to fall by 2020, while the
and injuring 4 million more. The loss to the economy was also considerably high at $25 million
per annum. The study also found that men were more at risk of being involved in road accidents
than women, while younger people, especially those aged 18- 44 years, formed the bulk of road
accident victims.
Agoki (1992) indicates that RTAs causation factors may be traced to the road users, vehicles or
the road environment; and in Kenya the proportion is 80% traceable to road users, 6% to vehicle
and 14% to road environment. In Nandi County the contribution by road user factors is as high as
44
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2.2 Nandi County Profile
Nandi County is a county in Kenya in the North Rift, occupying an area of 2,884.4 square
kilometres. Its capital, Kapsabet, is the largest town in the county while other towns include
Geographically, the unique jug-shaped structure of Nandi County is bound by the Equator to the
south and extends northwards to latitude 0034’N. The western boundary extends to west. The
Understanding the effect of a risk factor is very important towards identifying the exact cause of
an accident. Causation may be attributed to human related factors, road factors, environmental
factors and vehicular factors. Human factors are triggered directly by the human behavior when
in the vicinity of the road. According to the Kenya Traffic Police department pedal, driver,
pedestrian, cyclist, passengers are categorized as the human factors directly responsible for
accidents in Nandi County. There are also different risk factors that are connected to immediate
cause of accidents. Fatigues, overtaking improperly, negligence, inexperience, illness are some
Road factors are risk factors that are associated with the road as an accident cause and include a
slippery road surface, excessive dust obscuring road user view and dilapidated road surface.
Environmental factors constitute weather and animals. Example of situations are fog or mist,
torrential rain, glaring sun and animal in the carriage way. Vehicular factors are the mechanical
defects on the vehicles and any vehicle feature that may contribute to an accident occurring.
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Kenya has reported a continuous increase in the number of motorcycles as is indicated by data
from the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA). For instance, annual registrations of motorcycles
increased by 3730% from 3,759 in 2005 to 140,215 in 2021 (KRA, 2012). In the same way,
accidents involving bodaboda motorcycles have also exhibited an upward trend. For example
nationally, deaths and injuries related to motorcycles accidents have increased by a factor of 4.4,
In 2021, a total of 180 road traffic deaths were reported by the Nandi Traffic Police of which
Transport and Safety Authority, between 1st and 13th January 2020, the number of motorcyclist
who died due to motorcycle accident have increased by 20% and the number could increase in
the remaining months of 2020 if no interventions are made. Hurt, Quellet, & Thom, (1981)
observe that riders of motorcycles received their raining from friends and family or unqualified
trainers.
In spite of offering advantages such as affordability, availability, flexibility and even ability to
travel on poorly maintained roads, safety concerns have emerged. The motorcycle taxis have
been categorized as having a poor road safety record that increased by 58% during the first four
months of 2015. Road traffic injury patients represent between 45-60% of all admissions to
surgical wards. It is essential to note that Kapsabet county referral hospital identified the need to
have to improve its capacity to address accidents and converted some of its wards for emergency
21
use. These wards include 6A, C, and D which receives a large number of motorcycle victims
brought into the hospital. If nothing is done more accidents are likely to occur with serious socio-
economic implications.
According to the Kenya Traffic Police department, different vehicles are primarily responsible
for causing RTAs on Kenyan roads. These have been classified as motor cars, Lorries, buses and
taxis, motorcycles, pedal cycles, animals and matatus. About 582 cases people who were
involved while using motorcycles accidents were recorded in high According to the Kenya
Traffic Police department different vehicles are primarily responsible for causing RTAs on the
Kenyan roads. These have been classified as motor cars, Lorries, buses and taxis, motorcycles,
pedal cycles, animals and matatus. About 582 cases people who were involved while using
motorcycles accidents were recorded in high numbers. The number of cases has continued to
Rapid growth in the use of motorized two-wheeled vehicles in Kenya has been accompanied by
increases in injuries and fatalities among its users. The problem of untrained riders has been a
stubborn stain on the motorcycle industry resulting to its publicity. As a matter of priority the
3.0 Introduction
This chapter outlines the research design and methodology that will be used to carry out the
study. The chapter also deals with the target population, type of data collected, sampling
technique, the sample size, data collection analysis techniques and how exactly data will be
presented.
3.1Study designs
The study research will use cross sectional descriptive design. Descriptive study is concerned
with finding out who, what, where and how much of a phenomenon which is the concern of the
study Sokoran., (2015) observes that the goal of descriptive research is to offer the researcher a
profit or describe relevant aspects of the phenomenon of interests from the individual
organization, industry or other perspective. In addition, the design best fit in the ascertainment
and description of characteristics of variable in this research study and allows for use of
descriptive design also is appropriate since it will enable the researcher to collect enough
Kapsabet County Referral Hospital is located in Nandi County, Emgwen Constituency, in Nandi
central and it is located 40Km South west of Eldoret on the way to Chavakali. The facility
borders Kapsabet town and court of law. Kapsabet contains people of different tribes with a
population of 86,803 (2019 census), where majority of them are Kalenjin. The main religious
buildings nearing the facility are the Roman Catholic Church, ACK, AIC, CITAM and a Mosque
There are well tarmacked roads that stretch all the way from Nairobi through Nakuru, Eldoret to
Kapsabet and goes as far as Kisumu and Kakamega. Telecommunication is well serviced by
The main economic activity is agriculture. Main food crops are maize and various vegetables.
The study population for this study will include all children aged between 4-13 years with their
The study will exclude all parents of children aged between 18 and below.
n=z2pq/d2
where:
n=1.962x0.05x0.05/0.052
n=384.16
25
If target population is less than 10,000 the required sample size will be smaller. IN such a case
nf=n/1+(n/N) used,
where:
384.16/ (1+384.16/120)
=384.16/ (1+3.20)
=384.16/4.20
=91 respondents
Questionnaires will be used comprising of both open and closed ended questions to determine
Questionnaires will be given to respondents who can read and write but those who will not be ab
le to read and write, the questionnaires will be asked through interviews and the researcher will
This will be done by use of tables, pie charts and bar graphs.
3.9 Pretesting
Pretesting will be done prior to data collection in Mosoriot Sub County Hospital Bodaboda riders
with aged between 18-24 years at the outpatient department using questionnaires. Interview will
be used where respondents will need clarity. It will be carried out on 10% of the total number of
respondents. This pilot study will help in checking the validity, accuracy, and reliability of the
tool.
Approval of the study will also be obtained from the research committee of Mosoriot KMTC
department of nursing. The research permit will be obtained from NACOSTI, the permission will
be gotten from the study site which is KCRH including consent from the respondents where by
the researcher will clearly explain the purpose of the research and the benefits to the respondents.
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CHAPTER FOUR
4.1 INTRODUCTION.
This chapter presents data analysis, presentation and interpretation of the study.
This is demographic characteristics of the respondent of gender, age, level of education and
The researcher found out the following distribution of youth respondent by gender in table 4.2
Male 55 60
Female 36 40
Total 91 100
There were more male youth participants by 60 (60.4%) than female at 36 (39.5%) Therefore the
Male
Female
The researcher found out that distribution by age as it presented in table 4.3
18-24 years 10 11
25-29 years 41 45
30-35 years 40 44
Total 91 100
Age above 25-29 years were highest participant by 41 (45.05%) followed by age 30-35 years at
frequency
18-24 years
25-29 years
30-35years
30
4.2.3 Distribution of return by Road Trafic Accient Occurence.
Night 29 31.86
Total 91 100
Peak Hours is the highest participant by 41 (45.05%) followed by Night at 20 (21.98%), Day
time at 18 (19.78%), followed by All Time at 9 (9.89%) . Therefore, the majority of the accidents
frequency
All time
Day time
Peak Hours
Night
The researcher wanted to understand the distribution of return by marital status and the result
Stage 10 10.99
Total 91 100
The majority of the youths who participated were Rural Areas at 64 (70.33%), followed closely
respectively.
frequency
Urbern Centers
Rural Areas
Stage
Other Specified
The participants were asked in their own perception to rate methods of suicidal behavior in
Fatal 47 51.65
frequency
Fatal
Minor injuries
Critical injuries
The respondents were asked to indicate how they rate the most injured among the accidents in
Driver 28 30.78
Passenger 45 49.45
Pedestrian 18 19.78
Total 91 10
33
The issues of injuries caused by accident was rated as the highest being at Passenger 45
(49.45%), Driver was also a major injured at 28 (30.78%). Pedestrian was at least at 19
(19.78%).
frequency
driver
passanger
pedestrian
Reckless driving 45 50
Total 91 100
Most of the youths got information from the Reckless driving at 45 (50%), Poor roads at 35
reckless driving
poor roads
unworthy vehicle
Media 30 32.97
Communnity 25 27.47
Most of the people get the information on there own experience at 34 (37.36%), followed by
Media
community
own experience
other specify
36
5.1 Introduction
Based on study results, there is an urgent need to address the root causes of accidents in Nandi
County. Laws and regulatory frameworks should be formulated and enforced promptly to avoid
The results attest that a robust model will be beneficial in so far as RTAs mitigation and
prevention is concerned. Given the nature of data being handled, a parsimonious model should
always be chosen. In this study the negative binomial was chosen given that our data was over-
dispersed.
The study also concluded that the causes of RTAs in Nandi County are multi-factorial and can be
categorized into driver factors, vehicle factors and roadway factors. Driver factors relates to all
proximate factors affiliated to the driver that may result to an accident occurring. Speeding is a
leading cause of accidents and policy should be geared towards addressing driver behavior as it
5.3. Recommendations
From the results and finding in the study this recommendation if implemented will significantly
reduce the number of accidents in Nandi County. Additionally, motor cyclists should undergo
formal training on road safety; increase levels of road use awareness among pedestrians, enforce
holistic manner. Pedestrian’s walkways and pedal-cyclists lanes should be factored in road
design. The government, the police, the health personnel and general public should be
trained, to monitor the magnitude, severity and burden resulting from RTAs in Nandi County to
counteract the paucity of evidence occasioned by insufficient data handling skills. County
planning should incorporate all road users in mind and should focus more on the behavior and
the setting. Law enforcement officers should also be trained on different important aspects of
road safety.
Future research should focus on the spatial modeling of road traffic accidents.
38 REFERENCES
accidents using fuzzy artmap. Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering 17 (6), 396–
408.
39
APPENDICES
APPENDIX I: Questionnaires
community health nursing. I am carrying out a study on the factors contributing to road accidents
2. After choosing the most appropriate answer, tick on the box provided in front of the answer
3. Do not tick more than one answer unless the question demands so
4. The questionnaire is made for study purpose hence confidentiality will be maintained
CONSENT FORM
All information given will be handled with strict confidentiality and without any victimization
Confirmation consent
Respondent
Signature……………………. Date………………
Interviewer
Name………………………… Date…………………
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Signature…………………….
QUESTIONNAIRES
Male [ ]
Female [ ]
2. Age of respondent
[a]20-25 years [ ]
[d]Above 35 years [ ]
[a]All time [ ]
c. Peak Hours ( )
d. Night ( )
[a]Urban centre
[b]Rural areas
41
c. Stage
d. Other speficy………………………………………….
[a] Fatal [ ]
[b]Minor injury [ ]
c. Critical injury ( )
a. Driver ( )
b. Passenger ( )
c. Pedestrians ( )
a. Reckless driving ( )
b. Poor roads ( )
C. Unworthy vehicles ( )
a. Yes ( )
b. No ( )
42
Media [ ]
Community [ ]
Own Experience [ ]
Hospital [ ]
Other Specify [ ]
a. Yes ( )
b. No ( )
11. Have you ever encountered someone who has been involve in an accident
Yes [ ] b. No [ ]
c. advice [ ]
e. Other Specify [ ]
AMOUNT
Razorblade 2 pieces 15 30
Pencils 5 pieces 30 60
Ruler 1 piece 40 40
Rubber 2 pieces 25 50
questionnaires
Photocopying of @5 1600
questionnaires
lunch
Total 13,925
2022
Research
theory
Topic
selection
Objective
Introducti
on
writing
Literature
review
Proposal
writing
and
presentati
on
Submissi
on of the
proposal
46