Ten Regions Expected to Grow Faster

Than the National Averag

Reference Number: 
2015-110

Release Date: 
Tuesday, December 29, 2015

The Philippine population is projected to reach 142 million by 2045.  This

signifies about 49 million persons added to the country’s population from 2010
to 2045, equivalent to an average annual growth rate of 1.21 percent.  All
regions are expected to increase in population but with varying rates of
growth.  Ten regions are projected to grow faster than the national average
with five of these regions located in Mindanao.
1. What is the projected population of the Philippines by 2045?
A: The projected population of the Philippines by 2045 is 142 million.
2. What is the average annual growth rate of the Philippine population from 2010 to 2045?
A: The average annual growth rate of the Philippine population from 2010 to 2045 is 1.21
percent.
3. Which regions in the Philippines are expected to grow faster than the national average?
A: Ten regions in the Philippines are projected to grow faster than the national average, with
five of these regions located in Mindanao.
4. What are the possible reasons for the varying rates of population growth in different regions of
the Philippines?
A: The varying rates of population growth in different regions of the Philippines can be
attributed to factors such as migration, fertility rates, and access to family planning services.
5. How does the projected population growth in the Philippines affect the country's resources and
development?
A: The projected population growth in the Philippines can put a strain on the country's resources
and development, including healthcare, education, housing, and employment opportunities. It is
important for the government to address the needs of the growing population through effective
policies and programs.
6. What are the implications of the projected population growth for the environment?
A: The projected population growth in the Philippines can have implications for the
environment, including increased demand for natural resources, increased pollution and waste,
and a greater impact on ecosystems and biodiversity. It is important for the government to
promote sustainable development practices to address these challenges.
7. How does the projected population growth in the Philippines affect the economy?
A: The projected population growth in the Philippines can have both positive and negative
effects on the economy. On one hand, it can increase the labor force and consumer demand,
 which can drive economic growth. On the other hand, it can also lead to greater inequality and
poverty if not managed properly. The government needs to ensure that economic policies are
inclusive and sustainable to address these challenges

 
During the years 2010 to 2045, the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao
(ARMM) is projected to have the highest average annual growth rate of 2.12
percent.  Caraga’s population growth rate of 1.72 percent ranks second with
SOCCSKSARGEN, Davao Region and Zamboanga Peninsula following.  The
regions in Luzon with high population growth rates are the Cordillera
Administrative Region (CAR) (1.35 percent), CALABARZON (1.31 percent),
MIMAROPA (1.58 percent), and Bicol Region (1.65 percent). Eastern Visayas
is projected to grow by an annual average of 1.53 percent.
1. Which region in the Philippines is projected to have the highest average annual growth rate
from 2010 to 2045?
A: The Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM) is projected to have the highest
average annual growth rate of 2.12 percent from 2010 to 2045.
2. Which regions in the Philippines are expected to have population growth rates higher than the
national average?
A: Caraga, SOCCSKSARGEN, Davao Region, and Zamboanga Peninsula are expected to have
population growth rates higher than the national average from 2010 to 2045.
3. Which regions in Luzon are projected to have high population growth rates?
A: The Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Bicol Region in
Luzon are projected to have high population growth rates from 2010 to 2045.
4. What is the projected population growth rate of Eastern Visayas?
A: Eastern Visayas is projected to have an annual average population growth rate of 1.53
percent from 2010 to 2045.
5. What are the possible reasons for the high population growth rates in these regions?
A: The high population growth rates in these regions can be attributed to factors such as high
fertility rates, lack of access to family planning services, and migration.
6. How can the government address the challenges posed by high population growth rates in these
regions?
A: The government can address the challenges posed by high population growth rates in these
regions by implementing effective family planning programs, improving access to healthcare and
education, promoting economic growth and job creation, and supporting sustainable
development practices.
7. What are the implications of high population growth rates for the environment and the
economy in these regions?
A: High population growth rates can have implications for the environment and the economy,
including increased demand for natural resources, increased pollution and waste, and greater
 pressure on infrastructure and social services. It is important for the government to promote
sustainable and inclusive development practices to address these challenges

In terms of population, CALABARZON remains the largest in numbers by

2045 (20.1 million), followed by the National Capital Region and Central
Luzon with 14.5 million each.  Western Visayas and Central Visayas are the
other regions surpassing the 10-million mark, with 10.4 million each in 2045. 
Cordillera Administrative Region will continue to have the smallest population
with 2.6 million in year 2045.
1. What is the largest region in terms of population by 2045?
A: CALABARZON remains the largest in numbers by 2045 with a projected population of 20.1
million.
2. What are the regions that are projected to surpass the 10-million mark in population by 2045?
A: Western Visayas and Central Visayas are projected to surpass the 10-million mark in
population by 2045, with both regions having a projected population of 10.4 million.
3. What is the projected population of the National Capital Region by 2045?
A: The National Capital Region is projected to have a population of 14.5 million by 2045.
4. Which region is projected to have the smallest population in 2045?
A: Cordillera Administrative Region is projected to have the smallest population in 2045, with a
projected population of 2.6 million.
5. How can the government ensure that regions with high populations have adequate
infrastructure and social services to support their needs?
A: The government can ensure that regions with high populations have adequate infrastructure
and social services by investing in transportation, healthcare, education, and housing facilities. It
can also implement policies to encourage the development of industries and job creation in
these regions to support economic growth.
6. How can the government address the challenges posed by overpopulation in certain regions of
the country?
A: The government can address the challenges posed by overpopulation by:
- implementing effective family planning programs
- promoting education and awareness on responsible parenthood and reproductive health
- supporting sustainable development practices.
- It can also encourage migration to less populated areas and promote equitable distribution
of resources.
7. What are the implications of a rapidly growing population in certain regions for the country as a
whole?
A: The implications of a rapidly growing population in certain regions include
- increased pressure on resources, environmental degradation, and strain on infrastructure
and social services.
- It is important for the government to promote sustainable and inclusive development
practices to address these challenges and ensure the well-being of all citizens
This report presents some of the highlights of the 2010 Census-based regional population projections
prepared by the Philippine Statistics Authority in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Working Group on
Population Projections chaired by Dr. Mercedes B. Concepcion with members representing the
Commission on Population, Department of Education, Department of Health, National Economic and
Development Authority, Philippine Statistical Research and Training Institute, and the University of the
Philippines Population Institute.