What would be the fate of private cars

in 2050?

Client: Singapore Government &

Land Transport Authority (LTA)
The Approach

1 FRAMING THE
SCENARIO QUESTION

2 ENVIRONMENTAL
SCANNING

METHODOLOGY

3 KEY FACTOR ANALYSIS

4 SCENARIO
DEVELOPMENT

5 STRATEGIC DISCUSSION
Singapore
Scenario 1

Bid Adieu to Car Registration

Bid Adieu to Car Registration
Projections
Rapid Reimagining the
Modernization workforce

Public transport & Reliability on

Infrastructure policies renewables
Bid Adieu to Car Registration
Challenges Goal: No more personal vehicle
registrations in 2050

Economic/Revenue loss
from car registrations

Implementing the right

policies for the transition

Employment Loss - Creation

of new workforce with the
Adaptability to the new required skillset
way of mobility
Bid Adieu to Car Registration
Opportunities
Circular Economy Futuristic Modes of
Transportation
Climate Neutral Singapore

Vehicle Scrappage Active Modes of Commute

Bid Adieu to Car Registration
The main Actors
Losers
Winners

General
Public OEMs

Oil
Suppliers and
Copanies
LTA Government After sales
Bid Adieu to Car Registration
2050
Roadmapping 2036
Planning
Implementation

Urban & Transportation Social Acceptance

Planning Recycle and Development
Scrappage Policy Framework Car free Country

2029 2043
Assesment Evaluation

Market Readiness Pilot Testing

Resource Requirements Feedback and Analysis
Economic & Environmental Impact Discussion of results with Stakeholders
Singapore
Scenario 2

EVs here we come!

SCENARIO 2: EVS HERE WE COME!
 EVs here we come!
Our goal is to take over the market with
the EVs so that the increasing mobility
doesn't harm the environment

High costs
EV charging of living
stations

Challenges
Hybrid Working
Suburban living culture
facilities Infrastructure Adaptability enhancement
development

Road connectivity Awareness of using EVs &

improvement Removal of Conventional
vehicles

 Risks

Supply and Demand Safety and Reliability Insurance

Energy supply Cyber Security risk Insurance
Vehicle Manufactures implications and

claims complexity.
Mobility aspects Environmental issue
Battery disposal risk
Horizontal expansion
Lack of engagement in
social interaction

 Opportunities
Electric vehicle Urban
industry Redevelopment
of EVs will
As the demand Authority (URA)
increase certainly 20-Minute Towns & a
industry will gain huge 45-minute City.
profit. Singapore aims for Transport for All
50 percent electric Healthier Lives, Safer
vehicles by 2050 Journey
country.
Futuristic Public health and
Innovation Environment
Encouragement
A shifts towards the EVs
Encouragement towards
leads to Cleaner
global OEMs to do the
Environment and reduced
research and
the CO2 emission. Which
development regarding
improves health
the EVs Parts withiin the
concerns in the society.

 Winners Losers

ICEs
Energy Industry
Manufacturers Oil and gas
Commuters
Industries

Environment Non renewable

Power plants
IT Industry Skilled Labour
Strategic Implications
Singapore
Scenario 3

Loading... Global Warming!

 THE RISE OF THE FALL OF

USE OF FOSSIL FUELS AIR QUALITY

ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE PUBLIC

BUDGET TRANSPORTATION

HIGH PAYING JOBS INFRASTRUCTURE

SO, LIFESTYLE DEMAND CAPACITY

SUBURBAN EXPANSION URBAN PLANNING

INNOVATIONS HARMING
OVERALL LIFESTYLE
THE ENVIRONMENT
 WHO WINS? WHO LOSES?

CAR MANUFACTURERS RESIDENTS OF SINGAPORE

OIL COMPANIES URBAN PLANNERS

MOBILITY SHARING COMPANIES PUBLIC TRANSPORT FACILITY

INFRASTRUCTURE BUILDERS ENVIRONMENTALISTS

SINGAPORE GOVERNMENT SINGAPORE GOVERNMENT

LAND TRANSPORT AUTHORITY LAND TRANSPORT AUTHORITY

 OPPORTUNITIES
ECONOMIC OCEAN RESOURCES INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Sea level rise
Car manufacturers promotes the
and fuel companies development of
reap huge profits that Marine Fisheries
boost Local Economies Promotes the construction
and jobs of deep-water ports, thus
promoting the Marine
Transport Industry
The development of
Marine transportation
has consolidated
Singapore's strategic
position as a port city
at the hub of Pacific
shipping routes

 ROAD MAP
2023 - 2029 2037 - 2043
BENCHMARKING ASSESSMENT
Production Standards Present & Future Resources
Trade Balance Infrastructure Capacity
City Expansion Procedure Financial Impact

2030 - 2036 2044 - 2050

PLANNING IMPLEMENTATION
Road Infrastructure Suburban Expansion
Economic Growth Revenue Generation
Marine Transport Car Manufacturing
Water Transport
CONCLUSION
Driving Factors

SCENARIO 1 SCENARIO 2 SCENARIO 3

BID ADIEU TO CAR REGISTRATION EVs HERE WE COME LOADING... GLOBAL WARMING!

Environmental and Social Sustainability Goals Digital and Commercial

Acceptance Future Proof City Prowess

PEOPLE PEOPLE PEOPLE

PLANET PLANET PLANET

PROFIT PROFIT PROFIT

Abhishek Feng Gao Shravya

Eshan Jasleen Rishi Yayatee