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Las Statistics and Probability
∑(X−)2
Step 4: σ2=
N
40
σ2 = 5
σ2 = 8
2. To find the number of samples taken from the population, use the formula C
N 𝑛
5. To find the mean of the Sampling Distribution of the Sample Means (𝑥),
̅
Step 1: Multiply the sample mean (𝑋̅ ) to its corresponding probability distribution P(𝑋̅ ).
Label this as (𝑋̅ )• P(𝑋̅ ); and
Step 2: Get the summation of results in Step 1.
6. To find the variance 𝝈𝟐 𝒙̅ of the sampling distribution of the sample means, consider the
following steps:
Step 1: Subtract the mean (𝑥)̅ of the sampling distribution of the sample means from each
sample mean (𝑋̅ ). It can be labelled as( 𝑋̅- - 𝑥̅ )
Step 2: Square the difference of population mean and each sample mean.
10 10 10
2
5 2 5-6= -1 (-1)2= 1 1• = 2
10 10
10
2
6 2 6-6= 0 (0)2= 0 0• =0
10 10
2
7 2 7-6= 1 (1)2= 1 1• = 2
10 10 10
8 1 8-6= 2 (2)2= 4 1 4
4• 10= 10
10
9 1 9-6= 3 (3)2= 9 1 9
9• 10= 10
10
𝐒𝐭𝐞𝐩 𝟒: 𝝈𝟐 𝑋̅ =∑[(𝑋̅ - ̅ )2 • P (𝑋̅)]
=
𝑥
30
or 3
10
So, the variance of the sampling distribution of the sample means 𝝈𝟐𝑋̅ is 3.
𝜎 = √3 or 1.73
So, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means is 1.73
The computed value of the variance and standard deviation of the sampling
distribution
of the sample means is smaller than the variance and standard deviation of a population.
Learning Competencies
Finds the mean and variance of the sampling distribution of the sample means
(M11/12SP-IIId-5); and
Defines the sampling distribution of the sample mean for normal population when the
variance is: a) known; b)unknown (M11/12SP-IIIe-1)
c. Construct the sampling distribution of the sample means. (The table below is
already given as hint) [9 points]
Total
2. A group of students got the following scores in a Mathematics quiz: 8,12,16, 20, and
24. Consider sample scores of size 3 that can be drawn without replacement from the
given scores.
a. List all the possible samples of size 3 and calculate the means of each sample.
Round your sample mean into 2 decimal places. [5 points]
Sample Sample Mean (̅X)
Total
c) The mean X̅ of the sampling distribution of the sample means? Compare this
to the mean of the population. [5 points]
d) The standard deviation 𝜎𝑥̅ of the sampling distribution of the sample means?
Compare this to the standard deviation σ of the population. [5 points]
2. The 4 nurses assigned in the RHU in the Municipality of Luna have the following
ages: 24, 26, 28, and 30. Suppose samples of size 2 are drawn from this population.
Let x be the age of the nurses.
a. What is the mean () and standard deviation (σ) of the ages of the population?
[5 points]
e. Find the mean 𝜇𝑥̅ of the sampling distribution of the sample means. Compare this
to the mean of the population. [5 points]
f. Calculate the variance 𝝈𝟐𝑋̅ and standard deviation 𝜎𝑋̅ of the sampling distribution
of the sample means. Compare this to the variance 𝜎2and standard deviation of the
population σ. [5 points]
Exercise 3: “Solve Me”
Direction: Solve the following problem. Assume that the population is infinite in each item.
Show your solution. [Hint: The variance of the sampling distribution of the sample means can
𝜎2
be solve using the formula: 𝝈𝟐 = ]
� 𝑛
�
̅
1. Consider a population with a mean of 30 and a standard deviation of 3. Samples of
size 5 are obtained from the population. Determine the: a) mean of the sampling
distribution,
b) variance of the sampling distribution of the sample means; and c) standard
deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means. [5 points ]
2. The height of female Senior High School students of Luna National High School is
normally distributed with a mean of 65 inches and a standard deviation of 2 inches. If
20 students are randomly selected from the population, what would be the mean and
standard deviation of the resulting sampling distribution of the sample means?
[4 points ]
Reflection:
References of Learners:
Belecina, R.R., et.al (2016). Statistics and Probability (First Edition). Quezon City
Manila; Rex Book Store, Inc.
Ocampo, J.M., & Marquez, W.G., (2016). Conceptual Math and Beyond: Statistics
and Probability. Quezon City Manila; Brilliant Creations Publishing, In
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY 11
Name of Learner: Grade Level:
Section: Score:
This theorem says that regardless of the distribution of the population from which
a sample is taken, we can choose a sufficiently large n so that the resulting
sampling distribution will approach a normal distribution. In general, n≥ 30 is
large enough for the sampling distribution of the mean to be approximately
normal.
𝒙−̅ 𝝁
𝒛= 𝝈
√𝒏
Example
The average time it takes a group of students to finish a certain class activity is 39 minutes.
The standard deviation is 8 minutes. Find the probability that if 45 randomly selected students
take the activity, the mean time it takes the group of students to complete the activity will be
less than 41 minutes.
Given:
Steps Solution
Identify the given information ̅𝒙 = 41
µ = 39
𝝈=8
𝒏 = 𝟒𝟓
Solve the problem Z= 𝟒𝟏−𝟑𝟗
= 1.68
𝟖
√𝟒𝟓
0.5 + 0.4535 = 0.9535
State the answer So, the probability that the 45 students
will complete the class activity in less
than 41 minutes is 95.35%.
Directions/Instructions:
Follow the different steps to answer the following problems applying the central limit theorem.
1. The average time it takes a group of senior high school students to finish a periodical
examination is 45 minutes. The standard deviation is 6.5 minutes. Assume that the
variable is normally distributed.
a. What is the probability that if 50 randomly selected students will take the periodical
test, the mean time will be more than 47.5 minutes?
b. What is the probability that if 50 randomly selected will take the periodical test, the
mean time will be less than 47.5 minutes?
c. What is the probability that if 50 randomly selected will take the periodical test, the
mean time will be between 43 minutes and 47.5 minutes?
d. What is the probability that if 50 randomly selected will take the periodical test, the
mean time will be between 46 minutes and 47 minutes?
2. The mean weight of 16-year old females is 120 pounds with a standard deviation of 12.5
a. If a sample of 35 female is selected, find the probability that the mean weight of the
samples is less than 125 pounds.
b. If a sample of 30 female is selected, find the probability that the mean weight of the
samples is between 120 pounds and 123 pounds.
c. If a sample of 30 female is selected, find the probability that the mean weight of the
samples is between 121pounds and 123 pounds.
3. The average number of milligrams (mg) of sugar of a certain brand of milk tea is 600 mg
with a standard deviation of 28 mg. Assume that the variable is normally distributed.
a. If a sample of 30 servings of milk tea is selected, what is the probability that the
mean sugar content of the samples will be greater than 590 mg?
b. If a of sample 30 servings of milk tea is selected, what is the probability that the
mean sugar content of the samples will be between 590 mg and 605 mg?
c. If a sample of 50 servings of milk tea is selected, what is the probability that the
mean sugar content of the samples will be less than 605?
REFLECTION:
I learned that
References:
Alferez, M. & Duro, M. Statistics and Probability. MSA Academic Institute. 2006
Avelino-Tales, Karen. Senior High School Statistics and Probability. FBN Educational, Inc.
2016
Baccay, E., Belecina, R. & Mateo, E. Statistics and Probability. Rex Book Store. 2016
Chua, S. L., Dela Cruz, E. Jr. O., Aguilar, I.C. & Puro, L. M. Soaring 21st Century Mathematics
(Statistics and Probability). Phoenix Publishing House, Inc. 2016
Lim, Y., Nocon, E., Nocon, R. & Ruivivar, L. Statistics and Probability. Sibs Publishing
House. 2016
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY 11
Name of Learner: Grade Level:
Section: Date:
Example 1
A population distribution has a mean 𝜇 = 84 and standard deviation of 𝜎 = 18. What is the
probability that a random sample size of n = 48 and a mean of 88 or more?
Use the table for Areas of the Normal Curve to find the P( 88).
0.0618
01.54
Example 2
A population distribution has a mean = 84 and a standard deviation of = 18. What is the
probability that a random sample size of n = 96 and a mean of 81 and below?
Find P( 81).
Solution
Convert the values to z-score.
The giver is n = 96 which is 30 Central Limit Theorem applies.
Use the table for Areas of the Normal Curve to find the P( 81).
P( 81) = P(z -1.63)
= P(z 0) - P(-1.63 z 0)
= 0.5000 – 0.4484
= 0.0516
Thus, the probability that a random sample size of n = 96 and a mean of 81 and below
is 0.0516 or 5.16%.
0.0516
-1.630
Example 3
A population distribution has mean = 84 and a standard deviation of = 18. What is the
probability that a random sample size of n = 90 and a mean of less than 85.5?
Find P( < 85.5).
Solution
Convert the values to z-score.
Note that, n = 90 and is 30 Central Limit Theorem applies.
Use the table for Areas of the Normal Curve to find the P( < 85.5).
P( < 85.5) = P(z < 0.79)
= P(z 0) + P(0 z 0.79)
= 0.5000 + 0.2852
= 0.7852
Thus, the probability that a random sample size of n = 90 and a mean of less than 85.5
is 0.7852 or 78.52%.
0.7852
00.79
Example 4
A population distribution has a mean = 84 and a standard deviation of = 18. What is the
probability that a random sample size of n = 120 and a mean of greater than 80?
Find P( > 80).
Solution
Convert the values to z-score.
The given is n = 120 which is 30 Central Limit Theorem applies.
Use the table for Areas of the Normal Curve to find the P( > 80).
P( > 80) = P(z > -2.43)
= P(-2.43 z 0) + P(z 0)
= 0.4925 + 0.5000
= 0.9925
Thus, the probability that a random sample size of n = 120 and a mean of greater than 80 is
0.9925 or 99.25%
0.9925
-2.430
Example 5
A population distribution has a mean = 84 and standard deviation of = 18. What is the
probability that a random sample size of n = 210 and a mean of between 83 and 86?
Find .
Solution
Convert the values to z-scores.
In here, n = 210 which 30 Central Limit Theorem applies.
Use the table for Areas of the Normal Curve to find the P( ).
P( ) = P(-0.81 z 1.61)
= P(-0.81 z 0) + P(0 z 1.61)
= 0.2910 + 0.4463
= 0.7373
Thus, the probability that a random sample size of n = 210 and a mean of between 83 and 86
is 0.7373 or 73.73%
0.7373
-0.43 0 1.61
Learning Competency
Solves problems involving sampling distributions of the sample mean (M11/12SP-III-f-1)
EXERCISE 1
1. Find the probability in each of the following situations. Assume that the variable is
normally distributed.
n Probability
80 7 75
74.5 5 12
42 4.46 53
123 12.3 165
250 16 235
2. A normally distributed variable has a mean = 120 and standard deviation of = 12.
If a sample size of n = 36 is selected, what is the probability of the following means?
1. According to research, Filipinos spend an average of 9.5 hours per day in the internet
and the standard deviation is 2.4 hours. Assume that the variable is normally
distributed. If 50 Filipinos were randomly selected,
a. what is the probability that the average hours spend in the internet is 8.5 hours and
above?
b. what is the probability that the average hours spend in the internet is less than 10
hours?
c. what is the probability that the average hours spend in the internet is between 9
hours and 10 hours?
2. Suppose that the annual employment rate of private companies in a certain country is
to have a normal distribution with a mean of 4% and a standard deviation of 1.6%. A
random sample of 25 private companies is selected from the population and the
sample mean is calculated.
a. What is the probability that the sample mean will be less than 5%?
b. What is the probability that the sample mean will be more than 3.5%?
c. What is the probability that the sample mean will be between 3% and 5%?
3. According to SHS research teachers, the average time of senior high school research
proposal defense is 28.5 minutes and the standard deviation is 4.3 minutes. Assume
that the variable is normally distributed.
a. What is the probability that a randomly selected senior high school students will
defend their research proposals in less than 28 minutes?
b. What is the probability that a randomly selected senior high school students will
defend their research proposals in more than 28 minutes?
c. What is the probability that 45 senior high school students who are randomly
selected will defend their research proposals with an average time of less than 28
minutes?
d. What is the probability that 50 senior high school students who are randomly
selected will defend their research proposals with an average time of between 27.5
minutes and 29.5 minutes?
Reflection
What have you learned in this lesson?
References
Jose M. Ocampo, et.al (2016). Statistics and Probability. Quezon City, Manila
https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and statistics/normal-distribution/central-
limittheorem-definitions-examples/ https://cdn-0.access-excel.tips/wp-
content/uploads/2015/09/z-score-02.png
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY 11
Name of Learner: Grade Level:
Section: Date:
The t-distribution was also called Student’s t-distribution. William Sealy Gosset formulated the t-
distribution in 1908, he is an Irish brewing employee who was involved in researching new
methods of manufacturing ale (type of beer). He published his finding using the pseudonym
Student because brewing employees were not allowed to publish findings. Hence, the t-
distribution is sometimes called Student’s t-distribution.
The following formula is used to convert any normal variable to its corresponding t-
value on a t-distribution.
𝑥̅ − 𝜇
𝑡= 𝑠
√𝑛
where:
t = t-value
𝑥̅ = sample mean
𝜇 = population mean
n = sample size (Note: the formula is used when n<30)
∑(𝑥−𝑥̅)2
s = sample standard deviation (𝑠 = √
𝑛−1
The t-distribution Table
The left side is the degrees of freedom while the top segment relates to the right tail
probabilities (α). The entries within the table are the t-values or critical values of t. There are
no negative values since t-distribution is symmetrical. The region below of a negative t-score
is equal to the area above a positive t-score.
The larger the degrees of freedom, the more it will approximate a normal distribution. Thus,
the t-scores can be negative but areas and probabilities cannot.
EXAMPLE 5
𝑡 = 2.667
Learning Competency
Illustrates the t-distribution (M11/12SP-IIIg-2)
PRACTICE EXERCISE 1
A. Directions: Determine the value of t (round to the nearest thousandth) based on the
given degrees of freedom df and α. [ 2 points each]
1. 𝑑𝑓 = 26, 𝛼 = 0.01
2. 𝑑𝑓 = 15, 𝛼 = 0.025
3. 𝑑𝑓 = 28, 𝛼 = 0.10
4. 𝑑𝑓 = 5, 𝛼 = 0.05
5. 𝑑𝑓 = 23, 𝛼 = 0.005
B. Directions: Determine the value of t (round to the nearest thousandth) based on the
given sample size n and α. [ 2 points each]
1. 𝑛 = 6, 𝛼 = 0.005
2. 𝑛 = 15, 𝛼 = 0.001
3. 𝑛 = 21, 𝛼 = 0.05
4. 𝑛 = 17, 𝛼 = 0.10
5. 𝑛 = 10, 𝛼 = 0.01
PRACTICE EXERCISE 2
Directions: In each of the following, samples of size n are taken from a population with a
population mean µ. Find the t-value of the given sample means. [ 3 points each]
1. 𝜇 = 15, 𝑥̅ = 18, 𝑛 = 16, 𝑠 = 2.5
2. 𝜇 = 23, 𝑥̅ = 20, 𝑛 = 25, 𝑠 = 3.2
3. 𝜇 = 35, 𝑥̅ = 32, 𝑛 = 24, 𝑠 = 2.8
4. 𝜇 = 64.5, 𝑥̅ = 63, 𝑛 = 27, 𝑠 = 8.1
5. 𝜇 = 200, 𝑥̅ = 198, 𝑛 = 16, 𝑠 = 14
PRACTICE EXERCISE 3
Directions: Solve the following problems. [ 5 points each]
1. A researcher gathers a plasma samples from 20 patients who recovered from COVID-19.
He conducts one-tailed t-test for a mean using an alpha level of 0.05. Once he conducts
his one-tailed t-test and obtains a test statistics t, what critical value should he compare t
to?
2. The average number of milligrams (mg) of cholesterol in a serving of a certain brand of
milk tea is 660 mg, and the standard deviation is 35 mg. Assume the variable is normally
distributed. What is the t-value if a sample of 10 servings of milk tea selected has a
sample mean of 670 mg of cholesterol?
3. An electronic company claims that the average life of the smartphone battery it
manufactures is 14 hours with a standard deviation of 3 hours. What is the t-value if a
random sample of 25 smartphones chosen has a sample mean of 15 hours?
26
Reflection
After the lesson, I have learned that
References:
https://link.quipper.com
https://www.dummies.com/wp-content/uploads/451675.image0.jpg
Banigon, Camilon and Manalo.2016. Statistics and Probability for Senior High School.
Quezon City: Educational Resources Corp.
Belecina, Baccay and Mateo. 2017. Statistics and Probability 1st ed. Manila: Rex Book Store.
Lim, Nocon, Nocon, and Ruivivar. 2016. Math for Engaged Learning. Quezon City: Sibs
Publishing House, Inc.
27
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY 11
Name of Learner: Grade Level:
Section: Date:
The 2.5th percentile of the given variable means the value of the variable that has an area to the
left of 2.5% or 0.025.
Dictionary.com defines percentile as one of the values of a variable that divides the distribution
of the variable into 100 groups having equal frequencies.
Marketbusinessnews.com describes percentile or centile as a value or number that represents a
percentage position on a range or list of data- the person or thing at that number of values is
above that number in percentage.
According to Statisticsbyjim.com, it is percentage of scores that fall below a particular value.
They tell you where a score stands relative to other scores Percentiles are a great tool to know
the relative standing of a value.
EXAMPLE 1
What is the 10th percentile of a t-distribution when the sample size is 6?
Consider the charts below. The 10th percentile is found some place in the lower-end tail on
the left side of zero. The 10th percentile is the value where 10% of the quantities lie
underneath it, and 90% lie above it. It likewise implies that 0.10 is the area to the left of the
10th percentile t- value, while 90th percentile is located somewhere in the upper-end tail on
the right side of zero. The 90th percentile is where 90% of the quantities lie underneath it, and
10% of the quantities lies above it. This means 0.10 is the area to the right of the 90th
percentile t-value.
28
t-Distribution Table
Source: https://www.dummies.com/wp-content/uploads/451675.image0.jpg
29
Source: https://link.quipper.com
Since the t-distribution table only appears at the right tail area, if the percentile lies to
the right of the mean or above the 50th percentile, the area to the right of the given percentile
can be found by subtracting the percentile from 100% or 1.
The area to the left of the 10th percentile t-value is equal to the area to the right of the
90th percentile t-value. This means that the 10th percentile and the 90th percentile have the
same t-value on the t-distribution table.
Solution:
i. List the known facts of the problem
10th percentile
n= 6
df = n- 1 = 6 – 1 = 5
ii. Find the area associated with the percentile by dividing it by 100.
10th percentile is 10 which is equal to 0.10
100
iii. Identify if the area of probability is higher or lower than 0.50. if the percentile is
higher than 0.50, subtract it from 1.
Since 0.10 is lower than 0.50, there is no need to subtract from 1. Thus, the area
is 0.10.
iv. Find the t-value by finding the intersection of the right tail area column and the
row for the degrees of freedom.
The desired t-value is in the body of the table. Look for the corresponding area
or probabilities column heading 𝑡0.10 and locate it with the degrees of freedom
5. The t-value is 1.476.
30
EXAMPLE 2
Calculate the 90th percentile from the value of the lower cumulative distribution of the
student’s t-distribution when the sample size is 11?
Solution:
i. List the known facts of the problem
90th percentile
n= 11
df = n- 1 = 11– 1 = 10
ii. Find the area associated with the percentile by dividing it by 100.
90th percentile is 90 which is equal to 0.90
100
iii. Identify if the area of probability is higher or lower than 0.50. if the percentile is
higher than 0.50, subtract it from 1.
Since 0.90 is higher than 0.50. It must be subtracted from 1.
1 – 0.90 = 0.10
0.10 is the area to the right of the 90th percentile
iv. Find the t-value by finding the intersection of the right tail area column and the
row for the degrees of freedom.
The desired t-value is in the body of the table. Look for the corresponding area
or probabilities column heading 𝑡0.10 and locate it with the degrees of freedom
10. The t-value is 1.372.
31
PRACTICE EXERCISE 1: TRUE OR FALSE
Directions: Determine whether the statement is true or false. Write the correct answer on the
space provided. [ 1 point each]
1. If the sample size is 25, then the degree of freedom is 24.
2. 99th percentile can be written as 99/100 or 0.99.
3. The percentile increased when the sample size decreased.
4. 90th percentile means the number where 90% of the values lie below it and
10% lie above it.
5. The area of the region to the left of the 25th percentile is 0.75.
6. -2.064 is the 2.5th percentile of a t-distribution when the degrees of freedom
is 24.
7. 95th percentile would result in a t-distribution value of 2.528 with 20 degree
of freedom.
8. A 99.5th percentile is a result in a t-distribution value of 3.106 with a
sample size of 12.
9. If n= 25, at α=0.05, the critical value is 1.719.
10. Suppose you have a sample size 15 and you want to find the 95th
percentile of its corresponding t-distribution, you should find first the critical
values.
PRACTICE EXERCISE 2
Directions: Using the t-table, find the degrees of freedom and t-value corresponding to 95th
percentile for each of the following n. Be mindful of the sign. [ 2 points each]
1. 𝑛=4 6. 𝑛 = 19
2. 𝑛=6 7. 𝑛 = 23
3. 𝑛 = 12 8. 𝑛 = 25
4. 𝑛 = 14 9. 𝑛 = 26
5. 𝑛 = 17 10. 𝑛 = 28
PRACTICE EXERCISE 3
A. Directions: For each situation, specify the corresponding t-value. Be mindful of the sign
and feel free to use the t-table. [ 3 points each]
1. 90th percentile, df =28
2. df = 13, α = 0.10
3. 2.5th percentile for n = 20
4. 75th percentile, n = 12
5. t-values that bound the middle 60% with df=12
B. Directions: Find the percentile given the following data. [ 3 points each]
1. df = 19, t-value = -2.093
2. n = 13, t-value = -0.259
3. df = 20, t-value = -2.845
4. n= 21, t-value = -1.725
5. n= 27, t-value = 0.684
32
Reflection
After the lesson, I have learned that
References:
https://link.quipper.com
https://www.dummies.com/wp-content/uploads/451675.image0.jpg
https://keisan.casio.com
33
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY 11
Name of Learner:
Section: Grade Level:
Date:
35
Steps in Identifying the Length of a Confidence Interval for an Unknown Population
Mean and Known Standard Deviation
Step 1. Identify the given variables:
Population standard deviation, 𝜎
Sample mean, 𝑋
Sample size, 𝑛
Step 2. Determine the confidence level and appropriate 𝑍𝛼
2
Values of z of Importance
Z Confidence Level
1.645 90%
1.960 95%
2.326 98%
2.576 99%
3.090 99.8%
3.291 99.9%
36
A survey studying the income of individuals in a certain municipality was conducted.
A population standard deviation of Php 1000 and a mean income of Php 15, 000 was
gathered from 49 individuals.
a. Identify and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the true mean income of the
individuals in a certain municipality.
Solution:
(a) Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the true mean income
of the individuals in a certain municipality.
Step 1. Identify the given variables:Population standard deviation, 𝜎 = 1,000
Sample mean, 𝑋 = 15,000
Sample size, 𝑛 = 49
Step 2. Identify the with 90% confidence level
𝑍𝛼
2
Values of z of Importance
𝑍𝛼 Confidence
2
Level
1.645 90%
1.960 95%
2.326 98%
2.576 99%
3.090 99.8%
3.291 99.9%
38
1000
= 15000 + (1.645 × )
√49
= 15000 + (235)
= 15000 + 235
𝑈𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑙𝑖𝑚𝑖𝑡 = 15235
Step 4. Construct and interpret the confidence interval.
Therefore the 90% Confidence Interval (CI) is (14,765, 15,235) or 14, 765 <
𝜇 < 15, 235. Hence, we are 90% confident that the true average income of all individuals in
a certain municipality is between Php 14, 765 and Php 15, 235.
Illustrative Example 2.
The following were observed weights (in kilograms) of a random sample of 20
learners. Assuming that the population standard deviation of the weights of all learners in the
class is 9 kg.
40 45 46 48 48 50 55 55 56 58
50 59 60 60 62 62 64 64 65 66
a. Identify and interpret a 99% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the
learners.
b. Identify and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the
learners.
Solution:
(a) Construct and interpret a 99% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the
learners.
Step 1. Identify the given variables:
Population standard deviation, 𝜎 = 9
Sample size, 𝑛 = 20
Sample mean, 𝑋 =?
We must solve for the sample mean since it is not found in the given variables.
Using the sample mean formula of ungrouped data:
∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑥𝑖
𝑋=
𝑛
40 + 45 + 46 + 48 + 48 + ⋯ + 66
𝑋=
20
1121
𝑋= = 56.05
20
Sample mean, 𝑋 = 56.05
39
Step 2. Identify the
𝑍𝛼 with 99% confidence level
2
40
Values of z of Importance
𝑍𝛼 Confidence
2
Level
1.645 90%
1.960 95%
2.326 98%
2.576 99%
3.090 99.8%
3.291 99.9%
41
Therefore, 99% CI is (50.87, 61.23) 𝑜𝑟 50.87 < 𝜇 < 61.23. Hence, we are
99% confident that the true mean weight of the learners is between 50.87 kg and
61.23 kg.
The Confidence Interval for an Unknown Population Mean and Unknown Standard Deviation
The confidence interval for an unknown population mean and unknown standard
deviation is defined mathematically as
𝑿̅ ± (𝑡 𝑠
𝛼 × )
(2,𝑛−1)
√𝑛
or
𝑠 𝑠
𝑿̅ − (𝑡( 𝛼 × )<𝜇<𝑿
̅ + (𝑡 𝛼
(2,𝑛−1)
× )
2,𝑛−1) √𝑛 √𝑛
where, 𝑿̅ I s the sample mean (point estimator),
𝑡( 𝛼 is the critical value of t with a confidence interval of (1 − 𝛼)%,
2,𝑛−1)
42
= 𝑋 + (𝑡( 𝛼 ×
2,𝑛−1)
𝑠
)
√𝑛
43
Step 4. Construct and interpret the confidence interval.
Illustrative Example 3.
Eleven regions in the Philippines are randomly sampled. In each region, rainfall was
monitored for one year, and the following total yearly rainfalls in centimeters were recorded:
145, 185, 209, 213, 241, 255, 255, 262, 269, 276, 297. Assume that yearly rainfalls within the
region are normally distributed. Identify a confidence interval for the true mean rainfall in the
Philippines with 99% confidence level.
Solution:
Step 1. Identify the given variables:
Sample size, 𝑛 = 11
∑𝑛
Sample mean, 𝑥̅ = 𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖
𝑛
∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑋𝑖
𝑥̅ =
𝑛
145 + 185 + 209 + ⋯ + 276 + 297 2607
𝑥̅ = = 237
11
11
=
∑ 𝑛 (𝑋𝑖 −𝑋)2
Standard deviation, 𝑠 = √ 𝑖=1
𝑛−1
2
𝑋 𝑥̅ 𝑋 − 𝑥̅ (𝑋 − 𝑥̅)
145 237 145 − 237 = −92 (−92)2 = 8464
∑𝑛 (𝑋𝑖 − 𝑥̅)2
√ 𝑖=1
𝑠=
𝑛−1
44
19,962 19,962
𝑠=√ =√ = √1,996.2 = 44.6789
11 − 1 10
45
EXERCISE 1
Directions: Identify the length of the confidence interval for an unknown population mean is
and known standard deviation. Show complete solution in a separate sheet of paper.
1. 𝑥̅ = 25; 𝜎 = 3; 𝑛 = 36 𝑎𝑛𝑑 99% 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑓𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙
2. 𝑥̅ = 30; 𝜎 = 3; 𝑛 = 25 𝑎𝑛𝑑 90% 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑓𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙
EXERCISE 2
Directions: Identify the length of the confidence interval for an unknown population mean is
and unknown standard deviation. Show complete solution in a separate sheet of paper.
1. 𝑥̅ = 35; 𝑠 = 3.76; 𝑛 = 25 𝑎𝑛𝑑 90% 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑓𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙
2. 𝑥̅ = 50; 𝑠 = 5.02; 𝑛 = 16 𝑎𝑛𝑑 99% 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑓𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙
EXERCISE 3
Directions: Solve the problem. Follow the given steps in finding the length of the confidence
interval. Show complete solution in a separate sheet of paper.
2. The nickel metal Hydride (Nimh) battery is one of the highly advertised rechargeable
batteries today. It is lighter and can last up to 2 to 4 times longer than alkaline or
standard Nickel-Cadmium (NiCd) batteries. To evaluate its performance, a random
sample of 10 Nimh batteries was taken. The number of photos taken using each
battery in a digital camera is given as follows: 405, 564, 342, 456, 435, 543, 473, 452,
462, and
475. Identify the length of a 95% confidence interval for the true mean number of
photos taken using the Nimh battery and interpret.
Reflection:
46
References:
Albert, J.G, et.al (2016). Statistics and Probability. Quezon City, Manila
Easton, V.J & McColl, J.H, et.al (1997). Statistics. University of Glasgow
Answer Key
Exercise 1
1. 99% Confidence Interval: (23.71, 26.29)
2. 90% Confidence Interval: (29.01, 30.98)
Exercise 2
1. 90% Confidence Interval: (33.71, 36.29)
2. 99% Confidence Interval: (46.3, 53.7)
Exercise 3
1.
a. We say that we are 98% confident that the true mean breaking strength of the new
plastic material is between 148.8 and 167.8 psi.
b. We say that we are 95% confident that the true mean breaking strength of the new
plastic material is between 150.8 and 166.8 psi.
2. We say that we are 95% confident that the true mean number of photos taken using
the Nimh battery is between 416 and 506 photos.
47
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY 11
Name of Learner:
Section: Grade Level:
Date:
Illustrative Example1.
A survey studying the income of individuals in a certain municipality was conducted.
a. If 90% confidence interval for the true mean income of the individuals in a certain
municipality is (14,765, 15,235) or 14, 765 < 𝜇 < 15, 235, compute for the
length of the confidence interval.
b. If 95% confidence interval for the true mean income of the individuals in a certain
municipality is (14,720, 15,280) 𝑜𝑟 14, 720 < 𝜇 < 15, 280, compute for the
length of the confidence interval.
c. How was the length of the confidence interval affected by the decrease in the
confidence coefficient holding the other factors constant?
48
Solution:
a) If 90% confidence interval for the true mean income of the individuals in a
certain municipality is (𝟏𝟒, 𝟕𝟔𝟓, 𝟏𝟓, 𝟐𝟑𝟓) or 𝟏𝟒, 𝟕𝟔𝟓 < 𝝁 < 𝟏𝟓, 𝟐𝟑𝟓, compute
for the length of the confidence interval.
Step 1. Identify the given variables:
𝐿𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟 𝑙𝑖𝑚𝑖𝑡 = 14, 765
𝑈𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑙𝑖𝑚𝑖𝑡 = 15, 235
Step 2. Compute for the length of the confidence interval, L.
Since the upper limit and the lower limit is given, we will use the formula:
𝑳 = 𝑼𝒑𝒑𝒆𝒓 𝑳𝒊𝒎𝒊𝒕 − 𝑳𝒐𝒘𝒆𝒓 𝑳𝒊𝒎𝒊𝒕
𝐿 = 15, 235 − 14, 765
𝐿 = 470
Step 3. Interpret the result.
Hence, the length of 90% confidence interval between Php 14,765 and Php 15,235 is
470.
Solution:
b) If 95% confidence interval for the true mean income of the individuals in a
certain municipality is (𝟏𝟒, 𝟕𝟐𝟎, 𝟏𝟓, 𝟐𝟖𝟎) 𝒐𝒓 𝟏𝟒, 𝟕𝟐𝟎 < 𝝁 < 𝟏𝟓, 𝟐𝟖𝟎, compute
for the length of the confidence interval.
Step 1. Identify the given variables:
𝐿𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟 𝑙𝑖𝑚𝑖𝑡 = 14, 720
𝑈𝑝𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑙𝑖𝑚𝑖𝑡 = 15, 280
Step 2. Compute for the length of the confidence interval, L.
Since the upper limit and the lower limit is given, we will use the formula:
𝑳 = 𝑼𝒑𝒑𝒆𝒓 𝑳𝒊𝒎𝒊𝒕 − 𝑳𝒐𝒘𝒆𝒓 𝑳𝒊𝒎𝒊𝒕
𝐿 = 15, 280 − 14, 720
𝐿 = 560
Step 3. Interpret the result.
Hence, the length of 95% confidence interval between Php 14,720 and Php15,280 is
560.
Solution:
c) How was the length of the confidence interval affected by the decrease in the
confidence coefficient holding the other factors constant?
Holding other factors constant, as the confidence coefficient decreases, the length of
the interval becomes narrower and vice versa. In this case, a 90% confidence interval
with a length of 470 is narrower than the 95% confidence interval with a length of
560.
49
Illustrative Example 2.
The following were observed weights (in kilograms) of a random sample of 20
learners. Assuming that the population standard deviation of the weights of all learners in the
class is 9 kg.
40 45 46 48 48 50 55 55 56 58
50 59 60 60 62 62 64 64 65 66
a. Compute for the length of 99% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the
learners.
b. Compute for the length of 95% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the
learners.
Solution: In example 2, there is unknown population mean and known standard deviation,
so we will use the standard normal distribution.
(a) Compute for the length of 99% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the
learners.
Step 1. Identify the given variables:
Population standard deviation, 𝜎 = 9
Sample size, 𝑛 = 20
Sample mean, 𝑋̅ =?
We must solve for the sample mean since it is not found in the given variables.
Using the sample mean formula of ungrouped data:
∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑥𝑖
𝑋̅ =
𝑛
40 + 45 + 46 + 48 + 48 + ⋯ + 66
𝑋̅ = 20
1121
𝑋̅ = = 56.05
20
Sample mean, 𝑋̅ = 56.05
Determine the appropriate Zα⁄2 at 99% confidence level
Values of z of Importance
𝑍𝛼⁄2 Confidence
Level
1.645 90%
1.960 95%
2.326 98%
2.576 99%
3.090 99.8%
3.291 99.9%
50
Step 2. Compute for the length of the confidence interval, L.
Since the upper limit and the lower limit is not given, we will use the formula:
𝝈
𝑳 = 𝟐 (𝒁𝑎⁄𝟐 × )
√𝒏
9
𝐿 = 2 (2.576 × )
√20
𝐿 = 2(5.18)
𝐿 = 10.36
Step 3. Interpret the result.
Hence, the length of 99% confidence interval is 10.36.
Solution:
(b) Compute for the length of 95% confidence interval for the true mean weight
of the learners.
Step 1. Identify the given variables:
Population standard deviation, 𝜎 = 9
Sample size, 𝑛 = 20
Sample mean, 𝑋̅ = 56.05
Determine the appropriate Zα⁄2 (z-value) at 95% confidence level
Values of z of Importance
𝑍𝛼⁄2 Confidence
Level
1.645 90%
1.960 95%
2.326 98%
2.576 99%
3.090 99.8%
3.291 99.9%
At 95% confidence level, the Zα⁄2=1.96
Step 2. Compute for the length of the confidence interval, L.
Since the upper limit and the lower limit is not given, we will use the formula:
𝝈
𝑳 = 𝟐 (𝒁𝑎⁄𝟐 × )
√𝒏
9
𝐿 = 2 (1.96 × )
√20
𝐿 = 2(3.94)
𝐿 = 7.88
51
Step 3. Interpret the result.
Hence, the length of 95% confidence interval is 7.88
Illustrative Example 3.
The heights of 10 Statistics and Probability students in inches are given below.
Compute for the length of the 98% confidence interval for the true mean height of all
Statistics and Probability students.
61.8 66.5 67.4 67.6 68.5 71.4 72.0 72.4 74.7 78.1
Solution: In example 3, there is unknown population mean and unknown standard deviation,
so we will use the student’s t distribution.
Step 1. Identify the given variables:
Sample size, 𝑛 = 10
Sample mean, 𝑋̅ =?
𝑛
𝑋̅ = ∑𝑖=1 𝑥𝑖
𝑛
61.8 + 66.5 + 67.4 + ⋯ + 78.1
𝑋̅ = 10
700.4
𝑋̅ = = 70.04
10
Sample mean, 𝑋̅ = 56.05
Standard deviation, 𝑠 =?
∑𝑛 (𝑋𝑖 − 𝑋̅)2
𝑠 = √ 𝑖=1
𝑛−1
𝑋 𝑋̅ 𝑋 − 𝑋̅ (𝑋 − 𝑋̅)2
61.8 70.04 61.8 − 70.04 = −8.21 (−8.21)2 =
67.4041
66.5 70.04 66.5 − 70.04 = −3.4 (−3.4)2 = 11.56
67.4 70.04 67.4 − 70.04 = −2.64 (−2.64)2 = 6.9696
67.6 70.04 67.6 − 70.04 = −2.44 (−2.44)2 = 5.9536
68.5 70.04 68.5 − 70.04 = −1.54 (−1.54)2 = 2.3716
71.4 70.04 71.4 − 70.04 = 1.36 (1.36)2 = 1.8496
72.0 70.04 72.0 − 70.04 = 1.96 (1.96)2 = 3.8416
72.4 70.04 72.4 − 70.04 = 2.36 (2.36)2 = 5.5696
74.7 70.04 74.7 − 70.04 = 4.66 (4.66)2 = 21.7156
78.1 70.04 78.1 − 70.04 = 8.06 (8.06)2 = 64.9636
𝑛
𝑛 = 10
∑(𝑋𝑖 − 𝑋̅)2 = 192.1989
𝑖=1
∑𝑛 (𝑋𝑖 − 𝑋̅)2
𝑠= √ 𝑖=1
𝑛−1
52
192.1989 192.1989
𝑠=√ =√ = √21.3554 = 4.6212
10 − 1 9
EXERCISE 1
Directions: Compute for the length of the confidence interval given its lower limit and upper
limit. Show complete solution in a separate sheet of paper.
1. 95% confidence interval: (0.887, 1.213)
2. 99% confidence interval: (46.3, 53.7)
3. 90% confidence interval: (201.83, 238.81)
4. 98% confidence interval: (3.97, 7.03)
5. 95% confidence interval: (1, 041.65, 1, 096.35)
6. 98% confidence interval: (109.44, 114.56)
7. 99% confidence interval: (9.03, 10.97)
8. 95% confidence interval: (44.73, 47.44)
9. 95% confidence interval: (12.303, 13.298)
10. 908% confidence interval: (25.594, 30.806)
53
EXERCISE 2
Directions: Compute for the length of the confidence interval given some of the following
variables. Show complete solution in a separate sheet of paper.
1. 𝑥̅ = 20, 𝜎 = 3, 𝑛 = 36, 95% 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑓𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙
2. 𝑥̅ = 30, 𝜎 = 3, 𝑛 = 25, 90% 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑓𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙
3. 𝑥̅ = 35, 𝑠 = 3.76, 𝑛 = 25, 90% 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑓𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙
4. 𝑥̅ = 50, 𝑠 = 5.02, 𝑛 = 16, 99% 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑓𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙
EXERCISE 3
Directions: Solve the problem. Follow the given steps in computing for the length of the
confidence interval. Show complete solution in a separate sheet of paper.
Reflection:
References:
Albert, J.G, et.al (2016). Statistics and Probability. Quezon City, Manila
Easton, V.J & McColl, J.H, et.al (1997). Statistics. University of Glasgow
54
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY 11
Name of Learner:
Section: Grade Level:
Date:
𝑍𝛼⁄2 Confidence
Level
1.645 90%
1.960 95%
2.326 98%
2.576 99%
3.090 99.8%
3.291 99.9%
56
Values of z of Importance
𝑍𝛼⁄2 Confidence
Level
1.645 90%
1.960 95%
2.326 98%
2.576 99%
3.090 99.8%
3.291 99.9%
Learning Competency: Computes for an appropriate sample size using the length of a
confidence interval (M11/12SP-IIIj-3)
EXERCISE 1
Directions: Compute for the appropriate sample size. Show complete solution in a separate
sheet of paper.
1. Length of the 95% confidence interval, L is 0.33 and standard deviation of 0.25
2. Length of the 90% confidence interval L is 2.2 and standard deviation of 2.67
3. 95% confidence interval: (19.02, 20.98) and standard deviation of 3
4. 99% confidence interval: (1938.4, 2041.6) and standard deviation of 120
5. 90% confidence interval: (29.01, 30.98) and standard deviation of 3
57
EXERCISE 2
Directions: Solve for the problem. Follow the given steps in computing for an appropriate
sample size using the length of the confidence interval. Show complete solution in a separate
sheet of paper.
1. How many simple random of dog weights must be included in a study. If the
standard deviation of the population of all dog weights is 18 lbs. Assume that we
are 99% confident that the true mean weight is between 185.27 lbs. and 200.72
lbs.
2. How many random samples of students must be selected from a certain school if
they are given an IQ test which has a standard deviation of 11 and 98% confident
that the true mean intelligence is (109.44, 114.56).
EXERCISE 3
Directions: Analyze and solve the given problem below. Justify your answer.
Reflection:
References:
Albert, J.G, et.al (2016). Statistics and Probability. Quezon City, Manila
Easton, V.J & McColl, J.H, et.al (1997). Statistics. University of Glasgow
58
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY 11
Name of Learner:
Section: Grade Level:
Date:
59
Step 3. Interpret the result.
Illustrative Example1.
What should be the sample size of the five-year old children to be included in a
feeding program if the mayor wants to estimate the mean weight (in kilograms) of the
children in a certain barangay? He wants to be 99% confident that the estimate of the sample
mean is accurate within 0.06 kg. Assuming that the standard deviation of the weights of the
target population is 0.5 kg.
Solution:
Step 1. Identify the given variables:
Population standard deviation, 𝜎 = 0.5
Margin of Error, 𝑀𝐸 = 0.06
Zα⁄2 with 99% confidence level
Values of z of Importance
𝑍𝛼⁄2 Confidence
Level
1.645 90%
1.960 95%
2.326 98%
2.576 99%
3.090 99.8%
3.291 99.9%
61
Values of z of Importance
𝑍𝛼⁄2 Confidence
Level
1.645 90%
1.960 95%
2.326 98%
2.576 99%
3.090 99.8%
3.291 99.9%
EXERCISE 1
1. A set of ducks is fed a certain type of grain for a period to estimate the average weight
gain. What sample size is needed if you want the estimate to be within 1.5 kg of the
correct 𝜇 with 95% confidence interval and a standard deviation of 7 kg?
2. Determine the sample size needed to estimate the average height of all grade 1
learners if we want to be within 1 inch with a confidence level of 90%. Assume we
know that the standard deviation of such heights is 3 inches.
62
EXERCISE 2
Directions: Solve the following problem. Follow the given steps in computing for the length
of the confidence interval. Show complete solution in a separate sheet of paper.
1. Textbook authors developed books that are appropriate to reading level of the target
audience. How many randomly selected words should we use to estimate average
text’s word length to be within 0.5 letters with 98% confidence. Assuming that the
population standard deviation is 2.7.
2. A local government official observes an increase in the number of individuals with
cardiovascular and obesity problems in his barangay. To improve the health
conditions of his constituents, he aims to promote an easy and cheap way to reduce
weight. It is known that obesity results in greater risk of having illnesses like diabetes
and heart problems. He encouraged his constituents to participate in his Dance for
Life project every weekend for 3 months. It is known that the weight loss of those
who have completed the dance program follows a normal distribution with
variance of 3.24
𝑘𝑔2(the standard deviation is the square root of the given variance).To know if the
program is effective in reducing weight, how many participants must be sampled in
order to be 95% confident that the estimated mean weight loss of the participants will
be within 0.5 kg of the true mean?
EXERCISE 3
Directions: Analyze and solve the given problem below. Show your complete solution in a
separate sheet of paper.
1. Find the sample size needed to estimate the population mean to be within 1⁄5 of the
standard deviation with 99% confidence.
Reflection:
References:
Albert, J.G, et.al (2016). Statistics and Probability. Quezon City, Manila
Easton, V.J & McColl, J.H, et.al (1997). Statistics. University of Glasgow
63
64